atmosphere Article Sensitivity of Microphysical Schemes on the Simulation of Post-Monsoon Tropical Cyclones over the North Indian Ocean Gundapuneni Venkata Rao 1, Keesara Venkata Reddy 1 and Venkataramana Sridhar 2,* 1 Department of Civil Engineering, National Institute of Technology Warangal, Telangana 506004, India;
[email protected] (G.V.R.);
[email protected] (K.V.R.) 2 Department of Biological Systems Engineering, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Blacksburg, VA 24061, USA * Correspondence:
[email protected] Received: 11 November 2020; Accepted: 30 November 2020; Published: 30 November 2020 Abstract: Tropical Cyclones (TCs) are the most disastrous natural weather phenomenon, that have a significant impact on the socioeconomic development of the country. In the past two decades, Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models (e.g., Advanced Research WRF (ARW)) have been used for the prediction of TCs. Extensive studies were carried out on the prediction of TCs using the ARW model. However, these studies are limited to a single cyclone with varying physics schemes, or single physics schemes to more than one cyclone. Hence, there is a need to compare different physics schemes on multiple TCs to understand their effectiveness. In the present study, a total of 56 sensitivity experiments are conducted to investigate the impact of seven microphysical parameterization schemes on eight post-monsoon TCs formed over the North Indian Ocean (NIO) using the ARW model. The performance of the Ferrier, Lin, Morrison, Thompson, WSM3, WSM5, and WSM6 are evaluated using error metrics, namely Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Square Error (MSE), Skill Score (SS), and average track error.