Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS) Market Overview
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Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS) Market Overview July 18, 2012 Contents . Definitions . Facts & Figures . UAS Budgets and Spending . Trends and Challenges . Future of Unmanned Aerial Systems . Summary and Recommendations . Appendix A: DoD UAS Acquisition Costs . Appendix B: DoD Current and Future Domestic UAS Locations 2 7/18/2012 ©2012 Deltek, Inc. All Rights Reserved Definitions . Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS) . Refers to systems whose components include the necessary equipment, network, and personnel to control an unmanned aircraft . UAS is a broader term that includes equipment, networks, and personnel in addition to Unmanned Aerial Vehicles. Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) . Refers to a powered aerial vehicle that does not carry a human operation, uses aerodynamic forces to provide vehicle life, can fly autonomously or be piloted remotely, can be expendable or recoverable, and can carry a lethal or nonlethal payload . Commonly known as “drones”. In practice, the terms UAS and UAV are often used interchangeably Source: CRS Report R41284, “Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance (ISR) Acquisition: Issues for Congress,” December 27, 2011. 3 7/18/2012 ©2012 Deltek, Inc. All Rights Reserved Facts & Figures . Dept. of Defense (DoD) spending on UAS has increased from $284 million in FY00 to $3.9 billion in FY12 . DoD’s unmanned aircraft inventory increased more than 40-fold from 167 aircraft in 2002 to nearly 7,500 in 2010 . In 2009, DoD completed almost 500,000 UAS flight hours just in support of Operation Enduring Freedom and Operation Iraqi Freedom . In May 2010, unmanned systems surpassed one million flight hours . In November 2010 unmanned systems achieved one million combat hours Sources: CRS Report R41284, “Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance (ISR) Acquisition: Issues for Congress,” December 27, 2011; CRS Report R42136, “Unmanned Aerial Systems,” January 3, 2012; Dept. of Defense, “Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap: FY2011 – 2036.” 4 7/18/2012 ©2012 Deltek, Inc. All Rights Reserved Facts & Figures Source: CRS Report R42136, “Unmanned Aerial Systems,” January 3, 2012. 5 7/18/2012 ©2012 Deltek, Inc. All Rights Reserved DoD Unmanned Systems Budget by Domain $7,200.00 $7,000.00 $6,800.00 $6,600.00 $6,400.00 $6,200.00 $6,000.00 $ Millions $ $5,800.00 $5,600.00 $5,400.00 $5,200.00 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 Maritime $47.41 $113.08 $154.32 $160.94 $165.62 Ground $227.09 $259.83 $261.57 $249.16 $245.96 Air $6,055.36 $5,823.59 $6,049.48 $6,381.47 $6,510.72 Source: Dept. of Defense, “Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap: FY2011 – 2036.” 6 7/18/2012 ©2012 Deltek, Inc. All Rights Reserved DoD Unmanned Aerial Systems Budget Estimates* $7,000.00 $6,000.00 $5,000.00 $4,000.00 $3,000.00 $ Millions $ $2,000.00 $1,000.00 $0.00 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 O&M $1,596.74 $1,631.38 $1,469.49 $1,577.65 $1,825.45 Proc. $3,351.90 $2,936.93 $3,040.41 $3,362.95 $3,389.03 RDT&E $1,106.72 $1,255.29 $1,539.58 $1,440.57 $1,296.35 *Sum of O&M. Proc., and RDT&E values may not equal Air Domain value from previous slide due to rounding. Source: Dept. of Defense, “Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap: FY2011 – 2036.” 7 7/18/2012 ©2012 Deltek, Inc. All Rights Reserved DoD Prime Contract Spend on PSC 1550 – Drones* ($K) $2,500,000 $2,016,079 $2,000,000 $1,464,626 $1,500,000 $1,117,849 $1,000,000 $ Thousands $ $683,231 $951,369 $530,587 $500,000 $336,369 $539,864 $131,358 $290,608 $0 $129,643 * PSC 1550 is not exclusive to unmanned aerial systems. It may also include ground and maritime unmanned systems. Source: GovWin IQ analysis of FPDS contract data. 8 7/18/2012 ©2012 Deltek, Inc. All Rights Reserved DoD Prime Contract Spend on PSC 1550 – Drones* by Component ($K) $1,600,000 $1,400,000 $1,200,000 $1,000,000 $800,000 $600,000 $ Thousands $ $400,000 $200,000 $0 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 USSOCOM $6,003 $16,285 $55,474 $85,754 Air Force $65,534 $32,200 $174,639 $233,430 Navy $40,243 $236,273 $86,737 $201,054 Army $1,006,069 $670,574 $1,152,308 $1,496,240 * PSC 1550 is not exclusive to unmanned aerial systems. It may also include ground and maritime unmanned systems. Source: GovWin IQ analysis of FPDS contract data. 9 7/18/2012 ©2012 Deltek, Inc. All Rights Reserved Top 20 Federal Prime Contractors for PSC 1550 - Drones* ($K) PARENT COMPANY FY08 ($K) FY09 ($K) FY10 ($K) FY11 ($K) TOTAL ($K) GENERAL ATOMICS INTERNATIONAL $204,247 $270,413 $446,462 $660,611 $1,581,732 TEXTRON INC $552,870 $5,904 $464,135 $502,769 $1,525,677 NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORPORATION $180,645 $330,488 $182,641 $258,578 $952,352 AEROVIRONMENT INCORPORATED $93,203 $94,007 $157,155 $247,573 $591,938 COMPOSITE ENGINEERING, INC (CEi) $40,610 $8,825 $71,081 $62,604 $183,120 HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL INC $4,922 $101,266 $22,893 $15,354 $144,436 BOEING COMPANY $692 ($50) $23,297 $90,318 $114,256 ALLIANT TECHSYSTEMS INC (ATK) $13,284 $25,689 $33,591 $38,897 $111,461 BAE SYSTEMS PLC $24,022 $23,196 $28,356 $18,566 $94,141 TCOM, L.P. $30 $44 $13 $88,542 $88,629 ORBITAL SCIENCES CORPORATION $415 $46,277 $31,755 $813 $79,260 INSITU GROUP, THE (INC) (wholly owned subsidiary of Boeing Company) $138 $32,049 $7,851 $29,928 $69,966 L-3 COMMUNICATIONS CORPORATION $4 $6,612 $6,801 ($0) $13,418 RALLY POINT MANAGEMENT, LLC $12,384 $12,384 AEROSTAR INTEGRATED SYSTEMS JV $6,151 $6,151 NEANY, INC $219 $1,974 $3,635 $5,828 AURORA FLIGHT SCIENCES CORP $4,986 $4,986 GICHNER SYSTEMS GROUP INC (a Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc Company) $311 $2,067 $955 $126 $3,458 AEROSTAR INTERNATIONAL, INC $3,206 $3,206 CANADIAN COMMERCIAL CORPORATION (CCC) $1,164 $630 $476 $851 $3,121 * PSC 1550 is not exclusive to unmanned aerial systems. It may also include ground and maritime unmanned systems. Source: GovWin IQ analysis of FPDS contract data. Links require GovWin IQ FPDS Vendor Profiles Subscription. For more info click here 10 7/18/2012 ©2012 Deltek, Inc. All Rights Reserved Top 20 NAICS Associated With PSC 1550 - Drones* ($K) NAICS DESCRIPTION FY08 ($K) FY09 ($K) FY10 ($K) FY11 ($K) TOTAL ($K) 336411 - Aircraft Manufacturing $968,757 $84,443 $1,255,046 $1,755,989 $4,064,236 336410 - Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing $788,248 $788,248 541330 - Engineering Services $112,740 $78,106 $113,500 $49,344 $353,690 336413 - Other Aircraft Parts and Auxiliary Eq Manuf ($576) $96 ($8,910) $170,903 $161,513 336414 - Guided Missile and Space Vehicle Manuf $37,538 $64,910 $55,920 $158,367 334290 - Other Communications Equipment Manuf $51,510 $51,510 611512 - Flight Training $12,384 $12,384 541380 - Testing Laboratories $2,955 $2,955 336412 - Aircraft Engine and Engine Parts Manufacturing $2,330 $2,330 541710 - R&D in the Physical, Engineering, and Life Sciences ($475) $489 $1,477 $257 $1,747 541712 - R&D in the Physical, Engi & Life Sciences (except Biotech) $50 $1,000 $1,050 423410 - Photographic Eqand Supplies Merchant Wholesalers $875 $875 334511 - Search, Detect, Nav, Guid, Aero & Nautical Sys & Instr Manuf $746 $38 $784 326299 - All Other Rubber Product Manufacturing $397 $397 541990 - All Other Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services $41 $121 $163 488190 - Other Support Activities for Air Transportation $95 $95 334515 - Instrument Manuf for Measuring & Testing Elec & Electric Sig $54 $13 ($0) $67 334510 - Nav, Measuring, Electromedical & Control Instruments Manuf $58 $58 339999 - All Other Miscellaneous Manufacturing $49 $49 423860 - Transportation Equipment & Supplies Merchant Wholesalers $25 $25 * PSC 1550 is not exclusive to unmanned aerial systems. It may also include ground and maritime unmanned systems. Source: GovWin IQ analysis of FPDS contract data. 11 7/18/2012 ©2012 Deltek, Inc. All Rights Reserved Top Drone Purchasing Agencies: FY08-FY11 ($K) AGENCY FY08 ($K) FY09 ($K) FY10 ($K) FY11 ($K) TOTAL ($K) Army $1,006,069 $670,574 $1,152,308 $1,496,240 $4,325,190 Navy $40,243 $236,273 $86,737 $201,054 $564,307 Air Force $65,534 $32,200 $174,639 $233,430 $505,803 U.S. Special Operations Command $6,003 $16,285 $55,474 $85,754 $163,515 Customs and Border Protection $1,362 $13,691 $33,995 $49,048 Federal Highway Administration $1,000 $1,000 National Oceanic And Atmospheric Admin $97 $13 $110 Federal Supply Service $24 $16 $39 National Park Service $15 $15 National Aeronautics And Space Admin $12 $12 U.S. Coast Guard $1 $1 * PSC 1550 is not exclusive to unmanned aerial systems. It may also include ground and maritime unmanned systems. Source: GovWin IQ analysis of FPDS contract data. Links require a GovWin IQ Agency Profiles Subscription. For more info click here. 12 7/18/2012 ©2012 Deltek, Inc. All Rights Reserved Drone Program of Record Inventory Levels Planned Through FY2017 Source: Dept. of Defense, “Report to Congress on Future Unmanned Aircraft Systems Training, Operations, and Sustainability,” April 2012. 13 7/18/2012 ©2012 Deltek, Inc. All Rights Reserved Current UAS Missions . Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance (ISR) . Reconnaissance, Surveillance, and Target Acquisition (RSTA) . Electronic Warfare (EW) . Anti-Surface Warfare (ASUW) . Mine Warfare (MIW) . Explosive Ordnance Disposal (EOD) . Force Protection/Strike . Some UAS carry precision-guided weapons to attack ground targets, and more are being weaponized, although this is still adding strike capability to systems originally designed for reconnaissance .