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Mexico: Notes on Issues at Stake in July Presidential Elections John Neagle
View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you by CORE provided by University of New Mexico University of New Mexico UNM Digital Repository NotiSur Latin America Digital Beat (LADB) 3-24-1988 Mexico: Notes On Issues At Stake In July Presidential Elections John Neagle Follow this and additional works at: https://digitalrepository.unm.edu/notisur Recommended Citation Neagle, John. "Mexico: Notes On Issues At Stake In July Presidential Elections." (1988). https://digitalrepository.unm.edu/notisur/ 1367 This Article is brought to you for free and open access by the Latin America Digital Beat (LADB) at UNM Digital Repository. It has been accepted for inclusion in NotiSur by an authorized administrator of UNM Digital Repository. For more information, please contact [email protected]. LADB Article Id: 075186 ISSN: 1060-4189 Mexico: Notes On Issues At Stake In July Presidential Elections by John Neagle Category/Department: General Published: Thursday, March 24, 1988 Although the Revolutionary Institutional Party's candidate, Carlos Salinas de Gortari, will undoutedly win the presidency in July, the margin and methods of his victory are unknown. Some Mexican politicians say this year's election ranks as the most significant and controversial in the last 50 years. The PRI has won all presidential, gubernatorial and Senate elections since 1929. The PRI candidate's principal rivals are Manuel Clouthier of the conservative National Action Party (PAN) and Cuauhtemoc Cardenas of the populist National Democratic Front. Their campaigns are as energetic as Salinas's despite miniscule budgets, and the absence of a political apparatus as disciplined and pervasive as the PRI's. -
A Guide to the Leadership Elections of the Institutional Revolutionary
A Guide to the Leadership Elections of the Institutional Revolutionary Party, the National Action Party, and the Democratic Revolutionary Party George W. Grayson February 19, 2002 CSIS AMERICAS PROGRAM Policy Papers on the Americas A GUIDE TO THE LEADERSHIP ELECTIONS OF THE PRI, PAN, & PRD George W. Grayson Policy Papers on the Americas Volume XIII, Study 3 February 19, 2002 CSIS Americas Program About CSIS For four decades, the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) has been dedicated to providing world leaders with strategic insights on—and policy solutions to—current and emerging global issues. CSIS is led by John J. Hamre, formerly deputy secretary of defense, who has been president and CEO since April 2000. It is guided by a board of trustees chaired by former senator Sam Nunn and consisting of prominent individuals from both the public and private sectors. The CSIS staff of 190 researchers and support staff focus primarily on three subject areas. First, CSIS addresses the full spectrum of new challenges to national and international security. Second, it maintains resident experts on all of the world’s major geographical regions. Third, it is committed to helping to develop new methods of governance for the global age; to this end, CSIS has programs on technology and public policy, international trade and finance, and energy. Headquartered in Washington, D.C., CSIS is private, bipartisan, and tax-exempt. CSIS does not take specific policy positions; accordingly, all views expressed herein should be understood to be solely those of the author. © 2002 by the Center for Strategic and International Studies. -
Documentos De Trabajo En Ciencia Política
Documentos de Trabajo en Ciencia Política WORKING PAPERS ON POLITICAL SCIENCE Turnout in Mexico's Presidential Election: Evidence from the Mexico 2000 Panel Study By Alejandro Poiré, ITAM WPPS 2001-02 Departamento Académico de Ciencia Política 0. Abstract1 This paper uses data from the First Wave of the Mexican 2000 Panel Study to elaborate a calculus of voting model of turnout that seeks to address two puzzles resulting from the presidential election. Both the low aggregate level of turnout, and its stark partisan pattern run contrary to socio-economic, resource and mobilization models of participation, as well as to typical characterizations of abilities of Mexican parties to drive out the vote. Instead, this paper proposes a modified calculus of voting model which renders the following key results: While Vicente Fox was most likely to be trailing Francisco Labastida in voting intentions four and a half months before election day, he had by then already secured a more solid basis of support among voters identified with his own party than the one the PRI candidate had backing him. Also, the model shows that the greater the expected difference in the utility that a citizen would derive from her top ranked candidates, the more likely that she would actually cast a ballot. Likewise, the greater political engagement of a voter, as explained by his interest in politics, political knowledge, media exposure and the exogenous influence of party mobilization, the more likely that he would cast a vote. Mexicans with a greater level of trust in their peers were more likely to participate, and younger people showed a lower propensity to turn out, ceteris paribus, as were citizens living in an urban setting. -
The Resilience of Mexico's
Mexico’s PRI: The Resilience of an Authoritarian Successor Party and Its Consequences for Democracy Gustavo A. Flores-Macías Forthcoming in James Loxton and Scott Mainwaring (eds.) Life after Dictatorship: Authoritarian Successor Parties Worldwide, New York: Cambridge University Press. Between 1929 and 2000, Mexico was an authoritarian regime. During this time, elections were held regularly, but because of fraud, coercion, and the massive abuse of state resources, the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) won virtually every election. By 2000, however, the regime came to an end when the PRI lost the presidency. Mexico became a democracy, and the PRI made the transition from authoritarian ruling party to authoritarian successor party. Yet the PRI did not disappear. It continued to be the largest party in Congress and in the states, and it was voted back into the presidency in 2012. This electoral performance has made the PRI one of the world’s most resilient authoritarian successor parties. What explains its resilience? I argue that three main factors explain the PRI’s resilience in the aftermath of the transition: 1) the PRI’s control over government resources at the subnational level, 2) the post-2000 democratic governments’ failure to dismantle key institutions inherited from the authoritarian regime, and 3) voters’ dissatisfaction with the mediocre performance of the PRI’s competitors. I also suggest that the PRI's resilience has been harmful in various ways, including by propping up pockets of subnational authoritarianism, perpetuating corrupt practices, and undermining freedom of the press and human rights. 1 Between 1929 and 2000, Mexico was an authoritarian regime.1 During this time, elections were held regularly, but because of fraud, coercion, and the massive abuse of state resources, the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) won virtually every election. -
Favorite Son: Cuauhtémoc Cárdenas
Mother Jones November 1988, 35-37, 44-45 Favorite Son The heir of Mexico’s greatest reformer saw his election stolen anD his frienD murDered. Cuauhtémoc CárDenas remains the man who would be el Presidente. Sidebar: How to Steal an Election: Mexico, 1988 By Andrew Reding THE JULY 6 ELECTION ENDED TEN DAYS AGO, AND THE official results are in: Carlos Salinas de Gortari has won. Once again, as for the last 50 years, the candidate of Mexico’s Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) has been proclaimed president-elect. This time, though, a runner-up is recognized: Cuauhtémoc Cárdenas a hero’s son named for an Aztec emperor, the oddly professorial candidate who ran without a campaign slogan. On this hot Saturday afternoon, as seemingly endless streams of Mexicans converge on the Zócalo, the capital’s main plaza, it becomes apparent that the citizenry is not accepting the verdict. I watch waves of marchers pour into the immense plaza, chanting, “You can see it, you can feel it, Cuauhtémoc is president.” More ominous for the ruling party are the frequent repetitions of “Get it straight, Salinas, the people don’t want you,” and “He’s arrived, he’s here, the one who’ll fuck over the PRI.” The mood is festive, with bands, firecrackers, well-wishers cheering from windows and roofs, kids perched precariously on streetlights, and multicolored confetti showering down. These are not disappointed partisans mourning an electoral loss; they are wildly enthusiastic multitudes who sense that the PRI’s long stranglehold on Mexico has been broken, and are acting out a collective catharsis. -
Television News, Mexico's 2000 Elections and Media Effects In
B.J.Pol.S. 35, 1–30 Copyright © 2004 Cambridge University Press DOI: 10.1017/S00070123405000013 Printed in the United Kingdom Television News, Mexico’s 2000 Elections and Media Effects in Emerging Democracies CHAPPELL LAWSON AND JAMES A. MCCANN* On the basis of an analysis of a four-wave panel survey, we argue that exposure to television news had significant, substantial effects on both attitudes and vote choices in Mexico’s watershed presidential election of 2000. These findings support the contention, implicit in some research on political communication, that the magnitude of media effects varies with certain features of the political context. In particular, television influence in electoral campaigns may be substantially larger in emerging democratic systems. In contrast to ‘small effects’ models of media influence in electoral campaigns, we argue that television coverage had a powerful impact on Mexico’s 2000 presidential election. Exposure to broadcasts on the Televisio´n Azteca network dampened enthusiasm for Francisco Labastida, nominee of the long-ruling Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI). Meanwhile, the initially deleterious effects of newscasts from the Televisa network on opinions of Cuauhte´moc Ca´rdenas disappeared when coverage of that candidate improved markedly during the second half of the campaign. Exposure to television news also affected political behaviour (i.e., vote choice). For instance, viewing Televisio´n Azteca was associated with substantial increases in the likelihood of supporting victorious opposition candidate -
El Presente De Zedillo Y De Su Equipo El Cotidiano, Núm
El Cotidiano ISSN: 0186-1840 [email protected] Universidad Autónoma Metropolitana Unidad Azcapotzalco México Zepeda Bustos, Carmen Silvia; Uribe, Mónica El presente de Zedillo y de su equipo El Cotidiano, núm. 172, marzo-abril, 2012, pp. 87-98 Universidad Autónoma Metropolitana Unidad Azcapotzalco Distrito Federal, México Disponible en: http://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=32523118011 Cómo citar el artículo Número completo Sistema de Información Científica Más información del artículo Red de Revistas Científicas de América Latina, el Caribe, España y Portugal Página de la revista en redalyc.org Proyecto académico sin fines de lucro, desarrollado bajo la iniciativa de acceso abierto El presente de Zedillo y de su equipo Carmen Silvia Zepeda Bustos* Mónica Uribe** Ernesto Zedillo aquí está y su equipo también. Contrariamente a la tesis de una suplantación absoluta de la clase política priista a partir de 2000, los zedilllistas aún se encuentran en el gobierno federal en áreas estratégicas. Y los que pasaron a la iniciativa privada, influyen en la opinión pública o están en empresas que tienen nexos con el gobierno de México. ¿Qué hace Ernesto Zedillo su pericia técnica en los procesos de pueda evadir, aún con todo el apoyo hoy en día? globalización. Zedillo ha sido exitoso de Relaciones Exteriores. en vender su imagen de salvador de Desde su salida en diciembre México, por sus buenos contactos del año 2000, Zedillo se dedicó a E n contraste con la visión que internacionales. Para ello le sirvió ser moverse en distintos ámbitos empre- de Zedillo se tiene en el país, en el presidente de México. -
Mexico's 2000 Presidential, Legislative, Gubernatorial And
International Republican Institute Suite 900 1212 New York Avenue, N.W. Washington, D.C. 20005-3987 (202) 408-9450 (202) 408-9462 FAX Internet: [email protected] I R I Advancing Democracy Worldwide MEXICO PRE-ELECTION ASSESSMENT MISSION REPORT #3 Issued June 29, 2000 INTRODUCTION With less than one week to go before Mexico's historic July 2 elections, the campaign is reaching its final stages. The most recent polls consistently indicate a very close race at the presidential level between Francisco Labastida of the long-governing Party of the Institutional Revolution (PRI) and Vicente Fox of the National Action Party (PAN). In his third consecutive run for the presidency, Cuauhtémoc Cardenas of the Democratic Revolutionary Party (PRD) remains in third place, although his poll ratings have been inching upwards in recent weeks. In broader terms, the political environment in Mexico has greatly evolved in recent years, becoming substantially more competitive at all levels. President Ernesto Zedillo deserves much credit for guiding the delicate process of opening up the political system and moving away from Mexico's seven decade history of one-party dominance. This progressive opening of the political system has been accompanied by steady gains by the major opposition parties at all levels of government. At the presidential level, although chosen by an unprecedented national primary process, which gave him an initial boost of public support, PRI standard bearer Francisco Labastida has faced serious challenges from the beginning of the campaign. He has had to convince an increasingly restive public that the PRI can and should be trusted with continued stewardship of the country's affairs, and at the same time, compete with ever- fewer of the often less-than-democratic electoral advantages the PRI enjoyed in the past. -
Imagining the Mexican Election
Imagining the Mexican Election Oliver Fröhling Centro de Encuentros y Diálogos Interculturales, Oaxaca, México; e-mail: [email protected] Carolyn Gallaher School of International Service, American University, Washington DC; e-mail: [email protected] and John Paul Jones, III Department of Geography, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY; e-mail: [email protected] The media has informed us that the electoral returns are not in our favor. —Opening remark in the election night concession speech of PRI presidential candidate Francisco Labastida, July 2, 2000 For us the system is like a snake. What happened last night is that it shed its skin and now has a different color. —Aurelio Maceda, of the Frente Indígena Oaxaqueña Binacional, July 3, 2000 The 2000 presidential vote promised to be a watershed event in Mexican politics, anticipated by both domestic and international observers as the cleanest in Mexico’s history. The country’s elections had historically been controlled by the Party of the Institutional Revolution (PRI), well known for cooptation, corruption, and repressive electoral tactics that resulted in 71 years of uninterrupted control of the federal government. To ensure its fairness, the 2000 election was overseen by the Instituto Federal Electoral (IFE), an © 2001 Editorial Board of Antipode. Published by Blackwell Publishers, 108 Cowley Road, Oxford OX4 1JF, UK and 350 Main Street, Malden, MA 02148, USA 2 Antipode independent and nonpartisan agency similar to the US Federal Election Commission. Founded in 1990 and strengthened after several legislative initiatives over the decade, in 2000 the IFE oversaw new procedures for the conduct and financing of campaigns, for ensuring secret balloting, and for the unbiased counting of electoral returns, among other responsibilities. -
Mexico's Political History
Order Code RS22368 January 26, 2006 CRS Report for Congress Received through the CRS Web Mexico’s Political History: From Revolution to Alternation, 1910-2006 K. Larry Storrs Specialist in Latin American Affairs Foreign Affairs, Defense, and Trade Division Summary This brief overview of Mexico’s political history from 1910 to 2006, with emphasis on electoral reforms and elections, demonstrates that Mexico has evolved from long- term domination by a single party to alternation and effective competition among the three major parties. This report sets the stage for the approaching July 2006 elections. Mexico’s Early History With a history dating to the Aztec indigenous culture and Spanish colonial rule, Mexico achieved independence in 1821. In the subsequent period, the country suffered many divisive and autocratic influences, although there was a period of reform under Benito Juarez’s two phases of presidential rule (1858-1862, 1867-1872). One major dictator was Antonio Lopez de Santa Ana (1833-1855), under whom the country lost vast northern territories to the United States — Texas in 1836, and the southwest region of the United States in 1846-1848 in the Mexican-American War. Another dictator was the Archduke Maxmillian of Austria (1864-67) who was imposed by Napoleon III of France as the Emporer of Mexico. Still another dictator was Porfirio Diaz (1877-1911), who attempted to modernize the country by encouraging foreign investment. Toward the end of his reign, he faced mounting social discontent that culminated in the turbulent Mexican Revolution that ousted Diaz and established a new order. Mexico’s 1910 Revolution and the Dominant Role of the PRI The Mexican Revolution was launched in 1910, with various goals being espoused by the diverse revolutionary groups. -
The Party System and Democratic Governance in Mexico
The Party System and Democratic Governance in Mexico José Antonio Crespo Policy Papers on the Americas Volume XV, Study 2 March 2004 About CSIS For four decades, the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) has been dedicated to providing world leaders with strategic insights on—and policy solutions to— current and emerging global issues. CSIS is led by John J. Hamre, former U.S. deputy secretary of defense. It is guided by a board of trustees chaired by former U.S. senator Sam Nunn and consisting of prominent individuals from both the public and private sectors. The CSIS staff of 190 researchers and support staff focus primarily on three subject areas. First, CSIS addresses the full spectrum of new challenges to national and international security. Second, it maintains resident experts on all of the world’s major geographical regions. Third, it is committed to helping to develop new methods of governance for the global age; to this end, CSIS has programs on technology and public policy, international trade and finance, and energy. Headquartered in Washington, D.C., CSIS is private, bipartisan, and tax-exempt. CSIS does not take specific policy positions; accordingly, all views expressed herein should be understood to be solely those of the author(s). CSIS Americas Program Leadership Sidney Weintraub, director, Americas Program, and William E. Simon Chair in Political Economy Viviane Vanni, coordinator, Americas Program Armand Peschard-Sverdrup, director, Mexico Project Sara Rioff, research assistant, Mexico Project Miguel Diaz, director, South America Project Elizabeth Hetzler, research associate, South America Project Andre Belelieu, research associate, Canada Project © 2004 by the Center for Strategic and International Studies. -
The Rise of the Pan
Law and Business Review of the Americas Volume 9 Number 2 Article 5 2003 The Rise of the Pan Guy Poitras Follow this and additional works at: https://scholar.smu.edu/lbra Recommended Citation Guy Poitras, The Rise of the Pan, 9 LAW & BUS. REV. AM. 271 (2003) https://scholar.smu.edu/lbra/vol9/iss2/5 This Article is brought to you for free and open access by the Law Journals at SMU Scholar. It has been accepted for inclusion in Law and Business Review of the Americas by an authorized administrator of SMU Scholar. For more information, please visit http://digitalrepository.smu.edu. THE RISE OF THE PAN Guy Poitras* I. INTRODUCTION N the year 2000, while much of the world was anxiously anticipating the new century, Mexico was passing a significant and remarkable milestone. For almost a decade Mexico had experienced a neoliberal transformation in economic policy. Privatization, de-regulation, fiscal re- straint, market access, regional integration, and other structural adjust- ments had gone a long way toward making Mexico one of the most market-oriented large economies in the world. At first these economic reforms overshadowed political reforms. If the current Mexican elites, especially those in the government party, had any hopes that such eco- nomic changes would inoculate them against political competition, they were wrong. In 2000 the government party lost its monopoly of power. For the first time since the Mexican revolution (1910-1917) another politi- cal party, one founded in opposition to the revolution itself, came to power. By winning the presidency, Mexico ended the longest continuous rule of a party in any country in the world.