The Arizona Skeptic A Journal Promoting Critical Thinking Volume 6, Issue 1 July/August 1992 question, we should have expected an Science and Dianetics event which was incompatible with the By Jeff Jacobsen theory-an event which· would have L.Ron Hubbard constantly makes the ·claim that refuted the theory. dianetics is a "scientific fact." In fact, he makes that (3) Every "good" scientific theory is a claim 35 times in Dianetics. For example, "All our prohibition: it forbids certain things to facts are functional and these facts are scientific facts, happen. The more.a theory forbids, the supported wholly and completely by laboratory evidence" better it is; (p. 96). Hubbard shows that he highly regards correct (4) A theory which is not refutable by any scientific ·experimentation by carefully hedging his conceivable event is non-scientific. approval of another scientific ··experiment done by Irrefutability is not a virtue of a theory (as someone else. This test was conducted in a hospital to people often think) but a vice. see whether unattended children became sick more often (5) Every genuine test of a theory is an than attended children. "The test. .. seems to have been attempt to falsify it, or to refute it. conducted with proper controls" (p. 143), he cautiously Testability is : some theories states, not having apparently seen the entire written are more testable, more exposed to report. refutation, than others; they take, as it In The Phoenix Lectures, Hubbard is also critical of were, greater risks. the early psychiatric work of Wundt in the latter<1800s: (6) Confirming evidence should not count "Scientific methodology was actually not,· there and then, except when it is the result ofa genuine immediately classified... what they did was unregulated, test of the theory; and this means that it uncontrolled, wildcat experiments, fuddling .• around can be presented as a serious but collecting enonnous quantities ofdata...u t unsuccessful attempt to falsify the theory. 1· am similarly cautious about Hubbard's (I now speak in such cases of experiments, especially since there seems to be no record "corroborating evidence.") of how they were done, what exactly the results were, (7) Some genuinely testable theories, when what kind of control group was used, whether the found to be false, are still upheld by their experiments were double blind, how many subjects there admirers-for example by introducing ad werein eachexperiment, and other pertinent data..I have hoc some auxiliary assumption, or by re­ asked· ranking Scientologists for this data, and have interpreting the theory ad hoc in such a fervently searched for it myself, and have yet to see·it. way that it escapes refutation. Such a This brings up the question of whether Hubbard can call procedure is always possible, but it his original research science. rescues the theory from refutation only at And, in keeping with the need to understand each the price of destroying, or at least word we use, it brings up the question of just what lowering, its scientific status.2 science is. What does it take for someone to The falsifiability approach is a good one, because no legitimately make the claim that his ideas are theory can be proven as a fact unless every case possible scientifically proven? When can something· be called a is individually example to see that it applies to every scientific fact? possible case. For example, a popular example of a As with many subjects in life, the deeper one looks "fact" in science classrooms of the 19th century was that into science, the murkier it gets. There is not even one "all swans are white." This was, however, shown to be single agreed-upon definition for science in the scientific untrue when a variety of swan in South America was community. Those people who seek to establish a discovered to be black. This .''fact'' was proven wrong by unifying definition are dealing in what is called the a previously unknown exception to the rule, and this philosophy of science. One of the most respected and example points out that it is never. entirely possible to most influential of these is Karl Popper. Popper claims prove a theory in the positive without examining every that no theory can be called scientific unless it is possible case of. that theory. (It is, of course, not falsifiable, that is, unless it can be demonstrated that possible to completely falsify many theories also, but deliberate attempts to prove a theory wrong are for the sake of brevity I would refer the reader to unsuccessful. Thus, a theory must open itself up to Popper's Logic of Scientific Discovery for further criticism from the scientific community to see whether it arguments on this subject.)3 can withstand critical scrutiny. Let us go now momentarily to one of Hubbard's Popper's formulation for scientific validation is: scientific claims: (1) It is easy to obtain confirmations, or Its [the reactive mind's] identity can now verifications, for nearly every theory-if be certified by any technician in any clinic we look for confumations. or in any group ofmen. Two hundred and (2) Confirmations should count only if they seventy-three individuals have been are the result of risky predictions; that is examined and treated, representing all the to say, if, unenlightened by the theory in 2 The Arizona Skeptic July/August 1992

various types .Qf inorganic mental illness audited. The experiment was carefully laid out according and· the many varieties of psychosomatic to dianetic theory and was at all times done under the ills. In each one this reactive mind was cooperation and suggestions ofthe Foundation. found operating, its principles unvaried.4 The subject· was knocked unconscious with .75 After the brief discussion previously of science, we grams of sodium pentathol by Dr. A. Davis, M.D., who can begin to question Hubbard's claim to scientific is one of the authors of the experiment. Whellthe validity. Exactly who were these 273 people? Were subject was found to be unconscious, Mr. Lebovits was they believers in Hubbard's. theories or a representative left alone with the subject while two recording devices sample of the public at large? Exactly how was the recorded the session..••.. Mr. Lebovits read a 35-word experiment conducted that proved the existence of the section of a physics book to the subject, administering reactive mind? This needs to be known so others can try pain during the reading of the last 18 words. He then left it to test for variables that Hubbard may have the room, and the patient was allowed to rest for another overlooked, to see ifhis experiment produced a statistical hour, at which time he was awakened. fluke, and to help in conducting experiments to try to Two days. later, the professional auditors from the disprove the theory. The more times an experiment is Dianetic Research Founda.tion began to audit the subject, conducted, the more likely it is shown·· to be true, trying to elicit the engram, or recording of the keeping in mind of course that no matter how many experiment that according to dianetic theory resided in the times an expedition went looking for white swans, "it subject's reactive mind. would find them, so long as they didn't go to South The auditors did elicit several possible passages from America. the subject and supplied these to the experimenters. The Was Hubbard seeking confirmation in his results were that "Comparison with the selected passage experiments or was he attempting to refute his theory, as shows that none of the above-quoted phrases, nor any Popper suggests a true man of science would do? other phrases quoted in the report, bear any relationship Designing a test that will provide confmnation of a at all to the selected passage. Since the reception of the thesis is not difficult. frrst interim report, in November 1950, the experimenter tried frequently and repeatedly to obtain further reports, A Real Experiment Comes Up Dry but so far without·success."g Hubbard does mention an experiment to perfonn that can The experimenters concluded by stating that while prove the existence ofengrams: their test case was only one subject, they felt that the If you care to make the experiment, you experiment was well done and strongly suggested that the can take a man, render him "unconscious," engranl bypothesiswasnot validated. I know of no hurt him and give him information. By other scientifically valid experimentbesides this one by Dianetic technique, no matter what non-dianeticists which attempted to prove Hubbard's infonnation you gave him, it can be engram theory. recovered. This experiment should not be There is one point I consider the most damning to carelessly conducted because you might Hubbard's attempt to cloak dianetics in scientific render him insane.5 (emphasis in validity. While he seems to be inviting others to original) conduct their own investigations (and thus seems to be Three researchers at the University of California, open to attempts to refute his claims), he never explains Los Angeles, decided in 1950 to give this experiment a his own experimental methods, thus closing the door to the scientific community's ability to verify his claims. try.6 If an individual should be placed, by some In order to evaluate Hubbard's claims, the scientific means of [sic] other, into an unconscious community would seek to replicate his experiments to state, then, according to traditional see if the same results were obtained and to check for psychology, no retention of the events possible influences on the experiment Hubbard may have occurring about him should take place and overlooked. They would also, as Popper suggests, try to consequently, no reports of such events shoot holes in the.theory,·either·on a logical basis or by can be elicited from the individual, no conductingrefutational experiments. matter what methods ofelicitation are If Hubbard really respected science, he would employed (hypothesis I). According to welcome and help the •• scientific community in its dianetics, retention should take place with attempts to both support and refute his theories. But he high fidelity and, therefore an account of and his successors in Dianetics and Scientology refuse to the events can be elicited by means of join in scientific debate over the merits of his ideas, maintaining a dogmatic rather than scientific stance. My dianetic auditing (hypothesis 11).7 attempts to get the experiments .from the Church of The Dianetic Research Foundation of Los Angeles Scientology have been in vain. I.have never heard of cooperated with the experimenters by providing a subject anyone who has seen them, nor even anyone who and several qualified auditors. The subject was a 3O-year­ claimed to know how they were conducted. It is mainly old male who worked for the foundation and was for this reason, I believe, that dianetics cannot claim considered a good .candidate for the experiment by the scientific validity. Until Hubbard's supposed original foundation since he had "sonic" recall and had been July/August 1992 The Arizona Skeptic 3 experiments are released to the public, dianetics can only be called science fiction. A Healthy Dose. of Sarsaparilla As a footnote, the only reference I found to By Jerome L.Cosyn Hubbard's actual notes on any original experiments was Hanging in my living room is an advertising poster from on a taped lecture by Hubbard in 1950. He stated at that sometime in the late 18008. It hangs in my house time that "my records are in. little notebooks, scribbles, largely because of the wonderful. artwork: a lovely, in pencil most of them. Nam.es and addresses are lost... angelic, round-cheeked young girl, with blue. eyes and there was a chaotic picture..." A certain Ms. Benton curly blonde tresses and rosebud lips. A vision of asked Hubbard for his notes to validate his research, but virginal Victorian virtue, the epitome of youthful when she saw them, "she finally threw up her hands in innocence and beauty, a paragon of health and rectitude, horror and started in on the project [validation] clean.,,9 If she gazes serenely into the distance, head turned slightly this is the type of material Hubbard was basing his to profile in a posture that conveys wonder and hope and "scientific facts" on, then there· is probably no need to a guileless and immaculate strength. .Pride without even see them to be ···able to·· reject them with good arrogance. Innocence without gullibility. A slight flush conscience. ofrose in her cheeks reveals her energetic enthusiasm for life, for this child faces each new day with eager Notes confidence. Her eyes betray no hint of worry or guilt or fear; she has never known pain or disease or suffering. 1L. Ron Hubbard, (Los Angeles: The ]Jhoenix Lectures In this painting is encapsulated everything the white Bridge Publications, 1982), p. 203. Anglo-Saxon Victorian American parent could possibly 2Karl Popper, Conjectures and. Refutations: The Growth hope for his children. The artist-totally unknown, of ofScientific/

But, even if they had been left uncorrected, these "Radiative Processes and the Generation ofUFO problems would be relatively minor. Combatting Cult Experiences." International UFO Reporter Mind Control is well written, often fascinating, and 14(5, 1989):9-11, 23. provides a wealth of information on the nature and "CriticalComments About Earth Lights and the TST." practices of destructive cults. It belongs .on· the Journal o!UFO Studies (n.s.) 2(1990):144-146. bookshelf of every skeptic with an interest in cults; and "The TST: Down for the Count" Journalo!UFO it should provide hope to anyone with a loved one in the Studies (n.s.) 2(1990):166-168. grip of a cult. Other Critical .Works Chaz Bufe is the author ofAlcoholics Anonymous: Cult Mauge, C. "Persinger's Tectonic Strain Theory: or Cure? (reviewed in AS, January/February 1992)and Strengths and Weaknesses." Magonia no. 24, presently lives in Tucson. This review is reprinted, with November 1986, pp. 13-18. permission of the author, from The Match I, Summer Campbell, S. "Lights of Fancy." Probe Report 3(4, 1992, pp. 33-35. A slightly different version also April 1983). appeared in the Bay Area Skeptics' newsletter, BASIS, Campbell, S. "UFO Data" (letter) New Scientist November 1991, pp. 3, 5. (September 15, 1983):799. Campbell, S. "UFOs and Faults." (letter) New Scientist Michael Persinger and Tectonic (October 20, 1983):217. Strain Theory By Jim Lippard Book Review The MarchiApril Arizona Skeptic printed my review of Logic and Contemporary Rhetoric by Howard Sp(1ce-Time Transients and Unusual Events by Michael Kahane A.Persinger and Gyslaine F. Lafreniere, a 1977 book 1992, 6th edition, Wadsworth, 350 pp. which attempted to find· correlations between various Reviewed by Jim Lippard alleged anomalies, finding .significant correlations I have been teaching logic and critical thinking courses at between such events and solar and geophysical forces. In the University of Arizona for the last few years and have that review, I called this alleged correlation "interesting" tried a number of different approaches and textbooks in and. stated that it "deserves further investigation," while each. For logic, my favorite book has been Howard expressing some reservations about some of Persinger's Kahane's Logic and Philosophy: A Modern Introduction. data. As it turns out, Persinger's theory, known as As a result, after teaching critical thinking three times "tectonic strain theory". or TST, pas been subjected to previously with different texts each time, none of them further investigation. What foIIows is a bibliography quite t("{my satisfaction, I decided to try Kahane's book assembled by Chris Rutkowski of the Royal designed for critical thinking courses, Logic and Astronomical Society <9f Canada at the University of Contemporary Rhetoric. I believe I've found a winner. Manitoba, who has himself published a number ofworks A disadvantage of some critical thinking texts is that critical of Persinger (see below). the authors sometimes don't seem well-versed in logic. Rutkowski's Work . Kahane, the author of a popular·(and entertaining) logic "Geophysical Variables and Human Behavior: XVI. text, doesn't suffer from this problem. Logic and Some Criticisms." Perceptual and Motor Skills Contemporary Rhetoric is well organized, filled with up­ 58(1984):840-842. to-date and relevant examples (including some from the "Geophysical Variables and Behavior: XXXIV. Further ), and is enjoyable to read as well as to Comments." .Perceptual and Motor Skills teach from. My students appear to be enjoying the book 63(1986):18. as well. "Earthlights, earthquakes, UFOs and the TST; or, Who The nine chapters of the book give the reader an is.Michael Persinger and Why is He Saying introduction to arguments and reasoning, a classification Those Things About MeT' International UFO of forms of fallacious· reasoning, a discussion of Reporter 11(1, 1986):4-8. impediments to cogent reasoning such as , "Explaining Everything with the TST: A Response to prejudice, and self-deception, and a discussion of the use Paul Devereux." International UFO Reporter and misuse of language. Three chapters address specific 11(6,1986):22. forums of argument: advertising, the news media, and "UFOs as Natural Phenomena" In Evans, H. & school· textbooks. Examples in the book address such Spencer, J., eds. UFOs 1947-1987: The 40­ issues as the and fringe sciences, political and Year Searchfor an Explanation. London: economic issues, scientific controversies, .and. more. Fortean Tomes, 1987, pp. 273-279. Still more examples are drawn from cartoon sources such "Geophysical Alternatives." In Spencer, J. & Evans, H., as Doonesburyand Calvin and Hobbes, each illustrating eds. Phenomenon. London: Futura, 1988, pp. some particular in a memorable way. 301-307. This book is highly recommended for all skeptics; (with Marc del Bigio) ''UFOs and Cancer?" Canadian my only reservation is its excessive price (almost $30 Medical Association Journal 140(June 1, for a paperback). Given the price, it is probably 1989):1258-1259. worthwhile to look for previous editions at used bookstores that deal in college texts. July/August 1992 The Arizona Skeptic 7

completed newsletter. The bottleneck in the production Book Review is getting copies made, folding and stapling them, and Sai Baba's : An Overview edited by mailing them off. If you would like to volunteer your Dale Beyerstein labor (copying, staples, and stamps are paid for out of 1992, privately .. published, 128 pp.,$10 the Phoenix Skeptics' account) to get the newsletters out Reviewed by Jim Lippard in a more timely manner, please contact the Phoenix Dale Beyerstein, a philosophy professor active in the Skeptics or the newsletter editor. British Columbia Skeptics and co-editor (with his Applications are also being accepted for the position brother Barry) of the recent Prometheus book.The Write of editor, to take over the job sometime in 1993. Stuff, has assembled a fascinating look at the alleged miraculous powers of Indian guru Sai Baba.. The book Electronic Version of the simply takes Sai Baba's claims one at a tiIne, quoting Newsletter from books by his followers, and then. examines the ASCII text versions of the Arizona Skeptic are available evidence produced by investigations of his critics. Sai beginning with volume 5, number 1 (July/August Baba claims to be omniscient and omnipotent, to have 1991). They are presently available for download from resurrected the dead, to have telepathic powers, to have GEnie's PSI-NET area and the Cleveland Freenet materialized objects from nothing, and to have fulfilled Skeptics SIG. If you would like ASCII versions of the ancient prophecies ofboth the Bible and the Koran. newsletter to upload to .local bulletin boards or other Beyerstein's book shows discrepancies between commercial services such as CompuServe or Prodigy, accounts ofSai Baba's followers, internal inconsistencies you may obtain them by sending a 3.5-inch diskette to in Sai Baba's claims, and presents plausible explanations the editor at P.O. Box 42172, Tucson, AZ 85733 (send for every alleged in this book. In one case, a either a disk mailer and postage or an S.A.S.E.) or, if materialization which Sai Baba performed before a you have Internet access, by sending email to camera exhibits strong evide"!}ce of sleight-of-hand. The [email protected] (or [email protected]). videotape is available from Sai Baba's followers. . Also available is an index (by author and by subject) to The book is in a format which makes both easy all published issues of The Arizona Skeptic. Specify reading and quick reference (should Sai Baba begin to Macintosh or MS-DOS format. Subsequent issues will gain a following in the southwestern U.S.; apparently he become available as they are published; issues prior to has followers in Canada). There are a fair number of volume 5 may also become available in the future. typographical errors, put this is certainly forgiveable in light of the nature oithe publication (5.5-inchhy 8.5­ Upcoming Meetings inch, laserprinted with cardstock cover, self-published). The Phoenix Skeptics will meet at the Jerry's Restaurant Copies of the book may be obtained from Dale on Rural/Scottsdale Road between McKellips and the Beyerstein, Apt. A, 1267 W. 70th Ave., Vancouver, BC river bottom, with lunch at 12:30 on the frrst Saturday V6P 2Y4, Canada. ofeach month except where it conflicts with a holiday. The September meeting will be on the second Media Update Saturday, the 12th. The scheduled speaker is Chaz Bufe, Jeff Jacobsen's previous contribution to the Arizona author of Alcoholics Anonymous: Cult or Cure? Skeptic, "Dianetics: From Out of the Blue?" (AS, (reviewed in AS, JanuarylFebmary 1992). September/October 1991) was reprinted in the British and Irish skeptics' magazine, The Skeptic (vol. 6, no. 2). Articles of Note Jim Lippard has recently been criticizing creationism Jacob Cohen, "Yes, Oswald Alone Killed Kennedy," before a largely creationist audience in two radio debates Commentary 93(June 1992):32-40. A look at the on Christian station KVOI 690 AM in Tucson. The movie JFK and the case against multiple gunmen in debates were both with Monty Wyss, head of the Tucson the Kennedy assassination. Association of Creationists and principal of Tucson David H. Freedman, "A Chaotic Cat Takes a Swipe at Christian School, and took place on June 12 (for one Quantum Mechanics," Science 253(August 9, hour) and July 7 (for two hours). The debates were taped 1991):626. Joseph Ford of Georgia Tech claims to (though only the flfst 90 minutes of the July 7 debate), have found a flaw in quantum theory. When a and copies may be obtained by sending blank cassettes physical system called Arnol'd's cat is transformed and S.A.S.E. (with appropriate postage) to Jim Lippard from classical theory to quantum theory and back, at P.O. Box 42172, Tucson, AZ 85733. Also see the its chaotic aspect is lost, and that's not supposed to Margaret Niel article listed in "Articles of Note," this happen. This is just in theory, but Ford thinks he issue. can come up with a physical experiment which will demonstrate that quantum mechanics is wrong. Newsletter Production Volunteers Herbert Lindee, " Lights of ," Skeptical Needed Inquirer 16(Summer 1992):4Q0-406. Lindee offers a As you have no doubt noticed, this publication has not possible solution to mystery lights seen in Marfa been arriving to your mailbox on time. This is not and Saratoga, Texas (see also the two articles on the because of lack of material, or even because of lack of a Marfa lights in A.S, ~ay/June 1992; Lindee's 8 The Arizona Skeptic July/August 1992

solution is not compatible with James Long's Christian paper) 5(June 1992):21-22. A fairly description of the lights.be saw). objective (considering .. the source) examination of Pamela Lister, "A Skeptic's Guide to· ," some. creationist arguments and. evidence against Redbook (July 1992):102.. A semi-skeptical look at them, though it doesn't present any of the evidence readings in a.surprising place. Most for evolution, despite the fact. tbat much was given magazines. in this genre are regular purveyors of to the writer in a taped. two-hour.. interview. The , numerology, and holistic medicine; it is July 1992 issue of the newspaper prints a letter from gratifying to see some spaGe given to . Jim Lippard in response to this article. Charles C. Mann, "Extinction: Are Ecologists Crying Edward Sorel, "Religion in the News," The Nation WoIn" Science 253(August 16,1991):736-738. An 254(June22,1992):847. This one-page collection article which discusses some difficulties which arise of newsclippings (no sources given) and Sorel in estimating the number of species and their rate of cartoons ..•.• includes one claiming .that Moscow extinction, which generally supports the case made University has named abuilding after L. Ron by Julian Simon (AS, MarchlApril1992, pp. 4-5). Hubbard, given him an honorary (and posthumous) Margaret Niel, "The Timeless Debate: Evolution vs. Doctor ofLiterature degree, and will be publishing a Creation," Good News (Tucson evangelical Russian-language edition ofDianetics.

The Arizona Skeptic is the official publication of the Phoenix Skeptics and the.Tucson Skeptical Society (ruSKS). The Phoenix Skeptics is a non-profit scientific and educational organization with the following goals: 1. to subject claims of the paranormal, , and fringe sciences to the test of science, logic, and common sense; 2. to act as clearinghouse for factual and scientific infonnation about the paranormal; and.3. to promote critical thinking and the . The contents of The· Arizona ~ are copyright © 1992 by the Phoenix Skeptics unless otherwise noted. Material in this publication with Phoenix Skeptics copyright may be reprinted provided that The Arizona Skeptic and the author are provided copies of the publication in which their work is reprinted. Address all correspondence to the Phoenix Skeptics, P.O. Box 62792, Phoenix, A'Z 85082-2792. Submissions for publication inne Arizona Skeptic may be sent to Jim Lippard, P.O. Box 42172, Tucson, AZ 85733 or . electronically to [email protected]. All manuscripts become the property ofthe Phoenix Skeptics, which retains the right to edit them. Subscription rate is $12.50 per year.

Phoenix Skeptics P.O. Box 62792 Phoenix, AZ 85082-2792