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Photographs included in the original manuscript have been reproduced xerographically in this copy. 35 mm slides or 6" x 9" black and white photographic prints are available for any photographs or illustrations appearing in this copy for an additional charge. Contact UMI directly to order. A ccessing the World'sUMI Information since 1938 300 North Zeeb Road, Ann Arbor, Ml 48106-1346 USA Order Number 8804043 The effect of airline deregulation on air service to small and medium-sized communities: Case studies in Northeastern Ohio Goetz, Andrew Robert, Ph.d. The Ohio State University, 1987 Copyright ©1987 by Goetz, Andrew Robert. All rights reserved. UMI 300 N. Zeeb Rd. Ann Arbor, MI 48106 PLEASE NOTE: In all cases this material has been filmed in the best possible way from the available copy. Problems encountered with this document have been identified here with a check mark V . 1. Glossy photographs or p______ ag es 2. Colored illustrations, paper or print_______ 3. 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Other__________________________________________________________________________ UMI T h e Effect of Airline Deregulation on Air Service to Small and Medium-Sized Communities: Case Studies in Northeastern Ohio DISSERTATION Presented in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree Doctor of Philosophy in the Graduate School of The Ohio State University By Andrew R. Goetz, B.A., M.A. ***** The Ohio State University 1987 Dissertation Committee: Approved by Edward J. Taaffe, Ph.D. Howard L. Gauthier, Ph.D. W. Randy Smith, Ph.D. Philip A. Viton, Ph.D. ___ Edward J. taaffe, A$Viser Department of Geography © C o p y r i g h t by Andrew R. Goetz 1987 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS Thanks must first be given to my dissertation adviser, Dr. Edward J. Taaffe. His insightful comments and willingness to discuss new ideas were critical to the development of this study. I also want to thank Dr. Howard L. Gauthier .for his help and guidance as my curriculum adviser. Thanks are due to Dr. W. Randy Smith and Dr. Philip A. Viton for their help in the preparation of this document, and for serving on my committee. I must also acknowledge the support and inspiration of Dr. Lawrence A. Brown, who played an instrumental role throughout my career at Ohio State. I have appreciated the contributions of Dr. Nawal K. Taneja of the Aviation Department and Dr. Mark R. McCord of the Civil Engineering Department in the course of my transportation studies. The faculty and graduate students in the Department of Geogra phy should all be commended for their contributions to a stimulating academic atmosphere which I was pleased to be associated with. Finally, I would like to express sincere thanks to my family for their continued support and encour agement through the years. VITA August 28, 1958 ...........Born - Cleveland, Ohio 1980 ..................... B.A., Northwestern University, Evanston, Illinois 1981-1983 . ........... Graduate Teaching Assistant, Department of Geography, Kent State University 1984 ..................... M.A., Kent State University, Kent, Ohio 1983-1987.................. Graduate Teaching Associate, Department of Geography, Ohio State University 1987- .................. Assistant Professor, University of Denver, Colorado PUBLICATIONS Brown, Lawrence A. and Goetz, Andrew R. "Development Related Contextual Effects and Individual Attributes in Third World Migration Processes: A Venezuelan Example," DEMOGRAPHY 24 (November 1987): 1-20. FIELDS OF STUDY Major Field: Geography Studies in Transportation Geography, Professors Edward J. Taaffe and Howard L. Gauthier Studies in Urban Geography, Professor W. Randy Smith TABLE OF CONTENTS PAGE ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS............................................ i i VITA .........................................................iii LIST OF FIGURES ...............................................v LIST OF T A B L E S ..............................................vi CHAPTER I. INTRODUCTION ....................................... 1 OUTLINE OF THE S T U D Y ............................. 8 LIMITATIONS OF THE S T U D Y ....................... 12 II. HISTORICAL BACKGROUND AND REVIEW OF LITERATURE 14 HISTORY OF U.S. AIR TRANSPORTATION............14 REVIEW OF IMPACTS ON SMALL COMMUNITY AIR SERVICE ...................................21 III. AGGREGATE ANALYSIS ............................. 27 DATA AND RESEARCH DESIGN ....................... 27 ANALYSIS ..................... ................. 28 Aggregate Analysis by Hub Size Class . 29 Individual City Service Analysis Within Hub Size Classes ............... 33 Large H u b s ................................ 33 Medium H u b s .............................. 34 Small H u b s ................................ 34 III. AGGREGATE ANALYSIS (CONT.) N o n - H u b s ...................................35 Regional Analysis ......................... 38 Small H u b s .................................40 N o n - H u b s ...................................43 CONCLUSIONS ..................................... 48 Assessment of Effects ...................... 48 IV. DISAGGREGATE NONHUB ANALYSIS: AKRON-CANTON CASE S T U D Y ...................................52 THE AKRON-CANTON R E G I O N ....................... 53 THE AKRON-CANTON AIRPORT ..................... 60 ANALYSES ..........................................61 FLIGHT ARRIVAL ANALYSIS .................. 61 Temporal Patterns: 1971-1986 ......... 64 Spatial Patterns ....................... 70 PASSENGER TRAFFIC ANALYSIS .............. 73 Temporal Patterns: 1975-1986 ......... 74 Spatial Patterns: 1975 ................ 77 ANALYSIS OF NONSTOP AND ONE-STOP SERVICE TO AKRON-CANTON: 1977-1986 79 Large H u b s ................................ 82 Medium H u b s .............................. 94 Small H u b s ............................... 101 N o n h u b s ..................................104 SUMMARY AND A S S E S S M E N T S .................. ..107 V. DISAGGREGATE NONHUB ANALYSIS: YOUNGSTOWN CASE STUDY ........................................ 112 THE YOUNGSTOWN REGION ....................... 113 YOUNGSTOWN MUNICIPAL AIRPORT ................ 120 ANALYSES ........................................ 120 FLIGHT ARRIVAL ANALYSIS .................. 121 Relative Temporal Patterns: 1978-1984 121 Temporal Patterns: 1971-1987 ......... 124 Spatial Patterns ............... 128 PASSENGER TRAFFIC ANALYSIS .............. 131 Temporal Patterns: 1971-1987 ......... 131 Spatial Patterns: 1975 ................ 135 ANALYSIS OF NONSTOP AND ONE-STOP SERVICE TO YOUNGSTOWN: 1977-1986 . 138 Large Hubs ........................ 139 Medium H u b s ............................. 145 SUMMARY AND A S S E S S M E N T S ...................... 147 - v - VI. DISAGGREGATE MEDIUM HUB ANALYSIS: CLEVELAND CASE S T U D Y .................. 150 THE CLEVELAND R E G I O N ........................... 151 Population Trends ......................... 151 Economic Trends ............................ 156 CLEVELAND AREA AIRPORTS ...................... 162 ANALYSES ........................................ 163 FLIGHT ARRIVAL ANALYSIS .................. 164 Absolute and Relative Temporal Patterns: 1978-1984 164 Temporal Patterns: 1971-1987 ......... 168 Spatial Patterns: 1975-1987 172 PASSENGER TRAFFIC A N A LYSIS ............... 179 Temporal Patterns: 1971-1986 ......... 179 Spatial Patterns: 1975 ................ 182 ANALYSIS OF NONSTOP AND ONE-STOP SERVICE TO CLEVELAND: 1977-1986 . 185 Large H u b s ............................... 185 Medium H u b s .................. 191 Small H u b s ............................... 195 N o n h u b s ..................................197 SUMMARY AND A S S E S S M E N T S ...................... 200 VII. CONCLUSIONS.........................................203 SUMMARY ........................................ 203 ASSESSMENTS .................................... 206 APPENDICES A. AIR SERVICE STATISTICS FOR LARGE H U B S ........... 211 B'. AIR SERVICE STATISTICS FOR MEDIUM HUBS .... 212 C. AIR SERVICE STATISTICS