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Point Spread Weekly $9.99 Volume 5 - Issue 3 point spread weekly AND WE’RE OFF Dave Tuley give his Takes on all 16 NFL week 1 contests, with a Best Bet on the anticipated Rams-bears 'SNF' contest FEATURING: • Handicapping coverage of MLB, PGA, NFL, NASCAR, college football and horse racing WELCOME TO VOLUME 5 ISSUE 3 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Welcome to Issue No. 3 of the 2021-22 VSiN Point Spread Weekly, tackling the opening of a highly anticipated NFL season. We hope you enjoyed the first full edition of college football coverage last week. Now we put them together in the first of the loaded football issues through the rest of the season. I am not shy about proclaiming that this week’s issue is jam-packed with great betting material to prepare you for a huge weekend of cashin’ tickets — because that’s what it’s all about! CONTENTS It’s No Overreaction to Say: Always Believe in Alabama .. 3 If you haven’t downloaded your copy of the 2021 VSiN Pro Football Betting Guide, you still have time to do so. In that Tuley’s Takes on NFL Week 1 Card ................................ 4 huge special issue, we get you ready for the season. In this edition of Point Spread Weekly, we get you ready for Week 1. Steve Makinen’s NFL Power Ratings ............................... 6 VSIN NFL Consensus ..................................................... 7 Dave Tuley leads our NFL coverage with what will become a very popular feature in the ensuing weeks. In his Takes, he breaks down every NFL game on the slate, giving his VSIN NFL Best Bets ....................................................... 8 expert insights and picks for each one. Tuley has a huge Twitter following (@ViewfromVegas), and his contributions to the VSiN newsletter are read each and Strength Ratings Tutorial ...............................................11 every morning. Week 1 NFL Matchups .................................................12 I also put together a piece on NFL Week 1 action, detailing four betting systems that How to Act Wise: Five Games Sharp Bettors are Tracking ... 28 have been consistently successful over the last decade or so. Several games on the board fit the systems, and I lay those out for readers. Healthy Rams are Best Bet in Toughest Survivor Week ... 29 Steve Makinen’s CFB Power Ratings ............................. 30 As he will do every week, Adam Burke brings us all the key information on NFL survivor contests, including which games are the most popular picks for the coming week. VSIN College Football Consensus ................................ 34 Speaking of every-week contributors, you’ll also get access to William Hill’s game previews for the entire season. You’ll find these on our matchup pages, which are also VSIN College Football Best Bets ................................... 35 loaded with all the stats, trends and other key data you’ll need to bet the games wisely. A Bettor’s Guide to Week 2 in College Football ............ 36 Last but not least, Josh Appelbaum wraps up our Week 1 coverage with a look at the five games that wise guys were hitting on early. Week 2 College Football Matchups ............................. 38 Tuley and Matt Youmans will be our regular experts picking games for our Consensus Week 2 CFB Slate Features Nine Stability Mismatches... 71 for pro and college football. Each is part of our Best Bets team as well, and that group Steve Makinen’s MLB Power Ratings .............................74 combined to go 19-15-2 ATS in college football last week, a profitable start. MLB Awards Markets Still Can Offer Some Late Value .. 75 Youmans heads our college football coverage, looking back at an exhilarating Week 1 and explaining how the results might affect future betting markets. He and Adam MLB Team Report ........................................................ 77 Kramer share their thoughts on Alabama’s impressive opening. Kramer does so in his Noren the Pick as Golf Shifts Focus to Europe ............... 79 Week 2 preview, again offering us the appetizers and buffet on another loaded CFB slate. NASCAR Race Simulation: Federated Auto Parts 400 ... 80 For those of you looking for the Week 2 college football stability mismatches after Bet Breeders’ Cup in U.S.? Yeah, Good Luck with That ...81 another winning 5-4 week, I have those loaded up for you as well. It’s not all football in PSW, however, as Aaron Moore dishes on MLB, Wes Reynolds previews the European Tour’s BMW PGA Championship, Ron Flatter gives us the latest and greatest in horse racing news and my projections are up for another NASCAR PAGE 9 playoff race as well as the CFL Week 6 games. Enjoy the huge issue. Good luck from everyone at VSiN, and be sure to follow all our WEEK 1 NFL SYSTEMS HELP live programming this week leading up to, during and after all the big games! UNCOVER LINE WEAK SPOTS Steve Makinen, Editor @SteveMakinen | [email protected] NOTE: ODDS IN PUBLICATION ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE For more sports betting information, visit www.vsin.com EDITOR DATABASE MANAGER LAYOUT AND DESIGN VP OF DIGITAL CONTENT STEVE MAKINEN JASON LATUS MATT DEVINE BEN FAWKES CONTRIBUTING WRITERS AND EDITORS: Matt Youmans, Chris Andrews, Dave Tuley, Jonathan Von Tobel, Wes Reynolds, Bruce Marshall, Brady Kannon, Lou Finocchiaro, Vinny Magliulo, Ron Flatter, Josh Appelbaum, Jason Weingarten, Adam Burke, Drew Dinsick, Paul Stone, Tim Murray, Danny Burke, William Hill, Aaron Moore, Adam Kramer, Tom Carkeek, Derek Carty, Andy MacNeil, Reed Kuhn and Brent Musburger. photos by USA Today Sports Images 2 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY Your TRUSTED SOURCE for EXCLUSIVE SPORTS BETTING NEWS, DATA & ANALYSIS IT’S NO OVERREACTION TO SAY: ALWAYS BELIEVE IN ALABAMA BY MATT YOUMANS @MATTYOUMANS247 If Nick Saban has BetMGM lists Alabama as the 5-2 favorite to It was a good news-bad news scenario for the seven months to reload win the national title, and the +250 price on the Pac-12. UCLA upset LSU 38-27 at the Rose Bowl, and prepare for a Tide is a bargain compared with what is being and the outcome was no fluke. The Bruins squared game, bet on him. Bet offered at Circa Sports (+160) and the Westgate up with a respected SEC opponent and physically on Saban in every SuperBook (+140). dominated on the offensive and defensive lines in season opener, even the highest-profile win of coach Chip Kelly’s four if Alabama loses six “There is certainly a lot of college football to play, years. players in the first but Alabama’s performance in Week 1 was head round of the NFL draft and shoulders above everyone else,” Texas-based The negativity came from the Pac-12 North. and is breaking in a handicapper Paul Stone said. “Bryce Young looks Oregon was a shaky 20-point favorite while new quarterback. like he’s a third-year starter. He’s poised and has surviving an upset bid by Fresno State, and a strong arm. It looks like there’s a gap between Washington went down as a 23-point favorite in a The first full weekend Alabama and whoever the second-best team is, 13-7 loss to Montana. of college football and the race for second is wide open. was highlighted by an A Big Ten-Pac-12 challenge headlines this underdog uprising and the customary dominance “It’s hard to identify the No. 2 team or the No. week’s schedule. Ohio State is a 14-point home of the Crimson Tide, who undoubtedly deserve 3 and No. 4 team. Clemson had no offense. favorite over Oregon, and Michigan is a 6-point to be favored to roll to their second consecutive Oklahoma could have easily lost to Tulane. In home favorite over Washington. Both lines are national championship. college football, you give these offenses some inflated based on Week 1 results, so beware of time to jell, and things are going to look a lot overreacting. While the opening week of each season provides different in a few weeks.” fodder for knee jerking and overreactions, it’s “This is an alert for bettors,” Musburger said. probably the right reaction to say this season is Georgia, the strongest candidate for the No. 2 “That was one of those spots where Montana already a matchup of Alabama against the field. spot, did not score an offensive touchdown in a caught Washington peeking ahead to the 10-3 victory over Clemson that was a minor upset. Wolverines and took advantage of it.” “I don’t think it’s an overreaction,” DraftKings Bulldogs quarterback JT Daniels passed for only sportsbook director John Avello said. “Here we 135 yards with one interception. Are the Huskies that bad? No. Are the Buckeyes go again. Maybe somebody can bust out and untouchable in the Big Ten? No. Look at some of upset Alabama.” Oklahoma, a 31.5-point favorite, was lucky the best and worst performances of Week 1 and to escape with a 40-35 win over the Green realize the truth usually lies somewhere in the The Tide, laying 19.5 points on a neutral field Wave. Sooners quarterback Spencer Rattler, the middle. in Atlanta, made it look easy in a 44-13 victory preseason Heisman Trophy favorite, threw two over Miami. Saban’s coaching record in Alabama interceptions, and his team nearly squandered a Underdogs were barking and standing tall at season openers is 15-0. The betting public was 37-14 halftime lead. The game was relocated from 46-35-4 against the spread through Monday. The wise to ride the wave after Las Vegas oddsmakers New Orleans to Norman because of Hurricane most dramatic game was staged Sunday night, dropped the ball and opened the point spread Ida, so would the result have been different on when Florida State erased an 18-point fourth- way too low at -13.
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