March 13, 2017 OUTPERFORM Kiatnakin Bank (KKP TB) Share Price: Bt66.25 Target Price: Bt74.00 (+12.6%) Company Update Company Best dividend yield among Thai banks Loans to reverse to growth trend after contracting in the past three years, driven by retail loans (non-HP); asset quality to improve further with lower NPL ratio Expect Bt5.5/Bt6.0 DPS for FY17F/18F based on 80% payout ratio; ROE should reach 15% by 2018 Raised FY17-18F net profit by 4% each; maintain OUTPERFORM rating and raised TP to Bt74, implying 11x PE and 1.5x P/BV; stock offers 20% total return including 8% dividend yield Expect positive loan growth with lower NPL ratio Jesada TECHAHUSDIN, CFA We forecast 5% loan growth this year driven by Lombard loans and non- 662 - 659 7000 ext 5004 HP retail lending such as mortgage, micro-SME and personal loans.
[email protected] These retail loans helped KKP to report flat loan growth mom in Jan COMPANY RESEARCH | RESEARCH COMPANY Remark: KSS is a subsidiary of Bank of Ayudhya Plc. 2017 vs 0.8-1.0% contraction at other banks which focus on HP. We and is therefore unable to issue a report on Bank of expect flat growth for HP loans this year, after contracting 6.4%/2.7% in Ayudhya Plc. 2015/ 2016, led by growth of used car loans (including car quick-cash) which will offset drop in new car loans. On asset quality, we forecast Key Data NPL ratio will improve further to 5.20% in 2017 from 5.65% in 2016, led 12-mth high/low (Bt) 68 / 39.5 by improving quality of HP and real estate loans.