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11-20-Nuclear in Europe. Latest Developments-Mrs.Jessica Johnson

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11-20-Nuclear in Europe. Latest Developments-Mrs.Jessica Johnson TRADITIONAL INTERNATIONAL NUCLEAR CONFERENCE BULGARIAN NUCLEAR ENERGY Jessica Johnson, FORATOM Communications Director 2 FORATOM www.foratom.org | [email protected] | 3 Who we are FORATOM acts as the voice of the European nuclear industry in energy policy discussions with EU Institutions and other key stakeholders. www.foratom.org | [email protected] | 4 Membership The membership of FORATOM is made up of 15 national nuclear associations representing more than 3,000 companies. Belgium Slovakia Bulgaria Slovenia Finland Spain France Sweden Hungary Switzerland Italy Ukraine Netherlands United Kingdom Romania CEZ (Czech Republic) and PGE EJ 1 (Poland) are Corporate Members 5 Key topics EU Energy Policy: Nuclear technology: Communication: • Economics of nuclear • New build projects • Nuclear advocacy • EU energy mix • Nuclear safety • Perception of nuclear energy • Environment • Nuclear transport • Promotion of nuclear energy • Euratom Treaty • R&D • Public opinion • Security of energy supply • Waste disposal • Young generations in nuclear • Special projects - Brexit 6 NUCLEAR IN THE EU www.foratom.org | [email protected] | 7 Key messages on nuclear Nuclear energy contributes to all the Environmental: Energy Union’s key energy objectives • Low-carbon energy source • Low environmental impact (land & resource use) Economic: • €102Bn turnover/year in Europe • 3000+ companies • 1,300,000 jobs in Europe Security of energy supply: • Reliable baseload electricity at affordable cost • Flexibility of dispatch required to balance renewables www.foratom.org | [email protected] | 8 Materials throughput by type of energy source www.foratom.org | [email protected] | 9 Land use www.foratom.org | [email protected] | 10 ROLE OF NUCLEAR IN A DECARBONISATION STRATEGY www.foratom.org | [email protected] | 11 Nuclear energy in the EC strategy (Nov 2018) EC Communication*: “Renewables together with nuclear energy will be the backbone of a carbon-free European power system” EC in-depth analysis**: • Nuclear will remain an important component in EU 2050 energy mix • Capacity of nuclear in 2050 – between 99-121 GW • Share of nuclear in the electricity mix in 2050 – ca. 15% * https://ec.europa.eu/clima/sites/clima/files/docs/pages/com_2018_733_en.pdf www.foratom.org | [email protected] | ** https://ec.europa.eu/clima/sites/clima/files/docs/pages/com_2018_733_analysis_in_support_en_0.pdf 12 European Commission next steps 1. The European Commission invited the following institutions to consider the EU vision for a climate neutral Europe by 2050: • European Council • European Parliament • Committee of the Regions • European Economic & Social Committee 2. In order to prepare EU Member States for shaping the future of Europe at the May European Council, ministers in all relevant Council formations should hold extensive policy debates on their contribution to the overall vision. 3. The strategy is an invitation to all EU institutions, national parliaments, business, NGOs, cities, communities & citizens to participate. www.foratom.org | [email protected] | 13 EC LTS on a “just transition” “The aim of the long-term strategy is to present a vision that can lead to achieving net-zero GHG emissions by 2050 through a socially-fair transition in a cost-efficient manner” “The strategy underlines the opportunities that this transformation offers to European citizens and its economy” “The ensuing deep modernisation process will have to be managed well, ensuring a fair and socially acceptable transition for all in the spirit of inclusiveness and solidarity” “The social consequences of the transition cannot be addressed post factum. Both the EU and the Member States must take into account social implications from the outset and deploy all relevant policies to the fullest to mitigate this challenge” www.foratom.org | [email protected] | 14 Benefits of having a 25% nuclear share in 2050* Sustainability Economy Energy Security Allowing the EU to meet its High residual investment 85-90% capacity factor = a climate goals value (avoiding reducing reliable source of 700 million t. of CO2 avoided the value by €1 trillion) electricity per year (it emits 30x less Mitigation of the cost Decreased dependence CO2 than gas, 65x less than impact of the low-carbon on fossil fuels imports coal, 3x less than solar) transition on customer System flexibility much Compliance with air quality cost by €350bn needed to support the standards Reducing network & RES developments No need for vast volumes of balancing costs by Limited reliance on yet- land / raw materials 160bn€ to-be-proven technologies Positive & significant impact on jobs, GDP, revenues, etc. www.foratom.org | [email protected] | *FTI study “Pathways to 2050” 15 SUSTAINABLE FINANCE www.foratom.org | [email protected] | 16 Overview of initiatives at EU level . Nuclear power stations excluded InvestEU . Justification: EURATOM . Taxonomy: EP & Council SFI . Technical Experts Group . Push to exclude nuclear . Responses to consultation EIB . Nuclear eligible, but politicallly challenging to get approval www.foratom.org | [email protected] | *FTI study “Pathways to 2050” 17 Nuclear: powering the economy. Carbon-free growth, jobs and leadership in innovation - Deloitte www.foratom.org | [email protected] | Key messages of The Report Besides playing a key role in decarbonization, nuclear industry would enhance economic welfare at National/ European level Impact Report as an Nuclear characteristics: low instrument for key decision carbon technology, labor makers: reliable forecast and intensive, highly skilled measurability of future workforce, cost competitive; key benefits deriving from a cost drivers include reactor nuclear capacity of 150 GW construction and labor force throughout the European during operation phase Union A High Scenario with 150 GW Nuclear power generation nuclear capacity would entail mitigates the environmental additionalThe economic economy growth competitiveness and footprint of the European employmentis indriven the nuclear by prices power system and could play a sector, (investmentsits supply chain in infrastructure)and the key role in achieving the EU EU economy as a whole decarbonization target Background The analysis was conducted by Deloitte on behalf of FORATOM, taking into consideration the EU context and certain prerequisites for the nuclear sector EU CONTEXT PREREQUISITES In 2016, the European Union reaffirmed its 95% decarbonization of the energy mix in commitment to decarbonize its energy mix 2050 compared to 1990 - 45% target below 2005 levels for EU GHG Electrification of the European economy: 2050 emissions in 2030, by 2050 – net zero demand forecast is projected to reach around Growing role of electricity, as its share in final 4,100TWh, compared to 3,100 TWh today energy consumption is expected to increase The study is focused on a period of 30 years for from 20% in 2015 to more than 40% by 2050 the analyzed scenarios, starting with 2019 Besides advantages resulting from low-carbon The historical input data was collected from technology and increased security of supply, available public sources (EC, EP, Eurostat, IAEA, nuclear generation has positive impact on ISCO, WNA) and Deloitte data affiliated industries and the economy as a whole The forecasts were projected based on FTI A stable regulatory environment and assumptions regarding the evolution of the market design are crucial for triggering EU nuclear industry investment decisions and successful execution of nuclear projects IMPACT ON Public Employment revenues Disposable GDP household income Trade balance Overview of results The nuclear sector has today a significant impact on the European economy, supporting over 1.1 million jobs throughout the 28 MS 2019 IMPACT 507.4 in EU GDP generated by nuclear sector, equal to a 3 – 3.5% share of 2019 EU GDP bn. EUR average number of jobs sustained by the nuclear sector 1,129,900 of the total number of jobs in the nuclear industry are 47% highly skilled, equaling a number of 531,900 © 2019. For information, contact Deloitte Romania Overview of results In a high capacity scenario, the nuclear sector will have a significant impact on the European economy as a whole, creating annually over 1.3 million jobs 2020 2050 575.9 in EU GDP generated annually by nuclear sector, equal to a 1.5 - 2% share of EU GDP bn. EUR average number of jobs generated and maintained 1,321,600 annually by the nuclear sector of the total number of jobs in the nuclear sector will be 45% highly skilled, equaling a number of 595,600 © 2019. For information, contact Deloitte Romania Job creation Sustained direct jobs in construction and operation and decommissioning phases 2019 average impact 9,600 Construction 351,900 direct jobs in power plants and the nuclear fuel cycle throughout 258,600 Operation the EU, out of which 83,700 Decommissioning © 2019. For information, contact Deloitte Romania * includes operation in power plants and nuclear fuel cycle Job creation Sustained direct jobs in construction and operation and decommissioning phases 2020 2050 143,400 Construction 344,000 direct jobs annually in power plants and the nuclear supply 155,800 Operation chain throughout the EU in the EU, out of which 44,800 Decommissioning © 2019. For information, contact Deloitte Romania * includes operation in power plants and nuclear fuel cycle Impact of nuclear, wind and hydro industries on the EU economy The nuclear sector provides more jobs per installed GW and has a larger impact on the GDP than the other two clean energy sectors 1 GW INSTALLED 1) CAPACITY 1 GW GENERATES… 2030 IMPACT 2.9 Nuclear 6,088 Nuclear 0.3 Wind 1,805 Wind bn. EUR in the Jobs in the EU GDP [VALUE] 0.2 Hydro Hydro economy 1) With capacities of 128.5 GW (Nuclear), 397 GW (wind) and 263 GW (hydro) in 2030 © 2019. For information, contact Deloitte Romania Impact of nuclear, wind and hydro industries on the EU economy The nuclear sector provides more jobs per installed GW and has a larger impact on the GDP than the other two clean energy sectors 1 TWh PRODUCED 1) ELECTRICITY 1 TWh GENERATES… 2030 IMPACT 0.36 Nuclear 772 Nuclear 0.10 Wind 635 Wind 0.07 Hydro bn.
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