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Integrating Spatial, Temporal, and Size Probabilities for the Annual Landslide Hazard Maps in the Shihmen Watershed, Taiwan
Open Access Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 13, 2353–2367, 2013 Natural Hazards www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/13/2353/2013/ doi:10.5194/nhess-13-2353-2013 and Earth System © Author(s) 2013. CC Attribution 3.0 License. Sciences Integrating spatial, temporal, and size probabilities for the annual landslide hazard maps in the Shihmen watershed, Taiwan C. Y. Wu and S. C. Chen Department of Soil and Water Conservation, National Chung-Hsing University, Taichung 40227, Taiwan Correspondence to: S. C. Chen ([email protected]) Received: 23 February 2013 – Published in Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss.: 19 March 2013 Revised: 13 August 2013 – Accepted: 13 August 2013 – Published: 25 September 2013 Abstract. Landslide spatial, temporal, and size probabilities susceptible to landslides, and heavy rainfall during typhoons were used to perform a landslide hazard assessment in this or storms have indeed caused large landslides of loosened study. Eleven intrinsic geomorphological, and two extrinsic soil (Wu and Chen, 2009). Furthermore, climate change en- rainfall factors were evaluated as landslide susceptibility re- larges bare land areas, thereby increasing the frequency of lated factors as they related to the success rate curves, land- landslides in Taiwan (Chen and Huang, 2010). Because of slide ratio plots, frequency distributions of landslide and non- the uncertainties associated with natural disasters, risk man- landslide groups, as well as probability–probability plots. agement is necessary to minimize losses (Chen et al., 2010). Data on landslides caused by Typhoon Aere in the Shihmen In view of the growing emphasis on risk management in dis- watershed were selected to train the susceptibility model. -
Chun-Chieh Wu (吳俊傑) Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University No. 1, Sec. 4, Roosevelt Rd., Taipei 1
Chun-Chieh Wu (吳俊傑) Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University No. 1, Sec. 4, Roosevelt Rd., Taipei 106, Taiwan Telephone & Facsimile: (886) 2-2363-2303 Email: [email protected], WWW: http://typhoon.as.ntu.edu.tw Date of Birth: 30 July, 1964 Education: Graduate: Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Ph.D., Department of Earth Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, May 1993 Thesis under the supervision of Professor Kerry A. Emanuel on "Understanding hurricane movement using potential vorticity: A numerical model and an observational study." Undergraduate: National Taiwan University, B.S., Department of Atmospheric Sciences, June 1986 Recent Positions: Professor and Chairman Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University August 2008 to present Director NTU Typhoon Research Center January 2009 to present Adjunct Research Scientist Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University July 2004 - present Professor Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University August 2000 to 2008 Visiting Fellow Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton University January – July, 2004 (on sabbatical leave from NTU) Associate Professor Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University August 1994 to July 2000 Visiting Research Scientist Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton University August 1993 – November 1994; July to September 1995 1 Awards: Gold Bookmarker Prize Wu Ta-You Popular Science Book Prize in Translation Wu Ta-You Foundation, 2008 Outstanding Teaching Award, National Taiwan University, 2008 Outstanding Research Award, National Science Council, 2007 Research Achievement Award, National Taiwan Univ., 2004 University Teaching Award, National Taiwan University, 2003, 2006, 2007 Academia Sinica Research Award for Junior Researchers, 2001 Memberships: Member of the American Meteorological Society. Member of the American Geophysical Union. -
Dependence of Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecast Performance on Typhoon Characteristics and Forecast Track Error in Taiwan
APRIL 2020 T E N G E T A L . 585 Dependence of Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecast Performance on Typhoon Characteristics and Forecast Track Error in Taiwan HSU-FENG TENG AND JAMES M. DONE National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado CHENG-SHANG LEE Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan YING-HWA KUO National Center for Atmospheric Research, and University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado (Manuscript received 15 August 2019, in final form 7 January 2020) ABSTRACT This study investigates the probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecast (PQPF) performance of ty- phoons that affected Taiwan during 2011–16. In this period, a total of 19 typhoons with a land warning issued by the Central Weather Bureau (CWB) are analyzed. The PQPF is calculated using the ensemble precipi- tation forecast data from the Taiwan Cooperative Precipitation Ensemble Forecast Experiment (TAPEX), and the verification data, verification thresholds, and typhoon characteristics are obtained from the CWB. The overall PQPF performance of TAPEX has an acceptable reliability and discrimination ability, and the higher probability error is distributed at the mountainous area of Taiwan. The PQPF performance is significantly influenced by typhoon characteristics (e.g., typhoon tracks, sizes, and forward speeds). The PQPFs for westward-moving, large, or slow typhoons have higher reliability and discrimination ability, and lower- probability error than those for northward-moving, small, or fast typhoons, except for similar reliability between fast and slow typhoons. Because northward-moving or small typhoons have larger forecast track error, and their PQPF performance is sensitive to the accuracy of the forecast track, a higher probability error occurs than that for westward-moving or large typhoons. -
Understanding Disaster Risk ~ Lessons from 2009 Typhoon Morakot, Southern Taiwan
Understanding disaster risk ~ Lessons from 2009 Typhoon Morakot, Southern Taiwan Wen–Chi Lai, Chjeng-Lun Shieh Disaster Prevention Research Center, National Cheng-Kung University 1. Introduction 08/10 Rainfall 08/07 Rainfall started & stopped gradually typhoon speed decrease rapidly 08/06 Typhoon Warning for Inland 08/03 Typhoon 08/05 Typhoon Morakot warning for formed territorial sea 08/08 00:00 Heavy rainfall started 08/08 12:00 ~24:00 Rainfall center moved to south Taiwan, which triggered serious geo-hazards and floodings Data from “http://weather.unisys.com/” 1. Introduction There 4 days before the typhoon landing and forecasting as weakly one for norther Taiwan. Emergency headquarters all located in Taipei and few raining around the landing area. The induced strong rainfalls after typhoon leaving around southern Taiwan until Aug. 10. The damages out of experiences crush the operation system, made serious impacts. Path of the center of Typhoon Morakot 1. Introduction Largest precipitation was 2,884 mm Long duration (91 hours) Hard to collect the information High intensity (123 mm/hour) Large depth (3,000 mm-91 hour) Broad extent (1/4 of Taiwan) The scale and type of the disaster increasing with the frequent appearance of extreme weather Large-scale landslide and compound disaster become a new challenge • Area:202 ha Depth:84 meter Volume: 24 million m3 2.1 Root Cause and disaster risk drivers 3000 Landslide Landslide (Shallow, Soil) (Deep, Bedrock) Landslide dam break Flood Debris flow Landslide dam form Alisan Station ) 2000 -
The Effect of Typhoon on POC Flux
Discussion Paper | Discussion Paper | Discussion Paper | Discussion Paper | Biogeosciences Discuss., 7, 3521–3550, 2010 Biogeosciences www.biogeosciences-discuss.net/7/3521/2010/ Discussions BGD doi:10.5194/bgd-7-3521-2010 7, 3521–3550, 2010 © Author(s) 2010. CC Attribution 3.0 License. The effect of typhoon This discussion paper is/has been under review for the journal Biogeosciences (BG). on POC flux Please refer to the corresponding final paper in BG if available. C.-C. Hung et al. The effect of typhoon on particulate Title Page Abstract Introduction organic carbon flux in the southern East Conclusions References China Sea Tables Figures C.-C. Hung1, G.-C. Gong1, W.-C. Chou1, C.-C. Chung1,2, M.-A. Lee3, Y. Chang3, J I H.-Y. Chen4, S.-J. Huang4, Y. Yang5, W.-R. Yang5, W.-C. Chung1, S.-L. Li1, and 6 E. Laws J I 1Institute of Marine Environmental Chemistry and Ecology, National Taiwan Ocean University Back Close Keelung, 20224, Taiwan 2Center for Marine Bioscience and Biotechnology, National Taiwan Ocean University Keelung, Full Screen / Esc 20224, Taiwan 3 Department of Environmental Biology and Fisheries Science, National Taiwan Ocean Printer-friendly Version University, 20224, Taiwan 4Department of Marine Environmental Informatics, National Taiwan Ocean University, Interactive Discussion Keelung, 20224, Taiwan 5Taiwan Ocean Research Institute, National Applied Research Laboratories, Taipei, Taiwan 3521 Discussion Paper | Discussion Paper | Discussion Paper | Discussion Paper | BGD 6 Department of Environmental Sciences, School of the Coast and Environment, Louisiana 7, 3521–3550, 2010 State University, Baton Rouge, LA 70803, USA Received: 16 April 2010 – Accepted: 7 May 2010 – Published: 19 May 2010 The effect of typhoon on POC flux Correspondence to: C.-C. -
On the Extreme Rainfall of Typhoon Morakot (2009)
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 116, D05104, doi:10.1029/2010JD015092, 2011 On the extreme rainfall of Typhoon Morakot (2009) Fang‐Ching Chien1 and Hung‐Chi Kuo2 Received 21 September 2010; revised 17 December 2010; accepted 4 January 2011; published 4 March 2011. [1] Typhoon Morakot (2009), a devastating tropical cyclone (TC) that made landfall in Taiwan from 7 to 9 August 2009, produced the highest recorded rainfall in southern Taiwan in the past 50 years. This study examines the factors that contributed to the heavy rainfall. It is found that the amount of rainfall in Taiwan was nearly proportional to the reciprocal of TC translation speed rather than the TC intensity. Morakot’s landfall on Taiwan occurred concurrently with the cyclonic phase of the intraseasonal oscillation, which enhanced the background southwesterly monsoonal flow. The extreme rainfall was caused by the very slow movement of Morakot both in the landfall and in the postlandfall periods and the continuous formation of mesoscale convection with the moisture supply from the southwesterly flow. A composite study of 19 TCs with similar track to Morakot shows that the uniquely slow translation speed of Morakot was closely related to the northwestward‐extending Pacific subtropical high (PSH) and the broad low‐pressure systems (associated with Typhoon Etau and Typhoon Goni) surrounding Morakot. Specifically, it was caused by the weakening steering flow at high levels that primarily resulted from the weakening PSH, an approaching short‐wave trough, and the northwestward‐tilting Etau. After TC landfall, the circulation of Goni merged with the southwesterly flow, resulting in a moisture conveyer belt that transported moisture‐laden air toward the east‐northeast. -
A 65-Yr Climatology of Unusual Tracks of Tropical Cyclones in the Vicinity of China’S Coastal Waters During 1949–2013
JANUARY 2018 Z H A N G E T A L . 155 A 65-yr Climatology of Unusual Tracks of Tropical Cyclones in the Vicinity of China’s Coastal Waters during 1949–2013 a XUERONG ZHANG Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster, Ministry of Education, and International Joint Laboratory on Climate and Environment Change, and Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters, and Pacific Typhoon Research Center, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, and State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China, and Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Science, University of Maryland, College Park, College Park, Maryland YING LI AND DA-LIN ZHANG State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China, and Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Science, University of Maryland, College Park, College Park, Maryland LIANSHOU CHEN State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China (Manuscript received 8 December 2016, in final form 16 October 2017) ABSTRACT Despite steady improvements in tropical cyclone (TC) track forecasts, it still remains challenging to predict unusual TC tracks (UNTKs), such as the tracks of sharp turning or looping TCs, especially after they move close to coastal waters. In this study 1059 UNTK events associated with 564 TCs are identified from a total of 1320 TCs, occurring in the vicinity of China’s coastal waters, during the 65-yr period of 1949–2013, using the best-track data archived at the China Meteorological Administration’s Shanghai Typhoon Institute. These UNTK events are then categorized into seven types of tracks—sharp westward turning (169), sharp eastward turning (86), sharp northward turning (223), sharp southward turning (46), looping (153), rotating (199), and zigzagging (183)—on the basis of an improved UNTK classification scheme. -
Research Article Application of Buoy Observations in Determining Characteristics of Several Typhoons Passing the East China Sea in August 2012
Hindawi Publishing Corporation Advances in Meteorology Volume 2013, Article ID 357497, 6 pages http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/357497 Research Article Application of Buoy Observations in Determining Characteristics of Several Typhoons Passing the East China Sea in August 2012 Ningli Huang,1 Zheqing Fang,2 and Fei Liu1 1 Shanghai Marine Meteorological Center, Shanghai, China 2 Department of Atmospheric Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China Correspondence should be addressed to Zheqing Fang; [email protected] Received 27 February 2013; Revised 5 May 2013; Accepted 21 May 2013 Academic Editor: Lian Xie Copyright © 2013 Ningli Huang et al. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. The buoy observation network in the East China Sea is used to assist the determination of the characteristics of tropical cyclone structure in August 2012. When super typhoon “Haikui” made landfall in northern Zhejiang province, it passed over three buoys, the East China Sea Buoy, the Sea Reef Buoy, and the Channel Buoy, which were located within the radii of the 13.9 m/s winds, 24.5 m/s winds, and 24.5 m/s winds, respectively. These buoy observations verified the accuracy of typhoon intensity determined by China Meteorological Administration (CMA). The East China Sea Buoy had closely observed typhoons “Bolaven” and “Tembin,” which provided real-time guidance for forecasters to better understand the typhoon structure and were also used to quantify the air-sea interface heat exchange during the passage of the storm. -
二零一七熱帶氣旋tropical Cyclones in 2017
176 第四節 熱帶氣旋統計表 表4.1是二零一七年在北太平洋西部及南海區域(即由赤道至北緯45度、東 經 100度至180 度所包括的範圍)的熱帶氣旋一覽。表內所列出的日期只說明某熱帶氣旋在上述範圍內 出現的時間,因而不一定包括整個風暴過程。這個限制對表內其他元素亦同樣適用。 表4.2是天文台在二零一七年為船舶發出的熱帶氣旋警告的次數、時段、首個及末個警告 發出的時間。當有熱帶氣旋位於香港責任範圍內時(即由北緯10至30度、東經105至125 度所包括的範圍),天文台會發出這些警告。表內使用的時間為協調世界時。 表4.3是二零一七年熱帶氣旋警告信號發出的次數及其時段的摘要。表內亦提供每次熱帶 氣旋警告信號生效的時間和發出警報的次數。表內使用的時間為香港時間。 表4.4是一九五六至二零一七年間熱帶氣旋警告信號發出的次數及其時段的摘要。 表4.5是一九五六至二零一七年間每年位於香港責任範圍內以及每年引致天文台需要發 出熱帶氣旋警告信號的熱帶氣旋總數。 表4.6是一九五六至二零一七年間天文台發出各種熱帶氣旋警告信號的最長、最短及平均 時段。 表4.7是二零一七年當熱帶氣旋影響香港時本港的氣象觀測摘要。資料包括熱帶氣旋最接 近香港時的位置及時間和當時估計熱帶氣旋中心附近的最低氣壓、京士柏、香港國際機 場及橫瀾島錄得的最高風速、香港天文台錄得的最低平均海平面氣壓以及香港各潮汐測 量站錄得的最大風暴潮(即實際水位高出潮汐表中預計的部分,單位為米)。 表4.8.1是二零一七年位於香港600公里範圍內的熱帶氣旋及其為香港所帶來的雨量。 表4.8.2是一八八四至一九三九年以及一九四七至二零一七年十個為香港帶來最多雨量 的熱帶氣旋和有關的雨量資料。 表4.9是自一九四六年至二零一七年間,天文台發出十號颶風信號時所錄得的氣象資料, 包括熱帶氣旋吹襲香港時的最近距離及方位、天文台錄得的最低平均海平面氣壓、香港 各站錄得的最高60分鐘平均風速和最高陣風。 表4.10是二零一七年熱帶氣旋在香港所造成的損失。資料參考了各政府部門和公共事業 機構所提供的報告及本地報章的報導。 表4.11是一九六零至二零一七年間熱帶氣旋在香港所造成的人命傷亡及破壞。資料參考 了各政府部門和公共事業機構所提供的報告及本地報章的報導。 表4.12是二零一七年天文台發出的熱帶氣旋路徑預測驗証。 177 Section 4 TROPICAL CYCLONE STATISTICS AND TABLES TABLE 4.1 is a list of tropical cyclones in 2017 in the western North Pacific and the South China Sea (i.e. the area bounded by the Equator, 45°N, 100°E and 180°). The dates cited are the residence times of each tropical cyclone within the above‐mentioned region and as such might not cover the full life‐ span. This limitation applies to all other elements in the table. TABLE 4.2 gives the number of tropical cyclone warnings for shipping issued by the Hong Kong Observatory in 2017, the durations of these warnings and the times of issue of the first and last warnings for all tropical cyclones in Hong Kong's area of responsibility (i.e. the area bounded by 10°N, 30°N, 105°E and 125°E). Times are given in hours and minutes in UTC. TABLE 4.3 presents a summary of the occasions/durations of the issuing of tropical cyclone warning signals in 2017. The sequence of the signals displayed and the number of tropical cyclone warning bulletins issued for each tropical cyclone are also given. -
Utlizing Multi-Scale Remote Sensing Technology for Evalutaing Sediment Disaster in the Catchment Area
2012 International Conference on Earth Science and Remote Sensing (ESRS 2012) Utlizing Multi-scale Remote Sensing Technology for Evalutaing Sediment Disaster in the Catchment Area Chun-Kai Chen1, Cheng-Yang Hsiao 2, Bor-Shiun Lin 2, Chin-Tung Cheng2 1 2 Disaster Prevention Technology Research Center, Sinotech Engineering Consultants, INC., Taipei, Taiwan, 1 [email protected] Keywords: Multi-scale remote sensing, change process of landslides , 3D Web-GIS. Abstract.This study combines multi-scale remote sensing imagery and intelligence gathering to investigate water catchment area environment. Temporal telemetry information combined with object-oriented technology is used to create a semi-automated algorithm for identifying landslide location and area. Through this process, landslide changes on a watershed scale are explored. This study also demonstrates the use of air-borne LiDAR technology for conservation treatment project effectiveness evaluation. 1. Introduction With rapid advances in satellite remote sensing, image processing and data storage in recent years, remote sensing images have provided new methods for performing photogramtric surveys, landuse monitoring and natural disaster reconnaissance. Natural disaster reconnaissance objectives can include identifying changes in the natural environment, land topography, public facilities, or transportation structures. Remote sensing data, processed with image analysis techniques can serve as a tool for environmental assessments and contribute to environmental protection and conservation work. Using multi-scale remote sensing tools for fast, automated surveys and can break through access features not accessible by field reconnaissance survey such as the wide area of the landslide. Satellite remote sensing technology has been in use for a long time and has a wide range of shooting features. -
Lessons Learned from Lessons Learned From
Workshop on the Framework of LongLong--TermTerm Capacity Building for Disaster Risk Reduction in APEC Lessons Learned from Typhoon Morakot Dr. Hsu, Ming-Hsi Deputy Director, National Science & Technology Center for Disaster Reduction Professor, National Taiwan University Chinese Taipei 2 I Introduction II Damage and Losses III Lesson Learned IV Conclusions 3 I Introduction 4 Introduction • Before the end of June, we face a challenge of the drought problem . In the southern island, it did no rain in 60 consecutive days . The water storages in main reservoirs decreased to a lower stage fihifor operations at that time Shihmen Reservoir : 69 million tons (33%) Zengwen Reservoir : 126 million tons (21%) Nanhua Reservoir : 28 million tons (24%) . We expect Typhoon Morakot bringing rainfall to quench the dhdrought. • The Typhoon Morakot affected northern island on Aug. 7-9, but it results the worst flood in 50 years at southern island 5 Course of Typhoon Aug 5-6: Moved fast toward Chinese Taipei. Aug. 7 : Slowed down and out skirt touched the island. Aug. 8 : Made landfall at 00:00; Center left the island at 14:00 at very slow pace. Aug. 9 : Gradually moved toward China. 6 Doppler Radar Image • UilUnsymmetrical structure of rain clouds aroundtd typh oon •The typhoon rain cloud The Central Ridge interacted with suppl ying extra Eye moisture by southwest monsoon result large amount of rainfall in the south of the island. 7 Southwest Monsoon Interacted with Morakot by Supplying Extra Moisture Morakot Chinese Taipei 8 Accumulated Rainfall of Typhoon -
Rethinking Indigenous People's Drinking Practices in Taiwan
Durham E-Theses Passage to Rights: Rethinking Indigenous People's Drinking Practices in Taiwan WU, YI-CHENG How to cite: WU, YI-CHENG (2021) Passage to Rights: Rethinking Indigenous People's Drinking Practices in Taiwan , Durham theses, Durham University. Available at Durham E-Theses Online: http://etheses.dur.ac.uk/13958/ Use policy The full-text may be used and/or reproduced, and given to third parties in any format or medium, without prior permission or charge, for personal research or study, educational, or not-for-prot purposes provided that: • a full bibliographic reference is made to the original source • a link is made to the metadata record in Durham E-Theses • the full-text is not changed in any way The full-text must not be sold in any format or medium without the formal permission of the copyright holders. Please consult the full Durham E-Theses policy for further details. Academic Support Oce, Durham University, University Oce, Old Elvet, Durham DH1 3HP e-mail: [email protected] Tel: +44 0191 334 6107 http://etheses.dur.ac.uk 2 Passage to Rights: Rethinking Indigenous People’s Drinking Practices in Taiwan Yi-Cheng Wu Thesis Submitted for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy Social Sciences and Health Department of Anthropology Durham University Abstract This thesis aims to explicate the meaning of indigenous people’s drinking practices and their relation to indigenous people’s contemporary living situations in settler-colonial Taiwan. ‘Problematic’ alcohol use has been co-opted into the diagnostic categories of mental disorders; meanwhile, the perception that indigenous people have a high prevalence of drinking nowadays means that government agencies continue to make efforts to reduce such ‘problems’.