Cyclone Fani: RSTV – in Depth
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An Informed System Development Approach to Tropical Cyclone Track and Intensity Forecasting
Linköping Studies in Science and Technology Dissertations. No. 1734 An Informed System Development Approach to Tropical Cyclone Track and Intensity Forecasting by Chandan Roy Department of Computer and Information Science Linköping University SE-581 83 Linköping, Sweden Linköping 2016 Cover image: Hurricane Isabel (2003), NASA, image in public domain. Copyright © 2016 Chandan Roy ISBN: 978-91-7685-854-7 ISSN 0345-7524 Printed by LiU Tryck, Linköping 2015 URL: http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-123198 ii Abstract Introduction: Tropical Cyclones (TCs) inflict considerable damage to life and property every year. A major problem is that residents often hesitate to follow evacuation orders when the early warning messages are perceived as inaccurate or uninformative. The root problem is that providing accurate early forecasts can be difficult, especially in countries with less economic and technical means. Aim: The aim of the thesis is to investigate how cyclone early warning systems can be technically improved. This means, first, identifying problems associated with the current cyclone early warning systems, and second, investigating if biologically based Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) are feasible to solve some of the identified problems. Method: First, for evaluating the efficiency of cyclone early warning systems, Bangladesh was selected as study area, where a questionnaire survey and an in-depth interview were administered. Second, a review of currently operational TC track forecasting techniques was conducted to gain a better understanding of various techniques’ prediction performance, data requirements, and computational resource requirements. Third, a technique using biologically based ANNs was developed to produce TC track and intensity forecasts. -
Read Ebook {PDF EPUB} Storm Over Indianenland by Billy Brand 70 Million in the Path of Massive Tropical Storm Bill As It Hits the Coast and Travels North
Read Ebook {PDF EPUB} Storm over indianenland by Billy Brand 70 Million in the Path of Massive Tropical Storm Bill as It Hits the Coast and Travels North. This transcript has been automatically generated and may not be 100% accurate. Historic floods in Louisiana, a tornado watch in upstate New York for the second time this week, and windshield-shattering hail put 18 million people on alert. Now Playing: More Severe and Dangerous Weather Cripples the Country. Now Playing: Naomi Osaka fined $15,000 for skipping press conference. Now Playing: Man publishes book to honor his wife. Now Playing: Hundreds gather to honor the lives lost in the Tulsa Race Massacre. Now Playing: Controversial voting measure set to become law in Texas. Now Playing: Business owner under fire over ‘Not Vaccinated’ Star of David patch. Now Playing: 7 presumed dead after plane crash near Nashville, Tennessee. Now Playing: Millions hit the skies for Memorial Day weekend. Now Playing: At least 2 dead, nearly 2 dozen wounded in mass shooting in Miami-Dade. Now Playing: Small jet crashes outside Nashville with 7 aboard. Now Playing: Millions traveling for Memorial Day weekend. Now Playing: Remarkable toddler stuns adults with her brilliance. Now Playing: Air fares reach pre-pandemic highs. Now Playing: Eric Riddick, who served 29 years for crime he didn't commit, fights to clear name. Now Playing: Man recovering after grizzly bear attack. Now Playing: US COVID-19 cases down 70% in last 6 weeks. Now Playing: Summer blockbusters return as movie theaters reopen. Now Playing: Harris delivers US Naval Academy commencement speech. -
Effect of Major Storms on Morphology and Sediments of a Coastal Lake on the Northwest Florida Barrier Coast Aaron C
Florida State University Libraries Electronic Theses, Treatises and Dissertations The Graduate School 2008 Effect of Major Storms on Morphology and Sediments of a Coastal Lake on the Northwest Florida Barrier Coast Aaron C. Lower Follow this and additional works at the FSU Digital Library. For more information, please contact [email protected] FLORIDA STATE UNIVERSITY COLLEGE OF ARTS AND SCIENCES EFFECT OF MAJOR STORMS ON MORPHOLOGY AND SEDIMENTS OF A COASTAL LAKE ON THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA BARRIER COAST By AARON C. LOWER A Thesis submitted to the Department of Geological Sciences in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science Degree Awarded: Summer Semester, 2008 The members of the Committee approve the thesis of Aaron C. Lower defended on March 19, 2008. ___________________________ Joseph F. Donoghue Professor Directing Thesis ___________________________ Anthony J. Arnold Committee Member ___________________________ Sherwood W. Wise Committee Member ___________________________ Stephen J. Kish Committee Member Approved: ___________________________ A. Leroy Odom, Chair, Department of Geological Sciences ii ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS There are many people I would like to thank and recognize for their support throughout my studies. First, I would like to thank my advisor, Dr. Joseph Donoghue, for his continuous support and guidance during the MS program. Many thanks to the late Jim Balsillie, whose field expertise and suggestions proved invaluable to the completion of this thesis. Thanks to Jim Sparr, of the Florida Geological Survey, for his assistance with the GPR surveys. I am grateful to Matt Curren, formerly of the FSU Antarctic Research Facility, for the use of the X-ray machine, darkroom facilities and the storage of my cores. -
Managing Disasters at Airports
16-07-2019 Managing Disasters at Airports Airports Vulnerability to Disasters Floods Cyclones Earthquake Apart from natural disasters, vulnerable to chemical and industrial disasters and man-made disasters. 1 16-07-2019 Areas of Concern Activating an Early Warning System and its close monitoring Mechanisms for integrating the local and administrative agencies for effective disaster management Vulnerability of critical infrastructures (power supply, communication, water supply, transport, etc.) to disaster events Preparedness and Mitigation very often ignored Lack of integrated and standardized efforts and its Sustainability Effective Inter Agency Co-ordination and Standard Operating Procedures for stakeholders. Preparedness for disaster Formation of an effective airport disaster management plan Linking of the Airport Disaster Management Plan (ADMP) with the District Administration plans for forward and backward linkages for the key airport functions during and after disasters. Strengthening of Coordination Mechanism with the city, district and state authorities so as to ensure coordinated responses in future disastrous events. Putting the ADMP into action and testing it. Plan to be understood by all actors Preparedness drills and table top exercises to test the plan considering various plausible scenarios. 2 16-07-2019 AAI efforts for effective DMP at Airports AAI has prepared Disaster Management Plan(DMP) for all our airports in line with GoI guidelines. DMP is in line with NDMA under Disaster Management Act, 2005, National Disaster Management Policy, 2009 and National Disaster Management Plan 2016. Further, these Airport Disaster Management Plan have been submitted to respective DDMA/SDMA for approval. Several Disaster Response & Recovery Equipment are being deployed at major airports: Human life detector, victim location camera, thermal imaging camera, emergency lighting system, air lifting bag, portable generators, life buoys/jackets, safety torch, portable shelters etc. -
Study Report on Gaja Cyclone 2018 Study Report on Gaja Cyclone 2018
Study Report on Gaja Cyclone 2018 Study Report on Gaja Cyclone 2018 A publication of: National Disaster Management Authority Ministry of Home Affairs Government of India NDMA Bhawan A-1, Safdarjung Enclave New Delhi - 110029 September 2019 Study Report on Gaja Cyclone 2018 National Disaster Management Authority Ministry of Home Affairs Government of India Table of Content Sl No. Subject Page Number Foreword vii Acknowledgement ix Executive Summary xi Chapter 1 Introduction 1 Chapter 2 Cyclone Gaja 13 Chapter 3 Preparedness 19 Chapter 4 Impact of the Cyclone Gaja 33 Chapter 5 Response 37 Chapter 6 Analysis of Cyclone Gaja 43 Chapter 7 Best Practices 51 Chapter 8 Lessons Learnt & Recommendations 55 References 59 jk"Vªh; vkink izca/u izkf/dj.k National Disaster Management Authority Hkkjr ljdkj Government of India FOREWORD In India, tropical cyclones are one of the common hydro-meteorological hazards. Owing to its long coastline, high density of population and large number of urban centers along the coast, tropical cyclones over the time are having a greater impact on the community and damage the infrastructure. Secondly, the climate change is warming up oceans to increase both the intensity and frequency of cyclones. Hence, it is important to garner all the information and critically assess the impact and manangement of the cyclones. Cyclone Gaja was one of the major cyclones to hit the Tamil Nadu coast in November 2018. It lfeft a devastating tale of destruction on the cyclone path damaging houses, critical infrastructure for essential services, uprooting trees, affecting livelihoods etc in its trail. However, the loss of life was limited. -
Understanding the Characteristics of Rapid Intensity Changes of Tropical Cyclones Over North Indian Ocean
Research Article Understanding the characteristics of rapid intensity changes of Tropical Cyclones over North Indian Ocean Raghu Nadimpalli1 · Shyama Mohanty1 · Nishant Pathak1 · Krishna K. Osuri2 · U. C. Mohanty1 · Somoshree Chatterjee1 Received: 31 August 2020 / Accepted: 21 December 2020 © The Author(s) 2021 OPEN Abstract North Indian Ocean (NIO), which comprises of Bay of Bengal (BoB) and Arabian Sea (AS) basins, is one of the highly poten- tial regions for Tropical Cyclones (TCs) in the world. Signifcant improvements have been achieved in the prediction of the movement of TCs, since the last decade. However, the prediction of sudden intensity changes becomes a challeng- ing task for the research and operational meteorologists. Hence, the present study focuses on fnding the climatological characteristics of such intensity changes over NIO regions. Rapid Intensifcation (RI) is defned as the 24-h maximum sustained surface wind speed rate equal to 30 knots (15.4 ms−1). The results suggest that the TCs formed over the NIO basin are both seasonal and basin sensitive. Since 2000, a signifcant trend is observed in RI TCs over the basin. At least one among three cyclones getting intensifed is of RI category. More number of RI cases have been identifed in the BoB basin than the AS. The post-monsoon season holds more RI and rapid decay cases, with 63% and 90% contribution. Most of the TCs are attaining RI onset in their initial stage. Further, India is receiving more landfalling RI TCs, followed by Bangladesh and Oman. The east coast of India, Tamil Nadu, and Andhra Pradesh are the most vulnerable states to these RI TCs. -
Global Climate Risk Index 2018
THINK TANK & RESEARCH BRIEFING PAPER GLOBAL CLIMATE RISK INDEX 2018 Who Suffers Most From Extreme Weather Events? Weather-related Loss Events in 2016 and 1997 to 2016 David Eckstein, Vera Künzel and Laura Schäfer Global Climate Risk Index 2018 GERMANWATCH Brief Summary The Global Climate Risk Index 2018 analyses to what extent countries have been affected by the impacts of weather-related loss events (storms, floods, heat waves etc.). The most recent data available – for 2016 and from 1997 to 2016 – were taken into account. The countries affected most in 2016 were Haiti, Zimbabwe as well as Fiji. For the period from 1997 to 2016 Honduras, Haiti and Myanmar rank highest. This year’s 13th edition of the analysis reconfirms earlier results of the Climate Risk Index: less developed countries are generally more affected than industrialised countries. Regarding future climate change, the Climate Risk Index may serve as a red flag for already existing vulnerability that may further increase in regions where extreme events will become more frequent or more severe due to climate change. While some vulnerable developing countries are frequently hit by extreme events, for others such disasters are a rare occurrence. It remains to be seen how much progress the Fijian climate summit in Bonn will make to address these challenges: The COP23 aims to continue the development of the ‘rule-book’ needed for implementing the Paris Agreement, including the global adaptation goal and adaptation communication guidelines. A new 5-year-work plan of the Warsaw International Mechanism on Loss and Damage is to be adopted by the COP. -
Enhancing Climate Resilience of India's Coastal Communities
Annex II – Feasibility Study GREEN CLIMATE FUND FUNDING PROPOSAL I Enhancing climate resilience of India’s coastal communities Feasibility Study February 2017 ENHANCING CLIMATE RESILIENCE OF INDIA’S COASTAL COMMUNITIES Table of contents Acronym and abbreviations list ................................................................................................................................ 1 Foreword ................................................................................................................................................................. 4 Executive summary ................................................................................................................................................. 6 1. Introduction ............................................................................................................................................... 13 2. Climate risk profile of India ....................................................................................................................... 14 2.1. Country background ............................................................................................................................. 14 2.2. Incomes and poverty ............................................................................................................................ 15 2.3. Climate of India .................................................................................................................................... 16 2.4. Water resources, forests, agriculture -
International Journal of Image Processing (Ijip)
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF IMAGE PROCESSING (IJIP) VOLUME 7, ISSUE 4, 2013 EDITED BY DR. NABEEL TAHIR ISSN (Online): 1985-2304 International Journal of Image Processing (IJIP) is published both in traditional paper form and in Internet. This journal is published at the website http://www.cscjournals.org , maintained by Computer Science Journals (CSC Journals), Malaysia. IJIP Journal is a part of CSC Publishers Computer Science Journals http://www.cscjournals.org INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF IMAGE PROCESSING (IJIP) Book: Volume 7, Issue 4, September 2013 Publishing Date: 15-09-2013 ISSN (Online): 1985-2304 This work is subjected to copyright. All rights are reserved whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, re-use of illusions, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other way, and storage in data banks. Duplication of this publication of parts thereof is permitted only under the provision of the copyright law 1965, in its current version, and permission of use must always be obtained from CSC Publishers. IJIP Journal is a part of CSC Publishers http://www.cscjournals.org © IJIP Journal Published in Malaysia Typesetting: Camera-ready by author, data conversation by CSC Publishing Services – CSC Journals, Malaysia CSC Publishers, 2013 EDITORIAL PREFACE The International Journal of Image Processing (IJIP) is an effective medium for interchange of high quality theoretical and applied research in the Image Processing domain from theoretical research to application development. This is the Fourth Issue of Volume Seven of IJIP. The Journal is published bi-monthly, with papers being peer reviewed to high international standards. -
Internal Displacement in Pakistan
REASSESSING INTERNAL DISPLACEMENT IN SOUTH ASIA REASSESSING INTERNAL DISPLACEMENT IN SOUTH ASIA ii Reassessing Internal Displacement in South Asia The views and opinions entailed in the papers presented at the conference are not essentially of South Asians for Human Rights (SAHR). Published by: South Asians for Human Rights (SAHR) 345/18 Kuruppu Road, (17/7 Kuruppu Lane) Colombo 08, Sri Lanka Telephone: +94 11 5549183 Tel/Fax: +94 11 2695910 Email: [email protected] Website: www.southasianrights.org Printed and Published in 2013 All rights reserved. This material is copyright and not for resale, but may be reproduced by any method for teaching purposes. For copying in other circumstances for re-use in other publications or for translation, prior written permission must be obtained from the copyright owner. ISBN: 978-955-1489-15-1 Cover Photograph: Dilshy Banu Printed and bound in Sri Lanka by Wits Originals Reassessing Internal Displacement in South Asia iii Table of Contents Acknowledgements xi Abbreviations xii Introduction 1 AFGHANISTAN 17 Report on the SAHR Afghanistan National Consultation 19 on IDPs Introduction 19 Main Discussion Points 20 General Discussion 25 Recommendations 25 Annexure 27 List of Participants 27 BANGLADESH 31 Background Report - The Internally Displaced People of 33 Bangladesh Introduction 33 Bangladesh and the Internally Displaced People 35 Section I: Climate IDPs 38 Section II: Conflict IDPs 42 Displacement in the CHT Region 42 Displacement of Religious Minorities 51 Section III: The Eviction of Slum-Dwellers and Sex 54 Workers Concluding Remarks 57 iv Reassessing Internal Displacement in South Asia Report on the SAHR Bangladesh National Consultation on 59 IDPs 1. -
Cyclone ‘Vardah ’
Topic of the week for di scussion: 15 th to 21st Dec . 201 6 Topic: Cyclone ‘Vardah ’ Cyclones come in four types: tropical disturbances, tropical depressions, tropical storms and hurricanes. Cyclones are classified according to their size and strength; wind speed is the primary differentiating factor. These storms form in the tropics, and they may arise in the Northern and Southern hemisphere alike. Of the cyclone family, tropical disturbances are the smallest. They have winds under 30 miles per hour (MPH), and produce light rain. Tropical depressions have winds less than 39 MPH and more organized centers. Tropical storms sustain wind speeds between 39 and 74 MPH, while hurricanes are the largest of all cyclones , and they produce winds in excess of 74 MPH. About Cyclone Vardah: Cyclone Vardah hit the Tamil Nadu coast on Monday afternoon, making landfall in Pulicat. The Met office said the cyclonic storm would take about six hours to completely cross on to land, with the landfall taking about two hours. The landfall is when the eye of the storm hits land . The eye of Cyclone Vardah is 15 km in diameter and it hit the coast at a wind speed of 130 to 150 kmph , bringing with it heavy rain. The weatherman has said the cyclone, classified as "severe" and not "very severe" will inundate low lying areas. It has followed closely on the heels of Cyclone Nada also in the Bay of Bengal, which hit the Tamil Nadu coast only last week. Vardah, which means red rose, was named by Pakistan. The name of cyclones in the Indian Ocean Region are decided by the member countries, which are India, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, Topic Thailand, Myanmar, Maldives and Oman. -
Model for Simulating Typhoons
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 14, 2179–2187, 2014 www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/14/2179/2014/ doi:10.5194/nhess-14-2179-2014 © Author(s) 2014. CC Attribution 3.0 License. The efficiency of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model for simulating typhoons T. Haghroosta1, W. R. Ismail2,3, P. Ghafarian4, and S. M. Barekati5 1Center for Marine and Coastal Studies (CEMACS), Universiti Sains Malaysia, 11800 Minden, Pulau Pinang, Malaysia 2Section of Geography, School of Humanities, Universiti Sains Malaysia, 11800 Minden, Pulau Pinang, Malaysia 3Centre for Global Sustainability Studies, Universiti Sains Malaysia, 11800 Minden, Pulau Pinang, Malaysia 4Iranian National Institute for Oceanography and Atmospheric Science, Tehran, Iran 5Iran Meteorological Organization, Tehran, Iran Correspondence to: T. Haghroosta ([email protected]) Received: 18 December 2013 – Published in Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss.: 14 January 2014 Revised: – – Accepted: 29 July 2014 – Published: 26 August 2014 Abstract. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) 1 Introduction model includes various configuration options related to physics parameters, which can affect the performance of the model. In this study, numerical experiments were con- Numerical weather forecasting models have several configu- ducted to determine the best combination of physics param- ration options relating to physical and dynamical parameter- eterization schemes for the simulation of sea surface tem- ization; the more complex the model, the greater variety of peratures, latent heat flux, sensible heat flux, precipitation physical processes involved. For this reason, there are several rate, and wind speed that characterized typhoons. Through different physical and dynamical schemes which can be uti- these experiments, several physics parameterization options lized in simulations.