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Alueelliset Kehitysnäkymät Syksyllä 2012 Alueelliset Kehitysnäkymät Syksyllä 2012

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Alueelliset Kehitysnäkymät Syksyllä 2012 Alueelliset Kehitysnäkymät Syksyllä 2012 Alueelliset kehitysnäkymät syksyllä 2012 Alueelliset kehitysnäkymät syksyllä 2012 Alueelliset kehitysnäkymät Jouko Nieminen 2/2012 TEM:N JA ELY-KESKUSTEN JULKAISU Julkaisusarjan nimi ja tunnus Käyntiosoite Postiosoite Alueelliset kehitysnäkymät Aleksanterinkatu 4 PL 32 Puhelin (09) 16001 00170 HELSINKI 00023 VALTIONEUVOSTO Telekopio (09) 1606 3666 2/2012 Tekijät (toimielimestä: nimi, puheenjohtaja, sihteeri) Julkaisuaika 5.9.2012 Jouko Nieminen Kehittämispäällikkö Toimeksiantaja(t) Varsinais-Suomen ELY-keskus Työ- ja elinkeinoministeriö Toimielimen asettamispäivä Julkaisun nimi Alueelliset kehitysnäkymät 2/2012 Tiivistelmä Katsaus on ELY-keskusten yhdessä keskeisten aluekehittäjien kanssa muodostama näkemys seutukuntien ja ELY- keskusalueiden nykytilasta ja lähiajan näkymistä. Aiemmin katsaus tunnettiin nimellä Alueelliset talousnäkymät, jota on laadittu vuodesta 2006 alkaen. Tämän katsauksen arviot on tuotettu kuluvan vuoden kesän aikana. Alueiden tulevaisuuden näkymät ovat entistä varovaisemmat. Kasvua odottavia alueita on aiempaa vähemmän, yleisimmin odotetaan tilanteen säilyvän kutakuinkin nykyisellä tasolla. Seuraavan kuuden kuukauden päähän ulot- tuvissa arvioissa on heikkenevää kehitystä odottavia alueita hieman enemmän kuin paranevaa kehitystä odottavia alueita. Vuoden päähän ulottuvissa arvioissa on jo hieman enemmän optimismia. Työttömyys on kehittynyt odotettua huonompaan suuntaan. Lähitulevaisuudessa työttömyyden odotetaan pysytte- levän suurimmassa osassa alueita nykyisellä tasollaan, mutta monilla alueilla työttömyys kasvaa ja työttömyyden rakenne vaikeutuu. Alueiden voimakkaat rakennemuutokset jatkuvat. Erityisesti Salon seudulla lähitulevaisuus on vaikea Nokian suur- ten irtisanomisten johdosta. Nokian irtisanomiset kohdistuvat voimakkaina myös Ouluun, pääkaupunkiseudulle sekä Tampereelle. Voimakasta työttömyyden nousua odotetaan myös Raaseporin ja Turunmaan seutukunnissa. Myön- teinen poikkeus on Vakka-Suomi, jossa näkymät ovat valoisia. Kaivostoiminta jatkuu edelleen kasvualana, mikä hyödyttää varsinkin Pohjois- ja Itä-Suomea. Uusiutuvaan energi- aan kohdistuu suuria toiveita ja alan investointien uskotaan lähtevän monilla alueilla liikkeelle. Myönteistä on myös meriteollisuuden kohentunut tilanne. Kaupassa ja palveluissa odotukset ovat tasaantumassa ja kovin investointi- vauhti hiljenemässä. Matkailualan vire pysyy hyvänä ennen muuta venäläisten matkailijoiden myötä. TEM:n yhdyshenkilö: Tieto-osasto/Toimialapalvelu/Esa Tikkanen, s-posti: esa.tikkanen(at)tem.fi, puh. 02950 040 5459 ELY-keskuksen yhdyshenkilö: Jouko Nieminen; jouko.nieminen(at)ely-keskus.fi, puh 0295 022 769 Asiasanat Seutukuntien kehitysnäkymät, aluetalous, ennakointi, aluekehitys, elinkeinoelämä, työllisyys ISSN ISBN 1799-2664 978-952-227-682-7 Kokonaissivumäärä Kieli Hinta 242 Suomi - Julkaisija Kustantaja Työ- ja elinkeinoministeriö Sisällysluettelo Saatteeksi ............................................................................................................ 7 Yhteenveto .......................................................................................................... 9 ELY-keskusten alueittaiset yhteenvedot .......................................................... 11 Uudenmaan ELY-keskus ................................................................................... 19 Helsingin seutukunta .............................................................................................. 21 Raaseporin seutukunta .......................................................................................... 24 Porvoon seutukunta ............................................................................................... 26 Loviisan seutukunta................................................................................................ 27 Varsinais-Suomen ELY-keskus ......................................................................... 29 Turun seutukunta ................................................................................................... 32 Salon seutukunta.................................................................................................... 34 Loimaan seutukunta ............................................................................................... 36 Vakka-Suomen seutukunta .................................................................................... 39 Turunmaan seutukunta .......................................................................................... 41 Satakunnan ELY-keskus .................................................................................... 44 Porin seutukunta .................................................................................................... 48 Rauman seutukunta ............................................................................................... 50 Pohjois-Satakunta .................................................................................................. 53 Pirkanmaan ELY-keskus .................................................................................... 56 Tampereen seutukunta .......................................................................................... 59 Etelä-Pirkanmaan seurukunta ................................................................................ 61 Ylä-Pirkanmaan seutukunta ................................................................................... 63 Lounais-Pirkanmaan seutukunta ............................................................................ 65 Luoteis-Pirkanmaan seutukunta ............................................................................ 68 Hämeen ELY-keskus ........................................................................................... 70 Lahden seutukunta ................................................................................................. 73 Heinolan seutu (1.1.2010 osana Lahden seutukuntaa) ......................................... 75 Hämeenlinnan seutukunta...................................................................................... 77 Riihimäen seutukunta ............................................................................................. 80 Forssan seutukunta ................................................................................................ 81 Kaakkois-Suomen ELY-keskus ........................................................................ 84 Kouvolan seutukunta .............................................................................................. 90 Kotkan–Haminan seutukunta ................................................................................. 92 Imatran seutukunta................................................................................................. 94 Lappeenrannan seutukunta.................................................................................... 96 Etelä-Savon ELY-keskus .................................................................................... 99 Mikkelin seutukunta ................................................................................................ 104 Pieksämäen seutukunta ......................................................................................... 106 Savonlinnan seutukunta ......................................................................................... 109 Pohjois-Savon ELY-keskus ................................................................................ 112 Kuopion seutukunta................................................................................................ 116 Varkauden seutukunta ............................................................................................ 120 Ylä-Savon seutukunta ............................................................................................ 123 Koillis-Savon seutukunta ........................................................................................ 125 Sisä-Savon seutukunta .......................................................................................... 127 ALUEELLISET KEHITYSNÄKYMÄT 2/2012 TEM:N JA ELY-KESKUSTEN JULKAISU 5 Pohjois-Karjalan ELY-keskus ............................................................................ 130 Joensuun seutukunta ............................................................................................. 136 Keski-Karjalan seutukunta...................................................................................... 140 Pielisen Karjalan seutukunta .................................................................................. 142 Keski-Suomen ELY-keskus ................................................................................ 145 Jyväskylän seutukunta ........................................................................................... 149 Jämsän seutukunta ................................................................................................ 152 Keuruun seutukunta ............................................................................................... 155 Joutsan seutukunta ................................................................................................ 157 Saarijärven-Viitasaaren seutukunta ....................................................................... 159 Äänekosken seutukunta ......................................................................................... 162 Etelä-Pohjanmaan ELY-keskus ......................................................................... 165 Suupohjan seutukunta...........................................................................................
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