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Local Elections Handbook 1999

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Local Elections Handbook 1999 LOCAL ELECTIONS HANDBOOK 1999 Colin Rallings & Michael Thrasher LOCAL ELECTIONS HANDBOOK 1999 The 1999 Local Election Results Colin Rallings and Michael Thrasher with the assistance of Brian Cheal and Lawrence Ware Local Government Chronicle Elections Centre University of Plymouth Local Elections Handbook 1999 © Colin Rallings and Michael Thrasher 1999 All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise without the prior permis- sion of the publishers. Published by the Local Government Chronicle Elections Centre, University of Plymouth, Plymouth PL4 8AA ISBN 0 948858 25 7 Distributed by: LGC Communications, 33-39 Bowling Green Lane, London, EC1R 0DA Table of Contents Introduction ...................................................................................................................v Using the Digest ......................................................................................................... xii Aggregate Statistics for Local Authorities ....................................................................1 Metropolitan Borough Council Election Results ........................................................21 English Unitary Council Election Results...................................................................51 English Shire District Council Election Results .........................................................83 Scottish Unitary Council Election Results ................................................................277 Welsh Unitary Council Election Results ...................................................................319 Tables ........................................................................................................................349 aaaa Introduction The 1999 local elections saw contests in 362 councils across most of England and the whole of both Scotland and Wales. In 241 of these authorities, voters were electing the entire council membership. With more than 13,300 council seats at stake the elections provided a crucial test of the parties’ standing at both the local and national levels. A total of 33,842 candidates contested the elections. In the majority of cases these seats were last fought in 1995 when the Conservatives were particularly un- popular with the electorate. The party suffered one of its worst ever defeats, polling approximately 25 per cent of the national equivalent vote and losing more than 2,000 seats. Labour was the principal beneficiary, capturing an extra 1,800 seats with 47 per cent share of the vote. The Liberal Democrats, in making 500 gains in 1995 emerged with political control of 51 councils; four times the number of Conservative administrations. Boundary changes affected a considerable proportion of local authorities. All local authorities in Scotland had revised ward boundaries, over half of those in Wales, and more than 50 district and unitary councils in England.. In most cases, however, it proved possible to estimate the distribution of seats for the main parties on the new boundaries. Both Labour and Conservative strategists too tried to prepare the ground for expected gains or losses. Labour’s pre-election ‘spin’ began as early as autumn 1998 when an internal report was ‘leaked’ to the press. This spoke of losses reaching 2000 seats. The Conservatives’ own analysis stated that it would struggle to make 500 gains. In both cases the scale of gains/losses was designed such that the outcome was either not as bad as expected (Labour) or better than had been anticipated (Con- servatives). In the months prior to the elections Labour enjoyed a large opinion poll lead over the Conservatives of some 30 percentage points. Local by-election results, however, told a different story. Conservative candidates were capturing seats from both Labour and Liberal Democrats. Translating these results into national vote share figures suggested that Labour’s lead was of the order of just two percentage points. The narrowness of that lead, together with the relative position of the two parties in 1995, meant that the Conservatives could make in the region of 1400 seat gains. As with other recent contests, by-election results proved to be a more reliable indicator of the state of local electoral opinion. Indeed, our esti- mate of the national equivalent vote following these elections places Labour on 36 per cent, Conservatives 34 per cent and Liberal Democrats 25 per cent. v Table 1: Summary of Local Election Results, 1999 All Votes/ Wards Wards Seats Seats %share Contested Won Contested Won Conservative 3,444,713 6,817 2,505 9,457 3,781 27.6 75.8 27.9 71.1 28.4 Labour 4,220,829 7,237 3,084 10,364 4,816 33.8 80.5 34.3 77.9 36.2 Liberal Democrat 2,689,990 5,807 1,716 7,881 2,611 21.5 64.6 19.1 59.3 19.6 Nationalists 834,511 1,408 344 1,505 409 6.7 15.7 3.8 11.3 3.1 Independents 1,001,169 2,408 1,232 2,822 1,512 8.0 26.8 13.7 21.2 11.4 Greens 106,105 553 19 667 25 0.8 6.1 0.2 5.0 0.2 Other 189,394 617 92 743 147 1.5 6.9 1.0 5.6 1.1 Total 12,486,711 8,992 8,992 13,301 13,301 England Votes/ Wards Wards Seats Seats %share Contested Won Contested Won Conservative 3,036,978 5,865 2,347 8,397 3,598 32.9 85.0 34.0 77.7 33.3 Labour 3,052,438 5,647 2,208 8,420 3,703 33.1 81.8 32.0 77.9 34.3 Liberal Democrat 2,268,663 4,882 1,491 6,855 2,357 24.6 70.8 21.6 63.4 21.8 Independent 641,527 1,656 773 2,020 1,022 7.0 24.0 11.2 18.7 9.5 Green 97,697 523 18 635 24 1.1 7.6 0.3 5.9 0.2 Other 121,264 431 63 527 105 1.3 6.2 0.9 4.9 1.0 Total 9,218,567 6,900 6,900 10,809 10,809 Metropolitan Boroughs Votes/ Wards Wards Seats Seats %share Contested Won Contested Won Conservative 559,525 762 114 771 116 25.6 92.1 13.8 92.2 13.9 Labour 979,724 826 527 835 532 44.8 99.9 63.7 99.9 63.6 Liberal Democrat 536,516 717 170 722 172 24.5 86.7 20.6 86.4 20.6 Independent 41,883 114 9 114 9 1.9 13.8 1.1 13.6 1.1 Green 31,437 163 2 163 2 1.4 19.7 0.2 19.5 0.2 Other 39,231 139 5 140 5 1.8 16.8 0.6 16.7 0.6 Total 2,188,316 827 827 836 836 vi English Unitary Councils Votes/ Wards Wards Seats Seats %share Contested Won Contested Won Conservative 432,937 681 169 1,116 310 30.2 93.0 23.1 87.6 24.3 Labour 549,130 716 365 1,225 624 38.3 97.8 49.9 96.2 49.0 Liberal Democrat 357,985 619 170 993 293 25.0 84.6 23.2 77.9 23.0 Independent 56,677 127 21 156 35 4.0 17.3 2.9 12.2 2.7 Green 24,272 112 3 178 5 1.7 15.3 0.4 14.0 0.4 Other 11,853 54 4 67 7 0.8 7.4 0.5 5.3 0.5 Total 1,432,854 732 732 1,274 1,274 English Shire Districts Votes/ Wards Wards Seats Seats %share Contested Won Contested Won Conservative 2,044,516 4,422 2,064 6,510 3,172 36.5 82.8 38.6 74.8 36.5 Labour 1,523,584 4,105 1,316 6,360 2,547 27.2 76.9 24.6 73.1 29.3 Liberal Democrat 1,374,162 3,546 1,151 5,140 1,892 24.6 66.4 21.6 59.1 21.7 Independent 542,967 1,415 743 1,750 978 9.7 26.5 13.9 20.1 11.2 Green 41,988 248 13 294 17 0.8 4.6 0.2 3.4 0.2 Other 70,180 238 54 320 93 1.3 4.5 1.0 3.7 1.1 Total 5,597,397 5,341 5,341 8,699 8,699 Scottish Unitary Councils Votes/ Wards Wards Seats Seats %share Contested Won Contested Won Conservative 308,170 727 108 727 108 13.5 59.5 8.8 59.5 8.8 Labour 829,921 978 550 978 550 36.3 80.0 45.0 80.0 45.0 Liberal Democrat 289,236 609 156 609 156 12.7 49.8 12.8 49.8 12.8 SNP 655,299 1,058 204 1,058 204 28.7 86.6 16.7 86.6 16.7 Independent 172,297 337 195 337 195 7.5 27.6 16.0 27.6 16.0 Green 80 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 Other 30,342 111 9 111 9 1.3 9.1 0.7 9.1 0.7 Total 2,285,345 1,222 1,222 1,222 1,222 vii Table 1 contd. Welsh Unitary Councils Votes/ Wards Wards Seats Seats %share Contested Won Contested Won Conservative 99,565 225 50 333 75 10.1 25.9 5.7 26.2 5.9 Labour 338,470 612 326 966 563 34.4 70.3 37.5 76.1 44.3 Liberal Democrat 132,091 316 69 417 98 13.4 36.3 7.9 32.8 7.7 Plaid Cymru 179,212 350 140 447 205 18.2 40.2 16.1 35.2 16.1 Independent 187,345 415 264 465 295 19.1 47.7 30.3 36.6 23.2 Green 8,328 29 1 31 1 0.8 3.3 0.1 2.4 0.1 Other 37,788 75 20 105 33 3.8 8.6 2.3 8.3 2.6 Total 982,799 870 870 1,270 1,270 Table 1 provides an overview of the results as well as summarising the position for the different types of local authorities holding elections this year.
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