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$9.99 Volume 5 - Issue 3

point spread weekly

AND WE’RE OFF Dave Tuley give his Takes on all 16 NFL week 1 contests, with a Best Bet on the anticipated Rams-bears 'SNF' contest

FEATURING: • coverage of MLB, PGA, NFL, NASCAR, and WELCOME TO VOLUME 5 ISSUE 3 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Welcome to Issue No. 3 of the 2021-22 VSiN Point Spread Weekly, tackling the opening of a highly anticipated NFL season. We hope you enjoyed the first full edition of college football coverage last week. Now we put them together in the first of the loaded football issues through the rest of the season. I am not shy about proclaiming that this week’s issue is jam-packed with great betting material to prepare you for a huge weekend of cashin’ tickets — because that’s what it’s all about! CONTENTS It’s No Overreaction to Say: Always Believe in Alabama... 3 If you haven’t downloaded your copy of the 2021 VSiN Pro Football Betting Guide, you still have time to do so. In that Tuley’s Takes on NFL Week 1 Card...... 4 huge special issue, we get you ready for the season. In this edition of Point Spread Weekly, we get you ready for Week 1. Steve Makinen’s NFL Power Ratings...... 6 VSIN NFL Consensus...... 7 Dave Tuley leads our NFL coverage with what will become a very popular feature in the ensuing weeks. In his Takes, he breaks down every NFL game on the slate, giving his VSIN NFL Best Bets...... 8 expert insights and picks for each one. Tuley has a huge following (@ViewfromVegas), and his contributions to the VSiN newsletter are read each and Strength Ratings Tutorial...... 11 every morning. Week 1 NFL Matchups...... 12 I also put together a piece on NFL Week 1 action, detailing four betting systems that How to Act Wise: Five Games Sharp Bettors are Tracking.... 28 have been consistently successful over the last decade or so. Several games on the board fit the systems, and I lay those out for readers. Healthy Rams are Best Bet in Toughest Survivor Week.... 29 Steve Makinen’s CFB Power Ratings...... 30 As he will do every week, Adam Burke brings us all the key information on NFL survivor contests, including which games are the most popular picks for the coming week. VSIN College Football Consensus...... 34 Speaking of every-week contributors, you’ll also get access to William Hill’s game previews for the entire season. You’ll find these on our matchup pages, which are also VSIN College Football Best Bets...... 35 loaded with all the stats, trends and other key data you’ll need to bet the games wisely. A Bettor’s Guide to Week 2 in College Football...... 36 Last but not least, Josh Appelbaum wraps up our Week 1 coverage with a look at the five games that wise guys were hitting on early. Week 2 College Football Matchups...... 38

Tuley and Matt Youmans will be our regular experts picking games for our Consensus Week 2 CFB Slate Features Nine Stability Mismatches... 71 for pro and college football. Each is part of our Best Bets team as well, and that group Steve Makinen’s MLB Power Ratings...... 74 combined to go 19-15-2 ATS in college football last week, a profitable start. MLB Awards Markets Still Can Offer Some Late Value... 75 Youmans heads our college football coverage, looking back at an exhilarating Week 1 and explaining how the results might affect future betting markets. He and Adam MLB Team Report...... 77 Kramer share their thoughts on Alabama’s impressive opening. Kramer does so in his Noren the Pick as Shifts Focus to Europe...... 79 Week 2 preview, again offering us the appetizers and buffet on another loaded CFB slate. NASCAR Race Simulation: .... 80

For those of you looking for the Week 2 college football stability mismatches after Bet Breeders’ Cup in U.S.? Yeah, Good Luck with That....81 another winning 5-4 week, I have those loaded up for you as well.

It’s not all football in PSW, however, as Aaron Moore dishes on MLB, Wes Reynolds previews the European Tour’s BMW PGA Championship, Ron Flatter gives us the latest and greatest in horse racing news and my projections are up for another NASCAR PAGE 9 playoff race as well as the CFL Week 6 games.

Enjoy the huge issue. Good luck from everyone at VSiN, and be sure to follow all our WEEK 1 NFL SYSTEMS HELP live programming this week leading up to, during and after all the big games! UNCOVER LINE WEAK SPOTS Steve Makinen, Editor @SteveMakinen | [email protected] NOTE: ODDS IN PUBLICATION ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE For more information, visit www.vsin.com

EDITOR DATABASE MANAGER LAYOUT AND DESIGN VP OF DIGITAL CONTENT STEVE MAKINEN JASON LATUS MATT DEVINE BEN FAWKES

CONTRIBUTING WRITERS AND EDITORS: Matt Youmans, Chris Andrews, Dave Tuley, Jonathan Von Tobel, Wes Reynolds, Bruce Marshall, Brady Kannon, Lou Finocchiaro, Vinny Magliulo, Ron Flatter, Josh Appelbaum, Jason Weingarten, Adam Burke, Drew Dinsick, Paul Stone, Tim Murray, Danny Burke, William Hill, Aaron Moore, Adam Kramer, Tom Carkeek, Derek Carty, Andy MacNeil, Reed Kuhn and . photos by USA Today Sports Images

2 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS IT’S NO OVERREACTION TO SAY: ALWAYS BELIEVE IN ALABAMA BY MATT YOUMANS @MATTYOUMANS247

If Nick Saban has BetMGM lists Alabama as the 5-2 favorite to It was a good news-bad news scenario for the seven months to reload win the national title, and the +250 price on the Pac-12. UCLA upset LSU 38-27 at the Rose Bowl, and prepare for a Tide is a bargain compared with what is being and the outcome was no fluke. The Bruins squared game, bet on him. Bet offered at Circa Sports (+160) and the Westgate up with a respected SEC opponent and physically on Saban in every SuperBook (+140). dominated on the offensive and defensive lines in season opener, even the highest-profile win of coach Chip Kelly’s four if Alabama loses six “There is certainly a lot of college football to play, years. players in the first but Alabama’s performance in Week 1 was head round of the NFL and shoulders above everyone else,” Texas-based The negativity came from the Pac-12 North. and is breaking in a handicapper Paul Stone said. “Bryce Young looks Oregon was a shaky 20-point favorite while new . like he’s a third-year starter. He’s poised and has surviving an upset bid by Fresno State, and a strong arm. It looks like there’s a gap between Washington went down as a 23-point favorite in a The first full weekend Alabama and whoever the second-best team is, 13-7 loss to Montana. of college football and the race for second is wide open. was highlighted by an A Big Ten-Pac-12 challenge headlines this underdog uprising and the customary dominance “It’s hard to identify the No. 2 team or the No. week’s schedule. Ohio State is a 14-point home of the Crimson Tide, who undoubtedly deserve 3 and No. 4 team. Clemson had no offense. favorite over Oregon, and Michigan is a 6-point to be favored to roll to their second consecutive Oklahoma could have easily lost to Tulane. In home favorite over Washington. Both lines are national championship. college football, you give these offenses some inflated based on Week 1 results, so beware of time to jell, and things are going to look a lot overreacting. While the opening week of each season provides different in a few weeks.” fodder for knee jerking and overreactions, it’s “This is an alert for bettors,” Musburger said. probably the right reaction to say this season is Georgia, the strongest candidate for the No. 2 “That was one of those spots where Montana already a matchup of Alabama against the field. spot, did not score an offensive in a caught Washington peeking ahead to the 10-3 victory over Clemson that was a minor upset. Wolverines and took advantage of it.” “I don’t think it’s an overreaction,” DraftKings Bulldogs quarterback JT Daniels passed for only sportsbook director John Avello said. “Here we 135 yards with one . Are the Huskies that bad? No. Are the Buckeyes go again. Maybe somebody can bust out and untouchable in the Big Ten? No. Look at some of upset Alabama.” Oklahoma, a 31.5-point favorite, was lucky the best and worst performances of Week 1 and to escape with a 40-35 win over the Green realize the truth usually lies somewhere in the The Tide, laying 19.5 points on a neutral field Wave. Sooners quarterback Spencer Rattler, the middle. in , made it look easy in a 44-13 victory preseason favorite, threw two over . Saban’s coaching record in Alabama , and his team nearly squandered a Underdogs were barking and standing tall at season openers is 15-0. The betting public was 37-14 halftime lead. The game was relocated from 46-35-4 against the spread through Monday. The wise to ride the wave after oddsmakers New Orleans to Norman because of Hurricane most dramatic game was staged Sunday night, dropped the ball and opened the point spread Ida, so would the result have been different on when Florida State erased an 18-point fourth- way too low at -13. Tulane’s home field? quarter deficit and covered as a 7-point dog in a 41-38 overtime loss to Notre Dame. “We did not do well on the Alabama game,” The Big 12’s top contenders to Oklahoma turned Avello said. in mixed results. Iowa State, favored by 28.5 The playoff picture might eventually include points, narrowly escaped in a 16-10 win over and Texas A&M, two favorites that Bryce Young, the replacement for New Northern Iowa. Texas did not have to sweat its took care of business yet still have a long way to Patriots first-round pick , debuted 38-18 victory over Louisiana in the debut of Steve go. The Bearcats, outsiders from the American as a starter by passing for 344 yards and four Sarkisian, who took over the Longhorns after Athletic Conference, face upcoming road games . Young’s finest throw was a 94-yard serving as Alabama’s offensive coordinator. at Indiana and Notre Dame. The Aggies host scoring strike to Jameson Williams, a transfer from Alabama on Oct. 9. Ohio State. Ohio State is the Big Ten’s best hope to challenge the Tide down the road. The Buckeyes pack plenty “If there’s enough attrition among the Power VSiN’s Brent Musburger touted the Tide and of big-play firepower yet showed some defensive Five heavyweights, there could be a path for Buckeyes in the preseason as his top-ranked teams flaws in a 45-31 win at Minnesota, which pushed Cincinnati to make the playoff,” Stone said. and is ready to write one into the playoff bracket as a 14-point home dog. “Maybe it’s a year Cincinnati could run the in ink. table.” Clemson seems likely to recover and should coast “It’s always too early to say these are the four through a mostly weak ACC schedule that does The College Football Playoff race is more wide teams we think are going to make it, but clearly not include . The opener was a open than previously thought, with one exception. you can put Alabama in and I don’t think there’s big step back for the Tar Heels, who were upset Alabama is as good as it appears, so the other any question about that,” Musburger said. 17-10 at Virginia Tech as Heisman candidate Sam three playoff spots are up for grabs. Howell threw three interceptions.

3 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS TULEY’S TAKES ON NFL WEEK 1 CARD BY DAVE TULEY @VIEWFROMVEGAS

I’m guessing most of you felt similarly, but last Saturday was like Christmas morning in the Tuley’s Takes home office with wall-to-wall college football on top of a full stale of MLB and some other stocking stuffers like tennis, golf, horse racing and UFC added to the fun.

I don’t think I’ll have the words to describe how I’ll feel Sunday when the NFL season kicks off. In keeping with the above analogy, I guess the stocking stuffer (or the better equivalent would be if your parents let you open one present on Christmas Eve) is the Cowboys at the Buccaneers in the traditional Thursday night opener.

Our purpose here is to give readers a weekly overview of the NFL card as I give my take on every game. I’m a self-proclaimed “dog-or-pass” bettor, but I’ll often state the case for both sides. In fact, I have many readers who bet more favorites than I do and say that the fact I can’t make a strong case for the dog is actually an endorsement to bet the chalk. I’m here to help in any way I can, whether you’re trying to whittle down your plays to a few best bets each week or if you’re in an office pool or contest where you have to pick every game. Along those lines, even if I don’t have a strong opinion on a game, I list my “pool play” that breaks down how I’m planning to play the game across my many SU & ATS contests.

In addition, my five Best Bets appear elsewhere in each issue of Point Spread Weekly along with consensus picks, which also include some Over/Unders (and as I wrote last week, my college football plays also appear weekly in PSW).

There’s one more thing I want to mention before we get started. I’ve written in a few columns over the summer how I posted my NFL Week 1 picks back in May — Buccaneers -6.5 vs. the Cowboys (up to -8 at several sportsbooks), Jaguars -2.5 at Texans (up to -3), Lions +7.5 vs. 49ers (holding steady at +7.5) and Raiders +5.5 vs. Ravens (down to +4) — but when I’m going over the games each week here, I’m basing my picks on the current lines we’re seeing for our bets and contests.

Cowboys at Buccaneers (-8) As stated above, this line opened Bucs -6.5, so early bettors have a great number as the masses have continued to bet this number higher on the defending champions, who return nearly their whole team intact. However, I believe this line has been overinflated and I’m now on the Cowboys and the points. They still have the offensive weapons to keep up with the Bucs. And if the Bucs win by exactly 7 points and I hit my middle, well, that’s how it’s supposed to work! In addition, I wouldn’t discourage anyone from starting an NFL 6-point teaser with Buccaneers -2 (this will be a very popular play this week). Best Bet: Cowboys +8 (pool play: Cowboys in all my rare ATS contests that include “,” but Buccaneers 67/33 in SU pools).

Steelers at Bills (-6.5) The top game on Sunday’s card is one of the hardest to handicap. The Bills are expected to contend for the AFC title while the Steelers are viewed as being on a downward trend. However, always has whatever team he’s coaching ready to play. I lean to the Steelers, but won’t be betting any money. Best Bet: Pass (pool play: Steelers in slightly more than 50% of ATS contests, but Bills around 70/30 in SU pools).

Jets at Panthers (-5) starts his Carolina career against his former team and the new first-round darling of , Zach Wilson. This line isn’t high enough for me to consider the underdog Jets, especially since I’m high on Darnold with his new weapons: RB Christian McCaffrey, D.J. Moore and Robby Anderson). Best Bet: Pass (pool play: Panthers around 60/40 in ATS contests, but closer to 90/10 in SU pools).

Jaguars (-3) at Texans When I made the Jaguars -2.5 bet back in May, I fully expected this line to go to 3.5 or higher with expected not to play — and I thought I’d be betting some back on the Texans this week. However, Watson is still sidelined and Tyrod Taylor is starting, yet this line never went higher than -3. The Texans haven’t done enough to replenish their depleted roster, so I’m content to let my Jaguars -2.5 ticket ride as Urban Meyer and shouldn’t have to do much to win their NFL debuts. It looks like plenty of -2.5s are reappearing for those wanting to lay the short number. Best Bet: Pass (pool play: Jaguars 70/30 in ATS contest — lower if a contest commissioner goes with -3.5 — and closer to 85/15 in SU pools)

Cardinals at Titans (-3) I hate this Week 1 matchup as I would probably be picking both teams in any other matchup, plus I’ve bet both teams’ Over in season win totals and one will be off to an 0-1 start (and a tie doesn’t help, in fact, it’s the worst-case scenario as ties count as losses in those wagers). Best Bet: Pass (pool play: Cardinals in slightly more than 50% of ATS contests — higher if line is 3.5, less if line is 2.5 — but Titans 65/35 in SU pools).

(continued on next page)

4 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS

Chargers (-1) at Washington This game is a coin flip, as evidenced by Week 1’s lowest point spread, which can be found as pick-’em at several books and even Washington -1 at Circa Sports in Las Vegas. This comes down to whether you think picks up where he left off in his stellar rookie season, or if you trust and Washington’s defense to dominate right out of the gate. Best Bet: Pass (pool play: Chargers right around 55/45 in all SU & ATS contests).

Eagles at Falcons (-3) Second-year QB takes over in Philly, but I think the edge still goes to Matt Ryan. Even though Julio Jones is gone, Ryan has long been able to spread around the ball to whichever receivers are healthy, plus he adds super stud tight end Kyle Pitts. I don’t see Hurts being able to keep up score for score. Best Bet: Pass (pool play: Falcons 60/40 in ATS contests — higher if line is 2.5, lower if line is 3.5 — and around 85/15 in SU pools).

Seahawks (-2.5) at Colts This line actually opened with the Colts favored by 3 points back in May, but there was a change in favorites when Indy QB suffered a foot injury in training camp. The Colts are my value bet to win the , not because of Wentz’s reunion with but because of the overall team. I was hoping this line would get to 3, and it still might, so I’m waiting to actually bet this game, but I’ll take whatever points I can get with the better overall team even if Wentz isn’t 100% by Sunday. Best Bet: Colts +2.5 or higher (pool play: Colts in all my ATS “pick-5” contests and 75/25 in ATS contests where I pick every game, plus around 67/33 in SU pools).

Vikings (-3 -120) at Bengals When the lines first came out in May, I passed on the Bengals +3 because I figured we would get a better line by the time this week rolled around. was having a decent rookie season before his knee injury in November, so I believe he’ll keep the Bengals in this game. As of this writing on Tuesday morning, several books are up to -3 -120, but I really want the “hook” at +3.5. I’ll pass for now, but don’t be surprised if you see me taking the Bengals later in the week if a contest offers the hook. Best Bet: Pass, but waiting for Bengals +3.5 (pool play: Bengals 60/40 in ATS contests — higher at +3.5 — but Vikings around 55/45 in SU pools).

49ers (-7.5) at Lions This line has hardly budged since I bet it in May, but that’s fine as I can’t resist an NFL home dog of more than a touchdown. I’m not exactly thrilled with replacing in Detroit, but I would trust my money less on to lead the 49ers to a double-digit win on the road, which is basically what it takes to cover this spread. This line was Week 1’s highest until the steam came in on the Buccaneers, so it’ll be interesting to see how survivor players handle this. Best Bet: Lions +7.5 (pool play: Lions around 75/25 in ATS contests, but 49ers around 80/20 in SU pools).

Browns at Chiefs (-6) This is similar to the Cardinals-Titans game in my mind as it’s a shame that one of these AFC title contenders has to start 0-1. I would love to make a case for the Browns plus what appear to be generous points, but KC coach Andy Reid is so good with time to prepare and has ridiculous September starts that I have to pass on betting this game and just cheer for Mahomes on my fantasy teams. Best Bet: Pass (pool play: Chiefs in slightly more than 50% of ATS contests and around 75/25 in SU pools).

Dolphins at Patriots (-3 EVEN) A lot is being made of former Alabama teammates and Mac Jones facing each other, and I give the edge to the rookie, Jones. Don’t get me wrong, I think the Dolphins are heading in the right direction, and I’m sure to be on them many times this season as dogs, but the difference should be Bill Belichick and a defense that should be much better than last year with key players returning after opting out. Best Bet: Pass (pool play: Patriots 65/35 in ATS contests — higher if 2.5 is used, lower at 3.5 — and around 75/25 in SU pools).

Broncos (-3 EVEN) at Giants Outside of the fan bases of these two franchises, I haven’t heard any buzz about this game — mostly because it pales in comparison to Browns-Chiefs, Packers- Saints and even Dolphins-Patriots in the Sunday afternoon time slot. Is Saquon Barkley ready to go for the Giants? Or Kenny Golladay? I just don’t think I’m getting enough points for the Giants as home dogs here. Best Bet: Pass (pool play: Broncos around 55/45 in ATS contests — higher at 2.5 — and closer to 70/30 in SU pools).

Packers (-4) vs. Saints in Jacksonville, Fla. This line has changed as much as the teams’ travel plans. The Saints were 3-point home favorites in May (though several books had the game off the board because of the saga). The line flipped to Packers -3 when it was rumored the game was moving out of hurricane-ravaged New Orleans (first to Dallas, then to Jacksonville). I know the Saints lose home-field advantage, but I don’t think the line should have moved a full touchdown. can put up points for the Saints, who have a decent defense. I’ll take the generous points. Best Bet: Saints +4 (pool play: Saints 67/33 in ATS contests — slightly less at 3.5 and slightly more at 4.5 — and even taking Saints 55/45 in SU contests).

Bears at Rams (-7.5) When the lines first came out in May, I passed on the Bears +6.5 and even +7 as I felt the public would put this over a full touchdown, and the public didn’t let me down. The Rams are a top contender with the addition of Matthew Stafford, but I think this line is still too high against a team that can play defense. A lot of people are saying “I’d be on the Bears if they had Justin Fields to avoid the pass rush,” but I think Andy Dalton’s experience will suit him just fine and keep the Bears close. Best Bet: Bears +7.5 (pool play: Bears around 70/30 in ATS contests, but Rams still around 65/35 in SU pools).

Ravens (-4.5) at Raiders I bet Las Vegas early because I really felt the public would drive this number much lower with the Raiders playing their first regular-season game at in front of fans. Maybe that rush of money will come in the hype leading up to “,” but if there’s any game that could be affected by home-field advantage in Week 1, it’s this one. I’m certainly not suggesting the Ravens will be intimidated, but the Raiders have enough weapons to match the Ravens score for score as I see this being decided by a field goal either way.Best Bet: Raiders +4.5 (pool play: Raiders 67/33 in ATS contests, but Ravens 67/33 in SU pools).

5 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS STEVE MAKINEN’S NFL POWER RATINGS

2021 2021 2021 2020 Team Conference PR Rank ES Rank BR Rank Recent Rank SOS Rank

KANSAS CITY AFC WEST 31 1 5.7 5 -4.9 2 -3.4 18 22.6 27 TAMPA BAY NFC SOUTH 29.5 2 7.1 2 -3.6 4 10.1 3 24 14 BUFFALO AFC EAST 29 3 7. 3 1 -4.7 3 17. 7 1 23.8 16 BALTIMORE AFC NORTH 28.5 4 7.1 3 -5.0 1 8.1 5 23.2 19 GREEN BAY NFC NORTH 28 5 3.4 7 -2.9 6 15.4 2 21.8 31 CLEVELAND AFC NORTH 28 6 1 13 -2.4 9 6.7 7 22.7 25 LA RAMS NFC WEST 27.5 7 6.8 4 -3.4 5 9.1 4 25 4 SAN FRANCISCO NFC WEST 27 8 3 8 -2.5 8 4.1 9 25.1 3 NEW ORLEANS NFC SOUTH 26 9 3.8 6 -2.7 7 4.5 8 22.8 24 AFC SOUTH 25.5 10 1.8 10 -0.1 16 0.5 12 22.2 29 SEATTLE NFC WEST 25.5 11 0.8 14 -1.5 10 -1.8 17 23 21 PITTSBURGH AFC NORTH 24 12 1.9 9 -0.6 13 -1.6 16 21.8 32 NFC WEST 24 13 0.4 15 -0.3 15 -7.9 26 23 22 TENNESSEE AFC SOUTH 24 14 -0.2 16 -1.5 11 -8.4 27 23.1 20 DALLAS NFC EAST 24 15 -2.3 24 1.6 23 6.8 6 22.2 30 NEW ENGLAND AFC EAST 23.5 16 1.1 12 -0.4 14 -7.4 24 24.5 9 MINNESOTA NFC NORTH 23.5 17 -0.4 17 -1.3 12 -5.7 23 24.3 11 LA CHARGERS AFC WEST 23.5 18 -2.7 26 1.3 21 3.3 10 22.7 26 MIAMI AFC EAST 23 19 1.2 11 1.1 20 -8.9 28 22.4 28 ATLANTA NFC SOUTH 22.5 20 -0.8 18 0.5 19 -0.8 14 24.5 10 CHICAGO NFC NORTH 22.5 21 -0.8 19 0.2 17 -1.0 15 24.6 7 AFC WEST 22.5 22 -1.7 22 0.4 18 -7.6 25 24.9 6 LAS VEGAS AFC WEST 22 23 -1.3 20 1.6 24 -3.9 19 25.3 2 WASHINGTON NFC EAST 22 24 -1.5 21 3.2 27 -4.8 21 23 23 CAROLINA NFC SOUTH 21 25 -1.7 23 1.3 22 -4.5 20 25 5 NY GIANTS NFC EAST 21 26 -2.4 25 2.5 26 -5.0 22 24 15 NFC EAST 21 27 -3.1 27 1.8 25 -9.0 29 24.2 12 JACKSONVILLE AFC SOUTH 20 28 -4.5 29 4.5 28 -11.5 31 24.1 13 NY JETS AFC EAST 19.5 29 -7.8 32 4.8 30 1.7 11 25.7 1 CINCINNATI AFC NORTH 19 30 -4.3 28 4.6 29 -0.3 13 23.8 17 DETROIT NFC NORTH 18.5 31 -7 31 4.9 31 -17.4 32 24.6 8 AFC SOUTH 17 32 -6.9 30 6.9 32 -10.4 30 23.5 18

6 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS VSIN NFL CONSENSUS MATT DAVE POWER EFFECTIVE BETTORS YOUMANS TULEY RATING STRENGTH RATINGS CONSENSUS SEASON SEASON SEASON SEASON SEASON SEASON 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 LAST WEEK LAST WEEK LAST WEEK LAST WEEK LAST WEEK LAST WEEK 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0

Thursday, September 9, 2021 - (451) DALLAS at (452) TAMPA BAY (-8)

Thursday, September 9, 2021 - (451) DALLAS at (452) TAMPA BAY - TOTAL (51.5) UNDER OVER UNDER OVER OVER OVER

Sunday, September 12, 2021 - (453) PITTSBURGH at (454) BUFFALO (-6.5)

Sunday, September 12, 2021 - (453) PITTSBURGH at (454) BUFFALO - TOTAL (49) UNDER UNDER UNDER OVER OVER UNDER

Sunday, September 12, 2021 - (465) SEATTLE at (466) INDIANAPOLIS (+2.5)

Sunday, September 12, 2021 - (465) SEATTLE at (466) INDIANAPOLIS - TOTAL (49.5) UNDER OVER OVER OVER UNDER OVER

Sunday, September 12, 2021 - (483) GREEN BAY vs. (484) NEW ORLEANS (+4)

Sunday, September 12, 2021 - (483) GREEN BAY vs. (484) NEW ORLEANS - TOTAL (50) OVER OVER UNDER OVER OVER OVER

Sunday, September 12, 2021 - (479) CHICAGO at (480) LA RAMS (-7.5)

Sunday, September 12, 2021 - (479) CHICAGO at (480) LA RAMS - TOTAL (46) UNDER UNDER UNDER UNDER OVER UNDER

7 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS VSIN NFL BEST BETS LOU BRADY MITCH FINOCCHIARO KANNON MOSS SEASON: SEASON: SEASON: LAST WEEK: LAST WEEK: LAST WEEK:

Steelers +6.5 Jets +5.5 Jaguars-Texans Under 44.5 Washington +1 Texans +3 Washington +1 Giants +3 Falcons -3 Patriots -2.5 Saints +4 Browns +6 Giants +3 Raiders +4.5 Patriots -2.5 Saints +4

DAVE JONATHAN MATT TULEY VON TOBEL YOUMANS SEASON: SEASON: SEASON: LAST WEEK: LAST WEEK: LAST WEEK:

Cowboys +8 Steelers +6.5 Texans +3 Colts +2.5 Texans +3 Washington +1 Bears +7.5 Washington +1 Patriots -2.5 Saints +4 Patriots -2.5 Rams -7.5 Raiders +4.5 Raiders +4.5 Raiders +4.5

8 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS WEEK 1 NFL SYSTEMS HELP UNCOVER LINE WEAK SPOTS BY STEVE MAKINEN @STEVEMAKINEN

With the much-anticipated NFL season set to open, bettors will once again Tyrod Taylor. Houston was 4-12 in 2020 and has also changed coaches, be looking for the best information they can find to get off to profitable opting for David Culley, who last served as the Ravens’ assistant head starts. So it’s the ideal time to look more closely at four betting systems coach. His team is generally being regarded as the league’s worst, but that have been successful and consistent in analyzing previous Week 1 Taylor does provide some veteran presence and leadership. The Texans action. These are angles that take into account how the teams fared the beat the Jaguars twice last season for half their victories, winning in previous year and how they typically transition into the next season’s Houston 30-14. The glaring question here is: Are you willing to lay 3 openers. points on the road with a 1-15 team?

These systems are based on oddsmakers’ perceptions. Although the belief is that the house always wins, sometimes even the so-called experts are off OPENING-WEEK ROAD TEAMS THAT WON FOUR TO too. In other cases, they have the teams pegged accurately. The systems SIX GAMES THE PREVIOUS SEASON ARE 45-20-5 ATS I’m about to unveil detail situations in which you can take advantage. (69.2%) SINCE 2004 The most important note is that every team, regardless of what happened (Win: +23 units, ROI: 32.9%, Grade 65) last year or what player or coaching transactions it made in the offseason, Dallas, Philadelphia, San Francisco, Denver is starting with a fresh slate. That can do wonders for a team. It can also 2021 potential plays: Teams in the four- to six-win range usually qualify as potential wipe out any momentum generated the previous season. All of this is Analysis: bounce-back teams, with the new season offering fresh motivation and very tough to measure, and with no on-field action to digest, how can momentum. In many cases it was bad luck, injuries or even tanking that those setting the lines be expected to accurately quantify teams’ Week 1 soured their records the previous season. Last year the four teams on the chemistry? This can be advantageous to bettors. system went 2-2 ATS. Four teams qualify again for this angle in 2021. Let’s look at each of those games. Remember, the bookies’ job theoretically is to try to maximize even action on the wagering options, not so much to pick the game. Naturally, weak Game 1: Dallas (+7.5) at Tampa Bay spots will show up, and savvy bettors who are prepared with knowledge Tampa Bay was the big story of the 2020 season, rising from the ashes of the teams and a powerful weapon like systems can be ready to take to win the Super Bowl after years of failing to even make the postseason. advantage. Here are four to help you get ready for NFL kickoff 2021. Much of the credit, of course, went to the signing of . He is back for another go-round as quarterback, and as usual, he and his defending Super Bowl champion teammates will host the league’s opening- DIVISIONAL HOME UNDERDOGS ARE 15-6-1 SU night contest. The Bucs are fairly sizable favorites, laying 7.5 points to AND 18-4 ATS (81.8%) IN WEEK 1 SINCE 2009 the Cowboys, who were a total disappointment a year ago. Dallas was (Win: +13.6 units, ROI: 61.8%, Grade 70) expected to be among the top contenders for the NFC crown but struggled early defensively and then lost QB to a season-ending injury. 2021 potential play: Houston Dallas wound up 6-10. For 2021, in coach Mike McCarthy’s second season, Analysis: Unlike previous seasons, the Week 1 slate has few divisional the franchise has reloaded. Prescott is back, and this time the overwhelming contests. However, one of the two games fills the bill for this very successful expectations for greatness are not. Don’t be surprised to see a totally system. Not much is more motivating than an opening-week contest at home different Cowboys team in 2021 as the slate is wiped clean. against a targeted team in the division. In most cases, the road favorite was a returning playoff team, while the home dog was an aspiring one. In this Game 2: Philadelphia (+3.5) at Atlanta year’s case, the team prospects are a bit different, with a returning 1-15 Philadelphia was among the three NFC East teams to win between four and team playing the role of road chalk. As you can see, over the last 12 years, six games last season in an underwhelming campaign. The Eagles begin the aspiring team has enjoyed plenty of success and a great start to the anew under, who left his role as offensive coordinator in Indianapolis for season. The Redskins and Jaguars qualified on this last year and won. For his first shot as a head coach. His first and perhaps most important decision the latter, the shoe is on the other foot this weekend. will be at quarterback, where returning starter Jalen Hurts is trying to hold off newly acquired . The first test for Sirianni’s club comes Game 1: Houston (+3) vs. Jacksonville in Atlanta, where new coach Arthur Smith also faces his first game as head It is truly a rarity in the NFL when a team that was 1-15 in the previous of an NFL team. The Eagles lost seven of their last eight games in 2020 but season opens as a road favorite in Week 1, particularly in a divisional are expected to threaten in the NFC East. The latest line would suggest the game. The Jaguars have a lot to be excited about with the switch to Falcons are deemed to be the better club, as they lay 3.5 points despite coach Urban Meyer and the injection of top draft pick Trevor Lawrence at matching Philly’s win total of four last season. Is this the type of game when quarterback. However, you have to look at this line as oddsmakers getting it’s not safe to lay points with either side? We’ll see. a little overzealous. The line stems 100% from the legal situation involving Texans QB Deshaun Watson and the fact that they will turn to journeyman (continued on next page)

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Game 3: San Francisco (-7.5) at Detroit two-time defending AFC champs. Cleveland won 11 games last year and The first two teams we’ve seen on this system were road underdogs. demonstrated a run-pass balance like no other team in football. Still, The next two are road favorites, and the 49ers are actually regarded matching up with the NFL’s best quarterback on the road in a reclamation as the team most likely to win on the entire NFL board, installed as spot will not be easy. 7.5-point favorites in Detroit. This might seem somewhat of a surprise considering that San Francisco was 6-10 last year and the Lions were just Game 3: New England (-2.5) vs. Miami a game worse at 5-11, but the perception appears to be that one club As it turns out, New England spent exactly one season moving on from its has righted the ship and one is about to crash into an iceberg. Coach quarterback of the past to its quarterback of the future. kept Kyle Shanahan’s team endured debilitating injury woes last season and the spot warm in an underwhelming season for the Patriots and coach Bill was unable to match the expectations that go with being the defending Belichick. After Newton was released last week, the Pats said rookie Mac conference champion. San Francisco has most of its stars back for 2021 Jones would get the starting nod. Ironically, his first game comes against and could be turning to an exciting young quarterback in . The the QB he replaced at Alabama, Tua Tagovailoa. The Patriots should be Lions lost their franchise QB from the last decade in Matthew Stafford and a far better passing team in 2021 under Jones and have an explosive replaced him with Jared Goff. They also are turning to a new coach in running attack and well-respected defense to ease the burden of his Dan Campbell, who will at least try to bring fire and passion to a roster rookie status. Miami was a pleasant surprise in 2020, winning 10 games. that most experts think will be overwhelmed. The opening-game line However, the Dolphins failed to make the postseason despite that gaudy matches that line of thinking. record and were unable to take advantage of a season that provided good turnover fortune. Traveling to New England has never been easy Game 4: Denver (-2.5) at for them. Facing a fired-up Patriots team looking to earn back its stripes Denver is the other road favorite qualifying for the returning four- to six- makes it even more difficult. win system as the Broncos and new quarterback Teddy Bridgewater travel east to take on the Giants. This game will be a true test as to whether the experts setting the odds have an accurate gauge on evaluating certain WEEK 1 NONDIVISIONAL CONFERENCE ROAD teams. New York actually had a better record than the Broncos last year FAVORITES ARE 21-12-1 ATS (63.6%) SINCE 1999 and brings back some key players who were lost for 2020. Coach Vic (Win: +7.8 units, ROI: 23.6%, Grade 60) Fangio’s team did not beat a playoff team all year yet has seemingly earned the respect that a typical divisional favorite might. New York could 2021 potential plays: San Francisco, Green Bay, Baltimore surprise in 2021, but oddsmakers appear to be focused on the fact that Analysis: The host teams in this system have scored just 14.7 ppg in the the Giants scored just 14.2 ppg in their final six games of 2020 and could 34 contests. Historically, the home dogs in these games are not good be stymied by the Broncos’ respected defense. offensive teams. Pretty easy to see why the road favorites have had ATS success. Last year featured two qualifiers, with the Chargers winning at Cincinnati and the Titans winning 16-14 at Denver but failing to cover a OPENING-WEEK HOME FAVORITES HOSTING TEAMS 3-point line. This year there are three plays. THAT WERE ABOVE .500 THE PREVIOUS SEASON ARE 45-20-5 ATS (69.2%) SINCE 2000 Game 1: San Francisco (-7.5) at Detroit (Win: +23 units, ROI: 32.9%, Grade 65) The 49ers are the one team that qualifies on two of the four systems. See the earlier breakdown on Sunday’s contest at Detroit. 2021 potential plays: Buffalo, Kansas City, New England Analysis: Home favorites hosting quality opponents are likely very Game 2: Green Bay (-3) at New Orleans strong themselves, or at least expected to be much better, and opening While officially noted as a neutral-site game after being switched to the season provides extra motivation. Alternatively, in the case of our Jacksonville, the Packers are still 3-point favorites and still playing on the visiting teams this season, none is expected to reach its 2020 heights. For road, so in essence the fundamentals of this system still apply. In fact, if 2021, three plays are on tap. anything, the locale change should only strengthen the case for Green Bay, as historically the Packers have struggled to contain the Saints at Game 1: Buffalo (-6.5) vs. Pittsburgh the Superdome. Coach Matt LaFleur’s team has lost in back-to-back NFC If you’re among those who believe that franchises achieve greatness by title games and, after a drama-filled offseason surrounding star QB Aaron taking the little steps necessary to reach their goals, perhaps Buffalo is Rodgers, will look to take it a step further in 2021. The Saints start their the team for you in 2021. The Bills have reached the playoffs in three post- era as their longtime star retired after another playoff of the last four years, most recently losing to the Chiefs in the AFC title disappointment. Jameis Winston gets the nod as the new captain of coach game. They have a solid defense, a decent running game and an MVP- Sean Payton’s offense, but he was best known for throwing the ball to the level quarterback, and from the looks of it, they are starving to give their other team while with Tampa Bay. He should keep things exciting for the fans a championship. The potential run at that title begins at home against Saints, even if not as successful. Pittsburgh, an AFC foe that has been to the top of the mountain several times. It appeared the Steelers were going to get there again last season Game 3: Baltimore (-4.5) at Las Vegas after an 11-0 start, but then the wheels fell off and they lost six of their The Monday night opener gives fans in Las Vegas a fresh chance to next seven. That is the momentum, or lack thereof, with which coach Mike welcome their new home team, as 2020 threw a wrench into the Raiders’ Tomlin’s team enters the season. The Steelers have been great under Tomlin first season in Sin City. The first test for coach ’s team won’t as underdogs, but these Steelers don’t seem to fit the model Tomlin prefers. be easy, though, as the Ravens have gone 35-13 in the last three regular I can’t think of a more difficult environment to play a season opener. seasons only to come up short in the playoffs. That has left them hungrier than ever to start a run at the Super Bowl. Coach John Harbaugh’s team Game 2: Kansas City (-6) vs. Cleveland may have endured the preseason’s most critical injury, however, losing We have a rematch of a divisional round playoff contest on tap in Week RB J.K. Dobbins for the season with a torn ACL. They said goodbye to 1, and it matches the Browns and Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium. Kansas Mark Ingram in the offseason and are left with questions in the backfield. City is a 6-point favorite, and it seems oddsmakers are willing to place However, Baltimore is on a five-game SU and ATS winning streak in their faith in QB Patrick Mahomes and coach Andy Reid. What happened season openers and has done so in convincing fashion, outscoring to Reid’s team on Super Bowl Sunday was an absolute stunner, and opponents 177-26. Harbaugh has had a ton of success getting his team this line would seem to suggest the debacle was enough to wake up the ready each year.

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BY STEVE MAKINEN @STEVEMAKINEN STRENGTH RATINGS TUTORIAL Answering some questions I have received lately, here is a quick those on their own. 2) Each morning I do go back and make postgame explanation of each of the three Strength Ratings offered each week for adjustments to the ratings based upon results, closing lines, and injuries every game in the various sports we cover: for the purpose of future numbers. 3) Point spread projections (proj) are built for the home team. In other words, if the number is positive, that • The Power Ratings (PR) are my own manually adjusted ratings updated means the road team would be favored. after every game based upon analysis of live action and box scores • The Effective Strength Ratings (EffStr or ES) are purely statistical ratings, In general, the best practice is to use the ratings and scores (scr) as a using the teams’ key stats against schedule strength and their previous basis of where to expect the lines to be when they come out and/or they opponents’ averages. These are also adjusted for any key injuries the close. While I stand behind the Strength Ratings’ for their quality, validity, team had endured or faced against. and the methods by which each is built, tracking the records against the • The Bettors Ratings (BtrRtg) are a quantified interpretation of how actual lines is the only way to verify the success rates of each. bettors perceive teams based upon how lines of recent games have moved and closed. Over the course of a day or week, the lines for some games will change. Unless a player is out, the ratings only change on a day to day basis Some important points: 1) On injuries situations where a key line move based on games played. I personally update the ratings daily, but player is listed as doubtful or out, I have already built the adjustments obviously for uses in the Point Spread Weekly, I cannot present the daily into the ratings. Where the player is questionable or probable, I have changes. It is in “overadjustments” by oddsmakers daily that a lot of value not, so if that player ends up missing then the reader needs to account for can be found.

STRENGTH RATINGS EXAMPLE Power Rating Effective Strength Bettor Rating # Road Team/Home Team OL FL Score PR Line Edge Score Proj Edge Score Proj Edge 451 DALLAS COWBOYS 52 24 23.3 52.1 22.1 51.9 452 TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS -6.5 29.5 -8.3 28.8 -5.5 29.9 -7.8

COMMON ABBREVIATIONS USED THROUGHOUT THIS GUIDE ATS – Against the Spread • Avg - Average • DC - Defensive Coordinator • Def - Defense Dog - Underdog • Eff Strg - Steve Makinen Effective Strength Rating • Fav - Favorite FL – Final Line • FT – Final Total • HC - Head Coach • H2h – Head-to-Head • L - Losses L# - Last number of games • LY – Last Year • MOV – Margin of Victory • O - Over OC - Offensive Coordinator • Off - Offense • OL – Opening Line • OT – Opening Total Opp – Opponent • O/U – Over/Under • PA - Points Against • Pct - Percentage • PF - Points For PPG - Points Per Game • PYPG – Passing Yards per Game • RS - Returning Starters RYPG – Rushing Yards per Game • SM BR - Steve Makinen Bettors’ Rating SM PR - Steve Makinen Power Rating • SU - Straight Up • TO - Turnovers TYPG – Total Yards per Game • U - Under • W - Wins • YPP – Yards per Play YPPT – Yards per Point • YPR – Yards per Rush

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WEEK 1 NFL MATCHUPS

(451) DALLAS (452) TAMPA BAY SU: 6-10 • ATS: 5-11 • O/U: 9-7 SU: 15-5 • ATS: 11-7-2 • O/U: 11-9

SEPTEMBER 9, 2021 8:20 PM ET ON NBC LINE: TAMPA BAY (-8 • 51.5) RAYMOND JAMES STADIUM • TAMPA,FL

The ‘21 NFL season begins where the ‘20 season concluded, in Tampa Bay, where the Buccaneers will raise their championship banner before taking the field as 7.5-point favorites over the Cowboys. This line opened at 6.5 and got over the key number of 7, going all the way to 10 in some shops due to pessimism over the status of Dallas quarterback Dak Prescott. He did not play in the preseason and was reportedly nursing a sore shoulder. Prescott will play in his first game since last October, when an ankle injury against the Giants ended his season. The Bucs were the only team to finish in the top five in both offensive and defensive DVOA in 2020, according to Football Outsiders, and remarkably return every coach and starter from last season. The defending champs are riding an eight-game winning streak into the opener, as a Week 12 loss to the Chiefs last year was the last time the Bucs were defeated. They won their last four regular-season games as well as four straight in the postseason en route to winning the title. The Cowboys missed the playoffs for the second consecutive season and just went winless in four preseason games. They hired Dan Quinn to coach what Cowboys bettors hope is a new-look defense, considering the unit ranked 31st against the run in 2020. Oddsmakers expect some fireworks in this one, as the total is set at 51.5. – William Hill

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2020 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF DALLAS 24.7 23 27-112 [4.2] 40-26-260 [6.5] 15.1 29.6 22 32-159 [5.0] 32-20-228 [7.1] 13.1 -3 -4.9 TAMPA BAY 30.8 23 24-100 [4.1] 38-25-282 [7.4] 12.4 21.6 20 22-83 [3.8] 40-27-249 [6.3] 15.4 +13 +9.2

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj DALLAS 51.5 24 23.3 52.1 22.1 51.9 TAMPA BAY -8 29.5 -8.3 28.8 -5.5 29.9 -7.8

TOP TEAM TRENDS • TAMPA BAY is 5-2 ATS(L7G) - with Starting QB - BRADY • DALLAS is 1-6 ATS(L7G) - On grass field • DALLAS is 8-1-1 UNDER(L10G) on ROAD - VS NFC-SOUTH

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2018-12-23 TAMPA BAY (20) at DALLAS (27) -7 48.0 x x x UNDER 2016-12-18 TAMPA BAY (20) at DALLAS (26) -6.5 47.0 TAMPA BAY ROAD DOG UNDER 2015-11-15 DALLAS (6) at TAMPA BAY (10) +1 42.5 TAMPA BAY HOME DOG UNDER 2012-09-23 TAMPA BAY (10) at DALLAS (16) -7 45.5 TAMPA BAY ROAD DOG UNDER 2011-12-17 DALLAS (31) at TAMPA BAY (15) +7 46.0 DALLAS ROAD FAV x

HEAD-TO-HEAD TREND • The L4 games of DAL-TB h2h series went UNDER the total

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS DALLAS RESULTS TAMPA BAY RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-09 at TAMPA BAY + 7.5 51.5 09-09 VS DALLAS - 7.5 51.5 09-19 at LA CHARGERS 09-19 VS ATLANTA 09-27 VS PHILADELPHIA 09-26 at LA RAMS 10-03 VS CAROLINA 10-03 at NEW ENGLAND 10-10 VS NY GIANTS 10-10 VS MIAMI 10-17 at NEW ENGLAND 10-14 at PHILADELPHIA 10-31 at MINNESOTA 10-24 VS CHICAGO 11-07 VS DENVER 10-31 at NEW ORLEANS 11-14 VS ATLANTA 11-14 at WASHINGTON 11-21 at KANSAS CITY 11-22 VS NY GIANTS 11-25 VS LAS VEGAS 11-28 at INDIANAPOLIS 12-02 at NEW ORLEANS 12-05 at ATLANTA 12-12 at WASHINGTON 12-12 VS BUFFALO 12-19 at NY GIANTS 12-19 VS NEW ORLEANS 12-26 VS WASHINGTON 12-26 at CAROLINA 01-02 VS ARIZONA 01-02 at NY JETS 01-09 at PHILADELPHIA 01-09 VS CAROLINA 12 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS

WEEK 1 NFL MATCHUPS

(453) PITTSBURGH (454) BUFFALO SU: 12-5 • ATS: 10-7 • O/U: 9-7-1 SU: 15-4 • ATS: 12-7 • O/U: 12-6-1

SEPTEMBER 12, 2021 1:00 PM ET ON CBS LINE: BUFFALO (-6.5 • 48.5) HIGHMARK STADIUM • BUFFALO,NY

This game opened with the Bills as 5-point favorites, then moved all the way up to the key number of 7 but has been bet back down to 6.5. Support for the Bills is not surprising, as they were runners-up in the AFC last year and their young quarterback, Josh Allen, finished second in MVP voting. While Allen is an ascending star, ’s days of competing for MVPs seem to have come and gone. The 39-year-old quarterback is the last man standing from the vaunted quarterback class of ‘04 and is entering perhaps his final season. Roethlisberger’s play has declined significantly, illustrated by his career-low 6.3 yards per attempt last season. Deteriorating quarterback play is not Pittsburgh’s only concern. The team will be replacing four-fifths of its offensive line, including center Maurkice Pouncey, who retired. The Steelers were in the top five defensively in yards per game and points per game while starting the season 11-0. Skeptics, however, point to their favorable schedule during that undefeated start and to their 1-4 record down the stretch, which was followed by an ugly playoff loss to the Browns. One of Pittsburgh’s four losses was 26-15 in Buffalo. The Bills were elite on offense, averaging 29.9 points per game, third best in the NFL. The total opened at 50.5 and has been bet down to 48.5 – William Hill

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2020 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF PITTSBURGH 26.6 21 23-83 [3.6] 43-28-265 [6.2] 13.1 21.2 18 26-112 [4.3] 33-19-198 [6.0] 14.6 +4 +5.4 BUFFALO 29.9 24 25-104 [4.2] 38-26-281 [7.5] 12.9 23.2 22 26-123 [4.7] 37-23-239 [6.6] 15.6 +5 +6.7

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj PITTSBURGH 49 24 21.7 49.1 22 49.9 BUFFALO -6.5 29 -7.1 27.4 -5.7 28 -6

TOP TEAM TRENDS • BUFFALO is 8-2 ATS(L10G) at HOME - First game of the season • PITTSBURGH is 4-10-1 ATS(L15G) on ROAD - VS AFC-EAST • PITTSBURGH is 13-2 UNDER(L15G) - VS AFC-EAST

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2020-12-13 PITTSBURGH (15) at BUFFALO (26) -1.5 48.5 BUFFALO HOME FAV UNDER 2019-12-15 BUFFALO (17) at PITTSBURGH (10) -1 37.0 BUFFALO ROAD DOG UNDER 2016-12-11 PITTSBURGH (27) at BUFFALO (20) +1 45.5 PITTSBURGH ROAD FAV OVER 2013-11-10 BUFFALO (10) at PITTSBURGH (23) -2.5 43.0 PITTSBURGH HOME FAV UNDER 2010-11-28 PITTSBURGH (19) at BUFFALO (16) +6.5 43.5 BUFFALO HOME DOG UNDER

HEAD-TO-HEAD TREND • FAVORITES are on a 10-4-1 ATS run in PIT-BUF series

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS PITTSBURGH RESULTS BUFFALO RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-12 at BUFFALO + 6.5 48.5 09-12 VS PITTSBURGH - 6.5 48.5 09-19 VS LAS VEGAS 09-19 at MIAMI 09-26 VS CINCINNATI 09-26 VS WASHINGTON 10-03 at GREEN BAY 10-03 VS HOUSTON 10-10 VS DENVER 10-10 at KANSAS CITY 10-17 VS SEATTLE 10-18 at TENNESSEE 10-31 at CLEVELAND 10-31 VS MIAMI 11-08 VS CHICAGO 11-07 at JACKSONVILLE 11-14 VS DETROIT 11-14 at NY JETS 11-21 at LA CHARGERS 11-21 VS INDIANAPOLIS 11-28 at CINCINNATI 11-25 at NEW ORLEANS 12-05 VS BALTIMORE 12-06 VS NEW ENGLAND 12-09 at MINNESOTA 12-12 at TAMPA BAY 12-19 VS TENNESSEE 12-19 VS CAROLINA 12-26 at KANSAS CITY 12-26 at NEW ENGLAND 01-03 VS CLEVELAND 01-02 VS ATLANTA 01-09 at BALTIMORE 01-09 VS NY JETS 13 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS

WEEK 1 NFL MATCHUPS

(455) NY JETS (456) CAROLINA SU: 2-14 • ATS: 6-10 • O/U: 7-9 SU: 5-11 • ATS: 9-7 • O/U: 7-8-1

SEPTEMBER 12, 2021 1:00 PM ET ON CBS LINE: CAROLINA (-5.5 • 44.5) BANK OF AMERICA STADIUM • CHARLOTTE,NC

The obvious storyline here is Sam Darnold playing against the Jets, the team that dealt him in April just three years after trading up to draft him third overall. The Jets moved on from Darnold and will usher in the Zach Wilson era, heading to Carolina as 5.5-point underdogs. Their offense finished dead last in points per game (15.2) and yards per play (4.7) in 2020. New Jets coach Robert Saleh takes over a team that won just two games last year and was winless until Dec. 20, looking to end a playoff drought now over a decade long. The Panthers’ offense will look much different this year, as their new quarterback will have one of the league’s best weapons lining up behind him. Christian McCaffrey compiled nearly 2,400 yards from scrimmage in 2019 but played in just three games in 2020. This line has moved up from 4.5 as bettors are perhaps tentative to back Wilson in his first NFL start. While Wilson’s collegiate accolades are unquestioned, the level of competition he faced at BYU may concern bettors. The total opened at 43.5 and has been bet up to 44.5. – William Hill

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2020 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF NY JETS 15.2 17 25-105 [4.1] 31-18-175 [5.6] 18.4 28.6 24 28-112 [4.0] 38-26-276 [7.3] 13.6 0 -13.4 CAROLINA 21.9 21 25-106 [4.2] 34-23-243 [7.1] 15.9 25.1 22 25-121 [4.7] 37-25-239 [6.5] 14.3 +1 -3.2

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj NY JETS 44.5 19 20.5 45.2 19 43.8 CAROLINA -5.5 21 -4.6 24.6 -4.1 24.8 -5.8

TOP TEAM TRENDS • CAROLINA is 4-0-3 ATS(L7G) - VS AFC-EAST • NY JETS are 3-7 ATS(L10G) on ROAD - All games • CAROLINA is 17-4-1 UNDER(L22G) at HOME - Before playing NEW ORLEANS

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2017-11-26 CAROLINA (35) at NY JETS (27) +6 39.5 CAROLINA ROAD FAV OVER 2013-12-15 NY JETS (20) at CAROLINA (30) -10 40.5 x x x OVER 2009-11-29 CAROLINA (6) at NY JETS (17) -3 41.0 NY JETS HOME FAV UNDER 2005-11-13 NY JETS (3) at CAROLINA (30) -8.5 40.5 CAROLINA HOME FAV UNDER 2001-10-28 NY JETS (13) at CAROLINA (12) +3 39.0 CAROLINA HOME DOG UNDER

HEAD-TO-HEAD TREND • CAROLINA is 3-0-1 ATS hosting NY Jets

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS NY JETS RESULTS CAROLINA RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-12 at CAROLINA + 5 45 09-12 VS NY JETS - 5 45 09-19 VS NEW ENGLAND 09-19 VS NEW ORLEANS 09-26 at DENVER 09-23 at HOUSTON 10-03 VS TENNESSEE 10-03 at DALLAS 10-10 at ATLANTA 10-10 VS PHILADELPHIA 10-24 at NEW ENGLAND 10-17 VS MINNESOTA 10-31 VS CINCINNATI 10-24 at NY GIANTS 11-04 at INDIANAPOLIS 10-31 at ATLANTA 11-14 VS BUFFALO 11-07 VS NEW ENGLAND 11-21 VS MIAMI 11-14 at ARIZONA 11-28 at HOUSTON 11-21 VS WASHINGTON 12-05 VS PHILADELPHIA 11-28 at MIAMI 12-12 VS NEW ORLEANS 12-12 VS ATLANTA 12-19 at MIAMI 12-19 at BUFFALO 12-26 VS JACKSONVILLE 12-26 VS TAMPA BAY 01-02 VS TAMPA BAY 01-02 at NEW ORLEANS 01-09 at BUFFALO 01-09 at TAMPA BAY 14 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS

WEEK 1 NFL MATCHUPS

(457) JACKSONVILLE (458) HOUSTON SU: 1-15 • ATS: 7-9 • O/U: 8-7-1 SU: 4-12 • ATS: 5-11 • O/U: 9-6-1

SEPTEMBER 12, 2021 1:00 PM ET ON CBS LINE: JACKSONVILLE (-2.5 • 44.5) NRG STADIUM • HOUSTON,TX

The Jaguars hope they landed a franchise quarterback in former Clemson star Trevor Lawrence, who will be favored in his pro debut on the road against the Texans. This line has touched the key number of 3 in some shops due to the assumed absence of another former Clemson quarterback, Deshaun Watson, who has been excluded from the Texans’ depth chart. Tyrod Taylor is expected to start in place of Watson. Taylor was the Bills’ starting quarterback from 2015-17 but has thrown only 121 passes since in brief stints with the Browns and Chargers. The Jaguars, coming off a 1-15 year, upset the Colts in the ‘20 season opener but have not won since. The Texans enter the season with the lowest season win total of 4, according to DraftKings, and are the +250 betting favorites to finish with the worst record in the NFL. This game features two rookie head coaches, David Culley and Urban Meyer, each looking to turn around a defense that was in the bottom three in the league in yards allowed last season. Despite the poor defenses, the total is set at a modest 44.5, likely due to the uncertainty each team has at quarterback. – William Hill

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2020 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF JACKSONVILLE 19.1 19 21-95 [4.5] 38-24-231 [6.0] 17.1 30.8 25 32-153 [4.7] 33-23-264 [7.9] 13.5 -8 -11.7 HOUSTON 24.0 20 21-92 [4.3] 34-24-284 [8.3] 15.7 29.0 24 31-160 [5.2] 34-24-256 [7.6] 14.3 -9 -5.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj JACKSONVILLE -3 20 23.8 44.6 23.9 43.4 HOUSTON 44.5 18.5 3.5 20.8 3 19.5 4.4

TOP TEAM TRENDS • JACKSONVILLE is 11-4 ATS(L15G) - In September • HOUSTON is 3-4 ATS(L7G) - On Sunday • HOUSTON is 8-2 UNDER(L10G) at HOME - First game of the season

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2020-11-08 HOUSTON (27) at JACKSONVILLE (25) +6.5 48.5 JACKSONVILLE HOME DOG OVER 2020-10-11 JACKSONVILLE (14) at HOUSTON (30) -6 54.0 HOUSTON HOME FAV UNDER 2019-11-03 * JACKSONVILLE (3) vs HOUSTON (26) +1 46.0 HOUSTON x DOG UNDER 2019-09-15 JACKSONVILLE (12) at HOUSTON (13) -7 43.5 JACKSONVILLE ROAD DOG UNDER 2018-12-30 JACKSONVILLE (3) at HOUSTON (20) -7 39.5 HOUSTON HOME FAV UNDER

HEAD-TO-HEAD TREND • The L4 games of JAC-HOU rivalry in Houston went UNDER the total

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS JACKSONVILLE RESULTS HOUSTON RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-12 at HOUSTON + 3 45 09-12 VS JACKSONVILLE + 3 45 09-19 VS DENVER 09-19 at CLEVELAND 09-26 VS ARIZONA 09-23 VS CAROLINA 09-30 at CINCINNATI 10-03 at BUFFALO 10-10 VS TENNESSEE 10-10 VS NEW ENGLAND 10-17 VS MIAMI 10-17 at INDIANAPOLIS 10-31 at SEATTLE 10-24 at ARIZONA 11-07 VS BUFFALO 10-31 VS LA RAMS 11-14 at INDIANAPOLIS 11-07 at MIAMI 11-21 VS SAN FRANCISCO 11-21 at TENNESSEE 11-28 VS ATLANTA 11-28 VS NY JETS 12-05 at LA RAMS 12-05 VS INDIANAPOLIS 12-12 at TENNESSEE 12-12 VS SEATTLE 12-19 VS HOUSTON 12-19 at JACKSONVILLE 12-26 at NY JETS 12-26 VS LA CHARGERS 01-02 at NEW ENGLAND 01-02 at SAN FRANCISCO 01-09 VS INDIANAPOLIS 01-09 VS TENNESSEE 15 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS

WEEK 1 NFL MATCHUPS

(459) ARIZONA (460) TENNESSEE SU: 8-8 • ATS: 7-9 • O/U: 5-10-1 SU: 11-6 • ATS: 7-10 • O/U: 12-4-1

SEPTEMBER 12, 2021 1:00 PM ET ON CBS LINE: TENNESSEE (-3 • 52) NISSAN STADIUM • NASHVILLE,TN

Both teams will display some new weapons. A.J. Green and Julio Jones were highly drafted in 2011, and each will play his first game for his new team. The Titans, 3-point favorites over the Cardinals, added Jones to an offense that scored the fourth-most points in 2020. Jones will play alongside Derrick Henry, who has led the league in rushing the last two seasons. But that could also be cause for concern. Including the playoffs, the bruising Henry has accumulated 527 touches since the start of 2019. Another concern is the departure of offensive coordinator Arthur Smith, who helped revitalize ’s career but is now the head coach in Atlanta. The Titans will be looking to improve on a defense that was near the bottom of the league in points allowed and passing yards allowed. The Cardinals added Green as well as J.J. Watt as they look to qualify for their first postseason since 2015. They were middle of the pack in both offense and defense last season, and despite a 6-3 start finished 8-8 and fell short of the postseason. This is one of the higher totals of the week, set at 52. – William Hill

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2020 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF ARIZONA 25.6 24 30-140 [4.7] 36-24-245 [6.8] 15.0 22.9 23 27-125 [4.6] 36-23-226 [6.4] 15.3 0 +2.7 TENNESSEE 29.6 23 32-161 [5.0] 30-20-224 [7.5] 13.0 27.0 24 27-128 [4.7] 38-26-271 [7.0] 14.8 +11 +2.6

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj ARIZONA 52 24 24.5 51.5 24.3 52.6 TENNESSEE -3 24 -3.2 27 -2.6 28.4 -4.1

TOP TEAM TRENDS • ARIZONA is 34-23-2 ATS(L10Y) - Underdog of 7 or less points • TENNESSEE is 2-8 ATS(L10G) - Referee - BOGER • ARIZONA is 7-1 OVER(L8G) on ROAD - Referee - BOGER

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2017-12-10 TENNESSEE (7) at ARIZONA (12) +3 42.0 ARIZONA HOME DOG UNDER 2013-12-15 ARIZONA (37) at TENNESSEE (34) +3 42.5 x x x OVER 2009-11-29 ARIZONA (17) at TENNESSEE (20) -3 44.0 x x x UNDER 2005-10-23 TENNESSEE (10) at ARIZONA (20) -5.5 45.0 ARIZONA HOME FAV UNDER 1997-10-26 TENNESSEE (41) at ARIZONA (14) -1 38.0 TENNESSEE ROAD DOG OVER

HEAD-TO-HEAD TREND • The L4 games of DAL-TB h2h series went UNDER the total

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS ARIZONA RESULTS TENNESSEE RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-12 at TENNESSEE + 3 52 09-12 VS ARIZONA - 3 52 09-19 VS MINNESOTA 09-19 at SEATTLE 09-26 at JACKSONVILLE 09-26 VS INDIANAPOLIS 10-03 at LA RAMS 10-03 at NY JETS 10-10 VS SAN FRANCISCO 10-10 at JACKSONVILLE 10-17 at CLEVELAND 10-18 VS BUFFALO 10-24 VS HOUSTON 10-24 VS KANSAS CITY 10-28 VS GREEN BAY 10-31 at INDIANAPOLIS 11-07 at SAN FRANCISCO 11-07 at LA RAMS 11-14 VS CAROLINA 11-14 VS NEW ORLEANS 11-21 at SEATTLE 11-21 VS HOUSTON 12-05 at CHICAGO 11-28 at NEW ENGLAND 12-13 VS LA RAMS 12-12 VS JACKSONVILLE 12-19 at DETROIT 12-19 at PITTSBURGH 12-25 VS INDIANAPOLIS 12-23 VS SAN FRANCISCO 01-02 at DALLAS 01-02 VS MIAMI 01-09 VS SEATTLE 01-09 at HOUSTON 16 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS

WEEK 1 NFL MATCHUPS

(461) LA CHARGERS (462) WASHINGTON SU: 7-9 • ATS: 8-7-1 • O/U: 9-7 SU: 7-10 • ATS: 9-6-2 • O/U: 6-10-1

SEPTEMBER 12, 2021 1:00 PM ET ON CBS LINE: LA CHARGERS (-1 • 44.5) FEDEX FIELD • LANDOVER,MD

The Chargers went 7-9 last year, missing the playoffs for the second consecutive season. However, they are a 1-point favorite on the road against a Washington team that won the NFC East a year ago. Perhaps optimism for the Chargers is justified, as they were in the top 10 in offense and defense in yards per game. They also have quarterback Justin Herbert, who shattered rookie records for touchdown passes and completions and won Offensive Rookie of the Year despite not even being the Week 1 starter. Washington allowed the second-fewest yards and has one of the front-runners for Defensive Player of the Year in Chase Young. The franchise added the consummate journeyman in quarterback , who at 38 will be looking to make the postseason for the first time in his career. While Washington was outstanding on defense last season, the concern is that a lot of that production came against a weak division and a slew of backup . Brandon Staley takes over as the Chargers’ coach, replacing the much-maligned Anthony Lynn. The total has remained steady at 44.5. – William Hill

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2020 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF LA CHARGERS 24.0 23 29-111 [3.8] 39-26-271 [6.9] 15.9 26.6 20 27-120 [4.5] 34-21-224 [6.6] 12.9 +3 -2.6 WASHINGTON 21.1 20 25-100 [4.0] 38-24-221 [5.8] 15.2 21.2 19 27-115 [4.3] 33-21-202 [6.0] 15.0 -4 -0.1

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj LA CHARGERS -1 23.5 22.5 45.2 22.7 44.5 WASHINGTON 44.5 22 0 22.7 -0.2 21.8 0.9

TOP TEAM TRENDS • LA CHARGERS are 8-2 ATS(L10G) on ROAD - VS NFC-EAST • WASHINGTON is 25-37-7 ATS(S2000) - In September • WASHINGTON is 8-2 UNDER(L10G) at HOME - [vs OPP] 2000 or more travel miles

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2017-12-10 WASHINGTON (13) at LA CHARGERS (30) -6.5 46.5 LA CHARGERS HOME FAV UNDER 2013-11-03 (24) at WASHINGTON (30) -2 49.0 WASHINGTON HOME FAV OVER 2010-01-03 WASHINGTON (20) at SAN DIEGO (23) -3 39.0 x x x OVER 2005-11-27 SAN DIEGO (23) at WASHINGTON (17) +3.5 43.0 SAN DIEGO ROAD FAV UNDER 2001-09-09 WASHINGTON (3) at SAN DIEGO (30) -3 36.0 SAN DIEGO HOME FAV UNDER

HEAD-TO-HEAD TREND • FAVORITES are on a 5-0-1 ATS run in LAC-WAS series

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS LA CHARGERS RESULTS WASHINGTON RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-12 at WASHINGTON PK 44.5 09-12 VS LA CHARGERS PK 44.5 09-19 VS DALLAS 09-16 VS NY GIANTS 09-26 at KANSAS CITY 09-26 at BUFFALO 10-04 VS LAS VEGAS 10-03 at ATLANTA 10-10 VS CLEVELAND 10-10 VS NEW ORLEANS 10-17 at BALTIMORE 10-17 VS KANSAS CITY 10-31 VS NEW ENGLAND 10-24 at GREEN BAY 11-07 at PHILADELPHIA 10-31 at DENVER 11-14 VS MINNESOTA 11-14 VS TAMPA BAY 11-21 VS PITTSBURGH 11-21 at CAROLINA 11-28 at DENVER 11-29 VS SEATTLE 12-05 at CINCINNATI 12-05 at LAS VEGAS 12-12 VS NY GIANTS 12-12 VS DALLAS 12-16 VS KANSAS CITY 12-19 at PHILADELPHIA 12-26 at HOUSTON 12-26 at DALLAS 01-02 VS DENVER 01-02 VS PHILADELPHIA 01-09 at LAS VEGAS 01-09 at NY GIANTS 17 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS

WEEK 1 NFL MATCHUPS

(463) PHILADELPHIA (464) ATLANTA SU: 4-11-1 • ATS: 5-10-1 • O/U: 7-9 SU: 4-12 • ATS: 7-9 • O/U: 7-9

SEPTEMBER 12, 2021 1:00 PM ET ON FOX LINE: ATLANTA (-3.5 • 48) MERCEDES-BENZ STADIUM • ATLANTA,GA

A pair of rookie head coaches square off as both teams look to bounce back from disappointing seasons. The Falcons remain 3.5-point favorites despite coming off just a four-win campaign. If they are to compete for a playoff spot, they will have to improve on their performance in close games. They played in 10 games last year decided by a touchdown or less -- and lost nine of them. Julio Jones was traded to the Titans, but rookie Kyle Pitts was drafted to pair with Calvin Ridley to give the Falcons what they hope is one of the better pass-catching duos in the league. The Eagles also looked to the top of the draft to add a receiver, selecting Heisman Trophy winner DeVonta Smith to jump-start an offense that finished in the bottom quarter of the league in points per game, turnovers and yards per play. The Eagles gave up 27 points or more nine times last year while scoring 27 or more only twice. The total opened at 46 and has been bet up to 48. – William Hill

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2020 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF PHILADELPHIA 20.9 21 25-127 [5.0] 37-21-208 [5.6] 16.0 26.1 21 30-126 [4.2] 33-23-237 [7.2] 13.9 -10 -5.2 ATLANTA 24.8 23 26-96 [3.7] 39-25-273 [6.9] 14.9 25.9 23 24-105 [4.4] 39-27-294 [7.5] 15.4 +3 -1.1

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj PHILADELPHIA 48 21 23.1 48.5 21.9 47.1 ATLANTA -3.5 22.5 -3.8 25.4 -2.4 25.2 -3.3

TOP TEAM TRENDS • PHILADELPHIA is 10-6 ATS(L16G) - VS ATLANTA • ATLANTA is 4-10-1 ATS(L15G) at HOME - Conference games • ATLANTA is 8-0 UNDER(L8G) at HOME - [vs OPP] Before playing SAN FRANCISCO

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2019-09-15 PHILADELPHIA (20) at ATLANTA (24) +1 52.5 ATLANTA HOME DOG UNDER 2018-09-06 ATLANTA (12) at PHILADELPHIA (18) PK 44.0 PHILADELPHIA HOME x UNDER 2018-01-13 ATLANTA (10) at PHILADELPHIA (15) +2.5 40.5 PHILADELPHIA HOME DOG UNDER 2016-11-13 ATLANTA (15) at PHILADELPHIA (24) -2 48.5 PHILADELPHIA HOME FAV UNDER 2015-09-14 PHILADELPHIA (24) at ATLANTA (26) +3 55.0 ATLANTA HOME DOG UNDER

HEAD-TO-HEAD TREND • HOME TEAMS have won L5 ATS in PHI-ATL series

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS PHILADELPHIA RESULTS ATLANTA RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-12 at ATLANTA + 3.5 48 09-12 VS PHILADELPHIA - 3.5 48 09-19 VS SAN FRANCISCO 09-19 at TAMPA BAY 09-27 at DALLAS 09-26 at NY GIANTS 10-03 VS KANSAS CITY 10-03 VS WASHINGTON 10-10 at CAROLINA 10-10 VS NY JETS 10-14 VS TAMPA BAY 10-24 at MIAMI 10-24 at LAS VEGAS 10-31 VS CAROLINA 10-31 at DETROIT 11-07 at NEW ORLEANS 11-07 VS LA CHARGERS 11-14 at DALLAS 11-14 at DENVER 11-18 VS NEW ENGLAND 11-21 VS NEW ORLEANS 11-28 at JACKSONVILLE 11-28 at NY GIANTS 12-05 VS TAMPA BAY 12-05 at NY JETS 12-12 at CAROLINA 12-19 VS WASHINGTON 12-19 at SAN FRANCISCO 12-26 VS NY GIANTS 12-26 VS DETROIT 01-02 at WASHINGTON 01-02 at BUFFALO 01-09 VS DALLAS 01-09 VS NEW ORLEANS

18 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS

WEEK 1 NFL MATCHUPS

(465) SEATTLE (466) INDIANAPOLIS SU: 12-5 • ATS: 8-9 • O/U: 8-9 SU: 11-6 • ATS: 10-7 • O/U: 10-7

SEPTEMBER 12, 2021 1:00 PM ET ON FOX LINE: SEATTLE (-2.5 • 49) LUCAS OIL STADIUM • INDIANAPOLIS,IN

Fascinating line movement throughout the summer for this clash of 2020 playoff teams. The Colts opened as 3-point favorites, but injuries to Carson Wentz and offensive linemen Quenton Nelson and Ryan Kelly shifted the Seahawks into the role of favorites, with this line getting as high as 3.5. All three players appear to be on track to play, but enough skepticism exists about their health to keep the Seahawks as 2.5-point chalk with the game just days away. Anyone wagering on the Colts has to decide which version of Wentz will appear in 2021. In 2017, Wentz was en route to winning the MVP in just his second year. In 2020, however, Wentz led the league in interceptions and found himself backing up Jalen Hurts. Wentz is reuniting with Colts coach and former Eagles offensive coordinator Frank Reich, and Reich’s ability to rehabilitate Wentz will go a long way in determining the success of the Colts’ season. Wentz’s counterpart in the opener, , was the betting favorite to win MVP for most of the first half of last season before an erratic second half derailed his chances. The Seahawks have had a winning record every year since Wilson took over in 2012, but in 2020 their 7-3 record in one-score games raises concerns about the sustainability of the team’s success. The Colts were upset in Week 1 last year, and their loss to the 1-15 Jaguars nearly cost them a trip to the playoffs. The total has come down to 48.5 after opening at 52. – William Hill

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2020 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF SEATTLE 28.2 22 26-124 [4.8] 35-23-240 [6.9] 12.9 23.6 23 26-100 [3.9] 41-27-278 [6.8] 16.0 +2 +4.6 INDIANAPOLIS 27.9 23 29-127 [4.4] 35-23-257 [7.3] 13.8 22.9 21 24-91 [3.8] 35-23-245 [7.0] 14.7 +10 +5.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj SEATTLE -2.5 26.5 26.5 50.3 25.2 48.9 INDIANAPOLIS 49.5 24.5 1.6 23.8 2.7 23.8 1.4

TOP TEAM TRENDS • INDIANAPOLIS is 6-0-1 ATS(L7G) - Referee - CORRENTE • SEATTLE is 1-7 ATS(L8G) on ROAD - VS AFC-SOUTH • SEATTLE is 13-2 OVER(L15G) on ROAD - Non-conference games

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2017-10-01 INDIANAPOLIS (18) at SEATTLE (46) -12 42.0 SEATTLE HOME FAV OVER 2013-10-06 SEATTLE (28) at INDIANAPOLIS (34) +3 43.5 INDIANAPOLIS HOME DOG OVER 2009-10-04 SEATTLE (17) at INDIANAPOLIS (34) -10 43.5 INDIANAPOLIS HOME FAV OVER 2005-12-24 INDIANAPOLIS (13) at SEATTLE (28) -10 43.0 SEATTLE HOME FAV UNDER 2000-10-15 INDIANAPOLIS (37) at SEATTLE (24) +6 44.0 INDIANAPOLIS ROAD FAV OVER

HEAD-TO-HEAD TREND • HOME TEAMS have won L4 ATS in SEA-IND h2h series

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS SEATTLE RESULTS INDIANAPOLIS RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-12 at INDIANAPOLIS - 2.5 48.5 09-12 VS SEATTLE + 2.5 48.5 09-19 VS TENNESSEE 09-19 VS LA RAMS 09-26 at MINNESOTA 09-26 at TENNESSEE 10-03 at SAN FRANCISCO 10-03 at MIAMI 10-07 VS LA RAMS 10-11 at BALTIMORE 10-17 at PITTSBURGH 10-17 VS HOUSTON 10-25 VS NEW ORLEANS 10-24 at SAN FRANCISCO 10-31 VS JACKSONVILLE 10-31 VS TENNESSEE 11-14 at GREEN BAY 11-04 VS NY JETS 11-21 VS ARIZONA 11-14 VS JACKSONVILLE 11-29 at WASHINGTON 11-21 at BUFFALO 12-05 VS SAN FRANCISCO 11-28 VS TAMPA BAY 12-12 at HOUSTON 12-05 at HOUSTON 12-19 at LA RAMS 12-19 VS NEW ENGLAND 12-26 VS CHICAGO 12-25 at ARIZONA 01-02 VS DETROIT 01-02 VS LAS VEGAS 01-09 at ARIZONA 01-09 at JACKSONVILLE 19 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS

WEEK 1 NFL MATCHUPS

(467) MINNESOTA (468) CINCINNATI SU: 7-9 • ATS: 6-10 • O/U: 11-4-1 SU: 4-11-1 • ATS: 9-7 • O/U: 8-8

SEPTEMBER 12, 2021 1:00 PM ET ON FOX LINE: MINNESOTA (-3 • 48.5) PAUL BROWN STADIUM • CINCINNATI,OH

Joe Burrow lived up to the hype, throwing 13 TD passes in a little over half a season before an injury ended his rookie campaign. He will be back for the season opener as an underdog against the Vikings after sitting out all but one series of the preseason, and he’ll be reunited with his former LSU teammate, WR Ja’Marr Chase. The Vikings are coming off a disappointing 2020 season, when Mike Zimmer’s typically stout defense was gashed through the air and on the ground. The ‘20 Vikings were in the bottom five defensively in opponents’ passing yards per attempt (7.65), opponents’ rushing yards (134.4 per game) and yards per game allowed (393.3). The shoddy defense culminated on Christmas, allowing Alvin Kamara to run for six touchdowns and prompting Zimmer to say the defense was the worst he’d ever had. Reinforcements come in the form of 16 new defensive players through free agency and the draft plus the return of Danielle Hunter and Michael Pierce. The offense was elite in many categories last year but is already facing injuries to Irv Smith and first-round pick Christian Darrisaw. Bengals bettors will shop for 3.5, while Vikings backers will look for 3. Both numbers have been readily available for most of the summer, while 3 is now the consensus. – William Hill

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2020 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF MINNESOTA 26.9 24 29-143 [4.9] 32-22-251 [7.8] 14.6 29.7 23 30-134 [4.5] 34-22-259 [7.7] 13.2 -1 -2.8 CINCINNATI 19.4 20 26-104 [4.1] 36-23-215 [5.9] 16.4 26.5 21 29-148 [5.1] 34-21-241 [7.1] 14.7 -7 -7.1

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj MINNESOTA -3 23.5 25.7 48.8 27.2 49.7 CINCINNATI 48 19 2.6 23.1 2.6 22.6 4.6

TOP TEAM TRENDS • CINCINNATI is 9-6 ATS(L15G) - On non-grass field • MINNESOTA is 1-7 ATS(L8G) on ROAD - Before playing ARIZONA • MINNESOTA is 6-0-1 OVER(L7G) - On non-grass field

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2017-12-17 CINCINNATI (7) at MINNESOTA (34) -13 43.0 MINNESOTA HOME FAV UNDER 2013-12-22 MINNESOTA (14) at CINCINNATI (42) -7.5 48.0 CINCINNATI HOME FAV OVER 2009-12-13 CINCINNATI (10) at MINNESOTA (30) -6 42.0 MINNESOTA HOME FAV UNDER 2005-09-18 MINNESOTA (8) at CINCINNATI (37) -3.5 47.0 CINCINNATI HOME FAV UNDER 1998-11-15 CINCINNATI (3) at MINNESOTA (24) -11 47.0 MINNESOTA HOME FAV UNDER

HEAD-TO-HEAD TREND • HOME TEAMS are 6-0 ATS in MIN-CIN h2h series since ‘95

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS MINNESOTA RESULTS CINCINNATI RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-12 at CINCINNATI - 3 48.5 09-12 VS MINNESOTA + 3 48.5 09-19 at ARIZONA 09-19 at CHICAGO 09-26 VS SEATTLE 09-26 at PITTSBURGH 10-03 VS CLEVELAND 09-30 VS JACKSONVILLE 10-10 VS DETROIT 10-10 VS GREEN BAY 10-17 at CAROLINA 10-17 at DETROIT 10-31 VS DALLAS 10-24 at BALTIMORE 11-07 at BALTIMORE 10-31 at NY JETS 11-14 at LA CHARGERS 11-07 VS CLEVELAND 11-21 VS GREEN BAY 11-21 at LAS VEGAS 11-28 at SAN FRANCISCO 11-28 VS PITTSBURGH 12-05 at DETROIT 12-05 VS LA CHARGERS 12-09 VS PITTSBURGH 12-12 VS SAN FRANCISCO 12-20 at CHICAGO 12-19 at DENVER 12-26 VS LA RAMS 12-26 VS BALTIMORE 01-02 at GREEN BAY 01-02 VS KANSAS CITY 01-09 VS CHICAGO 01-09 at CLEVELAND

20 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS

WEEK 1 NFL MATCHUPS

(469) SAN FRANCISCO (470) DETROIT SU: 6-10 • ATS: 7-9 • O/U: 8-8 SU: 5-11 • ATS: 6-10 • O/U: 10-5-1

SEPTEMBER 12, 2021 1:00 PM ET ON FOX LINE: SAN FRANCISCO (-7.5 • 45) FORD FIELD • DETROIT,MI

The 49ers missed the playoffs in 2020 a year after being just minutes from hoisting the Lombardi Trophy. The disappointing season wasn’t due to poor play as much as it was injuries and bad luck. No team suffered from more games lost due to injury than the 49ers. Nick Bosa, George Kittle, Richard Sherman and Jimmy Garoppolo suffered major injuries in the first few weeks. Now the roster is intact as San Francisco heads to Detroit as a 7-point road favorite against the Lions, who have the second-lowest season win total at DraftKings (5). The 49ers will be a tempting option for survivor players and teaser bettors, though they were one of three teams that were upset as 7-point favorites in Week 1 last year, stumbling at home against the Cardinals. The Lions moved on from former coach Matt Patricia and traded longtime franchise quarterback Matthew Stafford, absorbing Jared Goff’s contract in doing so. Despite the injuries, the 49ers finished fourth in opponents’ yards per rush and fifth in passing yards allowed. The Lions, on the other hand, will be looking to improve a defense that finished dead last in points allowed last season. Dan Campbell makes his debut as the Lions’ coach, and the total sits at 45. – William Hill

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2020 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF SAN FRANCISCO 23.5 22 27-118 [4.3] 36-23-252 [7.1] 15.7 24.4 19 27-106 [4.0] 34-21-208 [6.2] 12.9 -11 -0.9 DETROIT 23.6 22 23-94 [4.1] 36-23-256 [7.1] 14.8 32.4 26 30-135 [4.4] 35-24-285 [8.2] 13.0 -9 -8.8

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj SAN FRANCISCO -7.5 27 27.1 45.3 26.7 46.4 DETROIT 45 18 7.4 18.2 8.9 19.7 7

TOP TEAM TRENDS • SAN FRANCISCO is 30-18-2 ATS(L50G) on ROAD - 1500 or more travel miles • DETROIT is 4-11 ATS(L15G) at HOME - As underdog • DETROIT is 10-0 OVER(L10G) - First game of the season

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2018-09-16 DETROIT (27) at SAN FRANCISCO (30) -6 49.0 DETROIT ROAD DOG OVER 2015-12-27 SAN FRANCISCO (17) at DETROIT (32) -9 42.5 DETROIT HOME FAV OVER 2012-09-16 DETROIT (19) at SAN FRANCISCO (27) -6.5 46.0 SAN FRANCISCO HOME FAV x 2011-10-16 SAN FRANCISCO (25) at DETROIT (19) -5 44.5 SAN FRANCISCO ROAD DOG UNDER 2009-12-27 DETROIT (6) at SAN FRANCISCO (20) -14 41.0 x x x UNDER

HEAD-TO-HEAD TREND • SAN FRANCISCO is on an 8-4-3 ATS run vs. Detroit

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS SAN FRANCISCO RESULTS DETROIT RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-12 at DETROIT - 7.5 45 09-12 VS SAN FRANCISCO + 7.5 45 09-19 at PHILADELPHIA 09-20 at GREEN BAY 09-26 VS GREEN BAY 09-26 VS BALTIMORE 10-03 VS SEATTLE 10-03 at CHICAGO 10-10 at ARIZONA 10-10 at MINNESOTA 10-24 VS INDIANAPOLIS 10-17 VS CINCINNATI 10-31 at CHICAGO 10-24 at LA RAMS 11-07 VS ARIZONA 10-31 VS PHILADELPHIA 11-15 VS LA RAMS 11-14 at PITTSBURGH 11-21 at JACKSONVILLE 11-21 at CLEVELAND 11-28 VS MINNESOTA 11-25 VS CHICAGO 12-05 at SEATTLE 12-05 VS MINNESOTA 12-12 at CINCINNATI 12-12 at DENVER 12-19 VS ATLANTA 12-19 VS ARIZONA 12-23 at TENNESSEE 12-26 at ATLANTA 01-02 VS HOUSTON 01-02 at SEATTLE 01-09 at LA RAMS 01-09 VS GREEN BAY 21 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS

WEEK 1 NFL MATCHUPS

(471) CLEVELAND (472) KANSAS CITY SU: 12-6 • ATS: 8-10 • O/U: 10-8 SU: 16-3 • ATS: 8-10-1 • O/U: 9-10

SEPTEMBER 12, 2021 4:25 PM ET ON CBS LINE: KANSAS CITY (-6 • 54.5) GEHA FIELD AT ARROWHEAD STADIUM • KANSAS CITY,MO

For the second consecutive year, the Chiefs open their season against the team they eliminated in the divisional round the year before. The Browns fell to the Chiefs 22-17 in January even after Patrick Mahomes left with an injury as converted a third-and-14 for an eventual first down to close out the game. Despite the bitter ending, it was a successful season for the Browns, who went 11-5, made the playoffs for the first time since 2002 and saw rookie coach Kevin Stefanski win Coach of the Year. Despite the impressive record, the Browns were actually outscored by 11 points in the aggregate, finishing 16th in total yards on offense and only 21st in total yards allowed on defense. The Chiefs will be looking to reach their third straight Super Bowl and spent the offseason revamping an offensive line that was thoroughly outplayed by the Bucs in last year’s title game. A first-round pick was dealt to the Ravens for tackle Orlando Brown, while second- and sixth-round picks were used to bolster this unit. Despite the Chiefs’ firepower, they were surprisingly only sixth in points per game but did finish 10th in points per game on defense. Cleveland’s Odell Beckham tore his ACL in October but is expected to be back for the opener as the Browns are 6-point dogs, with the total at 54.5. – William Hill

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2020 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF CLEVELAND 26.3 22 30-145 [4.8] 32-20-222 [7.0] 14.0 26.6 23 25-108 [4.3] 38-25-265 [6.9] 14.0 +9 -0.3 KANSAS CITY 28.5 25 25-113 [4.6] 40-26-302 [7.6] 14.6 22.8 22 27-123 [4.6] 35-22-232 [6.6] 15.6 +5 +5.7

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj CLEVELAND 54 28 24.6 54.1 23.8 53.5 KANSAS CITY -6 31 -6.8 29.5 -5 29.8 -6

TOP TEAM TRENDS • KANSAS CITY is 12-3 ATS(L15G) - In September • CLEVELAND is 2-8 ATS(L10G) - Referee - VINOVICH • KANSAS CITY is 8-2 OVER(L10G) at HOME - Favorite of 7 or less points

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2021-01-17 CLEVELAND (17) at KANSAS CITY (22) -8.5 56.5 CLEVELAND ROAD DOG UNDER 2018-11-04 KANSAS CITY (37) at CLEVELAND (21) +7.5 52.5 KANSAS CITY ROAD FAV OVER 2015-12-27 CLEVELAND (13) at KANSAS CITY (17) -11.5 43.0 CLEVELAND ROAD DOG UNDER 2013-10-27 CLEVELAND (17) at KANSAS CITY (23) -7 39.0 CLEVELAND ROAD DOG OVER 2012-12-09 KANSAS CITY (7) at CLEVELAND (30) -7 38.0 CLEVELAND HOME FAV UNDER

HEAD-TO-HEAD TREND • CLEVELAND has won L4 ATS in Kansas City

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS CLEVELAND RESULTS KANSAS CITY RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-12 at KANSAS CITY + 6.5 53 09-12 VS CLEVELAND - 6.5 53 09-19 VS HOUSTON 09-19 at BALTIMORE 09-26 VS CHICAGO 09-26 VS LA CHARGERS 10-03 at MINNESOTA 10-03 at PHILADELPHIA 10-10 at LA CHARGERS 10-10 VS BUFFALO 10-17 VS ARIZONA 10-17 at WASHINGTON 10-21 VS DENVER 10-24 at TENNESSEE 10-31 VS PITTSBURGH 11-01 VS NY GIANTS 11-07 at CINCINNATI 11-07 VS GREEN BAY 11-14 at NEW ENGLAND 11-14 at LAS VEGAS 11-21 VS DETROIT 11-21 VS DALLAS 11-28 at BALTIMORE 12-05 VS DENVER 12-12 VS BALTIMORE 12-12 VS LAS VEGAS 12-19 VS LAS VEGAS 12-16 at LA CHARGERS 12-25 at GREEN BAY 12-26 VS PITTSBURGH 01-03 at PITTSBURGH 01-02 at CINCINNATI 01-09 VS CINCINNATI 01-09 at DENVER

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WEEK 1 NFL MATCHUPS

(473) MIAMI (474) NEW ENGLAND SU: 10-6 • ATS: 11-5 • O/U: 7-9 SU: 7-9 • ATS: 7-9 • O/U: 5-11

SEPTEMBER 12, 2021 4:25 PM ET ON FOX LINE: NEW ENGLAND (-3 • 43.5) GILLETTE STADIUM • FOXBORO,MA

A spring game in Tuscaloosa is headed north as Tua Tagavailoa and Mac Jones renew acquaintances in the season opener when the Dolphins and Pats open the season in Foxborough for the second straight year. This line has ping-ponged back and forth. It opened at 2.5, briefly ticked up to the key number of 3, then moved back to 2.5 after Jones was announced as the starter. The Patriots will not look the same as the 7-9 team that missed the playoffs last year, as they add an influx of talent with the return of opt-outs, some major free-agent signings and the addition of their rookie quarterback. The Dolphins add receivers Jaylen Waddle and looking to spark their offense and improve on a 10-win season in which they fell just short of a playoff berth. This game is one of the lower totals of the opening week and has been bet down from 45.5 to 43.5. – William Hill

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2020 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF MIAMI 25.2 22 27-105 [3.9] 35-23-233 [6.7] 13.4 21.1 21 26-116 [4.5] 34-21-251 [7.4] 17.4 +9 +4.1 NEW ENGLAND 20.4 21 31-147 [4.7] 27-18-181 [6.6] 16.1 22.1 21 29-131 [4.5] 31-21-222 [7.2] 16.0 +3 -1.7

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj MIAMI 43.5 23 20.7 43.7 20.5 44 NEW ENGLAND -3 24 -2.9 22.9 -2.2 23.6 -3.1

TOP TEAM TRENDS • NEW ENGLAND is 8-0 ATS(L8G) at HOME - Revenging a loss vs - MIAMI • MIAMI is 2-8 ATS(L10G) on ROAD - VS NEW ENGLAND • MIAMI is 9-1 UNDER(L10G) on ROAD - First game of the season

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2020-12-20 NEW ENGLAND (12) at MIAMI (22) +2 39.0 MIAMI HOME DOG UNDER 2020-09-13 MIAMI (11) at NEW ENGLAND (21) -7 41.0 NEW ENGLAND HOME FAV UNDER 2019-12-29 MIAMI (27) at NEW ENGLAND (24) -15.5 45.0 MIAMI ROAD DOG OVER 2019-09-15 NEW ENGLAND (43) at MIAMI (0) +18 48.5 NEW ENGLAND ROAD FAV UNDER 2018-12-09 NEW ENGLAND (33) at MIAMI (34) +9 49.5 MIAMI HOME DOG OVER

HEAD-TO-HEAD TREND • NEW ENGLAND is on 8-1 ATS surge when hosting Miami

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS MIAMI RESULTS NEW ENGLAND RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-12 at NEW ENGLAND + 3 43.5 09-12 VS MIAMI - 3 43.5 09-19 VS BUFFALO 09-19 at NY JETS 09-26 at LAS VEGAS 09-26 VS NEW ORLEANS 10-03 VS INDIANAPOLIS 10-03 VS TAMPA BAY 10-10 at TAMPA BAY 10-10 at HOUSTON 10-17 at JACKSONVILLE 10-17 VS DALLAS 10-24 VS ATLANTA 10-24 VS NY JETS 10-31 at BUFFALO 10-31 at LA CHARGERS 11-07 VS HOUSTON 11-07 at CAROLINA 11-11 VS BALTIMORE 11-14 VS CLEVELAND 11-21 at NY JETS 11-18 at ATLANTA 11-28 VS CAROLINA 11-28 VS TENNESSEE 12-05 VS NY GIANTS 12-06 at BUFFALO 12-19 VS NY JETS 12-19 at INDIANAPOLIS 12-27 at NEW ORLEANS 12-26 VS BUFFALO 01-02 at TENNESSEE 01-02 VS JACKSONVILLE 01-09 VS NEW ENGLAND 01-09 at MIAMI

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WEEK 1 NFL MATCHUPS

(475) DENVER (476) NY GIANTS SU: 5-11 • ATS: 9-7 • O/U: 8-8 SU: 6-10 • ATS: 9-7 • O/U: 3-12-1

SEPTEMBER 12, 2021 4:25 PM ET ON FOX LINE: DENVER (-3 • 41.5) METLIFE STADIUM • EAST RUTHERFORD,NJ

The Broncos have not made the playoffs since winning the Super Bowl six years ago, but bettors seem bullish about their chances in Week 1 as they have been bet up from pick-’em to 3-point road favorites. Teddy Bridgewater beat out incumbent Drew Lock and will start at quarterback in Week 1. The Broncos also added some major talent to their secondary. cornerback signed in free agency, and Patrick Surtain II was drafted ninth overall. Also, will return after missing the ‘20 season. The Giants have a major addition to look forward to as well as Saquon Barkley is expected to be cleared to play in the opener, though it’s uncertain how big a workload he’ll be given coming off a major injury. Third-year quarterback Daniel Jones faces what is possibly a make-or-break year, already accumulating 22 interceptions and 29 fumbles in his brief career. The Giants added receiver Kenny Golladay to help Jones and boost an offense that scored the second-fewest points in 2020. The Broncos were not much better on offense, finishing 28th in points scored, so it’s no surprise that the total is 41.5, the lowest on the board. – William Hill

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2020 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF DENVER 20.2 19 28-120 [4.3] 35-20-216 [6.2] 16.6 27.9 21 27-130 [4.8] 35-23-238 [6.7] 13.2 -16 -7.7 NY GIANTS 17.5 19 25-110 [4.4] 32-20-189 [5.9] 17.1 22.3 22 27-111 [4.1] 36-24-238 [6.6] 15.7 0 -4.8

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj DENVER -3 23.5 22.1 42 22 41.7 NY GIANTS 42 20.5 1.2 19.9 2.2 19.7 2.3

TOP TEAM TRENDS • DENVER is 6-3-1 ATS(L10G) - [vs OPP] Before playing WASHINGTON • NY GIANTS are 0-15 ATS(L15G) at HOME - [vs OPP] 1500 or more travel miles • NY GIANTS are 7-0 UNDER(L7G) - with Head coach - JUDGE

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2017-10-15 NY GIANTS (23) at DENVER (10) -13.5 37.5 NY GIANTS ROAD DOG UNDER 2013-09-15 DENVER (41) at NY GIANTS (23) +3.5 52.5 DENVER ROAD FAV OVER 2009-11-26 NY GIANTS (6) at DENVER (26) +4.5 43.5 DENVER HOME DOG UNDER 2005-10-23 DENVER (23) at NY GIANTS (24) -2.5 46.5 DENVER ROAD DOG OVER 2001-09-10 NY GIANTS (20) at DENVER (31) -7 44.0 DENVER HOME FAV OVER

HEAD-TO-HEAD TREND • DENVER is on a 4-1 ATS run versus NY Giants but lost LT in ‘17

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS DENVER RESULTS NY GIANTS RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-12 at NY GIANTS - 2.5 41.5 09-12 VS DENVER + 2.5 41.5 09-19 at JACKSONVILLE 09-16 at WASHINGTON 09-26 VS NY JETS 09-26 VS ATLANTA 10-03 VS BALTIMORE 10-03 at NEW ORLEANS 10-10 at PITTSBURGH 10-10 at DALLAS 10-17 VS LAS VEGAS 10-17 VS LA RAMS 10-21 at CLEVELAND 10-24 VS CAROLINA 10-31 VS WASHINGTON 11-01 at KANSAS CITY 11-07 at DALLAS 11-07 VS LAS VEGAS 11-14 VS PHILADELPHIA 11-22 at TAMPA BAY 11-28 VS LA CHARGERS 11-28 VS PHILADELPHIA 12-05 at KANSAS CITY 12-05 at MIAMI 12-12 VS DETROIT 12-12 at LA CHARGERS 12-19 VS CINCINNATI 12-19 VS DALLAS 12-26 at LAS VEGAS 12-26 at PHILADELPHIA 01-02 at LA CHARGERS 01-02 at CHICAGO 01-09 VS KANSAS CITY 01-09 VS WASHINGTON 24 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS

WEEK 1 NFL MATCHUPS

(479) CHICAGO (480) LA RAMS SU: 8-9 • ATS: 8-9 • O/U: 8-9 SU: 11-7 • ATS: 10-8 • O/U: 6-12

SEPTEMBER 12, 2021 8:20 PM ET ON NBC LINE: LA RAMS (-7.5 • 46) SOFI STADIUM • ,CA

The first Sunday night game of the year is a rematch of a Monday nighter from last October that the Rams dominated 24-10. Both teams will have new quarterbacks, as the Rams went all in by acquiring Matthew Stafford in hopes of putting them over the top. The Rams also added former Patriots running back Sony Michel after promising second-year back tore his Achilles. The Rams were elite across the board on defense last season, giving up the fewest yards in the league and the second-fewest points. The Bears lost Pro Bowl corner Kyle Fuller in free agency and drafted QB Justin Fields but will give the nod to Andy Dalton in the opener. Dalton had 14 touchdown passes and nine interceptions in nine starts with the Cowboys last year with a modest 6.5 yards per attempt. The Bears started 5-2 and made the playoffs last year despite finishing just 8-8. Money has come in on the Rams, as the line opened at 6.5 and has been bet up through the key number to 7.5. The total remains steady at 46. – William Hill

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2020 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF CHICAGO 22.4 20 24-100 [4.1] 38-25-226 [6.0] 14.6 23.0 21 28-114 [4.1] 34-22-233 [6.8] 15.1 -3 -0.6 LA RAMS 23.3 21 30-127 [4.3] 36-24-241 [6.7] 15.8 19.3 18 25-99 [4.0] 34-21-194 [5.7] 15.2 -1 +4.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj CHICAGO 46 22.5 18.8 45.2 20.3 46.1 LA RAMS -7.5 27.5 -7.3 26.5 -7.7 25.9 -5.6

TOP TEAM TRENDS • LA RAMS are 10-5 ATS(L15G) at HOME - Conference games • CHICAGO is 1-6 ATS(L7G) - 1000 or more travel miles • LA RAMS are 8-0 UNDER(L8G) at HOME - AT SOFI STADIUM

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2020-10-26 CHICAGO (10) at LA RAMS (24) -6.5 44.0 LA RAMS HOME FAV UNDER 2019-11-17 CHICAGO (7) at LA RAMS (17) -6.5 38.5 LA RAMS HOME FAV UNDER 2018-12-09 LA RAMS (6) at CHICAGO (15) +3 50.5 CHICAGO HOME DOG UNDER 2015-11-15 CHICAGO (37) at ST LOUIS (13) -7 42.0 CHICAGO ROAD DOG OVER 2013-11-24 CHICAGO (21) at ST LOUIS (42) -2.5 45.5 ST LOUIS HOME FAV OVER

HEAD-TO-HEAD TREND • Ten of the L14 CHI-LAR h2h series games went UNDER the total

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS CHICAGO RESULTS LA RAMS RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-12 at LA RAMS + 7.5 44 09-12 VS CHICAGO - 7.5 44 09-19 VS CINCINNATI 09-19 at INDIANAPOLIS 09-26 at CLEVELAND 09-26 VS TAMPA BAY 10-03 VS DETROIT 10-03 VS ARIZONA 10-10 at LAS VEGAS 10-07 at SEATTLE 10-17 VS GREEN BAY 10-17 at NY GIANTS 10-24 at TAMPA BAY 10-24 VS DETROIT 10-31 VS SAN FRANCISCO 10-31 at HOUSTON 11-08 at PITTSBURGH 11-07 VS TENNESSEE 11-21 VS BALTIMORE 11-15 at SAN FRANCISCO 11-25 at DETROIT 11-28 at GREEN BAY 12-05 VS ARIZONA 12-05 VS JACKSONVILLE 12-12 at GREEN BAY 12-13 at ARIZONA 12-20 VS MINNESOTA 12-19 VS SEATTLE 12-26 at SEATTLE 12-26 at MINNESOTA 01-02 VS NY GIANTS 01-02 at BALTIMORE 01-09 at MINNESOTA 01-09 VS SAN FRANCISCO

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WEEK 1 NFL MATCHUPS

(483) GREEN BAY (484) NEW ORLEANS SU: 14-4 • ATS: 12-6 • O/U: 11-5-2 SU: 13-5 • ATS: 10-8 • O/U: 10-8

SEPTEMBER 12, 2021 4:25 PM ET ON FOX LINE: GREEN BAY (-4 • 50) TIAA BANK FIELD • JACKSONVILLE,FL[NEUT]

You won’t see a wilder swing in terms of line movement than what we’ve seen for this battle of defending division champs. The reported consternation of Aaron Rodgers led many to believe he would not play for the Packers this season, prompting the Saints to be pegged as high as 3.5-point favorites. In late July it became clear that Rodgers would play, and the Packers became the consensus field-goal chalk. All of that, however, is now moot, and bettors who wagered on this game should check their house rules because most books refunded all wagers on this game due to the change in venue. The game has been shifted to Jacksonville due to the effects of Hurricane Ida, and the Packers are favored by 4 points. The Packers were elite on offense last season, leading the league in scoring at 31.5 points per game. The Saints were third in points allowed per game but lost a handful of starters on defense as well as Drew Brees, Jared Cook and Emmanuel Sanders. Outstanding kicker Will Lutz will also miss up to eight weeks. Saints bettors hope Jameis Winston can take better care of the ball than in 2019, his last full season as a starter, when he threw 30 interceptions. The total is 50. – William Hill

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2020 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF GREEN BAY 31.5 23 27-132 [4.8] 34-24-262 [7.7] 12.5 23.2 20 24-110 [4.5] 33-21-220 [6.6] 14.2 +8 +8.3 NEW ORLEANS 29.1 23 31-138 [4.5] 33-23-234 [7.1] 12.8 20.9 19 25-93 [3.8] 34-21-214 [6.2] 14.7 +4 +8.2

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj GREEN BAY -3 28 26 51.8 26.8 50.4 NEW ORLEANS 50 25 2.5 25.9 0.1 23.7 3.1

TOP TEAM TRENDS • GREEN BAY is 11-4 ATS(L15G) - Favorite of 7 or less points • NEW ORLEANS is 2-8 ATS(L10G) - First game of the season • GREEN BAY is 6-1 OVER(L7G) - VS NEW ORLEANS

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2020-09-27 GREEN BAY (37) at NEW ORLEANS (30) -3 52.0 GREEN BAY ROAD DOG OVER 2017-10-22 NEW ORLEANS (26) at GREEN BAY (17) +3.5 45.5 NEW ORLEANS ROAD FAV UNDER 2014-10-26 GREEN BAY (23) at NEW ORLEANS (44) -2 55.0 NEW ORLEANS HOME FAV OVER 2012-09-30 NEW ORLEANS (27) at GREEN BAY (28) -7.5 54.0 NEW ORLEANS ROAD DOG OVER 2011-09-08 NEW ORLEANS (34) at GREEN BAY (42) -5 47.5 GREEN BAY HOME FAV OVER

HEAD-TO-HEAD TREND • OVER the total is 9-1 in L10 of GB-NO h2h series

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS GREEN BAY RESULTS NEW ORLEANS RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-12 ** NEW ORLEANS - 4.5 50 09-12 ** GREEN BAY + 4.5 50 09-20 VS DETROIT 09-19 at CAROLINA 09-26 at SAN FRANCISCO 09-26 at NEW ENGLAND 10-03 VS PITTSBURGH 10-03 VS NY GIANTS 10-10 at CINCINNATI 10-10 at WASHINGTON 10-17 at CHICAGO 10-25 at SEATTLE 10-24 VS WASHINGTON 10-31 VS TAMPA BAY 10-28 at ARIZONA 11-07 VS ATLANTA 11-07 at KANSAS CITY 11-14 at TENNESSEE 11-14 VS SEATTLE 11-21 at PHILADELPHIA 11-21 at MINNESOTA 11-25 VS BUFFALO 11-28 VS LA RAMS 12-02 VS DALLAS 12-12 VS CHICAGO 12-12 at NY JETS 12-19 at BALTIMORE 12-19 at TAMPA BAY 12-25 VS CLEVELAND 12-27 VS MIAMI 01-02 VS MINNESOTA 01-02 VS CAROLINA 01-09 at DETROIT 01-09 at ATLANTA 26 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS

WEEK 1 NFL MATCHUPS

(481) BALTIMORE (482) LAS VEGAS SU: 12-6 • ATS: 11-6-1 • O/U: 8-10 SU: 8-8 • ATS: 8-8 • O/U: 12-3-1

SEPTEMBER 13, 2021 8:15 PM ET ON ESPN LINE: BALTIMORE (-4.5 • 51) ALLEGIANT STADIUM • LAS VEGAS,NV

Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas will host its first regular-season game with fans in attendance as Week 1 concludes with the first “Monday Night Football” game of the year. Jon Gruden enters Year 4 of his massive contract looking to make the playoffs for the first time in his second stint with the Raiders. The offense has not been the problem in Gruden’s disappointing tenure, as the Raiders were in the top 10 last year in scoring and total offense. But the defense allowed the third-most points in the league, giving up 29.9 on nearly 400 yards per game. There’s a lot to like when looking at the Ravens’ profile. They led the NFL by a wide margin last year in rushing yards at 192 per game, allowed the fewest points in the league and finished ninth in scoring on offense. They are 25-7 in ’s two full seasons as the starter, but that success has not translated to the playoffs, as they have only one postseason win and have not made it past the divisional round. This line has not moved much. It opened with the Ravens as 4.5-point favorites and is currently wavering between -4 and -4.5, with a total of 51. – William Hill

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2020 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF BALTIMORE 27.3 20 35-192 [5.6] 26-16-172 [6.6] 13.3 18.5 21 23-101 [4.3] 37-23-216 [5.9] 17.1 +3 +8.8 LAS VEGAS 27.1 22 29-120 [4.2] 34-23-264 [7.7] 14.2 29.9 24 27-126 [4.6] 36-23-263 [7.3] 13.0 -11 -2.8

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj BALTIMORE -4.5 28.5 29 51.8 28.3 51.6 LAS VEGAS 51 22 4.3 22.8 6.2 23.3 5

TOP TEAM TRENDS • BALTIMORE is 21-4 ATS(L25G) - [vs OPP] Before playing PITTSBURGH • LAS VEGAS is 3-7 ATS(L10G) at HOME - First game of the season • LAS VEGAS is 6-1 OVER(L7G) - [vs OPP] Head coach - HARBAUGH

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2018-11-25 OAKLAND (17) at BALTIMORE (34) -13 41.5 BALTIMORE HOME FAV OVER 2017-10-08 BALTIMORE (30) at OAKLAND (17) -3 40.5 BALTIMORE ROAD DOG OVER 2016-10-02 OAKLAND (28) at BALTIMORE (27) -3 44.5 OAKLAND ROAD DOG OVER 2015-09-20 BALTIMORE (33) at OAKLAND (37) +6 42.0 OAKLAND HOME DOG OVER 2012-11-11 OAKLAND (20) at BALTIMORE (55) -7.5 48.0 BALTIMORE HOME FAV OVER

HEAD-TO-HEAD TREND • The L5 BAL-LAS series games went OVER the total

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS BALTIMORE RESULTS LAS VEGAS RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-13 at LAS VEGAS - 4.5 51 09-13 VS BALTIMORE + 4.5 51 09-19 VS KANSAS CITY 09-19 at PITTSBURGH 09-26 at DETROIT 09-26 VS MIAMI 10-03 at DENVER 10-04 at LA CHARGERS 10-11 VS INDIANAPOLIS 10-10 VS CHICAGO 10-17 VS LA CHARGERS 10-17 at DENVER 10-24 VS CINCINNATI 10-24 VS PHILADELPHIA 11-07 VS MINNESOTA 11-07 at NY GIANTS 11-11 at MIAMI 11-14 VS KANSAS CITY 11-21 at CHICAGO 11-21 VS CINCINNATI 11-28 VS CLEVELAND 11-25 at DALLAS 12-05 at PITTSBURGH 12-05 VS WASHINGTON 12-12 at CLEVELAND 12-12 at KANSAS CITY 12-19 VS GREEN BAY 12-19 at CLEVELAND 12-26 at CINCINNATI 12-26 VS DENVER 01-02 VS LA RAMS 01-02 at INDIANAPOLIS 01-09 VS PITTSBURGH 01-09 VS LA CHARGERS

27 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS HOW TO ACT WISE: FIVE GAMES SHARP BETTORS ARE TRACKING BY JOSH APPELBAUM @JOSH_INSIGHTS

The 2021 NFL season is finally here! I’m happy to announce that I’ll be Minnesota Vikings at contributing a weekly column to PSW focusing on five NFL games receiving This nonconference matchup is one of the most lopsided plays of the day. notable sharp action from respected bettors. Minnesota is coming off a 7-9 season, but the public sees a layup with the Vikings laying a short number against a Bengals team that went 4-11-1. This As we all know, the NFL is the king of sports betting. It generates the highest line opened with Minnesota listed as a 3-point road favorite. Roughly three ticket counts, largest handle and most public attention. Because there is so out of four bets are rushing to the window to lay the points with Minnesota. much public bias in the market, going contrarian in the NFL can oftentimes This heavily lopsided betting forced oddsmakers to adjust the Vikings up be a smart strategy because more often than not, the public loses. But betting to -3.5. Once the hook was available, value-minded wiseguys pounced against the public only takes you so far. You also need to be on the sharp on Cincinnati at +3.5, which caused several books to adjust back to 3. side. This means being with the pros who have a long track record of success, Essentially, we are looking at the Bengals as a super contrarian buy-low win at a high rate and have the respect of the books. After all, wiseguys home dog with a sharp line freeze and/or reverse line movement. NFL Week move numbers, not the public. Pros won’t win every time, but they win a 1 dogs are 85-70 ATS (55%) over the past decade. Week 1 dogs where the majority of the time over the long haul (roughly 55%). In order to locate line stays the same or is inflated (think +3 to +3.5) are 59-43 (57.8%) over sharp action, I will be focusing on betting percentages, money percentages the past decade. and line movement, while also highlighting historically profitable betting systems. at This rematch of an AFC divisional round playoff game, in which the Chiefs Without further ado, here are five NFL Week 1 games receiving smart money won 22-17 but the Browns covered (+8), is the most heavily bet game of across the market. the late-afternoon window. Cleveland is coming off an 11-5 season while the Chiefs went 14-2 and lost in the Super Bowl to the Bucs 31-9, losing at outright as 3-point favorites. This line opened with Kansas City as a 6-point This is the most heavily bet early game of the Week 1 Sunday slate. home favorite. The public can’t quit the Chiefs, who are consistently the most Oddsmakers opened this line with Buffalo as a 6-point home favorite. The popular team each week for recreational bettors. However, despite roughly public is all over the Bills, who went an impressive 13-3 last season, won the two-thirds of bets laying the points, this line has barely budged off the -6. AFC East and reached the AFC title game. Meanwhile, the Steelers finished This signals a sharp line freeze on the Browns, with books reluctant to move 12-4 but crumbled down the stretch, going just 1-5 in their last six games, the line further to the popular Chiefs for fear of handing out a better number including an early playoff exit. Heavy public betting pushed Buffalo from to contrarian Browns backers. Wiseguys are hoping to grab Cleveland with -6 to -7. Once this line rose a full point, wiseguys pounced on Pittsburgh the hook (+6.5) if the line ever inches up. Cleveland is contrarian in a super +7, dropping the line back to 6.5. Pittsburgh is contrarian in a heavily bet heavily bet game and Week 1 road dogs +6 or more are 24-18 ATS (57.1%) game and also matches several profitable betting systems. NFL Week 1 over the past decade. big dogs +6.5 or more are 27-17 ATS (61.4%) over the past decade. Also, Mike Tomlin has been a great bet as a dog, going 38-19 ATS (66.7%) when at New York Giants getting points. Pros have also targeted the Under, dropping the total from 50 This nonconference game features the biggest line move of the Week 1 to 48.5. The forecast calls for 10-15 mph winds at New Era Stadium, which slate. Denver is coming off a 5-11 season, while the Giants went 6-10. This benefits the Under. line opened with Denver as a short 1-point road favorite. Wiseguys have hammered the Broncos, steaming Denver up from -1 to the key number of -3. at Houston Texans Pros targeted Denver anything -2.5 or less. Although we haven’t seen any This AFC South matchup is a perfect storm of converging public perceptions. notable buyback on the Giants at an inflated +3, late Denver backers may The Jaguars went 1-15 last season, but the public loves them in this spot prefer a moneyline play on the Broncos (-155) instead of laying the worst of with a new head coach in Urban Meyer and top pick quarterback Trevor it. One reason pros may love the Broncos here: Teddy Bridgewater. We saw Lawrence making his debut. Similarly, the public wants nothing to do with the Broncos get steamed in a big way once coach Vic Fangio announced the Texans, who went 4-12 last season and will be without star quarterback Teddy Two Gloves as the starter over Drew Lock. Bridgewater is one of the Deshaun Watson because of legal issues. The Texans have the lowest best quarterbacks to back in the NFL in terms of betting, going 35-14 ATS expected win total of any team (4), and the public narrative centers on how (71.4%) in his career as a starter. terrible they will be this year without Watson. This line opened with the Jags as a 2.5-point road favorite. Recreational bettors are hammering the Jags, which has driven this line up to -3. Pros see a perfect “buy low, sell high” contrarian spot and have jumped on Houston at the key number of +3, forcing some books to inch back down to 2.5. Divisional dogs are 38-18 ATS (67.9%) in Week 1 over the past decade. This is also a classic “fade rookie coach and rookie QB” system for pros.

28 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS HEALTHY RAMS ARE BEST BET IN TOUGHEST SURVIVOR WEEK BY ADAM BURKE @SKATINGTRIPODS

More than 3,000 people have signed up for the their new teams in an actual game. There are some Most of the Cowboys’ first-team offense was Circa Survivor and thousands more have signed up players coming back from injury who haven’t gone sidelined during the preseason. There are sure to be for the DraftKings Survivor Contest. Millions around full speed in a game. Some teams projected to a lot of kinks to work out and rust to shake off. The the world will be participating in other NFL survivor be good are going to fall short and some teams Buccaneers are not the team to do that against. pools during the 2021 season. projected to be bad will exceed expectations. (-7.5) over The rules of a survivor contest are about as cut-and- In a lot of ways, Week 1 is the hardest. Every team The 49ers have the long trip and an early kickoff dried as it gets. Pick one team to win each week. will play its worst game and its best game at some in Week 1, but it is much easier to deal with one You can only use that team once. Some survivor point, and if you catch the wrong side of that in of those early in the season instead of later. This is pools likely have mild rule variances or will force Week 1, the Monday (or Tuesday) walk of shame not a particularly compromising spot for the better that team to cover the spread as well. While your will be painful. team. rules may vary, the majority of NFL survivor pools are going to be pretty boilerplate. One annual wrinkle is the NFL kickoff game. From a planning standpoint, finding a spot to Sometimes we get a really good game with a tight use the 49ers down the line is not easy, so this My VSiN colleague William Hill did an excellent line. Sometimes we get Cowboys vs. Buccaneers and could be a good time to save a team for future job last season breaking down the top NFL survivor a line north of a touchdown. If the entry cut-off isn’t use and take San Francisco in a big favorite considerations each week, but he is working on until Saturday or Sunday morning, it makes a ton of role. The 49ers will be favored again next week other things, so I have the baton for this leg of the sense to try to steal a winner with Tampa Bay and at Philadelphia. That means back-to-back road relay. then just buy back into your contest if the Buccaneers games, though they have already announced lose. Tampa Bay is the biggest favorite of Week 1 plans to stay out east and practice at The Planning and strategy are the two most important and, therefore, the team with the highest probability Greenbrier in West Virginia. factors when it comes to a survivor contest. You of winning. have to win each week to keep playing, but you After that, the Niners play Green Bay, Seattle, at also want to try to forecast the weeks that you want On the other hand, Tampa Bay could be a bigger Arizona, have a week off, host Indianapolis, and to take certain teams. favorite next week against Atlanta, will be a bigger then play at Chicago. This is going to be the best favorite in Week 7 against Chicago, in Week 11 spot of the bunch. For example, nobody will laugh at you for taking against the Giants and in Week 17 against the Jets, against the Fightin’ Andy Daltons if the Bucs have anything to play for on Jan. 2. New Lions coach Dan Campbell is not on Kyle this week as the head west for Shanahan’s level. Jared Goff did not play in the “Sunday Night Football,” but it may be in your best The caveat is that Tom Brady could get hurt and preseason and D’Andre Swift and T.J. Hockenson interest to hold off on the Rams until Week 7 when that would throw the Bucs’ lines for a loop in those were limited. Fading the Lions is never a bad idea. they host the Detroit Lions in a bigger favorite role games. We know he’s starting this week. than this week’s 7.5-point spread. It doesn’t always go according to plan, but the bigger the spread, the Those are the decisions that survivor contestants face THE PICK higher the probability of an outright win. every week. Throughout the season, we’ll do our best to make it easier for you with this article and Los Angeles Rams (-7.5) over Chicago Bears While picking a winner is the most important thing so with input from our other experts on VSiN and at The best time to take a team like the Rams in that you survive, there is added equity in being able VSiN.com. a survivor contest is right now. Los Angeles is to pick a winner that isn’t the most popular pick of the something of a stars-and-scrubs team. This is a team week. If that team loses, it can amount to a two-game with a solid first unit on the offensive line, but the swing. We don’t often see major upsets in the NFL, GAMES TO CONSIDER backups get a little dicey. and Aaron but if a team like the Lions were to beat the 49ers this Donald are studs on defense. The wide receiver week, that would knock out a pretty big percentage Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-8) over group is solid and Matthew Stafford should be as of entrants before the season even really gets going. Dallas Cowboys healthy as he is going to be. There are a lot of reasons to take this game. As Stealing a win with a mediocre or even bad mentioned, if your survivor pool has an entry Depth could be an issue down the line for the Rams, team can leave a lot of good opportunities in the deadline after this game has been played, you which may limit the opportunities to take them in weeks ahead but obviously carries additional risk. have an insurance policy if the worst-case scenario future weeks. You could wait and take the Rams Weighing the risk-reward is something bettors and happens and the Buccaneers lose. over the Lions at home in Week 7, but this looks like handicappers have to do every day. Just because a pretty strong spot, especially with Los Angeles the rules are pretty straightforward for an NFL It is hard to see Tampa Bay losing in this spot, healthy and ready to go. survivor pool, that does not mean it’s easy to string though. The Cowboys played four preseason games wins together. because of the Hall of Fame Game, but Dak Prescott The Bears beat only one team with a winning did not throw a pass in any of them. The Cowboys record last season. It was a Buccaneers team in a Each season brings uncertainty. Teams have handled also wre dealt a tough blow with guard Zack Martin compromising spot, having to travel on a short week the preseason differently in hopes of keeping going on the COVID-19 list, so a potent Buccaneers to play on Thursday night. The Rams allowed only everybody healthy. There are some new starting pass rush may have an easier time getting to 4.6 yards per play last season, and the offense quarterbacks who haven’t even gotten reps with Prescott. should be upgraded with Stafford over Goff.

29 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS STEVE MAKINEN’S CFB POWER RATINGS

2021 2021 2021 2020 Team Conf. PR Rank ES Rank BR Rank Recent Rank SOS Rank

ALABAMA SEC 74.5 1 35.1 1 -31.9 1 36.5 1 41.23 47

CLEMSON ACC 65.5 2 23.5 2 -22.9 4 25 2 36.99 72

GEORGIA SEC 65.5 3 22.2 5 -23.7 2 23.5 6 42.18 36

OKLAHOMA BIG 12 65 4 23.1 3 -22.9 5 24.1 4 41.15 49

OHIO ST BIG TEN 64 5 22.6 4 -23.3 3 23.9 5 41.61 42

TEXAS A&M SEC 60 6 15.7 12 -18.4 6 21 9 41.21 48

IOWA ST BIG 12 58 7 15.4 13 -17.5 7 24.9 3 42.51 32

TEXAS BIG 12 57.5 8 16 10 -14.2 13 21.5 8 44.98 5

NOTRE DAME ACC 57 9 16.7 9 -15.9 10 14.4 21 44.04 12

FLORIDA SEC 56.5 10 12.6 17 -16.1 8 8.9 36 41.53 43

CINCINNATI AAC 56 11 18 7 -15.9 11 16.8 13 36.62 75

IOWA BIG TEN 56 12 17. 9 8 -14.1 14 14.4 22 43.53 19

AUBURN SEC 56 13 16 11 -15.5 12 15.6 15 42.18 37

PENN ST BIG TEN 55.5 14 9 29 -13.9 16 19.4 11 43.49 23

WISCONSIN BIG TEN 55 15 14.2 16 -16.1 9 0.8 60 43.73 16

USC PAC 12 55 16 12.1 20 -12.1 19 13.4 24 41.83 41

OREGON PAC 12 55 17 11 23 -13.9 17 7. 7 41 39.86 59

NORTH CAROLINA ACC 55 18 10.3 24 -13.5 18 15.5 17 41.51 44

OKLAHOMA ST BIG 12 54 19 12.5 18 -12.1 20 16.3 14 43.9 13

MICHIGAN BIG TEN 54 20 6 40 -14.1 15 -1.8 78 43.87 14

30 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS

2021 2021 2021 2020 Team Conference PR Rank ES Rank BR Rank Recent Rank SOS Rank

MIAMI FL ACC 53.5 21 14.4 15 -11.8 21 11. 3 30 42.8 29

OLE MISS SEC 53.5 22 11.1 22 -11.6 22 9.2 35 44.75 6

UCLA PAC 12 53 23 14.7 14 -11.6 23 12.1 26 43.82 15

ARIZONA ST PAC 12 52 24 19.8 6 -9.2 29 20.3 10 38.33 65

LSU SEC 52 25 7. 7 35 -10.1 26 15.4 18 43.5 21

INDIANA BIG TEN 51.5 26 12.3 19 -8.3 32 15.4 19 43.61 18

TCU BIG 12 51.5 27 10.2 25 -9.1 30 21.8 7 43.16 25

VIRGINIA TECH ACC 51.5 28 9.5 26 -10.5 25 0.3 65 42.12 38

UTAH PAC 12 51.5 29 7 37 -9 31 11. 5 29 40.62 53

NC STATE ACC 51 30 8.4 30 -10.7 24 8.8 37 40.63 52

KENTUCKY SEC 50.5 31 8.1 32 -9.5 28 3.4 50 38.23 66

PITTSBURGH ACC 50 32 8 34 -7.8 37 17.1 12 39.91 58

COASTAL CAROLINA SUN BELT 49 33 11. 4 21 -7.3 40 15.6 16 29.84 119

WEST VIRGINIA BIG 12 49 34 5.8 45 -9.8 27 7.1 42 42.28 34

WAKE FOREST ACC 48.5 35 9.3 28 -7.9 36 5.2 49 38.12 68

VIRGINIA ACC 48.5 36 8.4 31 -8.2 33 6.7 43 42.94 27

ARKANSAS SEC 48 37 7. 4 36 -8.1 34 0.7 62 46.2 1

UCF AAC 48 38 6.6 38 -6.7 44 0.5 63 31.62 106

BOSTON COLLEGE ACC 48 39 5.9 42 -6.8 42 5.9 45 37.85 71

MISSOURI SEC 48 40 4.7 48 -7.5 39 -6.5 96 40.42 55

WASHINGTON PAC 12 48 41 2.9 55 - 7.1 41 2.9 51 39.78 60

LA LAFAYETTE SUN BELT 47.5 42 5.9 43 -3.8 55 12.7 25 33.61 92

MISSISSIPPI ST SEC 47.5 43 5.3 46 -6.3 45 8.3 38 43.05 26

APPALACHIAN ST SUN BELT 47.5 44 4.3 52 -8 35 15.2 20 33.66 91

MINNESOTA BIG TEN 47.5 45 2.5 60 -5.4 50 10.9 31 42.86 28

FLORIDA ST ACC 47.5 46 1.4 69 -6.1 47 1.9 54 44.34 10

KANSAS ST BIG 12 46.5 47 5.9 44 -7.7 38 -5.5 89 44.74 7

BOISE ST MWC 46.5 48 2.9 56 -5.6 49 -1.9 79 36.11 77

MICHIGAN ST BIG TEN 46.5 49 1.2 71 -5.1 51 5.4 48 44.17 11

MARYLAND BIG TEN 46 50 6 41 -3.8 56 13.8 23 41.3 46

LIBERTY INDEP 46 51 4.6 50 -3.6 57 10.6 33 29.24 122

TENNESSEE SEC 46 52 2.8 58 -2.9 64 5.7 47 41.04 50

NEBRASKA BIG TEN 46 53 0.7 72 -6.2 46 6 44 45.88 2

BYU INDEP 45.5 54 9.4 27 -4.6 53 0.1 69 38.19 67

BUFFALO MAC 45.5 55 8.1 33 -4.9 52 9.9 34 29.03 123

LOUISVILLE ACC 45.5 56 1.8 66 -1.3 69 10.9 32 42.6 31

31 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS

2021 2021 2021 2020 Team Conference PR Rank ES Rank BR Rank Recent Rank SOS Rank

MEMPHIS AAC 45.5 57 0.2 74 -3.6 58 1.9 55 33.87 90

TULANE AAC 45 58 4.3 53 -2.9 65 11. 9 27 39.04 62

UAB C-USA 45 59 2.9 57 -3.1 63 2 53 32.45 100

PURDUE BIG TEN 45 60 2.4 61 -6.8 43 -4.3 87 44.71 8

COLORADO PAC 12 44.5 61 4.8 47 -3.6 59 0.8 61 43.2 24

TEXAS TECH BIG 12 44.5 62 -1.1 78 -5.9 48 -0.1 72 42.39 33

BAYLOR BIG 12 44 63 2.3 62 -3.4 60 -5.5 90 42.01 40

SMU AAC 44 64 1.6 68 -3.4 61 -0.6 76 35.61 80

NORTHWESTERN BIG TEN 43.5 65 6.3 39 -1.2 70 -1.9 80 40.42 56

NEVADA MWC 43.5 66 1.9 65 -2.8 66 0.1 70 32.5 98

RUTGERS BIG TEN 43 67 4.6 51 -1.7 68 -0.3 75 43.5 22

MARSHALL C-USA 43 68 4.1 54 -2.3 67 -10.5 105 27.73 128

HOUSTON AAC 43 69 1.3 70 -4 54 2.5 52 29.84 120

BALL ST MAC 42.5 70 2.1 64 -1.1 71 11. 6 28 34.61 85

TOLEDO MAC 42.5 71 1.8 67 -3.3 62 -0.2 73 28.51 125

SAN JOSE ST MWC 42 72 4.7 49 -0.8 72 8.2 39 31.81 104

ARMY INDEP 41.5 73 0.3 73 1.9 83 -0.2 74 31.36 109

TROY SUN BELT 41.5 74 -1.2 79 0.2 75 0.3 66 34.14 87

TULSA AAC 41 75 2.2 63 0.2 76 1.5 58 38.75 63

SOUTH CAROLINA SEC 41 76 -1.6 80 0.1 74 -7.2 98 43.53 20

CALIFORNIA PAC 12 41 77 -3.6 83 -0.5 73 1.3 59 41.48 45

SYRACUSE ACC 40.5 78 -0.4 75 1.5 80 -2 82 42.22 35

STANFORD PAC 12 40.5 79 -3.6 84 0.5 78 1.8 56 44.56 9

FRESNO ST MWC 40.5 80 -4.5 86 0.3 77 -8.4 102 32.75 95

OREGON ST PAC 12 40 81 -0.5 76 1.1 79 0.5 64 42.03 39

WYOMING MWC 40 82 -3.1 82 2.1 84 -2.1 83 30.48 115

AIR FORCE MWC 39.5 83 2.7 59 4.9 95 5.8 46 30.9 112

C MICHIGAN MAC 39.5 84 -0.6 77 1.5 81 -3.3 85 34.03 88

GEORGIA TECH ACC 39.5 85 -7.2 97 3.2 90 0 71 45.08 4

TX-SAN ANTONIO C-USA 38.5 86 -1.6 81 4.2 91 8.1 40 27.58 129

SAN DIEGO ST MWC 38 87 -3.7 85 2.8 88 -4.9 88 33.07 94

EAST CAROLINA AAC 37.5 88 -4.7 87 4.3 92 0.3 67 36.52 76

FLA ATLANTIC C-USA 37.5 89 -5.6 89 1.5 82 -15.2 115 29.99 117

WASHINGTON ST PAC 12 37.5 90 -5.7 91 4.3 93 -10.6 107 39.19 61

ILLINOIS BIG TEN 37.5 91 -7.4 98 2.4 85 -10.1 104 43.66 17

DUKE ACC 37 92 -6.1 94 2.4 86 -24.1 126 40.9 51

32 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS

2021 2021 2021 2020 Team Conference PR Rank ES Rank BR Rank Recent Rank SOS Rank

W MICHIGAN MAC 36.5 93 -6 93 2.9 89 -15.9 116 35.51 81

GEORGIA ST SUN BELT 36.5 94 -6.5 95 6.3 97 1.8 57 38.74 64

W KENTUCKY C-USA 36 95 - 7.1 96 5.8 96 0.3 68 30.25 116

GA SOUTHERN SUN BELT 36 96 -7.9 100 4.8 94 -1.9 81 34.75 84

OHIO U MAC 35.5 97 -5.6 90 6.5 98 -6 92 31.81 105

KENT ST MAC 35.5 98 -7.7 99 7.1 99 -6.4 95 34.58 86

E MICHIGAN MAC 35 99 -5.3 88 8.4 103 -2.2 84 31.12 111

ARIZONA PAC 12 34 100 -14.5 112 2.5 87 -21.4 120 42.78 30

MIAMI OHIO MAC 33.5 101 -8.3 101 7. 2 100 -8 99 32.49 99

ARKANSAS ST SUN BELT 33.5 102 -10.6 104 9.4 106 -13 111 35.88 78

COLORADO ST MWC 33.5 103 -14.4 111 7. 9 102 -11.7 108 36.85 73

LOUISIANA TECH C-USA 33 104 -8.8 102 8.9 105 - 7.1 97 31.22 110

MIDDLE TENN ST C-USA 33 105 -14.9 113 7. 8 101 -1.4 77 29.92 118

HAWAII MWC 32 106 -10.7 105 8.7 104 -6.3 93 30.51 113

VANDERBILT SEC 31.5 107 -11.7 107 9.5 107 -16.2 117 40.55 54

RICE C-USA 31 108 -5.7 92 16.7 122 -3.7 86 31.37 108

S ALABAMA SUN BELT 30.5 109 -10.3 103 10.6 110 -16.4 118 32.21 101

CHARLOTTE C-USA 30.5 110 -11.9 108 9.7 108 -25.5 127 27.78 126

N ILLINOIS MAC 30.5 111 -13 110 12.1 114 -8.1 100 34.83 83

NORTH TEXAS C-USA 30.5 112 -17.7 121 9.9 109 -23.2 123 30.5 114

UTAH ST MWC 30 113 -15.9 114 11. 7 113 -12.6 110 31.82 103

KANSAS BIG 12 30 114 -16.6 116 10.8 111 -12.3 109 45.83 3

NAVY AAC 30 115 -16.9 118 12.8 117 -13.8 112 40.04 57

TEXAS ST UNIV SUN BELT 29.5 116 -11.2 106 11. 4 112 -9.6 103 32.68 96

SOUTH FLORIDA AAC 29 117 -16.7 117 12.9 118 -10.5 106 37. 97 69

NEW MEXICO MWC 28.5 118 -12.8 109 14.4 120 -8.3 101 32.01 102

SOUTHERN MISS C-USA 28.5 119 -18 122 12.3 115 -5.7 91 29.48 121

FLA INTERNATIONAL C-USA 28 120 -16.2 115 12.7 116 -23.5 124 27. 76 127

UNLV MWC 26 121 -17 119 14 119 -17 119 37. 91 70

TEMPLE AAC 25 122 -20 123 16.2 121 -21.7 121 33.88 89

UTEP C-USA 23.5 123 -17.6 120 16.8 123 -22 122 27.19 130

LA MONROE SUN BELT 22 124 -23.6 125 18.2 124 -25.6 128 36.63 74

OLD DOMINION C-USA 20 125 -20.4 124 21 125 -6.3 94 28.93 124

AKRON MAC 19.5 126 - 27.1 126 21.6 126 -24 125 35.77 79

CONNECTICUT INDEP 16.5 127 -27.4 127 24.4 127 -14.3 113 35 82

BOWLING GREEN MAC 16 128 -35.8 130 25.7 128 -34.7 130 33.58 93

MASSACHUSETTS INDEP 14 129 -34.1 129 29.2 129 -29.1 129 32.52 97

NEW MEXICO ST INDEP 11 130 -33.6 128 29.2 130 -14.5 114 31.5 107

33 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS VSIN CFB CONSENSUS MATT DAVE POWER EFFECTIVE BETTORS YOUMANS TULEY RATING STRENGTH RATINGS CONSENSUS SEASON SEASON SEASON SEASON SEASON SEASON 6-7-1 7-6-1 7-6-1 6-7-1 7-6-1 7-6-1 LAST WEEK LAST WEEK LAST WEEK LAST WEEK LAST WEEK LAST WEEK 5-4-1 5-4-1 6-3-1 5-4-1 6-3-1 6-3-1

Friday, September 10, 2021 - (303) UTEP at (304) BOISE ST (-27)

Saturday, September 11, 2021 - (309) OREGON at (310) OHIO ST (-14)

Saturday, September 11, 2021 - (337) AIR FORCE at (338) NAVY (+6.5)

Saturday, September 11, 2021 - (343) UAB at (344) GEORGIA (-26)

Saturday, September 11, 2021 - (349) IOWA at (350) IOWA ST (-4)

Saturday, September 11, 2021 - (351) TEXAS A&M vs. (352) COLORADO (+17)

Saturday, September 11, 2021 - (371) TEXAS at (372) ARKANSAS (+6.5)

Saturday, September 11, 2021 - (377) WASHINGTON at (378) MICHIGAN (-6)

Saturday, September 11, 2021 - (383) UTAH at (384) BYU (+7)

Saturday, September 11, 2021 - (387) STANFORD at (388) USC (-17.5)

34 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS VSIN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS ADAM DANNY TIM BURKE BURKE MURRAY SEASON: 3-2-1 (60%) SEASON: 3-3 (50%) SEASON: 2-3-1 (40%) LAST WEEK: 3-2-1 (60%) LAST WEEK: 3-3 (50%) LAST WEEK: 2-3-1 (40%)

Illinois-Virginia Under 55 Army -6.5 Illinois +10 Tulsa +13.5 Ohio State -14 Wyoming -6.5 Rutgers-Syracuse Under 52.5 Rutgers -2 Middle Tennessee +20 Purdue -33.5 Penn State -22 Iowa State -4 UAB +25 Nebraska-Buffalo OV 54.5 Arkansas +7 Utah -7 Texas -6 Washington +6.5

WES DAVE MATT REYNOLDS TULEY YOUMANS SEASON: 3-3 (50%) SEASON: 3-3 (50%) SEASON: 4-2 (67%) LAST WEEK: 3-3 (50%) LAST WEEK: 3-3 (50%) LAST WEEK: 4-2 (67%)

Wyoming -6.5 Oregon +14.5 Oregon +14.5 Toledo/Notre Dame OV 54.5 Georgia Southern +7 Rutgers -2 UAB +25 Iowa +4.5 Iowa +4.5 Texas A&M/Colorado UN 51 Vanderbilt +7 Arkansas +7 Troy +5 San Diego State +1 Arizona -1 Arkansas +7 Hawaii +11.5 UNLV-Arizona State Over 53

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I did it again. I doubted Alabama. Well, sorta. 3. It could be a long year for Ed Orgeron. LSU lost at UCLA 38-27 as a 2.5-point favorite, and it doesn’t really get easier. The next month should be To be clear, I didn’t bet Miami. Even with 19.5 points, I had to see it first. At fine, although the Tigers will still play Florida, Ole Miss, Alabama and Texas least I knew not to do that. Instead I grinded out an under that looked very A&M. There are some easy wins for a bit, but then the message boards could much dead early in the third quarter. It did, in fact, survive. get busy.

But I did wonder openly just how good Alabama would be after losing so 4. UConn. Goodness. It is hard to capture just how bad this football team many players. A Heisman winner, a superstar QB, another superstar wide is at the moment, but let’s try: Against Holy Cross, the Huskies lost by 10 as receiver, a workhorse back, fixtures of the offensive line, a shutdown corner three-point favorites. HOLY CROSS. They finished with only 262 yards and and more. All gone. frankly are as abysmal as any team I have seen in recent memory. They play Purdue at home in Week 2, and they are nearly a five-touchdown underdog. I said it here and, on the radio, and on pretty much every piece of preview content I could be involved in that Alabama would regress. They had to, 5. McKenzie Milton. That is all. To see one of the biggest stars in college right? football come back after a devastating knee injury against Notre Dame was a moment I will never forget. It’ll be fascinating to see how Milton factors Well, they responded by demolishing the Hurricanes. for an FSU team that appears much improved, but we will always have that moment. (Also, I appreciate the cover, Milton.) It was a glorious obliteration that looked far too routine. The defense was disruptive. The offense, with so many new pieces, headlined by QB Bryce 6. Injuries suck. It’ll be a theme most weekends, although the loss of Young, looked just as explosive. (Young is now the favorite to win the Minnesota running back Mohamed Ibrahim for the year is a major blow. He Heisman after his first start.) was the engine of that offense, and they will feel it.

This was a clinic, only it shouldn’t have been a clinic. No team, not even Alabama, should be able to withstand those kinds of personnel losses and THE BUFFET: THE FIVE BEST GAMES OF THE WEEKEND still be that dominant. And yet, they were the favorites to win the SEC and the national title before the season began. It’s not the greatest slate of games in the world, although there is plenty of potential. (As a note, all point spreads are current as of Monday afternoon.) I questioned that. In fact, I bet Georgia to win both, which I have written about at length on this very website. The Bulldogs looked plenty capable 1. Ohio State (-14, 63.5) vs. Oregon against Clemson, and a heavyweight fight between two SEC powers could Neither team had jaw-dropping openers, although Oregon enters with once again loom. far more questions than answers. The Ducks edged out Fresno State as a 19.5-point favorite, and the injuries to and Dru Mathis Regardless, Alabama is now +210 to win the national title. More importantly, are worth monitoring. Mathis’ injury sounds more concerning, although the Crimson Tide have once again appeared to overhaul a deeply talented Thibodeaux is perhaps the best player in the sport. If he is less than 100% or roster in six months. They have made the unthinkable look normal. absent from this game, the impact could loom large. Ohio State, depending on what line you locked in, won, lost or pushed against Minnesota. The Those who had faith -- not me, of course -- could profit as a result. We have a Buckeyes we saw in the second half looked familiar, flashing offense and long way to go, but what a start it was. big-play potential. If we see the team we saw in the second half against the Gophers, the Ducks likely won’t be able to keep up.

THE APPETIZER: 2. Iowa State (-4.5, 45) vs. Iowa FOOTBALL TIDBITS AND OBSERVATIONS Last season, the outcome of this game was decided on a muffed punt. That is a perfect encapsulation of a series that is often weird, unpredictable and 1. Speaking of Georgia, the Bulldogs’ front seven was perhaps the most mistake-heavy. This particular installment is also hugely important, and the impressive takeaway of the weekend. Kirby Smart’s team covered the 2.5 two rivals delivered vastly different performances in Week 1. Iowa leveled and won a meat grinder of a football game 10-3 against Clemson. And while Indiana at home as a small favorite, while Iowa State edged Northern Iowa the offense might be a slight concern, the defense showed it is capable of 16-10 despite closing as 28.5-point favorite. That is not necessarily a shock, creating chaos. This pass rush looks terrifying. as we have seen Iowa State start slow. It also doesn’t mean that will be the case all year. To me, the quarterbacks are worth watching. Spencer Petras 2. I love watching Deuce Vaughn run the football. The K-State running back, has been up and down for the Hawkeyes and Brock Purdy, who flashes who measures in at 5-foot-5, ran for 124 yards and a touchdown in the brilliance, also can be wildly inconsistent. One thing is for certain: The game Wildcats’ 24-7 victory over Stanford. He is essentially a bowling ball with will likely stay on brand and be very weird. feet. Kansas State easily covered as a 3-point favorite on Saturday, and Vaughn was a big reason why. I’m curious to see his work over a full year. (continued on next page)

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3. Michigan (-6, 51) vs. Washington are a really good team, and the Longhorns thoroughly dominated the game Yikes. That is the only place to begin with Washington after losing to -- covering the 8-point spread with ease thanks largely to an explosive second Montana -- yes, Montana -- outright to start the year. The Huskies lost despite half. Arkansas did the same with Rice, and it will now take a sizable step up closing as a 23.5-point favorite, and they only mustered seven total points in competition. If it’s going to beat or even cover against Texas, it will need to to a team that played exactly two games last season. Michigan, which stop running back Bijan Robinson. Robinson, whose hype has been building historically has had its own Week 1 issues, played a clean, uneventful opener since the end of last season, finished Week 1 with 173 yards from scrimmage against Western Michigan. Uneventful is actually good, by the way. Cade and two touchdowns. The Razorbacks have improved drastically over the McNamara looked sharp at QB, and the Wolverines averaged nearly eight past two years, and they’ll likely need a game performance to pull a mild yards per carry. The loss of wideout Ronnie Bell to a knee injury, however, upset. is an enormous blow. We don’t want to overreact to a Week 1 loss, but it’s hard not to given what we just witnessed from Washington. LAST CALL: 4. Utah (-7, 47) at BYU I loved Arizona last week against BYU. While there were moments when it PARTING SHOTS ON OTHER GAMES OF NOTE looked like that love would go sideways, the Wildcats ultimately covered a Pittsburgh (-3, 54) at Tennessee spread that ballooned up to 13.5. Bigger yet, BYU looked like a team that This just feels like a football game that will aggravate both fan bases lost an incredible quarterback along with key pieces of its offensive line. The regardless of outcome. I am curious to see if and when the Tennessee offense point spread against Utah certainly speaks to that. The Utes came out a little gets going. flat against Weber State, although they ultimately won comfortably (even if they didn’t cover). Let me also say plainly I love this rivalry despite it being Miami (-8, 54.5) vs. Appalachian State relatively one-sided. The Holy War didn’t take place in 2020 due to COVID, After getting clobbered by Alabama, things don’t exactly get easy. App State and BYU has not won this game since 2009. It’s worth noting, however, is very capable and will likely benefit from the fact that the Hurricanes were that only two of the games since then have been decided by more than a just physically overwhelmed. touchdown. It could be that kind of game again.

Texas A&M (-17, 52) at Colorado 5. Texas (-6.5, 57) at Arkansas I’m not sure how close it will be, but I am curious to see how A&M takes to For at least one Saturday, Texas looked like Texas. Yes, beating Louisiana its first road test of the year. I could see this being ugly and low scoring -- so might not move the needle like beating Oklahoma. But the Ragin’ Cajuns give the under a look. Aggies 31, Buffaloes 14.

Bijan Robinson

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(301) KANSAS [SU:1-0 • ATS:0-1] AT (302) COASTAL CAROLINA (-25.5 • 52.5) [SU:1-0 • ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 10, 2021 7:30 PM ET on ESPN2 • BROOKS STADIUM (CONWAY,SC)

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF KANSAS 17.0 12 41-82 [2.0] 26-17-163 [6.3] 14.4 14.0 14 41-165 [4.0] 22-10-98 [4.5] 18.8 0 +3.0 COASTAL CAROLINA (22) 52.0 28 32-262 [8.2] 24-20-348 [14.5] 11.7 14.0 16 55-223 [4.1] 6-3-14 [2.3] 16.9 0 +38.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj KANSAS 53 30 9 49.3 17.6 56.9 COASTAL CAROLINA (22) -25.5 49 -22.4 40.3 -31.3 39.4 -21.8

TOP TEAM TRENDS • KANSAS is 9-0-1 OVER(L10G) - Revenging a loss

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS KANSAS RESULTS COASTAL CAROLINA (22) RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-03 VS S DAKOTA -11.5 55 17-14 W L U 09-02 VS CITADEL -33 54.5 52-14 W W O 09-10 at COASTAL CAROLINA +25.5 52.5 09-10 VS KANSAS -25.5 52.5 09-18 VS BAYLOR 09-18 at BUFFALO 09-25 at DUKE 09-25 VS MASSACHUSETTS 10-02 at IOWA ST 10-02 VS LA MONROE 10-16 VS TEXAS TECH 10-07 at ARKANSAS ST 10-23 VS OKLAHOMA 10-20 at APPALACHIAN ST 10-30 at OKLAHOMA ST 10-28 VS TROY 11-06 VS KANSAS ST 11-06 at GEORGIA SOUTHERN 11-13 at TEXAS 11-13 VS GEORGIA ST 11-20 at TCU 11-20 VS TEXAS ST 11-27 VS WEST VIRGINIA 11-26 at S ALABAMA

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(303) UTEP (304) BOISE ST SU: 2-0 • ATS: 1-1 • O/U: 1-1 SU: 0-1 • ATS: 1-0 • O/U: 0-0-1

SEPTEMBER 10, 2021 9:30 PM ET ON FS1 LINE: BOISE ST (-27 • 57.5) ALBERTSONS STADIUM • BOISE,ID

The El Paso team most likely to start a season 2-0 in recent years has been the Chihuahuas. Until this year, it hadn’t happened with UTEP football since starting 1988 by beating Mankato State and Weber State. So maybe the Miners and their fans can be excused for celebrating after beating New Mexico State and Bethune-Cookman. Boise State is a much tougher test for Dana Dimel’s troops, but UTEP did hint at an improved attack a year ago before injuries and COVID-19 robbed the momentum. QB Gavin Hardison has thrown four touchdown passes and slashing RB Ronald Awatt has rushed for 200 yards and a 6.7-ypc average as they have provided a big-play dimension in the early going. The Broncos are surely kicking themselves after blowing a 21-point lead in the opener at UCF, but expect new coach Andy Avalos to demand a bit more balance in the offense after gaining less than a yard per carry against the Knights. That might slow the pace just enough to keep the score respectable, especially as UTEP seems to have enough competence to hang inside these sorts of inflated imposts in 2021. – Bruce Marshall

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF UTEP 34.0 21 46-246 [5.3] 21-12-216 [10.0] 13.6 15.5 16 29-109 [3.7] 27-12-152 [5.5] 16.8 0 +18.5 BOISE ST 31.0 17 26-20 [0.8] 39-25-263 [6.7] 9.1 36.0 29 48-255 [5.3] 37-25-318 [8.6] 15.9 +1 -5.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj UTEP 55.5 23.5 16.4 55.6 13.6 52.4 BOISE ST -27 46.5 -25.4 39.3 -22.9 38.8 -25.2

TOP TEAM TRENDS • BOISE ST is 11-4 ATS(L15G) at HOME - [vs OPP] Non-ranked team • UTEP is 13-30-1 ATS(S2000) - VS poor team with 20% or less winning pct • BOISE ST is 8-2 UNDER(L10G) at HOME - VS shutdown passing defense yielding less than 5.90 yards per attempt

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2004-09-18 BOISE ST (47) at UTEP (31) +27.5 NL UTEP HOME DOG x 2003-11-15 UTEP (21) at BOISE ST (51) -41.5 66.0 UTEP ROAD DOG OVER 2002-11-02 BOISE ST (58) at UTEP (3) +34 66.0 BOISE ST ROAD FAV UNDER 2001-09-22 UTEP (17) at BOISE ST (42) -4.5 59.5 BOISE ST HOME FAV UNDER 2000-12-28 UTEP (23) at BOISE ST (38) -9 67.0 BOISE ST HOME FAV UNDER

HEAD-TO-HEAD TREND • UTEP has won b2b games ATS vs. Boise St after losing prior three

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS UTEP RESULTS BOISE ST RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 08-28 at NEW MEXICO ST - 9.5 59 30-3 W W U 09-02 at UCF + 6.5 67 31-36 L W P 09-04 VS BETHUNE-COOKMAN -20.5 52.5 38-28 W L O 09-10 VS UTEP -27 57.5 09-10 at BOISE ST +27 57.5 09-18 VS OKLAHOMA ST 09-25 VS NEW MEXICO 09-25 at UTAH ST 10-02 VS OLD DOMINION 10-02 VS NEVADA 10-09 at SOUTHERN MISS 10-09 at BYU 10-16 VS LOUISIANA TECH 10-16 VS AIR FORCE 10-30 at FL ATLANTIC 10-30 at COLORADO ST 11-06 VS TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO 11-06 at FRESNO ST 11-13 at NORTH TEXAS 11-12 VS WYOMING 11-20 VS RICE 11-20 VS NEW MEXICO 11-27 at UAB 11-26 at SAN DIEGO ST

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(305) ILLINOIS (306) VIRGINIA SU: 1-1 • ATS: 1-1 • O/U: 1-1 SU: 1-0 • ATS: 1-0 • O/U: 0-1

SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 11:00 AM ET ON ACCN LINE: VIRGINIA (-10 • 55) SCOTT STADIUM • CHARLOTTESVILLE,VA

The Bret Bielema era got off to a great start two weeks ago with Illinois’ 30-22 home win as nearly a touchdown underdog in the Big Ten opener against Nebraska. But Illinois lost to visiting UTSA 37-30 last weekend in a buy game that cost the Illini $1.1 million. The betting money came for UTSA and was rightly placed as the Roadrunners never allowed the Illini to lead and cashed as 4.5-point underdogs after opening at +7.5. Illinois was outgained 496-395 and allowed 216 yards on the ground a week after holding Nebraska to 160. Backup quarterback Artur Sitkowski, a Rutgers transfer, threw three touchdown passes with no turnovers but struggled a bit with accuracy, going 22-for-43. Fifth-year QB Brandon Peters missed Saturday’s game with a left shoulder injury and is listed as questionable at Virginia. Illinois was also short-handed in the backfield as neither Chase Brown nor Chase Hayden played. Virginia began its 2021 campaign with a 43-0 victory over William & Mary, covering as a 30.5-point favorite. After scoring only three points on their first four drives, the Cavaliers piled up 545 yards of total offense. Coach Bronco Mendenhall has covered six of his last seven as a home favorite and will be in that role this weekend. The Cavaliers opened as 13-point favorites at Circa Sports, but money showed for the Illini, with early bettors buying on the weakness of losing to a Group of 5 program at home, and the line has settled at 10. – Wes Reynolds

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF ILLINOIS 30.0 21 41-156 [3.8] 31-18-212 [6.9] 12.3 29.5 22 44-188 [4.2] 32-18-256 [8.0] 15.1 0 +0.5 VIRGINIA 43.0 22 32-206 [6.4] 32-21-339 [10.6] 12.7 0.0 11 37-94 [2.5] 16-10-89 [5.6] 0.0 0 +43.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj ILLINOIS 55 37.5 22.2 54.9 22.2 57.8 VIRGINIA -10 48.5 -13.8 32.7 -10.6 35.6 -13.4

TOP TEAM TRENDS • VIRGINIA is 10-2 ATS(L3Y) at HOME - as Non-ranked team • ILLINOIS is 1-6 ATS(L7G) on ROAD - Non-conference games • VIRGINIA is 8-1-1 OVER(L3Y) - VS efficient offense averaging less than 13.20 yards per point

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS No Recent Head-Head Games

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS ILLINOIS RESULTS VIRGINIA RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 08-28 VS NEBRASKA + 7 52.5 30-22 W W U 09-04 VS WILLIAM & MARY -30.5 52.5 43-0 W W U 09-04 VS TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO - 4.5 52 30-37 L L O 09-11 VS ILLINOIS -10 55 09-11 at VIRGINIA +10 55 09-18 at NORTH CAROLINA 09-17 VS MARYLAND 09-24 VS WAKE FOREST 09-25 at PURDUE 09-30 at MIAMI FL 10-02 VS CHARLOTTE 10-09 at LOUISVILLE 10-09 VS WISCONSIN 10-16 VS DUKE 10-23 at PENN ST 10-23 VS GEORGIA TECH 10-30 VS RUTGERS 10-30 at BYU 11-06 at MINNESOTA 11-13 VS NOTRE DAME 11-20 at IOWA 11-20 at PITTSBURGH 11-27 VS NORTHWESTERN 11-27 VS VIRGINIA TECH

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(307) W KENTUCKY [SU:1-0 • ATS:1-0] AT (308) ARMY (-6.5 • 53.5) [SU:1-0 • ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 11:30 AM ET on CBSSN • MICHIE STADIUM (WEST POINT,NY)

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF W KENTUCKY 59.0 25 25-109 [4.4] 36-29-478 [13.3] 9.9 21.0 22 34-201 [5.9] 43-20-195 [4.5] 18.9 +1 +38.0 ARMY 43.0 20 67-258 [3.9] 4-3-98 [24.5] 8.3 10.0 14 28-48 [1.7] 20-12-129 [6.5] 17.7 +2 +33.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj W KENTUCKY 54 36 22.8 56.6 20.9 48.9 ARMY -6.5 41.5 -9 33.8 -11 28 -7.1

TOP TEAM TRENDS • ARMY is 36-8-1 UNDER(L45G) - VS big play passing team averaging more than 8.30 yards per attempt

HEAD-TO-HEAD TREND • HOME TEAMS are on a 3-0 ATS surge in WKU-ARMY h2h series

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS W KENTUCKY RESULTS ARMY RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-02 VS TENNESSEE-MARTIN -24 58.5 59-21 W W O 09-04 at GEORGIA ST + 2.5 50 43-10 W W O 09-11 at ARMY + 6.5 53.5 09-11 VS W KENTUCKY - 6.5 53.5 09-25 VS INDIANA 09-18 VS CONNECTICUT 10-02 at MICHIGAN ST 09-25 VS MIAMI OH 10-09 VS TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO 10-02 at BALL ST 10-16 at OLD DOMINION 10-16 at WISCONSIN 10-23 at FLORIDA INTL 10-23 VS WAKE FOREST 10-30 VS CHARLOTTE 11-06 at AIR FORCE 11-06 VS MIDDLE TENN ST 11-13 VS BUCKNELL 11-13 at RICE 11-20 VS MASSACHUSETTS 11-20 VS FL ATLANTIC 11-27 at LIBERTY 11-27 at MARSHALL 12-11 VS NAVY

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(309) OREGON (310) OHIO ST SU: 1-0 • ATS: 0-1 • O/U: 0-1 SU: 1-0 • ATS: 0-0-1 • O/U: 1-0

SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 12:00 PM ET ON FOX LINE: OHIO ST (-14 • 63.5) OHIO STADIUM • COLUMBUS,OH

All things considered, Ohio State opened the season in a positive way by beating a quality Big Ten opponent on the road by two touchdowns. In his starting debut, quarterback C.J. Stroud passed for 294 yards and four touchdowns. He completed only 13 passes yet hit for several big plays, including scoring throws of 38, 56, 61 and 70 yards. The Buckeyes’ receivers, led by Chris Olave, are as good as it gets in college football. The defense needs improvement. The Buckeyes allowed 408 total yards and were gashed for 203 on the ground. But few elite teams open with true road games, and Ohio State was up to the challenge in the 45-31 win at Minnesota. Ryan Day improved to 24-2 overall and 16-0 in league games in his third year as coach. The Buckeyes are 14-point favorites for the second week in a row, this time at home against an Oregon team that many projected to be the Pac-12 favorite. The Ducks’ debut was far from impressive, however, and they probably rank behind USC, Utah and UCLA in the conference pecking order. Most prognosticators overrated Oregon, which was a 20-point favorite in a 31-24 victory over Fresno State. Anthony Brown is a dangerous dual-threat quarterback who passed for 172 yards, rushed for 56 yards and accounted for two TDs. CJ Verdell is an explosive running back. But the Ducks do not have an abundance of offensive playmakers, unlike the Buckeyes. Oregon’s top NFL prospect, defensive end Kayvon Thibodeaux, left at halftime with a left ankle injury, and his status is questionable for this week. Thibodeaux demands extra attention and is a matchup problem. If he’s good to go, look to take 14 points or more with the underdog. The line seems slightly inflated after last week’s results. – Matt Youmans

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF OREGON (11) 31.0 20 49-186 [3.8] 24-15-172 [7.2] 11.5 24.0 23 30-75 [2.5] 43-30-298 [6.9] 15.5 +2 +7.0 OHIO ST (4) 45.0 17 26-201 [7.7] 22-13-294 [13.4] 11.0 31.0 24 50-203 [4.1] 25-14-205 [8.2] 13.2 +1 +14.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj OREGON (11) 63.5 55 22.9 61.7 26.5 66.4 OHIO ST (4) -14 64 -13.2 38.7 -15.8 40 -13.5

TOP TEAM TRENDS • OREGON is 21-3-1 ATS(L25G) on ROAD - VS good team with 70% or better winning pct • OHIO ST is 10-15 ATS(L10Y) at HOME - OU line of 60 or more • OREGON is 8-2 UNDER(L10G) on ROAD - Underdog of more than 7 points

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2015-01-12 * OREGON (20) vs OHIO ST (42) +7 74.0 OHIO ST x DOG UNDER 2010-01-01 * OREGON (17) vs OHIO ST (26) +4.5 51.0 OHIO ST x DOG UNDER

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS OREGON (11) RESULTS OHIO ST (4) RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-04 VS FRESNO ST -18 63 31-24 W L U 09-02 at MINNESOTA -14 62 45-31 W P O 09-11 at OHIO ST +14 63.5 09-11 VS OREGON -14 63.5 09-18 VS STONY BROOK 09-18 VS TULSA 09-25 VS ARIZONA 09-25 VS AKRON 10-02 at STANFORD 10-02 at RUTGERS 10-15 VS 10-09 VS MARYLAND 10-23 at UCLA 10-23 at INDIANA 10-30 VS COLORADO 10-30 VS PENN ST 11-06 at WASHINGTON 11-06 at NEBRASKA 11-13 VS WASHINGTON ST 11-13 VS PURDUE 11-20 at UTAH 11-20 VS MICHIGAN ST 11-27 VS OREGON ST 11-27 at MICHIGAN

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(311) BOSTON COLLEGE (-37.5 • 59) [SU:1-0 • ATS:1-0] AT (312) MASSACHUSETTS [SU:0-1 • ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 3:30 PM ET • WARREN MCGUIRK ALUMNI STADIUM (AMHERST,MA)

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF BOSTON COLLEGE 51.0 25 35-178 [5.1] 30-21-347 [11.6] 10.3 0.0 12 35-105 [3.0] 19-10-84 [4.4] 0.0 +2 +51.0 MASSACHUSETTS 7.0 11 27-42 [1.6] 31-14-167 [5.4] 29.9 51.0 35 41-222 [5.4] 45-34-375 [8.3] 11.7 +2 -44.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj BOSTON COLLEGE -37 48 47.8 58.4 46 57.2 MASSACHUSETTS 59 14 31.1 10.6 37.2 11.2 34.8

TOP TEAM TRENDS • BOSTON COLLEGE is 7-0 UNDER(L7G) on ROAD - VS anemic rushing team averaging less than 3.0 yards per carry

HEAD-TO-HEAD TREND • BOSTON COLLEGE has won four straight ATS vs. UMass

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS BOSTON COLLEGE RESULTS MASSACHUSETTS RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-04 VS COLGATE -42.5 56 51-0 W W U 09-04 at PITTSBURGH +37.5 55.5 7-51 L L O 09-11 at MASSACHUSETTS -37.5 59 09-11 VS BOSTON COLLEGE +37.5 59 09-18 at TEMPLE 09-18 VS E MICHIGAN 09-25 VS MISSOURI 09-25 at COASTAL CAROLINA 10-02 at CLEMSON 10-02 VS TOLEDO 10-16 VS NC STATE 10-09 VS CONNECTICUT 10-23 at LOUISVILLE 10-23 at FLORIDA ST 10-30 at SYRACUSE 10-30 at LIBERTY 11-05 VS VIRGINIA TECH 11-06 VS RHODE ISLAND 11-13 at GEORGIA TECH 11-13 VS MAINE 11-20 VS FLORIDA ST 11-20 at ARMY 11-27 VS WAKE FOREST 11-27 at NEW MEXICO ST

(313) FLORIDA (-29 • 58) [SU:1-0 • ATS:0-1] AT (314) SOUTH FLORIDA [SU:0-1 • ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 1:00 PM ET on ABC • RAYMOND JAMES STADIUM (TAMPA,FL)

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF FLORIDA (13) 35.0 26 46-400 [8.7] 35-20-153 [4.4] 15.8 14.0 23 37-92 [2.5] 33-19-261 [7.9] 25.2 0 +21.0 SOUTH FLORIDA 0.0 15 32-104 [3.2] 33-14-167 [5.1] 0.0 45.0 27 40-293 [7.3] 26-17-232 [8.9] 11.7 -2 -45.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj FLORIDA (13) -29 56.5 45.3 59.1 44.5 61.8 SOUTH FLORIDA 57.5 29 24.3 13.9 31.4 17.3 27.2

TOP TEAM TRENDS • SOUTH FLORIDA is 12-2 UNDER(L14G) - Underdog of more than 20 points

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS FLORIDA (13) RESULTS SOUTH FLORIDA RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-04 VS FL ATLANTIC -23.5 51.5 35-14 W L U 09-02 at NC STATE +20 58 0-45 L L U 09-11 at SOUTH FLORIDA -29 58 09-11 VS FLORIDA +29 58 09-18 VS ALABAMA 09-18 VS FLORIDA A&M 09-25 VS TENNESSEE 09-25 at BYU 10-02 at KENTUCKY 10-02 at SMU 10-09 VS VANDERBILT 10-16 VS TULSA 10-16 at LSU 10-23 VS TEMPLE 10-30 VS GEORGIA 10-28 at EAST CAROLINA 11-06 at SOUTH CAROLINA 11-06 VS HOUSTON 11-13 VS SAMFORD 11-12 VS CINCINNATI 11-20 at MISSOURI 11-20 at TULANE 11-27 VS FLORIDA ST 11-26 at UCF

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WEEK 2 COLLEGE FOOTBALL MATCHUPS

(315) PITTSBURGH (-3 • 55) [SU:1-0 • ATS:1-0] AT (316) TENNESSEE [SU:1-0 • ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 12:00 PM ET on ESPN • NEYLAND STADIUM (KNOXVILLE,TN)

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF PITTSBURGH 51.0 35 41-222 [5.4] 45-34-375 [8.3] 11.7 7.0 11 27-42 [1.6] 31-14-167 [5.4] 29.9 -2 +44.0 TENNESSEE 38.0 30 64-326 [5.1] 24-12-145 [6.0] 12.4 6.0 11 23-32 [1.4] 38-25-187 [4.9] 36.5 -2 +32.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj PITTSBURGH -3 50 29.4 56 30.4 57.8 TENNESSEE 54.5 46 1.4 26.6 2.8 27.5 2.9

TOP TEAM TRENDS • TENNESSEE is 5-20 ATS(L25G) at HOME - VS shutdown passing defense yielding less than 5.90 yards per attempt

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS PITTSBURGH RESULTS TENNESSEE RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-04 VS MASSACHUSETTS -37.5 55.5 51-7 W W O 09-02 VS BOWLING GREEN -37 60.5 38-6 W L U 09-11 at TENNESSEE - 3 55 09-11 VS PITTSBURGH + 3 55 09-18 VS W MICHIGAN 09-18 VS TENNESSEE TECH 09-25 VS NEW HAMPSHIRE 09-25 at FLORIDA 10-02 at GEORGIA TECH 10-02 at MISSOURI 10-16 at VIRGINIA TECH 10-09 VS SOUTH CAROLINA 10-23 VS CLEMSON 10-16 VS MISSISSIPPI 10-30 VS MIAMI FL 10-23 at ALABAMA 11-06 at DUKE 11-06 at KENTUCKY 11-11 VS NORTH CAROLINA 11-13 VS GEORGIA 11-20 VS VIRGINIA 11-20 VS S ALABAMA 11-27 at SYRACUSE 11-27 VS VANDERBILT

(317) SOUTH CAROLINA [SU:1-0 • ATS:1-0] AT (318) EAST CAROLINA (-2 • 57.5) [SU:0-1 • ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 12:00 PM ET on ESPN2 • DOWDY-FICKLEN STADIUM (GREENVILLE,NC)

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF SOUTH CAROLINA 46.0 23 47-258 [5.5] 28-18-185 [6.6] 9.6 0.0 9 22-31 [1.4] 22-13-78 [3.5] 0.0 +1 +46.0 EAST CAROLINA 19.0 20 24-86 [3.6] 41-22-295 [7.2] 20.1 33.0 25 36-226 [6.3] 27-20-259 [9.6] 14.7 -1 -14.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj SOUTH CAROLINA 57 41 27.3 56.8 29.6 59.5 EAST CAROLINA -2 37.5 -1.6 29.4 -2.1 30 -0.4

TOP TEAM TRENDS • EAST CAROLINA is 2-8 ATS(L10G) - VS elite defensive team allowing less than 17.5 PPG

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS SOUTH CAROLINA RESULTS EAST CAROLINA RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-04 VS E ILLINOIS -31 55.5 46-0 W W U 09-02 ** APPALACHIAN ST + 9 56 19-33 L L U 09-11 at EAST CAROLINA + 2 57.5 09-11 VS SOUTH CAROLINA - 2 57.5 09-18 at GEORGIA 09-18 at MARSHALL 09-25 VS KENTUCKY 09-25 VS CHARLESTON SOUTHERN 10-02 VS TROY 10-02 VS TULANE 10-09 at TENNESSEE 10-09 at UCF 10-16 VS VANDERBILT 10-23 at HOUSTON 10-23 at TEXAS A&M 10-28 VS SOUTH FLORIDA 11-06 VS FLORIDA 11-06 VS TEMPLE 11-13 at MISSOURI 11-13 at MEMPHIS 11-20 VS AUBURN 11-20 at NAVY 11-27 VS CLEMSON 11-27 VS CINCINNATI

44 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS

WEEK 2 COLLEGE FOOTBALL MATCHUPS

(319) GEORGIA SOUTHERN [SU:1-0 • ATS:0-1] AT (320) FLA ATLANTIC (-7 • 47.5) [SU:0-1 • ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 3:30 PM ET • FAU FOOTBALL STADIUM (BOCCA RATON,FL)

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF GEORGIA SOUTHERN 30.0 25 65-365 [5.6] 20-12-135 [6.8] 16.7 25.0 20 19-62 [3.3] 46-28-365 [7.9] 17.1 0 +5.0 FLA ATLANTIC 14.0 23 37-92 [2.5] 33-19-261 [7.9] 25.2 35.0 26 46-400 [8.7] 35-20-153 [4.4] 15.8 0 -21.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj GEORGIA SOUTHERN 48 36 20.6 47.5 18.7 44 FLA ATLANTIC -7 37.5 -5.1 26.9 -6.4 25.3 -6.6

TOP TEAM TRENDS • FL ATLANTIC is 8-2 UNDER(L3Y) - with Head coach - TAGGART

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS GEORGIA SOUTHERN RESULTS FLA ATLANTIC RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-04 VS GARDNER WEBB -27.5 48 30-25 W L O 09-04 at FLORIDA +23.5 51.5 14-35 L W U 09-11 at FL ATLANTIC + 7 47.5 09-11 VS GEORGIA SOUTHERN - 7 47.5 09-18 at ARKANSAS 09-18 VS FORDHAM 09-25 VS LA LAFAYETTE 09-25 at AIR FORCE 10-02 VS ARKANSAS ST 10-02 VS FLORIDA INTL 10-09 at TROY 10-09 at UAB 10-14 at S ALABAMA 10-21 at CHARLOTTE 10-30 VS GEORGIA ST 10-30 VS UTEP 11-06 VS COASTAL CAROLINA 11-06 VS MARSHALL 11-13 at TEXAS ST 11-13 at OLD DOMINION 11-20 VS BYU 11-20 at W KENTUCKY 11-27 at APPALACHIAN ST 11-27 VS MIDDLE TENN ST

(321) MIAMI OHIO [SU:0-1 • ATS:0-1] AT (322) MINNESOTA (-19.5 • 55.5) [SU:0-1 • ATS:0-0-1] SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 12:00 PM ET on ESPNU • TCF BANK STADIUM (,MN)

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF MIAMI OHIO 14.0 17 45-169 [3.8] 28-9-109 [3.9] 19.9 49.0 27 31-247 [8.0] 26-20-295 [11.3] 11.1 +3 -35.0 MINNESOTA 31.0 24 50-203 [4.1] 25-14-205 [8.2] 13.2 45.0 17 26-201 [7.7] 22-13-294 [13.4] 11.0 -1 -14.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj MIAMI OHIO 55.5 33.5 20 56.1 20 55.4 MINNESOTA -19.5 47.5 -16.7 36 -16 35.4 -15.4

TOP TEAM TRENDS • MINNESOTA is 12-2-1 OVER(L15G) - VS poor rushing defense yielding more than 4.6 yards per carry

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS MIAMI OHIO RESULTS MINNESOTA RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-04 at CINCINNATI +23 49 14-49 L L O 09-02 VS OHIO ST +14 62 31-45 L P O 09-11 at MINNESOTA +19.5 55.5 09-11 VS MIAMI OH -19.5 55.5 09-18 VS LIU-POST 09-18 at COLORADO 09-25 at ARMY 09-25 VS BOWLING GREEN 10-02 VS C MICHIGAN 10-02 at PURDUE 10-09 at E MICHIGAN 10-16 VS NEBRASKA 10-16 VS AKRON 10-23 VS MARYLAND 10-23 at BALL ST 10-30 at NORTHWESTERN 11-02 at OHIO 11-06 VS ILLINOIS 11-09 VS BUFFALO 11-13 at IOWA 11-16 VS BOWLING GREEN 11-20 at INDIANA 11-27 at KENT ST 11-27 VS WISCONSIN

45 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS

WEEK 2 COLLEGE FOOTBALL MATCHUPS

(323) TULSA [SU:0-1 • ATS:0-1] AT (324) OKLAHOMA ST (-13.5 • 52.5) [SU:1-0 • ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 12:00 PM ET on FS1 • BOONE PICKENS STADIUM (STILLWATER,OK)

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF TULSA 17.0 19 34-247 [7.3] 28-15-201 [7.2] 26.4 19.0 25 46-88 [1.9] 36-28-311 [8.6] 21.0 -3 -2.0 OKLAHOMA ST 23.0 16 28-54 [1.9] 40-22-315 [7.9] 16.0 16.0 23 37-102 [2.8] 46-24-234 [5.1] 21.0 -1 +7.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj TULSA 52.5 41 23 56 17.8 47.7 OKLAHOMA ST -13.5 54 -12.7 33 -10 29.9 -12.1

TOP TEAM TRENDS • TULSA is 10-0 ATS(L10G) on ROAD - VS good team with 70% or better winning pct

HEAD-TO-HEAD TREND • OKLAHOMA ST is on a 4-1 ATS run vs. Tulsa but lost LT

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS TULSA RESULTS OKLAHOMA ST RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-02 VS UC-DAVIS -22.5 54.5 17-19 L L U 09-04 VS MISSOURI ST -33.5 51.5 23-16 W L U 09-11 at OKLAHOMA ST +13.5 52.5 09-11 VS TULSA -13.5 52.5 09-18 at OHIO ST 09-18 at BOISE ST 09-25 VS ARKANSAS ST 09-25 VS KANSAS ST 10-01 VS HOUSTON 10-02 VS BAYLOR 10-09 VS MEMPHIS 10-16 at TEXAS 10-16 at SOUTH FLORIDA 10-23 at IOWA ST 10-29 VS NAVY 10-30 VS KANSAS 11-06 at CINCINNATI 11-06 at WEST VIRGINIA 11-13 at TULANE 11-13 VS TCU 11-20 VS TEMPLE 11-20 at TEXAS TECH 11-27 at SMU 11-27 VS OKLAHOMA

(325) WYOMING (-7 • 44.5) [SU:1-0 • ATS:0-1] AT (326) N ILLINOIS [SU:1-0 • ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 1:30 PM ET on ESPN+ • HUSKIE STADIUM (DEKALB,IL)

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF WYOMING 19.0 17 43-151 [3.5] 26-15-196 [7.5] 18.3 16.0 17 30-121 [4.0] 29-19-200 [6.9] 20.1 0 +3.0 N ILLINOIS 22.0 15 42-165 [3.9] 17-11-136 [8.0] 13.7 21.0 25 52-273 [5.2] 26-15-156 [6.0] 20.4 0 +1.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj WYOMING -6.5 40 28 48.9 27.2 46.3 N ILLINOIS 44.5 30.5 6.7 20.9 7.1 19.2 8

TOP TEAM TRENDS • WYOMING is 16-3 UNDER(L5Y) - VS decent passing team averaging more than 7.50 yards per attempt

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS WYOMING RESULTS N ILLINOIS RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-04 VS MONTANA ST -19.5 45 19-16 W L U 09-04 at GEORGIA TECH +19 57 22-21 W W U 09-11 at N ILLINOIS - 7 44.5 09-11 VS WYOMING + 7 44.5 09-18 VS BALL ST 09-18 at MICHIGAN 09-25 at CONNECTICUT 09-25 VS MAINE 10-09 at AIR FORCE 10-02 VS E MICHIGAN 10-16 VS FRESNO ST 10-09 at TOLEDO 10-23 VS NEW MEXICO 10-16 VS BOWLING GREEN 10-30 at SAN JOSE ST 10-23 at C MICHIGAN 11-06 VS COLORADO ST 11-03 at KENT ST 11-12 at BOISE ST 11-10 VS BALL ST 11-20 at UTAH ST 11-17 at BUFFALO 11-27 VS HAWAII 11-23 VS W MICHIGAN

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WEEK 2 COLLEGE FOOTBALL MATCHUPS

(327) RUTGERS (-2 • 52.5) [SU:1-0 • ATS:1-0] AT (328) SYRACUSE [SU:1-0 • ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 2:00 PM ET on ACCN • CARRIER DOME (SYRACUSE,NY)

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF RUTGERS 61.0 21 51-220 [4.3] 29-16-145 [5.0] 6.0 14.0 13 36-113 [3.1] 27-8-148 [5.5] 18.6 +5 +47.0 SYRACUSE 29.0 21 44-283 [6.4] 18-12-100 [5.6] 13.2 9.0 20 32-134 [4.2] 31-23-212 [6.8] 38.4 +1 +20.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj RUTGERS -2 43 27.6 53.5 26.1 51.7 SYRACUSE 52.5 40.5 -0.7 25.9 1.7 25.6 0.5

TOP TEAM TRENDS • SYRACUSE is 8-2 UNDER(L10G) - VS anemic passing team averaging less than 5.70 yards per attempt

HEAD-TO-HEAD TREND • * The L4 games of the RUT-SYR h2h series went UNDER the total

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS RUTGERS RESULTS SYRACUSE RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-04 VS TEMPLE -14.5 52 61-14 W W O 09-04 at OHIO + 2.5 55.5 29-9 W W U 09-11 at SYRACUSE - 2 52.5 09-11 VS RUTGERS + 2 52.5 09-18 VS DELAWARE 09-18 VS ALBANY 09-25 at MICHIGAN 09-24 VS LIBERTY 10-02 VS OHIO ST 10-02 at FLORIDA ST 10-09 VS MICHIGAN ST 10-09 VS WAKE FOREST 10-16 at NORTHWESTERN 10-15 VS CLEMSON 10-30 at ILLINOIS 10-23 at VIRGINIA TECH 11-06 VS WISCONSIN 10-30 VS BOSTON COLLEGE 11-13 at INDIANA 11-13 at LOUISVILLE 11-20 at PENN ST 11-20 at NC STATE 11-27 VS MARYLAND 11-27 VS PITTSBURGH

(329) MIDDLE TENN ST [SU:1-0 • ATS:1-0] AT (330) VIRGINIA TECH (-19 • 54) [SU:1-0 • ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 2:00 PM ET on ACCNX • WORSHAM FIELD/LANE STADIUM (BLACKSBURG,VA)

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF MIDDLE TENN ST 50.0 19 34-89 [2.6] 26-20-248 [9.5] 6.7 15.0 17 38-88 [2.3] 42-27-186 [4.4] 18.3 +4 +35.0 VIRGINIA TECH 17.0 17 43-127 [3.0] 19-12-169 [8.9] 17.4 10.0 18 30-146 [4.9] 33-17-208 [6.3] 35.4 +1 +7.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj MIDDLE TENN ST 54 33 18.1 57.4 17.8 57.2 VIRGINIA TECH -19 51.5 -21.6 39.3 -21.2 39.5 -21.7

TOP TEAM TRENDS • VIRGINIA TECH is 8-2 UNDER(L10G) - After playing NORTH CAROLINA

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS MIDDLE TENN ST RESULTS VIRGINIA TECH RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-04 VS MONMOUTH - 9 58.5 50-15 W W O 09-03 VS NORTH CAROLINA + 5 63.5 17-10 W W U 09-11 at VIRGINIA TECH +19 54 09-11 VS MIDDLE TENN ST -19 54 09-18 at TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO 09-18 at WEST VIRGINIA 09-24 at CHARLOTTE 09-25 VS RICHMOND 10-02 VS MARSHALL 10-09 VS NOTRE DAME 10-09 at LIBERTY 10-16 VS PITTSBURGH 10-22 at CONNECTICUT 10-23 VS SYRACUSE 10-30 VS SOUTHERN MISS 10-30 at GEORGIA TECH 11-06 at W KENTUCKY 11-05 at BOSTON COLLEGE 11-13 VS FLORIDA INTL 11-13 VS DUKE 11-20 VS OLD DOMINION 11-20 at MIAMI FL 11-27 at FL ATLANTIC 11-27 at VIRGINIA

47 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS

WEEK 2 COLLEGE FOOTBALL MATCHUPS

(331) NEW MEXICO ST [SU:0-2 • ATS:1-1] AT (332) NEW MEXICO (-18.5 • 54) [SU:1-0 • ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 7:00 PM ET • DREAMSTYLE STADIUM (ALBUQUERQUE,NM)

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF NEW MEXICO ST 6.5 20 30-74 [2.5] 44-21-207 [4.7] 43.2 29.0 18 42-225 [5.4] 20-9-182 [9.1] 14.0 +1 -22.5 NEW MEXICO 27.0 16 40-129 [3.2] 27-21-179 [6.6] 11.4 17.0 15 23--9 [-0.4] 47-27-196 [4.2] 11.0 +2 +10.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj NEW MEXICO ST 54 11 19.6 57.1 19.5 57.4 NEW MEXICO -18.5 28.5 -21 37.5 -17.9 37.9 -18.4

TOP TEAM TRENDS • NEW MEXICO is 10-23 ATS(S2000) at HOME - VS poor rushing defense yielding more than 4.6 yards per carry

HEAD-TO-HEAD TREND • * NEW MEXICO ST is on a 5-1 ATS surge at New Mexico

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS NEW MEXICO ST RESULTS NEW MEXICO RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 08-28 VS UTEP + 9.5 59 3-30 L L U 09-02 VS HOUSTON BAPTIST -25.5 66.5 27-17 W L U 09-04 at SAN DIEGO ST +31 50.5 10-28 L W U 09-11 VS NEW MEXICO ST -18.5 54 09-11 at NEW MEXICO +18.5 54 09-18 at TEXAS A&M 09-18 VS S CAROLINA ST 09-25 at UTEP 09-25 VS HAWAII 10-02 VS AIR FORCE 10-02 at SAN JOSE ST 10-09 at SAN DIEGO ST 10-09 at NEVADA 10-16 VS COLORADO ST 10-23 at HAWAII 10-23 at WYOMING 11-06 VS UTAH ST 11-06 VS UNLV 11-13 at ALABAMA 11-13 at FRESNO ST 11-20 at KENTUCKY 11-20 at BOISE ST 11-27 VS MASSACHUSETTS 11-26 VS UTAH ST

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WEEK 2 COLLEGE FOOTBALL MATCHUPS

(333) TOLEDO (334) NOTRE DAME SU: 1-0 • ATS: 0-1 • O/U: 1-0 SU: 1-0 • ATS: 0-1 • O/U: 1-0

SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 2:30 PM ET ON PEA LINE: NOTRE DAME (-16.5 • 54) NOTRE DAME STADIUM • SOUTH BEND,IN

It was no surprise that Notre Dame had to sweat out its opener at Florida State. The Seminoles were certain to be hyped as 7-point home dogs. The way the game ended was rather stunning, with the Irish blowing an 18-point fourth-quarter lead. Florida State quarterback McKenzie Milton entered late and engineered a comeback that fell short in overtime when the Seminoles missed a short field-goal attempt and the Irish survived 41-38. Notre Dame coach Brian Kelly had to be pleased with several aspects of the offense. Wisconsin transfer Jack Coan passed for 366 yards and four touchdowns, and tight end Michael Mayer, wideout Kevin Austin and running back Kyren Williams each had a touchdown reception. Mayer had two costly drops, however, and Williams carried 18 times with a long run of just 7 yards. Notre Dame was limited to 65 rushing yards on 35 attempts. The Irish defense allowed 442 total yards, including 264 on the ground, as new coordinator Marcus Freeman made repeated mistakes by using three-man fronts in failed run-stopping schemes. Toledo returned 21 starters this season and will be one of the top teams in the Mid-American Conference. The Rockets, led by quarterback Carter Bradley and running back Bryant Koback, blew out Norfolk State 49-10. The Irish had to replace a lot of front-line talent and will improve as the season progresses. It will be no surprise if Toledo hangs tough, but Notre Dame can flash the offensive firepower to pull away, and the 17.5-point line looks like a solid number. – Matt Youmans

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF TOLEDO 49.0 21 39-205 [5.3] 17-13-236 [13.9] 9.0 10.0 14 42-147 [3.5] 18-8-125 [6.9] 27.2 +2 +39.0 NOTRE DAME (9) 41.0 17 35-65 [1.9] 35-26-366 [10.5] 10.5 38.0 19 48-264 [5.5] 26-14-178 [6.8] 11.6 +2 +3.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj TOLEDO 53.5 42.5 19.3 54.1 20.7 57.7 NOTRE DAME (9) -16.5 57 -18.1 34.8 -15.5 37 -16.3

TOP TEAM TRENDS • NOTRE DAME is 10-2 ATS(L3Y) - VS decent team outscoring opponents by more than 7.0 points per game • TOLEDO is 2-8 ATS(L10G) - After SU win • TOLEDO is 8-2 UNDER(L10G) - Underdog of more than 14 points

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS No Recent Head-Head Games

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS TOLEDO RESULTS NOTRE DAME (9) RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-04 VS NORFOLK ST -39.5 55.5 49-10 W L O 09-05 at FLORIDA ST - 7 53.5 41-38 W L O 09-11 at NOTRE DAME +16.5 54 09-11 VS TOLEDO -16.5 54 09-18 VS COLORADO ST 09-18 VS PURDUE 09-25 at BALL ST 09-25 at WISCONSIN 10-02 at MASSACHUSETTS 10-02 VS CINCINNATI 10-09 VS N ILLINOIS 10-09 at VIRGINIA TECH 10-16 at C MICHIGAN 10-23 VS USC 10-23 VS W MICHIGAN 10-30 VS NORTH CAROLINA 11-02 VS E MICHIGAN 11-06 VS NAVY 11-10 at BOWLING GREEN 11-13 at VIRGINIA 11-16 at OHIO 11-20 VS GEORGIA TECH 11-27 VS AKRON 11-27 at STANFORD

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(335) PURDUE (-33.5 • 57.5) [SU:1-0 • ATS:1-0] AT (336) CONNECTICUT [SU:0-2 • ATS:0-2] SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 3:00 PM ET on CBSSN • PRATT & WHITNEY STADIUM (HARTFORD,CT)

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF PURDUE 30.0 24 33-88 [2.7] 42-29-313 [7.5] 13.4 21.0 15 25-78 [3.1] 38-21-285 [7.5] 17.3 0 +9.0 CONNECTICUT 14.0 13 35-61 [1.8] 35-15-123 [3.5] 13.1 41.5 22 44-191 [4.3] 29-19-259 [8.8] 10.8 -3 -27.5

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj PURDUE -33.5 45 38.6 58.1 46.8 63.2 CONNECTICUT 57.5 16.5 26.2 19.5 19.1 16.4 30.4

TOP TEAM TRENDS • CONNECTICUT is 20-5 UNDER(L25G) at HOME - VS decent-scoring team averaging 30 PPG or more

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS PURDUE RESULTS CONNECTICUT RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-04 VS OREGON ST - 7 68 30-21 W W U 08-28 at FRESNO ST +27.5 63.5 0-45 L L U 09-11 at CONNECTICUT -33.5 57.5 09-04 VS HOLY CROSS - 3 50 28-38 L L O 09-18 at NOTRE DAME 09-11 VS PURDUE +33.5 57.5 09-25 VS ILLINOIS 09-18 at ARMY 10-02 VS MINNESOTA 09-25 VS WYOMING 10-16 at IOWA 10-02 at VANDERBILT 10-23 VS WISCONSIN 10-09 at MASSACHUSETTS 10-30 at NEBRASKA 10-16 VS YALE 11-06 VS MICHIGAN ST 10-22 VS MIDDLE TENN ST 11-13 at OHIO ST 11-13 at CLEMSON 11-20 at NORTHWESTERN 11-20 at UCF 11-27 VS INDIANA 11-27 VS HOUSTON

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(337) AIR FORCE (338) NAVY SU: 1-0 • ATS: 0-1 • O/U: 0-1 SU: 0-1 • ATS: 0-1 • O/U: 1-0

SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 3:30 PM ET ON CBS LINE: AIR FORCE (-6.5 • 40) NAVY-MARINE CORPS MEMORIAL STADIUM • ANNAPOLIS,MD

Navy was taken to the woodshed by Marshall in the opener 49-7, an output that marks the fourth straight game that Ken Niumatalolo’s once-feared option has been held to single digits. It’s not business as usual at Navy, where the Midshipmen finished 52nd in the national rushing stats they sometimes led before last year, and Niumatalolo might be tempted to see if Roger Staubach has any eligibility left after cycling through four QBs to no avail last week. Meanwhile, Air Force still looks and acts the same as Troy Calhoun’s many bowl qualifiers the last 14 seasons and indeed led the nation in rushing a year ago, suggesting the Falcons’ version of the option is still very operational. Calhoun kept it very vanilla against FCS Lafayette last week, showing none of the tricks normally deployed by QB Haaziq Daniels as Calhoun saves some gadgets for this week as the Falcons aim for their first win at Annapolis since 2011. – Bruce Marshall

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF AIR FORCE 35.0 24 67-370 [5.5] 5-3-50 [10.0] 12.0 14.0 12 24-43 [1.8] 29-18-243 [8.4] 20.4 +1 +21.0 NAVY 7.0 24 76-337 [4.4] 16-5-61 [3.8] 56.9 49.0 23 30-101 [3.4] 33-21-363 [11.0] 9.5 +1 -42.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj AIR FORCE -6.5 39.5 24 41.9 25.5 45.9 NAVY 40.5 30 5.9 17.9 6.1 20.5 5

TOP TEAM TRENDS • NAVY is 8-2 ATS(L10G) - Revenging a loss • AIR FORCE is 5-10 ATS(L15G) on ROAD - VS poor team with 40% or less winning pct • AIR FORCE is 10-0 OVER(L10G) on ROAD - [vs OPP] After SU loss

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2020-10-03 NAVY (7) at AIR FORCE (40) +6.5 46.5 AIR FORCE HOME DOG OVER 2019-10-05 AIR FORCE (25) at NAVY (34) +3 46.5 NAVY HOME DOG OVER 2018-10-06 NAVY (7) at AIR FORCE (35) +2 47.0 AIR FORCE HOME DOG UNDER 2017-10-07 AIR FORCE (45) at NAVY (48) -9 54.0 AIR FORCE ROAD DOG OVER 2016-10-01 NAVY (14) at AIR FORCE (28) -7 50.5 AIR FORCE HOME FAV UNDER

HEAD-TO-HEAD TREND • UNDERDOGS have won L4 ATS in Air Force-Navy rivalry

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS AIR FORCE RESULTS NAVY RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-04 VS LAFAYETTE -40.5 49.5 35-14 W L U 09-04 VS MARSHALL + 3 46.5 7-49 L L O 09-11 at NAVY - 6.5 40 09-11 VS AIR FORCE + 6.5 40 09-18 VS UTAH ST 09-25 at HOUSTON 09-25 VS FL ATLANTIC 10-02 VS UCF 10-02 at NEW MEXICO 10-09 VS SMU 10-09 VS WYOMING 10-14 at MEMPHIS 10-16 at BOISE ST 10-23 VS CINCINNATI 10-23 VS SAN DIEGO ST 10-29 at TULSA 11-06 VS ARMY 11-06 at NOTRE DAME 11-13 at COLORADO ST 11-20 VS EAST CAROLINA 11-19 at NEVADA 11-27 at TEMPLE 11-26 VS UNLV 12-11 at ARMY

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(339) BALL ST (340) PENN ST SU: 1-0 • ATS: 0-1 • O/U: 0-1 SU: 1-0 • ATS: 1-0 • O/U: 0-1

SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 3:30 PM ET ON FS1 LINE: PENN ST (-21.5 • 55) BEAVER STADIUM • UNIVERSITY PARK,PA

Ball State did not have the prettiest opener against Western Illinois, as the Cardinals were tied 7-7 at halftime as 31.5-point favorites. Ball State scored 17 consecutive points en route to a 31-21 victory, but the Cardinals were outgained 437-404 by a team that has a 2-16 combined record over the last two seasons. BSU senior quarterback Drew Plitt, beginning his third season as the starter, threw for 188 yards and two touchdowns. Despite the sluggish effort, Ball State returns 16 “super seniors” and 20 starters from a team that finished No. 23 in the AP and coaches’ polls after defeating Mountain West champion San Jose State in the Arizona Bowl for the school’s first bowl victory. Somehow Penn State won on the road as a 5.5-point underdog at No. 12 Wisconsin despite having just 43 yards and one first down in the first half and allowing the Badgers to possess the ball for nearly 43 minutes and run 95 plays to the Nittany Lions’ 51. The Penn State defense won the day by holding Wisconsin scoreless on four trips inside the 25-yard line, intercepting Graham Mertz twice in the final three minutes. Penn State struggled in its first game under new offensive coordinator Mike Yurcich. The Lions were unable to run the ball between the tackles, with just 18 carries for 50 yards. Quarterback Sean Clifford stayed mistake-free and made enough plays in the passing game, with 206 of his 247 yards in the second half. Beginning a four-game homestand, the Nittany Lions opened as 22-point favorites. The spread has not moved, but the total has dropped from 58 to 53.5. This game is a sandwich spot, with Penn State coming off a victory in its Big Ten road opener and Auburn visiting State College next week. – Wes Reynolds

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF BALL ST 31.0 18 40-216 [5.4] 28-17-188 [6.7] 13.0 21.0 17 24-70 [2.9] 43-30-367 [8.5] 20.8 0 +10.0 PENN ST (19) 16.0 11 18-50 [2.8] 33-18-247 [7.5] 18.6 10.0 29 58-174 [3.0] 37-22-185 [5.0] 35.9 +3 +6.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj BALL ST 55.5 42.5 20.8 55 21.1 58.8 PENN ST (19) -22 55.5 -16.8 34.2 -13.4 37.8 -16.7

TOP TEAM TRENDS • BALL ST is 12-3 ATS(L15G) - VS BIG 10 • PENN ST is 1-6 ATS(L7G) - After a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better • BALL ST is 9-1 UNDER(L10G) - VS BIG 10

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS No Recent Head-Head Games

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS BALL ST RESULTS PENN ST (19) RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-02 VS W ILLINOIS -31.5 58.5 31-21 W L U 09-04 at WISCONSIN + 5.5 48.5 16-10 W W U 09-11 at PENN ST +21.5 55 09-11 VS BALL ST -21.5 55 09-18 at WYOMING 09-18 VS AUBURN 09-25 VS TOLEDO 09-25 VS VILLANOVA 10-02 VS ARMY 10-02 VS INDIANA 10-09 at W MICHIGAN 10-09 at IOWA 10-16 at E MICHIGAN 10-23 VS ILLINOIS 10-23 VS MIAMI OH 10-30 at OHIO ST 11-02 at AKRON 11-06 at MARYLAND 11-10 at N ILLINOIS 11-13 VS MICHIGAN 11-17 VS C MICHIGAN 11-20 VS RUTGERS 11-23 VS BUFFALO 11-27 at MICHIGAN ST

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(341) TEMPLE (-6.5 • 54.5) [SU:0-1 • ATS:0-1] AT (342) AKRON [SU:0-1 • ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 3:30 PM ET on ESPN+ • INFOCISION STADIUM (AKRON,OH)

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF TEMPLE 14.0 13 36-113 [3.1] 27-8-148 [5.5] 18.6 61.0 21 51-220 [4.3] 29-16-145 [5.0] 6.0 -5 -47.0 AKRON 10.0 12 36--3 [-0.1] 27-22-191 [7.1] 18.8 60.0 28 32-316 [9.9] 27-22-297 [11.0] 10.2 0 -50.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj TEMPLE -6.5 25 30.8 55.8 29.7 54.6 AKRON 54.5 19.5 4.2 25 5.8 25 4.7

TOP TEAM TRENDS • AKRON is 14-0 UNDER(L14G) at HOME - VS weak team being outscored by opponents by more than 8.5 points per game

HEAD-TO-HEAD TREND • TEMPLE is on a 5-0 ATS streak vs. Akron

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS TEMPLE RESULTS AKRON RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-04 at RUTGERS +14.5 52 14-61 L L O 09-04 at AUBURN +37.5 56.5 10-60 L L O 09-11 at AKRON - 6.5 54.5 09-11 VS TEMPLE + 6.5 54.5 09-18 VS BOSTON COLLEGE 09-18 VS BRYANT 09-25 VS WAGNER 09-25 at OHIO ST 10-02 VS MEMPHIS 10-02 VS OHIO 10-08 at CINCINNATI 10-09 at BOWLING GREEN 10-23 at SOUTH FLORIDA 10-16 at MIAMI OH 10-30 VS UCF 10-23 VS BUFFALO 11-06 at EAST CAROLINA 11-02 VS BALL ST 11-13 VS HOUSTON 11-09 at W MICHIGAN 11-20 at TULSA 11-20 VS KENT ST 11-27 VS NAVY 11-27 at TOLEDO

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(343) UAB (344) GEORGIA SU: 1-0 • ATS: 1-0 • O/U: 0-1 SU: 1-0 • ATS: 1-0 • O/U: 0-1

SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 3:30 PM ET ON ESPN2 LINE: GEORGIA (-26.5 • 44.5) SANFORD STADIUM • ATHENS,GA

Though UAB has more than held its own since returning to the gridiron under Bill Clark in 2017, the Blazers have not stepped up especially well, posting 0-4 straight-up and spread marks against Power 5 opposition. UAB has been careful not to overschedule, including just one nice payday game per season against a Power 5 foe. This might be the toughest challenge yet facing a Georgia bunch still overflowing with confidence after Saturday’s 10-3 grinder over Clemson set the Dawgs in position for a straight run at the College Football Playoff. A Georgia defense that sacked D.J. Uiagalelei seven times and effectively rendered Dabo Swinney’s offense helpless should be able to put the clamps on UAB. Clark, however, does have QB Tyler Johnston III back and healthy after injuries limited him a year ago, and he completed 17 of 21 in a dart-throwing exhibition last week against nearby Jacksonville State. The question is whether the Bulldogs’ offense, which didn’t do much behind JT Daniels against Clemson, will find the Blazers an easy enough test to clear the considerable line hovering near 4 TDs. – Bruce Marshall

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF UAB 31.0 21 37-147 [4.0] 23-19-371 [16.1] 16.7 0.0 8 16-64 [4.0] 35-18-91 [2.6] 0.0 -2 +31.0 GEORGIA (5) 10.0 15 31-121 [3.9] 30-22-135 [4.5] 25.6 3.0 14 23-2 [0.1] 37-19-178 [4.8] 60.0 -1 +7.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj UAB 44.5 45 12.7 48.5 13 50.6 GEORGIA (5) -26 65.5 -24.2 35.8 -23.1 37.7 -24.7

TOP TEAM TRENDS • UAB is 7-0 ATS(L7G) - VS low-scoring team averaging 21 PPG or less • GEORGIA is 8-18 ATS(L10Y) at HOME - Favorite of more than 20 points • UAB is 18-8 UNDER(S2000) - After a blowout SU win of 20 points or more

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2006-09-16 UAB (0) at GEORGIA (34) -17.5 40.0 GEORGIA HOME FAV UNDER 2003-10-25 UAB (13) at GEORGIA (16) -30 44.5 UAB ROAD DOG UNDER

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS UAB RESULTS GEORGIA (5) RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-01 ** JACKSONVILLE ST -16.5 52 31-0 W W U 09-04 ** CLEMSON + 2.5 51.5 10-3 W W U 09-11 at GEORGIA +26.5 44.5 09-11 VS UAB -26.5 44.5 09-18 at NORTH TEXAS 09-18 VS SOUTH CAROLINA 09-25 at TULANE 09-25 at VANDERBILT 10-02 VS LIBERTY 10-02 VS ARKANSAS 10-09 VS FL ATLANTIC 10-09 at AUBURN 10-16 at SOUTHERN MISS 10-16 VS KENTUCKY 10-23 VS RICE 10-30 at FLORIDA 11-06 VS LOUISIANA TECH 11-06 VS MISSOURI 11-13 at MARSHALL 11-13 at TENNESSEE 11-20 at TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO 11-20 VS CHARLESTON SOUTHERN 11-27 VS UTEP 11-27 at GEORGIA TECH

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(345) CALIFORNIA [SU:0-1 • ATS:0-1] AT (346) TCU (-10 • 49) [SU:1-0 • ATS:0-0-1] SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 3:30 PM ET on ESPNU • AMON CARTER STADIUM (FORT WORTH,TX)

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF CALIFORNIA 17.0 17 27-153 [5.7] 38-25-177 [4.7] 19.4 22.0 19 26-61 [2.3] 39-22-312 [8.0] 17.0 0 -5.0 TCU 45.0 26 38-178 [4.7] 24-18-253 [10.5] 9.6 3.0 6 29-61 [2.1] 12-3-76 [6.3] 45.7 0 +42.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj CALIFORNIA 49 41 19.6 49.3 18.4 48.2 TCU -10 51.5 -13.5 29.8 -10.2 29.9 -11.5

TOP TEAM TRENDS • CALIFORNIA is 10-0 UNDER(L10G) on ROAD - VS decent-scoring team averaging 30 PPG or more

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS CALIFORNIA RESULTS TCU RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-04 VS NEVADA - 3 52.5 17-22 L L U 09-04 VS DUQUESNE -42 54.5 45-3 W P U 09-11 at TCU +10 49 09-11 VS CALIFORNIA -10 49 09-18 VS SACRAMENTO ST 09-25 VS SMU 09-25 at WASHINGTON 10-02 VS TEXAS 10-02 VS WASHINGTON ST 10-09 at TEXAS TECH 10-15 at OREGON 10-16 at OKLAHOMA 10-23 VS COLORADO 10-23 VS WEST VIRGINIA 10-30 VS OREGON ST 10-30 at KANSAS ST 11-06 at ARIZONA 11-06 VS BAYLOR 11-13 VS USC 11-13 at OKLAHOMA ST 11-20 at STANFORD 11-20 VS KANSAS 11-27 at UCLA 11-26 at IOWA ST

(347) BUFFALO [SU:1-0 • ATS:1-0] AT (348) NEBRASKA (-13.5 • 55) [SU:1-1 • ATS:1-1] SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 3:30 PM ET on BTN • MEMORIAL STADIUM (LINCOLN,NE)

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF BUFFALO 69.0 30 56-312 [5.6] 22-16-257 [11.7] 8.2 7.0 7 35-18 [0.5] 15-7-79 [5.3] 13.9 -1 +62.0 NEBRASKA 37.0 26 52-244 [4.7] 31-18-268 [8.6] 13.8 18.5 15 38-148 [3.9] 24-16-161 [6.6] 16.7 +1 +18.5

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj BUFFALO 54.5 45.5 22 55.3 26.5 57.3 NEBRASKA -13.5 46 -3.8 33.3 -11.4 30.8 -4.3

TOP TEAM TRENDS • NEBRASKA is 4-19-2 ATS(L25G) at HOME - VS decent rushing team averaging more than 4.4 yards per carry

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS BUFFALO RESULTS NEBRASKA RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-02 VS WAGNER -43.5 54.5 69-7 W W O 08-28 at ILLINOIS - 7 52.5 22-30 L L U 09-11 at NEBRASKA +13.5 55 09-04 VS FORDHAM -42 55 52-7 W W O 09-18 VS COASTAL CAROLINA 09-11 VS BUFFALO -13.5 55 09-25 at OLD DOMINION 09-18 at OKLAHOMA 10-02 VS W MICHIGAN 09-25 at MICHIGAN ST 10-09 at KENT ST 10-02 VS NORTHWESTERN 10-16 VS OHIO 10-09 VS MICHIGAN 10-23 at AKRON 10-16 at MINNESOTA 10-30 VS BOWLING GREEN 10-30 VS PURDUE 11-09 at MIAMI OH 11-06 VS OHIO ST 11-17 VS N ILLINOIS 11-20 at WISCONSIN 11-23 at BALL ST 11-26 VS IOWA

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(349) IOWA (350) IOWA ST SU: 1-0 • ATS: 1-0 • O/U: 0-1 SU: 1-0 • ATS: 0-1 • O/U: 0-1

SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 4:30 PM ET ON ABC LINE: IOWA ST (-4.5 • 45) JACK TRICE STADIUM • AMES,IA

The Cy-Hawk Trophy is being contested for some higher stakes this year as even “ESPN GameDay” is showing up for the festivities. The hype was almost squelched last week when Iowa State struggled past FCS Northern Iowa, but that has happened before previous games against Iowa as the Cyclones invariably look ahead and the Panthers treat the clash like the storming of the Bastille. (Hint to ISU: Maybe find a different FCS rep from another state to face the week before the Hawkeyes.) Matt Campbell is still looking for his first win in what will be his fifth try against Kirk Ferentz, but we doubt the Cyclones will self-destruct against Iowa the way Indiana did last week, when QB Michael Penix got careless and was burned for a couple of pick-sixes by CB Riley Moss that distorted the score. With a career 62-25 TD-INT ratio, veteran Cyclones QB Brock Purdy is unlikely to immolate in the same manner and seems more likely to fire the winning shots than Iowa counterpart Spencer Petras, only 13 of 27 against the Hoosiers after posting modest stats a year ago. This looks like Campbell’s best chance to break the Hawkeyes’ recent hex in Ames. – Bruce Marshall

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF IOWA (18) 34.0 18 36-158 [4.4] 28-13-145 [5.2] 8.9 6.0 11 31-77 [2.5] 33-14-156 [4.7] 38.8 +1 +28.0 IOWA ST (7) 16.0 17 34-136 [4.0] 26-21-199 [7.7] 20.9 10.0 13 26-45 [1.7] 34-21-230 [6.8] 27.5 +2 +6.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj IOWA (18) 45 56 22.6 48.8 20.4 47.1 IOWA ST (7) -4 58 -5.3 26.1 -3.5 26.8 -6.4

TOP TEAM TRENDS • IOWA ST is 18-7 ATS(S2000) at HOME - VS lesser passing team averaging less than 6.50 yards per attempt • IOWA is 2-8 ATS(L10G) - After playing INDIANA • IOWA ST is 12-2-1 UNDER(L15G) - VS team with a winning record

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2019-09-14 IOWA (18) at IOWA ST (17) +1.5 42.0 IOWA ST HOME DOG UNDER 2018-09-08 IOWA ST (3) at IOWA (13) -3 46.0 IOWA HOME FAV UNDER 2017-09-09 IOWA (44) at IOWA ST (41) +3.5 49.5 IOWA ST HOME DOG OVER 2016-09-10 IOWA ST (3) at IOWA (42) -15 50.0 IOWA HOME FAV UNDER 2015-09-12 IOWA (31) at IOWA ST (17) +3.5 47.5 IOWA ROAD FAV OVER

HEAD-TO-HEAD TREND • HOME TEAMS are on a 4-0 ATS streak in Iowa-ISU rivalry

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS IOWA (18) RESULTS IOWA ST (7) RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-04 VS INDIANA - 3.5 46 34-6 W W U 09-04 VS N IOWA -28.5 50 16-10 W L U 09-11 at IOWA ST + 4.5 45 09-11 VS IOWA - 4.5 45 09-18 VS KENT ST 09-18 at UNLV 09-25 VS COLORADO ST 09-25 at BAYLOR 10-01 at MARYLAND 10-02 VS KANSAS 10-09 VS PENN ST 10-16 at KANSAS ST 10-16 VS PURDUE 10-23 VS OKLAHOMA ST 10-30 at WISCONSIN 10-30 at WEST VIRGINIA 11-06 at NORTHWESTERN 11-06 VS TEXAS 11-13 VS MINNESOTA 11-13 at TEXAS TECH 11-20 VS ILLINOIS 11-20 at OKLAHOMA 11-26 at NEBRASKA 11-26 VS TCU

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(351) TEXAS A&M (352) COLORADO SU: 1-0 • ATS: 1-0 • O/U: 0-1 SU: 1-0 • ATS: 0-1 • O/U: 0-1

SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 3:30 PM ET ON FOX LINE: TEXAS A&M (-17 • 52) EMPOWER FIELD AT MILE HIGH • DENVER,CO[NEUT]

These sides are a long way, literally and figuratively, from where they were the last time they met in 2008 as part of an early iteration of the Big 12. Now it’s and his impersonation of an auctioneer trying to mount A&M’s challenge to Alabama in the SEC West. And while the Aggies eventually did pull away from Kent State in their opener, touted freshman QB Haynes King was all over the place, tossing three picks and overthrowing many receivers. Regional sources suggest King will prove an able successor to Kellen Mond, but in early September, the jury is still out. King and A&M survived those miscues against the Golden Flashes, but mistakes like that on the road might be a problem this week. Colorado’s Karl Dorrell has been adamant about slowing the pace and developing a proper running diversion, with the offense pivoting around sophomore RB , who ran for 895 yards and averaged 7.2 ypc in 2020. That means not asking freshman QB Brendon Lewis, who passed only 15 times in the opening romp past Northern Colorado, to take many risks. The question is whether that approach might boomerang on Dorrell if Colorado is forced to play catch-up, which the Buffaloes didn’t handle well in losses to Utah and Texas last season. – Bruce Marshall

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF TEXAS A&M (6) 41.0 29 42-303 [7.2] 34-21-292 [8.6] 14.5 10.0 19 45-226 [5.0] 30-14-110 [3.7] 33.6 -3 +31.0 COLORADO 35.0 22 49-281 [5.7] 15-10-102 [6.8] 10.9 7.0 16 18-20 [1.1] 42-24-236 [5.6] 36.6 +1 +28.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj TEXAS A&M (6) -17 60 31.5 52.1 33.9 52 COLORADO 52 44.5 15.5 20.6 10.9 18.2 15.7

TOP TEAM TRENDS • TEXAS A&M is 7-0 ATS(L7G) - VS Non-conference VS POWER 5 • COLORADO is 5-20 ATS(L25G) - [vs OPP] AP top 10 • COLORADO is 8-2 UNDER(L10G) - AT EMPOWER FIELD AT MILE HIGH

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2009-11-07 TEXAS A&M (34) at COLORADO (35) +3 56.0 COLORADO HOME DOG OVER 2008-11-01 COLORADO (17) at TEXAS A&M (24) -4.5 51.0 TEXAS A&M HOME FAV UNDER 2005-10-08 TEXAS A&M (20) at COLORADO (41) -3 51.0 COLORADO HOME FAV OVER 2004-10-23 COLORADO (26) at TEXAS A&M (29) -18.5 51.5 COLORADO ROAD DOG OVER 2001-10-13 TEXAS A&M (21) at COLORADO (31) -10 44.5 x x x OVER

HEAD-TO-HEAD TREND * COLORADO is 4-1-1 ATS in its L6 vs. Texas A&M

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS TEXAS A&M (6) RESULTS COLORADO RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-04 VS KENT ST -29.5 66.5 41-10 W W U 09-03 VS N COLORADO -37.5 57 35-7 W L U 09-11 ** COLORADO -17 52 09-11 ** TEXAS A&M +17 52 09-18 VS NEW MEXICO 09-18 VS MINNESOTA 09-25 at ARKANSAS 09-25 at ARIZONA ST 10-02 VS MISSISSIPPI ST 10-02 VS USC 10-09 VS ALABAMA 10-16 VS ARIZONA 10-16 at MISSOURI 10-23 at CALIFORNIA 10-23 VS SOUTH CAROLINA 10-30 at OREGON 11-06 VS AUBURN 11-06 VS OREGON ST 11-13 at MISSISSIPPI 11-13 at UCLA 11-20 VS PRAIRIE VIEW A&M 11-20 VS WASHINGTON 11-27 at LSU 11-26 at UTAH

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(353) SOUTH ALABAMA (-15 • 50.5) [SU:1-0 • ATS:1-0] AT (354) BOWLING GREEN [SU:0-1 • ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 4:00 PM ET on ESPN+ • DOYT PERRY STADIUM (BOWLING GREEN,OH)

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF SOUTH ALABAMA 31.0 13 34-31 [0.9] 22-17-269 [12.2] 9.7 7.0 19 45-125 [2.8] 29-13-133 [4.6] 36.9 +3 +24.0 BOWLING GREEN 6.0 11 23-32 [1.4] 38-25-187 [4.9] 36.5 38.0 30 64-326 [5.1] 24-12-145 [6.0] 12.4 +2 -32.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj SOUTH ALABAMA -15 30.5 29.4 50 32.3 50.7 BOWLING GREEN 51.5 16 12.3 20.5 8.9 18.5 13.8

TOP TEAM TRENDS • BOWLING GREEN is 1-9 ATS(L10G) at HOME - VS anemic rushing team averaging less than 3.0 yards per carry

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS SOUTH ALABAMA RESULTS BOWLING GREEN RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-04 VS SOUTHERN MISS - 2.5 56.5 31-7 W W U 09-02 at TENNESSEE +37 60.5 6-38 L W U 09-11 at BOWLING GREEN -15 50.5 09-11 VS S ALABAMA +15 50.5 09-18 VS ALCORN ST 09-18 VS MURRAY ST 10-02 VS LA LAFAYETTE 09-25 at MINNESOTA 10-09 at TEXAS ST 10-02 at KENT ST 10-14 VS GEORGIA SOUTHERN 10-09 VS AKRON 10-23 at LA MONROE 10-16 at N ILLINOIS 10-30 VS ARKANSAS ST 10-23 VS E MICHIGAN 11-06 at TROY 10-30 at BUFFALO 11-13 at APPALACHIAN ST 11-10 VS TOLEDO 11-20 at TENNESSEE 11-16 at MIAMI OH 11-26 VS COASTAL CAROLINA 11-26 VS OHIO

(355) HOUSTON (-8 • 53.5) [SU:0-1 • ATS:0-1] AT (356) RICE [SU:0-1 • ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 6:30 PM ET on CBSSN • RICE STADIUM (HOUSTON,TX)

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF HOUSTON 21.0 16 35-77 [2.2] 38-27-174 [4.6] 12.0 38.0 15 28-145 [5.2] 24-17-231 [9.6] 9.9 -3 -17.0 RICE 17.0 19 39-81 [2.1] 35-17-227 [6.5] 18.1 38.0 18 44-245 [5.6] 21-12-128 [6.1] 9.8 -2 -21.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj HOUSTON -8 43 29.4 51.9 34.5 49.7 RICE 54 31 9.4 22.5 6.9 15.3 19.2

TOP TEAM TRENDS • HOUSTON is 16-3 UNDER(L19G) on ROAD - VS unopportunistic offense averaging more than 16.70 yards per point

HEAD-TO-HEAD TREND • HOME TEAMS have gone 10-1 ATS in L11 Houston-Rice h2h series

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS HOUSTON RESULTS RICE RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-04 ** TEXAS TECH - 2.5 63 21-38 L L U 09-04 at ARKANSAS +20 50 17-38 L L O 09-11 at RICE - 8 53.5 09-11 VS HOUSTON + 8 53.5 09-18 VS GRAMBLING ST 09-18 at TEXAS 09-25 VS NAVY 09-25 VS TEXAS SOUTHERN 10-01 at TULSA 10-02 VS SOUTHERN MISS 10-07 at TULANE 10-16 at TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO 10-23 VS EAST CAROLINA 10-23 at UAB 10-30 VS SMU 10-30 VS NORTH TEXAS 11-06 at SOUTH FLORIDA 11-06 at CHARLOTTE 11-13 at TEMPLE 11-13 VS W KENTUCKY 11-19 VS MEMPHIS 11-20 at UTEP 11-27 at CONNECTICUT 11-27 VS LOUISIANA TECH

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(357) APPALACHIAN ST (358) MIAMI FL SU: 1-0 • ATS: 1-0 • O/U: 0-1 SU: 0-1 • ATS: 0-1 • O/U: 0-1

SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 7:00 PM ET ON ESPNU LINE: MIAMI FL (-8.5 • 54.5) HARD ROCK STADIUM • MIAMI,FL

After getting liquefied against top-ranked Alabama, this should be at least a more palatable challenge for the Hurricanes. Not easy, mind you, as the visiting Mountaineers have established their chops as legit Group of 5 contenders. Miami defenders might be disappointed if they’re giving their turnover chain an extra shining this week at the prospect of facing Mounties QB Chase Brice, who was a turnover machine last year at Duke. That’s because the new and improved version of Brice looked more poised when completing 20 of 27 throws without getting too reckless in App State’s opening win over East Carolina. We never really got a chance to see D’Eriq King in a normal game setting last week as he was immediately forced to play from behind against Alabama, but the Miami quarterback didn’t seem to suffer any lingering effects from offseason knee surgery. This home chalk role has not been profitable lately for the Canes, just 7-13 laying points at Hard Rock since early 2017. – Bruce Marshall

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF APPALACHIAN ST 33.0 25 36-226 [6.3] 27-20-259 [9.6] 14.7 19.0 20 24-86 [3.6] 41-22-295 [7.2] 20.1 +1 +14.0 MIAMI FL (14) 13.0 18 31-87 [2.8] 31-23-179 [5.8] 20.5 44.0 28 38-147 [3.9] 39-28-354 [9.1] 11.4 -2 -31.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj APPALACHIAN ST 54.5 47.5 24.6 53.6 23.7 53.4 MIAMI FL (14) -8 53.5 -8.5 29 -4.5 29.7 -6

TOP TEAM TRENDS • MIAMI FL is 11-3-1 ATS(L15G) at HOME - In September • APPALACHIAN ST is 0-5 ATS(L2Y) on ROAD - with Head coach - CLARK • APPALACHIAN ST is 8-2 UNDER(L10G) on ROAD - VS inefficient offense averaging more than 15.30 yards per point

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2016-09-17 MIAMI FL (45) at APPALACHIAN ST (10) +4 50.5 MIAMI FL ROAD FAV OVER

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS APPALACHIAN ST RESULTS MIAMI FL (14) RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-02 ** EAST CAROLINA - 9 56 33-19 W W U 09-04 ** ALABAMA +19.5 61.5 13-44 L L U 09-11 at MIAMI FL + 8.5 54.5 09-11 VS APPALACHIAN ST - 8.5 54.5 09-18 VS ELON 09-18 VS MICHIGAN ST 09-23 VS MARSHALL 09-25 VS C CONN ST 10-02 at GEORGIA ST 09-30 VS VIRGINIA 10-12 at LA LAFAYETTE 10-16 at NORTH CAROLINA 10-20 VS COASTAL CAROLINA 10-23 VS NC STATE 10-30 VS LA MONROE 10-30 at PITTSBURGH 11-06 at ARKANSAS ST 11-06 VS GEORGIA TECH 11-13 VS S ALABAMA 11-13 at FLORIDA ST 11-20 at TROY 11-20 VS VIRGINIA TECH 11-27 VS GEORGIA SOUTHERN 11-27 at DUKE

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(359) TEXAS ST [SU:0-1 • ATS:1-0] AT (360) FLA INTERNATIONAL (-1 • 55.5) [SU:1-0 • ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+ • RICCARDO SILVA STADIUM (MIAMI,FL)

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF TEXAS ST 20.0 20 27-79 [2.9] 40-20-156 [3.9] 11.8 29.0 22 45-238 [5.3] 24-15-148 [6.2] 13.3 -2 -9.0 FLA INTERNATIONAL 48.0 22 30-318 [10.6] 19-15-276 [14.5] 12.4 10.0 15 36-96 [2.7] 31-16-195 [6.3] 29.1 -1 +38.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj TEXAS ST 55 29.5 28.3 55.4 29.9 61 FLA INTERNATIONAL -1 28 -1.5 27.2 1.1 31.2 -1.3

TOP TEAM TRENDS • TEXAS ST is 6-1-1 UNDER(L8G) on ROAD - VS dominant team outscoring opponents by more than 15.0 points per game

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS TEXAS ST RESULTS FLA INTERNATIONAL RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-04 VS BAYLOR +13.5 52 20-29 L W U 09-02 VS LIU-POST -35 49 48-10 W W O 09-11 at FLORIDA INTL + 1 55.5 09-11 VS TEXAS ST - 1 55.5 09-18 VS INCARNATE WORD 09-18 at TEXAS TECH 09-25 at E MICHIGAN 09-25 at C MICHIGAN 10-09 VS S ALABAMA 10-02 at FL ATLANTIC 10-16 VS TROY 10-08 VS CHARLOTTE 10-23 at GEORGIA ST 10-23 VS W KENTUCKY 10-30 at LA LAFAYETTE 10-30 at MARSHALL 11-06 VS LA MONROE 11-06 VS OLD DOMINION 11-13 VS GEORGIA SOUTHERN 11-13 at MIDDLE TENN ST 11-20 at COASTAL CAROLINA 11-20 VS NORTH TEXAS 11-27 at ARKANSAS ST 11-27 at SOUTHERN MISS

(361) NC STATE (-2.5 • 55) [SU:1-0 • ATS:1-0] AT (362) MISSISSIPPI ST [SU:1-0 • ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 7:00 PM ET on ESPN2 • DAVIS WADE STADIUM (STARKVILLE,MS)

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF NC STATE 45.0 27 40-293 [7.3] 26-17-232 [8.9] 11.7 0.0 15 32-104 [3.2] 33-14-167 [5.1] 0.0 +2 +45.0 MISSISSIPPI ST 35.0 22 19-65 [3.4] 47-39-370 [7.9] 12.4 34.0 14 25-101 [4.0] 37-21-268 [7.2] 10.9 -2 +1.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj NC STATE -3 51 27.4 55 28.3 54.9 MISSISSIPPI ST 55 47.5 0.2 27.6 -0.2 26.6 1.7

TOP TEAM TRENDS • MISSISSIPPI ST is 27-6 UNDER(L33G) at HOME - VS solid rushing defense yielding less than 3.35 yards per carry

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS NC STATE RESULTS MISSISSIPPI ST RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-02 VS SOUTH FLORIDA -20 58 45-0 W W U 09-04 VS LOUISIANA TECH -20.5 52.5 35-34 W L O 09-11 at MISSISSIPPI ST - 2.5 55 09-11 VS NC STATE + 2.5 55 09-18 VS FURMAN 09-18 at MEMPHIS 09-25 VS CLEMSON 09-25 VS LSU 10-02 VS LOUISIANA TECH 10-02 at TEXAS A&M 10-16 at BOSTON COLLEGE 10-16 VS ALABAMA 10-23 at MIAMI FL 10-23 at VANDERBILT 10-30 VS LOUISVILLE 10-30 VS KENTUCKY 11-06 at FLORIDA ST 11-06 at ARKANSAS 11-13 at WAKE FOREST 11-13 at AUBURN 11-20 VS SYRACUSE 11-20 VS TENNESSEE ST 11-26 VS NORTH CAROLINA 11-25 VS MISSISSIPPI

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(363) E MICHIGAN [SU:1-0 • ATS:0-1] AT (364) WISCONSIN (-25.5 • 52) [SU:0-1 • ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 7:00 PM ET on FS1 • CAMP RANDALL STADIUM (MADISON,WI)

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF E MICHIGAN 35.0 27 58-221 [3.8] 22-15-189 [8.6] 11.7 15.0 12 34-105 [3.1] 30-14-187 [6.2] 19.5 0 +20.0 WISCONSIN (12) 10.0 29 58-174 [3.0] 37-22-185 [5.0] 35.9 16.0 11 18-50 [2.8] 33-18-247 [7.5] 18.6 -3 -6.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj E MICHIGAN 51.5 35 14.5 51.4 11.3 50.4 WISCONSIN (12) -25.5 55 -22.9 36.9 -22.4 39.2 -27.9

TOP TEAM TRENDS • E MICHIGAN is 7-0 ATS(L7G) on ROAD - [vs OPP] After a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS E MICHIGAN RESULTS WISCONSIN (12) RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-03 VS ST FRANCIS-PA -34.5 54.5 35-15 W L U 09-04 VS PENN ST - 5.5 48.5 10-16 L L U 09-11 at WISCONSIN +25.5 52 09-11 VS E MICHIGAN -25.5 52 09-18 at MASSACHUSETTS 09-25 VS NOTRE DAME 09-25 VS TEXAS ST 10-02 VS MICHIGAN 10-02 at N ILLINOIS 10-09 at ILLINOIS 10-09 VS MIAMI OH 10-16 VS ARMY 10-16 VS BALL ST 10-23 at PURDUE 10-23 at BOWLING GREEN 10-30 VS IOWA 11-02 at TOLEDO 11-06 at RUTGERS 11-09 VS OHIO 11-13 VS NORTHWESTERN 11-16 VS W MICHIGAN 11-20 VS NEBRASKA 11-26 at C MICHIGAN 11-27 at MINNESOTA

(365) NORTH TEXAS [SU:1-0 • ATS:1-0] AT (366) SMU (-22 • 73) [SU:1-0 • ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+ • GERALD J. FORD STADIUM (DALLAS,TX)

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF NORTH TEXAS 44.0 29 50-345 [6.9] 26-12-182 [7.0] 12.0 14.0 21 49-261 [5.3] 26-16-157 [6.0] 29.9 +2 +30.0 SMU 56.0 27 38-171 [4.5] 35-26-319 [9.1] 8.8 9.0 14 28-119 [4.2] 36-15-213 [5.9] 36.9 +3 +47.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj NORTH TEXAS 73 30.5 24.1 71.5 29.4 76.2 SMU -22 44 -17.5 47.4 -23.3 46.8 -17.4

TOP TEAM TRENDS • SMU is 7-0 OVER(L7G) at HOME - VS poor rushing defense yielding more than 4.6 yards per carry

HEAD-TO-HEAD TREND • FAVORITES have won seven straight ATS in UNT-SMU h2h series

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS NORTH TEXAS RESULTS SMU RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-04 VS NORTHWESTERN ST -20 65.5 44-14 W W U 09-04 VS ABILENE CHRISTIAN -32 66 56-9 W W U 09-11 at SMU +22 73 09-11 VS NORTH TEXAS -22 73 09-18 VS UAB 09-18 at LOUISIANA TECH 09-25 at LOUISIANA TECH 09-25 at TCU 10-09 at MISSOURI 10-02 VS SOUTH FLORIDA 10-15 VS MARSHALL 10-09 at NAVY 10-23 VS LIBERTY 10-21 VS TULANE 10-30 at RICE 10-30 at HOUSTON 11-06 at SOUTHERN MISS 11-06 at MEMPHIS 11-13 VS UTEP 11-13 VS UCF 11-20 at FLORIDA INTL 11-20 at CINCINNATI 11-27 VS TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO 11-27 VS TULSA

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(367) LIBERTY (-5.5 • 60.5) [SU:1-0 • ATS:1-0] AT (368) TROY [SU:1-0 • ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+ • VETERANS MEMORIAL STADIUM (TROY,AL)

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF LIBERTY 48.0 27 41-224 [5.5] 29-19-319 [11.0] 11.3 7.0 17 29-86 [3.0] 32-15-183 [5.7] 38.4 0 +41.0 TROY 55.0 27 39-164 [4.2] 33-22-303 [9.2] 8.5 3.0 11 28-81 [2.9] 21-12-108 [5.1] 63.0 +2 +52.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj LIBERTY -5.5 46 31.2 59.5 30.9 60.4 TROY 60.5 41.5 1.5 28.4 2.8 29.6 1.3

TOP TEAM TRENDS • TROY is 8-2 ATS(L10G) at HOME - VS resilient defense allowing more than 17.25 yards per point

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS LIBERTY RESULTS TROY RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-04 VS CAMPBELL -34.5 65 48-7 W W U 09-04 VS SOUTHERN U -25 55.5 55-3 W W O 09-11 at TROY - 5.5 60.5 09-11 VS LIBERTY + 5.5 60.5 09-18 VS OLD DOMINION 09-18 at SOUTHERN MISS 09-24 at SYRACUSE 09-25 at LA MONROE 10-02 at UAB 10-02 at SOUTH CAROLINA 10-09 VS MIDDLE TENN ST 10-09 VS GEORGIA SOUTHERN 10-16 at LA MONROE 10-16 at TEXAS ST 10-23 at NORTH TEXAS 10-28 at COASTAL CAROLINA 10-30 VS MASSACHUSETTS 11-06 VS S ALABAMA 11-06 at MISSISSIPPI 11-13 VS LA LAFAYETTE 11-20 VS LA LAFAYETTE 11-20 VS APPALACHIAN ST 11-27 VS ARMY 11-27 at GEORGIA ST

(369) MEMPHIS (-5 • 65) [SU:1-0 • ATS:1-0] AT (370) ARKANSAS ST [SU:1-0 • ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+ • CENTENNIAL BANK STADIUM (JONESBORO,AR)

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF MEMPHIS 42.0 32 53-322 [6.1] 32-19-265 [8.3] 14.0 17.0 17 28-100 [3.6] 34-19-199 [5.9] 17.6 +1 +25.0 ARKANSAS ST 40.0 25 39-194 [5.0] 38-28-319 [8.4] 12.8 21.0 15 20-42 [2.1] 42-23-296 [7.0] 16.1 +1 +19.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj MEMPHIS -5 45.5 34 63.8 36.8 66.2 ARKANSAS ST 65 33.5 5.4 29.8 4.2 29.5 7.3

TOP TEAM TRENDS • ARKANSAS ST is 18-3 UNDER(L21G) at HOME - As underdog

HEAD-TO-HEAD TREND • UNDERDOGS are on a 7-1 ATS surge in MEM-ASU h2h series

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS MEMPHIS RESULTS ARKANSAS ST RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-04 VS NICHOLLS ST -22.5 68 42-17 W W U 09-04 VS C ARKANSAS -13.5 64 40-21 W W U 09-11 at ARKANSAS ST - 5 65 09-11 VS MEMPHIS + 5 65 09-18 VS MISSISSIPPI ST 09-18 at WASHINGTON 09-25 VS TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO 09-25 at TULSA 10-02 at TEMPLE 10-02 at GEORGIA SOUTHERN 10-09 at TULSA 10-07 VS COASTAL CAROLINA 10-14 VS NAVY 10-21 VS LA LAFAYETTE 10-22 at UCF 10-30 at S ALABAMA 11-06 VS SMU 11-06 VS APPALACHIAN ST 11-13 VS EAST CAROLINA 11-13 at LA MONROE 11-19 at HOUSTON 11-20 at GEORGIA ST 11-27 VS TULANE 11-27 VS TEXAS ST

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(371) TEXAS (372) ARKANSAS SU: 1-0 • ATS: 1-0 • O/U: 0-1 SU: 1-0 • ATS: 1-0 • O/U: 1-0

SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 7:00 PM ET ON ESPN LINE: TEXAS (-6.5 • 57) RAZORBACK STADIUM • FAYETTEVILLE,AR

In Steve Sarkisian’s coaching debut at Texas, his team was on upset alert against Louisiana. There was no chance the Longhorns would look past the ranked Ragin’ Cajuns, who returned 20 starters and were getting betting support as single-digit underdogs. Sarkisian’s decision to start Hudson Card at quarterback was the right move. Card completed 14 of 21 passes for 224 yards and two touchdowns with no interceptions in a 38-18 win. Running back Bijan Robinson was another star, compiling 103 yards on 20 carries and 73 yards on four receptions. The Longhorns played a turnover-free game, controlled the clock for 33 minutes and totaled 435 yards. This is no time for Sarkisian to feel satisfied, though, because a trip to Arkansas is no cakewalk. The Razorbacks pulled off an unlikely cover of a 20.5-point spread by outscoring Rice 21-0 in the fourth quarter of a 38-17 win. Redshirt freshman KJ Jefferson passed for 128 yards, rushed for 89 yards and totaled three touchdowns in a solid second career start. The Razorbacks rushed for 245 yards, with Trelon Smith going for 102, and the running attack will continue to be the emphasis of coach Sam Pittman’s offense. In Pittman’s first year, Arkansas upset Mississippi and Mississippi State and played Auburn, LSU and Texas A&M to the wire. Card is an inexperienced quarterback, so Texas, a 6-point road favorite, remains on upset alert. – Matt Youmans

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF TEXAS (21) 38.0 21 42-170 [4.0] 26-18-265 [10.2] 11.4 18.0 22 29-76 [2.6] 40-28-282 [7.0] 19.9 +1 +20.0 ARKANSAS 38.0 18 44-245 [5.6] 21-12-128 [6.1] 9.8 17.0 19 39-81 [2.1] 35-17-227 [6.5] 18.1 +2 +21.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj TEXAS (21) -6.5 57.5 33 60.1 33.8 63.4 ARKANSAS 57 48 6.9 27 6 29.7 4.1

TOP TEAM TRENDS • TEXAS is 11-4 ATS(L15G) on ROAD - VS decent passing defense yielding less than 6.50 yards per attempt • ARKANSAS is 2-13 ATS(L15G) - After SU win • ARKANSAS is 5-1 UNDER(L2Y) at HOME - with Head coach - PITTMAN

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2014-12-29 * TEXAS (7) vs ARKANSAS (31) -6 44.5 ARKANSAS x FAV UNDER 2008-09-27 ARKANSAS (10) at TEXAS (52) -27 60.0 TEXAS HOME FAV OVER 2004-09-11 TEXAS (22) at ARKANSAS (20) +13 55.5 ARKANSAS HOME DOG UNDER 2003-09-13 ARKANSAS (38) at TEXAS (28) -14 48.5 ARKANSAS ROAD DOG OVER

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS TEXAS (21) RESULTS ARKANSAS RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-04 VS LA LAFAYETTE - 9 58 38-18 W W U 09-04 VS RICE -20 50 38-17 W W O 09-11 at ARKANSAS - 6.5 57 09-11 VS TEXAS + 6.5 57 09-18 VS RICE 09-18 VS GEORGIA SOUTHERN 09-25 VS TEXAS TECH 09-25 VS TEXAS A&M 10-02 at TCU 10-02 at GEORGIA 10-09 VS OKLAHOMA 10-09 at MISSISSIPPI 10-16 VS OKLAHOMA ST 10-16 VS AUBURN 10-30 at BAYLOR 10-23 VS ARK-PINE BLUFF 11-06 at IOWA ST 11-06 VS MISSISSIPPI ST 11-13 VS KANSAS 11-13 at LSU 11-20 at WEST VIRGINIA 11-20 at ALABAMA 11-26 VS KANSAS ST 11-26 VS MISSOURI

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(373) MISSOURI [SU:1-0 • ATS:0-1] AT (374) KENTUCKY (-5 • 54) [SU:1-0 • ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 7:30 PM ET on SECN • KROGER FIELD (LEXINGTON,KY)

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF MISSOURI 34.0 26 36-211 [5.9] 32-21-257 [8.0] 13.8 24.0 27 39-174 [4.5] 47-24-301 [6.4] 19.8 +2 +10.0 KENTUCKY 45.0 24 34-135 [4.0] 33-22-419 [12.7] 12.3 10.0 12 43-17 [0.4] 20-11-70 [3.5] 8.7 -3 +35.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj MISSOURI 54 48 24.4 54 23.7 52.7 KENTUCKY -5 50.5 -6.2 29.6 -5.2 29.1 -5.4

TOP TEAM TRENDS • MISSOURI is 6-1 UNDER(L7G) - HTH vs KENTUCKY

HEAD-TO-HEAD TREND • UNDERDOGS are on a 5-0 ATS streak in MIZ-KEN h2h series

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS MISSOURI RESULTS KENTUCKY RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-04 VS C MICHIGAN -14 59 34-24 W L U 09-04 VS LA MONROE -31 54 45-10 W W O 09-11 at KENTUCKY + 5 54 09-11 VS MISSOURI - 5 54 09-18 VS SE MISSOURI ST 09-18 VS CHATTANOOGA 09-25 at BOSTON COLLEGE 09-25 at SOUTH CAROLINA 10-02 VS TENNESSEE 10-02 VS FLORIDA 10-09 VS NORTH TEXAS 10-09 VS LSU 10-16 VS TEXAS A&M 10-16 at GEORGIA 10-30 at VANDERBILT 10-30 at MISSISSIPPI ST 11-06 at GEORGIA 11-06 VS TENNESSEE 11-13 VS SOUTH CAROLINA 11-13 at VANDERBILT 11-20 VS FLORIDA 11-20 VS NEW MEXICO ST 11-26 at ARKANSAS 11-27 at LOUISVILLE

(375) GEORGIA ST [SU:0-1 • ATS:0-1] AT (376) NORTH CAROLINA (-25.5 • 64.5) [SU:0-1 • ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 7:30 PM ET on ESPN3 • KENAN STADIUM (CHAPEL HILL,NC)

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF GEORGIA ST 10.0 14 28-48 [1.7] 20-12-129 [6.5] 17.7 43.0 20 67-258 [3.9] 4-3-98 [24.5] 8.3 -2 -33.0 NORTH CAROLINA (10) 10.0 18 30-146 [4.9] 33-17-208 [6.3] 35.4 17.0 17 43-127 [3.0] 19-12-169 [8.9] 17.4 -1 -7.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj GEORGIA ST 64.5 36.5 22.2 64.5 21.3 65.9 NORTH CAROLINA (10) -25.5 55 -21.8 42.3 -20.1 44.7 -23.4

TOP TEAM TRENDS • NORTH CAROLINA is 8-2 UNDER(L10G) - VS pathetic defensive team allowing more than 35 PPG

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS GEORGIA ST RESULTS NORTH CAROLINA (10) RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-04 VS ARMY - 2.5 50 10-43 L L O 09-03 at VIRGINIA TECH - 5 63.5 10-17 L L U 09-11 at NORTH CAROLINA +25.5 64.5 09-11 VS GEORGIA ST -25.5 64.5 09-18 VS CHARLOTTE 09-18 VS VIRGINIA 09-25 at AUBURN 09-25 at GEORGIA TECH 10-02 VS APPALACHIAN ST 10-02 VS DUKE 10-09 at LA MONROE 10-09 VS FLORIDA ST 10-23 VS TEXAS ST 10-16 VS MIAMI FL 10-30 at GEORGIA SOUTHERN 10-30 at NOTRE DAME 11-04 at LA LAFAYETTE 11-06 VS WAKE FOREST 11-13 at COASTAL CAROLINA 11-11 at PITTSBURGH 11-20 VS ARKANSAS ST 11-20 VS WOFFORD 11-27 VS TROY 11-26 at NC STATE

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(377) WASHINGTON (378) MICHIGAN SU: 0-1 • ATS: 0-1 • O/U: 0-1 SU: 1-0 • ATS: 1-0 • O/U: 0-1

SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 8:00 PM ET ON ABC LINE: MICHIGAN (-6 • 51.5) MICHIGAN STADIUM • ANN ARBOR,MI

Washington has been getting all sorts of hype on the Pacific Coast despite playing only four games last season and skipping the Pac-12 title game due to COVID-19 issues. But after the shocking loss to Montana in last week’s opener, the jury remains out on hyper second-year coach Jimmy Lake, who was envisioned as a seamless transition from former mentor Chris Petersen. But Lake needs to bring his offense into the Husky Stadium garage for a tune-up. It did little after scoring an early TD against the Grizzlies, with QB Dylan Morris tossing three picks and the rushing attack held to 53 yards. Jim Harbaugh is still kicking at Ann Arbor, and a revived Michigan ground game pounded out 335 yards in a romp past Western Michigan in the opener. But we’ve seen the Wolverines start fast in recent years against foes they can push around only to fall flat against top-level opposition. But the question for this one at the Big House is: Can the Huskies be considered top-level opposition? – Bruce Marshall

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF WASHINGTON (20) 7.0 21 27-65 [2.4] 46-27-226 [4.9] 41.6 13.0 10 34-127 [3.7] 23-12-105 [4.6] 17.8 -3 -6.0 MICHIGAN 47.0 22 43-335 [7.8] 17-13-216 [12.7] 11.7 14.0 17 32-119 [3.7] 37-20-191 [5.2] 22.1 0 +33.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj WASHINGTON (20) 50.5 48 23.9 53.9 20.2 50.5 MICHIGAN -6 54 -9.2 30.1 -6.2 30.3 -10.1

TOP TEAM TRENDS • WASHINGTON is 8-3-2 ATS(L13G) on ROAD - After a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse • MICHIGAN is 5-20 ATS(L25G) - VS low-scoring team averaging 21 PPG or less • MICHIGAN is 8-2 UNDER(L10G) at HOME - VS unopportunistic offense averaging more than 16.70 yards per point

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2002-08-31 WASHINGTON (29) at MICHIGAN (31) -6 52.0 WASHINGTON ROAD DOG OVER 2001-09-08 MICHIGAN (18) at WASHINGTON (23) -3 44.0 WASHINGTON HOME FAV UNDER

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS WASHINGTON (20) RESULTS MICHIGAN RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-04 VS MONTANA -22.5 53.5 7-13 L L U 09-04 VS W MICHIGAN -16.5 65.5 47-14 W W U 09-11 at MICHIGAN + 6 51.5 09-11 VS WASHINGTON - 6 51.5 09-18 VS ARKANSAS ST 09-18 VS N ILLINOIS 09-25 VS CALIFORNIA 09-25 VS RUTGERS 10-02 at OREGON ST 10-02 at WISCONSIN 10-16 VS UCLA 10-09 at NEBRASKA 10-22 at ARIZONA 10-23 VS NORTHWESTERN 10-30 at STANFORD 10-30 at MICHIGAN ST 11-06 VS OREGON 11-06 VS INDIANA 11-13 VS ARIZONA ST 11-13 at PENN ST 11-20 at COLORADO 11-20 at MARYLAND 11-26 VS WASHINGTON ST 11-27 VS OHIO ST

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(379) VANDERBILT [SU:0-1 • ATS:0-1] AT (380) COLORADO ST (-7 • 51) [SU:0-1 • ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 10:00 PM ET on CBSSN • CANVAS STADIUM (FORT COLLINS,CO)

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF VANDERBILT 3.0 25 29-82 [2.8] 43-24-236 [5.5] 1 06.0 23.0 13 37-179 [4.8] 22-13-135 [6.1] 13.7 -2 -20.0 COLORADO ST 23.0 28 40-124 [3.1] 49-33-338 [6.9] 20.1 42.0 22 34-242 [7.1] 28-18-224 [8.0] 11.1 -2 -19.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj VANDERBILT 51 31.5 23.1 54.3 25.9 55.9 COLORADO ST -7 33.5 -4.9 31.2 -8.1 30.1 -4.2

TOP TEAM TRENDS • VANDERBILT is 8-2 UNDER(L10G) on ROAD - VS poor passing defense yielding more than 7.70 yards per attempt

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS VANDERBILT RESULTS COLORADO ST RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-04 VS E TENNESSEE ST -21 45 3-23 L L U 09-03 VS S DAKOTA ST - 2.5 49.5 23-42 L L O 09-11 at COLORADO ST + 7 51 09-11 VS VANDERBILT - 7 51 09-18 VS STANFORD 09-18 at TOLEDO 09-25 VS GEORGIA 09-25 at IOWA 10-02 VS CONNECTICUT 10-09 VS SAN JOSE ST 10-09 at FLORIDA 10-16 at NEW MEXICO 10-16 at SOUTH CAROLINA 10-22 at UTAH ST 10-23 VS MISSISSIPPI ST 10-30 VS BOISE ST 10-30 VS MISSOURI 11-06 at WYOMING 11-13 VS KENTUCKY 11-13 VS AIR FORCE 11-20 at MISSISSIPPI 11-20 at HAWAII 11-27 at TENNESSEE 11-27 VS NEVADA

(381) SAN DIEGO ST [SU:1-0 • ATS:0-1] AT (382) ARIZONA (-1 • 46.5) [SU:0-1 • ATS:1-0] SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 10:00 PM ET on PAC12 • ARIZONA STADIUM (TUCSON,AZ)

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF SAN DIEGO ST 28.0 17 42-248 [5.9] 20-7-115 [5.8] 13.0 10.0 21 26-48 [1.8] 56-3 4-326 [5.8] 37.4 0 +18.0 ARIZONA 16.0 27 35-81 [2.3] 48-36-345 [7.2] 26.6 24.0 18 34-161 [4.7] 29-19-207 [7.1] 15.3 -1 -8.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj SAN DIEGO ST 47 38 22.7 46.5 23.1 48 ARIZONA 0 34 2 23.8 -1.2 25 -1.9

TOP TEAM TRENDS • ARIZONA is 2-12-1 ATS(L15G) - VS strong rushing team averaging more than 4.7 yards per carry

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS SAN DIEGO ST RESULTS ARIZONA RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-04 VS NEW MEXICO ST -31 50.5 28-10 W L U 09-04 ** BYU +13.5 54 16-24 L W U 09-11 at ARIZONA + 1 46.5 09-11 VS SAN DIEGO ST - 1 46.5 09-18 VS UTAH 09-18 VS N ARIZONA 09-25 VS TOWSON 09-25 at OREGON 10-09 VS NEW MEXICO 10-09 VS UCLA 10-15 at SAN JOSE ST 10-16 at COLORADO 10-23 at AIR FORCE 10-22 VS WASHINGTON 10-30 VS FRESNO ST 10-30 at USC 11-06 at HAWAII 11-06 VS CALIFORNIA 11-13 VS NEVADA 11-13 VS UTAH 11-19 at UNLV 11-19 at WASHINGTON ST 11-26 VS BOISE ST 11-27 at ARIZONA ST

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(383) UTAH (384) BYU SU: 1-0 • ATS: 0-1 • O/U: 1-0 SU: 1-0 • ATS: 0-1 • O/U: 0-1

SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 10:15 PM ET ON ESPN LINE: UTAH (-7 • 48) LAVELL EDWARDS STADIUM • PROVO,UT

After each team faced relatively weak competition last week, BYU and Utah will meet for a true test of strength. The Utes have won nine straight (6-3 ATS) in the rivalry, but they were fortunate to avoid the Cougars last season when quarterback Zach Wilson led BYU to an 11-1 record. Wilson, the No. 2 overall pick by the , was on the sideline Saturday in Las Vegas to watch the Cougars hold off Arizona 24-16. Jaren Hall, a redshirt sophomore from Spanish Fork, Utah, passed for 198 yards and two touchdowns in his third career start. Hall also ran five times for 36 yards. Tyler Allgeier led the ground attack with 17 carries for 94 yards. While the offensive performance was positive, it was not overwhelming, and BYU’s defense was lit up by the Wildcats’ Gunner Cruz, who passed for 336 yards. Utah whipped Weber State 40-17 as Baylor transfer Charlie Brewer threw for 233 yards and two scores. Tavion Thomas had 12 carries for 107 yards and two touchdowns. The Utes should contend for the Pac-12 title. The Arizona team that BYU just struggled to get by is one of the Pac-12’s worst. When these teams met in Provo in 2019, Utah was a 6-point favorite in a dominant 30-12 win. It’s probably better to bet on Utah coach Kyle Whittingham or pass. Whittingham has arguably the top offensive and defensive lines in the conference. The early money in this matchup showed on the Utes, who opened -6 and moved to -7. – Matt Youmans

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF UTAH (24) 40.0 28 31-188 [6.1] 29-21-262 [9.0] 11.2 17.0 14 30-57 [1.9] 33-21-213 [6.5] 15.9 0 +23.0 BYU 24.0 18 34-161 [4.7] 29-19-207 [7.1] 15.3 16.0 27 35-81 [2.3] 48-36-345 [7.2] 26.6 +1 +8.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj UTAH (24) -7 51.5 29.3 50.7 26.8 51.1 BYU 47.5 45.5 3.4 21.5 7.8 24.4 2.4

TOP TEAM TRENDS • UTAH is 10-0 ATS(L10G) on ROAD - VS good team with 80% or better winning pct • BYU is 4-17 ATS(L21G) at HOME - VS stout rushing defense yielding less than 3.0 yards per carry • BYU is 7-0 UNDER(L7G) - VS elite defensive team allowing less than 17.5 PPG

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2019-08-29 UTAH (30) at BYU (12) +5 49.0 UTAH ROAD FAV UNDER 2018-11-24 BYU (27) at UTAH (35) -10.5 45.0 BYU ROAD DOG OVER 2017-09-09 UTAH (19) at BYU (13) +3.5 45.0 UTAH ROAD FAV UNDER 2016-09-10 BYU (19) at UTAH (20) -3 42.5 BYU ROAD DOG UNDER 2015-12-19 * UTAH (35) vs BYU (28) +2.5 53.5 UTAH x FAV OVER

HEAD-TO-HEAD TREND • ROAD TEAMS are 8-1 ATS in L9 of UTAH-BYU h2h series

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS UTAH (24) RESULTS BYU RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-02 VS WEBER ST -29 49 40-17 W L O 09-04 ** ARIZONA -13.5 54 24-16 W L U 09-11 at BYU - 7 48 09-11 VS UTAH + 7 48 09-18 at SAN DIEGO ST 09-18 VS ARIZONA ST 09-25 VS WASHINGTON ST 09-25 VS SOUTH FLORIDA 10-09 at USC 10-01 at UTAH ST 10-16 VS ARIZONA ST 10-09 VS BOISE ST 10-23 at OREGON ST 10-16 at BAYLOR 10-30 VS UCLA 10-23 at WASHINGTON ST 11-05 at STANFORD 10-30 VS VIRGINIA 11-13 at ARIZONA 11-06 VS IDAHO ST 11-20 VS OREGON 11-20 at GEORGIA SOUTHERN 11-26 VS COLORADO 11-27 at USC

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(385) UNLV (386) ARIZONA ST SU: 0-1 • ATS: 0-0-1 • O/U: 1-0 SU: 1-0 • ATS: 0-1 • O/U: 0-1

SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 10:30 PM ET ON ESPN2 LINE: ARIZONA ST (-32.5 • 55.5) SUN DEVIL STADIUM • TEMPE,AZ

Jayden Daniels completed 10 passes for 132 yards and made an early exit as Arizona State coasted past Southern Utah 41-14 last week. The Sun Devils have few reasons to fear this week’s opponent either. UNLV is off a 35-33 double-overtime loss to Eastern Washington, which closed as a 2-point road favorite after one Las Vegas book opened the Rebels -11. Second-year coach Marcus Arroyo is showing he lacks game-management and talent-evaluation skills. UNLV is 0-7 under Arroyo, with all six losses last season by double digits. Arroyo started the wrong quarterback last week and had to bench Justin Rogers after he passed for only 23 yards on 11 attempts. Doug Brumfield relieved and threw for 117 yards while rushing for 27 yards and a touchdown to spark a late rally. The Rebels’ workhorse was Charles Williams, who carried the ball 27 times for 172 yards and two touchdowns. The defense allowed 471 total yards. Aside from Williams, UNLV has something good to talk about this week. When these teams last met in 2008, the Rebels pulled off a stunning 23-20 upset as 24-point underdogs in Tempe. Don’t expect a repeat performance from a poorly coached Rebels team. Arizona State is a 33-point favorite and will probably cover unless coach calls off the Sun Devils and again sends Daniels to the bench early. It remains to be seen if Arizona State is on a level with USC, Utah, UCLA and Oregon as the top teams in the Pac-12. – Matt Youmans

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF UNLV 33.0 17 44-199 [4.5] 23-12-140 [6.1] 10.3 35.0 22 34-97 [2.9] 39-29-374 [9.6] 13.5 +1 -2.0 ARIZONA ST (25) 41.0 22 40-222 [5.5] 18-14-199 [11.1] 10.3 14.0 15 26-78 [3.0] 31-19-146 [4.7] 16.0 +2 +27.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj UNLV 55.5 26 10 59.5 16.7 59.8 ARIZONA ST (25) -32.5 52 -28.8 49.6 -39.6 43.2 -26.5

TOP TEAM TRENDS • ARIZONA ST is 29-13 ATS(L10Y) at HOME - On Saturday • UNLV is 2-8 ATS(L10G) - VS dominant team outscoring opponents by more than 15.0 points per game • ARIZONA ST is 13-4 UNDER(L17G) at HOME - Favorite of more than 20 points

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2008-09-13 UNLV (23) at ARIZONA ST (20) -24.5 53.5 UNLV ROAD DOG UNDER

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS UNLV RESULTS ARIZONA ST (25) RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-02 VS E WASHINGTON + 2 66 33-35 L P O 09-02 VS S UTAH -44 55.5 41-14 W L U 09-11 at ARIZONA ST +32.5 55.5 09-11 VS UNLV -32.5 55.5 09-18 VS IOWA ST 09-18 at BYU 09-25 at FRESNO ST 09-25 VS COLORADO 10-02 at TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO 10-02 at UCLA 10-16 VS UTAH ST 10-08 VS STANFORD 10-21 VS SAN JOSE ST 10-16 at UTAH 10-29 at NEVADA 10-30 VS WASHINGTON ST 11-06 at NEW MEXICO 11-06 VS USC 11-13 VS HAWAII 11-13 at WASHINGTON 11-19 VS SAN DIEGO ST 11-20 at OREGON ST 11-26 at AIR FORCE 11-27 VS ARIZONA

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(387) STANFORD (388) USC SU: 0-1 • ATS: 0-1 • O/U: 0-1 SU: 1-0 • ATS: 1-0 • O/U: 0-1

SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 10:30 PM ET ON FOX LINE: USC (-17.5 • 51.5) LOS ANGELES MEMORIAL COLISEUM • LOS ANGELES,CA

It’s an indifferent crowd at Stanford, where the fan base looks forward to shareholder meetings and wine-and-cheese gatherings more than Cardinal football. But even the guys at the Hoover Institution are wondering what has happened to the old Stanford power game that David Shaw had been able to lean on for most of the last decade. It hasn’t been there in recent years -- certainly not in 2020, when Stanford ranked 93rd in rushing -- and it was absent in last week’s opener, when the Cardinal couldn’t even punch out 2 yards per carry against Kansas State. Without the old playmakers -- think , Christian McCaffrey and -- and Shaw unable to make up his mind at QB between sophomore Tanner McKee and senior Jack West, a recipe for stagnation is present. That hardly seems the case at USC, where QB is generating peripheral Heisman buzz and WR Drake London looks like the next on a long assembly line of featured wideouts after catching 13 passes in the opener against San Jose State. Todd Orlando’s attacking defense continues to make plays and sewed up the San Jose win with a pick-six by senior safety Greg Johnson. Will the Trojans even be challenged as much as they were last week by the Spartans, who still had a look at the game into the fourth quarter? The home team has won and covered the last four regular-season meetings. – Bruce Marshall

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF STANFORD 7.0 14 22-39 [1.8] 30-23-194 [6.5] 33.3 24.0 15 31-200 [6.5] 14-9-144 [10.3] 14.3 -1 -17.0 USC (15) 30.0 24 34-160 [4.7] 36-24-256 [7.1] 13.9 7.0 18 19-67 [3.5] 46-24-308 [6.7] 53.6 +1 +23.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj STANFORD 51.5 40.5 16.9 52.5 20.1 55.8 USC (15) -17.5 55 -17.5 35.6 -18.7 35.8 -15.7

TOP TEAM TRENDS • USC is 12-2 ATS(L14G) - VS anemic team being outscored by opponents by more than 13.5 points per game • STANFORD is 10-16 ATS(S2000) on ROAD - VS resilient defense allowing more than 17.25 yards per point • STANFORD is 6-0-1 OVER(L7G) on ROAD - As underdog

RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS 2019-09-07 STANFORD (20) at USC (45) -3.5 44.0 USC HOME FAV OVER 2018-09-08 USC (3) at STANFORD (17) -4.5 53.0 STANFORD HOME FAV UNDER 2017-12-01 * STANFORD (28) vs USC (31) -3.5 58.0 STANFORD x DOG OVER 2017-09-09 STANFORD (24) at USC (42) -4.5 54.5 USC HOME FAV OVER 2016-09-17 USC (10) at STANFORD (27) -7 50.5 STANFORD HOME FAV UNDER

HEAD-TO-HEAD TREND • HOME TEAMS have won ATS in L4 Stanford-USC regular season games

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS STANFORD RESULTS USC (15) RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 09-04 ** KANSAS ST + 3 54.5 7-24 L L U 09-04 VS SAN JOSE ST -14 61 30-7 W W U 09-11 at USC +17.5 51.5 09-11 VS STANFORD -17.5 51.5 09-18 at VANDERBILT 09-18 at WASHINGTON ST 09-25 VS UCLA 09-25 VS OREGON ST 10-02 VS OREGON 10-02 at COLORADO 10-08 at ARIZONA ST 10-09 VS UTAH 10-16 at WASHINGTON ST 10-23 at NOTRE DAME 10-30 VS WASHINGTON 10-30 VS ARIZONA 11-05 VS UTAH 11-06 at ARIZONA ST 11-13 at OREGON ST 11-13 at CALIFORNIA 11-20 VS CALIFORNIA 11-20 VS UCLA 11-27 VS NOTRE DAME 11-27 VS BYU

69 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS

WEEK 2 COLLEGE FOOTBALL MATCHUPS

(389) HAWAII [SU:1-1 • ATS:0-2] AT (390) OREGON ST (-11 • 61.5) [SU:0-1 • ATS:0-1] SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 11:00 PM ET on FS1 • RESER STADIUM (CORVALLIS,OR)

KEY STATISTICS Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2021 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF HAWAII 29.5 20 34-147 [4.3] 39-23-274 [7.0] 14.3 39.5 22 35-160 [4.6] 34-17-274 [7.9] 11.0 -2 -10.0 OREGON ST 21.0 15 25-78 [3.1] 38-21-285 [7.5] 17.3 30.0 24 33-88 [2.7] 42-29-313 [7.5] 13.4 0 -9.0

STRENGTH RATINGS CL FL SCORE PR PRLine EffStrScr EffStrProj BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProj HAWAII 61.5 32 23.6 60.1 25.8 61.6 OREGON ST -11 40 -10.6 36.4 -12.8 35.9 -10.1

TOP TEAM TRENDS • HAWAII is 25-11 UNDER(S2000) on ROAD - VS mediocre team being outscored by opponents by more than 4.5 points per game

HEAD-TO-HEAD TREND • UNDERDOGS are on a 3-0 ATS streak in HAW-OSU h2h series

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS HAWAII RESULTS OREGON ST RESULTS DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU 08-28 at UCLA +18 67 10-44 L L U 09-04 at PURDUE + 7 68 21-30 L L U 09-04 VS PORTLAND ST -25.5 57 49-35 W L O 09-11 VS HAWAII -11 61.5 09-11 at OREGON ST +11 61.5 09-18 VS IDAHO 09-18 VS SAN JOSE ST 09-25 at USC 09-25 at NEW MEXICO ST 10-02 VS WASHINGTON 10-02 VS FRESNO ST 10-09 at WASHINGTON ST 10-16 at NEVADA 10-23 VS UTAH 10-23 VS NEW MEXICO ST 10-30 at CALIFORNIA 10-30 at UTAH ST 11-06 at COLORADO 11-06 VS SAN DIEGO ST 11-13 VS STANFORD 11-13 at UNLV 11-20 VS ARIZONA ST 11-20 VS COLORADO ST 11-27 at OREGON

70 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS WEEK 2 CFB SLATE FEATURES NINE STABILITY MISMATCHES BY STEVE MAKINEN @STEVEMAKINEN

After last week’s college football stability mismatches produced a record of 5-4 ATS, I’m here to unveil the Week 2 plays that qualify for my long-running system that quantifies the stability level of FBS teams entering the season.

If you missed the explanation and other details about this method or are new to VSiN, I encourage you to go back to last week’s edition of Point Spread Weekly (Season 5, Issue 2) and download the report.

For a short explanation, this stability system, which I’ve employed for 10 seasons without a losing campaign, measures one team’s stability against another’s. Using a time-tested point-assigning process for coaches, quarterbacks and returning starters, I come up with a stability score for each team. When these scores differ by eight points or more, I consider it a stability mismatch.

The stability-score difference between the teams has nothing to do with the point spread. I am simply assuming that oddsmakers have not given enough credence to the stability difference and that their lines are off because of it.

Here is a list of the top stability mismatches for Week 2 plus the stability chart at the end of the article for all FBS teams. I typically believe that after two or three games, oddsmakers catch up and fully adjust for teams’ changes. You should feel comfortable employing this strategy for the first few weeks.

(301) KANSAS AT (302) COASTAL CAROLINA (-25.5) Stability Advantage: Coastal Carolina by 10 Analysis: Last year it was a pretty big deal when Coastal Carolina went to Lawrence and upended the Jayhawks 38-23 as nearly a TD underdog. That was the first of the Chanticleers’ 11 straight wins. The rematch is expected to be completely different, with host Coastal installed as a 25.5-point favorite. The Chanticleers are deemed the more talented team by oddsmakers and the far more stable team by my system, with a score of 18 compared with the Jayhawks’ 8. Kansas comes off a rare win last week, beating FCS foe South Dakota, in its first game under Lance Leipold. Even so, the offense mustered only 17 points and will need far more to compete with QB Grayson McCall & Co.

(305) ILLINOIS AT (306) VIRGINIA (-10) Stability Advantage: Virginia by 9 Analysis: For the third straight week, Illinois and new coach Bret Bielema are on the short end of my stability mismatch system. Bettors are 1-1 thus far if following the concept with Illinois. This is the first time the rebuilt Illini will hit the road and face their toughest test to date playing as 10-point dogs at Virginia. Bielema’s club was even more unstable than in Week 0 in its loss to UTSA on Saturday as it played without QB Brandon Peters, who missed the game with a shoulder injury. He is shown as questionable for this contest. The Cavaliers are off an impressive 43-0 win over FCS William & Mary. Coach Bronco Mendenhall’s sixth year at Virginia finds 14 starters back, including sophomore QB Brennan Armstrong.

(315) PITTSBURGH (-3) AT (316) TENNESSEE Stability Advantage: Pittsburgh by 15 Analysis: Tennessee was one of the winning plays on the stability system last weekend as the Vols, in their first game under new coach Josh Heupel, failed to cover the 35-point line against Bowling Green in a 38-6 win. The score doesn’t do justice to how poorly UT played. Though the numbers look solid, BGSU hung around way longer than anyone thought it should. This game is a huge test for the Vols as they face a Pitt team that many experts think has the talent to contend for the ACC crown. The Panthers are led by QB Kenny Pickett and come off a 51-7 rout of UMass. With a difference of 15, this is one of the bigger stability-score margins you’ll find this season.

(317) SOUTH CAROLINA AT (318) EAST CAROLINA (-2) Stability Advantage: East Carolina by 16 Analysis: East Carolina was a disappointing loss on the system last week, dropping a difficult contest at Appalachian State. By stability standards, App State is in a far better position in 2021 than this week’s opponent, South Carolina. The Gamecocks are beginning a new era under rookie coach Shane Beamer. They won their opener easily, whipping Eastern Illinois 45-0, as erstwhile graduate assistant coach Zeb Noland stepped in as the starting QB for the injured Luke Doty. Talk about unstable! This week’s test for East Carolina and QB Holton Ahlers will be far tougher, if by no other evidence than the point spread, which had SC favored at the outset but has since flipped to ECU -2.

(continued on next page)

71 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS Bryant Koback

(333) TOLEDO (+16.5) AT (334) NOTRE DAME Stability Advantage: Toledo by 11 Analysis: With only nine starters back, Notre Dame is one of just a handful of teams that returned fewer than 10. The Irish had moments of greatness and moments of instability in their Week 1 win at Florida State, as was expected. In the end, the 41-38 overtime decision was a victory for the stability system and in essence a prototypical example of why the logic is successful. For this week, the unstable Irish face a Toledo team that has 21 starters back and will certainly be hungry to make a statement in South Bend. It would be wise for Brian Kelly’s team to not look past this contest with a pair of Big Ten tilts next up.

(347) BUFFALO AT (348) NEBRASKA (-13.5) Stability Advantage: Nebraska by 11 Analysis: It seems as if oddsmakers and bettors alike have jumped on the stability train for this contest in Lincoln. The Cornhuskers, with a stability edge of 11 on my scale, were installed as 11-point favorites out of the gate before the line quickly ballooned to 13.5. This happened despite Buffalo’s dominant 69-7 Week 1 win over Wagner. The Bulls seemed to quickly dismiss rumors of their 2021 demise after the departures of coach Lance Leipold and stud RB Jaret Patterson. Nebraska posted its own impressive FCS win last week, clubbing Fordham 52-7. Sitting at 1-1, this turns out to be a significant game for coach Scott Frost’s team, with tough road trips coming the next two weeks.

(371) TEXAS AT (372) ARKANSAS (+6.5) Stability Advantage: Arkansas by 11 Analysis: Another team that held off critics for at least a week in terms of potential instability was Texas, which posted an impressive 38-18 win over a dangerous Louisiana team in the opener. This week’s game figures to be even tougher, with Arkansas looking for its second straight home win. Quarterback KJ Jefferson had a big day, accounting for three touchdowns in a 38-17 win over Rice and showing the dual-threat capability that has Razorbacks fans excited. After the strong opener for the Longhorns, they are installed as uncomfortable 6.5-point road favorites.

(377) WASHINGTON (+6) AT (378) MICHIGAN Stability Advantage: Washington by 8 Analysis: After Washington’s home loss to Montana last week, it’s hard to describe anything about the program as stable right now. But the facts are that its stability score is eight points higher than Michigan’s heading into an intriguing nonconference tilt at the Big House. The Wolverines looked like the far better team last weekend as they clobbered in-state foe Western Michigan 47-14. As was to be expected, bettors have shown a massive reaction — and perhaps overreaction — to last week’s results, moving Michigan from a 1-point favorite to a 6-point choice.

(381) SAN DIEGO STATE (+0) AT (382) ARIZONA Stability Advantage: San Diego State by 11 Analysis: This matchup might pit a Group of 5 team against a Power 5 team, but in the minds of most fans, San Diego State is the better team. The Aztecs won their opener 28-10 over a weak New Mexico State squad but failed to cover the 31-point line. Arizona came up short, falling to BYU 24-16 in new coach Jedd Fisch’s first game. It was the program’s 13th straight loss. However, oddsmakers are showing this contest as a pick-’em, despite the long losing streak and even though coach Brady Hoke’s SDSU team is far more stable. On paper, the pick-’em point spread gives Arizona its best chance at a win in 10 games.

72 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS

COLLEGE FOOTBALL STABILITY CHART COLLEGE FOOTBALL STABILITY CHART

2020 Change? (0-yes) Ret Total 2020 Change? (0-yes) Ret Total Team (Conference) Record HC? OC? DC? QB? Strs Stab. Team (Conference) Record HC? OC? DC? QB? Strs Stab. AIR FORCE (MTN WEST) 3-3 4 3 3 4 3 (14) 17 MISSOURI (SEC) 5-5 4 3 0 4 3 (16) 14 AKRON (MAC) 1-5 4 3 3 4 5 (20) 19 N ILLINOIS (MAC) 0-6 4 3 3 0 4 (18) 14 ALABAMA (SEC) 13-0 4 0 3 0 2 (12) 9 NAVY (AMER ATH) 3-7 4 3 3 0 3 (13) 13 APPALACHIAN ST (SUN BELT) 9-3 4 0 3 0 4 (17) 11 NC STATE (ACC) 8-4 4 3 3 4 4 (18) 18 ARIZONA (PAC 12) 0-5 0 0 0 0 3 (15) 3 NEBRASKA (BIG TEN) 3-5 4 3 3 4 4 (17) 18 ARIZONA ST (PAC 12) 2-2 4 3 3 4 5 (20) 19 NEVADA (MTN WEST) 7-2 4 3 3 4 5 (22) 19 ARKANSAS (SEC) 3-7 4 3 3 0 4 (19) 14 NEW MEXICO (MTN WEST) 2-5 4 3 3 4 3 (16) 17 ARKANSAS ST (SUN BELT) 4-7 0 3 0 0 3 (15) 6 NEW MEXICO ST (IND) 1-1 4 3 3 4 0 (2) 14 ARMY (IND) 9-3 4 3 3 4 3 (14) 17 NORTH CAROLINA (ACC) 8-4 4 3 3 4 4 (17) 18 AUBURN (SEC) 6-5 0 0 0 4 3 (16) 7 NORTH TEXAS (CUSA) 4-6 4 3 0 0 4 (17) 11 BALL ST (MAC) 7-1 4 3 3 4 5 (20) 19 NORTHWESTERN (BIG TEN) 7-2 4 3 0 0 1 (9) 8 BAYLOR (BIG 12) 2-7 4 0 3 0 4 (17) 11 NOTRE DAME (IND) 10-2 4 3 0 0 1 (9) 8 BOISE ST (MTN WEST) 5-2 0 0 3 4 4 (17) 11 OHIO ST (BIG TEN) 7-1 4 3 3 0 2 (12) 12 BOSTON COLLEGE (ACC) 6-5 4 3 3 4 4 (17) 18 OHIO U (MAC) 2-1 4 3 3 4 4 (17) 18 BOWLING GREEN (MAC) 0-5 4 3 0 4 3 (13) 14 OKLAHOMA (BIG 12) 9-2 4 3 3 4 3 (15) 17 BUFFALO (MAC) 6-1 0 0 0 4 3 (15) 7 OKLAHOMA ST (BIG 12) 8-3 4 3 3 4 3 (13) 17 BYU (IND) 11-1 4 0 3 0 2 (10) 9 OLD DOMINION (CUSA) 0-0 0 3 3 4 1 (9) 11 C MICHIGAN (MAC) 3-3 4 0 3 4 5 (21) 16 OLE MISS (SEC) 5-5 4 3 3 4 4 (18) 18 CALIFORNIA (PAC 12) 1-3 4 3 3 4 4 (19) 18 OREGON (PAC 12) 4-3 4 3 0 0 4 (17) 11 CHARLOTTE (CUSA) 2-4 4 3 3 4 3 (14) 17 OREGON ST (PAC 12) 2-5 4 3 3 4 4 (18) 18 CINCINNATI (AMER ATH) 9-1 4 3 0 4 3 (14) 14 PENN ST (BIG TEN) 4-5 4 0 3 4 3 (15) 14 CLEMSON (ACC) 10-2 4 3 3 0 3 (15) 13 PITTSBURGH (ACC) 6-5 4 3 3 4 3 (14) 17 COASTAL CAROLINA (S BELT) 11-1 4 3 3 4 4 (19) 18 PURDUE (BIG TEN) 2-4 4 3 0 4 4 (17) 15 COLORADO (PAC 12) 4-2 4 3 0 4 4 (17) 15 RICE (CUSA) 2-3 4 0 3 0 4 (19) 11 COLORADO ST (MTN WEST) 1-3 4 0 3 0 5 (20) 12 RUTGERS (BIG TEN) 3-6 4 3 3 4 5 (20) 19 CONNECTICUT (AMER ATH) 0-0 4 3 3 4 3 (15) 17 S ALABAMA (SUN BELT) 4-7 0 0 0 4 3 (16) 7 DUKE (ACC) 2-9 4 0 3 0 2 (12) 9 SAN DIEGO ST (MTN WEST) 4-4 4 3 3 0 4 (17) 14 E MICHIGAN (MAC) 2-4 4 0 3 4 5 (20) 16 SAN JOSE ST (MTN WEST) 7-1 4 3 3 4 5 (20) 19 EAST CAROLINA (AMER ATH) 3-6 4 3 3 4 5 (20) 19 SMU (AMER ATH) 7-3 4 3 0 0 4 (17) 11 FLA ATLANTIC (CUSA) 5-4 4 0 0 4 5 (20) 13 SOUTH CAROLINA (SEC) 2-8 0 0 0 0 3 (13) 3 FLA INTERNATIONAL (CUSA) 0-5 4 0 0 4 4 (17) 12 SOUTH FLORIDA (AMER ATH) 1-8 4 3 3 0 4 (17) 14 FLORIDA (SEC) 8-4 4 0 3 0 2 (10) 9 SOUTHERN MISS (CUSA) 3-7 0 0 0 0 4 (18) 4 FLORIDA ST (ACC) 3-6 4 3 3 4 3 (16) 17 STANFORD (PAC 12) 4-2 4 3 3 0 3 (15) 13 FRESNO ST (MTN WEST) 3-3 4 3 3 4 5 (20) 19 SYRACUSE (ACC) 1-10 4 3 3 4 4 (18) 18 GA SOUTHERN (SUN BELT) 8-5 4 0 3 0 3 (14) 10 TCU (BIG 12) 6-4 4 0 3 4 4 (17) 15 GEORGIA (SEC) 8-2 4 3 3 4 3 (13) 17 TEMPLE (AMER ATH) 1-6 4 3 3 0 3 (13) 13 GEORGIA ST (SUN BELT) 6-4 4 3 3 4 4 (19) 18 TENNESSEE (SEC) 3-7 0 0 0 0 2 (11) 2 GEORGIA TECH (ACC) 3-7 4 3 3 4 3 (16) 17 TEXAS (BIG 12) 7-3 0 0 0 0 3 (14) 3 HAWAII (MTN WEST) 5-4 4 0 3 4 4 (18) 15 TEXAS A&M (SEC) 9-1 4 3 3 0 3 (14) 13 HOUSTON (AMER ATH) 3-5 4 3 3 4 3 (15) 17 TEXAS ST UNIV (SUN BELT) 2-10 4 3 3 4 3 (16) 17 ILLINOIS (BIG TEN) 2-6 0 0 0 4 4 (18) 8 TEXAS TECH (BIG 12) 4-6 4 0 3 0 3 (15) 10 INDIANA (BIG TEN) 6-2 4 3 0 4 4 (17) 15 TOLEDO (MAC) 4-2 4 3 3 4 5 (22) 19 IOWA (BIG TEN) 6-2 4 3 3 4 3 (13) 17 TROY (SUN BELT) 5-6 4 0 3 4 5 (21) 16 IOWA ST (BIG 12) 9-3 4 3 3 4 4 (19) 18 TULANE (AMER ATH) 6-6 4 0 0 4 4 (17) 12 KANSAS (BIG 12) 0-9 0 0 0 4 4 (17) 8 TULSA (AMER ATH) 6-3 4 3 3 0 4 (19) 14 KANSAS ST (BIG 12) 4-6 4 3 3 4 3 (16) 17 TX-SAN ANTONIO (CUSA) 6-5 4 3 0 4 5 (21) 16 KENT ST (MAC) 3-1 4 3 3 4 4 (19) 18 UAB (CUSA) 6-3 4 3 3 4 4 (17) 18 KENTUCKY (SEC) 5-6 4 0 3 0 3 (13) 10 UCF (AMER ATH) 6-4 0 0 0 4 3 (15) 7 LA LAFAYETTE (SUN BELT) 10-1 4 0 3 4 5 (20) 16 UCLA (PAC 12) 3-4 4 3 3 4 5 (20) 19 LA MONROE (SUN BELT) 0-10 0 0 0 4 4 (17) 8 UNLV (MTN WEST) 0-6 4 3 3 0 3 (16) 13 LIBERTY (IND) 10-1 4 3 3 4 5 (20) 19 USC (PAC 12) 5-1 4 3 3 4 3 (16) 17 LOUISIANA TECH (CUSA) 5-5 4 3 3 4 3 (16) 17 UTAH (PAC 12) 3-2 4 3 3 0 4 (18) 14 LOUISVILLE (ACC) 4-7 4 0 3 4 2 (12) 13 UTAH ST (MTN WEST) 1-5 0 0 0 0 3 (16) 3 LSU (SEC) 5-5 4 0 0 4 4 (18) 12 UTEP (CUSA) 3-5 4 0 0 4 4 (19) 12 MARSHALL (CUSA) 7-3 0 3 0 4 3 (16) 10 VANDERBILT (SEC) 0-9 0 0 0 4 3 (14) 7 MARYLAND (BIG TEN) 2-3 4 0 0 4 4 (17) 12 VIRGINIA (ACC) 5-5 4 3 3 4 3 (15) 17 MASSACHUSETTS (IND) 0-4 4 0 3 4 3 (14) 14 VIRGINIA TECH (ACC) 5-6 4 3 3 0 3 (13) 13 MEMPHIS (AMER ATH) 8-3 4 3 3 0 3 (15) 13 W KENTUCKY (CUSA) 5-7 4 0 3 4 2 (11) 13 MIAMI FL (ACC) 8-3 4 3 0 4 4 (19) 15 W MICHIGAN (MAC) 4-2 4 0 3 4 4 (19) 15 MIAMI OHIO (MAC) 2-1 4 3 3 4 4 (18) 18 WAKE FOREST (ACC) 4-5 4 3 3 4 4 (19) 18 MICHIGAN (BIG TEN) 2-4 4 3 0 0 3 (16) 10 WASHINGTON (PAC 12) 3-1 4 3 3 4 4 (18) 18 MICHIGAN ST (BIG TEN) 2-5 4 3 3 0 4 (17) 14 WASHINGTON ST (PAC 12) 1-3 4 3 3 4 4 (18) 18 MIDDLE TENN ST (CUSA) 3-5 4 0 3 0 4 (19) 11 WEST VIRGINIA (BIG 12) 6-4 4 3 0 4 3 (16) 14 MINNESOTA (BIG TEN) 3-4 4 3 3 4 5 (20) 19 WISCONSIN (BIG TEN) 4-3 4 3 3 4 3 (15) 17 MISSISSIPPI ST (SEC) 4-7 4 3 3 4 3 (16) 17 WYOMING (MTN WEST) 2-4 4 0 3 4 5 (21) 16

73 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS STEVE MAKINEN’S MLB POWER RATINGS

Power Effective Startin Team Division Rating Rank Runs Rank Pitching Rank Bullpen Rank

LA DODGERS N.L. WEST -63 1 4.86 4 36.2 1 13 1 NY YANKEES N.L. EAST -52 2 4.93 2 23 5 11 4 HOUSTON A.L. WEST -49 3 4.85 5 22.6 7 6 10 SAN FRANCISCO N.L. WEST -49 4 4.74 8 22.6 8 6 11 TAMPA BAY A.L. EAST -46 5 4.96 1 4.2 18 13 2 BOSTON A.L. EAST -40 6 4.93 3 0.2 22 4 17 CHI WHITE SOX A.L. CENTRAL -40 7 4.85 6 24.2 4 6 12 A.L. EAST -38 8 4.82 7 27. 2 3 8 5 MILWAUKEE N.L. CENTRAL -36 9 4.54 15 32.4 2 12 3 SAN DIEGO N.L. WEST -35 10 4.6 14 23 6 7 8 ATLANTA N.L. EAST -32 11 4.7 11 13.6 13 8 6 CINCINNATI N.L. CENTRAL -30 12 4.72 10 16.8 11 -4 24 PHILADELPHIA N.L. EAST -28 13 4.37 24 18 9 5 14 OAKLAND A.L. WEST -27 14 4.54 16 13.8 12 4 18 NY METS A.L. EAST -21 15 4.49 19 17. 4 10 5 15 LA ANGELS A.L. WEST -20 16 4.73 9 10.6 15 -8 26 ST LOUIS N.L. CENTRAL -20 17 4.44 20 2.4 20 1 20 MINNESOTA A.L. CENTRAL -16 18 4.62 13 1.6 21 7 9 SEATTLE A.L. WEST -14 19 4.43 21 10.2 16 8 7 COLORADO N.L. WEST -13 20 4.37 25 8.6 17 1 21 CLEVELAND A.L. CENTRAL -9 21 4.54 17 -5.4 27 6 13 WASHINGTON N.L. EAST 3 22 4.35 26 -4.4 25 -14 28 KANSAS CITY A.L. CENTRAL 3 23 4.3 28 -5.6 28 5 16 N.L. CENTRAL 5 24 4.38 22 -2 24 -4 25 MIAMI N.L. EAST 5 25 4 30 12.8 14 3 19 DETROIT A.L. CENTRAL 6 26 4.52 18 -1.2 23 0 22 ARIZONA N.L. WEST 10 27 4.38 23 3.2 19 -14 29 TEXAS A.L. WEST 13 28 4.31 27 -5.2 26 -2 23 PITTSBURGH N.L. CENTRAL 14 29 4.25 29 -17 30 -8 27 BALTIMORE A.L. EAST 20 30 4.65 12 -15.8 29 -17 30

These are Steve Makinen’s current MLB Power Ratings. These ratings are the same one used in the formulas to calculate the Estimated Score and Estimated Line/Total on the VSiN.com MLB matchup pages daily. In that formula, these ratings are combined with other variables such as player absences, ballpark factors, as well as weather elements.

74 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS MLB AWARDS MARKETS STILL CAN OFFER SOME LATE VALUE BY AARON MOORE

One of the biggest topics of conversation in the VSiN universe this Buehler also had a rough outing Sunday night in San Francisco, and this is season has been the player awards market. part of the reason he is still available for plus odds. Just last week he was around -150 across most of the national books. These futures bets provide an alternative to the extreme grind that handicapping MLB over the course of the season can be when dealing with All this price movement is a positive for bettors since it makes it possible to variables such as travel, starting pitchers, umpires and recent statistical still enter the NL Cy Young Award market or to add on. output. By doing some media scanning, Scherzer for Cy Young has become a hot Of course, those awards bets are best made early in the season when higher topic, and bettors need to take note. A Google News search of “Max numbers are available. But even at this late juncture, they deserve attention. Scherzer Cy Young” over the last week generated 6,810 results. A recent

MLB.com headline was “Scherzer fuels Cy Young talk with 13-k start.” The focus now should be to identify any remaining value, determine whether your existing bets are still alive and see if you can find hedging opportunities. Buehler still has the Cy Young label from CBS Sports and the Athletic, but his

Let’s examine the overall player awards futures to determine whether any Google News search was a fraction of Scherzer’s at 1,250 results. Similar late-season value can still be wrung from the market. But before we do, here searches of Burnes produced 142 results, Wheeler with 200 and Woodruff is my mantra when it comes to handicapping awards futures: Don’t bet on with 186 over the last week. the player you think should win the award based on your personal set of benchmarks. You must bet on the player the media members will vote for. This data indicates an important variable used to handicap player awards — media traction. First, no reason to discuss the AL MVP or NL Rookie of the Year. Regardless if Shohei Ohtani can hold off the charging Salvador Perez for the home run Scherzer for Cy Young is a fast-moving narrative. Expect plenty of stories and title, the Angels’ two-way star has the MVP award wrapped up. The -5000 at conversations that link Scherzer to Rick Sutcliffe’s 1984 accomplishment of DraftKings eliminates any doubt about who will win. going from being traded to winning the award in the same season. For those betting on Scherzer, those are the stories you desire. With far less fanfare, Cincinnati’s Jonathan India (-1000 at DraftKings) is all but assured of winning the NL ROY. Around mid-July, Miami’s Trevor Rogers Since this closely contested race could easily change based on the results (currently +550 at DraftKings) was the favorite, but the lefty missed a month of individual starts, here is a look the remaining schedules for the Dodgers, because of family health issues. At the same time, India was getting a lot of Brewers and Phillies: praise for helping to bring the Reds into wild-card contention. Dodgers St. Louis, San Diego, Arizona, Cincinnati, Colorado, San Diego, Milwaukee NL CY YOUNG

Brewers When we addressed the player awards market at the midpoint of the season, Philadelphia, Cleveland, Detroit, Chicago Cubs, St. Louis, New York Mets we said the field was still in play because of lingering health problems surrounding prohibitive favorite Jacob deGrom. Fast-forward to early September, deGrom has not been heard from and the field is still noticeably Phillies in play. Milwaukee, Colorado, Chicago Cubs, New York Mets, Baltimore, Pittsburgh, Atlanta It has narrowed to the new favorite, Los Angeles’ Walker Buehler (+140 DraftKings, +150 BetMGM, +135 BetRivers), and three other viable It appears that Buehler and Scherzer will likely make multiple starts against candidates: L.A.’s Max Scherzer (+280 DraftKings, +280 BetMGM, +275 the Padres and at Colorado before the end of the season. The Brewers and BetRivers), Milwaukee’s Corbin Burnes (+350 DraftKings, +350 BetMGM, Phillies face weaker-hitting opponents. +375 BetRivers) and Philadelphia’s Zack Wheeler (+700 DraftKings, +800 BetMGM, +700 BetRivers). Based on examining the media coverage and the remaining schedule, here are some options for the NL Cy Young. Milwaukee’s Brandon Woodruff is also still lurking (+700 BetMGM). If you are looking to make your first bet for this award, do it immediately The odds for this pitching award have become extremely volatile. One bad on Scherzer, who still has value. With less than a month left in the season, start can alter the lines. And with a little less than a month to go, starters it won’t tie up your bankroll for long. Also, allocating a unit or two on the have only four or five chances to get back on the mound. three-time winner instead of taking a -200 favorite on a daily wager, which is so common at this point of the season, provides a better return. As it relates to one start changing the market, Scherzer began Monday evening +700, then dominated the Cardinals and joined teammate Buehler This is the last week to make a Scherzer play. The 2-1 number won’t get near the top of the board. On the other side, Woodruff was in the first tier any better, and if it does that means he did poorly against the Padres and until he got hit around by the Phillies, and now that +700 is his. Rockies, in which case you don’t want him. If you wait, that number starts

75 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS creeping down to minus territory, but it doesn’t necessarily mean Buheler, The media is now recognizably behind Tatis. Recent articles on ESPN and Burnes and Wheeler are out of contention. with feedback from their baseball writers concluded it’s the San Diego star’s award, with some lingering support for Harper (+650 If you already have a Scherzer or Buehler bet and are inclined to hedge, DraftKings). In Google News mentions over the last week, Tatis has 709 don’t do it. Taking Burnes isn’t a foolproof move because of Wheeler. Hold compared to 684 for Harper. tight to the Scherzer or Buehler ticket and become a big Dodgers fan in September. Some analysts have recently championed the case for Soto. Even though Washington will likely finish in the NL East basement, Soto is putting up Taking Burnes straight up at this point has no value since the Brewers are up impressive advanced metric numbers worthy of the MVP. In just two weeks, by double digits in the NL Central and his numbers moving forward could be his odds on BetMGM have fallen from +10000 to +5000. limited. But these conversations between those searching for a long-play futures bomb A Wheeler bet at this point provides the biggest return. However, the and statheads isn’t translating into the same media coverage for Soto like Phillies have played poorly the last few seasons during the final portion that for Tatis and Harper. “Juan Soto MVP” appeared in only 562 Google of the schedule. That makes it very difficult to back Wheeler. His team’s News mentions over the last week. performance will play a role in his chances for the award, while Buehler, Scherzer and Burnes are almost guaranteed of being on playoff squads. The 100-1 play on Soto was definitely worth a speculative investment, but as the odds now stand at just half that, it’s time to tap the brakes until the media narrative for a player on a last-place squad winning the MVP picks up. AL CY YOUNG Even with the Braves and Dodgers players looking solid, this feels like a two- This is down to the favored Gerrit Cole and the surging Robbie Ray. It’s a man race between Tatis and Harper. Good news for those with Tatis tickets, unique race to handicap since Cole has factors like playing in New York, since those can easily be paired with a Harper hedge at +650. being tabbed as the favorite from the start and plenty of media attention in his favor. However, he also played a major role in the Spider Tack A conservative Harper standalone ticket also has value, especially for controversy and stumbled through a Richard Nixon-like press conference that those slowing down on their daily MLB plays because of the discrepancy had people questioning his guilt even more. between the favorites and dogs. Harper has the star power and ability to rack up numbers on a daily basis, compared to Wheeler’s every-fifth-day So handicapping this award is trying to determine whether the voters will appearance. Harper’s odds just happen to be identical to the 6-1 number hold that against him. Based on the odds, the bookmakers don’t think that Jose Abreu for AL MVP stood at this time last year. will happen.

That still doesn’t mean Cole has secured the award. In fact, the Ray AL ROY candidacy is gaining steam in the media. A Google News search of “Robbie Ray Cy Young” generated 483 results over the last week, compared with Don’t be distracted by the -143 (DraftKings) next to Randy Arozarena’s 353 for “Gerrit Cole Cy Young.” name — this race is still wide open. A recent poll conducted by MLB.com had Texas outfielder Adolis Garcia (+350 DraftKings) as its favorite to win the The takeaway is that more people are starting to make a case in support award, while Baseball America countered with Houston’s Luis Garcia (+800 of Ray. His performance and the lingering integrity issues surrounding Cole DraftKings) as its top choice. create a scenario for an underdog winner. This is great news for those who nabbed Ray when his odds were north of 40-1. It is not, unfortunately, a sign Baltimore’s Ryan Mountcastle (+2000 DraftKings), Tampa Bay’s Wander that you should make a play on him now. The value is long gone, and Cole is Franco (+400 DraftKings) and Chicago’s Andrew Vaughn (+2000 still in command. DraftKings) are also deep in the mix.

Instead of making a play on Ray, use him as a lesson moving forward when Working in favor of the top three candidates: making awards futures. The market can change dramatically over a long • Arozarena had success last year in the playoffs and is playing for a first- season. Those holding deGrom MVP tickets can attest to that. place team. • Adolis Garcia is hot of late and leads all rookies in home runs and RBIs. Never stop scouring the board for value, even when you hear experts in June • Luis Garcia has excelled in the WAR category and other peripheral or July declare someone is already the winner. statistics.

Even with basically just two viable choices, hedging for those on either side Working against the top three candidates are Arozarena’s slow start, Adolis isn’t really an option. Those with long-odds Ray tickets must play it out and Garcia’s playing for a last-place team and Luis Garcia’s late addition to the hope for the best because of the heavy juice for Cole. And since Cole was conversation. the favorite for most of the season, except for Lance Lynn’s brief stay at the top of the board, his short odds don’t accommodate hedging. As for Google News mentions over the last week, Adolis Garcia leads with 421, Arozarena has 301 and Luis Garcia has 134.

NL MVP I think the books might have made a mistake with Arozarena as the favorite. It should be Adolis Garcia, and that +350 is worthy of a play. Garcia should This award has not suffered from a shortage of viable candidates. At various benefit from being a daily fixture in the Texas lineup and an impressive body times, Mookie Betts, Juan Soto, Ronald Acuna Jr., Fernando Tatis Jr. and of work for the entire season. deGrom reached favorite status. Then add Bryce Harper, Max Muncy, Freddie Freeman, Trea Turner, Austin Riley and Joey Votto, who also became Arozarena may lose some votes to teammate Franco. popular options along the way. Luis Garcia is making a late surge for this award, as numerous news articles After all the shifting and movements, Tatis (-300 DraftKings) has settled in as can attest. But he needs to leapfrog three other candidates and has only the heavy favorite. He obviously can’t be played at this price. about four more starts to do it. The Astros are also limiting his pitch count, as he has reached seven innings only once this season. A case could easily be made for 11 players to win this award, including Buster Posey at +1000 DraftKings. But once again, your criteria isn’t what If you have only enough room for one Garcia for AL Rookie of the Year bet, determines the winner — the voting media members have that sole power. make it Adolis.

76 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS MLB TEAM REPORT AL EAST AL CENTRAL AL WEST

BALTIMORE CHI WHITE SOX HOUSTON Manager: HYDE BRANDON Manager: LARUSSA TONY Manager: BAKER DUSTY Overall: 43-93 (-2565 $ units), Ov-Un: 68-63, RF/RA: 4.1 - 5.8 Overall: 79-58 (-156 $ units), Ov-Un: 63-67, RF/RA: 5.0 - 4.0 Overall: 80-57 (-454 $ units), Ov-Un: 72-60, RF/RA: 5.3 - 4.0 at Home: 19-45 (-2171 $ units), Ov-Un: 36-26, RF/RA: 4.5 - 6.3 at Home: 45-24 (389 $ units), Ov-Un: 29-36, RF/RA: 5.1 - 3.7 at Home: 42-25 (-298 $ units), Ov-Un: 37-29, RF/RA: 5.3 - 3.9 on Road: 24-48 (-394 $ units), Ov-Un: 32-37, RF/RA: 3.8 - 5.4 on Road: 33-34 (-645 $ units), Ov-Un: 33-31, RF/RA: 4.9 - 4.3 on Road: 38-32 (-156 $ units), Ov-Un: 35-31, RF/RA: 5.2 - 4.1 Division: 16-44 (-1235 $ units), Ov-Un: 32-25, RF/RA: 3.9 - 6.7 Division: 38-27 (-378 $ units), Ov-Un: 31-33, RF/RA: 5.2 - 3.8 Division: 38-19 (934 $ units), Ov-Un: 33-22, RF/RA: 5.7 - 3.6 League: 37-82 (-2112 $ units), Ov-Un: 60-54, RF/RA: 4.1 - 5.9 League: 67-52 (-420 $ units), Ov-Un: 56-58, RF/RA: 5.0 - 4.1 League: 73-47 (-206 $ units), Ov-Un: 64-52, RF/RA: 5.4 - 3.8 Interleague: 6-11 (-453 $ units), Ov-Un: 8-9, RF/RA: 4.1 - 5.3 Interleague: 12-6 (264 $ units), Ov-Un: 7-9, RF/RA: 5.3 - 3.7 Interleague: 7-10 (-248 $ units), Ov-Un: 8-8, RF/RA: 4.5 - 5.4 Day: 14-39 (-1839 $ units), Ov-Un: 28-21, RF/RA: 4.4 - 5.6 Day: 28-24 (-639 $ units), Ov-Un: 22-28, RF/RA: 4.3 - 4.1 Day: 22-23 (-1010 $ units), Ov-Un: 23-20, RF/RA: 5.1 - 4.0 Night: 29-54 (-726 $ units), Ov-Un: 40-42, RF/RA: 3.9 - 6.0 Night: 51-34 (483 $ units), Ov-Un: 41-39, RF/RA: 5.4 - 4.0 Night: 58-34 (556 $ units), Ov-Un: 49-40, RF/RA: 5.3 - 4.0 vs. RH: 26-56 (-1655 $ units), Ov-Un: 43-36, RF/RA: 4.2 - 5.9 vs. RH: 56-44 (-400 $ units), Ov-Un: 47-47, RF/RA: 4.8 - 4.1 vs. RH: 49-33 (-163 $ units), Ov-Un: 42-37, RF/RA: 5.3 - 4.0 vs. LH: 17-37 (-910 $ units), Ov-Un: 25-27, RF/RA: 4.0 - 5.7 vs. LH: 23-14 (244 $ units), Ov-Un: 16-20, RF/RA: 5.7 - 3.8 vs. LH: 31-24 (-291 $ units), Ov-Un: 30-23, RF/RA: 5.2 - 4.0 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.2 - 1.5 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.2 - 1.2 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.3 - 1.2 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.24 - 0.269 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.254 - 0.227 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.267 - 0.227 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.304 - 0.343 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.334 - 0.296 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.338 - 0.304 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.707 - 0.807 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.755 - 0.682 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.777 - 0.684 Bullpen ERA - WHIP: 5.38 - 1.426 Bullpen ERA - WHIP: 4.14 - 1.258 Bullpen ERA - WHIP: 4.08 - 1.305

BOSTON CLEVELAND LA ANGELS Manager: CORA ALEX Manager: HALE DEMARLO Manager: MADDON JOE Overall: 79-61 (888 $ units), Ov-Un: 64-71, RF/RA: 5.1 - 4.7 Overall: 68-67 (309 $ units), Ov-Un: 70-59, RF/RA: 4.5 - 4.5 Overall: 68-70 (-262 $ units), Ov-Un: 75-62, RF/RA: 4.5 - 5.0 at Home: 43-28 (349 $ units), Ov-Un: 35-33, RF/RA: 5.8 - 5.0 at Home: 34-31 (31 $ units), Ov-Un: 33-28, RF/RA: 4.6 - 4.6 at Home: 37-34 (71 $ units), Ov-Un: 43-27, RF/RA: 4.8 - 4.9 on Road: 36-33 (539 $ units), Ov-Un: 29-38, RF/RA: 4.3 - 4.3 on Road: 33-36 (178 $ units), Ov-Un: 37-30, RF/RA: 4.4 - 4.6 on Road: 31-35 (-233 $ units), Ov-Un: 32-34, RF/RA: 4.2 - 5.2 Division: 36-29 (653 $ units), Ov-Un: 31-33, RF/RA: 5.0 - 4.8 Division: 35-23 (1143 $ units), Ov-Un: 31-24, RF/RA: 4.8 - 4.1 Division: 23-34 (-1476 $ units), Ov-Un: 27-30, RF/RA: 3.8 - 4.8 League: 68-57 (93 $ units), Ov-Un: 57-64, RF/RA: 5.0 - 4.7 League: 59-59 (178 $ units), Ov-Un: 61-51, RF/RA: 4.5 - 4.6 League: 58-62 (-674 $ units), Ov-Un: 63-56, RF/RA: 4.4 - 4.9 Interleague: 11-4 (795 $ units), Ov-Un: 7-7, RF/RA: 5.3 - 4.3 Interleague: 9-8 (131 $ units), Ov-Un: 9-8, RF/RA: 4.4 - 3.9 Interleague: 10-8 (412 $ units), Ov-Un: 12-6, RF/RA: 5.2 - 5.4 Day: 24-27 (-994 $ units), Ov-Un: 25-25, RF/RA: 5.1 - 5.0 Day: 26-22 (525 $ units), Ov-Un: 24-23, RF/RA: 4.3 - 4.3 Day: 20-21 (-22 $ units), Ov-Un: 22-18, RF/RA: 4.0 - 5.4 Night: 55-34 (1882 $ units), Ov-Un: 39-46, RF/RA: 5.0 - 4.5 Night: 42-45 (-216 $ units), Ov-Un: 46-36, RF/RA: 4.6 - 4.7 Night: 48-49 (-240 $ units), Ov-Un: 53-44, RF/RA: 4.7 - 4.8 vs. RH: 52-35 (999 $ units), Ov-Un: 39-46, RF/RA: 5.2 - 4.4 vs. RH: 42-40 (378 $ units), Ov-Un: 38-42, RF/RA: 4.2 - 4.3 vs. RH: 44-49 (-680 $ units), Ov-Un: 47-46, RF/RA: 4.2 - 4.8 vs. LH: 27-26 (-111 $ units), Ov-Un: 25-25, RF/RA: 4.9 - 5.2 vs. LH: 26-27 (-69 $ units), Ov-Un: 32-17, RF/RA: 4.9 - 4.9 vs. LH: 24-21 (418 $ units), Ov-Un: 28-16, RF/RA: 5.0 - 5.4 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.3 - 1.1 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.3 - 1.3 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.2 - 1.2 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.26 - 0.26 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.239 - 0.238 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.248 - 0.25 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.328 - 0.334 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.306 - 0.315 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.31 - 0.328 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.774 - 0.754 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.718 - 0.728 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.723 - 0.741 Bullpen ERA - WHIP: 4.06 - 1.404 Bullpen ERA - WHIP: 3.7 - 1.314 Bullpen ERA - WHIP: 4.6 - 1.405

NY YANKEES DETROIT OAKLAND Manager: BOONE AARON Manager: HINCH AJ Manager: MELVIN BOB Overall: 78-59 (-1079 $ units), Ov-Un: 59-75, RF/RA: 4.3 - 4.0 Overall: 65-74 (1659 $ units), Ov-Un: 62-72, RF/RA: 4.4 - 4.8 Overall: 74-63 (98 $ units), Ov-Un: 65-70, RF/RA: 4.5 - 4.1 at Home: 40-28 (-815 $ units), Ov-Un: 30-36, RF/RA: 4.5 - 3.8 at Home: 35-35 (801 $ units), Ov-Un: 28-41, RF/RA: 4.1 - 4.4 at Home: 37-31 (-193 $ units), Ov-Un: 34-34, RF/RA: 4.1 - 4.1 on Road: 38-30 (-164 $ units), Ov-Un: 28-39, RF/RA: 4.2 - 4.1 on Road: 30-39 (858 $ units), Ov-Un: 34-31, RF/RA: 4.6 - 5.3 on Road: 37-32 (291 $ units), Ov-Un: 31-36, RF/RA: 4.9 - 4.1 Division: 28-33 (-2202 $ units), Ov-Un: 24-36, RF/RA: 3.8 - 4.2 Division: 25-39 (-434 $ units), Ov-Un: 31-31, RF/RA: 4.1 - 5.4 Division: 29-28 (-645 $ units), Ov-Un: 29-28, RF/RA: 4.6 - 4.1 League: 67-53 (-1379 $ units), Ov-Un: 53-65, RF/RA: 4.4 - 4.0 League: 57-66 (1348 $ units), Ov-Un: 55-63, RF/RA: 4.3 - 4.9 League: 63-54 (-154 $ units), Ov-Un: 55-60, RF/RA: 4.5 - 4.1 Interleague: 11-6 (300 $ units), Ov-Un: 6-10, RF/RA: 3.9 - 4.4 Interleague: 8-8 (311 $ units), Ov-Un: 7-9, RF/RA: 4.9 - 4.1 Interleague: 11-9 (252 $ units), Ov-Un: 10-10, RF/RA: 4.5 - 4.2 Day: 20-31 (-2682 $ units), Ov-Un: 18-32, RF/RA: 3.5 - 4.6 Day: 27-35 (235 $ units), Ov-Un: 21-38, RF/RA: 4.1 - 4.7 Day: 33-27 (183 $ units), Ov-Un: 34-25, RF/RA: 4.9 - 4.2 Night: 58-28 (1603 $ units), Ov-Un: 41-43, RF/RA: 4.8 - 3.7 Night: 38-39 (1424 $ units), Ov-Un: 41-34, RF/RA: 4.6 - 4.9 Night: 41-36 (-85 $ units), Ov-Un: 31-45, RF/RA: 4.3 - 4.1 vs. RH: 52-37 (-442 $ units), Ov-Un: 37-49, RF/RA: 4.3 - 3.9 vs. RH: 40-53 (419 $ units), Ov-Un: 47-43, RF/RA: 4.3 - 5.1 vs. RH: 43-43 (-600 $ units), Ov-Un: 46-38, RF/RA: 4.5 - 4.4 vs. LH: 26-22 (-637 $ units), Ov-Un: 22-26, RF/RA: 4.4 - 4.2 vs. LH: 25-21 (1240 $ units), Ov-Un: 15-29, RF/RA: 4.6 - 4.3 vs. LH: 31-20 (698 $ units), Ov-Un: 19-32, RF/RA: 4.5 - 3.7 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.3 - 1.2 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.1 - 1.3 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.3 - 1.2 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.236 - 0.226 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.242 - 0.253 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.236 - 0.243 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.324 - 0.294 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.307 - 0.33 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.315 - 0.305 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.722 - 0.673 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.71 - 0.754 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.724 - 0.699 Bullpen ERA - WHIP: 3.64 - 1.199 Bullpen ERA - WHIP: 4.65 - 1.469 Bullpen ERA - WHIP: 3.93 - 1.247

TAMPA BAY KANSAS CITY SEATTLE Manager: CASH KEVIN Manager: MATHENY MIKE Manager: SERVAIS SCOTT Overall: 87-51 (2662 $ units), Ov-Un: 76-57, RF/RA: 5.4 - 4.1 Overall: 62-75 (-111 $ units), Ov-Un: 58-70, RF/RA: 4.2 - 4.8 Overall: 75-63 (2761 $ units), Ov-Un: 68-66, RF/RA: 4.2 - 4.6 at Home: 45-26 (894 $ units), Ov-Un: 35-33, RF/RA: 5.0 - 3.3 at Home: 34-35 (0 $ units), Ov-Un: 32-34, RF/RA: 4.6 - 5.0 at Home: 40-29 (1305 $ units), Ov-Un: 29-38, RF/RA: 4.0 - 4.1 on Road: 42-25 (1768 $ units), Ov-Un: 41-24, RF/RA: 5.8 - 5.0 on Road: 28-40 (-111 $ units), Ov-Un: 26-36, RF/RA: 3.8 - 4.7 on Road: 35-34 (1456 $ units), Ov-Un: 39-28, RF/RA: 4.5 - 5.2 Division: 45-20 (2510 $ units), Ov-Un: 37-26, RF/RA: 6.0 - 4.0 Division: 27-33 (-335 $ units), Ov-Un: 25-33, RF/RA: 4.3 - 4.6 Division: 36-25 (1592 $ units), Ov-Un: 30-30, RF/RA: 4.2 - 4.6 League: 75-46 (1989 $ units), Ov-Un: 64-52, RF/RA: 5.4 - 4.0 League: 50-67 (-788 $ units), Ov-Un: 50-59, RF/RA: 4.1 - 4.9 League: 67-54 (2722 $ units), Ov-Un: 59-59, RF/RA: 4.3 - 4.5 Interleague: 12-5 (673 $ units), Ov-Un: 12-5, RF/RA: 5.3 - 4.9 Interleague: 12-8 (677 $ units), Ov-Un: 8-11, RF/RA: 4.6 - 4.2 Interleague: 8-9 (39 $ units), Ov-Un: 9-7, RF/RA: 4.0 - 5.4 Day: 38-15 (2334 $ units), Ov-Un: 30-19, RF/RA: 6.1 - 3.7 Day: 27-30 (-66 $ units), Ov-Un: 17-33, RF/RA: 3.9 - 4.4 Day: 30-20 (1927 $ units), Ov-Un: 20-28, RF/RA: 4.0 - 4.2 Night: 49-36 (328 $ units), Ov-Un: 46-38, RF/RA: 5.0 - 4.4 Night: 35-45 (-45 $ units), Ov-Un: 41-37, RF/RA: 4.4 - 5.1 Night: 45-43 (834 $ units), Ov-Un: 48-38, RF/RA: 4.4 - 4.9 vs. RH: 55-28 (2134 $ units), Ov-Un: 51-28, RF/RA: 5.9 - 4.2 vs. RH: 38-55 (-1000 $ units), Ov-Un: 42-43, RF/RA: 4.3 - 5.2 vs. RH: 46-39 (1675 $ units), Ov-Un: 45-39, RF/RA: 4.1 - 5.0 vs. LH: 32-23 (528 $ units), Ov-Un: 25-29, RF/RA: 4.6 - 3.9 vs. LH: 24-20 (889 $ units), Ov-Un: 16-27, RF/RA: 4.0 - 4.1 vs. LH: 29-24 (1086 $ units), Ov-Un: 23-27, RF/RA: 4.4 - 4.1 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.4 - 1.1 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1 - 1.2 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.2 - 1.2 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.241 - 0.235 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.244 - 0.253 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.223 - 0.249 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.32 - 0.298 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.302 - 0.332 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.301 - 0.316 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.745 - 0.688 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.69 - 0.748 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.681 - 0.733 Bullpen ERA - WHIP: 3.06 - 1.132 Bullpen ERA - WHIP: 4.34 - 1.317 Bullpen ERA - WHIP: 3.82 - 1.221

TORONTO MINNESOTA TEXAS Manager: MONTOYO CHARLIE Manager: BALDELLI ROCCO Manager: WOODWARD CHRIS Overall: 74-62 (-698 $ units), Ov-Un: 59-72, RF/RA: 5.1 - 4.1 Overall: 60-77 (-2589 $ units), Ov-Un: 78-53, RF/RA: 4.5 - 5.3 Overall: 49-88 (-2025 $ units), Ov-Un: 66-64, RF/RA: 3.9 - 4.9 at Home: 39-30 (-697 $ units), Ov-Un: 33-33, RF/RA: 5.5 - 4.5 at Home: 32-36 (-1461 $ units), Ov-Un: 35-31, RF/RA: 4.6 - 5.1 at Home: 31-37 (53 $ units), Ov-Un: 29-35, RF/RA: 4.1 - 4.5 on Road: 35-32 (-1 $ units), Ov-Un: 26-39, RF/RA: 4.7 - 3.7 on Road: 28-41 (-1128 $ units), Ov-Un: 43-22, RF/RA: 4.5 - 5.5 on Road: 18-51 (-2078 $ units), Ov-Un: 37-29, RF/RA: 3.7 - 5.3 Division: 29-28 (-514 $ units), Ov-Un: 24-32, RF/RA: 5.1 - 4.1 Division: 29-32 (-688 $ units), Ov-Un: 36-21, RF/RA: 5.0 - 5.5 Division: 23-43 (-1090 $ units), Ov-Un: 35-30, RF/RA: 4.0 - 4.9 League: 60-56 (-1341 $ units), Ov-Un: 49-62, RF/RA: 5.0 - 4.1 League: 52-67 (-2165 $ units), Ov-Un: 69-45, RF/RA: 4.6 - 5.5 League: 44-75 (-1377 $ units), Ov-Un: 59-54, RF/RA: 3.9 - 4.9 Interleague: 14-6 (643 $ units), Ov-Un: 10-10, RF/RA: 5.5 - 4.3 Interleague: 8-10 (-424 $ units), Ov-Un: 9-8, RF/RA: 3.9 - 4.2 Interleague: 5-13 (-648 $ units), Ov-Un: 7-10, RF/RA: 3.4 - 5.1 Day: 34-17 (1118 $ units), Ov-Un: 18-33, RF/RA: 5.3 - 3.6 Day: 28-34 (-1097 $ units), Ov-Un: 34-26, RF/RA: 4.7 - 5.3 Day: 17-32 (-918 $ units), Ov-Un: 21-23, RF/RA: 3.9 - 5.0 Night: 40-45 (-1816 $ units), Ov-Un: 41-39, RF/RA: 5.0 - 4.4 Night: 32-43 (-1492 $ units), Ov-Un: 44-27, RF/RA: 4.4 - 5.4 Night: 32-56 (-1107 $ units), Ov-Un: 45-41, RF/RA: 3.9 - 4.9 vs. RH: 56-42 (308 $ units), Ov-Un: 46-48, RF/RA: 5.0 - 4.0 vs. RH: 45-46 (-404 $ units), Ov-Un: 52-34, RF/RA: 4.9 - 5.2 vs. RH: 26-57 (-2300 $ units), Ov-Un: 39-37, RF/RA: 3.9 - 4.9 vs. LH: 18-20 (-1006 $ units), Ov-Un: 13-24, RF/RA: 5.2 - 4.3 vs. LH: 15-31 (-2185 $ units), Ov-Un: 26-19, RF/RA: 3.9 - 5.6 vs. LH: 23-31 (275 $ units), Ov-Un: 27-27, RF/RA: 3.8 - 4.9 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.5 - 1.2 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.4 - 1.5 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.1 - 1.5 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.264 - 0.236 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.242 - 0.256 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.23 - 0.256 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.328 - 0.305 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.317 - 0.32 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.294 - 0.323 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.785 - 0.706 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.739 - 0.776 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.671 - 0.758 Bullpen ERA - WHIP: 4.05 - 1.283 Bullpen ERA - WHIP: 4.6 - 1.324 Bullpen ERA - WHIP: 4.24 - 1.361 77 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS MLB TEAM REPORT NL EAST NL CENTRAL NL WEST

ATLANTA CHICAGO CUBS ARIZONA Manager: SNITKER BRIAN Manager: ROSS DAVID Manager: LOVULLO TOREY Overall: 72-64 (-527 $ units), Ov-Un: 64-65, RF/RA: 4.9 - 4.2 Overall: 64-75 (-521 $ units), Ov-Un: 63-69, RF/RA: 4.3 - 5.0 Overall: 45-93 (-3263 $ units), Ov-Un: 74-59, RF/RA: 4.2 - 5.6 at Home: 33-32 (-1049 $ units), Ov-Un: 35-24, RF/RA: 5.1 - 4.6 at Home: 38-32 (344 $ units), Ov-Un: 36-30, RF/RA: 4.7 - 5.0 at Home: 28-41 (-661 $ units), Ov-Un: 40-26, RF/RA: 4.6 - 5.5 on Road: 39-32 (522 $ units), Ov-Un: 29-41, RF/RA: 4.6 - 3.8 on Road: 26-43 (-865 $ units), Ov-Un: 27-39, RF/RA: 3.9 - 5.0 on Road: 17-52 (-2602 $ units), Ov-Un: 34-33, RF/RA: 3.8 - 5.7 Division: 36-28 (100 $ units), Ov-Un: 31-30, RF/RA: 4.9 - 3.9 Division: 29-32 (-314 $ units), Ov-Un: 27-31, RF/RA: 4.1 - 4.9 Division: 19-45 (-1582 $ units), Ov-Un: 35-26, RF/RA: 4.1 - 6.2 League: 66-50 (502 $ units), Ov-Un: 55-55, RF/RA: 5.0 - 4.0 League: 58-63 (-67 $ units), Ov-Un: 57-57, RF/RA: 4.4 - 5.0 League: 44-82 (-2268 $ units), Ov-Un: 65-56, RF/RA: 4.2 - 5.5 Interleague: 6-14 (-1029 $ units), Ov-Un: 9-10, RF/RA: 4.3 - 5.3 Interleague: 6-12 (-454 $ units), Ov-Un: 6-12, RF/RA: 3.8 - 5.2 Interleague: 1-11 (-995 $ units), Ov-Un: 9-3, RF/RA: 4.0 - 6.7 Day: 20-20 (-274 $ units), Ov-Un: 17-21, RF/RA: 4.3 - 4.1 Day: 30-33 (-244 $ units), Ov-Un: 24-35, RF/RA: 4.4 - 4.7 Day: 14-30 (-1134 $ units), Ov-Un: 26-16, RF/RA: 4.5 - 5.4 Night: 52-44 (-253 $ units), Ov-Un: 47-44, RF/RA: 5.1 - 4.2 Night: 34-42 (-277 $ units), Ov-Un: 39-34, RF/RA: 4.3 - 5.3 Night: 31-63 (-2129 $ units), Ov-Un: 48-43, RF/RA: 4.1 - 5.7 vs. RH: 50-49 (-868 $ units), Ov-Un: 42-51, RF/RA: 4.5 - 4.2 vs. RH: 45-55 (-360 $ units), Ov-Un: 43-52, RF/RA: 4.0 - 4.9 vs. RH: 35-64 (-1804 $ units), Ov-Un: 51-45, RF/RA: 4.3 - 5.4 vs. LH: 22-15 (341 $ units), Ov-Un: 22-14, RF/RA: 5.9 - 4.1 vs. LH: 19-20 (-161 $ units), Ov-Un: 20-17, RF/RA: 5.2 - 5.4 vs. LH: 10-29 (-1459 $ units), Ov-Un: 23-14, RF/RA: 4.0 - 6.0 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.5 - 1.2 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.3 - 1.4 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 0.9 - 1.4 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.242 - 0.239 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.233 - 0.25 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.236 - 0.268 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.32 - 0.312 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.307 - 0.333 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.311 - 0.341 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.751 - 0.707 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.709 - 0.767 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.693 - 0.808 Bullpen ERA - WHIP: 4.2 - 1.349 Bullpen ERA - WHIP: 4.11 - 1.283 Bullpen ERA - WHIP: 5.3 - 1.541

MIAMI CINCINNATI COLORADO Manager: MATTINGLY DON Manager: BELL DAVID Manager: BLACK BUD Overall: 57-80 (-1298 $ units), Ov-Un: 60-68, RF/RA: 4.0 - 4.2 Overall: 73-66 (-5 $ units), Ov-Un: 70-62, RF/RA: 5.0 - 4.7 Overall: 63-75 (189 $ units), Ov-Un: 60-75, RF/RA: 4.6 - 4.9 at Home: 36-33 (591 $ units), Ov-Un: 28-37, RF/RA: 4.1 - 3.7 at Home: 38-33 (-697 $ units), Ov-Un: 39-30, RF/RA: 5.5 - 5.2 at Home: 45-25 (2492 $ units), Ov-Un: 31-38, RF/RA: 5.8 - 4.9 on Road: 21-47 (-1889 $ units), Ov-Un: 32-31, RF/RA: 3.8 - 4.7 on Road: 35-33 (692 $ units), Ov-Un: 31-32, RF/RA: 4.4 - 4.2 on Road: 18-50 (-2303 $ units), Ov-Un: 29-37, RF/RA: 3.3 - 4.9 Division: 26-31 (132 $ units), Ov-Un: 26-27, RF/RA: 4.1 - 4.3 Division: 37-25 (821 $ units), Ov-Un: 32-27, RF/RA: 5.3 - 4.1 Division: 29-36 (665 $ units), Ov-Un: 29-36, RF/RA: 4.3 - 5.0 League: 54-66 (-161 $ units), Ov-Un: 54-58, RF/RA: 4.1 - 4.2 League: 64-57 (309 $ units), Ov-Un: 59-55, RF/RA: 5.0 - 4.6 League: 53-65 (282 $ units), Ov-Un: 54-61, RF/RA: 4.5 - 5.0 Interleague: 3-14 (-1137 $ units), Ov-Un: 6-10, RF/RA: 3.3 - 4.2 Interleague: 9-9 (-314 $ units), Ov-Un: 11-7, RF/RA: 4.5 - 5.4 Interleague: 10-10 (-93 $ units), Ov-Un: 6-14, RF/RA: 4.8 - 4.3 Day: 17-26 (-617 $ units), Ov-Un: 13-27, RF/RA: 3.4 - 3.4 Day: 28-27 (-557 $ units), Ov-Un: 24-30, RF/RA: 4.3 - 4.7 Day: 24-31 (-339 $ units), Ov-Un: 23-30, RF/RA: 4.2 - 4.8 Night: 40-54 (-681 $ units), Ov-Un: 47-41, RF/RA: 4.2 - 4.6 Night: 45-39 (552 $ units), Ov-Un: 46-32, RF/RA: 5.4 - 4.7 Night: 39-44 (528 $ units), Ov-Un: 37-45, RF/RA: 4.8 - 4.9 vs. RH: 42-54 (-222 $ units), Ov-Un: 43-47, RF/RA: 4.1 - 4.1 vs. RH: 55-51 (84 $ units), Ov-Un: 53-48, RF/RA: 4.9 - 4.9 vs. RH: 39-59 (-1340 $ units), Ov-Un: 40-56, RF/RA: 4.3 - 4.9 vs. LH: 15-26 (-1076 $ units), Ov-Un: 17-21, RF/RA: 3.6 - 4.5 vs. LH: 18-15 (-89 $ units), Ov-Un: 17-14, RF/RA: 5.1 - 4.2 vs. LH: 24-16 (1529 $ units), Ov-Un: 20-19, RF/RA: 5.2 - 4.8 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1 - 1 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.4 - 1.3 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.1 - 1.2 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.235 - 0.238 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.25 - 0.244 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.247 - 0.257 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.302 - 0.314 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.33 - 0.328 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.315 - 0.33 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.676 - 0.71 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.761 - 0.746 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.728 - 0.766 Bullpen ERA - WHIP: 3.68 - 1.232 Bullpen ERA - WHIP: 5.17 - 1.431 Bullpen ERA - WHIP: 5.07 - 1.445

NY METS MILWAUKEE LA DODGERS Manager: ROJAS LUIS Manager: COUNSELL CRAIG Manager: ROBERTS DAVE Overall: 69-69 (-1145 $ units), Ov-Un: 59-72, RF/RA: 3.9 - 4.0 Overall: 84-55 (1273 $ units), Ov-Un: 63-66, RF/RA: 4.6 - 3.8 Overall: 87-51 (42 $ units), Ov-Un: 57-71, RF/RA: 5.1 - 3.5 at Home: 41-27 (389 $ units), Ov-Un: 23-40, RF/RA: 3.5 - 3.3 at Home: 38-31 (-512 $ units), Ov-Un: 32-32, RF/RA: 4.2 - 4.3 at Home: 46-23 (124 $ units), Ov-Un: 26-38, RF/RA: 4.8 - 3.3 on Road: 28-42 (-1534 $ units), Ov-Un: 36-32, RF/RA: 4.3 - 4.7 on Road: 46-24 (1785 $ units), Ov-Un: 31-34, RF/RA: 4.9 - 3.3 on Road: 41-28 (-82 $ units), Ov-Un: 31-33, RF/RA: 5.3 - 3.6 Division: 33-30 (-282 $ units), Ov-Un: 27-32, RF/RA: 3.8 - 3.9 Division: 44-22 (1284 $ units), Ov-Un: 30-31, RF/RA: 5.3 - 3.6 Division: 37-24 (-355 $ units), Ov-Un: 28-31, RF/RA: 5.1 - 3.7 League: 62-61 (-933 $ units), Ov-Un: 51-65, RF/RA: 3.8 - 3.9 League: 79-45 (2276 $ units), Ov-Un: 59-59, RF/RA: 4.7 - 3.8 League: 75-43 (341 $ units), Ov-Un: 48-62, RF/RA: 5.0 - 3.4 Interleague: 7-8 (-212 $ units), Ov-Un: 8-7, RF/RA: 4.5 - 4.3 Interleague: 5-10 (-1003 $ units), Ov-Un: 4-7, RF/RA: 3.4 - 4.1 Interleague: 12-8 (-299 $ units), Ov-Un: 9-9, RF/RA: 5.2 - 4.0 Day: 30-20 (616 $ units), Ov-Un: 23-25, RF/RA: 4.2 - 3.9 Day: 38-19 (1471 $ units), Ov-Un: 27-29, RF/RA: 4.8 - 4.0 Day: 21-16 (-502 $ units), Ov-Un: 15-18, RF/RA: 4.8 - 3.6 Night: 39-49 (-1761 $ units), Ov-Un: 36-47, RF/RA: 3.7 - 4.1 Night: 46-36 (-198 $ units), Ov-Un: 36-37, RF/RA: 4.4 - 3.6 Night: 66-35 (544 $ units), Ov-Un: 42-53, RF/RA: 5.2 - 3.4 vs. RH: 53-41 (444 $ units), Ov-Un: 43-47, RF/RA: 4.3 - 3.8 vs. RH: 66-40 (1618 $ units), Ov-Un: 49-51, RF/RA: 5.0 - 3.7 vs. RH: 61-37 (-133 $ units), Ov-Un: 43-47, RF/RA: 5.2 - 3.5 vs. LH: 16-28 (-1589 $ units), Ov-Un: 16-25, RF/RA: 3.0 - 4.4 vs. LH: 18-15 (-345 $ units), Ov-Un: 14-15, RF/RA: 3.3 - 4.0 vs. LH: 26-14 (175 $ units), Ov-Un: 14-24, RF/RA: 4.8 - 3.3 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.1 - 1.1 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.2 - 1 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.4 - 1 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.24 - 0.233 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.235 - 0.219 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.241 - 0.208 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.316 - 0.304 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.319 - 0.3 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.329 - 0.282 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.705 - 0.697 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.717 - 0.657 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.748 - 0.626 Bullpen ERA - WHIP: 3.9 - 1.302 Bullpen ERA - WHIP: 3.93 - 1.322 Bullpen ERA - WHIP: 3.21 - 1.208

PHILADELPHIA PITTSBURGH SAN DIEGO Manager: GIRARDI JOE Manager: SHELTON DEREK Manager: TINGLER JAYCE Overall: 71-66 (66 $ units), Ov-Un: 68-65, RF/RA: 4.6 - 4.6 Overall: 49-89 (-1564 $ units), Ov-Un: 66-63, RF/RA: 3.7 - 5.2 Overall: 73-64 (-2478 $ units), Ov-Un: 69-62, RF/RA: 4.6 - 4.1 at Home: 39-28 (681 $ units), Ov-Un: 31-34, RF/RA: 4.4 - 4.4 at Home: 29-38 (81 $ units), Ov-Un: 34-30, RF/RA: 4.0 - 4.9 at Home: 43-30 (-606 $ units), Ov-Un: 36-33, RF/RA: 4.4 - 3.8 on Road: 32-38 (-615 $ units), Ov-Un: 37-31, RF/RA: 4.9 - 4.8 on Road: 20-51 (-1645 $ units), Ov-Un: 32-33, RF/RA: 3.3 - 5.4 on Road: 30-34 (-1872 $ units), Ov-Un: 33-29, RF/RA: 4.9 - 4.3 Division: 38-29 (707 $ units), Ov-Un: 32-34, RF/RA: 4.4 - 4.4 Division: 17-47 (-2030 $ units), Ov-Un: 32-26, RF/RA: 3.5 - 5.7 Division: 30-30 (-1791 $ units), Ov-Un: 28-30, RF/RA: 4.2 - 4.0 League: 65-55 (579 $ units), Ov-Un: 57-59, RF/RA: 4.6 - 4.6 League: 40-80 (-1809 $ units), Ov-Un: 56-55, RF/RA: 3.6 - 5.3 League: 60-59 (-3279 $ units), Ov-Un: 56-58, RF/RA: 4.4 - 4.1 Interleague: 6-11 (-513 $ units), Ov-Un: 11-6, RF/RA: 4.7 - 5.2 Interleague: 9-9 (245 $ units), Ov-Un: 10-8, RF/RA: 4.2 - 4.3 Interleague: 13-5 (801 $ units), Ov-Un: 13-4, RF/RA: 6.4 - 3.9 Day: 33-17 (1684 $ units), Ov-Un: 27-20, RF/RA: 5.2 - 4.3 Day: 19-38 (-1096 $ units), Ov-Un: 24-29, RF/RA: 3.6 - 4.7 Day: 21-22 (-1280 $ units), Ov-Un: 26-16, RF/RA: 4.5 - 4.5 Night: 38-49 (-1618 $ units), Ov-Un: 41-45, RF/RA: 4.3 - 4.8 Night: 30-51 (-468 $ units), Ov-Un: 42-34, RF/RA: 3.7 - 5.5 Night: 52-42 (-1198 $ units), Ov-Un: 43-46, RF/RA: 4.7 - 3.9 vs. RH: 51-42 (679 $ units), Ov-Un: 42-50, RF/RA: 4.7 - 4.1 vs. RH: 37-58 (-290 $ units), Ov-Un: 49-44, RF/RA: 3.9 - 5.1 vs. RH: 49-49 (-2421 $ units), Ov-Un: 49-43, RF/RA: 4.7 - 4.2 vs. LH: 20-24 (-613 $ units), Ov-Un: 26-15, RF/RA: 4.4 - 5.7 vs. LH: 12-31 (-1274 $ units), Ov-Un: 17-19, RF/RA: 3.2 - 5.4 vs. LH: 24-15 (-57 $ units), Ov-Un: 20-19, RF/RA: 4.5 - 3.7 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.2 - 1.3 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 0.8 - 1.3 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.2 - 1.2 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.241 - 0.244 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.234 - 0.258 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.242 - 0.234 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.319 - 0.316 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.304 - 0.339 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.324 - 0.308 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.731 - 0.732 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.667 - 0.783 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.729 - 0.706 Bullpen ERA - WHIP: 4.44 - 1.381 Bullpen ERA - WHIP: 4.6 - 1.384 Bullpen ERA - WHIP: 3.21 - 1.217

WASHINGTON ST LOUIS SAN FRANCISCO Manager: MARTINEZ DAVE Manager: SHILDT MIKE Manager: KAPLER GABE Overall: 57-80 (-1962 $ units), Ov-Un: 62-70, RF/RA: 4.4 - 5.0 Overall: 69-67 (-129 $ units), Ov-Un: 61-68, RF/RA: 4.2 - 4.3 Overall: 88-50 (3459 $ units), Ov-Un: 61-72, RF/RA: 4.8 - 3.7 at Home: 33-39 (-1017 $ units), Ov-Un: 32-37, RF/RA: 4.4 - 4.9 at Home: 35-31 (-317 $ units), Ov-Un: 25-36, RF/RA: 3.8 - 4.0 at Home: 45-23 (1474 $ units), Ov-Un: 33-34, RF/RA: 4.7 - 3.9 on Road: 24-41 (-945 $ units), Ov-Un: 30-33, RF/RA: 4.5 - 5.1 on Road: 34-36 (188 $ units), Ov-Un: 36-32, RF/RA: 4.5 - 4.6 on Road: 43-27 (1985 $ units), Ov-Un: 28-38, RF/RA: 4.8 - 3.5 Division: 26-41 (-1350 $ units), Ov-Un: 30-33, RF/RA: 4.3 - 5.0 Division: 29-30 (-389 $ units), Ov-Un: 29-25, RF/RA: 4.5 - 4.5 Division: 39-19 (2316 $ units), Ov-Un: 30-25, RF/RA: 5.3 - 3.9 League: 47-73 (-2488 $ units), Ov-Un: 53-62, RF/RA: 4.2 - 5.0 League: 58-58 (-194 $ units), Ov-Un: 52-57, RF/RA: 4.2 - 4.3 League: 75-43 (3021 $ units), Ov-Un: 52-61, RF/RA: 4.8 - 3.7 Interleague: 10-7 (526 $ units), Ov-Un: 9-8, RF/RA: 6.4 - 4.9 Interleague: 11-9 (65 $ units), Ov-Un: 9-11, RF/RA: 4.1 - 4.1 Interleague: 13-7 (438 $ units), Ov-Un: 9-11, RF/RA: 4.6 - 3.9 Day: 23-33 (-862 $ units), Ov-Un: 23-32, RF/RA: 4.3 - 4.6 Day: 26-22 (488 $ units), Ov-Un: 22-22, RF/RA: 4.1 - 4.1 Day: 34-15 (2039 $ units), Ov-Un: 21-26, RF/RA: 5.1 - 3.7 Night: 34-47 (-1100 $ units), Ov-Un: 39-38, RF/RA: 4.5 - 5.3 Night: 43-45 (-617 $ units), Ov-Un: 39-46, RF/RA: 4.2 - 4.4 Night: 54-35 (1420 $ units), Ov-Un: 40-46, RF/RA: 4.6 - 3.7 vs. RH: 41-54 (-1180 $ units), Ov-Un: 41-51, RF/RA: 4.3 - 4.9 vs. RH: 49-54 (-831 $ units), Ov-Un: 49-48, RF/RA: 4.2 - 4.6 vs. RH: 63-31 (3124 $ units), Ov-Un: 41-48, RF/RA: 4.9 - 3.6 vs. LH: 16-26 (-782 $ units), Ov-Un: 21-19, RF/RA: 4.7 - 5.3 vs. LH: 20-13 (702 $ units), Ov-Un: 12-20, RF/RA: 4.1 - 3.4 vs. LH: 25-19 (335 $ units), Ov-Un: 20-24, RF/RA: 4.4 - 4.0 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.1 - 1.5 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.1 - 0.9 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.5 - 1 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.258 - 0.253 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.24 - 0.235 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.244 - 0.224 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.334 - 0.325 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.312 - 0.326 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.323 - 0.288 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.751 - 0.764 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.71 - 0.7 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.758 - 0.651 Bullpen ERA - WHIP: 4.85 - 1.379 Bullpen ERA - WHIP: 4.2 - 1.354 Bullpen ERA - WHIP: 3.12 - 1.093 78 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS NOREN THE PICK AS GOLF SHIFTS FOCUS TO EUROPE BY WES REYNOLDS @WESREYNOLDS1

​Just one week after his twin brother won the typically played near the end of May but was The Swede put up his best performance of the European Masters in Switzerland, Nicolai moved to September in 2019 to avoid conflicting year when finishing fourth at the Rocket Mortgage Hojgaard of Denmark earned his first European with the PGA Championship. It is considered the Classic in July. A couple of missed cuts followed, Tour victory at the Italian Open by one stroke over European Tour’s flagship event. The winner gets but he has bounced back in his last three starts. Tommy Fleetwood and Adrian Meronk. Hojgaard, an exemption into the U.S. Open and the next His 16th at the Olympics was followed by top-10s 20, was the last man added to the Italian Open three British Opens. A who’s who of European in the first two FedEx Cup playoff events, finishing field with a wild-card entry from the Italian Golf players have won his event, including Nick Faldo fourth at the Northern Trust in New Jersey and Federation. (1978, ’80, ’81, ’89), Bernhard Langer (1987, then finishing ninth in his last start two weeks ago ’93, ’95), Colin Montgomerie (1998, ’99, 2000), at the BMW Championship. Now that the 2020-21 PGA Tour season and FedEx Seve Ballesteros (1983, ’91), Ian Woosnam Cup playoffs have concluded, the tour takes a (1988, ’97), Francesco Molinari (2018), Rory Noren won here in 2017 and has finished top-10 week off while the European Tour holds one of its McIlroy (2014) and Tony Jacklin (1972, ’82). here three times in the last six years. A victory flagship events at the BMW PGA Championship. would earn him enough points to make the Viktor Hovland (10-1) tied for fourth for the European team. low 72-hole market last weekend at the Tour THE COURSE Championship. He does not play on the European Christiaan Bezuidenhout (35-1) Tour very often, but his lone 2021 victory came in The West Course at Wentworth Club in Surrey, The South African finished third here on debut in June at the BMW International Open in Germany. England, is about 25 miles southwest of London 2019. He also should be highly encouraged by Hovland and several other likely European Ryder and has hosted the BMW PGA since 1984. The locking up his PGA Tour card at the Korn Ferry Cup team members are playing this event. After headquarters of the European Tour is on the Tour Championship last week. a win in the early part of the year at Abu Dhabi, grounds of the club. The course was designed in Tyrrell Hatton (16-1) has had a down second half 1926 by Harry Colt, with Ernie Els and European Bezuidenhout led last week’s field in scrambling of the year but is the defending champion of this Tour Design doing renovations in 2009 and ’16. and ranked third and fifth, respectively, on the event. Shane Lowry (18-1) holds the final spot Wentworth West is a par-72 of 7,302 yards. It is a European Tour last year for strokes gained putting on the world points list to select Team Europe for tree-lined track with tight fairways and some long and strokes gained around the green. the Ryder Cup at Whistling Straits at the end of rough. Bentgrass greens replaced Bent/Poa Annua the month. Matt Fitzpatrick and Fleetwood, both in the 2016 renovation. The greens also have many Bernd Wiesberger (40-1) 22-1, are likely to be qualified for captain Padraig shaved runoffs. The most recent renovations were Wiesberger gets one more chance to find his way Harrington’s team. made with the intent of getting back to the original onto the Ryder Cup team with a top-3 finish. Colt design by encouraging more shotmaking and Alex Noren (25-1) came up a couple of spots allowing more shots to roll onto the greens. Two weeks ago, Wiesberger hit his approach to the short two weeks ago to make the top 30 and 18th hole at the European Masters into the water, advance to the Tour Championship. The 2017 handing the title to Rasmus Hojgaard. He ranks sixth BMW PGA champion is among a handful of BMW PGA CHAMPIONSHIP on the European Tour for strokes gained: approach. players still with a chance to impress Harrington and make the Ryder Cup team. Billy Horschel RECENT HISTORY Victor Perez (55-1) (28-1) is the only American PGA Tour regular in Perez finished second last year at Wentworth. this event, which could make an impression on 2020: Tyrrell Hatton (-19/269); 16-1 U.S. captain Steve Stricker. Ian Poulter and Justin 2019: (-20/268); 66-1 He was second in strokes gained: approach last Rose, both at 33-1, will have to hope for captain’s 2018: Francesco Molinari (-17/271); 22-1 weekend in Italy and ranks fifth in the category for picks. Australian Adam Scott (33-1) failed to 2017: Alex Noren (-11/277); 20-1 the season on the European Tour. advance after the first round of the FedEx Cup 2016: Chris Wood (-9/279); 66-1 playoffs, so he is rested coming in this week in a 2015: Byeong-Hun An (-21/267); 100-1 Sam Horsfield (60-1) rare European Tour start. South African Christiaan 2014: Rory McIlroy (-14/274); 14-1 Horsfield is second on the European Tour this year Bezuidenhout (35-1) finished third last weekend 2013: Matteo Manassero (-10/278); 66-1* in strokes gained: approach and was fourth last at the Korn Ferry Tour Championship to earn 2012: Luke Donald (-15/273); 8-1 week in the category in Italy. a PGA Tour card. (40-1) would 2011: Luke Donald (-6/278); 15-2** currently qualify for the Ryder Cup, while Bernd 2010: Simon Khan (-6/278); 200-1 The Englishman has been in decent form with a Wiesberger (40-1) has one last chance to impress. sixth, 23rd and 15th in three of his last four starts. (40-1) seems a long shot to make * - playoff win over Simon Khan and Marc Warren Could be a good spot to catch him on the drift. the Ryder Cup team, but he has finishes of third, ** - playoff win over Lee Westwood fourth and 15th over the last three weeks. Masahiro Kawamura (90-1) Kawamura has entered the Official World Golf ​SELECTIONS Ranking top 150 with stellar play over the last two THE EVENT months. ​Alex Noren (25-1) The BMW PGA Championship was established Noren missed only five cuts on the PGA Tour this The man from Japan has four top-6 finishes since in 1955 as the British PGA Championship. It was season and has found some excellent form in the June, including a tie for fifth last week in Italy. second half of 2021.

79 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS

STEVE MAKINEN’S NASCAR RACE SIMULATION FEDERATED AUTO PARTS 400

SALUTE TO FIRST RESPONDERS RACE PROJECTIONS * Richmond International Raceway Handicap-Ability Grade: A- Qualifying Practice AVG Projected AVG Projected Finish Driver Car Team Make Position Position Rating Finishing Position 1 Hamlin Denny 11 Racing Toyota 2 19 103.02 5.63 2 Truex Martin 19 Toyota 5 19 97. 87 7.13 3 Busch Kyle 18 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota 4 19 95.74 7. 7 7 4 Harvick Kevin 4 Stewart Haas Racing Ford 1 19 93.56 8.40 5 Keselowski Brad 2 Penske Racing Ford 7 19 93.35 8.46 6 Elliott Chase 9 Chevrolet 3 19 92.76 8.70 7 Logano Joey 22 Penske Racing Ford 11 19 89.67 9.92 8 Larson Kyle 5 Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet 6 19 87.26 10.75 9 Blaney Ryan 12 Penske Racing Ford 12 19 85.39 11.36 10 Bell Christopher 20 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota 17 19 84.57 11.79 11 Byron William 24 Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet 10 19 83.44 12.52 12 Bowman Alex 48 Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet 16 19 81.02 13.60 13 Busch Kurt 1 Chevrolet 9 19 80.83 13.69 14 Dillon Austin 3 Chevrolet 8 19 80.34 13.90 15 Almirola Aric 10 Stewart Haas Racing Ford 13 19 79.80 14.15 16 Dibenedetto Matt 21 Wood Brothers Ford 15 19 76.72 15.48 17 Reddick Tyler 8 Richard Childress Racing Chevrolet 18 19 76.06 15.83 18 Stenhouse Ricky 47 JTG Daugherty Racing Chevrolet 20 19 71.37 17.98 19 Chastain Ross 42 Chip Ganassi Racing Chevrolet 27 19 69.54 18.74 20 Custer Cole 41 Stewart Haas Racing Ford 14 19 68.42 19.15 21 Newman Ryan 6 Ford 21 19 64.05 21.19 22 Jones Erik 43 Richard Petty Motorsports Chevrolet 23 19 63.87 21.28 23 Buescher Chris 17 Roush Fenway Racing Ford 22 19 63.66 21.36 24 Suarez Daniel 99 Trackhouse Racing Chevrolet 24 19 63.52 21.40 25 Briscoe Chase 14 Stewart-Haas Racing Ford 26 19 62.10 22.03 26 McDowell Michael 34 Ford 19 19 60.55 22.76 27 Wallace Darrell 23 23XI Racing Toyota 28 19 59.33 23.30 28 Preece Ryan 37 JTG Daugherty Racing Chevrolet 25 19 57.55 24.12 29 LaJoie Corey 7 Chevrolet 32 19 52.76 26.30 30 Haley Justin 77 Spire Motorsports Chevrolet 35 19 48.84 28.37 31 Alfredo Anthony 38 Front Row Motorsports Ford 29 19 48.44 28.56 32 McLeod B.J. 78 Ford 37 19 48.11 28.69 33 Bilicki Josh 52 Ford 30 19 42.03 31.25 34 Ware Cody 51 Petty Ware Racing Chevrolet 33 19 41.89 31.33 35 Houff Quin 0 StarCom Racing Chevrolet 34 19 40.93 31.76 36 Davison James 53 Rick Ware Racing Chevrolet 31 19 40.91 31.77 37 Gase Joey 15 Rick Ware Racing Chevrolet 36 19 40.07 32.26

NASCAR Race Simulations are developed using a proprietary formula factoring in recent performance of driver and team, performance at track & track type, qualifying results, and speed at practice sessions. Simulations in Point Spread Weekly are done on Tuesday’s using projected qualifying and practice ranks for the upcoming race and actual results in those sessions in the days leading up to the race can alter overall projections greatly. Average finish positions in the simulations, which are run 1000x each week, can be considered a Driver Power Rating for that race, and can then be used to approximate odds to win, place in Top 5 or Top 10, or to compare two drivers in a matchup wager.

80 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS BET BREEDERS’ CUP IN U.S.? YEAH, GOOD LUCK WITH THAT BY RON FLATTER @RONFLATTER

Not even two months remain until the Breeders’ Cup at Del Mar, which, Coolmore filly is also +225 in the North American global futures to earn last time anyone checked, is in the U.S. Also the last time anyone the trophy in the Filly and Mare Turf. That is in contrast to the thinking in checked, there is no place in the U.S. to make a legal futures bet on the Europe, where her stablemate and two-time U.S. Grade 1 winner, Santa championships. Barbara, is at the top of the table at 3-1.

Needed to get action on the Chapecoense-Fluminense soccer match from • There is agreement ahead of the races for female dirt horses. The top Brazil on Tuesday? No problem. Looking to wager this weekend on the handicap mare in the country, Letruska, is best-priced at 3-1 to win the Australian football final four? That’s easy. Maybe the Kiwoom Heroes and Distaff. Gamine, who has never looked better in her division, is no better Doosan Bears in Korean baseball were worth a plunge this week? No than even money to finish first in the Filly and Mare Sprint. sweat. Horseplayers who choose not to wade into international waters to place But just try to get legal action on Essential Quality to win the Breeders’ Cup bets in these pools will nonetheless be informed by the numbers, if only Classic. Scan the racebooks and betting apps across this land of allegedly to assess value if and when Breeders’ Cup markets are ever opened in limitless sports betting. It is easier to put $2 on the crickets substituting their America. Based on recent years, the Las Vegas casinos Circa, the Westgate, noise than it is to find any signs of churn on domestic racing futures. William Hill and perhaps Stations may post odds in the last few days before the Nov. 5-6 meet. More promising is the possibility the New Jersey Las Vegas and Atlantic City and all the new dots sprouting upward from government will get off its regulatory can and let BetMakers take Breeders’ the gambling map come with alibis. They do not have enough interest in Cup wagers when its fixed-odds menu gets the long-awaited green light. racing to warrant the money it would take to hire qualified oddsmakers to consider their exposure and monitor the hundreds of thoroughbreds around It is safe to think American oddsmakers eventually will do a better job the world to produce the odds for the 14 races the Breeders’ Cup built. Or keeping themselves up to date on the comings and goings of horses that will interest dried up in part because the racebooks would not hire qualified actually be in the races at Del Mar. The international books already have oddsmakers to … blah, blah, blah. had some embarrassing mistakes.

America’s loss is an international gain. One unregulated global website The global market showed Owendale at odds of 12-1 to win the Breeders’ based in Costa Rica has been building handle most of the summer on the Cup Classic for weeks after he died. The same offshore book still has Gufo Breeders’ Cup. Now at least a dozen bookmakers in England have put up listed in the Filly and Mare Turf, even though he is not a she. Even after their own numbers for the nine championships Nov. 6 that are not limited Whitmore got hurt and was retired last week, he still shows up at no fewer to 2-year-olds. The five juvenile races Nov. 5 will no doubt be added in the than five books in North America and Europe as a betting choice in the coming weeks. Sprint.

With 58 days left until the Breeders’ Cup, some foreign trends are worth at Getting caught unaware of breaking news in thoroughbred racing is least a domestic conversation, if not a bet. admittedly too easy. It happens to everyone from oddsmakers to journalists. For horseplayers, though, the impact of that slippery slope is potentially • Where likely 3-year-old champion Essential Quality is shortest-priced at more treacherous. 4-1 in the North American global market to beat older horses and win the $6 million Classic, the British monitor Oddschecker reports his 5-year- So do go gentle into that good fight to find value betting the Breeders’ Cup. old stablemate, Knicks Go, is a best-priced 4-1 favorite in Europe. Last And be patient. While it is easy to poke fun at international shops that take weekend’s Jockey Club Gold Cup winner, Max Player, is anywhere from bets on dead horses, at least handicappers who are alert and happy to 7-1 to 10-1. assume the risks have that choice. For American horseplayers, the calendar may say 2021. But in reality it is still the movable-type era. • Mishriff is the consensus favorite to win the $4 million Turf, but that makes the bold assumption that owner Prince Faisal of Saudi Arabia will In addition to this weekly report, Ron Flatter’s racing column is available actually order the four-time Group 1 winner shipped to California. In every Friday at VSiN.com. The Ron Flatter Racing Pod is also available one breath, co-trainer John Gosden talks about the exciting possibility of every Friday morning at VSiN.com/podcasts. This week’s episode making the trip. In another he is critical of Del Mar’s short homestretch, comes from the turf meet at historic Kentucky Downs near the Tennessee which he says would not fit Mishriff’s style. That is a lot to consider for border. Longtime racing writer and publicist Jennie Rees talks about this the bettor taking 4-1 with a bet that could be a loser if the 4-year-old colt weekend’s Breeders’ Cup qualifiers there. From the National Horseplayers is not airborne over the Atlantic. Championship, Karl Broberg discusses his passions of horse training and betting. Johnny Avello of DraftKings Sportsbook handicaps weekend races. • Snowfall is not only the widely recognized favorite to win Europe’s best The Ron Flatter Racing Pod is available for free subscription at iHeart, race, next month’s $5.9 million Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe in Paris, but the Apple, Google, Spotify and Stitcher. It is sponsored by 1/ST BET.

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