2000 PANEL SURVEY – FOURTH ROUND (POST-ELECTORAL CROSS-SECTION)

Fourth Round: July 6-16 File number:______

COUNTY/BOROUGH/TOWNSHIP:______STATE:______

ELECTORAL DISTRICT:______Interviewer Name and Code: |____|____|

D1 TYPE 1 Urban 2 Rural

D2 GENDER 1 Male 2 Female

D3 RESPONDENT SKIN COLOR: 1 White 3 Dark brown 2 Light brown 4 Other (black, Asian, etc.) ______

D4 ETHNICITY OF RESPONDENT 1 Wearing indigenous clothes 2 Not wearing indigenous clothes

D5 SOCIOECONOMIC LEVEL OF POLLING SITE: A B C D E F

D6 SOCIOECONOMIC LEVEL OF NEIGHBORHOOD: A B C D E F

Hello, my name is (NAME), and I am conducting a survey for MORI de Mexico, this is my ID. (SHOW IDENTIFICATION). We are asking 1,200 people like yourself around the country their opinions on politics. This survey is confidential, and no one will know what answers you personally gave. The interview will last between 30 and 35 minutes. Is this OK?

1. What is your date of birth? (IF BORN AFTER JULY 2, 1982, END INTERVIEW) Day: Month: Year:

2. What would you say is the most important problem the country faces today? (WRITE OUT) 99 Doesn’t know/Didn’t answer

3. How much interest would you say you have in politics? (READ OPTIONS): 1 A lot 2 Some 3 A little 4 None 9 DK /DA

4. How closely are you following this year’s presidential campaign – very closely, somewhat, not very closely, or not at all? 1 Very closely 2 Somewhat closely 3 Not very closely 4 Not at all 9 DK/DA

5. How often do you talk about politics with other people: every day, a few times a week, a few times a month, rarely, or never? 1 Every day 2 A few times 3 A few times 4 Rarely 5 Never 9 DK/DA per week per month

6. How often do you read about politics in newspapers and magazines: every day, a few times a week, a few times a month, rarely, or never? 1 Every day 2 A few times 3 A few times 4 Rarely 5 Never 9 DK/DA per week per month

7. Do you watch any news program on television? (IF THE ANSWER IS “NO”, SKIP TO 9. IF THE ANSWER IS “YES,” ASK WHICH ONE, NOTING UP TO TWO RESPONSES.) 0 Does not watch 9 HechosNoche /Javier Alatorre/Azteca 1 Noticiario/Guillermo Ortega/Televisa 10 Las siete del 7/Azteca 2 Primero Noticias/L. Dóriga/Televisa 11 CNI Noticias/Canal 40 3 Abraham Zabludovsky/Televisa 12 Noticias del 11/Sergio Uzeta/Adriana Pérez Cañedo 4 Hoy/Televisa 13 Multivision/En Blanco y Negro 5 Noticiario/Lolita Ayala/Televisa 14 Multivision /Nexos 6 Notivisa/Televisa 15 Other (Which?): 7 HechosAM/TVAzteca 16 Imagen SKY / Ferriz de Con, Carmen Aristégui, Solórzano 8 HechosTarde/TVAzteca 99 No sabe/NC

7.2. About how many days per week do you watch it? Number of program Days per week 99 DK/DA

1 Number of program Days per week 99 DK/DA

8. Do you listen to any news broadcast on the radio? (IF THE ANSWER IS “NO”, SKIP TO 11. IF THE ANSWER IS “YES,” ASK WHICH ONE, NOTING UP TO TWO RESPONSES.) 0 None 8 En la Radio con Guillermo Ortega 1 Monitor/ Radio Red / Gutiérrez Vivó 9 Mariano/Estereo Joya 2 Para Empezar 10 Enfoque 3 Panorama/ Detrás de la noticia 11 Imagen/Aristégui/Ferriz de Con/Solórzano 4 De la A a la Z/ A. Zabludovsky 12 Cortes Informativos 5 Eduardo Ruiz Healy 13 Other (WHICH?): 6 Joaquín López Dóriga 7 José Cárdenas 99 No sabe/NC

9. Approximately how many days per week do you listen to it? Number of program Days per week 99 NS /NC Number of program Days per week 99 NS /NC

10. When they talk about the candidates for president, how credible do you find… (READ EACH OPTION) very credible, somewhat credible, not very credible, or not at all credible? 1 Very 2 Somewhat 3 Not very 4 Not at all 9 DK/DA a. Television news b. Radio news e. Political advertisements

SHOW CARD A 11. Of the issues on this card, which three do you think are the most important for the next president to focus on? 1 Mentioned 2 Not mentioned

a. Conflict in Chiapas b. Pollution and environment c. Corruption d. Economic growth e. Democracy f. Women’s rights g. Education h. Employment i. Inflation, price increases j. Taxes k. Drug trafficking l. Poverty m. Salaries n. Health care o. Crime/Public safety p. Other (WHICH?):

12. Did you vote in the elections on the 2nd of July? (IF “NO”, GO TO 17. IF “YES”) Could you can mark on this piece of paper who you voted for in the elections for President? (HAND BALLOT AND BOX) 1 Francisco Labastida 4 Manuel Camacho 7 Annulled 2 Vicente Fox 5 Porfirio Munoz Ledo 8 Didn’t vote 3 Cuauhtémoc Cárdenas 6 Gilberto Rincon Gallardo 9 DK/DA

13. What is the main reason you voted for that candidate? (NOTE DIRECTLY)

14. When did you decide to vote for that candidate – in the last few days before the elections, in the last few weeks before the elections, more than a month before the elections, or from the beginning? 1 Last few days 2 Last few weeks 3 More than a month 4 From beginning 9 No sabe /NC

2 15. Now I’m going to give you ballot similar to the one for Federal Deputies. Please mark on this piece of paper what party or alliance you voted for in the elections for Federal Deputies on the 2nd of July. (HAND BALLOT AND BOX) 1 PRI 6 PCD 7 Annulled 2 PAN/AC 7 PARM 8 Didn’t vote 3 PRD/AM 8 PDS 9 DK/DA

16. Now I’m going to give you ballot similar to the one for Senators. Please mark on this piece of paper what party or alliance you voted for in the elections for Senators on the 2nd of July. (HAND BALLOT AND BOX) 1 PRI 6 PCD 7 Annulled 2 PAN/AC 7 PARM 8 Didn’t vote 3 PRD/AM 8 PDS 9 DK/DA

(ASK ALL) 17. What was the main reason you did not vote on July 2nd? (NOTE DIRECTLY)

18. How clean do you think the elections on July 2nd were – totally clean, more or less clean, not very clean, or not at all clean? 1 Totally 2 More or less 3 Not very clean 4 Not at all 9 DK/DA

19. Do you think that news coverage on television of…(READ) during the campaign was generally favorable or unfavorable toward that candidate? 1 Favorable 2 Unfavorable 3. Neither favorable nor 9 Don’t know unfavorable a. Francisco Labastida b. Vicente Fox c. Cuauhtémoc Cárdenas

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20. In the last few weeks, have you seen publicity or advertisements by political parties or presidential candidates on televisión? (IF “YES”) By whom? (DO NOT READ OPTIONS. NOTE ALL RESPONSES) 1 Mentioned 2 Not mentioned

a. Francisco Labastida b. Vicente Fox c. Cuauhtémoc Cárdenas d. Other:______g. PRI h. PAN i. PRD i. Alianza por el Cambio i. Alianza por México j. Other:______

21. I am going to read you some campaign slogans; for each one, please tell me which person that slogan goes with. (READ SLOGAN. DO NOT READ NAMES. WAIT FOR RESPONSES). Cuauhtémoc Vicente Francisco Dk/da Cárdenas Fox Labastida Other (9) (1) (2) (3) (4) a. “Power should serve the people” b. “Enough already” c. “For Mexico, on to victory” d. “The change that’s right for you”

22. In the last few weeks of the campaign, did you personally attend a rally for any political party or presidential candidate? (IF YES...) Which one? (DO NOT READ OPTIONS; NOTE ALL RESPONSES) 1 Mentioned 2 Not mentioned a. Francisco Labastida b. Vicente Fox c. Cuauhtémoc Cárdenas d. Other candidate (WHICH): e. PRI f. PAN/AC g. PRD/AM h. Other party (WHICH):

23. In the last few weeks of the campaign, did you receive propaganda or mailings at your home from any political party or presidential candidate? (IF YES...) From whom? (DO NOT READ OPTIONS; NOTE ALL RESPONSES) 1 Mentioned 2 Not mentioned a. Francisco Labastida b. Vicente Fox c. Cuauhtémoc Cárdenas d. Other:______e. PRI f. PAN/AC g. PRD/AM h. Other:______

4 24. In the last few weeks of the campaign, were you been visited by a representative from any political party or presidential candidate? (IF YES...) From which one? (DO NOT READ OPTIONS; NOTE ALL RESPONSES) 1 Mentioned 2 Not mentioned a. PRI b. PAN/AC c. PRD/AM d. Other (WHICH):______

25. In the last few weeks of the campaign, did you receive a gift or other assistance from any political party? (IF YES...) From which one? (DO NOT READ OPTIONS; NOTE ALL RESPONSES) 1 Mentioned 2 Not mentioned a. Francisco Labastida b. Vicente Fox c. Cuauhtémoc Cárdenas d. Other:______e. PRI f. PAN/AC g. PRD/AM h. Other:______

26. Of the televised debates between the presidential candidates, I would like to ask if you saw the first debate, saw the second debate, saw both debates, or saw neither debate. 1 First debate 4 Both 9 DK/DA 2 Second debate 5 Neither

27. Before the second debate, Cuauhtémoc Cárdenas, Vicente Fox, and Francisco Labastida met to decide when and how they would conduct the debate. Did you or did you not see that meeting before the second debate on television? 1 Did see it 2 Did not see it 9 DK/DA

28. Regardless of whether you did or did not see that meeting between the candidates, could you tell me which of the candidates made the following statements at that meeting? 1 2 3 4 9 Cuauhtémoc Vicente Francisco Cárdenas Fox Labastida Other DK/DA a. “I’m waiting for a fax” b. “The debate is today, today, today”

29. In your opinion, what did…(READ NAME) do most in his campaign: communicate his policy proposals or criticize other candidates? 1 Policy 2 Criticize 3 Neither 4 Both 9 DK/DA proposals a. Francisco Labastida b. Vicente Fox c. Cuauhtémoc Cárdenas

30. I’m going to read you two things. Please tell me for each one if you like or dislike it: (READ AND ROTATE) 1 Likes 2 Dislikes 9 DK/DA a. When your favorite candidate criticizes another candidate b. When other candidates criticize your favorite candidate c. When your favorite candidate criticizes the government

SHOW CARD B 30d. On this card are two ways to deal with the differences between rich and poor in our country. A 1 indicates that you agree with one position and a 10 means that you agree with the other position. Please tell me where on the scale you would place yourself.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 99 No sabe

5 /NC

The government should do Efforts by the government to reduce more to reduce the gap between the gap between rich and poor cause rich and poor more problems than they solve

SHOW CARD C 31. On this card are two ways to fight crime. A 1 indicates that your agree with one position and a 10 means that you agree with the other position. Please tell me where on the scale you would place yourself. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 99 DK/DA The best way to fight The best way to fight crime is to create jobs crime is to get tough and and opportunities for people have harsher penalties for criminals

32. On the same scale, where would you place…. (READ NAMES) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 99 DK/DA a. Francisco Labastida b. Vicente Fox c. Cuauhtémoc Cárdenas The best way to fight The best way to fight crime is to create jobs crime is to get tough and and opportunities for people have harsher penalties for criminals

SHOW CARD D 33. On this card are two ways to deal with the electric industry in our country. A 1 indicates that your agree with one position and a 10 means that you agree with the other position. Please tell me where on the scale you would place yourself. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 99 DK/DA The electric industry The electric industry should be completely should be completely in in the hands of the government the hands of the private sector

34. On the same scale, where would you place…. (READ NAMES) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 a. Francisco Labastida 99 DK/DA b. Vicente Fox c. Cuauhtémoc Cárdenas The electric industry The electric industry should be completely should be completely in in the hands of the government the hands of the private sector

SHOW CARD E 35. On this card are two views of political reform in our country. A 1 indicates that your agree with one position and a 10 means that you agree with the other position. Please tell me where on the scale you would place yourself. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 99 DK/DA Political reform has gone Political reform has not gone a long way and today political far enough to make political competition is fair competition fair

36. On the same scale, where would you place…. (READ NAMES) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 a. Francisco Labastida 99 DK/DA b. Vicente Fox c. Cuauhtémoc Cárdenas Political reform has gone Political reform has not gone a long way and today political far enough to make political competition is fair competition fair

37. Now I’m going to ask you about the honesty of the presidential candidates. How honest do you think... (READ AND ROTATE) is – very honest, somewhat honest, not very honest, or not at all honest?

6 Very (1) Somewhat (2) Not very (3) Not at all (4) Not sure (5) a. Francisco Labastida b. Vicente Fox c. Cuauhtémoc Cárdenas

38. How capable of managing the economy is... (READ AND ROTATE) – very capable, somewhat capable, not very capable, or not at all capable – or are you not sure? Muy (1) Algo (2) Poco (3) Nada (4) No está seguro/NS (5) a. Francisco Labastida b. Vicente Fox c. Cuauhtémoc Cárdenas

39. How capable of combating crime and improving public safety is... (READ AND ROTATE) – very capable, somewhat capable, not very capable, or not at all capable – or are you not sure? Muy (1) Algo (2) Poco (3) Nada (4) No está seguro/NS (5) a. Francisco Labastida b. Vicente Fox c. Cuauhtémoc Cárdenas

40. How capable of improving the education system is... (READ AND ROTATE) – very capable, somewhat capable, not very capable, or not at all capable – or are you not sure? Muy (1) Algo (2) Poco (3) Nada (4) No está seguro/NS (5) a. Francisco Labastida b. Vicente Fox c. Cuauhtémoc Cárdenas

41. In politics, people talk about “Left” and “Right”. On a scale of 0 to 10, where 0 is “left” and 10 is “right”, where would you place yourself? Left Right 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 99 DK/DA

42. On the same scale, where would you place…(READ AND ROTATE) Left Right 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 a. PRI 99 DK/DA b. PAN 99 DK/DA c. PRD 99 DK/DA

SHOW CARD F 43. I’m going to ask your opinion about some political parties and candidates for President. On this scale, a 0 means that your opinion is very bad and a 10 means that your opinion is very good. If you don’t have an opinion, just let me know and we will go on to the next one. What is you opinion of.... (READ AND ROTATE): Very bad Very good 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 a. PRI 99 DK/DA b. PAN 99 DK/DA c. PRD 99 DK/DA

d. Francisco Labastida 99 DK/DA e. Vicente Fox 99 DK/DA f. Cuauhtémoc Cárdenas 99 DK/DA g. Roberto Madrazo

44. In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Ernesto Zedillo is doing as president? (INSIST) Do you approve/disapprove a lot or approve/disapprove somewhat? 1 Approve 2 Approve 3 Neither approve 4 Disapprove 5 Disapprove 9 DK/DA a lot somewhat nor disapprove somewhat a lot

45. Do you feel that Mexico today is or is not a democracy?

7 1 Is a democracy 2 Is not a democracy 9 DK/DA

46. With which of the following phrases do you most agree? 1 Politics is complicated and I don’t understand it well 2 Politics isn’t so complicated and I generally understand it 9 DK/DA (DO NOT READ)

47. These days, do you think you can trust most people or do you think that you can’t be too careful? 1 Can trust people 2 Can’t be too careful 9 DK/DA

48. I am going to read two sayings; please tell me which of the two is closest to your way of thinking? (READ AND ROTATE): 1 Stick to the Devil you know 2 Nothing ventured, nothing gained 9 DK/DA (DO NOT READ)

49. Generally, do you consider yourself priísta, panista o perredista? 1 Priísta (PRI) 2 Panista (PAN) 3 Perredista (PRD) 4 Other party 5 None 9 DK/DA (WHICH):______(SKIP TO 53) (SKIP TO 53)

50. Do you consider yourself very... (PRIISTA / PANISTA / PERREDISTA) or somewhat…(PRIISTA / PANISTA / PERREDISTA)? 1 Very 2 Somewhat 9 No sabe/NC

(ONLY TO THOSE WHO ANSWERED “NONE” OR “DON’T KNOW” IN QUESTION 51.) 51. With which party do you most identify? (DO NOT READ) 1 PRI 2 PAN 3 PRD 4 Other 5 None 9 DK/DA (CUAL):______

52. Did you vote for President in the 1994 elections? (IF YES, ASK) For which party did you vote? 1 PRI 2 PAN 3 PRD 4 Other 5. Didn’t vote 9 DK/DA (CUAL):______

53. Did you vote for federal deputy in the 1997 elections? (IF YES, ASK): For which party did you vote? 1 PRI 2 PAN 3 PRD 4 Other 5. Didn’t vote 9 DK/DA (WHICH):______

54. Did you vote in the PRI primary last year? (IF YES, ASK) For which of the candidates did you vote? 1 Labastida 2 Madrazo 3 Bartlett 4 Roque 5 Other______6.Didn’t vote 9 DK/DA

55. In the last 12 months, would you say that your personal financial situation has gotten better, gotten worse, or stayed the same? (INSIST) Would you say that it has gotten much better/worse or somewhat better/worse? 1 Much better 2 Somewhat 3 The same 4 Somewhat 5 Much worse 9 DK/DA better worse

56. In the last 12 months, would you say that the national economy has gotten better, gotten worse, or stayed the same? (INSIST) Would you say that it has gotten much better/worse or somewhat better/worse? 1 Much better 2 Somewhat 3 The same 4 Somewhat 5 Much worse 9 DK/DA better worse

57. In the last 12 months, would you say that corruption in the government has increased, decreased, or stayed the same? (INSIST): Would you say that it has increased/decreased a lot or increased/decreased somewhat? 1 Increased a 2 Increased 3 The same 4 Decreased 5 Decreased a 9 DK/DA lot somewhat somewhat lot

58. In the last 12 months, would you say that public safety in your [City/Town/Community] has gotten better, gotten worse, or stayed the same? (INSIST) Would you say that it has gotten much better/worse or somewhat better/worse? 1 Much better 2 Somewhat 3 The same 4 Somewhat 5 Much worse 9 DK/DA better worse

8 59. In the last 12 months, have you, or someone else in your family living with you in your home, been assaulted or been the victim or another violent crime? 1 Yes 2 No 9 DK/DA

60. Have you visited the United States? 0 No 1 Yes 9 DK/DA (INSIST:) ¿In total, how much time have you spent a. Years: there? b. Months: c. Weeks:

61. Do you have close relatives living in the United States? 0 No 1 Yes 9 DK/DA

62. What religion are you? (READ AND ROTATE): 1 Catholic 3 Other (NOTE): 9 DK/DA 2 Christian, not Catholic 4 None (DO NOT READ)

63. How often do you attend religious services? (READ OPTIONS IN ORDER): 1 More than 2 Once per 3 Once per 4 Only special 5 Never 9 DK/DA once per week week month occasiones

64. Until what grade in school did you study? 1 No formal education 3 Secondary/vocational/equivalent 5 College or more 2 Primary 4 High school/equivalent 9 DK/DA

65. Do you currently have paid employment? 1 Yes 2 No 9 DK/DA

66. What is your principal occupation? (NOTE DIRECTLY): ______1 Employer, 10 or more employees 8 Chauffer/security guard 15 Student 2 Employer, fewer than 10 employees 9 Manual laborer 16 Housewife 3 Professional 10 Salesman/street vendor 17 Other______4 Office worker/supervisor 11 Nanny/domestic 99 DK/DA 5 Office worker under supervision 12 Farmer on collective farm 6 Teacher 13 Farmer/fisherman 7 Employee in established business 14 Retired

67. Of the following items, please tell me which ones you have in your home. 1 Mentioned 2 Not mentioned a. Radio b. Water heater c. Oven d. Television e. Telephone f. Cellular telephone

68. Do you or anyone in your family that lives with you in your home receive benefits from...? a. PROGRESA 1 Yes 2 No 9 DK/DA b. PROCAMPO 1 Yes 2 No 9 DK/DA c. LICONSA 1 Yes 2 No 9 DK/DA

69. ¿Could you tell me the names of the three branches of government, or do you not recall right now? (DO NOT READ; NOTE ALL MENTIONS) 1 Mentioned 2 Not mentioned

a. Executive b. Legislative

9 c. Judicial

70. Could you tell me how many members there are in the Chamber of Deputies, or do you not recall right now? (NOTE DIRECTLY) 000=DK

The last question you don’t have to answer, only tell me if you want to. In case my supervisor needs to check that I have done my job properly, could you give me your first name and telephone number?

First name only (not last name):______Telephone: I___I___I___I - I___I___I___I - I___I___I___I___I

Date of interview: Day:______|_____|_____| Month:______|_____|_____| Hour:______|_____|_____| Address: Street______No. ______Inside:______Between ______and ______Country/Borough/Township:______Other instructions to reach residence______Signature of interviewer:______

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