Page 1 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 1 SP_VOTE1a/b/c. CONSTITUENCY - COMBINED VOTING INTENTION - ALL In elections for the Scottish Parliament you have two votes. Your first vote is for a member to represent the constituency. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you use your first vote?/Which party are you most inclined to support?
Base : All
UnW Total Gender Identity Age Social class Work status Work Sector Qualifications Total Work Work 65 55 -ing -ing Not Degree or or full part work Priv Pub- No Other or Male Female 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 more 16-34 35-54 more AB C1 C2 DE ABC1 C2DE time time -ing -ate lic quals quals higher Total Unweighted Total 1031 479 552 120 158 144 173 188 248 278 317 436 226 375 217 170 601 387 441 126 464 295 241 152 532 324 1031 Weighted Total 1031 490 541 118 180 148 188 164 234 297 336 398 219 303 182 286 521 468 459 112 460 415 137 153 539 318 1031 Total Voting (sub-base) 907 444 463 96 144 130 167 149 220 240 298 369 206 270 156 240 476 396 408 94 404 366 119 136 458 295 914 Scottish Conservative and Unionist 198 98 101 5 18 25 33 30 86 24 58 116 48 58 39 45 106 84 69 20 109 73 14 51 91 52 209 22% 22% 22% 6% 13% 19% 20% 20% 39% 10% 20% 31% 23% 22% 25% 19% 22% 21% 17% 21% 27% 20% 12% 37% 20% 18% 23% Scottish Labour 133 64 69 18 14 24 24 22 33 31 48 54 31 31 30 34 62 64 57 16 61 51 20 29 63 38 142 15% 15% 15% 19% 9% 19% 14% 15% 15% 13% 16% 15% 15% 12% 19% 14% 13% 16% 14% 17% 15% 14% 17% 21% 14% 13% 16% Scottish Liberal Democrats 54 24 29 2 9 9 11 9 14 11 19 23 23 19 4 7 41 10 26 10 18 28 7 - 27 25 53 6% 5% 6% 2% 6% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 7% 6% 11% 7% 2% 3% 9% 3% 6% 11% 4% 8% 6% - 6% 8% 6% Scottish National Party (SNP) 473 231 242 63 98 60 92 79 81 161 153 160 94 152 75 140 246 215 233 43 197 193 71 52 248 165 465 52% 52% 52% 65% 68% 46% 55% 53% 37% 67% 51% 43% 45% 56% 48% 58% 52% 54% 57% 46% 49% 53% 59% 38% 54% 56% 51% Scottish Green Party 27 17 10 8 3 8 3 5 - 11 11 5 2 8 4 9 10 13 15 3 8 14 5 1 16 10 24 3% 4% 2% 8% 2% 6% 2% 3% - 5% 4% 1% 1% 3% 3% 4% 2% 3% 4% 4% 2% 4% 4% * 4% 3% 3% Independent candidate 10 3 7 - 1 1 2 3 3 1 3 6 5 1 1 3 6 4 3 1 6 1 2 2 6 2 10 1% 1% 1% - 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% * 1% 2% 2% * 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% * 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% Action (formerly Alliance) for ------Independence (AFI) ------UKIP ------Reform UK/The Brexit Party 1 - 1 - - - - 1 - - - 1 1 - - - 1 - - 1 - 1 - - 1 - 1 * - * - - - - 1% - - - * 1% - - - * - - 1% - * - - * - * Independence for Scotland (ISP) ------Other 10 7 4 - 1 3 3 1 3 1 5 4 3 1 3 3 4 6 5 - 5 5 - 2 5 3 10 1% 1% 1% - * 2% 2% 1% 2% * 2% 1% 2% * 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% - 1% 1% - 1% 1% 1% 1% Outside voting base - Undecided/Don't know 70 27 43 13 22 11 11 7 6 35 22 13 10 23 12 22 33 34 31 13 26 28 14 6 48 14 70 7% 6% 8% 11% 12% 7% 6% 4% 3% 12% 6% 3% 5% 7% 7% 8% 6% 7% 7% 12% 6% 7% 11% 4% 9% 4% 7% - Refused 9 - 9 * 1 1 2 3 1 1 4 5 1 2 1 4 4 5 3 - 6 1 2 2 4 4 11 1% - 2% * * 1% 1% 2% 1% * 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% - 1% * 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% - Would not vote 45 19 26 8 13 5 8 5 6 21 13 11 1 8 13 20 9 33 18 4 23 19 1 9 29 5 36 4% 4% 5% 7% 7% 4% 4% 3% 2% 7% 4% 3% * 3% 7% 7% 2% 7% 4% 4% 5% 5% 1% 6% 5% 2% 3%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 2 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 2 SP_VOTE1a/b/c. CONSTITUENCY - COMBINED VOTING INTENTION - ALL In elections for the Scottish Parliament you have two votes. Your first vote is for a member to represent the constituency. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you use your first vote?/Which party are you most inclined to support?
Base : All
Total Scottish Parliament Region Tenure Country of birth UnW Total High- Mid lands Scot North and -land East South West Cent Glas Is- and Scot Scot Scot -ral -gow lands Lothian Fife -land -land -land Owner occupier Renter Scotland Elsewhere Total Unweighted Total 1031 135 138 81 143 114 138 136 146 703 236 857 169 1031 Weighted Total 1031 124 136 85 150 127 141 132 135 659 306 813 213 1031 Total Voting (sub-base) 907 108 123 73 129 117 122 108 127 591 257 716 186 914 Scottish Conservative and Unionist 198 18 16 18 18 27 34 32 36 160 30 157 41 209 22% 16% 13% 25% 14% 23% 28% 30% 28% 27% 12% 22% 22% 23% Scottish Labour 133 14 27 7 18 18 9 17 25 90 33 100 32 142 15% 13% 22% 9% 14% 15% 7% 16% 19% 15% 13% 14% 17% 16% Scottish Liberal Democrats 54 6 - 15 13 7 4 3 5 44 8 37 17 53 6% 5% - 21% 10% 6% 3% 3% 4% 7% 3% 5% 9% 6% Scottish National Party (SNP) 473 64 78 28 77 56 69 48 53 271 167 388 82 465 52% 59% 64% 38% 59% 48% 56% 45% 42% 46% 65% 54% 44% 51% Scottish Green Party 27 2 * 2 3 9 3 4 5 11 14 15 12 24 3% 2% * 2% 2% 8% 2% 3% 4% 2% 6% 2% 6% 3% Independent candidate 10 1 - 2 - - 2 3 2 8 2 8 2 10 1% 1% - 3% - - 2% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% Action (formerly Alliance) for ------Independence (AFI) ------UKIP ------Reform UK/The Brexit Party 1 - - 1 - - - - - 1 - 1 - 1 * - - 2% - - - - - * - * - * Independence for Scotland (ISP) ------Other 10 3 2 - 1 - 3 - 2 5 3 10 - 10 1% 3% 1% - 1% - 2% - 2% 1% 1% 1% - 1% Outside voting base - Undecided/Don't know 70 8 7 7 16 5 8 12 7 43 23 52 18 70 7% 7% 5% 8% 10% 4% 6% 9% 5% 7% 7% 6% 9% 7% - Refused 9 1 2 - 2 * * 3 * 5 4 9 - 11 1% 1% 2% - 1% * * 2% * 1% 1% 1% - 1% - Would not vote 45 7 4 5 4 5 11 9 * 20 23 36 8 36 4% 5% 3% 6% 2% 4% 8% 7% * 3% 7% 4% 4% 3%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 3 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 3 SP_VOTE1a/b/c. CONSTITUENCY - COMBINED VOTING INTENTION - ALL In elections for the Scottish Parliament you have two votes. Your first vote is for a member to represent the constituency. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you use your first vote?/Which party are you most inclined to support?
Base : All
Voting intention (SP) Voting intention (SP) Voting intention Past vote (SP 2016) Past vote (EU Referendum, UnW Total Constituency List (Indyref2) Constituency Past vote (2019 General Election) Past vote (Indyref 2014) 2016) Total Not vote/ too Not young vote/ /not too Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Scot' Remain Leave young Total Unweighted Total 1031 209 142 53 465 206 140 64 417 462 472 173 127 52 405 235 147 49 310 395 480 132 624 248 134 1031 Weighted Total 1031 198 133 54 473 193 130 64 435 483 444 162 120 51 409 227 131 48 308 407 458 140 611 249 142 1031 Total Voting (sub-base) 907 198 133 54 473 191 123 63 428 457 382 158 110 49 399 218 122 43 299 375 414 100 561 224 99 914 Scottish Conservative and Unionist 198 198 - - - 167 7 9 3 3 192 133 5 8 10 173 1 3 2 14 162 18 81 107 8 209 22% 100% - - - 87% 6% 15% 1% 1% 50% 84% 5% 16% 3% 80% 1% 8% 1% 4% 39% 18% 14% 48% 8% 23% Scottish Labour 133 - 133 - - 10 98 6 13 27 87 8 79 1 10 17 74 4 10 14 95 19 86 23 21 142 15% - 100% - - 5% 79% 9% 3% 6% 23% 5% 72% 2% 2% 8% 61% 9% 3% 4% 23% 19% 15% 10% 21% 16% Scottish Liberal Democrats 54 - - 54 - 3 6 39 6 9 40 5 1 29 4 7 3 29 * 4 44 5 43 8 3 53 6% - - 100% - 1% 5% 61% 1% 2% 10% 3% 1% 59% 1% 3% 3% 67% * 1% 11% 5% 8% 4% 3% 6% Scottish National Party (SNP) 473 - - - 473 7 11 3 401 403 38 8 20 4 363 14 36 6 277 329 90 47 334 65 60 465 52% - - - 100% 4% 9% 5% 94% 88% 10% 5% 18% 8% 91% 6% 29% 14% 92% 88% 22% 48% 60% 29% 60% 51% Scottish Green Party 27 - - - - - 1 3 5 11 7 1 4 4 8 1 4 1 10 8 10 9 12 8 7 24 3% - - - - - 1% 5% 1% 2% 2% * 3% 9% 2% * 3% 1% 3% 2% 2% 9% 2% 4% 7% 3% Independent candidate 10 - - - - 1 1 1 - 3 6 - 1 1 2 1 2 1 - 2 6 1 2 6 1 10 1% - - - - 1% * 2% - 1% 2% - 1% 1% * 1% 1% 2% - 1% 2% 1% * 3% 1% 1% Action (formerly Alliance) for ------Independence (AFI) ------UKIP ------Reform UK/The Brexit Party 1 ------1 - - 1 - - 1 - 1 - - - 1 - - - - - 1 * ------2% - - * - - 3% - 1% - - - * - - - - - * Independence for Scotland (ISP) ------Other 10 - - - - 3 1 - - 1 10 3 - 1 3 3 2 - - 4 7 - 4 6 - 10 1% - - - - 2% 1% - - * 3% 2% - 2% 1% 1% 2% - - 1% 2% - 1% 3% - 1% Outside voting base - Undecided/Don't know 70 - - - - 2 5 1 7 14 39 2 6 2 6 5 9 2 7 16 32 19 34 13 20 70 7% - - - - 1% 4% 1% 2% 3% 9% 1% 5% 3% 2% 2% 7% 4% 2% 4% 7% 13% 6% 5% 14% 7% - Refused 9 ------1 3 ------1 2 * 5 1 * 11 1% ------* 1% ------* 1% * 1% * * 1% - Would not vote 45 - - - - - 2 - - 11 20 2 4 - 4 4 * 3 2 15 9 21 10 11 23 36 4% - - - - - 2% - - 2% 4% 1% 3% - 1% 2% * 5% 1% 4% 2% 15% 2% 5% 16% 3%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 4 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 4 SP_VOTE1a/b/c. CONSTITUENCY - COMBINED VOTING INTENTION - ALL LIKELY TO VOTE In elections for the Scottish Parliament you have two votes. Your first vote is for a member to represent the constituency. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you use your first vote?/Which party are you most inclined to support?
Base : All 9/10 likely to vote
UnW Total Gender Identity Age Social class Work status Work Sector Qualifications Total Work Work 65 55 -ing -ing Not Degree or or full part work Priv Pub- No Other or Male Female 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 more 16-34 35-54 more AB C1 C2 DE ABC1 C2DE time time -ing -ate lic quals quals higher Total Unweighted Total 834 397 437 74 112 114 147 163 224 186 261 387 196 314 167 125 510 292 360 96 378 231 199 131 404 280 834 Weighted Total 810 391 419 68 122 116 157 138 208 190 273 346 185 246 139 210 431 349 366 81 363 319 111 126 396 271 834 Total Voting (sub-base) 761 374 387 65 114 105 146 129 201 180 251 331 176 229 128 201 405 328 341 77 343 301 100 119 373 254 782 Scottish Conservative and Unionist 174 88 86 3 12 23 28 26 82 15 51 108 43 52 31 41 95 72 56 20 99 60 14 46 77 46 188 23% 24% 22% 5% 10% 22% 19% 20% 41% 8% 20% 33% 24% 23% 24% 20% 23% 22% 16% 26% 29% 20% 14% 39% 21% 18% 24% Scottish Labour 111 52 59 11 10 16 20 21 33 21 36 53 29 27 24 25 56 49 49 13 49 42 19 27 47 33 122 15% 14% 15% 17% 9% 15% 14% 16% 16% 12% 14% 16% 16% 12% 19% 12% 14% 15% 14% 17% 14% 14% 19% 22% 13% 13% 16% Scottish Liberal Democrats 41 20 21 1 7 5 8 6 13 8 13 19 16 16 4 3 32 6 21 4 15 20 6 - 21 19 43 5% 5% 5% 2% 6% 5% 6% 5% 6% 5% 5% 6% 9% 7% 3% 1% 8% 2% 6% 6% 4% 7% 6% - 6% 8% 5% Scottish National Party (SNP) 399 194 205 46 80 51 83 68 71 126 134 139 81 126 65 117 208 182 198 36 166 165 58 43 208 142 395 52% 52% 53% 70% 70% 49% 57% 53% 35% 70% 54% 42% 46% 55% 51% 59% 51% 55% 58% 47% 48% 55% 57% 36% 56% 56% 51% Scottish Green Party 22 13 9 4 3 7 3 5 - 7 10 5 2 6 3 9 7 12 11 3 8 10 3 - 12 10 20 3% 3% 2% 6% 3% 7% 2% 4% - 4% 4% 1% 1% 2% 2% 4% 2% 4% 3% 4% 2% 3% 3% - 3% 4% 3% Independent candidate 7 2 5 - 1 - 1 3 2 1 1 5 4 1 - 3 4 3 2 1 4 1 2 2 4 1 7 1% 1% 1% - 1% - 1% 2% 1% * 1% 2% 2% * - 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% * 2% 2% 1% * 1% Action (formerly Alliance) for ------Independence (AFI) ------UKIP ------Reform UK/The Brexit Party ------Independence for Scotland (ISP) ------Other 8 6 2 - 1 3 2 1 2 1 4 3 2 1 2 3 2 5 4 - 4 4 - 2 4 2 7 1% 2% 1% - 1% 3% 1% 1% 1% * 2% 1% 1% * 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% - 1% 1% - 1% 1% 1% 1% Outside voting base - Undecided/Don't know 41 17 24 3 7 11 8 7 5 10 19 12 8 15 10 6 23 15 22 4 14 16 10 4 20 14 44 5% 4% 6% 4% 6% 9% 5% 5% 2% 5% 7% 3% 4% 6% 7% 3% 5% 4% 6% 5% 4% 5% 9% 3% 5% 5% 5% - Refused 8 - 8 - * 1 2 2 1 * 4 4 1 2 1 4 3 5 2 - 6 1 1 2 3 3 8 1% - 2% - * 1% 1% 2% 1% * 1% 1% * 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% - 2% * 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% - Would not vote ------
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 5 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 5 SP_VOTE1a/b/c. CONSTITUENCY - COMBINED VOTING INTENTION - ALL LIKELY TO VOTE In elections for the Scottish Parliament you have two votes. Your first vote is for a member to represent the constituency. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you use your first vote?/Which party are you most inclined to support?
Base : All 9/10 likely to vote
Total Scottish Parliament Region Tenure Country of birth UnW Total High- Mid lands Scot North and -land East South West Cent Glas Is- and Scot Scot Scot -ral -gow lands Lothian Fife -land -land -land Owner occupier Renter Scotland Elsewhere Total Unweighted Total 834 107 118 64 108 89 108 108 132 601 169 705 126 834 Weighted Total 810 94 112 68 112 97 103 102 121 553 213 654 154 834 Total Voting (sub-base) 761 92 103 64 103 97 95 93 116 518 201 617 142 782 Scottish Conservative and Unionist 174 16 11 16 11 26 29 30 33 139 27 138 36 188 23% 18% 11% 26% 11% 27% 30% 33% 29% 27% 13% 22% 25% 24% Scottish Labour 111 13 23 6 14 14 8 12 21 83 21 87 22 122 15% 14% 22% 10% 14% 15% 8% 12% 18% 16% 11% 14% 16% 16% Scottish Liberal Democrats 41 3 - 14 12 5 1 2 4 36 4 33 7 43 5% 3% - 21% 12% 5% 1% 2% 3% 7% 2% 5% 5% 5% Scottish National Party (SNP) 399 56 67 25 61 47 52 43 49 239 136 331 68 395 52% 61% 65% 39% 60% 48% 54% 46% 43% 46% 68% 54% 48% 51% Scottish Green Party 22 2 * 2 3 5 3 4 5 11 10 13 8 20 3% 2% * 3% 3% 5% 3% 4% 4% 2% 5% 2% 6% 3% Independent candidate 7 1 - 1 - - 1 2 2 6 1 6 1 7 1% 1% - 1% - - 1% 3% 2% 1% * 1% 1% 1% Action (formerly Alliance) for ------Independence (AFI) ------UKIP ------Reform UK/The Brexit Party ------Independence for Scotland (ISP) ------Other 8 2 2 - 1 - 2 - 2 4 2 8 - 7 1% 2% 2% - 1% - 2% - 2% 1% 1% 1% - 1% Outside voting base - Undecided/Don't know 41 2 7 4 7 * 8 7 5 31 9 29 11 44 5% 2% 6% 6% 7% * 8% 7% 4% 6% 4% 4% 7% 5% - Refused 8 1 2 - 2 * - 2 * 4 4 8 - 8 1% 1% 2% - 2% * - 2% * 1% 2% 1% - 1% - Would not vote ------
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 6 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 6 SP_VOTE1a/b/c. CONSTITUENCY - COMBINED VOTING INTENTION - ALL LIKELY TO VOTE In elections for the Scottish Parliament you have two votes. Your first vote is for a member to represent the constituency. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you use your first vote?/Which party are you most inclined to support?
Base : All 9/10 likely to vote
Voting intention (SP) Voting intention (SP) Voting intention Past vote (SP 2016) Past vote (EU Referendum, UnW Total Constituency List (Indyref2) Constituency Past vote (2019 General Election) Past vote (Indyref 2014) 2016) Total Not vote/ too Not young vote/ /not too Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Scot' Remain Leave young Total Unweighted Total 834 188 122 43 395 183 117 51 353 378 387 158 119 45 355 209 135 44 278 334 421 64 541 211 66 834 Weighted Total 810 174 111 41 399 170 107 47 361 390 348 147 106 44 356 196 118 41 277 338 392 63 524 205 63 834 Total Voting (sub-base) 761 174 111 41 399 169 104 46 357 384 322 145 103 42 352 191 111 39 274 327 366 57 497 196 54 782 Scottish Conservative and Unionist 174 174 - - - 147 7 7 3 3 168 123 5 7 10 156 1 3 2 12 148 11 69 98 6 188 23% 100% - - - 87% 7% 16% 1% 1% 52% 85% 5% 17% 3% 82% 1% 7% 1% 4% 40% 19% 14% 50% 12% 24% Scottish Labour 111 - 111 - - 10 83 3 7 16 79 8 76 1 8 14 70 4 10 9 88 8 80 22 7 122 15% - 100% - - 6% 80% 7% 2% 4% 25% 6% 74% 1% 2% 7% 63% 9% 3% 3% 24% 14% 16% 11% 13% 16% Scottish Liberal Democrats 41 - - 41 - 3 5 30 3 6 31 5 1 25 4 5 3 25 * 3 35 2 35 3 3 43 5% - - 100% - 2% 4% 65% 1% 2% 10% 4% 1% 58% 1% 3% 3% 65% * 1% 10% 4% 7% 2% 5% 5% Scottish National Party (SNP) 399 - - - 399 5 7 1 338 348 25 5 19 4 319 11 33 6 252 291 75 32 301 54 36 395 52% - - - 100% 3% 7% 2% 95% 91% 8% 4% 18% 10% 91% 6% 30% 15% 92% 89% 20% 55% 60% 28% 66% 51% Scottish Green Party 22 - - - - - 1 3 5 11 5 - 1 4 8 1 * 1 10 8 9 4 11 8 3 20 3% - - - - - 1% 7% 2% 3% 2% - 1% 10% 2% * * 2% 4% 2% 3% 8% 2% 4% 5% 3% Independent candidate 7 - - - - 1 1 1 - 1 6 - 1 1 1 1 2 1 - 1 6 - 2 5 - 7 1% - - - - 1% 1% 3% - * 2% - 1% 2% * 1% 1% 2% - * 2% - * 3% - 1% Action (formerly Alliance) for ------Independence (AFI) ------UKIP ------Reform UK/The Brexit Party ------Independence for Scotland (ISP) ------Other 8 - - - - 3 1 - - 1 7 3 - 1 2 3 2 - - 4 4 - 1 6 - 7 1% - - - - 2% 1% - - * 2% 2% - 2% 1% 1% 2% - - 1% 1% - * 3% - 1% Outside voting base - Undecided/Don't know 41 - - - - 2 3 1 4 5 23 2 4 2 4 5 7 2 3 10 24 6 23 8 9 44 5% - - - - 1% 3% 2% 1% 1% 7% 2% 4% 4% 1% 3% 6% 5% 1% 3% 6% 10% 4% 4% 14% 5% - Refused 8 ------1 3 ------1 2 - 4 1 - 8 1% ------* 1% ------* * - 1% 1% - 1% - Would not vote ------
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 7 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 7 LIST_VOTE1a/b/c. LIST - COMBINED VOTING INTENTION - ALL Your second vote for the Scottish Parliament is for a list of candidates put up by each party, or single individuals who stand to represent your region of Scotland. You can vote for the same party as you did with your first vote, or vote differently. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you use your second vote?/Which party are you most inclined to support?
Base : All
UnW Total Gender Identity Age Social class Work status Work Sector Qualifications Total Work Work 65 55 -ing -ing Not Degree or or full part work Priv Pub- No Other or Male Female 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 more 16-34 35-54 more AB C1 C2 DE ABC1 C2DE time time -ing -ate lic quals quals higher Total Unweighted Total 1031 479 552 120 158 144 173 188 248 278 317 436 226 375 217 170 601 387 441 126 464 295 241 152 532 324 1031 Weighted Total 1031 490 541 118 180 148 188 164 234 297 336 398 219 303 182 286 521 468 459 112 460 415 137 153 539 318 1031 Total Voting (sub-base) 920 449 471 100 148 134 167 149 223 248 301 372 209 273 159 244 482 403 410 96 415 367 122 136 470 297 924 Scottish Conservative and Unionist 193 100 94 4 16 30 34 31 78 20 64 109 48 58 39 40 106 79 77 19 98 75 18 49 86 56 206 21% 22% 20% 4% 11% 22% 21% 21% 35% 8% 21% 29% 23% 21% 25% 16% 22% 20% 19% 20% 24% 21% 15% 36% 18% 19% 22% Scottish Labour 130 55 76 22 13 20 21 20 35 35 40 55 29 32 30 35 61 65 48 15 67 44 17 28 71 29 140 14% 12% 16% 22% 9% 15% 12% 14% 16% 14% 13% 15% 14% 12% 19% 14% 13% 16% 12% 16% 16% 12% 14% 21% 15% 10% 15% Scottish Liberal Democrats 64 25 39 2 10 11 9 13 18 13 20 31 28 17 8 8 45 16 23 13 27 28 8 2 33 26 64 7% 6% 8% 2% 7% 8% 5% 9% 8% 5% 7% 8% 14% 6% 5% 3% 9% 4% 6% 14% 7% 8% 7% 2% 7% 9% 7% Scottish National Party (SNP) 435 211 224 57 92 55 87 67 77 149 142 144 80 141 65 133 221 197 216 42 176 185 62 51 222 153 417 47% 47% 48% 58% 62% 41% 52% 45% 34% 60% 47% 39% 38% 52% 41% 54% 46% 49% 53% 44% 43% 50% 51% 37% 47% 52% 45% Scottish Green Party 72 43 30 13 14 14 10 11 9 27 25 20 14 22 12 21 36 33 36 5 31 25 15 3 45 25 72 8% 9% 6% 13% 10% 11% 6% 7% 4% 11% 8% 5% 7% 8% 8% 9% 7% 8% 9% 6% 7% 7% 12% 2% 9% 8% 8% Independent candidate 8 4 4 - - 1 2 3 1 - 3 5 4 2 1 - 6 1 5 - 3 4 1 - 4 4 7 1% 1% 1% - - 1% 1% 2% 1% - 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% - 1% * 1% - 1% 1% 1% - 1% 1% 1% Action (formerly Alliance) for ------Independence (AFI) ------UKIP 1 - 1 - - - - - 1 - - 1 1 - - - 1 - - - 1 - - - - 1 1 * - * - - - - - 1% - - * 1% - - - * - - - * - - - - * * Reform UK/The Brexit Party 2 1 1 - - 1 1 - - - 2 - - 1 - 1 1 1 1 - 1 - 1 - 1 - 2 * * * - - 1% * - - - 1% - - * - 1% * * * - * - * - * - * Independence for Scotland Party 6 3 3 - 2 * - 3 1 2 * 4 1 1 1 3 2 4 2 1 3 2 * 1 3 1 6 (ISP) 1% 1% 1% - 1% * - 2% * 1% * 1% 1% * 1% 1% * 1% * 1% 1% 1% * 1% 1% * 1% Other 9 7 2 - 1 1 4 1 3 1 5 4 2 1 3 3 3 6 3 - 6 3 - 2 6 2 9 1% 2% * - * 1% 2% * 1% * 2% 1% 1% * 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% - 1% 1% - 1% 1% 1% 1% Outside voting base - Undecided/Don't know 55 24 31 12 16 8 8 8 3 28 16 12 7 18 12 16 25 28 27 12 16 25 12 6 36 11 59 5% 5% 6% 10% 9% 5% 4% 5% 1% 9% 5% 3% 3% 6% 6% 6% 5% 6% 6% 10% 4% 6% 9% 4% 7% 4% 6% - Refused 10 - 10 - 1 1 3 3 1 1 5 5 3 2 1 4 5 5 4 - 6 2 1 2 4 4 11 1% - 2% - * 1% 2% 2% 1% * 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% - 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% - Would not vote 45 17 29 6 15 5 9 4 6 21 14 10 - 9 11 22 9 32 19 4 23 20 2 9 29 6 37 4% 3% 5% 5% 8% 4% 5% 3% 2% 7% 4% 3% - 3% 6% 8% 2% 7% 4% 4% 5% 5% 1% 6% 5% 2% 4%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 8 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 8 LIST_VOTE1a/b/c. LIST - COMBINED VOTING INTENTION - ALL Your second vote for the Scottish Parliament is for a list of candidates put up by each party, or single individuals who stand to represent your region of Scotland. You can vote for the same party as you did with your first vote, or vote differently. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you use your second vote?/Which party are you most inclined to support?
Base : All
Total Scottish Parliament Region Tenure Country of birth UnW Total High- Mid lands Scot North and -land East South West Cent Glas Is- and Scot Scot Scot -ral -gow lands Lothian Fife -land -land -land Owner occupier Renter Scotland Elsewhere Total Unweighted Total 1031 135 138 81 143 114 138 136 146 703 236 857 169 1031 Weighted Total 1031 124 136 85 150 127 141 132 135 659 306 813 213 1031 Total Voting (sub-base) 920 108 122 77 132 119 127 108 127 595 266 723 192 924 Scottish Conservative and Unionist 193 19 17 16 15 24 35 31 37 158 28 149 43 206 21% 17% 14% 20% 11% 21% 28% 29% 29% 27% 10% 21% 23% 22% Scottish Labour 130 18 18 13 21 22 9 13 16 86 36 105 25 140 14% 16% 15% 17% 16% 18% 7% 12% 13% 15% 13% 14% 13% 15% Scottish Liberal Democrats 64 2 - 14 15 8 6 5 14 52 10 43 21 64 7% 2% - 18% 11% 7% 5% 4% 11% 9% 4% 6% 11% 7% Scottish National Party (SNP) 435 57 72 26 66 51 65 50 48 249 150 356 75 417 47% 53% 59% 34% 50% 43% 51% 46% 38% 42% 56% 49% 39% 45% Scottish Green Party 72 4 13 6 14 13 7 5 10 33 35 47 25 72 8% 4% 11% 8% 10% 11% 5% 5% 8% 6% 13% 7% 13% 8% Independent candidate 8 1 - 2 - - 3 1 - 6 1 6 1 7 1% 1% - 3% - - 2% 1% - 1% * 1% 1% 1% Action (formerly Alliance) for ------Independence (AFI) ------UKIP 1 ------1 - 1 - - 1 1 * ------1% - * - - 1% * Reform UK/The Brexit Party 2 - - - 1 - - 1 - 1 1 2 - 2 * - - - 1% - - * - * * * - * Independence for Scotland Party 6 4 1 - - * 1 - - 3 3 6 - 6 (ISP) 1% 4% 1% - - * 1% - - 1% 1% 1% - 1% Other 9 3 1 - 1 - 1 1 2 5 3 9 - 9 1% 3% 1% - 1% - 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% - 1% Outside voting base - Undecided/Don't know 55 7 6 3 11 4 5 12 7 38 12 43 13 59 5% 5% 4% 4% 7% 3% 4% 9% 5% 6% 4% 5% 6% 6% - Refused 10 2 2 - 2 * - 3 * 5 5 10 - 11 1% 2% 2% - 1% * - 2% * 1% 2% 1% - 1% - Would not vote 45 7 5 5 5 4 9 9 * 21 23 37 8 37 4% 5% 4% 6% 4% 4% 6% 7% * 3% 7% 5% 4% 4%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 9 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 9 LIST_VOTE1a/b/c. LIST - COMBINED VOTING INTENTION - ALL Your second vote for the Scottish Parliament is for a list of candidates put up by each party, or single individuals who stand to represent your region of Scotland. You can vote for the same party as you did with your first vote, or vote differently. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you use your second vote?/Which party are you most inclined to support?
Base : All
Voting intention (SP) Voting intention (SP) Voting intention Past vote (SP 2016) Past vote (EU Referendum, UnW Total Constituency List (Indyref2) Constituency Past vote (2019 General Election) Past vote (Indyref 2014) 2016) Total Not vote/ too Not young vote/ /not too Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Scot' Remain Leave young Total Unweighted Total 1031 209 142 53 465 206 140 64 417 462 472 173 127 52 405 235 147 49 310 395 480 132 624 248 134 1031 Weighted Total 1031 198 133 54 473 193 130 64 435 483 444 162 120 51 409 227 131 48 308 407 458 140 611 249 142 1031 Total Voting (sub-base) 920 195 132 54 472 193 130 64 435 461 388 160 109 50 399 219 124 43 301 376 420 106 563 231 102 924 Scottish Conservative and Unionist 193 167 10 3 7 193 - - - 5 185 131 9 6 11 166 4 2 3 12 161 16 82 103 6 206 21% 85% 8% 5% 2% 100% - - - 1% 48% 82% 8% 13% 3% 76% 3% 5% 1% 3% 38% 15% 15% 45% 6% 22% Scottish Labour 130 7 98 6 11 - 130 - - 23 91 9 69 4 14 18 68 5 9 13 93 20 87 24 16 140 14% 4% 74% 11% 2% - 100% - - 5% 23% 6% 64% 7% 3% 8% 55% 12% 3% 3% 22% 19% 15% 11% 16% 15% Scottish Liberal Democrats 64 9 6 39 3 - - 64 - 10 47 8 5 30 2 14 4 26 1 5 51 7 40 12 10 64 7% 5% 4% 72% 1% - - 100% - 2% 12% 5% 4% 61% 1% 6% 3% 60% * 1% 12% 7% 7% 5% 9% 7% Scottish National Party (SNP) 435 3 13 6 401 - - - 435 363 35 4 14 9 323 12 36 8 247 301 81 46 293 67 58 417 47% 1% 10% 11% 85% - - - 100% 79% 9% 3% 12% 18% 81% 6% 29% 17% 82% 80% 19% 43% 52% 29% 56% 45% Scottish Green Party 72 3 4 - 43 - - - - 52 12 2 11 1 39 1 9 2 37 34 22 16 49 11 12 72 8% 2% 3% - 9% - - - - 11% 3% 1% 10% 1% 10% 1% 8% 6% 12% 9% 5% 15% 9% 5% 11% 8% Independent candidate 8 3 ------2 5 3 - - 1 4 1 - - 2 4 1 3 4 1 7 1% 2% ------* 1% 2% - - * 2% 1% - - 1% 1% 1% * 2% 1% 1% Action (formerly Alliance) for ------Independence (AFI) ------UKIP 1 1 ------1 1 - - - 1 - - - - 1 - - 1 - 1 * 1% ------* 1% - - - 1% - - - - * - - 1% - * Reform UK/The Brexit Party 2 1 - - 1 - - - - - 2 - - - 1 1 - - - 1 1 - - 2 - 2 * 1% - - * - - - - - * - - - * 1% - - - * * - - 1% - * Independence for Scotland Party 6 - - - 6 - - - - 6 - - - - 6 - - - 4 6 - - 5 1 - 6 (ISP) 1% - - - 1% - - - - 1% - - - - 2% - - - 1% 2% - - 1% * - 1% Other 9 - 2 1 ------9 2 2 - 3 2 1 - - 3 6 - 3 5 - 9 1% - 1% 1% ------2% 1% 2% - 1% 1% 1% - - 1% 1% - 1% 2% - 1% Outside voting base - Undecided/Don't know 55 3 - - 1 - - - - 9 32 1 6 2 6 3 5 2 5 16 25 13 32 8 15 59 5% 2% - - * - - - - 2% 7% 1% 5% 3% 2% 2% 4% 4% 2% 4% 5% 9% 5% 3% 10% 6% - Refused 10 ------1 3 ------1 2 - 5 1 - 11 1% ------* 1% ------* 1% - 1% * - 1% - Would not vote 45 - 1 ------11 21 2 5 - 4 4 2 3 2 14 10 21 11 9 25 37 4% - 1% ------2% 5% 1% 4% - 1% 2% 1% 5% 1% 3% 2% 15% 2% 4% 18% 4%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 10 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 10 LIST_VOTE1a/b/c. LIST - COMBINED VOTING INTENTION - ALL LIKELY TO VOTE Your second vote for the Scottish Parliament is for a list of candidates put up by each party, or single individuals who stand to represent your region of Scotland. You can vote for the same party as you did with your first vote, or vote differently. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you use your second vote?/Which party are you most inclined to support?
Base : All 9/10 likely to vote
UnW Total Gender Identity Age Social class Work status Work Sector Qualifications Total Work Work 65 55 -ing -ing Not Degree or or full part work Priv Pub- No Other or Male Female 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 more 16-34 35-54 more AB C1 C2 DE ABC1 C2DE time time -ing -ate lic quals quals higher Total Unweighted Total 834 397 437 74 112 114 147 163 224 186 261 387 196 314 167 125 510 292 360 96 378 231 199 131 404 280 834 Weighted Total 810 391 419 68 122 116 157 138 208 190 273 346 185 246 139 210 431 349 366 81 363 319 111 126 396 271 834 Total Voting (sub-base) 767 375 391 65 114 108 146 129 204 180 254 333 178 230 128 201 409 329 340 77 349 301 101 118 378 256 786 Scottish Conservative and Unionist 170 89 81 2 12 26 31 27 73 14 57 100 42 51 32 38 93 70 62 18 90 62 16 43 75 49 183 22% 24% 21% 3% 10% 24% 21% 21% 36% 8% 22% 30% 23% 22% 25% 19% 23% 21% 18% 23% 26% 21% 16% 36% 20% 19% 23% Scottish Labour 107 45 62 14 10 14 17 19 34 24 31 53 27 24 21 30 52 51 39 12 56 35 14 25 53 28 117 14% 12% 16% 21% 9% 13% 12% 15% 17% 13% 12% 16% 15% 10% 16% 15% 13% 16% 11% 16% 16% 12% 14% 21% 14% 11% 15% Scottish Liberal Democrats 47 20 27 2 9 5 5 9 16 11 11 25 21 15 5 3 36 8 20 7 20 20 7 2 22 22 51 6% 5% 7% 3% 8% 5% 4% 7% 8% 6% 4% 8% 12% 7% 4% 1% 9% 2% 6% 9% 6% 7% 7% 2% 6% 8% 6% Scottish National Party (SNP) 361 171 190 41 70 46 78 58 68 111 124 126 70 117 57 104 188 161 180 36 145 155 50 43 182 128 353 47% 46% 48% 62% 61% 43% 53% 45% 33% 62% 49% 38% 39% 51% 44% 52% 46% 49% 53% 46% 42% 52% 49% 37% 48% 50% 45% Scottish Green Party 62 37 25 7 11 14 10 11 9 18 23 20 13 19 10 19 31 28 31 4 27 21 12 2 35 25 63 8% 10% 6% 11% 10% 13% 7% 8% 4% 10% 9% 6% 7% 8% 8% 9% 8% 9% 9% 5% 8% 7% 12% 2% 9% 10% 8% Independent candidate 6 3 3 - - - 2 3 1 - 2 4 4 2 - - 6 - 5 - 1 4 1 - 3 3 5 1% 1% 1% - - - 1% 3% * - 1% 1% 2% 1% - - 1% - 1% - * 1% 1% - 1% 1% 1% Action (formerly Alliance) for ------Independence (AFI) ------UKIP 1 - 1 - - - - - 1 - - 1 1 - - - 1 - - - 1 - - - - 1 1 * - * - - - - - 1% - - * 1% - - - * - - - * - - - - * * Reform UK/The Brexit Party 2 1 1 - - 1 1 - - - 2 - - 1 - 1 1 1 1 - 1 - 1 - 1 - 2 * * * - - 1% * - - - 1% - - * - 1% * * * - * - 1% - * - * Independence for Scotland Party 5 2 3 - 2 * - 2 1 2 * 2 - 1 1 3 1 4 * 1 3 1 * 1 3 - 5 (ISP) 1% 1% 1% - 2% * - 1% * 1% * 1% - * 1% 1% * 1% * 1% 1% * * 1% 1% - 1% Other 6 6 - - 1 1 3 1 1 1 4 2 1 1 2 3 1 5 2 - 4 2 - 2 4 1 6 1% 2% - - 1% 1% 2% * 1% * 2% 1% * * 2% 1% * 2% 1% - 1% 1% - 2% 1% * 1% Outside voting base - Undecided/Don't know 34 15 19 3 7 7 7 7 3 10 14 10 6 12 10 5 18 15 22 4 9 16 9 5 16 11 39 4% 4% 4% 4% 6% 6% 4% 5% 1% 5% 5% 3% 3% 5% 7% 2% 4% 4% 6% 5% 2% 5% 8% 4% 4% 4% 5% - Refused 8 - 8 - * 1 2 2 1 * 4 4 1 2 1 4 3 5 2 - 6 1 1 2 3 3 8 1% - 2% - * 1% 1% 2% 1% * 1% 1% * 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% - 2% * 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% - Would not vote 1 - 1 - - - 1 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - 1 - - 1 - - - 1 1 * - * - - - 1% - - - * - - 1% - - * - * - - * - - - * *
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 11 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 11 LIST_VOTE1a/b/c. LIST - COMBINED VOTING INTENTION - ALL LIKELY TO VOTE Your second vote for the Scottish Parliament is for a list of candidates put up by each party, or single individuals who stand to represent your region of Scotland. You can vote for the same party as you did with your first vote, or vote differently. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you use your second vote?/Which party are you most inclined to support?
Base : All 9/10 likely to vote
Total Scottish Parliament Region Tenure Country of birth UnW Total High- Mid lands Scot North and -land East South West Cent Glas Is- and Scot Scot Scot -ral -gow lands Lothian Fife -land -land -land Owner occupier Renter Scotland Elsewhere Total Unweighted Total 834 107 118 64 108 89 108 108 132 601 169 705 126 834 Weighted Total 810 94 112 68 112 97 103 102 121 553 213 654 154 834 Total Voting (sub-base) 767 92 102 65 105 97 98 92 116 520 205 618 147 786 Scottish Conservative and Unionist 170 17 15 14 7 24 31 28 34 137 26 131 39 183 22% 19% 14% 22% 6% 25% 32% 30% 29% 26% 13% 21% 26% 23% Scottish Labour 107 16 15 10 17 17 7 10 15 77 25 88 19 117 14% 17% 15% 16% 16% 18% 7% 11% 13% 15% 12% 14% 13% 15% Scottish Liberal Democrats 47 2 - 11 14 4 2 3 10 40 6 37 10 51 6% 2% - 17% 13% 4% 2% 3% 9% 8% 3% 6% 7% 6% Scottish National Party (SNP) 361 48 60 23 53 42 48 43 44 223 115 302 59 353 47% 52% 59% 35% 51% 44% 49% 47% 38% 43% 56% 49% 40% 45% Scottish Green Party 62 4 11 6 12 8 6 5 10 32 26 43 19 63 8% 4% 10% 10% 12% 8% 6% 6% 8% 6% 13% 7% 13% 8% Independent candidate 6 1 - 1 - - 3 1 - 6 - 6 - 5 1% 1% - 1% - - 3% 1% - 1% - 1% - 1% Action (formerly Alliance) for ------Independence (AFI) ------UKIP 1 ------1 - 1 - - 1 1 * ------1% - * - - 1% * Reform UK/The Brexit Party 2 - - - 1 - - 1 - 1 1 2 - 2 * - - - 1% - - 1% - * 1% * - * Independence for Scotland Party 5 3 1 - - * 1 - - 2 3 5 - 5 (ISP) 1% 3% 1% - - * 1% - - * 1% 1% - 1% Other 6 2 1 - 1 - - 1 2 3 2 6 - 6 1% 2% 1% - 1% - - 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% - 1% Outside voting base - Undecided/Don't know 34 1 6 2 6 * 5 7 6 28 5 27 7 39 4% 1% 5% 3% 5% * 5% 7% 5% 5% 2% 4% 5% 5% - Refused 8 1 2 - 2 * - 2 * 4 4 8 - 8 1% 1% 2% - 2% * - 2% * 1% 2% 1% - 1% - Would not vote 1 - 1 ------1 - 1 - 1 * - 1% ------* - * - *
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 12 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 12 LIST_VOTE1a/b/c. LIST - COMBINED VOTING INTENTION - ALL LIKELY TO VOTE Your second vote for the Scottish Parliament is for a list of candidates put up by each party, or single individuals who stand to represent your region of Scotland. You can vote for the same party as you did with your first vote, or vote differently. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you use your second vote?/Which party are you most inclined to support?
Base : All 9/10 likely to vote
Voting intention (SP) Voting intention (SP) Voting intention Past vote (SP 2016) Past vote (EU Referendum, UnW Total Constituency List (Indyref2) Constituency Past vote (2019 General Election) Past vote (Indyref 2014) 2016) Total Not vote/ too Not young vote/ /not too Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Scot' Remain Leave young Total Unweighted Total 834 188 122 43 395 183 117 51 353 378 387 158 119 45 355 209 135 44 278 334 421 64 541 211 66 834 Weighted Total 810 174 111 41 399 170 107 47 361 390 348 147 106 44 356 196 118 41 277 338 392 63 524 205 63 834 Total Voting (sub-base) 767 171 109 41 398 170 107 47 361 383 326 146 101 43 351 193 114 39 273 326 370 60 497 198 57 786 Scottish Conservative and Unionist 170 147 10 3 5 170 - - - 3 164 120 9 6 10 148 4 2 2 10 147 10 73 92 4 183 22% 86% 9% 6% 1% 100% - - - 1% 50% 82% 9% 15% 3% 77% 4% 6% 1% 3% 40% 16% 15% 47% 7% 23% Scottish Labour 107 7 83 5 7 - 107 - - 15 79 9 66 3 10 15 65 4 8 8 83 12 76 20 10 117 14% 4% 76% 11% 2% - 100% - - 4% 24% 6% 65% 7% 3% 8% 57% 11% 3% 2% 22% 20% 15% 10% 18% 15% Scottish Liberal Democrats 47 7 3 30 1 - - 47 - 5 36 6 5 25 2 10 4 22 * 3 40 3 34 7 6 51 6% 4% 3% 73% * - - 100% - 1% 11% 4% 5% 58% 1% 5% 4% 57% * 1% 11% 6% 7% 3% 10% 6% Scottish National Party (SNP) 361 3 7 3 338 - - - 361 306 25 4 12 8 283 11 32 8 223 263 68 28 262 56 32 353 47% 2% 7% 8% 85% - - - 100% 80% 8% 3% 12% 19% 81% 6% 28% 19% 82% 81% 18% 46% 53% 28% 57% 45% Scottish Green Party 62 1 4 - 42 - - - - 49 7 1 8 1 38 1 6 2 37 33 22 7 46 11 5 63 8% * 3% - 10% - - - - 13% 2% 1% 8% 2% 11% 1% 5% 6% 13% 10% 6% 12% 9% 5% 9% 8% Independent candidate 6 3 ------5 3 - - - 4 1 - - 2 4 - 3 3 - 5 1% 2% ------1% 2% - - - 2% 1% - - * 1% - 1% 1% - 1% Action (formerly Alliance) for ------Independence (AFI) ------UKIP 1 1 ------1 1 - - - 1 - - - - 1 - - 1 - 1 * 1% ------* 1% - - - 1% - - - - * - - 1% - * Reform UK/The Brexit Party 2 1 - - 1 - - - - - 2 - - - 1 1 - - - 1 1 - - 2 - 2 * 1% - - * - - - - - 1% - - - * 1% - - - * * - - 1% - * Independence for Scotland Party 5 - - - 5 - - - - 5 - - - - 5 - - - 3 5 - - 4 1 - 5 (ISP) 1% - - - 1% - - - - 1% - - - - 1% - - - 1% 1% - - 1% 1% - 1% Other 6 - 2 1 ------6 2 2 - 2 2 1 - - 3 4 - 1 5 - 6 1% - 2% 2% ------2% 1% 2% - 1% 1% 1% - - 1% 1% - * 2% - 1% Outside voting base - Undecided/Don't know 34 3 - - 1 - - - - 6 18 1 4 2 5 3 3 2 4 11 19 3 22 6 6 39 4% 2% - - * - - - - 2% 5% 1% 4% 3% 2% 2% 3% 5% 1% 3% 5% 5% 4% 3% 10% 5% - Refused 8 ------1 3 ------1 2 - 4 1 - 8 1% ------* 1% ------* * - 1% 1% - 1% - Would not vote 1 - 1 ------1 - 1 - - - 1 - - - 1 - 1 - - 1 * - 1% ------* - 1% - - - 1% - - - * - * - - *
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 13 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 13 SP_LIKEV. And, how likely would you be to vote in an immediate Scottish Parliamentary election, on a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 means you would be absolutely certain to vote and 1 that you would be absolutely certain NOT to vote?
Base : All
UnW Total Gender Identity Age Social class Work status Work Sector Qualifications Total Work Work 65 55 -ing -ing Not Degree or or full part work Priv Pub- No Other or Male Female 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 more 16-34 35-54 more AB C1 C2 DE ABC1 C2DE time time -ing -ate lic quals quals higher Total Unweighted Total 1031 479 552 120 158 144 173 188 248 278 317 436 226 375 217 170 601 387 441 126 464 295 241 152 532 324 1031 Weighted Total 1031 490 541 118 180 148 188 164 234 297 336 398 219 303 182 286 521 468 459 112 460 415 137 153 539 318 1031 1 - Absolutely certain not to 36 15 20 7 9 3 6 7 4 16 9 11 2 7 9 17 9 26 15 4 16 16 1 9 24 2 32 vote 3% 3% 4% 6% 5% 2% 3% 4% 2% 5% 3% 3% 1% 2% 5% 6% 2% 6% 3% 4% 4% 4% 1% 6% 4% 1% 3% 2 4 3 1 2 - 2 - - 1 2 2 1 - - 4 - - 4 3 - 1 2 1 1 4 - 5 * 1% * 1% - 1% - - * 1% 1% * - - 2% - - 1% 1% - * 1% 1% * 1% - * 3 12 6 6 4 3 1 2 - 2 7 3 2 1 1 4 5 2 10 2 * 9 2 1 1 10 1 10 1% 1% 1% 3% 2% 1% 1% - 1% 2% 1% * * * 2% 2% * 2% 1% * 2% * 1% * 2% * 1% 4 4 1 3 1 - 1 1 1 - 1 2 1 - * 3 - * 3 3 1 1 1 2 1 3 - 7 * * 1% 1% - 1% * 1% - * 1% * - * 2% - * 1% 1% 1% * * 2% 1% 1% - 1% 5 35 15 20 7 12 6 4 2 5 19 9 6 4 11 6 8 15 14 19 4 13 17 5 - 25 8 35 3% 3% 4% 6% 7% 4% 2% 1% 2% 6% 3% 2% 2% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 3% 3% 4% 4% - 5% 3% 3% 6 25 14 11 6 9 2 3 4 1 15 4 6 11 4 3 5 15 8 11 7 7 14 4 - 18 7 22 2% 3% 2% 5% 5% 1% 1% 3% 1% 5% 1% 1% 5% 1% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 7% 2% 3% 3% - 3% 2% 2% 7 40 13 27 14 9 7 6 2 3 22 12 5 5 13 5 17 18 23 13 8 18 19 2 4 34 2 25 4% 3% 5% 12% 5% 4% 3% 1% 1% 8% 4% 1% 2% 4% 3% 6% 3% 5% 3% 8% 4% 5% 2% 3% 6% 1% 2% 8 58 30 28 9 15 10 9 7 7 24 19 15 10 19 9 19 29 27 26 6 26 23 9 7 24 26 55 6% 6% 5% 8% 8% 7% 5% 5% 3% 8% 6% 4% 4% 6% 5% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 8% 5% 9 49 24 25 15 7 6 5 9 7 21 11 16 8 12 8 18 20 26 19 6 24 17 8 7 21 19 46 5% 5% 5% 13% 4% 4% 3% 6% 3% 7% 3% 4% 4% 4% 5% 6% 4% 6% 4% 6% 5% 4% 6% 4% 4% 6% 4% 10 - Absolutely certain to vote 761 367 394 54 115 110 152 129 201 169 262 330 177 233 130 192 411 322 347 75 339 302 103 119 376 252 788 74% 75% 73% 45% 64% 75% 81% 79% 86% 57% 78% 83% 81% 77% 72% 67% 79% 69% 76% 67% 74% 73% 75% 78% 70% 79% 76% Don't know 6 1 5 * - - - 2 3 * - 6 1 1 - 4 2 4 1 - 5 - 1 5 * 1 5 1% * 1% * - - - 2% 1% * - 1% * * - 2% * 1% * - 1% - * 3% * * * Refused 1 - 1 - - - 1 - - - 1 - 1 - - - 1 - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - 1 * - * - - - 1% - - - * - 1% - - - * - * - - * - - * - * Mean 9.00 9.04 8.96 7.94 8.53 9.05 9.24 9.23 9.52 8.30 9.16 9.40 9.42 9.22 8.66 8.73 9.31 8.70 9.04 8.77 9.01 8.93 9.18 9.14 8.70 9.45 9.09 Combinations - Summary net 9/10 810 391 419 68 122 116 157 138 208 190 273 346 185 246 139 210 431 349 366 81 363 319 111 126 396 271 834 79% 80% 77% 58% 68% 79% 83% 84% 89% 64% 81% 87% 85% 81% 76% 74% 83% 75% 80% 73% 79% 77% 81% 82% 74% 85% 81% 7/8 98 43 55 23 24 16 15 10 11 47 31 20 14 32 14 36 46 50 40 14 44 42 11 12 57 28 80 10% 9% 10% 19% 13% 11% 8% 6% 4% 16% 9% 5% 7% 11% 8% 13% 9% 11% 9% 13% 10% 10% 8% 8% 11% 9% 8% 1 to 6 116 55 61 26 34 15 15 14 12 60 30 26 17 24 29 35 41 65 52 16 48 52 14 11 84 19 111 11% 11% 11% 22% 19% 10% 8% 8% 5% 20% 9% 7% 8% 8% 16% 12% 8% 14% 11% 15% 10% 13% 10% 7% 16% 6% 11%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 14 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 14 SP_LIKEV. And, how likely would you be to vote in an immediate Scottish Parliamentary election, on a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 means you would be absolutely certain to vote and 1 that you would be absolutely certain NOT to vote?
Base : All
Total Scottish Parliament Region Tenure Country of birth UnW Total High- Mid lands Scot North and -land East South West Cent Glas Is- and Scot Scot Scot -ral -gow lands Lothian Fife -land -land -land Owner occupier Renter Scotland Elsewhere Total Unweighted Total 1031 135 138 81 143 114 138 136 146 703 236 857 169 1031 Weighted Total 1031 124 136 85 150 127 141 132 135 659 306 813 213 1031 1 - Absolutely certain not to 36 4 5 5 4 3 7 7 * 18 16 30 6 32 vote 3% 4% 4% 6% 3% 2% 5% 5% * 3% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2 4 1 - - 1 1 - 2 - 3 - 4 - 5 * * - - 1% 1% - 1% - * - 1% - * 3 12 5 - - 3 1 2 1 1 4 8 9 3 10 1% 4% - - 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 1% 1% 1% 4 4 1 - * 1 1 1 - - 2 1 2 2 7 * 1% - * * 1% * - - * * * 1% 1% 5 35 3 2 4 5 1 5 13 1 19 12 22 13 35 3% 3% 2% 5% 3% 1% 4% 10% 1% 3% 4% 3% 6% 3% 6 25 2 3 2 7 6 1 2 2 11 10 19 5 22 2% 2% 2% 3% 5% 4% 1% 2% 1% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 7 40 4 4 1 8 11 7 1 4 16 20 20 20 25 4% 3% 3% 2% 5% 8% 5% 1% 3% 2% 6% 2% 9% 2% 8 58 7 8 4 9 7 12 4 6 32 23 47 9 55 6% 6% 6% 5% 6% 5% 8% 3% 5% 5% 7% 6% 4% 5% 9 49 4 5 4 11 * 9 8 7 30 13 34 15 46 5% 3% 4% 5% 8% * 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 7% 4% 10 - Absolutely certain to vote 761 91 107 63 101 97 95 94 115 523 201 621 139 788 74% 73% 79% 74% 67% 76% 67% 71% 85% 79% 66% 76% 65% 76% Don't know 6 - 2 - * - 3 1 - 3 3 4 2 5 1% - 1% - * - 2% 1% - * 1% * 1% * Refused 1 1 ------1 1 - 1 * 1% ------* * - * Mean 9.00 8.82 9.26 8.88 8.82 9.07 8.78 8.70 9.63 9.24 8.60 9.06 8.77 9.09 Combinations - Summary net 9/10 810 94 112 68 112 97 103 102 121 553 213 654 154 834 79% 76% 82% 79% 75% 76% 73% 77% 90% 84% 70% 80% 72% 81% 7/8 98 11 12 6 17 17 19 5 10 47 42 67 29 80 10% 9% 9% 7% 11% 14% 14% 4% 7% 7% 14% 8% 14% 8% 1 to 6 116 17 10 12 21 13 16 24 4 56 47 86 28 111 11% 14% 7% 14% 14% 10% 12% 18% 3% 8% 15% 11% 13% 11%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 15 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 15 SP_LIKEV. And, how likely would you be to vote in an immediate Scottish Parliamentary election, on a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 means you would be absolutely certain to vote and 1 that you would be absolutely certain NOT to vote?
Base : All
Voting intention (SP) Voting intention (SP) Voting intention Past vote (SP 2016) Past vote (EU Referendum, UnW Total Constituency List (Indyref2) Constituency Past vote (2019 General Election) Past vote (Indyref 2014) 2016) Total Not vote/ too Not young vote/ /not too Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Scot' Remain Leave young Total Unweighted Total 1031 209 142 53 465 206 140 64 417 462 472 173 127 52 405 235 147 49 310 395 480 132 624 248 134 1031 Weighted Total 1031 198 133 54 473 193 130 64 435 483 444 162 120 51 409 227 131 48 308 407 458 140 611 249 142 1031 1 - Absolutely certain not to 36 - 1 - 3 - 1 - 3 10 17 2 5 - 5 5 - - 3 11 8 17 7 11 18 32 vote 3% - 1% - 1% - 1% - 1% 2% 4% 1% 4% - 1% 2% - - 1% 3% 2% 12% 1% 4% 12% 3% 2 4 1 - - - 1 - - - - 4 - - - 1 - - - 1 1 2 2 1 2 2 5 * * - - - * - - - - 1% - - - * - - - * * * 1% * 1% 1% * 3 12 - 2 - 1 - 5 - - 6 6 - - - 2 1 - - 1 5 2 5 3 3 5 10 1% - 1% - * - 3% - - 1% 1% - - - * * - - * 1% * 4% 1% 1% 4% 1% 4 4 1 1 - 1 1 1 - 1 2 2 1 - - 1 - - - 1 2 1 1 3 1 - 7 * * * - * * * - * 1% * * - - * - - - * * * 1% 1% * - 1% 5 35 4 3 3 9 3 5 3 9 8 15 - - 1 5 5 * 4 3 4 15 13 14 7 12 35 3% 2% 2% 5% 2% 2% 4% 5% 2% 2% 3% - - 2% 1% 2% * 8% 1% 1% 3% 10% 2% 3% 8% 3% 6 25 3 * 1 14 4 * 2 14 14 10 4 - 1 5 6 1 - 1 10 3 10 10 3 9 22 2% 2% * 2% 3% 2% * 4% 3% 3% 2% 3% - 3% 1% 3% * - * 2% 1% 7% 2% 1% 6% 2% 7 40 6 7 5 9 3 6 7 11 19 18 - 6 2 9 2 6 2 6 15 9 16 16 10 15 25 4% 3% 5% 9% 2% 2% 4% 11% 2% 4% 4% - 5% 4% 2% 1% 4% 4% 2% 4% 2% 12% 3% 4% 10% 2% 8 58 9 9 5 33 9 6 4 34 33 21 8 3 2 23 10 6 1 15 21 22 12 31 5 18 55 6% 4% 7% 9% 7% 5% 4% 7% 8% 7% 5% 5% 2% 4% 6% 4% 4% 2% 5% 5% 5% 9% 5% 2% 13% 5% 9 49 8 7 3 21 5 9 3 20 25 17 6 6 2 18 8 6 2 14 14 21 12 26 11 10 46 5% 4% 6% 5% 5% 3% 7% 4% 5% 5% 4% 4% 5% 3% 4% 4% 4% 3% 5% 3% 5% 9% 4% 5% 7% 4% 10 - Absolutely certain to vote 761 165 103 38 378 165 99 44 340 366 331 141 100 42 339 188 113 39 263 324 371 51 498 194 53 788 74% 83% 77% 71% 80% 85% 76% 69% 78% 76% 75% 87% 84% 83% 83% 83% 86% 82% 85% 80% 81% 36% 82% 78% 37% 76% Don't know 6 2 - - 3 2 * - 3 1 5 - - - 3 2 * - 1 1 5 * 1 2 * 5 1% 1% - - 1% 1% * - 1% * 1% - - - 1% 1% * - * * 1% * * 1% * * Refused 1 ------1 * ------* Mean 9.00 9.57 9.34 9.19 9.45 9.61 9.18 9.09 9.41 9.20 8.96 9.63 9.40 9.53 9.50 9.40 9.70 9.39 9.60 9.24 9.37 7.13 9.41 9.04 7.20 9.09 Combinations - Summary net 9/10 810 174 111 41 399 170 107 47 361 390 348 147 106 44 356 196 118 41 277 338 392 63 524 205 63 834 79% 88% 83% 76% 84% 88% 82% 73% 83% 81% 78% 91% 89% 86% 87% 86% 90% 85% 90% 83% 86% 45% 86% 82% 45% 81% 7/8 98 14 16 9 42 12 11 12 44 52 39 8 9 4 32 12 12 3 21 36 30 28 47 15 33 80 10% 7% 12% 17% 9% 6% 9% 18% 10% 11% 9% 5% 7% 9% 8% 5% 9% 7% 7% 9% 7% 20% 8% 6% 23% 8% 1 to 6 116 9 7 4 29 9 11 5 27 40 53 7 5 3 18 17 1 4 10 32 31 48 38 27 46 111 11% 4% 5% 7% 6% 4% 9% 9% 6% 8% 12% 4% 4% 5% 4% 8% 1% 8% 3% 8% 7% 34% 6% 11% 32% 11%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 16 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 16 CDEF. Have you definitely decided to vote (party/candidate) on your constituency vote, or is there a chance you may change your mind before you vote?
Base : All giving a voting intention at constituency vote (SP_VOTE1a/b)
UnW Total Gender Identity Age Social class Work status Work Sector Qualifications Total Work Work 65 55 -ing -ing Not Degree or or full part work Priv Pub- No Other or Male Female 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 more 16-34 35-54 more AB C1 C2 DE ABC1 C2DE time time -ing -ate lic quals quals higher Total Unweighted Total 849 414 435 95 125 119 144 155 211 220 263 366 200 307 174 137 507 311 369 97 383 249 194 124 430 279 849 Weighted Total 850 421 428 94 138 123 160 139 197 232 282 335 197 249 144 228 446 372 387 89 374 350 111 120 436 278 849 Definitely decided 570 290 279 41 88 75 109 100 157 129 184 258 119 167 102 162 285 264 245 52 273 220 65 94 298 170 572 67% 69% 65% 43% 64% 61% 68% 72% 80% 55% 65% 77% 60% 67% 71% 71% 64% 71% 63% 58% 73% 63% 59% 78% 68% 61% 67% Might change my mind 264 118 147 54 48 43 48 34 37 102 91 71 77 79 40 57 156 96 135 36 94 123 43 23 130 107 265 31% 28% 34% 57% 35% 35% 30% 25% 19% 44% 32% 21% 39% 32% 28% 25% 35% 26% 35% 40% 25% 35% 39% 19% 30% 39% 31% Don't know 15 13 2 - 2 4 3 4 2 2 8 6 1 3 2 9 4 11 7 2 7 6 2 3 8 1 12 2% 3% 1% - 1% 4% 2% 3% 1% 1% 3% 2% 1% 1% 2% 4% 1% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 1% 1% Prefer not to say ------
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 17 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 17 CDEF. Have you definitely decided to vote (party/candidate) on your constituency vote, or is there a chance you may change your mind before you vote?
Base : All giving a voting intention at constituency vote (SP_VOTE1a/b)
Total Scottish Parliament Region Tenure Country of birth UnW Total High- Mid lands Scot North and -land East South West Cent Glas Is- and Scot Scot Scot -ral -gow lands Lothian Fife -land -land -land Owner occupier Renter Scotland Elsewhere Total Unweighted Total 849 110 116 65 120 99 111 103 125 583 190 708 136 849 Weighted Total 850 100 114 67 124 112 114 99 119 552 241 673 172 849 Definitely decided 570 76 68 47 77 69 84 67 81 372 167 472 95 572 67% 76% 59% 71% 62% 62% 74% 68% 68% 67% 70% 70% 55% 67% Might change my mind 264 24 44 20 41 38 29 32 39 176 63 193 69 265 31% 24% 38% 29% 33% 34% 25% 32% 32% 32% 26% 29% 40% 31% Don't know 15 1 3 - 6 5 1 - - 4 10 8 8 12 2% 1% 2% - 5% 4% 1% - - 1% 4% 1% 5% 1% Prefer not to say ------
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 18 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 18 CDEF. Have you definitely decided to vote (party/candidate) on your constituency vote, or is there a chance you may change your mind before you vote?
Base : All giving a voting intention at constituency vote (SP_VOTE1a/b)
Voting intention (SP) Voting intention (SP) Voting intention Past vote (SP 2016) Past vote (EU Referendum, UnW Total Constituency List (Indyref2) Constituency Past vote (2019 General Election) Past vote (Indyref 2014) 2016) Total Not vote/ too Not young vote/ /not too Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Scot' Remain Leave young Total Unweighted Total 849 189 122 52 446 187 117 61 392 419 372 157 111 46 375 210 123 43 286 352 393 88 534 208 91 849 Weighted Total 850 181 116 53 456 178 108 61 409 440 348 150 102 45 383 202 111 42 287 360 380 92 528 210 91 849 Definitely decided 570 138 54 23 334 136 51 27 299 338 221 112 54 22 296 151 55 21 236 284 226 49 364 146 50 572 67% 76% 46% 44% 73% 76% 47% 44% 73% 77% 64% 75% 53% 49% 77% 75% 49% 48% 82% 79% 60% 53% 69% 69% 55% 67% Might change my mind 264 37 62 29 113 36 56 32 103 93 121 34 47 23 81 47 56 21 50 70 146 42 160 58 39 265 31% 21% 53% 55% 25% 20% 52% 53% 25% 21% 35% 23% 47% 50% 21% 23% 51% 50% 17% 19% 38% 45% 30% 28% 43% 31% Don't know 15 5 1 1 9 5 1 2 7 9 6 4 1 1 6 4 - 1 2 7 7 1 4 6 2 12 2% 3% * 1% 2% 3% 1% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% - 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 3% 3% 1% Prefer not to say ------
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 19 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 19 CALT. If you do change your mind about voting for this party on your constituency vote, which party would you vote for instead?
Base : All who might change their mind (at constituency vote SP_VOTE1a/b & CDEF)
UnW Total Gender Identity Age Social class Work status Work Sector Qualifications Total Work Work 65 55 -ing -ing Not Degree or or full part work Priv Pub- No Other or Male Female 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 more 16-34 35-54 more AB C1 C2 DE ABC1 C2DE time time -ing -ate lic quals quals higher Total Unweighted Total 265 105 160 57 47 38 44 38 41 104 82 79 76 97 49 34 173 83 125 39 101 85 72 24 130 107 265 Weighted Total 264 118 147 54 48 43 48 34 37 102 91 71 77 79 40 57 156 96 135 36 94 123 43 23 130 107 265 Scottish Conservative and Unionist 18 10 8 4 2 2 4 2 4 6 7 6 5 4 6 2 9 8 9 2 7 6 3 3 9 7 23 7% 9% 5% 7% 3% 6% 9% 6% 11% 5% 7% 8% 6% 6% 16% 4% 6% 9% 7% 6% 7% 5% 8% 12% 7% 6% 9% Scottish Green Party 24 10 13 8 6 6 1 - 2 15 7 2 7 9 2 5 16 7 12 2 10 10 2 - 14 10 20 9% 9% 9% 16% 13% 13% 3% - 4% 15% 8% 2% 10% 11% 5% 9% 11% 7% 9% 5% 10% 8% 5% - 11% 9% 8% Scottish Labour 53 20 33 9 11 6 9 12 6 20 15 18 20 15 7 11 35 18 26 8 19 23 11 5 20 28 54 20% 17% 22% 16% 23% 14% 19% 35% 16% 19% 16% 25% 26% 19% 17% 19% 22% 18% 19% 22% 20% 19% 24% 22% 15% 26% 20% Scottish Liberal Democrats 22 9 13 2 1 2 10 3 4 3 12 7 9 5 5 2 14 7 9 6 6 9 7 - 11 11 26 8% 8% 9% 4% 2% 4% 21% 9% 10% 3% 13% 10% 11% 7% 12% 4% 9% 7% 7% 18% 7% 7% 16% - 8% 10% 10% Scottish National Party (SNP) 31 16 15 9 3 9 2 6 3 12 11 8 5 12 4 7 17 11 15 4 12 13 6 2 12 16 36 12% 14% 10% 17% 6% 21% 4% 16% 7% 12% 12% 12% 6% 15% 11% 12% 11% 12% 11% 11% 13% 11% 14% 10% 9% 15% 14% Independent candidate 7 4 3 - 1 1 1 1 3 1 2 4 2 1 1 2 2 3 1 1 5 1 - - 3 2 7 2% 3% 2% - 1% 3% 2% 3% 7% 1% 2% 5% 2% 1% 2% 4% 2% 3% 1% 3% 5% 1% - - 2% 2% 3% Other 1 1 - - - - - 1 1 - - 1 - 1 - 1 1 1 - - 1 - - - 1 - 2 1% 1% - - - - - 2% 2% - - 2% - 1% - 1% * 1% - - 1% - - - 1% - 1% Undecided/ Don't know 104 45 59 21 24 17 19 10 12 46 36 22 28 31 15 25 59 40 62 12 30 59 14 12 61 31 92 39% 38% 40% 39% 51% 39% 40% 29% 33% 45% 40% 31% 36% 39% 38% 44% 38% 41% 46% 35% 32% 48% 33% 51% 47% 29% 35% None of them / would not vote 5 2 3 - - - 1 - 3 - 1 3 2 1 - 1 3 1 1 - 3 1 - 1 - 2 5 2% 2% 2% - - - 3% - 9% - 1% 5% 3% 2% - 3% 2% 2% 1% - 4% 1% - 5% - 2% 2% Refused ------
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 20 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 20 CALT. If you do change your mind about voting for this party on your constituency vote, which party would you vote for instead?
Base : All who might change their mind (at constituency vote SP_VOTE1a/b & CDEF)
Total Scottish Parliament Region Tenure Country of birth UnW Total High- Mid lands Scot North and -land East South West Cent Glas Is- and Scot Scot Scot -ral -gow lands Lothian Fife -land -land -land Owner occupier Renter Scotland Elsewhere Total Unweighted Total 265 28 46 20 43 30 27 32 39 175 57 208 55 265 Weighted Total 264 24 44 20 41 38 29 32 39 176 63 193 69 265 Scottish Conservative and Unionist 18 1 2 1 1 3 2 4 5 11 5 12 7 23 7% 3% 5% 3% 3% 8% 9% 11% 12% 6% 7% 6% 10% 9% Scottish Green Party 24 - 2 4 10 - 3 1 4 9 12 12 11 20 9% - 5% 23% 23% - 9% 3% 10% 5% 20% 6% 17% 8% Scottish Labour 53 6 14 2 6 6 5 6 9 41 6 39 14 54 20% 24% 32% 11% 14% 16% 17% 17% 23% 23% 9% 20% 20% 20% Scottish Liberal Democrats 22 1 * 3 5 4 2 1 6 17 4 16 5 26 8% 3% 1% 17% 11% 11% 6% 2% 16% 10% 6% 9% 8% 10% Scottish National Party (SNP) 31 5 3 1 5 5 6 5 2 20 6 18 14 36 12% 20% 8% 7% 11% 13% 21% 15% 5% 11% 9% 9% 20% 14% Independent candidate 7 - 1 1 2 1 - - 2 5 1 5 1 7 2% - 2% 6% 5% 2% - - 4% 3% 2% 3% 2% 3% Other 1 ------1 1 1 1 1 - 2 1% ------3% 1% * 1% 1% - 1% Undecided/ Don't know 104 12 19 7 13 19 11 13 10 67 28 87 15 92 39% 50% 43% 34% 32% 50% 38% 41% 27% 38% 45% 45% 22% 35% None of them / would not vote 5 - 2 - - - - 3 - 5 - 3 1 5 2% - 4% - - - - 9% - 3% - 2% 2% 2% Refused ------
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 21 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 21 CALT. If you do change your mind about voting for this party on your constituency vote, which party would you vote for instead?
Base : All who might change their mind (at constituency vote SP_VOTE1a/b & CDEF)
Voting intention (SP) Voting intention (SP) Voting intention Past vote (SP 2016) Past vote (EU Referendum, UnW Total Constituency List (Indyref2) Constituency Past vote (2019 General Election) Past vote (Indyref 2014) 2016) Total Not vote/ too Not young vote/ /not too Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Scot' Remain Leave young Total Unweighted Total 265 41 61 28 111 40 55 33 98 90 128 35 48 24 78 50 59 21 50 69 145 44 161 56 42 265 Weighted Total 264 37 62 29 113 36 56 32 103 93 121 34 47 23 81 47 56 21 50 70 146 42 160 58 39 265 Scottish Conservative and Unionist 18 - 7 2 8 6 5 1 5 3 12 8 1 1 2 8 1 1 2 1 13 5 11 4 3 23 7% - 12% 6% 7% 16% 9% 4% 5% 3% 10% 23% 2% 6% 3% 17% 1% 7% 4% 1% 9% 11% 7% 7% 8% 9% Scottish Green Party 24 - 3 1 19 - 4 1 9 14 3 - 5 1 12 1 4 * 7 9 8 7 13 4 7 20 9% - 5% 5% 17% - 6% 2% 9% 15% 2% - 11% 3% 14% 1% 7% 2% 14% 13% 5% 17% 8% 6% 18% 8% Scottish Labour 53 8 - 7 35 7 10 3 27 19 25 8 6 3 21 6 16 4 8 12 33 7 37 9 7 54 20% 22% - 24% 31% 20% 19% 10% 26% 21% 20% 25% 13% 14% 25% 13% 28% 19% 16% 17% 22% 18% 23% 15% 18% 20% Scottish Liberal Democrats 22 5 8 - 7 - 3 8 6 5 11 2 7 4 7 3 3 7 4 5 16 1 19 3 1 26 8% 12% 13% - 6% - 6% 24% 5% 5% 9% 6% 16% 16% 8% 6% 6% 31% 9% 7% 11% 1% 12% 4% 1% 10% Scottish National Party (SNP) 31 3 19 2 - 1 12 4 10 12 13 1 6 4 9 3 9 - 7 11 11 9 15 5 10 36 12% 7% 31% 8% - 3% 21% 13% 10% 12% 11% 2% 12% 20% 12% 6% 16% - 15% 16% 7% 22% 10% 9% 26% 14% Independent candidate 7 3 1 1 1 3 1 - - 2 5 1 1 1 1 2 2 - 1 2 4 - 3 2 - 7 2% 9% 1% 3% 1% 8% 2% - - 2% 4% 3% 1% 4% 1% 5% 4% - 2% 2% 3% - 2% 4% - 3% Other 1 1 - - - 1 - - - - 1 1 - 1 - 1 - - - - 1 - 1 1 - 2 1% 4% - - - 4% - - - - 1% 2% - 3% - 3% - - - - 1% - * 1% - 1% Undecided/ Don't know 104 16 24 14 41 18 20 13 45 36 49 13 21 8 27 21 21 8 20 28 58 13 60 28 10 92 39% 44% 39% 49% 36% 49% 36% 41% 43% 39% 41% 39% 44% 35% 33% 45% 37% 39% 40% 41% 40% 31% 38% 48% 26% 35% None of them / would not vote 5 1 - 1 2 - - 2 2 2 2 - - - 3 1 1 1 - 3 2 - 1 3 1 5 2% 2% - 5% 2% - - 7% 2% 2% 2% - - - 3% 3% 1% 3% - 4% 1% - * 5% 3% 2% Refused ------
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 22 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 22 LDEF. Have you definitely decided to vote (party) on your regional list vote, or is there a chance you may change your mind before you vote?
Base : All giving a voting intention at List vote (LIST_VOTE1a/b)
UnW Total Gender Identity Age Social class Work status Work Sector Qualifications Total Work Work 65 55 -ing -ing Not Degree or or full part work Priv Pub- No Other or Male Female 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 more 16-34 35-54 more AB C1 C2 DE ABC1 C2DE time time -ing -ate lic quals quals higher Total Unweighted Total 880 428 452 95 129 122 148 162 224 224 270 386 207 320 182 138 527 320 377 106 397 258 202 131 441 289 880 Weighted Total 881 438 443 93 144 126 163 145 210 237 289 355 202 262 154 231 464 384 399 95 388 361 116 128 447 288 880 Definitely decided 597 303 294 48 95 73 112 110 159 143 185 269 125 165 108 176 290 285 257 59 281 231 73 94 319 168 590 68% 69% 66% 52% 66% 58% 69% 76% 75% 60% 64% 76% 62% 63% 70% 76% 63% 74% 64% 62% 72% 64% 63% 74% 71% 58% 67% Might change my mind 271 127 144 45 46 50 49 32 48 91 99 81 75 92 45 49 167 93 139 33 99 127 40 29 124 116 277 31% 29% 32% 48% 32% 40% 30% 22% 23% 39% 34% 23% 37% 35% 29% 21% 36% 24% 35% 35% 26% 35% 35% 23% 28% 40% 31% Don't know 14 8 6 - 3 3 2 2 3 3 5 6 1 5 1 6 6 7 4 2 8 3 3 5 4 4 13 2% 2% 1% - 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% * 3% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 3% 4% 1% 1% 1% Prefer not to say ------
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 23 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 23 LDEF. Have you definitely decided to vote (party) on your regional list vote, or is there a chance you may change your mind before you vote?
Base : All giving a voting intention at List vote (LIST_VOTE1a/b)
Total Scottish Parliament Region Tenure Country of birth UnW Total High- Mid lands Scot North and -land East South West Cent Glas Is- and Scot Scot Scot -ral -gow lands Lothian Fife -land -land -land Owner occupier Renter Scotland Elsewhere Total Unweighted Total 880 115 119 70 121 103 118 109 125 608 196 729 146 880 Weighted Total 881 104 119 71 125 118 120 105 119 572 253 693 184 880 Definitely decided 597 75 70 53 85 77 81 71 84 382 186 483 110 590 68% 72% 58% 75% 68% 65% 68% 68% 71% 67% 73% 70% 60% 67% Might change my mind 271 28 45 17 38 39 36 33 34 184 61 200 69 277 31% 27% 38% 24% 30% 33% 30% 32% 29% 32% 24% 29% 38% 31% Don't know 14 1 4 1 2 2 3 1 - 6 6 9 5 13 2% 1% 4% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% - 1% 2% 1% 3% 1% Prefer not to say ------
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 24 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 24 LDEF. Have you definitely decided to vote (party) on your regional list vote, or is there a chance you may change your mind before you vote?
Base : All giving a voting intention at List vote (LIST_VOTE1a/b)
Voting intention (SP) Voting intention (SP) Voting intention Past vote (SP 2016) Past vote (EU Referendum, UnW Total Constituency List (Indyref2) Constituency Past vote (2019 General Election) Past vote (Indyref 2014) 2016) Total Not vote/ too Not young vote/ /not too Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Scot' Remain Leave young Total Unweighted Total 880 196 132 51 449 193 129 63 403 426 394 162 116 47 377 219 133 44 289 356 415 95 548 221 95 880 Weighted Total 881 187 123 53 461 183 118 64 424 451 367 154 103 47 386 211 118 43 293 368 398 99 540 226 96 880 Definitely decided 597 137 71 22 336 140 61 29 303 340 233 111 66 23 295 155 65 22 224 286 241 58 364 163 56 590 68% 73% 58% 41% 73% 77% 51% 46% 72% 76% 63% 72% 64% 49% 76% 74% 55% 52% 77% 78% 61% 59% 67% 72% 58% 67% Might change my mind 271 43 50 29 121 37 57 35 116 106 125 40 37 22 90 51 52 19 68 80 150 37 172 57 38 277 31% 23% 41% 55% 26% 20% 48% 54% 27% 24% 34% 26% 36% 47% 23% 24% 44% 45% 23% 22% 38% 38% 32% 25% 39% 31% Don't know 14 6 1 2 3 6 1 - 5 4 9 3 - 2 2 5 1 2 1 2 7 3 3 6 3 13 2% 3% 1% 3% 1% 3% 1% - 1% 1% 2% 2% - 4% * 2% * 4% * 1% 2% 3% 1% 3% 3% 1% Prefer not to say ------
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 25 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 25 LALT. If you do change your mind about voting for this party on your regional list vote, which party would you vote for instead?
Base : All who might change their mind (at regional list vote LIST_VOTE1a/b & LDEF)
UnW Total Gender Identity Age Social class Work status Work Sector Qualifications Total Work Work 65 55 -ing -ing Not Degree or or full part work Priv Pub- No Other or Male Female 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 more 16-34 35-54 more AB C1 C2 DE ABC1 C2DE time time -ing -ate lic quals quals higher Total Unweighted Total 277 122 155 49 44 50 46 37 51 93 96 88 75 110 52 32 185 84 127 42 108 93 68 29 130 116 277 Weighted Total 271 127 144 45 46 50 49 32 48 91 99 81 75 92 45 49 167 93 139 33 99 127 40 29 124 116 277 Scottish Conservative and Unionist 18 8 10 3 - 1 5 3 6 3 6 9 5 4 4 5 8 9 6 2 10 4 3 2 9 7 21 7% 6% 7% 7% - 2% 11% 9% 12% 3% 6% 11% 6% 4% 9% 10% 5% 9% 4% 7% 10% 3% 8% 6% 7% 6% 8% Scottish Green Party 24 16 8 4 3 11 3 3 1 7 14 3 7 10 5 3 17 8 15 3 7 13 4 1 8 16 27 9% 13% 6% 9% 6% 22% 7% 8% 1% 8% 14% 4% 9% 11% 11% 5% 10% 8% 11% 8% 7% 10% 9% 3% 6% 14% 10% Scottish Labour 54 26 28 8 13 10 5 9 9 21 14 19 16 21 7 8 37 16 27 6 22 23 10 6 22 25 58 20% 21% 19% 18% 29% 20% 10% 29% 19% 23% 15% 23% 22% 23% 17% 17% 22% 17% 19% 17% 22% 18% 24% 22% 17% 21% 21% Scottish Liberal Democrat 19 9 10 1 2 2 7 2 4 3 10 6 6 6 6 2 12 7 8 5 6 10 3 2 7 11 20 7% 7% 7% 2% 5% 5% 15% 6% 9% 3% 10% 8% 8% 7% 12% 3% 7% 8% 6% 15% 6% 8% 8% 5% 6% 9% 7% Scottish National Party (SNP) 30 14 16 10 4 6 3 3 4 13 8 8 8 8 4 6 17 10 13 3 13 12 4 3 15 12 33 11% 11% 11% 21% 8% 12% 5% 11% 9% 15% 9% 10% 11% 9% 10% 12% 10% 11% 10% 9% 13% 10% 10% 9% 12% 10% 12% Independence for Scotland Party ------(ISP) ------Action for Independence (AFI) 3 1 2 - - - 2 1 - - 2 1 3 - - - 3 - 3 - - 3 - - - 3 2 1% 1% 1% - - - 4% 4% - - 2% 2% 4% - - - 2% - 2% - - 3% - - - 3% 1% UKIP ------Reform UK / the Brexit Party ------Independent candidate 2 1 1 - 1 - 1 - 1 1 1 1 - 1 1 - 1 1 1 - 1 - - - 1 1 3 1% 1% * - 2% - 1% - 1% 1% 1% 1% - 1% 1% - 1% 1% 1% - 1% - - - 1% 1% 1% Other - (WRITE IN) ------Undecided/ Don't know 118 50 68 19 23 20 23 11 21 43 43 32 29 40 18 26 69 43 66 15 38 62 16 15 61 41 110 44% 39% 47% 43% 51% 41% 47% 34% 43% 47% 44% 39% 39% 43% 39% 53% 41% 46% 47% 44% 38% 49% 40% 52% 49% 35% 40% None of them / would not vote 2 1 1 - - - - - 2 - - 2 1 2 - - 2 - - - 2 - - 1 1 1 3 1% 1% 1% - - - - - 5% - - 3% 1% 2% - - 1% - - - 2% - - 3% * 1% 1% Refused ------
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 26 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 26 LALT. If you do change your mind about voting for this party on your regional list vote, which party would you vote for instead?
Base : All who might change their mind (at regional list vote LIST_VOTE1a/b & LDEF)
Total Scottish Parliament Region Tenure Country of birth UnW Total High- Mid lands Scot North and -land East South West Cent Glas Is- and Scot Scot Scot -ral -gow lands Lothian Fife -land -land -land Owner occupier Renter Scotland Elsewhere Total Unweighted Total 277 32 45 18 40 33 35 37 37 189 54 221 55 277 Weighted Total 271 28 45 17 38 39 36 33 34 184 61 200 69 277 Scottish Conservative and Unionist 18 1 2 1 3 3 3 4 2 11 5 16 2 21 7% 4% 5% 4% 7% 7% 8% 11% 6% 6% 8% 8% 3% 8% Scottish Green Party 24 2 6 3 4 3 3 2 2 16 5 15 9 27 9% 5% 14% 15% 11% 7% 10% 7% 5% 9% 8% 8% 13% 10% Scottish Labour 54 3 12 1 4 6 5 10 13 39 9 39 15 58 20% 10% 28% 6% 9% 16% 15% 30% 37% 21% 16% 20% 21% 21% Scottish Liberal Democrat 19 1 * 1 4 6 3 1 3 15 4 12 7 20 7% 5% 1% 3% 10% 15% 9% 3% 9% 8% 6% 6% 11% 7% Scottish National Party (SNP) 30 6 1 3 7 4 3 2 3 19 7 18 11 33 11% 20% 2% 18% 20% 10% 10% 6% 9% 10% 11% 9% 16% 12% Independence for Scotland Party ------(ISP) ------Action for Independence (AFI) 3 1 - - - - 2 - - 3 - 3 - 2 1% 4% - - - - 6% - - 2% - 2% - 1% UKIP ------Reform UK / the Brexit Party ------Independent candidate 2 - - - 1 1 - - 1 2 - 2 - 3 1% - - - 2% 2% - - 2% 1% - 1% - 1% Other - (WRITE IN) ------Undecided/ Don't know 118 15 23 9 16 17 14 14 11 75 32 92 24 110 44% 51% 50% 51% 42% 43% 41% 41% 32% 41% 52% 46% 35% 40% None of them / would not vote 2 - - 1 - - 1 1 - 2 - 1 1 3 1% - - 3% - - 3% 2% - 1% - 1% 1% 1% Refused ------
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 27 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 27 LALT. If you do change your mind about voting for this party on your regional list vote, which party would you vote for instead?
Base : All who might change their mind (at regional list vote LIST_VOTE1a/b & LDEF)
Voting intention (SP) Voting intention (SP) Voting intention Past vote (SP 2016) Past vote (EU Referendum, UnW Total Constituency List (Indyref2) Constituency Past vote (2019 General Election) Past vote (Indyref 2014) 2016) Total Not vote/ too Not young vote/ /not too Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Scot' Remain Leave young Total Unweighted Total 277 47 53 27 122 40 57 37 109 108 132 40 43 22 92 53 57 20 73 83 153 37 178 57 38 277 Weighted Total 271 43 50 29 121 37 57 35 116 106 125 40 37 22 90 51 52 19 68 80 150 37 172 57 38 277 Scottish Conservative and Unionist 18 7 4 1 3 - 8 4 3 2 16 8 - 2 2 8 1 2 1 2 13 3 10 5 3 21 7% 16% 8% 4% 3% - 13% 11% 3% 2% 12% 19% - 11% 2% 16% 3% 12% 2% 3% 9% 7% 6% 10% 7% 8% Scottish Green Party 24 - * 1 20 - 2 1 21 18 3 - 2 3 16 1 4 * 17 15 7 3 18 4 2 27 9% - 1% 2% 17% - 3% 2% 18% 17% 2% - 5% 15% 17% 1% 7% 2% 25% 19% 4% 7% 10% 8% 6% 10% Scottish Labour 54 9 9 6 28 10 - 7 35 20 22 7 5 3 20 8 14 2 12 15 31 7 30 13 10 58 20% 22% 19% 19% 23% 27% - 21% 30% 19% 17% 18% 12% 15% 22% 17% 27% 8% 18% 19% 21% 19% 18% 23% 26% 21% Scottish Liberal Democrat 19 5 4 4 5 5 8 - 5 5 14 5 4 1 3 5 4 3 2 4 14 1 16 1 2 20 7% 11% 9% 13% 4% 13% 14% - 5% 5% 11% 12% 10% 6% 3% 9% 8% 17% 3% 5% 10% 2% 9% 2% 5% 7% Scottish National Party (SNP) 30 1 9 1 14 4 12 3 - 12 12 4 4 2 15 5 6 1 11 10 13 7 20 3 7 33 11% 3% 18% 4% 11% 11% 22% 10% - 11% 10% 9% 11% 9% 17% 10% 11% 4% 15% 12% 8% 19% 11% 5% 19% 12% Independence for Scotland Party ------(ISP) ------Action for Independence (AFI) 3 - - - 3 - - - 2 3 - - - - 3 - - - 3 3 - - 3 - - 2 1% - - - 3% - - - 2% 3% - - - - 4% - - - 5% 4% - - 2% - - 1% UKIP ------Reform UK / the Brexit Party ------Independent candidate 2 1 1 - - 1 1 - - 1 1 1 1 - - 1 1 - - 1 1 - 1 1 - 3 1% 1% 1% - - 2% 2% - - 1% 1% 1% 2% - - 1% 3% - - 1% 1% - 1% 1% - 1% Other - (WRITE IN) ------Undecided/ Don't know 118 19 22 17 47 16 25 19 48 44 56 15 22 10 30 22 21 11 22 29 69 17 74 26 13 110 44% 45% 44% 57% 39% 43% 45% 56% 42% 41% 45% 37% 60% 44% 34% 42% 41% 56% 32% 36% 46% 45% 43% 47% 36% 40% None of them / would not vote 2 1 - - - 2 - - - 1 2 2 - - 1 2 - - - 1 2 - - 2 - 3 1% 2% - - - 4% - - - 1% 1% 4% - - 1% 3% - - - 1% 1% - - 4% - 1% Refused ------
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 28 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 28 FREQVOTE. Which of the following best describes how often you vote in Scottish Parliament elections?
Base : All
UnW Total Gender Identity Age Social class Work status Work Sector Qualifications Total Work Work 65 55 -ing -ing Not Degree or or full part work Priv Pub- No Other or Male Female 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 more 16-34 35-54 more AB C1 C2 DE ABC1 C2DE time time -ing -ate lic quals quals higher Total Unweighted Total 1031 479 552 120 158 144 173 188 248 278 317 436 226 375 217 170 601 387 441 126 464 295 241 152 532 324 1031 Weighted Total 1031 490 541 118 180 148 188 164 234 297 336 398 219 303 182 286 521 468 459 112 460 415 137 153 539 318 1031 I never vote 61 27 33 17 18 13 8 1 3 35 21 4 1 12 13 31 13 45 16 10 35 20 4 3 48 8 52 6% 6% 6% 15% 10% 9% 4% 1% 1% 12% 6% 1% 1% 4% 7% 11% 3% 10% 3% 9% 8% 5% 3% 2% 9% 3% 5% I rarely vote 25 13 12 8 10 2 2 - 3 18 4 3 3 2 8 10 5 18 15 2 8 11 5 1 20 4 20 2% 3% 2% 7% 6% 1% 1% - 1% 6% 1% 1% 1% 1% 4% 3% 1% 4% 3% 2% 2% 3% 4% 1% 4% 1% 2% I sometimes vote 49 19 30 14 11 8 4 7 5 25 12 12 7 12 9 15 19 23 19 7 23 15 10 3 33 11 48 5% 4% 6% 12% 6% 5% 2% 4% 2% 8% 4% 3% 3% 4% 5% 5% 4% 5% 4% 6% 5% 4% 8% 2% 6% 3% 5% I usually vote 147 56 91 19 35 27 29 17 19 54 56 37 37 43 26 36 80 63 76 25 46 77 20 20 84 41 136 14% 11% 17% 16% 20% 19% 15% 11% 8% 18% 17% 9% 17% 14% 14% 13% 15% 13% 17% 22% 10% 18% 15% 13% 16% 13% 13% I always vote 741 372 369 54 104 98 143 138 204 158 241 342 170 231 126 189 401 315 331 66 343 288 97 126 345 254 767 72% 76% 68% 46% 58% 66% 76% 84% 87% 53% 72% 86% 78% 76% 69% 66% 77% 67% 72% 59% 75% 69% 71% 82% 64% 80% 74% It depends 5 2 2 4 - - 1 - - 4 1 - - 2 - 2 2 2 1 - 3 1 * - 5 - 4 * 1% * 3% - - * - - 1% * - - 1% - 1% * 1% * - 1% * * - 1% - * Don't know 4 1 3 2 - - 1 1 - 2 1 1 1 1 - 2 2 2 1 2 1 3 - - 4 - 4 * * 1% 2% - - 1% * - 1% * * 1% * - 1% * * * 1% * 1% - - 1% - * Combinations - Summary net Never/rarely 86 41 45 25 29 15 10 1 6 54 25 7 4 13 22 41 18 63 30 12 43 31 9 4 68 12 72 8% 8% 8% 21% 16% 10% 5% 1% 3% 18% 7% 2% 2% 4% 12% 14% 3% 13% 7% 11% 9% 8% 7% 3% 13% 4% 7% Usually/always 888 428 461 73 140 125 172 155 223 213 297 379 206 275 152 226 481 378 407 91 390 365 117 145 429 295 903 86% 87% 85% 62% 78% 85% 91% 95% 95% 72% 88% 95% 94% 91% 83% 79% 92% 81% 89% 82% 85% 88% 85% 95% 80% 93% 88%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 29 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 29 FREQVOTE. Which of the following best describes how often you vote in Scottish Parliament elections?
Base : All
Total Scottish Parliament Region Tenure Country of birth UnW Total High- Mid lands Scot North and -land East South West Cent Glas Is- and Scot Scot Scot -ral -gow lands Lothian Fife -land -land -land Owner occupier Renter Scotland Elsewhere Total Unweighted Total 1031 135 138 81 143 114 138 136 146 703 236 857 169 1031 Weighted Total 1031 124 136 85 150 127 141 132 135 659 306 813 213 1031 I never vote 61 7 4 8 15 3 8 16 * 19 36 38 22 52 6% 6% 3% 9% 10% 2% 5% 12% * 3% 12% 5% 10% 5% I rarely vote 25 6 4 1 5 3 1 4 1 6 16 15 10 20 2% 5% 3% 1% 3% 3% * 3% 1% 1% 5% 2% 5% 2% I sometimes vote 49 4 2 3 7 6 12 7 7 24 16 32 15 48 5% 3% 1% 4% 5% 5% 9% 5% 5% 4% 5% 4% 7% 5% I usually vote 147 15 15 8 34 17 24 14 20 101 37 127 20 136 14% 12% 11% 9% 23% 13% 17% 10% 15% 15% 12% 16% 9% 13% I always vote 741 89 110 66 89 95 96 89 106 506 199 594 144 767 72% 72% 81% 77% 59% 75% 68% 68% 79% 77% 65% 73% 67% 74% It depends 5 * 1 - - - - 2 1 2 - 2 2 4 * * 1% - - - - 2% * * - * 1% * Don't know 4 1 - - - 2 1 - - 1 3 4 - 4 * 1% - - - 2% * - - * 1% * - * Combinations - Summary net Never/rarely 86 13 8 9 20 7 8 19 1 24 52 53 32 72 8% 11% 6% 10% 13% 5% 6% 15% 1% 4% 17% 7% 15% 7% Usually/always 888 105 125 73 124 113 120 103 126 607 236 722 163 903 86% 84% 92% 86% 82% 88% 85% 78% 93% 92% 77% 89% 77% 88%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 30 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 30 FREQVOTE. Which of the following best describes how often you vote in Scottish Parliament elections?
Base : All
Voting intention (SP) Voting intention (SP) Voting intention Past vote (SP 2016) Past vote (EU Referendum, UnW Total Constituency List (Indyref2) Constituency Past vote (2019 General Election) Past vote (Indyref 2014) 2016) Total Not vote/ too Not young vote/ /not too Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Scot' Remain Leave young Total Unweighted Total 1031 209 142 53 465 206 140 64 417 462 472 173 127 52 405 235 147 49 310 395 480 132 624 248 134 1031 Weighted Total 1031 198 133 54 473 193 130 64 435 483 444 162 120 51 409 227 131 48 308 407 458 140 611 249 142 1031 I never vote 61 - 6 3 8 * 9 1 11 22 25 - 2 - - 1 - - 1 5 8 48 9 6 45 52 6% - 5% 5% 2% * 7% 2% 2% 5% 6% - 2% - - * - - * 1% 2% 35% 1% 3% 32% 5% I rarely vote 25 7 - 1 10 4 - 1 8 11 11 - - - 2 3 * - 1 7 3 14 9 7 9 20 2% 3% - 2% 2% 2% - 2% 2% 2% 3% - - - * 1% * - * 2% 1% 10% 1% 3% 6% 2% I sometimes vote 49 3 12 1 16 4 11 3 18 28 13 3 3 - 10 6 5 3 10 18 13 13 20 9 17 48 5% 2% 9% 2% 3% 2% 8% 5% 4% 6% 3% 2% 2% - 3% 3% 4% 5% 3% 4% 3% 9% 3% 4% 12% 5% I usually vote 147 24 14 10 76 22 15 10 79 73 54 15 14 8 63 24 16 6 41 63 65 13 95 28 19 136 14% 12% 10% 18% 16% 11% 12% 15% 18% 15% 12% 9% 12% 15% 15% 10% 12% 12% 13% 16% 14% 10% 16% 11% 13% 13% I always vote 741 163 101 39 360 162 95 49 316 345 338 144 101 43 334 192 110 39 256 315 368 44 478 199 47 767 72% 82% 76% 73% 76% 84% 73% 76% 73% 71% 76% 89% 85% 85% 82% 84% 84% 82% 83% 77% 80% 32% 78% 80% 33% 74% It depends 5 1 - - 3 1 - - 3 4 1 - - - - 1 - - - - - 5 - 1 4 4 * * - - 1% * - - 1% 1% * - - - - * - - - - - 3% - * 3% * Don't know 4 1 - - - 1 - * - - 3 1 - - - 1 - - - - 1 2 - - 2 4 * * - - - * - 1% - - 1% * - - - * - - - - * 1% - - 1% * Combinations - Summary net Never/rarely 86 7 6 4 18 5 9 2 19 33 37 - 2 - 2 4 * - 2 12 11 62 18 13 54 72 8% 3% 5% 7% 4% 2% 7% 3% 4% 7% 8% - 2% - * 2% * - 1% 3% 2% 45% 3% 5% 38% 7% Usually/always 888 187 115 49 436 184 111 58 394 418 391 159 115 51 397 215 126 45 297 378 433 58 573 226 65 903 86% 94% 86% 91% 92% 95% 85% 91% 91% 87% 88% 98% 96% 100% 97% 95% 96% 95% 96% 93% 95% 41% 94% 91% 46% 88%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 31 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 31 ISS1 (issue2w2). Looking ahead to the Scottish Parliamentary election, which, if any, issues do you think will be very important to you in helping you decide which party to vote for?
Base : All
UnW Total Gender Identity Age Social class Work status Work Sector Qualifications Total Work Work 65 55 -ing -ing Not Degree or or full part work Priv Pub- No Other or Male Female 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 more 16-34 35-54 more AB C1 C2 DE ABC1 C2DE time time -ing -ate lic quals quals higher Total Unweighted Total 1031 479 552 120 158 144 173 188 248 278 317 436 226 375 217 170 601 387 441 126 464 295 241 152 532 324 1031 Weighted Total 1031 490 541 118 180 148 188 164 234 297 336 398 219 303 182 286 521 468 459 112 460 415 137 153 539 318 1031 Scottish independence/devolution 394 222 172 24 73 57 75 69 96 97 132 165 104 130 73 78 234 150 200 38 156 176 51 47 187 153 408 38% 45% 32% 20% 41% 38% 40% 42% 41% 33% 39% 41% 48% 43% 40% 27% 45% 32% 43% 34% 34% 42% 37% 31% 35% 48% 40% Education/ schools 305 123 182 34 51 56 64 37 63 85 120 100 88 90 47 70 179 117 132 40 132 122 46 32 154 114 319 30% 25% 34% 29% 28% 38% 34% 22% 27% 28% 36% 25% 40% 30% 26% 25% 34% 25% 29% 36% 29% 29% 34% 21% 29% 36% 31% Healthcare/ NHS/ hospitals 239 92 148 25 23 48 53 36 54 48 101 90 73 73 41 47 146 88 119 21 99 93 42 29 113 96 260 23% 19% 27% 22% 13% 32% 28% 22% 23% 16% 30% 23% 34% 24% 22% 16% 28% 19% 26% 19% 22% 22% 31% 19% 21% 30% 25% Coronavirus / pandemic disease 199 85 114 23 35 31 42 33 37 57 73 69 39 62 37 58 101 95 87 25 87 82 27 17 109 70 198 19% 17% 21% 19% 19% 21% 22% 20% 16% 19% 22% 17% 18% 20% 21% 20% 19% 20% 19% 22% 19% 20% 20% 11% 20% 22% 19% Managing the economy/ economic 163 86 77 8 26 28 38 25 38 33 66 63 48 47 34 29 95 63 74 20 69 71 21 15 73 74 166 situation 16% 18% 14% 7% 14% 19% 20% 15% 16% 11% 20% 16% 22% 15% 19% 10% 18% 14% 16% 18% 15% 17% 15% 10% 14% 23% 16% Europe/ EU/Brexit 127 70 57 10 22 26 28 22 20 32 54 42 28 48 23 25 76 48 73 13 42 63 21 8 67 52 124 12% 14% 11% 8% 12% 17% 15% 13% 9% 11% 16% 11% 13% 16% 13% 9% 15% 10% 16% 12% 9% 15% 15% 5% 12% 16% 12% Protecting the natural environment/ 111 45 66 20 17 20 25 14 14 38 45 28 36 31 13 25 67 38 46 16 49 44 16 7 52 51 108 climate change 11% 9% 12% 17% 10% 14% 13% 8% 6% 13% 14% 7% 17% 10% 7% 9% 13% 8% 10% 14% 11% 11% 11% 5% 10% 16% 10% Poverty/Inequality 63 20 43 10 10 12 11 10 10 20 23 20 17 20 7 18 37 25 28 10 26 20 13 7 35 21 74 6% 4% 8% 8% 6% 8% 6% 6% 4% 7% 7% 5% 8% 7% 4% 6% 7% 5% 6% 9% 6% 5% 10% 4% 7% 6% 7% Taxation 52 29 24 3 15 14 11 5 4 18 24 10 18 18 9 4 36 13 38 2 13 34 5 2 26 24 49 5% 6% 4% 3% 8% 9% 6% 3% 2% 6% 7% 2% 8% 6% 5% 2% 7% 3% 8% 2% 3% 8% 4% 1% 5% 8% 5% Unemployment 52 29 23 7 6 9 12 8 11 13 21 19 8 18 6 18 27 24 16 8 28 17 6 10 33 9 50 5% 6% 4% 6% 3% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 6% 5% 4% 6% 3% 6% 5% 5% 4% 7% 6% 4% 5% 7% 6% 3% 5% Lack of faith in politicians/system 46 31 15 4 1 10 9 11 12 5 19 23 10 13 10 10 22 20 26 2 17 21 7 4 24 17 49 of government 4% 6% 3% 4% * 6% 5% 7% 5% 2% 6% 6% 4% 4% 6% 3% 4% 4% 6% 2% 4% 5% 5% 3% 4% 5% 5% Care for older and disabled people 39 11 28 2 7 6 9 8 7 9 15 15 8 10 6 15 18 21 17 7 16 18 4 10 20 10 35 4% 2% 5% 2% 4% 4% 5% 5% 3% 3% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 5% 4% 5% 4% 6% 3% 4% 3% 7% 4% 3% 3% Housing 39 16 23 8 10 5 7 1 8 18 12 9 7 13 5 14 19 19 13 6 20 9 8 6 25 6 40 4% 3% 4% 7% 6% 4% 4% 1% 3% 6% 4% 2% 3% 4% 3% 5% 4% 4% 3% 5% 4% 2% 6% 4% 5% 2% 4% Public transport/ roads 36 16 20 2 2 8 6 5 14 3 14 19 12 9 5 9 20 14 13 5 19 12 5 9 16 10 41 3% 3% 4% 2% 1% 6% 3% 3% 6% 1% 4% 5% 5% 3% 3% 3% 4% 3% 3% 4% 4% 3% 4% 6% 3% 3% 4% Public services generally 34 21 13 4 6 9 5 6 5 10 14 10 10 12 6 5 23 11 19 4 11 15 8 4 19 11 40 3% 4% 2% 3% 3% 6% 3% 3% 2% 3% 4% 3% 5% 4% 3% 2% 4% 2% 4% 4% 2% 4% 6% 3% 4% 3% 4% Benefits 32 7 25 * 16 5 3 2 6 16 8 8 8 10 4 10 18 14 11 4 17 9 4 3 18 11 32 3% 1% 5% * 9% 3% 1% 1% 3% 5% 2% 2% 4% 3% 2% 4% 3% 3% 2% 3% 4% 2% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% Inflation/rising cost of living 31 13 18 2 3 8 11 5 3 6 18 8 9 11 2 9 20 11 16 4 11 17 4 3 20 8 31 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 5% 6% 3% 1% 2% 5% 2% 4% 3% 1% 3% 4% 2% 3% 4% 2% 4% 3% 2% 4% 2% 3% Issues affecting families/children/ 31 11 20 3 12 5 7 3 1 15 12 4 10 9 7 5 19 12 21 6 4 16 8 1 18 12 33 childcare 3% 2% 4% 2% 7% 3% 4% 2% * 5% 4% 1% 5% 3% 4% 2% 4% 3% 5% 5% 1% 4% 6% * 3% 4% 3% Pensions 24 6 18 1 3 2 7 4 8 4 8 12 6 7 3 9 13 12 8 1 15 7 2 4 17 1 23 2% 1% 3% 1% 2% 1% 3% 2% 3% 1% 2% 3% 3% 2% 1% 3% 2% 3% 2% 1% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% * 2% Crime and anti-social behaviour/ 21 12 9 4 3 3 3 2 6 7 6 8 4 7 1 8 11 9 7 1 12 4 4 3 15 3 23 law and order 2% 2% 2% 4% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 3% 1% 3% 2% 3% 1% 2% Oil/energy/gas policy 19 13 6 - * 6 3 4 5 * 10 9 6 5 1 5 11 7 11 1 7 9 3 4 6 8 19 2% 3% 1% - * 4% 2% 2% 2% * 3% 2% 3% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 1% 3% 2% Austerity/Public spending cuts 17 7 11 - 4 6 3 1 3 4 9 5 5 4 3 4 10 7 9 * 8 5 3 2 9 6 21 2% 1% 2% - 2% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% * 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% Asylum and immigration 14 4 9 1 5 2 1 4 1 6 3 5 5 2 2 5 7 7 8 * 5 4 3 3 7 3 16 1% 1% 2% 1% 3% 1% * 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% * 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% Rural issues/farming/fishing/ 10 2 8 - 2 2 - 3 4 2 2 7 3 1 2 5 4 6 3 3 4 5 1 5 2 3 10 agriculture 1% * 1% - 1% 1% - 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% * 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3% 1% 1% 1% 3% * 1% 1% Animal welfare 10 3 7 4 2 3 - - - 6 3 - 1 3 3 4 3 6 6 - 4 4 1 - 9 1 9 1% 1% 1% 3% 1% 2% - - - 2% 1% - * 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% - 1% 1% 1% - 2% * 1% Foreign policy/foreign affairs 10 2 8 1 1 1 - 3 4 1 1 7 3 3 1 3 6 4 4 1 5 1 2 1 6 2 12 1% * 1% 1% * 1% - 2% 2% * * 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% * 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% Defence 10 7 3 - 4 1 3 1 2 4 3 2 2 3 2 2 6 4 5 - 4 4 1 1 9 - 10 1% 1% * - 2% 1% 1% * 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% - 1% 1% 1% * 2% - 1% LGBT rights / equality / GRA 7 3 4 2 1 - 2 1 1 3 2 2 2 3 - 2 5 2 2 * 4 1 * 1 3 3 7 1% 1% 1% 2% * - 1% 1% * 1% 1% * 1% 1% - 1% 1% * * * 1% * * * 1% 1% 1% Trade unions/ strikes 7 4 3 - 2 3 1 1 1 2 4 1 4 1 * 2 4 3 6 - 1 5 * 2 2 2 6 1% 1% 1% - 1% 2% 1% * * 1% 1% * 2% * * 1% 1% 1% 1% - * 1% * 1% * 1% 1% Race relations 6 3 4 2 1 1 2 1 1 3 3 1 4 1 1 - 5 1 3 1 2 1 3 - 4 3 10 1% 1% 1% 2% * * 1% * * 1% 1% * 2% * 1% - 1% * 1% 1% * * 2% - 1% 1% 1% Opportunities / support for young 6 1 5 1 - - - 1 4 1 - 5 1 1 - 3 2 3 1 1 4 1 1 3 2 - 5 people 1% * 1% 1% - - - * 2% * - 1% 1% * - 1% * 1% * 1% 1% * * 2% * - *
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 32 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 31 ISS1 (issue2w2). Looking ahead to the Scottish Parliamentary election, which, if any, issues do you think will be very important to you in helping you decide which party to vote for?
Base : All
UnW Total Gender Identity Age Social class Work status Work Sector Qualifications Total Work Work 65 55 -ing -ing Not Degree or or full part work Priv Pub- No Other or Male Female 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 more 16-34 35-54 more AB C1 C2 DE ABC1 C2DE time time -ing -ate lic quals quals higher Total Weighted Total 1031 490 541 118 180 148 188 164 234 297 336 398 219 303 182 286 521 468 459 112 460 415 137 153 539 318 1031 Devaluation of the Pound Sterling 5 3 3 - - 1 1 - 3 - 2 3 1 2 * 1 3 2 2 - 3 1 1 1 4 * 7 1% 1% * - - 1% 1% - 1% - 1% 1% 1% 1% * 1% 1% * * - 1% * 1% * 1% * 1% Alex Salmond enquiry 5 2 3 - - 1 2 * 2 - 2 2 2 2 1 - 4 1 3 - 2 1 1 * 1 3 7 * * * - - * 1% * 1% - 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% - 1% * 1% - * * 1% * * 1% 1% MPs expenses 4 2 3 - - 1 2 - 1 - 4 1 2 1 1 - 3 1 3 - 2 1 1 - 2 2 5 * * * - - 1% 1% - * - 1% * 1% * 1% - 1% * 1% - * * 1% - * 1% * Foreign/overseas aid 4 1 3 1 2 * - - 1 2 * 1 1 1 * 2 2 2 * - 4 - * - 4 - 5 * * 1% * 1% * - - 1% 1% * * * * * 1% * * * - 1% - * - 1% - * Mental health issues 4 3 1 3 - 1 - 1 - 3 1 1 - 4 - - 4 - 1 - 3 - - - 3 1 5 * 1% * 2% - * - * - 1% * * - 1% - - 1% - * - 1% - - - 1% * * Low pay/ minimum wage/ fair wages 4 1 3 1 * - * - 2 2 * 2 2 1 - - 3 - 1 1 2 - 2 - * 3 6 * * 1% 1% * - * - 1% 1% * * 1% * - - 1% - * 1% * - 1% - * 1% 1% Terrorism 2 * 2 1 - * 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 1 * - 2 * 1 - 1 - 1 - 2 1 4 * * * * - * * - * * * * 1% * * - * * * - * - 1% - * * * Other 103 54 48 8 21 14 23 14 23 29 37 37 22 28 19 28 50 47 49 10 44 41 15 6 65 28 95 10% 11% 9% 6% 12% 9% 12% 9% 10% 10% 11% 9% 10% 9% 10% 10% 10% 10% 11% 9% 10% 10% 11% 4% 12% 9% 9% Don't know 129 58 71 30 29 12 18 15 24 59 30 40 15 24 29 48 40 77 51 16 63 51 14 24 76 23 118 13% 12% 13% 26% 16% 8% 9% 9% 10% 20% 9% 10% 7% 8% 16% 17% 8% 16% 11% 14% 14% 12% 10% 15% 14% 7% 11% Nothing - I won't vote 20 8 12 5 4 2 5 2 2 8 7 4 - 6 4 9 6 13 10 1 8 9 2 7 12 1 17 2% 2% 2% 4% 2% 1% 3% 1% 1% 3% 2% 1% - 2% 2% 3% 1% 3% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 5% 2% * 2%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 33 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 32 ISS1 (issue2w2). Looking ahead to the Scottish Parliamentary election, which, if any, issues do you think will be very important to you in helping you decide which party to vote for?
Base : All
Total Scottish Parliament Region Tenure Country of birth UnW Total High- Mid lands Scot North and -land East South West Cent Glas Is- and Scot Scot Scot -ral -gow lands Lothian Fife -land -land -land Owner occupier Renter Scotland Elsewhere Total Unweighted Total 1031 135 138 81 143 114 138 136 146 703 236 857 169 1031 Weighted Total 1031 124 136 85 150 127 141 132 135 659 306 813 213 1031 Scottish independence/devolution 394 43 55 36 57 43 62 39 59 279 91 320 73 408 38% 34% 40% 43% 38% 34% 44% 30% 44% 42% 30% 39% 34% 40% Education/ schools 305 35 32 22 45 41 37 32 61 222 66 235 70 319 30% 29% 24% 25% 30% 32% 26% 24% 45% 34% 22% 29% 33% 31% Healthcare/ NHS/ hospitals 239 25 27 20 39 37 22 28 42 176 46 186 53 260 23% 20% 20% 23% 26% 29% 15% 22% 31% 27% 15% 23% 25% 25% Coronavirus / pandemic disease 199 34 21 8 35 22 22 31 27 134 52 159 39 198 19% 27% 16% 9% 23% 17% 15% 24% 20% 20% 17% 20% 18% 19% Managing the economy/ economic 163 14 18 5 27 24 24 22 29 122 34 126 36 166 situation 16% 12% 13% 6% 18% 19% 17% 17% 21% 18% 11% 16% 17% 16% Europe/ EU/Brexit 127 12 12 9 28 21 17 17 10 84 34 90 36 124 12% 10% 9% 11% 19% 17% 12% 13% 7% 13% 11% 11% 17% 12% Protecting the natural environment/ 111 10 15 4 24 16 14 13 15 70 33 84 26 108 climate change 11% 8% 11% 5% 16% 13% 10% 10% 11% 11% 11% 10% 12% 10% Poverty/Inequality 63 10 11 3 8 5 5 10 10 42 14 54 8 74 6% 8% 8% 4% 5% 4% 3% 7% 8% 6% 5% 7% 4% 7% Taxation 52 5 6 4 9 9 7 4 8 41 9 40 12 49 5% 4% 4% 5% 6% 7% 5% 3% 6% 6% 3% 5% 6% 5% Unemployment 52 8 5 3 8 7 7 7 7 33 16 38 14 50 5% 7% 4% 3% 5% 6% 5% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 7% 5% Lack of faith in politicians/system 46 4 7 8 6 4 8 6 4 35 9 35 11 49 of government 4% 3% 5% 9% 4% 3% 6% 5% 3% 5% 3% 4% 5% 5% Care for older and disabled people 39 8 3 6 9 5 - 4 5 26 13 29 11 35 4% 6% 2% 7% 6% 4% - 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 5% 3% Housing 39 6 3 1 16 1 4 6 2 15 20 33 6 40 4% 5% 2% 1% 11% 1% 3% 4% 1% 2% 7% 4% 3% 4% Public transport/ roads 36 3 4 5 3 4 3 9 5 25 9 32 4 41 3% 2% 3% 6% 2% 3% 2% 7% 3% 4% 3% 4% 2% 4% Public services generally 34 5 6 - 6 4 5 3 6 28 4 32 2 40 3% 4% 4% - 4% 3% 3% 2% 4% 4% 1% 4% 1% 4% Benefits 32 6 3 3 8 4 4 1 4 18 14 28 4 32 3% 5% 2% 3% 5% 3% 3% 1% 3% 3% 5% 3% 2% 3% Inflation/rising cost of living 31 10 3 1 3 5 2 2 5 23 7 26 6 31 3% 8% 2% 1% 2% 4% 2% 1% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% Issues affecting families/children/ 31 3 2 2 10 5 4 2 3 20 10 24 7 33 childcare 3% 2% 1% 2% 7% 4% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% Pensions 24 5 3 1 7 - 6 - 3 13 11 23 2 23 2% 4% 2% 1% 4% - 4% - 2% 2% 4% 3% 1% 2% Crime and anti-social behaviour/ 21 5 2 1 2 1 1 6 2 15 3 14 6 23 law and order 2% 4% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 4% 2% 2% 1% 2% 3% 2% Oil/energy/gas policy 19 1 2 1 4 1 3 2 5 17 2 16 3 19 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 4% 3% 1% 2% 2% 2% Austerity/Public spending cuts 17 5 3 1 2 1 - 2 4 13 4 16 1 21 2% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% - 1% 3% 2% 1% 2% * 2% Asylum and immigration 14 5 2 - 2 2 1 2 - 7 7 11 3 16 1% 4% 2% - 1% 1% 1% 2% - 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% Rural issues/farming/fishing/ 10 - - 3 - - 4 2 1 7 3 8 3 10 agriculture 1% - - 4% - - 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% Animal welfare 10 2 - - 3 - - 2 3 5 4 9 1 9 1% 2% - - 2% - - 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% * 1% Foreign policy/foreign affairs 10 2 1 - 2 1 1 2 1 9 1 8 1 12 1% 2% * - 2% 1% * 2% 1% 1% * 1% 1% 1% Defence 10 4 - 2 2 - 1 * 1 8 2 8 1 10 1% 3% - 2% 1% - * * 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% LGBT rights / equality / GRA 7 1 3 - 1 - 1 - 1 3 3 6 1 7 1% 1% 2% - 1% - 1% - 1% * 1% 1% 1% 1% Trade unions/ strikes 7 1 - - 3 1 - - 2 5 2 5 2 6 1% 1% - - 2% 1% - - 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% Race relations 6 1 2 - 2 - 1 1 - 5 1 6 1 10 1% 1% 2% - 1% - * 1% - 1% * 1% * 1% Opportunities / support for young 6 - 1 - 1 - 4 - - 3 3 6 - 5 people 1% - 1% - * - 3% - - * 1% 1% - *
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 34 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 32 ISS1 (issue2w2). Looking ahead to the Scottish Parliamentary election, which, if any, issues do you think will be very important to you in helping you decide which party to vote for?
Base : All
Total Scottish Parliament Region Tenure Country of birth UnW Total High- Mid lands Scot North and -land East South West Cent Glas Is- and Scot Scot Scot -ral -gow lands Lothian Fife -land -land -land Owner occupier Renter Scotland Elsewhere Total Weighted Total 1031 124 136 85 150 127 141 132 135 659 306 813 213 1031 Devaluation of the Pound Sterling 5 1 - - 2 1 - 2 - 5 - 5 - 7 1% 1% - - 1% 1% - 2% - 1% - 1% - 1% Alex Salmond enquiry 5 - 2 - 1 - - - 2 4 - 5 - 7 * - 1% - * - - - 2% 1% - 1% - 1% MPs expenses 4 1 - - 2 1 - - 1 3 1 3 1 5 * 1% - - 1% 1% - - 1% * * * * * Foreign/overseas aid 4 3 - - * - - 1 1 2 2 4 1 5 * 2% - - * - - * 1% * 1% * * * Mental health issues 4 - 1 1 - 1 - 1 - 2 1 4 - 5 * - 1% 1% - 1% - 1% - * * * - * Low pay/ minimum wage/ fair wages 4 * - - 1 1 - - 1 2 1 3 * 6 * * - - 1% 1% - - 1% * * * * 1% Terrorism 2 1 1 - * 1 - - - 2 - 2 - 4 * 1% * - * * - - - * - * - * Other 103 10 15 11 16 17 13 12 9 56 44 77 26 95 10% 8% 11% 13% 11% 14% 9% 9% 6% 8% 15% 9% 12% 9% Don't know 129 16 16 15 16 22 17 19 9 62 52 96 31 118 13% 13% 12% 17% 11% 17% 12% 14% 7% 9% 17% 12% 15% 11% Nothing - I won't vote 20 2 4 3 2 1 5 2 1 13 5 18 1 17 2% 2% 3% 3% 1% 1% 3% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 35 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 33 ISS1 (issue2w2). Looking ahead to the Scottish Parliamentary election, which, if any, issues do you think will be very important to you in helping you decide which party to vote for?
Base : All
Voting intention (SP) Voting intention (SP) Voting intention Past vote (SP 2016) Past vote (EU Referendum, UnW Total Constituency List (Indyref2) Constituency Past vote (2019 General Election) Past vote (Indyref 2014) 2016) Total Not vote/ too Not young vote/ /not too Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Scot' Remain Leave young Total Unweighted Total 1031 209 142 53 465 206 140 64 417 462 472 173 127 52 405 235 147 49 310 395 480 132 624 248 134 1031 Weighted Total 1031 198 133 54 473 193 130 64 435 483 444 162 120 51 409 227 131 48 308 407 458 140 611 249 142 1031 Scottish independence/devolution 394 96 45 22 206 98 41 27 177 199 178 90 42 23 179 115 44 17 160 179 190 23 263 100 28 408 38% 48% 33% 41% 44% 51% 31% 43% 41% 41% 40% 55% 35% 45% 44% 51% 34% 37% 52% 44% 41% 16% 43% 40% 20% 40% Education/ schools 305 63 50 21 126 66 43 26 124 124 144 56 46 19 112 73 52 22 86 105 161 33 200 69 30 319 30% 32% 37% 40% 27% 34% 33% 41% 29% 26% 33% 35% 38% 38% 27% 32% 40% 45% 28% 26% 35% 23% 33% 28% 21% 31% Healthcare/ NHS/ hospitals 239 46 35 19 99 47 32 17 89 88 119 45 36 16 89 56 41 20 62 78 131 24 158 51 24 260 23% 23% 26% 35% 21% 25% 25% 27% 20% 18% 27% 28% 30% 31% 22% 25% 31% 42% 20% 19% 29% 17% 26% 20% 17% 25% Coronavirus / pandemic disease 199 28 27 11 113 25 30 9 99 104 75 24 25 8 102 37 29 11 68 91 91 15 128 48 17 198 19% 14% 20% 20% 24% 13% 23% 14% 23% 21% 17% 15% 21% 16% 25% 16% 22% 23% 22% 22% 20% 11% 21% 19% 12% 19% Managing the economy/ economic 163 42 20 10 70 47 18 9 67 69 79 42 20 10 61 54 22 5 56 67 81 14 110 41 11 166 situation 16% 21% 15% 18% 15% 25% 14% 15% 15% 14% 18% 26% 17% 19% 15% 24% 17% 10% 18% 16% 18% 10% 18% 17% 8% 16% Europe/ EU/Brexit 127 15 12 16 73 19 6 13 65 77 36 11 17 12 58 21 16 13 47 61 52 13 82 33 10 124 12% 8% 9% 29% 15% 10% 5% 20% 15% 16% 8% 7% 14% 23% 14% 9% 12% 27% 15% 15% 11% 9% 13% 13% 7% 12% Protecting the natural environment/ 111 8 9 14 62 10 10 14 46 57 40 11 12 10 48 13 16 8 34 44 47 17 72 15 23 108 climate change 11% 4% 7% 26% 13% 5% 7% 23% 11% 12% 9% 7% 10% 20% 12% 6% 12% 16% 11% 11% 10% 12% 12% 6% 16% 10% Poverty/Inequality 63 2 6 5 28 3 7 2 25 30 22 4 11 5 22 4 14 3 17 25 27 10 44 7 12 74 6% 1% 5% 10% 6% 1% 5% 3% 6% 6% 5% 2% 9% 9% 5% 2% 11% 6% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 3% 8% 7% Taxation 52 15 7 7 20 16 2 9 23 22 25 13 2 5 16 18 5 2 11 20 27 5 33 12 7 49 5% 7% 5% 12% 4% 8% 2% 14% 5% 5% 6% 8% 2% 10% 4% 8% 4% 5% 4% 5% 6% 3% 5% 5% 5% 5% Unemployment 52 7 10 2 19 9 11 2 18 19 29 9 14 1 10 10 13 - 9 13 27 12 23 12 17 50 5% 4% 7% 4% 4% 4% 8% 2% 4% 4% 7% 5% 12% 2% 3% 4% 10% - 3% 3% 6% 9% 4% 5% 12% 5% Lack of faith in politicians/system 46 14 5 3 13 15 4 2 11 16 28 12 8 6 11 19 5 1 15 15 29 2 23 21 2 49 of government 4% 7% 4% 5% 3% 8% 3% 3% 3% 3% 6% 7% 6% 11% 3% 8% 4% 1% 5% 4% 6% 1% 4% 8% 1% 5% Care for older and disabled people 39 6 6 5 14 5 9 2 11 14 23 6 6 1 16 7 8 2 12 16 22 1 27 7 5 35 4% 3% 4% 9% 3% 3% 7% 3% 2% 3% 5% 4% 5% 2% 4% 3% 6% 4% 4% 4% 5% 1% 4% 3% 3% 3% Housing 39 2 4 3 25 2 5 3 21 21 14 2 6 2 16 2 5 2 14 16 16 7 23 8 6 40 4% 1% 3% 6% 5% 1% 4% 5% 5% 4% 3% 1% 5% 4% 4% 1% 4% 4% 5% 4% 3% 5% 4% 3% 4% 4% Public transport/ roads 36 8 3 3 10 7 3 5 8 10 22 6 6 6 11 10 8 1 8 15 18 2 13 15 6 41 3% 4% 2% 6% 2% 4% 2% 8% 2% 2% 5% 4% 5% 11% 3% 5% 6% 3% 3% 4% 4% 1% 2% 6% 4% 4% Public services generally 34 6 3 3 18 6 4 3 16 17 16 6 8 3 14 8 8 1 10 15 17 3 21 8 5 40 3% 3% 2% 5% 4% 3% 3% 4% 4% 3% 4% 4% 7% 5% 3% 4% 6% 3% 3% 4% 4% 2% 4% 3% 4% 4% Benefits 32 3 3 1 19 3 3 1 17 18 12 3 4 1 15 3 3 1 9 14 12 6 17 5 8 32 3% 1% 2% 1% 4% 1% 2% 1% 4% 4% 3% 2% 3% 1% 4% 1% 2% 1% 3% 3% 3% 4% 3% 2% 5% 3% Inflation/rising cost of living 31 6 5 4 10 4 7 3 7 12 17 5 8 6 8 5 8 3 5 12 17 2 21 4 6 31 3% 3% 4% 8% 2% 2% 5% 5% 2% 2% 4% 3% 6% 11% 2% 2% 6% 6% 2% 3% 4% 2% 3% 2% 4% 3% Issues affecting families/children/ 31 2 * 5 17 2 2 5 16 18 11 3 2 5 17 4 1 3 16 16 12 3 20 7 2 33 childcare 3% 1% * 9% 4% 1% 2% 8% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 10% 4% 2% 1% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 3% 3% 2% 3% Pensions 24 4 1 2 11 5 3 1 10 11 12 3 4 1 9 6 2 - 5 8 12 3 10 8 4 23 2% 2% 1% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% 2% - 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% Crime and anti-social behaviour/ 21 3 2 2 12 3 2 2 8 12 8 2 2 1 9 5 2 - 5 8 9 4 11 4 5 23 law and order 2% 1% 2% 3% 3% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% - 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 4% 2% Oil/energy/gas policy 19 6 2 2 5 7 - 4 5 4 14 6 4 4 3 6 3 1 3 5 11 3 8 4 7 19 2% 3% 1% 4% 1% 4% - 6% 1% 1% 3% 4% 3% 7% 1% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 5% 2% Austerity/Public spending cuts 17 1 1 2 8 1 1 2 5 7 10 1 4 1 7 2 5 1 4 9 8 - 12 2 2 21 2% 1% 1% 5% 2% 1% 1% 4% 1% 1% 2% 1% 4% 2% 2% 1% 4% 3% 1% 2% 2% - 2% 1% 2% 2% Asylum and immigration 14 3 * 1 9 3 - 1 5 8 3 1 1 - 7 2 3 - 3 6 4 4 7 4 2 16 1% 1% * 2% 2% 1% - 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% - 2% 1% 2% - 1% 2% 1% 3% 1% 2% 1% 2% Rural issues/farming/fishing/ 10 4 - 1 4 6 - - 4 4 7 3 - 1 2 4 2 1 1 3 7 - 6 4 * 10 agriculture 1% 2% - 1% 1% 3% - - 1% 1% 1% 2% - 1% * 2% 1% 1% * 1% 1% - 1% 1% * 1% Animal welfare 10 3 - - 4 3 1 - 2 6 4 1 - - 4 3 1 - * 5 * 5 7 3 1 9 1% 1% - - 1% 2% * - * 1% 1% 1% - - 1% 1% 1% - * 1% * 3% 1% 1% * 1% Foreign policy/foreign affairs 10 2 - 1 5 1 4 - 2 3 6 1 2 - 3 3 2 - 1 3 6 1 7 3 - 12 1% 1% - 1% 1% 1% 3% - 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% - 1% 1% 2% - * 1% 1% * 1% 1% - 1% Defence 10 1 - 3 5 1 - 3 4 7 3 1 - 1 5 2 - - 4 5 4 - 7 2 * 10 1% 1% - 6% 1% 1% - 5% 1% 1% 1% 1% - 2% 1% 1% - - 1% 1% 1% - 1% 1% * 1% LGBT rights / equality / GRA 7 - - * 7 - - * 2 5 - - - - 4 * 1 - 5 5 1 1 6 - 1 7 1% - - 1% 1% - - 1% * 1% - - - - 1% * 1% - 2% 1% * 1% 1% - 1% 1% Trade unions/ strikes 7 - - 1 3 - - 1 1 2 5 - 2 1 3 1 4 - 1 6 1 - 4 1 2 6 1% - - 2% 1% - - 2% * * 1% - 2% 2% 1% 1% 3% - * 1% * - 1% * 2% 1% Race relations 6 - 1 2 3 - - 2 3 4 2 1 2 1 2 2 1 - 3 2 3 1 4 2 1 10 1% - 1% 3% 1% - - 3% 1% 1% 1% * 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% - 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% Opportunities / support for young 6 1 - - 5 1 - - 5 1 4 1 - - 4 1 - - 1 1 3 1 1 1 1 5 people 1% * - - 1% * - - 1% * 1% * - - 1% * - - * * 1% 1% * * 1% *
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 36 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 33 ISS1 (issue2w2). Looking ahead to the Scottish Parliamentary election, which, if any, issues do you think will be very important to you in helping you decide which party to vote for?
Base : All
Voting intention (SP) Voting intention (SP) Voting intention Past vote (SP 2016) Past vote (EU Referendum, UnW Total Constituency List (Indyref2) Constituency Past vote (2019 General Election) Past vote (Indyref 2014) 2016) Total Not vote/ too Not young vote/ /not too Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Scot' Remain Leave young Total Weighted Total 1031 198 133 54 473 193 130 64 435 483 444 162 120 51 409 227 131 48 308 407 458 140 611 249 142 1031 Devaluation of the Pound Sterling 5 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 4 1 1 1 1 2 1 - 1 1 4 - 3 2 - 7 1% * * 2% * * * 2% * * 1% 1% * 2% * 1% 1% - * * 1% - * 1% - 1% Alex Salmond enquiry 5 2 1 - 2 2 1 - 1 2 2 1 1 - 2 2 1 - * 2 2 - 2 1 2 7 * 1% 1% - * 1% 1% - * * 1% 1% 1% - 1% 1% 1% - * 1% 1% - * * 1% 1% MPs expenses 4 - - 1 3 - - 1 3 2 3 - - 1 2 1 - - 2 2 2 - 3 1 - 5 * - - 2% 1% - - 2% 1% * 1% - - 2% 1% 1% - - 1% 1% * - 1% * - * Foreign/overseas aid 4 1 - - 3 1 - - 2 3 1 1 - - 3 1 - - 1 3 1 1 2 2 1 5 * * - - 1% * - - * 1% * * - - 1% * - - * 1% * * * 1% * * Mental health issues 4 1 1 - 2 1 1 - 1 2 1 1 - - 2 1 1 1 1 2 - 2 2 1 1 5 * * * - 1% * * - * * * 1% - - * * * 2% * 1% - 1% * * 1% * Low pay/ minimum wage/ fair wages 4 - - - 3 * - - 1 2 * - 1 - 2 - * - 1 2 1 1 2 1 * 6 * - - - 1% * - - * * * - 1% - * - * - * 1% * 1% * * * 1% Terrorism 2 1 - - 2 - - 1 1 1 1 - - - 2 1 - - 2 2 - 1 1 1 1 4 * * - - * - - 1% * * * - - - * * - - 1% * - * * * * * Other 103 15 15 7 42 12 14 8 37 45 41 10 13 9 39 17 12 8 26 44 44 12 56 23 17 95 10% 8% 11% 13% 9% 6% 11% 12% 9% 9% 9% 6% 11% 17% 9% 7% 9% 18% 9% 11% 10% 8% 9% 9% 12% 9% Don't know 129 20 24 2 54 16 26 3 53 64 44 10 14 1 38 15 13 5 30 41 38 36 58 26 33 118 13% 10% 18% 3% 11% 8% 20% 5% 12% 13% 10% 6% 11% 1% 9% 7% 10% 10% 10% 10% 8% 26% 10% 10% 23% 11% Nothing - I won't vote 20 - - - 3 1 - - 3 7 8 - 1 - 4 1 - - 4 5 4 11 3 6 11 17 2% - - - 1% 1% - - 1% 1% 2% - 1% - 1% 1% - - 1% 1% 1% 8% * 2% 8% 2%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 37 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 34 ISS1 (issue2w2). Looking ahead to the Scottish Parliamentary election, which, if any, issues do you think will be very important to you in helping you decide which party to vote for?
Base : All 9/10 likely to vote (at SP_LIKEV)
UnW Total Gender Identity Age Social class Work status Work Sector Qualifications Total Work Work 65 55 -ing -ing Not Degree or or full part work Priv Pub- No Other or Male Female 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 more 16-34 35-54 more AB C1 C2 DE ABC1 C2DE time time -ing -ate lic quals quals higher Total Unweighted Total 834 397 437 74 112 114 147 163 224 186 261 387 196 314 167 125 510 292 360 96 378 231 199 131 404 280 834 Weighted Total 810 391 419 68 122 116 157 138 208 190 273 346 185 246 139 210 431 349 366 81 363 319 111 126 396 271 834 Scottish independence/devolution 359 201 159 17 67 55 67 65 90 83 121 155 94 118 63 75 212 138 179 35 146 154 49 44 171 140 377 44% 51% 38% 25% 55% 47% 42% 47% 43% 44% 44% 45% 51% 48% 45% 36% 49% 40% 49% 43% 40% 48% 44% 35% 43% 52% 45% Education/ schools 263 110 153 27 39 49 57 31 61 66 105 92 81 78 42 53 159 95 118 30 115 104 41 30 125 104 279 32% 28% 37% 39% 32% 42% 36% 23% 29% 35% 38% 27% 44% 32% 30% 25% 37% 27% 32% 37% 32% 33% 37% 24% 32% 38% 33% Healthcare/ NHS/ hospitals 206 82 124 22 17 43 48 29 47 40 90 76 66 63 35 37 130 72 107 13 86 80 35 22 97 86 225 25% 21% 30% 32% 14% 37% 31% 21% 22% 21% 33% 22% 36% 26% 26% 17% 30% 21% 29% 16% 24% 25% 32% 17% 25% 32% 27% Coronavirus / pandemic disease 163 73 90 16 29 27 30 27 34 45 57 62 34 53 30 44 87 75 74 15 74 65 21 13 86 62 165 20% 19% 21% 23% 23% 23% 19% 20% 17% 23% 21% 18% 19% 22% 22% 21% 20% 21% 20% 19% 20% 21% 19% 10% 22% 23% 20% Managing the economy/ economic 143 75 68 4 19 25 34 24 37 24 58 61 43 39 30 26 82 56 66 17 60 65 16 14 64 65 144 situation 18% 19% 16% 6% 16% 21% 21% 17% 18% 12% 21% 18% 23% 16% 21% 13% 19% 16% 18% 21% 17% 20% 15% 11% 16% 24% 17% Europe/ EU/Brexit 101 53 48 7 16 20 22 18 18 23 42 36 22 42 17 17 64 34 59 9 34 48 18 7 52 42 103 12% 14% 11% 10% 13% 17% 14% 13% 9% 12% 15% 11% 12% 17% 13% 8% 15% 10% 16% 11% 9% 15% 16% 5% 13% 16% 12% Protecting the natural environment/ 99 39 60 15 16 19 23 14 13 31 42 26 31 27 12 23 58 35 46 11 41 41 14 7 45 47 97 climate change 12% 10% 14% 21% 13% 16% 14% 10% 6% 16% 15% 8% 16% 11% 9% 11% 13% 10% 13% 14% 11% 13% 13% 5% 11% 17% 12% Poverty/Inequality 48 15 33 7 7 10 6 9 8 14 17 17 15 17 5 11 32 16 23 6 19 15 11 6 24 17 59 6% 4% 8% 10% 6% 9% 4% 6% 4% 8% 6% 5% 8% 7% 4% 5% 7% 5% 6% 7% 5% 5% 10% 5% 6% 6% 7% Lack of faith in politicians/system 39 26 13 1 1 9 8 10 11 2 17 21 9 9 8 10 18 18 23 1 15 18 6 4 18 16 42 of government 5% 7% 3% 1% 1% 7% 5% 7% 5% 1% 6% 6% 5% 4% 6% 5% 4% 5% 6% 1% 4% 5% 5% 3% 5% 6% 5% Unemployment 38 23 14 5 2 8 7 4 11 7 15 16 5 15 5 12 19 17 12 5 21 13 3 9 22 7 37 5% 6% 3% 8% 1% 7% 4% 3% 5% 4% 5% 5% 2% 6% 3% 6% 4% 5% 3% 6% 6% 4% 3% 7% 6% 2% 4% Taxation 36 18 18 1 11 7 10 3 4 12 17 8 14 12 7 - 27 7 26 2 9 22 4 - 19 17 37 4% 5% 4% 2% 9% 6% 6% 2% 2% 6% 6% 2% 8% 5% 5% - 6% 2% 7% 2% 2% 7% 4% - 5% 6% 4% Housing 30 11 19 7 8 3 6 * 7 14 9 7 7 9 2 12 16 14 9 2 19 6 4 4 19 6 30 4% 3% 5% 10% 6% 2% 4% * 3% 7% 3% 2% 4% 4% 1% 6% 4% 4% 3% 3% 5% 2% 4% 3% 5% 2% 4% Public transport/ roads 29 15 15 2 2 7 4 3 11 3 12 14 9 8 5 7 17 11 12 3 15 9 5 6 14 8 36 4% 4% 4% 3% 1% 6% 3% 2% 5% 2% 4% 4% 5% 3% 3% 3% 4% 3% 3% 4% 4% 3% 5% 5% 4% 3% 4% Care for older and disabled people 29 8 22 1 6 6 7 3 6 7 13 9 7 7 4 11 15 15 14 6 10 16 3 6 16 8 25 4% 2% 5% 1% 5% 5% 5% 3% 3% 4% 5% 3% 4% 3% 3% 5% 3% 4% 4% 7% 3% 5% 3% 5% 4% 3% 3% Public services generally 26 14 11 - 4 7 5 5 5 4 12 10 10 7 4 4 17 8 14 3 8 12 6 4 13 9 31 3% 4% 3% - 3% 6% 3% 4% 2% 2% 4% 3% 6% 3% 3% 2% 4% 2% 4% 4% 2% 4% 5% 3% 3% 3% 4% Inflation/rising cost of living 26 12 14 1 3 7 8 5 3 4 14 8 8 9 1 7 18 8 14 3 8 15 3 3 16 7 26 3% 3% 3% 1% 3% 6% 5% 4% 1% 2% 5% 2% 5% 4% 1% 3% 4% 2% 4% 4% 2% 5% 3% 3% 4% 3% 3% Issues affecting families/children/ 24 9 15 1 9 4 7 2 1 10 12 2 8 6 6 4 14 10 18 4 3 12 7 1 14 10 25 childcare 3% 2% 4% 2% 7% 4% 5% 1% * 5% 4% 1% 4% 2% 4% 2% 3% 3% 5% 5% 1% 4% 6% 1% 3% 4% 3% Benefits 22 4 18 - 11 5 2 1 3 11 7 4 6 8 2 6 14 8 9 3 10 7 3 1 14 7 23 3% 1% 4% - 9% 4% 1% 1% 1% 6% 3% 1% 3% 3% 1% 3% 3% 2% 2% 4% 3% 2% 3% * 4% 3% 3% Oil/energy/gas policy 19 13 6 - * 6 3 4 5 * 10 9 6 5 1 5 11 7 11 1 7 9 3 4 6 8 19 2% 3% 1% - * 6% 2% 3% 2% * 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 3% 3% 2% 3% 1% 2% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 2% Crime and anti-social behaviour/ 17 10 8 3 3 2 2 2 6 7 4 7 4 5 1 7 9 8 7 - 10 4 3 2 13 3 18 law and order 2% 2% 2% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 3% 3% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% 3% 2% 2% 2% - 3% 1% 3% 2% 3% 1% 2% Austerity/Public spending cuts 15 7 8 - 3 6 3 1 3 3 9 3 5 3 2 4 8 6 9 * 5 5 3 2 8 4 18 2% 2% 2% - 2% 5% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% * 1% 2% 3% 2% 2% 1% 2% Pensions 11 6 5 - 2 2 2 1 5 2 4 6 3 4 2 2 8 3 5 * 5 4 2 1 7 1 13 1% 2% 1% - 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% * 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% Rural issues/farming/fishing/ 10 2 7 - 1 2 - 3 4 1 2 7 3 1 1 5 4 6 3 3 4 5 1 5 2 3 9 agriculture 1% 1% 2% - 1% 1% - 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 4% 1% 2% 1% 4% * 1% 1% Defence 10 7 3 - 4 1 3 1 2 4 3 2 2 3 2 2 6 4 5 - 4 4 1 1 9 - 10 1% 2% 1% - 3% 1% 2% * 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% - 1% 1% 1% * 2% - 1% Asylum and immigration 10 2 7 1 5 2 - 1 1 5 2 3 4 1 1 3 6 4 4 * 5 2 3 - 7 2 12 1% 1% 2% 1% 4% 1% - 1% 1% 3% 1% 1% 2% * 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% * 2% * 2% - 2% 1% 1% Foreign policy/foreign affairs 8 2 6 - 1 1 - 2 4 1 1 6 2 2 1 3 3 4 3 - 5 1 1 1 6 1 9 1% * 1% - * 1% - 1% 2% * * 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% - 1% * 1% 1% 1% * 1% Animal welfare 7 1 6 2 2 3 - - - 4 3 - - 3 * 4 3 4 3 - 4 2 1 - 6 1 7 1% * 1% 3% 2% 3% - - - 2% 1% - - 1% * 2% 1% 1% 1% - 1% 1% 1% - 2% * 1% Race relations 6 3 4 2 1 1 2 1 1 3 3 1 4 1 1 - 5 1 3 1 2 1 3 - 4 3 10 1% 1% 1% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% * 1% 1% * 2% 1% 1% - 1% * 1% 1% 1% * 2% - 1% 1% 1% Trade unions/ strikes 6 4 2 - 2 3 1 - 1 2 4 1 3 1 * 2 3 3 5 - 1 5 * 2 2 2 5 1% 1% 1% - 1% 2% 1% - * 1% 1% * 1% * * 1% 1% 1% 1% - * 2% * 2% 1% 1% 1% Devaluation of the Pound Sterling 5 3 3 - - 1 1 - 3 - 2 3 1 2 * 1 3 2 2 - 3 1 1 1 4 * 7 1% 1% 1% - - 1% 1% - 2% - 1% 1% 1% 1% * 1% 1% 1% 1% - 1% * 1% * 1% * 1% LGBT rights / equality / GRA 5 2 4 2 1 - 2 - 1 2 2 1 1 2 - 2 3 2 1 - 4 - - 1 3 2 5 1% * 1% 2% 1% - 1% - * 1% 1% * * 1% - 1% 1% 1% * - 1% - - 1% 1% 1% 1%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 38 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 34 ISS1 (issue2w2). Looking ahead to the Scottish Parliamentary election, which, if any, issues do you think will be very important to you in helping you decide which party to vote for?
Base : All 9/10 likely to vote (at SP_LIKEV)
UnW Total Gender Identity Age Social class Work status Work Sector Qualifications Total Work Work 65 55 -ing -ing Not Degree or or full part work Priv Pub- No Other or Male Female 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 more 16-34 35-54 more AB C1 C2 DE ABC1 C2DE time time -ing -ate lic quals quals higher Total Weighted Total 810 391 419 68 122 116 157 138 208 190 273 346 185 246 139 210 431 349 366 81 363 319 111 126 396 271 834 MPs expenses 4 2 3 - - 1 2 - 1 - 4 1 2 1 1 - 3 1 3 - 2 1 1 - 2 2 5 1% * 1% - - 1% 1% - * - 1% * 1% * 1% - 1% * 1% - * * 1% - 1% 1% 1% Foreign/overseas aid 4 1 3 1 2 * - - 1 2 * 1 1 1 * 2 2 2 * - 4 - * - 4 - 5 1% * 1% 1% 2% * - - 1% 1% * * * * * 1% * 1% * - 1% - * - 1% - 1% Mental health issues 4 3 1 3 - 1 - 1 - 3 1 1 - 4 - - 4 - 1 - 3 - - - 3 1 5 * 1% * 4% - * - * - 1% * * - 2% - - 1% - * - 1% - - - 1% * 1% Opportunities / support for young 3 1 2 1 - - - 1 2 1 - 2 1 1 - - 2 - 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 - 4 people * * 1% 1% - - - * 1% 1% - 1% 1% * - - 1% - * 1% * * 1% 1% 1% - * Alex Salmond enquiry 3 * 3 - - 1 1 - 2 - 1 2 1 2 1 - 2 1 1 - 2 - 1 * 1 2 5 * * 1% - - * * - 1% - * 1% * 1% * - 1% * * - 1% - 1% * * 1% 1% Low pay/ minimum wage/ fair wages 3 * 2 1 - - * - 2 1 * 2 2 1 - - 3 - * 1 2 - 1 - * 2 4 * * 1% 1% - - * - 1% * * 1% 1% * - - 1% - * 1% * - 1% - * 1% * Terrorism 2 * 2 1 - * 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 1 * - 2 * 1 - 1 - 1 - 2 1 4 * * * 1% - * * - * * * * 1% * * - * * * - * - 1% - * * * Other 78 40 38 3 13 11 21 14 16 16 32 30 20 21 12 20 41 32 37 9 32 29 14 * 52 22 76 10% 10% 9% 4% 11% 10% 14% 10% 8% 8% 12% 9% 11% 9% 8% 10% 10% 9% 10% 11% 9% 9% 13% * 13% 8% 9% Don't know 77 33 44 13 11 8 16 9 20 24 23 29 10 15 17 31 25 48 31 10 36 31 10 20 38 14 72 9% 8% 10% 19% 9% 7% 10% 7% 10% 13% 8% 9% 5% 6% 12% 15% 6% 14% 8% 13% 10% 10% 9% 16% 10% 5% 9% Nothing - I won't vote 4 3 1 2 1 - 1 - - 3 1 - - 3 - 1 3 1 3 - 1 2 1 1 2 1 3 1% 1% * 3% 1% - 1% - - 1% 1% - - 1% - 1% 1% * 1% - * 1% 1% 1% 1% * *
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 39 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 35 ISS1 (issue2w2). Looking ahead to the Scottish Parliamentary election, which, if any, issues do you think will be very important to you in helping you decide which party to vote for?
Base : All 9/10 likely to vote (at SP_LIKEV)
Total Scottish Parliament Region Tenure Country of birth UnW Total High- Mid lands Scot North and -land East South West Cent Glas Is- and Scot Scot Scot -ral -gow lands Lothian Fife -land -land -land Owner occupier Renter Scotland Elsewhere Total Unweighted Total 834 107 118 64 108 89 108 108 132 601 169 705 126 834 Weighted Total 810 94 112 68 112 97 103 102 121 553 213 654 154 834 Scottish independence/devolution 359 41 52 34 45 42 52 36 58 251 85 294 65 377 44% 43% 46% 50% 40% 44% 50% 36% 48% 45% 40% 45% 42% 45% Education/ schools 263 28 30 19 37 40 31 23 56 200 51 207 56 279 32% 30% 27% 28% 33% 41% 30% 23% 46% 36% 24% 32% 36% 33% Healthcare/ NHS/ hospitals 206 19 25 16 29 33 19 26 38 158 35 161 45 225 25% 21% 22% 23% 26% 34% 19% 25% 32% 29% 17% 25% 29% 27% Coronavirus / pandemic disease 163 26 18 6 27 19 17 26 24 114 42 132 32 165 20% 27% 16% 9% 24% 20% 16% 25% 20% 21% 20% 20% 21% 20% Managing the economy/ economic 143 11 15 4 22 21 23 20 27 111 25 111 31 144 situation 18% 11% 13% 7% 20% 21% 22% 20% 22% 20% 12% 17% 20% 17% Europe/ EU/Brexit 101 8 9 9 17 19 13 16 8 71 24 77 24 103 12% 9% 8% 14% 15% 20% 13% 16% 7% 13% 11% 12% 16% 12% Protecting the natural environment/ 99 9 15 3 21 12 13 13 14 62 30 78 21 97 climate change 12% 10% 13% 4% 19% 12% 12% 12% 11% 11% 14% 12% 14% 12% Poverty/Inequality 48 7 9 3 7 2 4 6 10 35 9 43 5 59 6% 8% 8% 5% 6% 2% 4% 6% 9% 6% 4% 7% 3% 7% Lack of faith in politicians/system 39 2 7 5 5 3 7 5 4 31 5 29 10 42 of government 5% 3% 6% 8% 5% 3% 7% 5% 3% 6% 2% 4% 6% 5% Unemployment 38 3 4 3 3 6 6 7 6 26 8 30 8 37 5% 4% 4% 4% 2% 7% 5% 7% 5% 5% 4% 5% 5% 4% Taxation 36 5 2 3 4 9 7 2 4 33 2 31 5 37 4% 5% 2% 5% 4% 9% 7% 2% 4% 6% 1% 5% 3% 4% Housing 30 6 3 1 12 1 3 4 2 14 14 27 3 30 4% 6% 3% 1% 10% 1% 3% 4% 1% 2% 6% 4% 2% 4% Public transport/ roads 29 3 3 4 3 1 3 8 5 22 6 26 4 36 4% 3% 2% 6% 3% 1% 3% 8% 4% 4% 3% 4% 2% 4% Care for older and disabled people 29 5 1 6 5 4 - 3 4 21 8 23 6 25 4% 5% 1% 9% 5% 4% - 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% Public services generally 26 3 6 - 5 3 2 3 5 23 2 25 1 31 3% 4% 5% - 4% 3% 2% 3% 4% 4% 1% 4% 1% 4% Inflation/rising cost of living 26 8 3 - 2 5 2 2 4 22 3 21 5 26 3% 8% 3% - 2% 5% 2% 2% 3% 4% 2% 3% 3% 3% Issues affecting families/children/ 24 3 2 1 7 3 3 1 3 17 6 18 6 25 childcare 3% 3% 2% 1% 7% 4% 3% 1% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 3% Benefits 22 5 2 3 4 3 1 1 4 15 7 20 2 23 3% 5% 2% 4% 4% 3% 1% 1% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% Oil/energy/gas policy 19 1 2 1 4 1 3 2 5 17 2 16 3 19 2% 1% 1% 1% 3% 2% 3% 2% 4% 3% 1% 2% 2% 2% Crime and anti-social behaviour/ 17 3 2 1 2 1 1 6 1 13 2 13 4 18 law and order 2% 3% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 6% 1% 2% 1% 2% 3% 2% Austerity/Public spending cuts 15 4 2 1 2 1 - 1 4 12 3 15 - 18 2% 4% 2% 1% 2% 1% - 1% 3% 2% 1% 2% - 2% Pensions 11 1 3 1 3 - 1 - 2 8 3 11 - 13 1% 1% 3% 1% 3% - 1% - 2% 2% 1% 2% - 2% Rural issues/farming/fishing/ 10 - - 3 - - 4 1 1 6 3 7 3 9 agriculture 1% - - 5% - - 4% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% Defence 10 4 - 2 2 - 1 * 1 8 2 8 1 10 1% 4% - 3% 1% - 1% * 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% Asylum and immigration 10 4 * - 2 1 1 2 - 4 6 7 2 12 1% 4% * - 2% 1% 1% 2% - 1% 3% 1% 1% 1% Foreign policy/foreign affairs 8 2 - - 2 - 1 2 1 8 - 8 - 9 1% 2% - - 1% - 1% 2% 1% 1% - 1% - 1% Animal welfare 7 2 - - * - - 2 3 2 4 6 1 7 1% 2% - - * - - 2% 2% * 2% 1% * 1% Race relations 6 1 2 - 2 - 1 1 - 5 1 6 1 10 1% 1% 2% - 2% - 1% 1% - 1% 1% 1% * 1% Trade unions/ strikes 6 1 - - 3 - - - 2 4 2 4 2 5 1% 1% - - 3% - - - 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% Devaluation of the Pound Sterling 5 1 - - 2 1 - 2 - 5 - 5 - 7 1% 1% - - 1% 1% - 2% - 1% - 1% - 1% LGBT rights / equality / GRA 5 - 3 - 1 - 1 - 1 2 3 4 1 5 1% - 3% - 1% - 1% - 1% * 1% 1% 1% 1%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 40 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 35 ISS1 (issue2w2). Looking ahead to the Scottish Parliamentary election, which, if any, issues do you think will be very important to you in helping you decide which party to vote for?
Base : All 9/10 likely to vote (at SP_LIKEV)
Total Scottish Parliament Region Tenure Country of birth UnW Total High- Mid lands Scot North and -land East South West Cent Glas Is- and Scot Scot Scot -ral -gow lands Lothian Fife -land -land -land Owner occupier Renter Scotland Elsewhere Total Weighted Total 810 94 112 68 112 97 103 102 121 553 213 654 154 834 MPs expenses 4 1 - - 2 1 - - 1 3 1 3 1 5 1% 1% - - 1% 1% - - 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% Foreign/overseas aid 4 3 - - * - - 1 1 2 2 4 1 5 1% 3% - - * - - 1% 1% * 1% 1% * 1% Mental health issues 4 - 1 1 - 1 - 1 - 2 1 4 - 5 * - 1% 1% - 1% - 1% - * * 1% - 1% Opportunities / support for young 3 - 1 - 1 - 2 - - 3 - 3 - 4 people * - 1% - 1% - 2% - - 1% - * - * Alex Salmond enquiry 3 - * - 1 - - - 2 2 - 3 - 5 * - * - 1% - - - 2% * - * - 1% Low pay/ minimum wage/ fair wages 3 * - - 1 1 - - 1 2 1 3 - 4 * * - - 1% 1% - - 1% * * * - * Terrorism 2 1 1 - * 1 - - - 2 - 2 - 4 * 1% 1% - * 1% - - - * - * - * Other 78 8 12 10 10 12 9 9 8 51 26 61 17 76 10% 9% 11% 14% 9% 13% 9% 9% 7% 9% 12% 9% 11% 9% Don't know 77 7 10 9 16 13 8 6 7 43 28 60 16 72 9% 7% 9% 13% 14% 14% 8% 6% 6% 8% 13% 9% 10% 9% Nothing - I won't vote 4 - 2 - 1 - - - 1 3 - 3 1 3 1% - 2% - 1% - - - 1% 1% - 1% * *
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 41 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 36 ISS1 (issue2w2). Looking ahead to the Scottish Parliamentary election, which, if any, issues do you think will be very important to you in helping you decide which party to vote for?
Base : All 9/10 likely to vote (at SP_LIKEV)
Voting intention (SP) Voting intention (SP) Voting intention Past vote (SP 2016) Past vote (EU Referendum, UnW Total Constituency List (Indyref2) Constituency Past vote (2019 General Election) Past vote (Indyref 2014) 2016) Total Not vote/ too Not young vote/ /not too Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Scot' Remain Leave young Total Unweighted Total 834 188 122 43 395 183 117 51 353 378 387 158 119 45 355 209 135 44 278 334 421 64 541 211 66 834 Weighted Total 810 174 111 41 399 170 107 47 361 390 348 147 106 44 356 196 118 41 277 338 392 63 524 205 63 834 Scottish independence/devolution 359 88 43 20 191 90 38 23 163 183 160 83 40 20 166 103 43 16 153 165 176 16 251 86 21 377 44% 51% 39% 49% 48% 53% 36% 49% 45% 47% 46% 56% 38% 46% 47% 53% 36% 40% 55% 49% 45% 25% 48% 42% 33% 45% Education/ schools 263 61 42 16 113 63 37 19 111 103 128 53 43 17 101 69 49 19 79 89 145 22 179 65 15 279 32% 35% 38% 40% 28% 37% 34% 41% 31% 26% 37% 36% 40% 38% 28% 35% 41% 48% 29% 26% 37% 36% 34% 32% 23% 33% Healthcare/ NHS/ hospitals 206 42 34 17 87 42 30 14 79 77 101 39 36 14 78 50 40 20 56 65 116 18 142 44 16 225 25% 24% 31% 41% 22% 24% 28% 30% 22% 20% 29% 27% 34% 32% 22% 25% 34% 49% 20% 19% 30% 29% 27% 21% 26% 27% Coronavirus / pandemic disease 163 22 22 10 101 18 24 7 89 88 57 20 21 7 92 27 27 11 62 75 80 8 113 40 7 165 20% 13% 20% 25% 25% 10% 23% 16% 25% 23% 16% 13% 20% 15% 26% 14% 23% 27% 22% 22% 20% 13% 22% 19% 12% 20% Managing the economy/ economic 143 39 19 7 61 44 16 7 58 59 70 41 19 9 56 52 20 4 53 58 74 9 98 39 5 144 situation 18% 23% 17% 16% 15% 26% 15% 15% 16% 15% 20% 28% 18% 20% 16% 27% 17% 9% 19% 17% 19% 15% 19% 19% 8% 17% Europe/ EU/Brexit 101 11 12 10 61 14 5 10 51 63 26 10 16 10 49 16 16 11 40 48 47 6 71 24 5 103 12% 6% 10% 25% 15% 8% 5% 21% 14% 16% 7% 7% 15% 22% 14% 8% 13% 26% 14% 14% 12% 9% 14% 12% 8% 12% Protecting the natural environment/ 99 8 9 10 57 10 9 11 43 51 35 11 12 9 46 13 15 7 33 44 42 10 70 13 16 97 climate change 12% 5% 8% 25% 14% 6% 9% 23% 12% 13% 10% 7% 11% 21% 13% 7% 13% 17% 12% 13% 11% 16% 13% 6% 25% 12% Poverty/Inequality 48 2 5 5 25 3 5 2 23 26 14 2 10 5 19 4 13 3 16 21 20 6 35 6 7 59 6% 1% 5% 13% 6% 2% 5% 5% 6% 7% 4% 2% 9% 10% 5% 2% 11% 7% 6% 6% 5% 10% 7% 3% 11% 7% Lack of faith in politicians/system 39 13 5 2 12 13 3 2 11 16 23 11 5 6 10 16 5 1 14 12 26 1 18 19 1 42 of government 5% 7% 5% 5% 3% 8% 3% 4% 3% 4% 7% 7% 5% 13% 3% 8% 4% 1% 5% 4% 7% 2% 3% 9% 2% 5% Unemployment 38 5 9 1 16 6 9 1 15 14 21 6 13 1 9 6 12 - 9 9 21 8 19 8 11 37 5% 3% 8% 3% 4% 3% 8% 3% 4% 4% 6% 4% 12% 3% 2% 3% 10% - 3% 3% 5% 12% 4% 4% 17% 4% Taxation 36 11 3 6 14 12 1 6 16 14 19 11 1 4 13 15 3 2 9 16 21 - 27 9 - 37 4% 6% 2% 14% 3% 7% 1% 12% 4% 4% 6% 7% 1% 10% 4% 7% 2% 6% 3% 5% 5% - 5% 4% - 4% Housing 30 2 3 3 22 2 2 3 19 19 11 1 6 2 14 2 4 2 14 15 12 4 20 6 4 30 4% 1% 3% 6% 6% 1% 2% 6% 5% 5% 3% 1% 5% 5% 4% 1% 3% 5% 5% 4% 3% 6% 4% 3% 6% 4% Public transport/ roads 29 8 1 3 9 7 1 4 8 9 16 6 5 4 10 9 6 1 8 11 16 2 11 14 4 36 4% 4% 1% 7% 2% 4% 1% 8% 2% 2% 5% 4% 5% 10% 3% 5% 5% 3% 3% 3% 4% 2% 2% 7% 6% 4% Care for older and disabled people 29 4 6 4 12 3 8 2 9 10 17 3 6 1 14 5 8 2 10 12 16 1 23 3 2 25 4% 2% 5% 10% 3% 2% 7% 4% 3% 3% 5% 2% 6% 3% 4% 3% 7% 5% 4% 4% 4% 1% 4% 1% 4% 3% Public services generally 26 6 3 1 12 6 4 1 10 11 14 6 8 2 10 8 8 * 7 10 16 - 19 5 2 31 3% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 7% 4% 3% 4% 7% 1% 2% 3% 4% - 4% 3% 4% 4% Inflation/rising cost of living 26 5 5 2 10 4 6 2 7 9 14 5 8 6 8 5 8 3 5 9 16 1 20 3 3 26 3% 3% 5% 6% 3% 2% 5% 5% 2% 2% 4% 3% 7% 12% 2% 2% 7% 7% 2% 3% 4% 1% 4% 1% 5% 3% Issues affecting families/children/ 24 2 * 4 15 2 2 3 13 15 8 3 2 3 14 2 1 3 14 13 10 1 16 7 1 25 childcare 3% 1% * 11% 4% 1% 2% 7% 4% 4% 2% 2% 2% 7% 4% 1% 1% 8% 5% 4% 3% 1% 3% 4% 1% 3% Benefits 22 3 2 1 13 3 3 1 11 12 8 3 4 1 11 3 3 1 8 9 9 4 15 4 4 23 3% 1% 2% 2% 3% 1% 3% 1% 3% 3% 2% 2% 3% 2% 3% 1% 3% 2% 3% 3% 2% 6% 3% 2% 6% 3% Oil/energy/gas policy 19 6 2 2 5 7 - 4 5 4 14 6 4 4 3 6 3 1 3 5 11 3 8 4 7 19 2% 4% 1% 5% 1% 4% - 8% 1% 1% 4% 4% 4% 9% 1% 3% 3% 2% 1% 2% 3% 4% 1% 2% 11% 2% Crime and anti-social behaviour/ 17 3 1 1 11 3 1 1 7 10 7 2 1 1 7 4 1 - 5 6 8 3 9 4 3 18 law and order 2% 1% 1% 3% 3% 2% 1% 3% 2% 3% 2% 1% 1% 3% 2% 2% 1% - 2% 2% 2% 5% 2% 2% 5% 2% Austerity/Public spending cuts 15 1 1 2 7 1 1 2 4 6 8 1 4 1 6 2 5 1 4 8 6 - 10 2 2 18 2% 1% 1% 6% 2% 1% 1% 5% 1% 1% 2% * 4% 3% 2% 1% 5% 3% 1% 2% 2% - 2% 1% 4% 2% Pensions 11 1 1 1 7 1 2 1 6 7 4 1 4 1 5 3 2 - 5 6 5 - 7 4 - 13 1% * 1% 3% 2% 1% 2% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 3% 3% 1% 1% 2% - 2% 2% 1% - 1% 2% - 2% Rural issues/farming/fishing/ 10 3 - 1 4 6 - - 4 4 6 2 - 1 2 3 2 1 1 3 6 - 6 4 * 9 agriculture 1% 2% - 1% 1% 3% - - 1% 1% 2% 2% - 1% * 2% 1% 1% * 1% 2% - 1% 2% 1% 1% Defence 10 1 - 3 5 1 - 3 4 7 3 1 - 1 5 2 - - 4 5 4 - 7 2 * 10 1% 1% - 7% 1% 1% - 7% 1% 2% 1% 1% - 3% 2% 1% - - 1% 2% 1% - 1% 1% 1% 1% Asylum and immigration 10 2 * 1 6 2 - 1 3 7 2 1 1 - 6 2 3 - 2 6 2 2 7 1 2 12 1% 1% * 3% 2% 1% - 2% 1% 2% * 1% 1% - 2% 1% 3% - 1% 2% * 3% 1% 1% 2% 1% Foreign policy/foreign affairs 8 2 - - 4 1 3 - 2 2 5 1 2 - 3 2 2 - 1 2 6 - 5 2 - 9 1% 1% - - 1% * 3% - 1% 1% 1% * 2% - 1% 1% 2% - 1% 1% 1% - 1% 1% - 1% Animal welfare 7 1 - - 4 1 1 - 2 6 1 1 - - 4 1 1 - * 5 * 2 7 * - 7 1% * - - 1% * 1% - 1% 1% * 1% - - 1% * 1% - * 1% * 3% 1% * - 1% Race relations 6 - 1 2 3 - - 2 3 4 2 1 2 1 2 2 1 - 3 2 3 1 4 2 1 10 1% - 1% 5% 1% - - 4% 1% 1% 1% * 2% 3% 1% 1% 1% - 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% Trade unions/ strikes 6 - - 1 3 - - 1 1 2 4 - 2 1 3 1 4 - 1 5 1 - 3 1 2 5 1% - - 3% 1% - - 3% * 1% 1% - 2% 3% 1% 1% 3% - * 1% * - 1% * 4% 1% Devaluation of the Pound Sterling 5 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 4 1 1 1 1 2 1 - 1 1 4 - 3 2 - 7 1% * * 3% * * 1% 3% * * 1% 1% 1% 3% * 1% 1% - * * 1% - 1% 1% - 1% LGBT rights / equality / GRA 5 - - - 5 - - - 2 4 - - - - 2 - 1 - 4 4 1 1 4 - 1 5 1% - - - 1% - - - * 1% - - - - 1% - 1% - 1% 1% * 1% 1% - 1% 1%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 42 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 36 ISS1 (issue2w2). Looking ahead to the Scottish Parliamentary election, which, if any, issues do you think will be very important to you in helping you decide which party to vote for?
Base : All 9/10 likely to vote (at SP_LIKEV)
Voting intention (SP) Voting intention (SP) Voting intention Past vote (SP 2016) Past vote (EU Referendum, UnW Total Constituency List (Indyref2) Constituency Past vote (2019 General Election) Past vote (Indyref 2014) 2016) Total Not vote/ too Not young vote/ /not too Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Scot' Remain Leave young Total Weighted Total 810 174 111 41 399 170 107 47 361 390 348 147 106 44 356 196 118 41 277 338 392 63 524 205 63 834 MPs expenses 4 - - 1 3 - - 1 3 2 3 - - 1 2 1 - - 2 2 2 - 3 1 - 5 1% - - 3% 1% - - 3% 1% * 1% - - 3% 1% 1% - - 1% 1% 1% - 1% * - 1% Foreign/overseas aid 4 1 - - 3 1 - - 2 3 1 1 - - 3 1 - - 1 3 1 1 2 2 1 5 1% * - - 1% * - - * 1% * * - - 1% * - - * 1% * 1% * 1% 1% 1% Mental health issues 4 1 1 - 2 1 1 - 1 2 1 1 - - 2 1 1 1 1 2 - 2 2 1 1 5 * 1% * - 1% 1% * - * 1% * 1% - - * * * 3% * 1% - 3% * * 1% 1% Opportunities / support for young 3 1 - - 2 1 - - 2 1 2 1 - - 1 1 - - 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 4 people * * - - 1% * - - 1% * * * - - * * - - * * * 2% * * 2% * Alex Salmond enquiry 3 2 1 - 1 2 1 - - 1 2 1 1 - 1 2 1 - - 1 2 - 1 1 1 5 * 1% 1% - * 1% 1% - - * 1% 1% 1% - * 1% 1% - - * 1% - * 1% 1% 1% Low pay/ minimum wage/ fair wages 3 - - - 2 - - - 1 2 - - 1 - 2 - - - 1 2 1 - 2 1 - 4 * - - - 1% - - - * * - - 1% - 1% - - - * 1% * - * * - * Terrorism 2 1 - - 2 - - 1 1 1 1 - - - 2 1 - - 2 2 - 1 1 1 1 4 * * - - * - - 1% * * * - - - * * - - 1% * - 1% * * 1% * Other 78 14 8 7 33 11 8 7 29 37 28 9 10 8 31 14 9 8 25 37 34 4 50 19 6 76 10% 8% 8% 17% 8% 7% 7% 15% 8% 9% 8% 6% 9% 18% 9% 7% 7% 19% 9% 11% 9% 7% 10% 9% 9% 9% Don't know 77 15 17 2 36 14 18 2 34 41 29 10 11 1 29 13 9 2 25 32 25 13 37 21 12 72 9% 9% 15% 4% 9% 8% 17% 5% 9% 11% 8% 6% 11% 2% 8% 7% 8% 6% 9% 9% 6% 20% 7% 10% 18% 9% Nothing - I won't vote 4 - - - 3 1 - - 3 3 1 - - - 2 - - - 3 - 1 3 - 1 3 3 1% - - - 1% 1% - - 1% 1% * - - - 1% - - - 1% - * 4% - 1% 4% *
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 43 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 37 INDY1. If a referendum were held tomorrow about Scotland's constitutional future, how would you vote in response to the following question: Should Scotland be an independent country?
Base : All
UnW Total Gender Identity Age Social class Work status Work Sector Qualifications Total Work Work 65 55 -ing -ing Not Degree or or full part work Priv Pub- No Other or Male Female 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 more 16-34 35-54 more AB C1 C2 DE ABC1 C2DE time time -ing -ate lic quals quals higher Total Unweighted Total 1031 479 552 120 158 144 173 188 248 278 317 436 226 375 217 170 601 387 441 126 464 295 241 152 532 324 1031 Weighted Total 1031 490 541 118 180 148 188 164 234 297 336 398 219 303 182 286 521 468 459 112 460 415 137 153 539 318 1031 Yes 483 246 237 67 107 73 93 72 72 174 166 144 82 148 84 157 231 242 236 47 200 198 73 51 266 156 462 47% 50% 44% 57% 59% 49% 50% 44% 31% 58% 49% 36% 38% 49% 46% 55% 44% 52% 51% 42% 44% 48% 54% 33% 49% 49% 45% No 444 206 239 35 47 57 80 79 147 82 137 225 110 128 83 102 239 185 171 54 219 168 51 88 228 117 472 43% 42% 44% 30% 26% 39% 42% 48% 63% 28% 41% 57% 50% 42% 46% 36% 46% 40% 37% 48% 48% 41% 37% 58% 42% 37% 46% Undecided 89 35 54 13 22 17 12 13 12 36 28 25 24 24 14 21 48 34 48 11 30 45 12 9 40 39 85 9% 7% 10% 11% 12% 11% 6% 8% 5% 12% 8% 6% 11% 8% 7% 7% 9% 7% 11% 10% 7% 11% 9% 6% 7% 12% 8% Refused 14 3 11 3 3 1 3 1 3 6 5 4 2 2 1 6 4 7 4 * 10 4 * 5 4 6 12 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% * 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% * 2% 1% * 3% 1% 2% 1%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 44 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 38 INDY1. If a referendum were held tomorrow about Scotland's constitutional future, how would you vote in response to the following question: Should Scotland be an independent country?
Base : All
Total Scottish Parliament Region Tenure Country of birth UnW Total High- Mid lands Scot North and -land East South West Cent Glas Is- and Scot Scot Scot -ral -gow lands Lothian Fife -land -land -land Owner occupier Renter Scotland Elsewhere Total Unweighted Total 1031 135 138 81 143 114 138 136 146 703 236 857 169 1031 Weighted Total 1031 124 136 85 150 127 141 132 135 659 306 813 213 1031 Yes 483 69 71 32 81 57 67 49 57 255 198 393 89 462 47% 56% 53% 38% 54% 45% 47% 37% 42% 39% 65% 48% 42% 45% No 444 43 51 44 51 58 60 67 69 335 81 348 93 472 43% 35% 38% 51% 34% 46% 43% 51% 51% 51% 26% 43% 44% 46% Undecided 89 9 11 7 19 12 9 16 7 63 20 59 30 85 9% 7% 8% 8% 12% 9% 7% 12% 5% 10% 7% 7% 14% 8% Refused 14 2 2 2 - * 5 - 2 5 7 13 1 12 1% 2% 2% 2% - * 4% - 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 45 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 39 INDY1. If a referendum were held tomorrow about Scotland's constitutional future, how would you vote in response to the following question: Should Scotland be an independent country?
Base : All
Voting intention (SP) Voting intention (SP) Voting intention Past vote (SP 2016) Past vote (EU Referendum, UnW Total Constituency List (Indyref2) Constituency Past vote (2019 General Election) Past vote (Indyref 2014) 2016) Total Not vote/ too Not young vote/ /not too Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Scot' Remain Leave young Total Unweighted Total 1031 209 142 53 465 206 140 64 417 462 472 173 127 52 405 235 147 49 310 395 480 132 624 248 134 1031 Weighted Total 1031 198 133 54 473 193 130 64 435 483 444 162 120 51 409 227 131 48 308 407 458 140 611 249 142 1031 Yes 483 3 27 9 403 5 23 10 363 483 - 4 22 6 342 10 36 5 274 349 60 63 323 75 75 462 47% 1% 20% 18% 85% 3% 18% 16% 83% 100% - 3% 19% 11% 83% 4% 28% 10% 89% 86% 13% 45% 53% 30% 53% 45% No 444 192 87 40 38 185 91 47 35 - 444 155 78 39 40 210 74 31 17 38 345 54 225 162 45 472 43% 97% 65% 74% 8% 96% 70% 74% 8% - 100% 96% 65% 76% 10% 92% 57% 66% 6% 9% 75% 39% 37% 65% 32% 46% Undecided 89 3 18 5 31 3 15 6 36 - - 3 20 7 27 7 20 9 17 18 50 19 57 11 18 85 9% 2% 14% 9% 7% 2% 11% 10% 8% - - 2% 16% 13% 7% 3% 15% 19% 5% 4% 11% 14% 9% 4% 13% 8% Refused 14 - 1 - 1 - 1 - 1 - - - - - 1 - 1 3 - 1 3 4 6 2 4 12 1% - 1% - * - 1% - * - - - - - * - 1% 5% - * 1% 3% 1% 1% 3% 1%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 46 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 40 INDY1. If a referendum were held tomorrow about Scotland's constitutional future, how would you vote in response to the following question: Should Scotland be an independent country?
Base : All 9/10 likely to vote
UnW Total Gender Identity Age Social class Work status Work Sector Qualifications Total Work Work 65 55 -ing -ing Not Degree or or full part work Priv Pub- No Other or Male Female 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 more 16-34 35-54 more AB C1 C2 DE ABC1 C2DE time time -ing -ate lic quals quals higher Total Unweighted Total 923 435 488 93 137 128 166 172 227 230 294 399 208 350 197 137 558 334 404 109 410 267 220 130 472 301 923 Weighted Total 904 431 473 91 150 131 178 142 211 241 310 353 202 282 160 231 483 391 418 94 391 372 124 123 470 292 923 Yes 438 218 220 58 95 66 89 64 67 153 154 131 78 141 72 138 219 210 217 43 178 180 68 42 243 145 428 48% 51% 46% 63% 63% 50% 50% 45% 32% 63% 50% 37% 39% 50% 45% 60% 45% 54% 52% 46% 46% 48% 55% 34% 52% 49% 46% No 397 187 209 25 38 54 75 72 133 63 129 205 103 121 76 81 224 157 159 45 193 153 46 76 198 112 431 44% 43% 44% 28% 25% 41% 42% 51% 63% 26% 42% 58% 51% 43% 47% 35% 46% 40% 38% 48% 49% 41% 37% 62% 42% 38% 47% Undecided 64 24 40 7 16 12 12 6 11 24 24 16 19 19 12 10 39 22 42 6 16 39 9 5 27 32 59 7% 6% 8% 8% 11% 9% 7% 4% 5% 10% 8% 5% 10% 7% 7% 4% 8% 6% 10% 7% 4% 11% 7% 4% 6% 11% 6% Refused 5 1 4 1 1 - 2 1 - 2 2 1 1 1 * 2 2 3 * - 4 - * - 2 3 5 1% * 1% 1% * - 1% 1% - 1% 1% * * * * 1% * 1% * - 1% - * - * 1% 1%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 47 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 41 INDY1. If a referendum were held tomorrow about Scotland's constitutional future, how would you vote in response to the following question: Should Scotland be an independent country?
Base : All 9/10 likely to vote
Total Scottish Parliament Region Tenure Country of birth UnW Total High- Mid lands Scot North and -land East South West Cent Glas Is- and Scot Scot Scot -ral -gow lands Lothian Fife -land -land -land Owner occupier Renter Scotland Elsewhere Total Unweighted Total 923 120 127 70 124 104 124 116 138 655 191 781 138 923 Weighted Total 904 107 123 75 125 113 123 113 126 611 241 733 167 923 Yes 438 61 68 29 69 49 63 46 53 245 165 364 73 428 48% 57% 56% 39% 55% 43% 51% 41% 42% 40% 69% 50% 44% 46% No 397 39 43 40 44 52 53 59 66 313 62 320 73 431 44% 37% 35% 53% 36% 46% 43% 52% 53% 51% 26% 44% 44% 47% Undecided 64 5 9 6 11 12 8 8 6 52 11 44 20 59 7% 5% 7% 8% 9% 10% 6% 7% 5% 9% 5% 6% 12% 6% Refused 5 1 2 - - * - - 1 1 3 5 - 5 1% 1% 2% - - * - - 1% * 1% 1% - 1%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 48 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 42 INDY1. If a referendum were held tomorrow about Scotland's constitutional future, how would you vote in response to the following question: Should Scotland be an independent country?
Base : All 9/10 likely to vote
Voting intention (SP) Voting intention (SP) Voting intention Past vote (SP 2016) Past vote (EU Referendum, UnW Total Constituency List (Indyref2) Constituency Past vote (2019 General Election) Past vote (Indyref 2014) 2016) Total Not vote/ too Not young vote/ /not too Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Scot' Remain Leave young Total Unweighted Total 923 197 128 50 431 192 125 63 383 428 431 168 121 50 383 225 136 46 298 368 451 89 591 223 91 923 Weighted Total 904 183 115 48 436 179 111 62 395 438 397 157 112 48 383 215 122 42 296 375 426 88 575 219 89 923 Yes 438 3 20 7 380 4 16 10 337 438 - 3 20 5 327 9 33 5 268 329 56 48 309 64 56 428 48% 1% 17% 14% 87% 2% 14% 17% 85% 100% - 2% 18% 11% 85% 4% 27% 11% 91% 88% 13% 54% 54% 29% 62% 46% No 397 178 83 38 31 173 86 45 30 - 397 151 76 37 35 199 71 29 15 29 326 35 213 146 28 431 44% 97% 73% 78% 7% 97% 78% 73% 8% - 100% 96% 67% 75% 9% 93% 58% 69% 5% 8% 77% 40% 37% 67% 31% 47% Undecided 64 2 12 4 25 2 9 6 27 - - 3 16 7 21 7 18 8 13 16 42 5 49 8 6 59 7% 1% 10% 8% 6% 1% 8% 10% 7% - - 2% 14% 14% 5% 3% 14% 20% 4% 4% 10% 6% 9% 3% 6% 6% Refused 5 - - - 1 - - - 1 ------1 - - * 1 - 3 1 - 5 1% - - - * - - - * ------1% - - * * - 1% * - 1%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 49 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 43 INDY1. If a referendum were held tomorrow about Scotland's constitutional future, how would you vote in response to the following question: Should Scotland be an independent country?
Base : All with a voting intention, and 9/10 likely to vote
UnW Total Gender Identity Age Social class Work status Work Sector Qualifications Total Work Work 65 55 -ing -ing Not Degree or or full part work Priv Pub- No Other or Male Female 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 more 16-34 35-54 more AB C1 C2 DE ABC1 C2DE time time -ing -ate lic quals quals higher Total Unweighted Total 859 416 443 84 123 117 155 163 217 207 272 380 191 326 184 130 517 314 368 102 389 241 203 124 447 268 859 Weighted Total 835 406 429 83 133 119 164 136 200 216 283 336 182 261 148 219 443 367 376 88 371 333 115 118 442 257 859 Yes 438 218 220 58 95 66 89 64 67 153 154 131 78 141 72 138 219 210 217 43 178 180 68 42 243 145 428 52% 54% 51% 70% 71% 55% 54% 47% 34% 71% 55% 39% 43% 54% 49% 63% 49% 57% 58% 49% 48% 54% 60% 36% 55% 56% 50% No 397 187 209 25 38 54 75 72 133 63 129 205 103 121 76 81 224 157 159 45 193 153 46 76 198 112 431 48% 46% 49% 30% 29% 45% 46% 53% 66% 29% 45% 61% 57% 46% 51% 37% 51% 43% 42% 51% 52% 46% 40% 64% 45% 44% 50%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 50 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 44 INDY1. If a referendum were held tomorrow about Scotland's constitutional future, how would you vote in response to the following question: Should Scotland be an independent country?
Base : All with a voting intention, and 9/10 likely to vote
Total Scottish Parliament Region Tenure Country of birth UnW Total High- Mid lands Scot North and -land East South West Cent Glas Is- and Scot Scot Scot -ral -gow lands Lothian Fife -land -land -land Owner occupier Renter Scotland Elsewhere Total Unweighted Total 859 109 118 65 113 96 116 110 132 609 178 731 124 859 Weighted Total 835 100 112 69 113 101 115 104 119 558 227 685 147 859 Yes 438 61 68 29 69 49 63 46 53 245 165 364 73 428 52% 61% 61% 42% 61% 48% 54% 44% 44% 44% 73% 53% 50% 50% No 397 39 43 40 44 52 53 59 66 313 62 320 73 431 48% 39% 39% 58% 39% 52% 46% 56% 56% 56% 27% 47% 50% 50%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 51 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 45 INDY1. If a referendum were held tomorrow about Scotland's constitutional future, how would you vote in response to the following question: Should Scotland be an independent country?
Base : All with a voting intention, and 9/10 likely to vote
Voting intention (SP) Voting intention (SP) Voting intention Past vote (SP 2016) Past vote (EU Referendum, UnW Total Constituency List (Indyref2) Constituency Past vote (2019 General Election) Past vote (Indyref 2014) 2016) Total Not vote/ too Not young vote/ /not too Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Scot' Remain Leave young Total Unweighted Total 859 194 117 46 404 191 115 58 354 428 431 166 108 45 361 219 121 40 282 349 415 84 545 214 86 859 Weighted Total 835 181 103 44 411 177 102 55 367 438 397 154 96 42 362 209 104 34 283 358 383 83 522 211 84 859 Yes 438 3 20 7 380 4 16 10 337 438 - 3 20 5 327 9 33 5 268 329 56 48 309 64 56 428 52% 1% 19% 15% 92% 2% 16% 19% 92% 100% - 2% 21% 12% 90% 4% 32% 14% 95% 92% 15% 57% 59% 31% 66% 50% No 397 178 83 38 31 173 86 45 30 - 397 151 76 37 35 199 71 29 15 29 326 35 213 146 28 431 48% 99% 81% 85% 8% 98% 84% 81% 8% - 100% 98% 79% 88% 10% 96% 68% 86% 5% 8% 85% 43% 41% 69% 34% 50%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 52 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 46 INDY4. And, how likely would you be to vote in a referendum on Scotland's constitutional future, on a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 means you would be absolutely certain to vote and 1 that you would be absolutely certain NOT to vote?
Base : All
UnW Total Gender Identity Age Social class Work status Work Sector Qualifications Total Work Work 65 55 -ing -ing Not Degree or or full part work Priv Pub- No Other or Male Female 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 more 16-34 35-54 more AB C1 C2 DE ABC1 C2DE time time -ing -ate lic quals quals higher Total Unweighted Total 1031 479 552 120 158 144 173 188 248 278 317 436 226 375 217 170 601 387 441 126 464 295 241 152 532 324 1031 Weighted Total 1031 490 541 118 180 148 188 164 234 297 336 398 219 303 182 286 521 468 459 112 460 415 137 153 539 318 1031 1 - Absolutely certain not to 19 5 15 3 5 3 2 2 4 8 5 7 2 4 2 12 6 13 5 3 12 4 2 5 11 3 18 vote 2% 1% 3% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% 2% 3% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 4% 1% 3% 1% 3% 3% 1% 2% 3% 2% 1% 2% 2 3 2 1 2 - - 1 - - 2 1 - - - 2 - - 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 - 4 * * * 2% - - * - - 1% * - - - 1% - - * * 1% * * 1% 1% * - * 3 1 - 1 1 1 - - - - 1 - - - 1 - 1 1 1 1 - 1 1 - - 1 - 2 * - * 1% * - - - - * - - - * - * * * * - * * - - * - * 4 1 - 1 1 - - - - - 1 - - - - - 1 - 1 1 - - - 1 - 1 - 1 * - * 1% - - - - - * - - - - - * - * * - - - * - * - * 5 25 12 13 1 8 5 4 4 4 9 8 8 2 4 6 8 6 13 13 2 10 12 2 4 14 7 22 2% 2% 2% 1% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% 3% 3% 1% 3% 3% 2% 2% 3% 1% 3% 3% 2% 2% 6 9 5 4 5 - 2 - 2 - 5 2 2 1 3 2 4 4 5 5 1 3 4 2 2 6 1 8 1% 1% 1% 4% - 1% - 1% - 2% 1% * * 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% * 1% 7 16 7 9 5 5 1 - 5 - 10 1 5 5 2 2 6 7 8 2 4 9 3 3 2 11 3 12 2% 1% 2% 4% 3% * - 3% - 3% * 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 4% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 8 39 25 15 9 11 5 2 5 7 20 7 12 2 7 8 20 9 28 11 6 22 14 3 9 19 10 30 4% 5% 3% 7% 6% 3% 1% 3% 3% 7% 2% 3% 1% 2% 4% 7% 2% 6% 2% 5% 5% 3% 2% 6% 4% 3% 3% 9 17 6 11 1 3 3 3 1 4 5 7 6 8 4 3 1 13 4 8 2 6 8 2 3 8 6 19 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% 4% 1% 2% * 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 10 - Absolutely certain to vote 887 425 462 89 147 128 175 141 206 237 303 347 193 277 157 230 471 387 410 92 385 364 122 120 462 286 904 86% 87% 85% 76% 82% 87% 93% 86% 88% 80% 90% 87% 88% 92% 86% 80% 90% 83% 89% 82% 84% 88% 89% 79% 86% 90% 88% Don't know 10 3 7 - - - - 4 6 - - 10 4 1 - 4 4 4 - 1 9 1 - 6 2 2 8 1% 1% 1% - - - - 2% 3% - - 3% 2% * - 2% 1% 1% - 1% 2% * - 4% * 1% 1% Refused 3 1 2 - - 1 1 - 1 - 2 1 1 - 1 - 1 1 2 - 1 2 - 1 2 - 3 * * * - - 1% 1% - 1% - 1% * 1% - 1% - * * * - * 1% - 1% * - * Mean 9.49 9.55 9.44 9.01 9.30 9.50 9.74 9.55 9.65 9.18 9.63 9.61 9.72 9.69 9.50 9.20 9.70 9.31 9.59 9.36 9.42 9.57 9.53 9.29 9.44 9.68 9.54 Combinations - Summary net 9/10 904 431 473 91 150 131 178 142 211 241 310 353 202 282 160 231 483 391 418 94 391 372 124 123 470 292 923 88% 88% 87% 77% 84% 89% 95% 87% 90% 81% 92% 89% 92% 93% 88% 81% 93% 84% 91% 84% 85% 90% 90% 80% 87% 92% 90% 7/8 55 32 24 14 16 6 2 10 7 30 8 18 7 9 10 26 16 36 14 10 32 17 5 11 30 13 42 5% 6% 4% 12% 9% 4% 1% 6% 3% 10% 2% 4% 3% 3% 6% 9% 3% 8% 3% 9% 7% 4% 4% 7% 6% 4% 4% 1 to 6 58 24 34 13 13 10 6 8 9 26 16 16 5 11 11 24 16 35 25 6 27 22 8 11 35 11 55 6% 5% 6% 11% 7% 6% 3% 5% 4% 9% 5% 4% 2% 4% 6% 8% 3% 8% 5% 6% 6% 5% 6% 7% 6% 3% 5%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 53 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 47 INDY4. And, how likely would you be to vote in a referendum on Scotland's constitutional future, on a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 means you would be absolutely certain to vote and 1 that you would be absolutely certain NOT to vote?
Base : All
Total Scottish Parliament Region Tenure Country of birth UnW Total High- Mid lands Scot North and -land East South West Cent Glas Is- and Scot Scot Scot -ral -gow lands Lothian Fife -land -land -land Owner occupier Renter Scotland Elsewhere Total Unweighted Total 1031 135 138 81 143 114 138 136 146 703 236 857 169 1031 Weighted Total 1031 124 136 85 150 127 141 132 135 659 306 813 213 1031 1 - Absolutely certain not to 19 - 2 4 1 - 5 6 - 9 11 12 8 18 vote 2% - 2% 5% 1% - 4% 5% - 1% 3% 1% 4% 2% 2 3 1 - - - 1 - 1 - 1 1 3 - 4 * 1% - - - 1% - 1% - * * * - * 3 1 1 - - - - - 1 - - 1 1 - 2 * * - - - - - 1% - - * * - * 4 1 1 ------1 - 1 * * ------* - * 5 25 6 1 1 8 1 4 4 1 12 10 19 5 22 2% 5% 1% 1% 5% 1% 3% 3% 1% 2% 3% 2% 3% 2% 6 9 * 3 2 2 2 - - - 3 4 4 4 8 1% * 2% 2% 2% 1% - - - 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 7 16 1 - 1 4 4 5 1 - 7 9 10 6 12 2% 1% - 1% 3% 4% 4% * - 1% 3% 1% 3% 1% 8 39 5 5 3 11 4 3 5 5 11 25 22 16 30 4% 4% 4% 3% 7% 3% 2% 4% 4% 2% 8% 3% 7% 3% 9 17 2 4 - 5 * 3 2 2 12 4 13 4 19 2% 1% 3% - 3% * 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 10 - Absolutely certain to vote 887 105 119 75 120 113 121 111 124 599 237 721 163 904 86% 85% 87% 88% 80% 89% 85% 84% 92% 91% 77% 89% 76% 88% Don't know 10 1 2 - - 3 1 2 2 6 4 5 5 8 1% 1% 1% - - 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3% 1% Refused 3 1 1 - - - - - 1 - 1 2 1 3 * 1% 1% - - - - - 1% - * * 1% * Mean 9.49 9.48 9.64 9.30 9.35 9.69 9.36 9.19 9.88 9.68 9.15 9.57 9.18 9.54 Combinations - Summary net 9/10 904 107 123 75 125 113 123 113 126 611 241 733 167 923 88% 86% 90% 88% 83% 89% 87% 86% 93% 93% 79% 90% 78% 90% 7/8 55 6 5 3 14 8 8 5 5 17 34 32 22 42 5% 5% 4% 4% 10% 7% 6% 4% 4% 3% 11% 4% 10% 4% 1 to 6 58 9 6 7 11 3 9 12 1 25 26 41 18 55 6% 7% 4% 9% 8% 3% 6% 9% 1% 4% 9% 5% 8% 5%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 54 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 48 INDY4. And, how likely would you be to vote in a referendum on Scotland's constitutional future, on a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 means you would be absolutely certain to vote and 1 that you would be absolutely certain NOT to vote?
Base : All
Voting intention (SP) Voting intention (SP) Voting intention Past vote (SP 2016) Past vote (EU Referendum, UnW Total Constituency List (Indyref2) Constituency Past vote (2019 General Election) Past vote (Indyref 2014) 2016) Total Not vote/ too Not young vote/ /not too Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Scot' Remain Leave young Total Unweighted Total 1031 209 142 53 465 206 140 64 417 462 472 173 127 52 405 235 147 49 310 395 480 132 624 248 134 1031 Weighted Total 1031 198 133 54 473 193 130 64 435 483 444 162 120 51 409 227 131 48 308 407 458 140 611 249 142 1031 1 - Absolutely certain not to 19 2 - - 1 2 - - 1 1 9 - - - 1 3 - - - 2 4 13 2 5 13 18 vote 2% 1% - - * 1% - - * * 2% - - - * 1% - - - 1% 1% 10% * 2% 9% 2% 2 3 1 - - - 1 - - - - 2 ------1 2 1 1 1 4 * * - - - * - - - - * ------* 2% * * 1% * 3 1 - - - 1 - 1 - - 1 ------1 - 1 1 - 1 2 * - - - * - 1% - - * ------* - * * - * * 4 1 ------1 ------1 * ------* ------* 5 25 4 2 - 8 4 1 - 8 8 9 1 - - 11 3 1 3 3 10 6 6 8 9 6 22 2% 2% 2% - 2% 2% 1% - 2% 2% 2% * - - 3% 1% 1% 5% 1% 2% 1% 5% 1% 3% 5% 2% 6 9 - 2 1 5 1 2 - 4 4 2 1 - - 2 1 - - 2 * 3 6 1 3 5 8 1% - 1% 1% 1% * 2% - 1% 1% * * - - * * - - 1% * 1% 4% * 1% 4% 1% 7 16 - 2 2 5 - 4 2 4 7 7 - - 2 1 - * 3 - 1 4 9 7 3 6 12 2% - 2% 4% 1% - 3% 3% 1% 2% 1% - - 4% * - * 6% - * 1% 6% 1% 1% 4% 1% 8 39 3 10 3 17 2 7 - 21 23 10 1 6 1 11 1 5 - 7 14 8 14 13 6 17 30 4% 2% 7% 5% 4% 1% 6% - 5% 5% 2% 1% 5% 1% 3% * 3% - 2% 3% 2% 10% 2% 2% 12% 3% 9 17 2 6 - 6 2 5 * 5 10 5 3 6 - 7 3 7 - 4 6 9 1 10 3 5 19 2% 1% 5% - 1% 1% 4% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 5% - 2% 1% 5% - 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 3% 2% 10 - Absolutely certain to vote 887 181 109 48 431 177 106 61 390 428 391 154 107 48 376 212 116 42 291 369 417 87 565 216 85 904 86% 91% 81% 90% 91% 92% 82% 96% 90% 89% 88% 95% 89% 95% 92% 94% 88% 89% 95% 90% 91% 62% 93% 87% 60% 88% Don't know 10 4 2 - - 5 2 - 1 1 8 3 2 - 1 4 3 - 1 3 7 - 3 5 3 8 1% 2% 1% - - 3% 1% - * * 2% 2% 2% - * 2% 2% - * 1% 2% - * 2% 2% 1% Refused 3 - 1 - - - 1 - - - 1 ------1 - - - - - 3 * - 1% - - - 1% - - - * ------* - - - - - * Mean 9.49 9.71 9.62 9.73 9.73 9.71 9.58 9.89 9.70 9.69 9.55 9.93 9.86 9.85 9.74 9.79 9.82 9.56 9.87 9.71 9.74 8.18 9.79 9.49 8.24 9.54 Combinations - Summary net 9/10 904 183 115 48 436 179 111 62 395 438 397 157 112 48 383 215 122 42 296 375 426 88 575 219 89 923 88% 93% 86% 90% 92% 93% 85% 97% 91% 91% 89% 97% 94% 95% 93% 95% 93% 89% 96% 92% 93% 63% 94% 88% 63% 90% 7/8 55 3 12 5 22 2 12 2 25 31 17 1 6 3 12 1 5 3 7 15 12 23 21 9 23 42 5% 2% 9% 9% 5% 1% 9% 3% 6% 6% 4% 1% 5% 5% 3% * 4% 6% 2% 4% 3% 16% 3% 3% 16% 4% 1 to 6 58 7 4 1 15 8 4 - 14 14 22 1 - - 14 6 1 3 5 14 13 29 13 17 27 55 6% 4% 3% 1% 3% 4% 3% - 3% 3% 5% 1% - - 3% 3% 1% 5% 2% 3% 3% 20% 2% 7% 19% 5%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 55 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 49 NSTURG. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Nicola Sturgeon is doing her job as First Minister of Scotland?
Base : All
UnW Total Gender Identity Age Social class Work status Work Sector Qualifications Total Work Work 65 55 -ing -ing Not Degree or or full part work Priv Pub- No Other or Male Female 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 more 16-34 35-54 more AB C1 C2 DE ABC1 C2DE time time -ing -ate lic quals quals higher Total Unweighted Total 1031 479 552 120 158 144 173 188 248 278 317 436 226 375 217 170 601 387 441 126 464 295 241 152 532 324 1031 Weighted Total 1031 490 541 118 180 148 188 164 234 297 336 398 219 303 182 286 521 468 459 112 460 415 137 153 539 318 1031 Satisfied 665 291 374 89 132 95 126 105 118 222 221 222 133 205 102 198 338 300 308 78 279 265 104 77 353 223 662 64% 59% 69% 76% 74% 64% 67% 64% 50% 75% 66% 56% 61% 68% 56% 69% 65% 64% 67% 69% 61% 64% 76% 50% 66% 70% 64% Dissatisfied 326 188 138 23 36 51 56 53 106 60 107 159 84 87 74 69 170 144 140 32 154 141 28 62 172 85 331 32% 38% 25% 20% 20% 34% 30% 33% 45% 20% 32% 40% 38% 29% 41% 24% 33% 31% 30% 29% 33% 34% 20% 41% 32% 27% 32% Don't know 40 11 29 5 11 2 6 6 11 16 8 17 2 11 6 18 13 24 11 2 27 8 5 14 14 10 38 4% 2% 5% 4% 6% 1% 3% 4% 5% 5% 2% 4% 1% 4% 3% 6% 2% 5% 2% 2% 6% 2% 4% 9% 3% 3% 4% Net satisfied 339 103 237 66 96 44 70 51 12 162 114 63 49 118 27 129 168 157 168 46 125 124 77 14 181 138 331 33% 21% 44% 56% 53% 30% 37% 31% 5% 55% 34% 16% 23% 39% 15% 45% 32% 33% 37% 41% 27% 30% 56% 9% 34% 43% 32%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 56 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 50 NSTURG. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Nicola Sturgeon is doing her job as First Minister of Scotland?
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Total Scottish Parliament Region Tenure Country of birth UnW Total High- Mid lands Scot North and -land East South West Cent Glas Is- and Scot Scot Scot -ral -gow lands Lothian Fife -land -land -land Owner occupier Renter Scotland Elsewhere Total Unweighted Total 1031 135 138 81 143 114 138 136 146 703 236 857 169 1031 Weighted Total 1031 124 136 85 150 127 141 132 135 659 306 813 213 1031 Satisfied 665 78 96 51 111 77 88 82 82 392 228 521 140 662 64% 63% 71% 60% 74% 60% 62% 63% 61% 60% 75% 64% 66% 64% Dissatisfied 326 42 31 29 34 47 46 46 51 246 64 258 66 331 32% 34% 22% 34% 23% 37% 33% 35% 38% 37% 21% 32% 31% 32% Don't know 40 4 9 6 6 4 7 3 2 21 14 33 7 38 4% 3% 7% 6% 4% 3% 5% 2% 1% 3% 4% 4% 3% 4% Net satisfied 339 36 66 22 77 30 42 36 32 146 165 263 74 331 33% 29% 48% 26% 51% 23% 29% 28% 23% 22% 54% 32% 35% 32%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 57 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 51 NSTURG. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Nicola Sturgeon is doing her job as First Minister of Scotland?
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Voting intention (SP) Voting intention (SP) Voting intention Past vote (SP 2016) Past vote (EU Referendum, UnW Total Constituency List (Indyref2) Constituency Past vote (2019 General Election) Past vote (Indyref 2014) 2016) Total Not vote/ too Not young vote/ /not too Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Scot' Remain Leave young Total Unweighted Total 1031 209 142 53 465 206 140 64 417 462 472 173 127 52 405 235 147 49 310 395 480 132 624 248 134 1031 Weighted Total 1031 198 133 54 473 193 130 64 435 483 444 162 120 51 409 227 131 48 308 407 458 140 611 249 142 1031 Satisfied 665 39 66 23 449 36 65 26 412 435 148 30 62 27 363 56 71 24 283 351 197 101 442 97 107 662 64% 20% 49% 42% 95% 19% 50% 41% 95% 90% 33% 18% 52% 53% 89% 25% 54% 50% 92% 86% 43% 72% 72% 39% 75% 64% Dissatisfied 326 151 63 29 18 150 62 36 18 37 277 129 57 24 39 165 58 21 19 48 244 31 152 144 22 331 32% 76% 48% 53% 4% 78% 47% 56% 4% 8% 62% 79% 47% 47% 10% 73% 44% 44% 6% 12% 53% 22% 25% 58% 16% 32% Don't know 40 8 4 2 6 7 4 2 5 11 18 4 1 - 7 6 2 3 6 8 17 8 17 9 13 38 4% 4% 3% 4% 1% 4% 3% 4% 1% 2% 4% 2% 1% - 2% 3% 2% 5% 2% 2% 4% 6% 3% 4% 9% 4% Net satisfied 339 -111 2 -6 431 -114 3 -10 394 398 -129 -99 6 3 323 -109 13 3 264 304 -47 70 289 -47 85 331 33% -56% 2% -11% 91% -59% 2% -15% 91% 82% -29% -61% 5% 6% 79% -48% 10% 6% 86% 75% -10% 50% 47% -19% 60% 32%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 58 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 52 WRENNIE. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Willie Rennie is doing his job as leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats?
Base : All
UnW Total Gender Identity Age Social class Work status Work Sector Qualifications Total Work Work 65 55 -ing -ing Not Degree or or full part work Priv Pub- No Other or Male Female 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 more 16-34 35-54 more AB C1 C2 DE ABC1 C2DE time time -ing -ate lic quals quals higher Total Unweighted Total 1031 479 552 120 158 144 173 188 248 278 317 436 226 375 217 170 601 387 441 126 464 295 241 152 532 324 1031 Weighted Total 1031 490 541 118 180 148 188 164 234 297 336 398 219 303 182 286 521 468 459 112 460 415 137 153 539 318 1031 Satisfied 363 176 187 32 49 52 55 64 111 81 108 175 84 101 67 98 185 166 148 41 174 133 50 60 179 120 378 35% 36% 35% 27% 27% 36% 29% 39% 47% 27% 32% 44% 39% 33% 37% 34% 36% 35% 32% 37% 38% 32% 36% 39% 33% 38% 37% Dissatisfied 300 173 127 28 41 36 76 49 71 68 112 120 76 100 50 61 176 111 151 17 131 129 32 38 154 99 300 29% 35% 23% 23% 23% 25% 40% 30% 30% 23% 33% 30% 35% 33% 28% 21% 34% 24% 33% 15% 29% 31% 24% 25% 29% 31% 29% Don't know 368 141 227 59 89 59 57 52 52 148 116 104 58 102 65 127 160 191 160 54 154 152 55 54 206 99 353 36% 29% 42% 50% 50% 40% 30% 31% 22% 50% 35% 26% 27% 34% 35% 44% 31% 41% 35% 48% 33% 37% 40% 35% 38% 31% 34% Net satisfied 63 3 60 4 9 16 -21 15 40 13 -5 55 8 1 17 38 9 54 -4 24 43 4 17 22 24 20 78 6% 1% 11% 3% 5% 11% -11% 9% 17% 4% -1% 14% 4% * 9% 13% 2% 12% -1% 21% 9% 1% 13% 14% 5% 6% 8%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 59 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 53 WRENNIE. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Willie Rennie is doing his job as leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats?
Base : All
Total Scottish Parliament Region Tenure Country of birth UnW Total High- Mid lands Scot North and -land East South West Cent Glas Is- and Scot Scot Scot -ral -gow lands Lothian Fife -land -land -land Owner occupier Renter Scotland Elsewhere Total Unweighted Total 1031 135 138 81 143 114 138 136 146 703 236 857 169 1031 Weighted Total 1031 124 136 85 150 127 141 132 135 659 306 813 213 1031 Satisfied 363 46 48 24 49 48 47 39 61 253 91 292 68 378 35% 37% 36% 28% 33% 37% 34% 30% 45% 38% 30% 36% 32% 37% Dissatisfied 300 37 41 22 38 36 57 34 35 202 83 249 50 300 29% 30% 30% 26% 25% 28% 40% 26% 26% 31% 27% 31% 23% 29% Don't know 368 41 47 39 63 44 37 58 39 204 132 271 95 353 36% 33% 34% 46% 42% 34% 26% 44% 29% 31% 43% 33% 44% 34% Net satisfied 63 9 7 2 11 12 -9 5 26 51 8 43 18 78 6% 7% 5% 2% 7% 9% -6% 4% 19% 8% 3% 5% 9% 8%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 60 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 54 WRENNIE. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Willie Rennie is doing his job as leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats?
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Voting intention (SP) Voting intention (SP) Voting intention Past vote (SP 2016) Past vote (EU Referendum, UnW Total Constituency List (Indyref2) Constituency Past vote (2019 General Election) Past vote (Indyref 2014) 2016) Total Not vote/ too Not young vote/ /not too Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Scot' Remain Leave young Total Unweighted Total 1031 209 142 53 465 206 140 64 417 462 472 173 127 52 405 235 147 49 310 395 480 132 624 248 134 1031 Weighted Total 1031 198 133 54 473 193 130 64 435 483 444 162 120 51 409 227 131 48 308 407 458 140 611 249 142 1031 Satisfied 363 101 63 35 126 96 55 43 121 134 208 92 51 33 107 117 64 28 71 113 209 37 215 102 39 378 35% 51% 47% 66% 27% 50% 43% 68% 28% 28% 47% 57% 43% 64% 26% 51% 49% 59% 23% 28% 46% 27% 35% 41% 27% 37% Dissatisfied 300 49 26 8 176 51 30 9 154 171 108 43 31 10 162 63 28 9 128 162 106 25 188 81 27 300 29% 25% 19% 15% 37% 26% 23% 13% 35% 35% 24% 26% 26% 20% 40% 28% 21% 20% 42% 40% 23% 18% 31% 32% 19% 29% Don't know 368 48 44 11 172 47 45 12 159 179 128 27 37 8 141 47 40 10 109 133 143 78 208 67 76 353 36% 24% 33% 20% 36% 24% 34% 19% 37% 37% 29% 17% 31% 16% 34% 21% 30% 21% 35% 33% 31% 56% 34% 27% 54% 34% Net satisfied 63 52 37 27 -50 46 25 35 -33 -37 100 50 20 22 -56 53 36 19 -57 -49 103 12 27 21 11 78 6% 26% 28% 51% -11% 24% 20% 54% -8% -8% 23% 31% 17% 44% -14% 24% 28% 39% -18% -12% 23% 9% 4% 8% 8% 8%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 61 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 55 DROSS. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Douglas Ross is doing his job as leader of the Scottish Conservative and Unionist Party?
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UnW Total Gender Identity Age Social class Work status Work Sector Qualifications Total Work Work 65 55 -ing -ing Not Degree or or full part work Priv Pub- No Other or Male Female 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 more 16-34 35-54 more AB C1 C2 DE ABC1 C2DE time time -ing -ate lic quals quals higher Total Unweighted Total 1031 479 552 120 158 144 173 188 248 278 317 436 226 375 217 170 601 387 441 126 464 295 241 152 532 324 1031 Weighted Total 1031 490 541 118 180 148 188 164 234 297 336 398 219 303 182 286 521 468 459 112 460 415 137 153 539 318 1031 Satisfied 293 153 140 21 32 39 50 50 102 52 89 152 67 83 61 71 151 132 128 24 141 115 36 56 145 82 306 28% 31% 26% 17% 18% 27% 27% 30% 44% 18% 27% 38% 31% 28% 33% 25% 29% 28% 28% 22% 31% 28% 26% 37% 27% 26% 30% Dissatisfied 413 220 193 52 63 62 91 67 78 115 153 145 98 130 67 104 228 171 194 40 179 175 51 45 216 146 411 40% 45% 36% 44% 35% 42% 48% 41% 33% 39% 46% 36% 45% 43% 37% 36% 44% 37% 42% 36% 39% 42% 37% 29% 40% 46% 40% Don't know 325 117 208 45 85 47 47 47 54 130 94 101 53 89 54 111 142 165 138 47 140 125 50 52 178 90 314 32% 24% 38% 38% 47% 32% 25% 29% 23% 44% 28% 25% 24% 29% 30% 39% 27% 35% 30% 42% 30% 30% 37% 34% 33% 28% 30% Net satisfied -120 -66 -53 -32 -31 -23 -41 -17 24 -63 -64 7 -30 -47 -7 -32 -77 -39 -66 -16 -38 -61 -15 12 -70 -64 -105 -12% -14% -10% -27% -17% -15% -22% -10% 10% -21% -19% 2% -14% -16% -4% -11% -15% -8% -14% -14% -8% -15% -11% 8% -13% -20% -10%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 62 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 56 DROSS. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Douglas Ross is doing his job as leader of the Scottish Conservative and Unionist Party?
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Total Scottish Parliament Region Tenure Country of birth UnW Total High- Mid lands Scot North and -land East South West Cent Glas Is- and Scot Scot Scot -ral -gow lands Lothian Fife -land -land -land Owner occupier Renter Scotland Elsewhere Total Unweighted Total 1031 135 138 81 143 114 138 136 146 703 236 857 169 1031 Weighted Total 1031 124 136 85 150 127 141 132 135 659 306 813 213 1031 Satisfied 293 30 35 28 34 42 35 40 49 217 63 225 67 306 28% 24% 26% 33% 22% 33% 25% 31% 36% 33% 21% 28% 31% 30% Dissatisfied 413 56 64 30 46 45 73 45 53 264 116 341 67 411 40% 45% 47% 36% 31% 35% 52% 34% 39% 40% 38% 42% 32% 40% Don't know 325 38 37 27 71 41 33 46 33 178 127 246 79 314 32% 31% 27% 31% 47% 32% 23% 35% 24% 27% 41% 30% 37% 30% Net satisfied -120 -25 -29 -2 -12 -3 -38 -5 -5 -48 -54 -116 * -105 -12% -20% -21% -2% -8% -2% -27% -4% -3% -7% -17% -14% * -10%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 63 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 57 DROSS. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Douglas Ross is doing his job as leader of the Scottish Conservative and Unionist Party?
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Voting intention (SP) Voting intention (SP) Voting intention Past vote (SP 2016) Past vote (EU Referendum, UnW Total Constituency List (Indyref2) Constituency Past vote (2019 General Election) Past vote (Indyref 2014) 2016) Total Not vote/ too Not young vote/ /not too Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Scot' Remain Leave young Total Unweighted Total 1031 209 142 53 465 206 140 64 417 462 472 173 127 52 405 235 147 49 310 395 480 132 624 248 134 1031 Weighted Total 1031 198 133 54 473 193 130 64 435 483 444 162 120 51 409 227 131 48 308 407 458 140 611 249 142 1031 Satisfied 293 146 52 13 53 137 41 26 55 60 218 110 37 23 62 147 37 13 36 55 199 32 150 108 29 306 28% 73% 39% 24% 11% 71% 32% 41% 13% 12% 49% 68% 31% 44% 15% 65% 28% 26% 12% 14% 44% 23% 25% 43% 21% 30% Dissatisfied 413 21 44 25 273 25 48 21 244 272 108 30 46 17 236 42 60 22 187 221 139 44 278 78 45 411 40% 11% 33% 47% 58% 13% 37% 34% 56% 56% 24% 19% 39% 33% 58% 19% 45% 46% 61% 54% 30% 31% 46% 31% 32% 40% Don't know 325 32 38 15 147 31 41 16 136 152 119 22 37 12 111 38 35 13 85 131 119 65 182 64 68 314 32% 16% 28% 28% 31% 16% 31% 26% 31% 31% 27% 14% 31% 23% 27% 17% 26% 28% 28% 32% 26% 46% 30% 25% 48% 30% Net satisfied -120 124 8 -12 -221 112 -7 5 -188 -212 110 79 -9 6 -174 105 -23 -9 -151 -166 60 -12 -128 31 -16 -105 -12% 63% 6% -23% -47% 58% -5% 7% -43% -44% 25% 49% -8% 11% -43% 46% -17% -19% -49% -41% 13% -9% -21% 12% -11% -10%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 64 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 58 PHARV. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Patrick Harvie is doing his job as co-leader of the Scottish Green Party?
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UnW Total Gender Identity Age Social class Work status Work Sector Qualifications Total Work Work 65 55 -ing -ing Not Degree or or full part work Priv Pub- No Other or Male Female 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 more 16-34 35-54 more AB C1 C2 DE ABC1 C2DE time time -ing -ate lic quals quals higher Total Unweighted Total 1031 479 552 120 158 144 173 188 248 278 317 436 226 375 217 170 601 387 441 126 464 295 241 152 532 324 1031 Weighted Total 1031 490 541 118 180 148 188 164 234 297 336 398 219 303 182 286 521 468 459 112 460 415 137 153 539 318 1031 Satisfied 356 180 176 51 54 58 73 57 63 105 131 120 81 121 58 89 202 147 185 33 139 153 58 42 183 127 363 35% 37% 33% 43% 30% 39% 39% 35% 27% 35% 39% 30% 37% 40% 32% 31% 39% 31% 40% 30% 30% 37% 42% 28% 34% 40% 35% Dissatisfied 242 142 100 9 22 36 44 44 87 32 80 131 69 66 43 50 135 94 101 21 120 96 22 47 123 66 257 23% 29% 18% 8% 12% 24% 23% 27% 37% 11% 24% 33% 31% 22% 24% 18% 26% 20% 22% 18% 26% 23% 16% 31% 23% 21% 25% Don't know 432 167 265 57 103 54 71 63 84 161 125 147 69 115 80 147 184 227 173 58 201 166 57 64 232 125 411 42% 34% 49% 49% 58% 37% 38% 38% 36% 54% 37% 37% 32% 38% 44% 51% 35% 49% 38% 52% 44% 40% 42% 42% 43% 39% 40% Net satisfied 114 38 76 42 31 22 30 13 -24 73 51 -10 12 55 15 39 66 54 83 12 18 56 36 -4 60 62 106 11% 8% 14% 36% 17% 15% 16% 8% -10% 25% 15% -3% 5% 18% 8% 14% 13% 11% 18% 11% 4% 14% 26% -3% 11% 19% 10%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 65 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 59 PHARV. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Patrick Harvie is doing his job as co-leader of the Scottish Green Party?
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Total Scottish Parliament Region Tenure Country of birth UnW Total High- Mid lands Scot North and -land East South West Cent Glas Is- and Scot Scot Scot -ral -gow lands Lothian Fife -land -land -land Owner occupier Renter Scotland Elsewhere Total Unweighted Total 1031 135 138 81 143 114 138 136 146 703 236 857 169 1031 Weighted Total 1031 124 136 85 150 127 141 132 135 659 306 813 213 1031 Satisfied 356 51 63 21 52 34 46 30 59 225 113 278 78 363 35% 41% 47% 25% 34% 27% 32% 22% 44% 34% 37% 34% 37% 35% Dissatisfied 242 29 21 17 29 40 29 39 37 183 49 207 34 257 23% 23% 16% 20% 20% 32% 21% 30% 28% 28% 16% 25% 16% 25% Don't know 432 44 51 47 69 53 66 63 39 251 144 328 101 411 42% 36% 38% 55% 46% 42% 47% 48% 29% 38% 47% 40% 47% 40% Net satisfied 114 23 42 4 22 -6 17 -9 22 41 64 70 45 106 11% 18% 31% 4% 15% -5% 12% -7% 16% 6% 21% 9% 21% 10%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 66 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 60 PHARV. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Patrick Harvie is doing his job as co-leader of the Scottish Green Party?
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Voting intention (SP) Voting intention (SP) Voting intention Past vote (SP 2016) Past vote (EU Referendum, UnW Total Constituency List (Indyref2) Constituency Past vote (2019 General Election) Past vote (Indyref 2014) 2016) Total Not vote/ too Not young vote/ /not too Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Scot' Remain Leave young Total Unweighted Total 1031 209 142 53 465 206 140 64 417 462 472 173 127 52 405 235 147 49 310 395 480 132 624 248 134 1031 Weighted Total 1031 198 133 54 473 193 130 64 435 483 444 162 120 51 409 227 131 48 308 407 458 140 611 249 142 1031 Satisfied 356 33 41 14 232 32 36 15 202 244 85 22 39 12 208 42 46 10 159 198 104 49 251 60 45 363 35% 17% 30% 27% 49% 17% 28% 24% 46% 50% 19% 13% 33% 23% 51% 18% 35% 21% 52% 49% 23% 35% 41% 24% 31% 35% Dissatisfied 242 95 40 20 46 94 36 27 44 48 182 91 36 19 48 108 36 19 36 57 169 12 121 102 16 257 23% 48% 30% 37% 10% 49% 27% 43% 10% 10% 41% 56% 30% 37% 12% 48% 28% 40% 12% 14% 37% 8% 20% 41% 11% 25% Don't know 432 70 53 19 196 67 58 21 189 191 177 49 45 21 154 77 49 18 113 152 185 79 239 88 82 411 42% 35% 40% 36% 41% 34% 45% 33% 44% 40% 40% 30% 37% 40% 38% 34% 37% 39% 37% 37% 40% 57% 39% 35% 57% 40% Net satisfied 114 -62 1 -5 186 -62 1 -12 158 195 -96 -70 3 -7 160 -67 10 -9 124 141 -65 37 130 -42 29 106 11% -31% 1% -10% 39% -32% 1% -19% 36% 40% -22% -43% 3% -14% 39% -29% 8% -19% 40% 35% -14% 27% 21% -17% 20% 10%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 67 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 61 BJOHN. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Boris Johnson is doing his job as Prime Minister?
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UnW Total Gender Identity Age Social class Work status Work Sector Qualifications Total Work Work 65 55 -ing -ing Not Degree or or full part work Priv Pub- No Other or Male Female 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 more 16-34 35-54 more AB C1 C2 DE ABC1 C2DE time time -ing -ate lic quals quals higher Total Unweighted Total 1031 479 552 120 158 144 173 188 248 278 317 436 226 375 217 170 601 387 441 126 464 295 241 152 532 324 1031 Weighted Total 1031 490 541 118 180 148 188 164 234 297 336 398 219 303 182 286 521 468 459 112 460 415 137 153 539 318 1031 Satisfied 272 142 130 17 36 40 46 43 91 53 86 133 50 74 63 76 124 139 110 23 139 106 22 59 140 69 273 26% 29% 24% 14% 20% 27% 24% 26% 39% 18% 26% 33% 23% 24% 35% 27% 24% 30% 24% 21% 30% 25% 16% 39% 26% 22% 26% Dissatisfied 711 335 376 96 138 104 132 114 128 234 236 241 161 216 114 191 376 304 335 76 300 291 105 80 380 238 708 69% 68% 69% 82% 77% 70% 70% 69% 55% 79% 70% 61% 73% 71% 62% 67% 72% 65% 73% 68% 65% 70% 77% 52% 70% 75% 69% Don't know 48 13 35 4 6 4 10 8 16 10 14 24 8 13 5 19 22 24 14 13 21 18 9 14 19 12 50 5% 3% 7% 4% 3% 3% 6% 5% 7% 3% 4% 6% 4% 4% 3% 7% 4% 5% 3% 11% 5% 4% 7% 9% 4% 4% 5% Net satisfied -439 -193 -246 -79 -102 -63 -86 -71 -37 -181 -150 -108 -111 -142 -50 -115 -253 -165 -226 -52 -161 -186 -83 -20 -240 -169 -435 -43% -39% -46% -67% -57% -43% -46% -43% -16% -61% -45% -27% -51% -47% -28% -40% -48% -35% -49% -47% -35% -45% -60% -13% -45% -53% -42%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 68 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 62 BJOHN. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Boris Johnson is doing his job as Prime Minister?
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Total Scottish Parliament Region Tenure Country of birth UnW Total High- Mid lands Scot North and -land East South West Cent Glas Is- and Scot Scot Scot -ral -gow lands Lothian Fife -land -land -land Owner occupier Renter Scotland Elsewhere Total Unweighted Total 1031 135 138 81 143 114 138 136 146 703 236 857 169 1031 Weighted Total 1031 124 136 85 150 127 141 132 135 659 306 813 213 1031 Satisfied 272 23 32 22 31 35 41 41 47 193 66 218 54 273 26% 19% 23% 26% 21% 27% 29% 31% 35% 29% 22% 27% 25% 26% Dissatisfied 711 95 101 55 108 86 95 87 85 432 230 559 147 708 69% 76% 74% 64% 72% 68% 67% 66% 63% 66% 75% 69% 69% 69% Don't know 48 6 3 9 11 7 5 4 3 34 10 36 11 50 5% 5% 2% 10% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 5% 3% 4% 5% 5% Net satisfied -439 -72 -69 -32 -77 -51 -54 -46 -37 -239 -164 -341 -93 -435 -43% -58% -51% -38% -51% -40% -38% -35% -28% -36% -54% -42% -44% -42%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 69 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 63 BJOHN. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Boris Johnson is doing his job as Prime Minister?
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Voting intention (SP) Voting intention (SP) Voting intention Past vote (SP 2016) Past vote (EU Referendum, UnW Total Constituency List (Indyref2) Constituency Past vote (2019 General Election) Past vote (Indyref 2014) 2016) Total Not vote/ too Not young vote/ /not too Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Scot' Remain Leave young Total Unweighted Total 1031 209 142 53 465 206 140 64 417 462 472 173 127 52 405 235 147 49 310 395 480 132 624 248 134 1031 Weighted Total 1031 198 133 54 473 193 130 64 435 483 444 162 120 51 409 227 131 48 308 407 458 140 611 249 142 1031 Satisfied 272 153 34 5 42 147 32 12 41 47 218 121 24 11 40 161 19 5 24 47 185 35 104 134 31 273 26% 77% 26% 8% 9% 76% 25% 19% 9% 10% 49% 74% 20% 22% 10% 71% 14% 10% 8% 12% 41% 25% 17% 54% 22% 26% Dissatisfied 711 37 92 44 420 37 93 47 380 422 201 38 91 39 357 59 107 40 274 348 248 97 488 96 103 708 69% 19% 69% 82% 89% 19% 72% 73% 87% 87% 45% 23% 76% 75% 87% 26% 82% 84% 89% 85% 54% 69% 80% 38% 72% 69% Don't know 48 8 8 5 11 9 5 5 14 14 25 4 5 2 12 7 5 3 10 13 25 8 19 20 8 50 5% 4% 6% 10% 2% 5% 4% 8% 3% 3% 6% 2% 4% 3% 3% 3% 4% 6% 3% 3% 5% 5% 3% 8% 6% 5% Net satisfied -439 116 -58 -40 -378 110 -61 -35 -339 -375 17 83 -68 -27 -317 102 -89 -35 -250 -301 -62 -61 -384 38 -72 -435 -43% 58% -43% -74% -80% 57% -47% -54% -78% -78% 4% 51% -56% -54% -77% 45% -68% -74% -81% -74% -14% -44% -63% 15% -50% -42%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 70 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 64 KSTARM. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Keir Starmer is doing his job as leader of the UK Labour Party?
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UnW Total Gender Identity Age Social class Work status Work Sector Qualifications Total Work Work 65 55 -ing -ing Not Degree or or full part work Priv Pub- No Other or Male Female 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 more 16-34 35-54 more AB C1 C2 DE ABC1 C2DE time time -ing -ate lic quals quals higher Total Unweighted Total 1031 479 552 120 158 144 173 188 248 278 317 436 226 375 217 170 601 387 441 126 464 295 241 152 532 324 1031 Weighted Total 1031 490 541 118 180 148 188 164 234 297 336 398 219 303 182 286 521 468 459 112 460 415 137 153 539 318 1031 Satisfied 390 194 196 41 45 65 63 75 101 86 128 176 95 113 66 101 208 167 172 42 177 151 58 58 195 126 406 38% 40% 36% 35% 25% 44% 33% 45% 43% 29% 38% 44% 44% 37% 36% 35% 40% 36% 37% 37% 38% 36% 42% 38% 36% 40% 39% Dissatisfied 364 188 176 27 63 52 84 61 76 90 136 137 80 113 71 85 194 155 182 35 147 164 44 52 181 123 367 35% 38% 33% 23% 35% 35% 45% 37% 33% 30% 41% 34% 37% 37% 39% 30% 37% 33% 40% 31% 32% 40% 32% 34% 34% 39% 36% Don't know 277 108 170 50 71 30 41 29 57 121 71 85 43 77 45 100 120 145 106 35 136 100 35 44 162 69 258 27% 22% 31% 42% 39% 20% 22% 17% 24% 41% 21% 21% 20% 25% 25% 35% 23% 31% 23% 31% 30% 24% 25% 29% 30% 22% 25% Net satisfied 26 7 20 13 -18 13 -21 14 25 -4 -8 39 15 -1 -4 16 14 12 -10 6 30 -13 14 6 14 3 39 3% 1% 4% 11% -10% 9% -11% 8% 11% -1% -2% 10% 7% * -2% 6% 3% 3% -2% 6% 6% -3% 10% 4% 3% 1% 4%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 71 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 65 KSTARM. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Keir Starmer is doing his job as leader of the UK Labour Party?
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Total Scottish Parliament Region Tenure Country of birth UnW Total High- Mid lands Scot North and -land East South West Cent Glas Is- and Scot Scot Scot -ral -gow lands Lothian Fife -land -land -land Owner occupier Renter Scotland Elsewhere Total Unweighted Total 1031 135 138 81 143 114 138 136 146 703 236 857 169 1031 Weighted Total 1031 124 136 85 150 127 141 132 135 659 306 813 213 1031 Satisfied 390 46 50 31 55 55 52 42 59 272 91 302 85 406 38% 37% 37% 36% 37% 43% 37% 32% 44% 41% 30% 37% 40% 39% Dissatisfied 364 44 62 34 48 34 48 44 49 243 106 297 67 367 35% 36% 46% 40% 32% 27% 34% 33% 36% 37% 35% 37% 31% 36% Don't know 277 34 23 21 46 38 41 46 27 144 109 215 61 258 27% 28% 17% 24% 31% 30% 29% 35% 20% 22% 36% 26% 29% 25% Net satisfied 26 1 -12 -3 7 21 4 -2 10 29 -15 5 18 39 3% 1% -9% -4% 5% 16% 3% -1% 7% 4% -5% 1% 8% 4%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 72 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 66 KSTARM. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Keir Starmer is doing his job as leader of the UK Labour Party?
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Voting intention (SP) Voting intention (SP) Voting intention Past vote (SP 2016) Past vote (EU Referendum, UnW Total Constituency List (Indyref2) Constituency Past vote (2019 General Election) Past vote (Indyref 2014) 2016) Total Not vote/ too Not young vote/ /not too Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Scot' Remain Leave young Total Unweighted Total 1031 209 142 53 465 206 140 64 417 462 472 173 127 52 405 235 147 49 310 395 480 132 624 248 134 1031 Weighted Total 1031 198 133 54 473 193 130 64 435 483 444 162 120 51 409 227 131 48 308 407 458 140 611 249 142 1031 Satisfied 390 80 86 25 159 77 87 27 147 155 195 61 71 28 130 95 77 25 84 122 213 49 241 95 47 406 38% 40% 64% 46% 34% 40% 67% 43% 34% 32% 44% 38% 59% 55% 32% 42% 59% 53% 27% 30% 46% 35% 40% 38% 33% 39% Dissatisfied 364 77 25 22 187 74 21 27 168 192 150 67 32 18 185 90 36 16 153 184 150 25 226 107 26 367 35% 39% 19% 41% 40% 38% 16% 43% 39% 40% 34% 41% 27% 35% 45% 40% 28% 34% 50% 45% 33% 18% 37% 43% 18% 36% Don't know 277 41 22 7 127 43 22 9 120 136 100 34 17 5 94 42 17 6 71 102 95 66 144 47 69 258 27% 21% 16% 14% 27% 22% 17% 14% 28% 28% 22% 21% 14% 10% 23% 18% 13% 13% 23% 25% 21% 47% 24% 19% 49% 25% Net satisfied 26 2 61 3 -28 3 66 * -22 -37 45 -5 39 10 -55 5 41 9 -69 -62 62 25 16 -12 21 39 3% 1% 45% 5% -6% 2% 51% * -5% -8% 10% -3% 33% 21% -13% 2% 31% 19% -22% -15% 14% 18% 3% -5% 15% 4%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 73 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 67 LabLead. As you may know, the Scottish Labour Party is electing a new leader. Which of the following do you feel would make the best leader for Scottish Labour?
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UnW Total Gender Identity Age Social class Work status Work Sector Qualifications Total Work Work 65 55 -ing -ing Not Degree or or full part work Priv Pub- No Other or Male Female 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 more 16-34 35-54 more AB C1 C2 DE ABC1 C2DE time time -ing -ate lic quals quals higher Total Unweighted Total 1031 479 552 120 158 144 173 188 248 278 317 436 226 375 217 170 601 387 441 126 464 295 241 152 532 324 1031 Weighted Total 1031 490 541 118 180 148 188 164 234 297 336 398 219 303 182 286 521 468 459 112 460 415 137 153 539 318 1031 Monica Lennon 257 139 118 31 50 42 50 37 47 81 92 84 44 82 54 67 126 120 132 27 98 114 40 42 122 86 262 25% 28% 22% 26% 28% 29% 26% 23% 20% 27% 27% 21% 20% 27% 29% 23% 24% 26% 29% 24% 21% 27% 29% 27% 23% 27% 25% Anas Sarwar 290 150 140 12 28 41 52 60 97 39 93 157 78 86 46 72 163 118 121 21 148 108 30 54 136 93 306 28% 31% 26% 10% 16% 28% 28% 36% 42% 13% 28% 39% 35% 28% 25% 25% 31% 25% 26% 19% 32% 26% 22% 35% 25% 29% 30% Someone else 8 4 4 1 2 - 1 1 3 3 1 4 3 2 2 1 5 3 1 1 6 - 2 1 4 3 9 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% - * 1% 1% 1% * 1% 1% 1% 1% * 1% 1% * 1% 1% - 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% Don't know 454 190 264 75 100 62 78 62 78 174 140 140 88 130 79 134 218 213 196 63 194 185 64 45 268 133 435 44% 39% 49% 64% 55% 42% 42% 38% 33% 59% 42% 35% 40% 43% 43% 47% 42% 45% 43% 57% 42% 45% 47% 30% 50% 42% 42% Prefer not to say 23 8 15 - * 2 8 4 8 * 10 13 6 3 2 12 9 14 10 - 13 8 1 11 8 3 19 2% 2% 3% - * 1% 4% 3% 4% * 3% 3% 3% 1% 1% 4% 2% 3% 2% - 3% 2% 1% 7% 2% 1% 2%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 74 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 68 LabLead. As you may know, the Scottish Labour Party is electing a new leader. Which of the following do you feel would make the best leader for Scottish Labour?
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Total Scottish Parliament Region Tenure Country of birth UnW Total High- Mid lands Scot North and -land East South West Cent Glas Is- and Scot Scot Scot -ral -gow lands Lothian Fife -land -land -land Owner occupier Renter Scotland Elsewhere Total Unweighted Total 1031 135 138 81 143 114 138 136 146 703 236 857 169 1031 Weighted Total 1031 124 136 85 150 127 141 132 135 659 306 813 213 1031 Monica Lennon 257 39 44 12 37 28 35 21 40 150 89 215 41 262 25% 31% 33% 14% 25% 22% 25% 16% 30% 23% 29% 26% 19% 25% Anas Sarwar 290 38 39 21 35 38 32 36 52 218 58 236 52 306 28% 31% 29% 24% 23% 30% 22% 27% 39% 33% 19% 29% 25% 30% Someone else 8 - 1 - 1 1 3 2 * 4 3 7 1 9 1% - 1% - 1% 1% 2% 1% * 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% Don't know 454 43 49 52 76 60 66 70 38 272 147 338 114 435 44% 35% 36% 61% 50% 47% 47% 53% 28% 41% 48% 42% 54% 42% Prefer not to say 23 4 3 1 2 * 5 4 4 14 9 18 4 19 2% 3% 2% 1% 1% * 4% 3% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 75 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 69 LabLead. As you may know, the Scottish Labour Party is electing a new leader. Which of the following do you feel would make the best leader for Scottish Labour?
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Voting intention (SP) Voting intention (SP) Voting intention Past vote (SP 2016) Past vote (EU Referendum, UnW Total Constituency List (Indyref2) Constituency Past vote (2019 General Election) Past vote (Indyref 2014) 2016) Total Not vote/ too Not young vote/ /not too Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Scot' Remain Leave young Total Unweighted Total 1031 209 142 53 465 206 140 64 417 462 472 173 127 52 405 235 147 49 310 395 480 132 624 248 134 1031 Weighted Total 1031 198 133 54 473 193 130 64 435 483 444 162 120 51 409 227 131 48 308 407 458 140 611 249 142 1031 Monica Lennon 257 41 46 8 139 39 36 10 123 139 97 36 43 5 115 39 37 8 104 123 94 37 167 51 35 262 25% 21% 35% 15% 29% 20% 28% 16% 28% 29% 22% 22% 36% 10% 28% 17% 28% 17% 34% 30% 21% 27% 27% 21% 25% 25% Anas Sarwar 290 68 53 19 125 72 56 19 115 117 154 58 45 20 117 86 57 18 82 101 169 13 194 74 19 306 28% 34% 40% 36% 26% 37% 43% 30% 26% 24% 35% 36% 38% 39% 29% 38% 43% 38% 27% 25% 37% 9% 32% 30% 13% 30% Someone else 8 5 - - 3 5 - - 3 3 5 5 * - 3 5 - - 3 3 5 - 6 2 - 9 1% 3% - - 1% 3% - - 1% 1% 1% 3% * - 1% 2% - - 1% 1% 1% - 1% 1% - 1% Don't know 454 80 33 25 201 73 38 34 188 214 180 60 30 26 164 91 37 21 115 171 182 88 236 113 86 435 44% 40% 25% 47% 43% 38% 29% 54% 43% 44% 40% 37% 25% 51% 40% 40% 29% 43% 37% 42% 40% 63% 39% 45% 60% 42% Prefer not to say 23 4 1 1 6 4 - - 7 11 8 3 1 - 10 5 - 1 4 10 7 2 9 9 2 19 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% - - 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% - 3% 2% - 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 4% 1% 2%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 76 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 70 COVID1(a). Overall, how well or badly do you think each of the following have handled the coronavirus outbreak so far? The UK Government
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UnW Total Gender Identity Age Social class Work status Work Sector Qualifications Total Work Work 65 55 -ing -ing Not Degree or or full part work Priv Pub- No Other or Male Female 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 more 16-34 35-54 more AB C1 C2 DE ABC1 C2DE time time -ing -ate lic quals quals higher Total Unweighted Total 1031 479 552 120 158 144 173 188 248 278 317 436 226 375 217 170 601 387 441 126 464 295 241 152 532 324 1031 Weighted Total 1031 490 541 118 180 148 188 164 234 297 336 398 219 303 182 286 521 468 459 112 460 415 137 153 539 318 1031 Very well 50 32 18 3 5 10 3 4 25 8 13 29 3 7 12 27 9 38 19 2 29 17 2 14 28 8 40 5% 7% 3% 3% 3% 7% 2% 3% 11% 3% 4% 7% 1% 2% 6% 9% 2% 8% 4% 2% 6% 4% 1% 9% 5% 3% 4% Fairly well 261 113 148 18 26 24 54 56 84 44 77 140 50 73 45 86 123 131 83 28 150 76 28 63 136 57 272 25% 23% 27% 15% 14% 16% 28% 34% 36% 15% 23% 35% 23% 24% 25% 30% 24% 28% 18% 25% 33% 18% 21% 41% 25% 18% 26% Neither well nor badly 156 83 73 19 40 24 37 15 21 59 60 37 41 41 32 35 82 67 79 18 59 75 22 9 90 53 149 15% 17% 13% 16% 22% 16% 20% 9% 9% 20% 18% 9% 19% 14% 18% 12% 16% 14% 17% 16% 13% 18% 16% 6% 17% 17% 14% Fairly badly 252 118 135 37 45 45 37 38 50 83 82 88 55 92 49 46 147 94 125 33 95 116 36 19 135 93 268 24% 24% 25% 32% 25% 30% 20% 23% 21% 28% 24% 22% 25% 30% 27% 16% 28% 20% 27% 29% 21% 28% 27% 13% 25% 29% 26% Very badly 304 141 163 40 61 46 56 50 52 101 102 102 69 90 44 89 159 133 150 30 124 126 48 42 147 107 296 30% 29% 30% 34% 34% 31% 30% 30% 22% 34% 30% 26% 32% 30% 24% 31% 31% 28% 33% 27% 27% 30% 35% 28% 27% 34% 29% Don't know 7 2 5 * 2 - 2 1 1 3 2 3 - - 1 3 - 4 4 1 2 5 * 5 3 - 6 1% * 1% * 1% - 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% - - 1% 1% - 1% 1% 1% * 1% * 3% * - 1% Combinations - Summary net Well 311 146 165 21 31 34 56 60 109 52 90 169 53 79 56 113 132 169 102 30 180 93 30 78 164 65 312 30% 30% 31% 18% 17% 23% 30% 36% 47% 17% 27% 42% 24% 26% 31% 39% 25% 36% 22% 26% 39% 22% 22% 51% 30% 21% 30% Badly 557 259 298 77 107 91 93 88 102 184 183 190 125 182 92 135 307 227 275 63 219 242 85 62 282 200 564 54% 53% 55% 65% 59% 61% 49% 53% 44% 62% 55% 48% 57% 60% 51% 47% 59% 49% 60% 56% 48% 58% 62% 40% 52% 63% 55% Net well-badly -246 -113 -133 -56 -76 -57 -36 -28 7 -132 -93 -21 -72 -102 -36 -23 -174 -58 -173 -34 -39 -149 -55 16 -119 -135 -252 -24% -23% -24% -47% -42% -39% -19% -17% 3% -44% -28% -5% -33% -34% -20% -8% -33% -12% -38% -30% -9% -36% -40% 11% -22% -42% -24%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 77 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 71 COVID1(a). Overall, how well or badly do you think each of the following have handled the coronavirus outbreak so far? The UK Government
Base : All
Total Scottish Parliament Region Tenure Country of birth UnW Total High- Mid lands Scot North and -land East South West Cent Glas Is- and Scot Scot Scot -ral -gow lands Lothian Fife -land -land -land Owner occupier Renter Scotland Elsewhere Total Unweighted Total 1031 135 138 81 143 114 138 136 146 703 236 857 169 1031 Weighted Total 1031 124 136 85 150 127 141 132 135 659 306 813 213 1031 Very well 50 2 1 11 10 3 6 9 7 28 19 37 13 40 5% 2% 1% 13% 6% 3% 5% 7% 5% 4% 6% 5% 6% 4% Fairly well 261 27 36 19 24 36 32 41 47 177 72 216 44 272 25% 21% 27% 22% 16% 29% 22% 31% 35% 27% 23% 27% 21% 26% Neither well nor badly 156 17 14 18 20 21 27 23 18 110 36 116 38 149 15% 14% 10% 21% 13% 16% 19% 17% 13% 17% 12% 14% 18% 14% Fairly badly 252 40 31 11 48 33 34 25 31 158 72 198 52 268 24% 32% 23% 13% 32% 26% 24% 19% 23% 24% 23% 24% 25% 26% Very badly 304 35 54 26 48 34 43 34 30 182 106 241 63 296 30% 29% 40% 30% 32% 27% 31% 26% 22% 28% 35% 30% 30% 29% Don't know 7 3 - 1 - - - - 3 4 2 5 3 6 1% 3% - 1% - - - - 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% Combinations - Summary net Well 311 29 38 30 34 40 38 50 54 206 90 253 57 312 30% 23% 28% 35% 22% 31% 27% 38% 40% 31% 29% 31% 27% 30% Badly 557 75 85 37 97 67 77 59 61 339 178 440 115 564 54% 60% 62% 43% 64% 52% 54% 45% 45% 52% 58% 54% 54% 55% Net well-badly -246 -46 -47 -7 -63 -27 -39 -9 -8 -134 -88 -187 -58 -252 -24% -37% -34% -8% -42% -21% -27% -7% -6% -20% -29% -23% -27% -24%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 78 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 72 COVID1(a). Overall, how well or badly do you think each of the following have handled the coronavirus outbreak so far? The UK Government
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Voting intention (SP) Voting intention (SP) Voting intention Past vote (SP 2016) Past vote (EU Referendum, UnW Total Constituency List (Indyref2) Constituency Past vote (2019 General Election) Past vote (Indyref 2014) 2016) Total Not vote/ too Not young vote/ /not too Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Scot' Remain Leave young Total Unweighted Total 1031 209 142 53 465 206 140 64 417 462 472 173 127 52 405 235 147 49 310 395 480 132 624 248 134 1031 Weighted Total 1031 198 133 54 473 193 130 64 435 483 444 162 120 51 409 227 131 48 308 407 458 140 611 249 142 1031 Very well 50 26 2 1 15 24 6 1 14 18 32 19 4 - 11 23 3 - 10 15 26 5 21 25 3 40 5% 13% 2% 2% 3% 12% 5% 2% 3% 4% 7% 12% 3% - 3% 10% 2% - 3% 4% 6% 4% 3% 10% 2% 4% Fairly well 261 102 38 10 70 100 32 16 72 72 176 78 29 17 66 113 24 9 43 66 159 30 118 99 35 272 25% 51% 29% 18% 15% 52% 24% 25% 17% 15% 40% 48% 24% 33% 16% 50% 18% 19% 14% 16% 35% 21% 19% 40% 25% 26% Neither well nor badly 156 36 25 10 59 38 20 12 55 54 81 36 16 6 43 44 16 9 32 44 79 30 94 30 28 149 15% 18% 19% 19% 13% 19% 15% 19% 13% 11% 18% 22% 14% 12% 11% 20% 12% 18% 10% 11% 17% 22% 15% 12% 20% 14% Fairly badly 252 20 32 17 133 16 32 22 123 136 80 13 31 17 125 23 37 14 87 119 93 34 162 47 34 268 24% 10% 24% 31% 28% 8% 25% 34% 28% 28% 18% 8% 26% 32% 30% 10% 29% 30% 28% 29% 20% 24% 27% 19% 24% 26% Very badly 304 12 35 16 193 15 39 13 168 199 75 14 40 11 161 22 51 16 134 159 100 41 214 45 41 296 30% 6% 26% 30% 41% 8% 30% 20% 39% 41% 17% 9% 33% 22% 39% 10% 39% 33% 43% 39% 22% 29% 35% 18% 29% 29% Don't know 7 1 1 - 2 1 1 - 2 5 1 1 - - 4 1 - - 2 4 1 * 2 3 * 6 1% 1% 1% - * 1% 1% - * 1% * 1% - - 1% 1% - - 1% 1% * * * 1% * 1% Combinations - Summary net Well 311 128 41 11 86 124 38 17 86 91 208 98 33 17 77 136 27 9 53 81 185 35 139 124 38 312 30% 65% 31% 20% 18% 64% 29% 27% 20% 19% 47% 60% 27% 33% 19% 60% 20% 19% 17% 20% 40% 25% 23% 50% 27% 30% Badly 557 32 67 33 326 31 71 34 292 334 155 27 71 28 286 45 89 30 221 278 192 74 376 92 75 564 54% 16% 50% 61% 69% 16% 55% 54% 67% 69% 35% 17% 59% 55% 70% 20% 68% 63% 72% 68% 42% 53% 62% 37% 53% 55% Net well-badly -246 96 -26 -22 -240 93 -33 -17 -205 -244 53 71 -38 -11 -209 90 -62 -21 -167 -198 -7 -39 -237 32 -37 -252 -24% 48% -19% -41% -51% 48% -25% -27% -47% -50% 12% 44% -32% -22% -51% 40% -47% -44% -54% -49% -2% -28% -39% 13% -26% -24%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 79 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 73 COVID1(b). Overall, how well or badly do you think each of the following have handled the coronavirus outbreak so far? The Scottish Government
Base : All
UnW Total Gender Identity Age Social class Work status Work Sector Qualifications Total Work Work 65 55 -ing -ing Not Degree or or full part work Priv Pub- No Other or Male Female 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 more 16-34 35-54 more AB C1 C2 DE ABC1 C2DE time time -ing -ate lic quals quals higher Total Unweighted Total 1031 479 552 120 158 144 173 188 248 278 317 436 226 375 217 170 601 387 441 126 464 295 241 152 532 324 1031 Weighted Total 1031 490 541 118 180 148 188 164 234 297 336 398 219 303 182 286 521 468 459 112 460 415 137 153 539 318 1031 Very well 211 89 122 15 28 21 38 45 66 43 58 111 30 63 31 77 93 108 75 22 114 70 20 48 99 59 202 20% 18% 23% 12% 16% 14% 20% 27% 28% 14% 17% 28% 14% 21% 17% 27% 18% 23% 16% 20% 25% 17% 15% 31% 18% 19% 20% Fairly well 480 226 254 53 83 65 98 69 111 137 163 180 110 151 78 124 261 202 223 43 214 180 77 57 245 169 504 47% 46% 47% 45% 46% 44% 52% 42% 47% 46% 49% 45% 50% 50% 43% 43% 50% 43% 48% 38% 47% 43% 56% 37% 45% 53% 49% Neither well nor badly 154 78 76 30 28 24 30 23 19 58 54 42 41 44 33 32 85 65 80 19 56 80 16 13 90 50 146 15% 16% 14% 26% 16% 16% 16% 14% 8% 20% 16% 11% 19% 15% 18% 11% 16% 14% 17% 17% 12% 19% 12% 8% 17% 16% 14% Fairly badly 100 50 50 11 18 22 9 15 25 29 31 40 19 23 22 32 42 54 42 19 39 42 16 25 53 22 102 10% 10% 9% 9% 10% 15% 5% 9% 11% 10% 9% 10% 9% 8% 12% 11% 8% 12% 9% 17% 9% 10% 12% 16% 10% 7% 10% Very badly 84 46 38 9 22 16 13 12 12 31 30 23 19 21 18 20 40 39 41 9 34 42 7 10 51 18 75 8% 9% 7% 8% 12% 11% 7% 7% 5% 10% 9% 6% 9% 7% 10% 7% 8% 8% 9% 8% 7% 10% 5% 7% 9% 6% 7% Don't know 2 1 1 - - - - 1 1 - - 2 - 1 - - 1 - - - 2 - - 1 1 - 2 * * * - - - - * 1% - - * - * - - * - - - * - - 1% * - * Combinations - Summary net Well 691 315 376 68 111 85 136 114 177 179 221 291 140 214 109 201 354 310 297 65 329 250 97 104 344 228 706 67% 64% 69% 58% 62% 58% 72% 69% 76% 60% 66% 73% 64% 71% 60% 70% 68% 66% 65% 58% 72% 60% 71% 68% 64% 72% 68% Badly 184 96 88 20 40 38 22 27 37 60 61 63 37 44 40 53 81 93 83 28 73 85 23 35 104 40 177 18% 20% 16% 17% 22% 26% 12% 16% 16% 20% 18% 16% 17% 14% 22% 18% 16% 20% 18% 25% 16% 20% 17% 23% 19% 13% 17% Net well-badly 507 219 288 48 71 47 113 88 140 119 160 228 103 170 69 149 273 218 214 37 256 166 74 70 240 188 529 49% 45% 53% 41% 39% 32% 60% 53% 60% 40% 48% 57% 47% 56% 38% 52% 52% 47% 47% 33% 56% 40% 54% 46% 45% 59% 51%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 80 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 74 COVID1(b). Overall, how well or badly do you think each of the following have handled the coronavirus outbreak so far? The Scottish Government
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Total Scottish Parliament Region Tenure Country of birth UnW Total High- Mid lands Scot North and -land East South West Cent Glas Is- and Scot Scot Scot -ral -gow lands Lothian Fife -land -land -land Owner occupier Renter Scotland Elsewhere Total Unweighted Total 1031 135 138 81 143 114 138 136 146 703 236 857 169 1031 Weighted Total 1031 124 136 85 150 127 141 132 135 659 306 813 213 1031 Very well 211 28 30 19 16 26 34 29 30 122 81 176 35 202 20% 23% 22% 22% 11% 20% 24% 22% 22% 18% 27% 22% 17% 20% Fairly well 480 45 71 40 89 67 67 52 50 317 130 372 106 504 47% 36% 52% 47% 59% 52% 47% 39% 37% 48% 43% 46% 50% 49% Neither well nor badly 154 20 21 7 20 19 18 24 25 107 32 119 33 146 15% 16% 16% 8% 13% 15% 12% 18% 19% 16% 10% 15% 15% 14% Fairly badly 100 23 8 7 13 12 9 13 16 67 29 82 18 102 10% 18% 6% 8% 9% 9% 6% 10% 12% 10% 9% 10% 9% 10% Very badly 84 8 6 13 12 4 14 14 13 45 34 64 20 75 8% 6% 4% 15% 8% 3% 10% 11% 10% 7% 11% 8% 9% 7% Don't know 2 - - - - - 1 - 1 1 - 1 1 2 * - - - - - * - 1% * - * 1% * Combinations - Summary net Well 691 73 101 59 105 93 100 81 80 439 212 547 141 706 67% 59% 74% 69% 70% 73% 71% 61% 59% 67% 69% 67% 66% 68% Badly 184 30 14 19 25 15 23 28 29 112 63 146 38 177 18% 24% 10% 23% 17% 12% 16% 21% 22% 17% 21% 18% 18% 17% Net well-badly 507 43 87 39 80 77 77 53 50 327 149 401 103 529 49% 35% 64% 46% 53% 61% 55% 40% 37% 50% 49% 49% 48% 51%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 81 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 75 COVID1(b). Overall, how well or badly do you think each of the following have handled the coronavirus outbreak so far? The Scottish Government
Base : All
Voting intention (SP) Voting intention (SP) Voting intention Past vote (SP 2016) Past vote (EU Referendum, UnW Total Constituency List (Indyref2) Constituency Past vote (2019 General Election) Past vote (Indyref 2014) 2016) Total Not vote/ too Not young vote/ /not too Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Scot' Remain Leave young Total Unweighted Total 1031 209 142 53 465 206 140 64 417 462 472 173 127 52 405 235 147 49 310 395 480 132 624 248 134 1031 Weighted Total 1031 198 133 54 473 193 130 64 435 483 444 162 120 51 409 227 131 48 308 407 458 140 611 249 142 1031 Very well 211 16 17 3 149 16 15 6 139 149 50 15 15 4 126 22 19 3 98 129 55 22 131 42 30 202 20% 8% 12% 6% 31% 8% 11% 10% 32% 31% 11% 9% 12% 7% 31% 10% 15% 6% 32% 32% 12% 15% 22% 17% 21% 20% Fairly well 480 76 64 29 247 71 62 34 225 241 183 55 61 30 204 81 62 30 155 192 215 64 309 96 65 504 47% 38% 48% 53% 52% 37% 47% 54% 52% 50% 41% 34% 51% 59% 50% 36% 47% 64% 50% 47% 47% 46% 51% 38% 45% 49% Neither well nor badly 154 43 23 9 49 47 19 8 41 45 90 37 18 4 41 52 23 6 26 41 78 30 86 39 25 146 15% 22% 17% 17% 10% 24% 14% 12% 10% 9% 20% 23% 15% 8% 10% 23% 17% 12% 9% 10% 17% 21% 14% 15% 18% 14% Fairly badly 100 32 19 6 21 33 23 7 22 30 62 24 17 6 24 33 20 3 17 24 60 16 53 35 12 102 10% 16% 14% 11% 5% 17% 17% 10% 5% 6% 14% 15% 14% 12% 6% 14% 15% 6% 6% 6% 13% 11% 9% 14% 9% 10% Very badly 84 30 10 7 8 25 11 9 7 18 58 30 10 7 16 38 8 6 12 21 50 9 32 38 11 75 8% 15% 7% 12% 2% 13% 9% 14% 2% 4% 13% 19% 8% 13% 4% 17% 6% 13% 4% 5% 11% 6% 5% 15% 7% 7% Don't know 2 1 1 - - 1 1 - - - 1 1 - - - 1 - - - - 1 - - - - 2 * * 1% - - * 1% - - - * * - - - * - - - - * - - - - * Combinations - Summary net Well 691 92 80 32 395 87 77 40 364 390 234 70 76 34 329 103 81 33 253 321 270 85 440 138 94 706 67% 47% 60% 59% 84% 45% 59% 63% 84% 81% 53% 43% 63% 67% 80% 45% 62% 69% 82% 79% 59% 61% 72% 55% 66% 68% Badly 184 62 29 13 29 58 34 15 29 48 120 55 27 13 40 71 27 9 29 46 110 25 84 73 23 177 18% 31% 22% 23% 6% 30% 26% 24% 7% 10% 27% 34% 22% 25% 10% 31% 21% 19% 9% 11% 24% 18% 14% 29% 16% 17% Net well-badly 507 30 52 19 366 29 43 25 335 342 114 15 49 21 290 32 53 24 224 276 161 60 356 65 71 529 49% 15% 39% 36% 77% 15% 33% 39% 77% 71% 26% 9% 41% 41% 71% 14% 41% 51% 73% 68% 35% 43% 58% 26% 50% 51%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 82 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 76 VACC1(i). Do you think the UK Government has done a good job or bad job at - Ensuring the public are vaccinated as soon as possible?
Base : All
UnW Total Gender Identity Age Social class Work status Work Sector Qualifications Total Work Work 65 55 -ing -ing Not Degree or or full part work Priv Pub- No Other or Male Female 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 more 16-34 35-54 more AB C1 C2 DE ABC1 C2DE time time -ing -ate lic quals quals higher Total Unweighted Total 1031 479 552 120 158 144 173 188 248 278 317 436 226 375 217 170 601 387 441 126 464 295 241 152 532 324 1031 Weighted Total 1031 490 541 118 180 148 188 164 234 297 336 398 219 303 182 286 521 468 459 112 460 415 137 153 539 318 1031 Good job 774 371 403 78 122 113 149 123 189 200 262 312 177 240 139 195 417 334 352 91 331 326 102 114 396 251 788 75% 76% 74% 66% 68% 76% 79% 75% 81% 67% 78% 78% 81% 79% 76% 68% 80% 71% 77% 81% 72% 79% 75% 74% 74% 79% 76% Bad job 177 77 100 29 38 25 33 30 23 67 58 53 29 43 26 68 72 94 75 10 93 56 26 23 99 52 162 17% 16% 19% 24% 21% 17% 17% 18% 10% 23% 17% 13% 13% 14% 14% 24% 14% 20% 16% 9% 20% 14% 19% 15% 18% 16% 16% Don't know 80 41 38 11 19 10 6 12 22 30 16 34 12 20 18 22 32 39 33 11 36 33 9 16 43 15 81 8% 8% 7% 9% 11% 7% 3% 7% 9% 10% 5% 8% 6% 6% 10% 8% 6% 8% 7% 10% 8% 8% 7% 10% 8% 5% 8%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 83 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 77 VACC1(i). Do you think the UK Government has done a good job or bad job at - Ensuring the public are vaccinated as soon as possible?
Base : All
Total Scottish Parliament Region Tenure Country of birth UnW Total High- Mid lands Scot North and -land East South West Cent Glas Is- and Scot Scot Scot -ral -gow lands Lothian Fife -land -land -land Owner occupier Renter Scotland Elsewhere Total Unweighted Total 1031 135 138 81 143 114 138 136 146 703 236 857 169 1031 Weighted Total 1031 124 136 85 150 127 141 132 135 659 306 813 213 1031 Good job 774 95 86 65 120 105 96 93 113 541 194 609 163 788 75% 77% 64% 76% 80% 82% 68% 70% 84% 82% 63% 75% 77% 76% Bad job 177 15 39 12 18 16 34 31 12 83 79 139 36 162 17% 12% 29% 14% 12% 13% 24% 23% 9% 13% 26% 17% 17% 16% Don't know 80 14 11 8 12 6 11 8 10 35 34 64 13 81 8% 11% 8% 10% 8% 5% 8% 6% 8% 5% 11% 8% 6% 8%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 84 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 78 VACC1(i). Do you think the UK Government has done a good job or bad job at - Ensuring the public are vaccinated as soon as possible?
Base : All
Voting intention (SP) Voting intention (SP) Voting intention Past vote (SP 2016) Past vote (EU Referendum, UnW Total Constituency List (Indyref2) Constituency Past vote (2019 General Election) Past vote (Indyref 2014) 2016) Total Not vote/ too Not young vote/ /not too Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Scot' Remain Leave young Total Unweighted Total 1031 209 142 53 465 206 140 64 417 462 472 173 127 52 405 235 147 49 310 395 480 132 624 248 134 1031 Weighted Total 1031 198 133 54 473 193 130 64 435 483 444 162 120 51 409 227 131 48 308 407 458 140 611 249 142 1031 Good job 774 176 100 37 334 173 100 47 308 328 372 143 102 43 291 201 104 35 219 287 382 92 452 199 106 788 75% 89% 75% 69% 71% 89% 77% 74% 71% 68% 84% 88% 85% 84% 71% 89% 79% 73% 71% 70% 83% 66% 74% 80% 75% 76% Bad job 177 15 24 11 95 13 21 11 89 107 48 12 10 5 81 17 17 10 62 77 53 39 117 28 28 162 17% 7% 18% 21% 20% 7% 16% 17% 21% 22% 11% 7% 9% 10% 20% 8% 13% 21% 20% 19% 12% 28% 19% 11% 20% 16% Don't know 80 7 9 6 44 8 9 6 38 49 24 7 7 3 37 9 10 3 28 44 23 9 42 23 8 81 8% 4% 7% 11% 9% 4% 7% 9% 9% 10% 5% 5% 6% 6% 9% 4% 8% 7% 9% 11% 5% 6% 7% 9% 5% 8%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 85 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 79 VACC1(ii). Do you think the UK Government has done a good job or bad job at - Making sure different groups of the population are vaccinated in the right order?
Base : All
UnW Total Gender Identity Age Social class Work status Work Sector Qualifications Total Work Work 65 55 -ing -ing Not Degree or or full part work Priv Pub- No Other or Male Female 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 more 16-34 35-54 more AB C1 C2 DE ABC1 C2DE time time -ing -ate lic quals quals higher Total Unweighted Total 1031 479 552 120 158 144 173 188 248 278 317 436 226 375 217 170 601 387 441 126 464 295 241 152 532 324 1031 Weighted Total 1031 490 541 118 180 148 188 164 234 297 336 398 219 303 182 286 521 468 459 112 460 415 137 153 539 318 1031 Good job 746 370 376 80 120 100 137 125 184 200 236 309 159 215 140 205 374 345 323 84 339 302 91 111 385 233 750 72% 76% 69% 68% 67% 67% 73% 76% 79% 67% 70% 78% 73% 71% 77% 72% 72% 74% 70% 75% 74% 73% 67% 72% 72% 73% 73% Bad job 192 78 114 24 46 28 42 24 27 71 70 51 42 61 31 50 103 81 100 20 73 81 35 27 99 62 192 19% 16% 21% 21% 26% 19% 23% 14% 12% 24% 21% 13% 19% 20% 17% 17% 20% 17% 22% 17% 16% 19% 25% 18% 18% 20% 19% Don't know 93 42 52 13 13 20 9 15 23 26 29 38 17 27 11 30 44 42 37 9 48 32 11 16 54 23 89 9% 9% 10% 11% 7% 14% 5% 9% 10% 9% 9% 10% 8% 9% 6% 11% 8% 9% 8% 8% 10% 8% 8% 10% 10% 7% 9%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 86 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 80 VACC1(ii). Do you think the UK Government has done a good job or bad job at - Making sure different groups of the population are vaccinated in the right order?
Base : All
Total Scottish Parliament Region Tenure Country of birth UnW Total High- Mid lands Scot North and -land East South West Cent Glas Is- and Scot Scot Scot -ral -gow lands Lothian Fife -land -land -land Owner occupier Renter Scotland Elsewhere Total Unweighted Total 1031 135 138 81 143 114 138 136 146 703 236 857 169 1031 Weighted Total 1031 124 136 85 150 127 141 132 135 659 306 813 213 1031 Good job 746 82 82 62 118 101 99 95 107 504 199 587 155 750 72% 66% 60% 72% 79% 79% 70% 72% 79% 76% 65% 72% 73% 73% Bad job 192 25 37 19 25 16 24 26 19 103 75 153 38 192 19% 20% 27% 23% 16% 13% 17% 20% 14% 16% 25% 19% 18% 19% Don't know 93 17 17 4 8 10 19 11 9 52 32 73 20 89 9% 13% 12% 5% 5% 8% 13% 8% 7% 8% 10% 9% 10% 9%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 87 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 81 VACC1(ii). Do you think the UK Government has done a good job or bad job at - Making sure different groups of the population are vaccinated in the right order?
Base : All
Voting intention (SP) Voting intention (SP) Voting intention Past vote (SP 2016) Past vote (EU Referendum, UnW Total Constituency List (Indyref2) Constituency Past vote (2019 General Election) Past vote (Indyref 2014) 2016) Total Not vote/ too Not young vote/ /not too Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Scot' Remain Leave young Total Unweighted Total 1031 209 142 53 465 206 140 64 417 462 472 173 127 52 405 235 147 49 310 395 480 132 624 248 134 1031 Weighted Total 1031 198 133 54 473 193 130 64 435 483 444 162 120 51 409 227 131 48 308 407 458 140 611 249 142 1031 Good job 746 167 104 42 320 165 100 50 296 320 350 136 99 43 272 186 103 38 205 266 364 98 427 197 106 750 72% 84% 78% 78% 68% 85% 77% 78% 68% 66% 79% 84% 82% 83% 66% 82% 79% 79% 67% 65% 79% 70% 70% 79% 74% 73% Bad job 192 19 23 8 109 17 22 10 97 114 62 14 16 5 101 26 21 4 76 97 61 30 133 28 24 192 19% 10% 18% 15% 23% 9% 17% 15% 22% 23% 14% 9% 13% 10% 25% 12% 16% 8% 25% 24% 13% 22% 22% 11% 17% 19% Don't know 93 12 6 4 44 12 8 4 42 49 32 12 5 3 36 15 6 6 27 45 33 12 51 25 13 89 9% 6% 4% 7% 9% 6% 6% 7% 10% 10% 7% 7% 5% 7% 9% 6% 5% 13% 9% 11% 7% 9% 8% 10% 9% 9%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 88 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 82 VACC2(i). Do you think the Scottish Government has done a good job or bad job at - Ensuring the public are vaccinated as soon as possible?
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UnW Total Gender Identity Age Social class Work status Work Sector Qualifications Total Work Work 65 55 -ing -ing Not Degree or or full part work Priv Pub- No Other or Male Female 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 more 16-34 35-54 more AB C1 C2 DE ABC1 C2DE time time -ing -ate lic quals quals higher Total Unweighted Total 1031 479 552 120 158 144 173 188 248 278 317 436 226 375 217 170 601 387 441 126 464 295 241 152 532 324 1031 Weighted Total 1031 490 541 118 180 148 188 164 234 297 336 398 219 303 182 286 521 468 459 112 460 415 137 153 539 318 1031 Good job 802 372 431 93 135 108 153 131 183 227 261 314 164 248 139 226 412 364 352 95 355 324 106 113 418 254 802 78% 76% 80% 79% 75% 73% 81% 80% 78% 76% 78% 79% 75% 82% 76% 79% 79% 78% 77% 85% 77% 78% 77% 74% 78% 80% 78% Bad job 185 94 91 23 33 32 33 27 38 56 64 65 46 45 36 51 92 87 87 13 85 73 26 29 100 52 182 18% 19% 17% 19% 18% 22% 17% 17% 16% 19% 19% 16% 21% 15% 20% 18% 18% 19% 19% 12% 18% 18% 19% 19% 19% 16% 18% Don't know 44 25 19 3 12 8 3 6 13 14 10 19 8 9 7 9 17 17 20 4 20 18 5 12 20 12 47 4% 5% 4% 2% 7% 5% 1% 4% 6% 5% 3% 5% 4% 3% 4% 3% 3% 4% 4% 3% 4% 4% 4% 8% 4% 4% 5%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 89 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 83 VACC2(i). Do you think the Scottish Government has done a good job or bad job at - Ensuring the public are vaccinated as soon as possible?
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Total Scottish Parliament Region Tenure Country of birth UnW Total High- Mid lands Scot North and -land East South West Cent Glas Is- and Scot Scot Scot -ral -gow lands Lothian Fife -land -land -land Owner occupier Renter Scotland Elsewhere Total Unweighted Total 1031 135 138 81 143 114 138 136 146 703 236 857 169 1031 Weighted Total 1031 124 136 85 150 127 141 132 135 659 306 813 213 1031 Good job 802 95 103 65 125 96 114 98 105 512 243 636 164 802 78% 77% 76% 77% 83% 76% 81% 74% 78% 78% 79% 78% 77% 78% Bad job 185 21 25 15 23 30 20 27 25 121 55 143 42 182 18% 17% 18% 18% 15% 23% 14% 21% 19% 18% 18% 18% 20% 18% Don't know 44 8 8 5 2 2 7 7 5 26 9 35 7 47 4% 6% 6% 6% 2% 1% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 4% 3% 5%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 90 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 84 VACC2(i). Do you think the Scottish Government has done a good job or bad job at - Ensuring the public are vaccinated as soon as possible?
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Voting intention (SP) Voting intention (SP) Voting intention Past vote (SP 2016) Past vote (EU Referendum, UnW Total Constituency List (Indyref2) Constituency Past vote (2019 General Election) Past vote (Indyref 2014) 2016) Total Not vote/ too Not young vote/ /not too Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Scot' Remain Leave young Total Unweighted Total 1031 209 142 53 465 206 140 64 417 462 472 173 127 52 405 235 147 49 310 395 480 132 624 248 134 1031 Weighted Total 1031 198 133 54 473 193 130 64 435 483 444 162 120 51 409 227 131 48 308 407 458 140 611 249 142 1031 Good job 802 123 95 41 428 119 94 50 393 430 302 94 89 42 360 143 94 36 277 358 322 106 491 176 112 802 78% 62% 71% 76% 90% 61% 72% 78% 90% 89% 68% 58% 75% 82% 88% 63% 71% 75% 90% 88% 70% 76% 80% 71% 78% 78% Bad job 185 64 35 13 31 62 34 14 28 38 123 56 28 8 36 72 32 8 21 37 115 27 100 60 24 182 18% 32% 26% 24% 6% 32% 26% 22% 7% 8% 28% 34% 23% 16% 9% 32% 24% 18% 7% 9% 25% 19% 16% 24% 17% 18% Don't know 44 12 4 - 15 12 3 - 14 14 20 13 3 1 13 12 6 3 9 12 21 7 20 13 7 47 4% 6% 3% - 3% 6% 2% - 3% 3% 4% 8% 2% 1% 3% 5% 4% 7% 3% 3% 5% 5% 3% 5% 5% 5%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 91 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 85 VACC2(ii). Do you think the Scottish Government has done a good job or bad job at - Making sure different groups of the population are vaccinated in the right order?
Base : All
UnW Total Gender Identity Age Social class Work status Work Sector Qualifications Total Work Work 65 55 -ing -ing Not Degree or or full part work Priv Pub- No Other or Male Female 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 more 16-34 35-54 more AB C1 C2 DE ABC1 C2DE time time -ing -ate lic quals quals higher Total Unweighted Total 1031 479 552 120 158 144 173 188 248 278 317 436 226 375 217 170 601 387 441 126 464 295 241 152 532 324 1031 Weighted Total 1031 490 541 118 180 148 188 164 234 297 336 398 219 303 182 286 521 468 459 112 460 415 137 153 539 318 1031 Good job 790 386 404 95 134 107 144 129 180 229 251 309 155 244 138 224 398 362 358 86 347 322 104 114 409 251 784 77% 79% 75% 81% 75% 72% 77% 78% 77% 77% 75% 78% 71% 80% 76% 78% 76% 77% 78% 76% 75% 78% 76% 75% 76% 79% 76% Bad job 183 74 109 18 34 30 37 24 39 52 67 63 51 45 35 45 96 80 84 19 79 74 27 29 98 50 185 18% 15% 20% 16% 19% 20% 20% 15% 17% 17% 20% 16% 23% 15% 19% 16% 18% 17% 18% 17% 17% 18% 20% 19% 18% 16% 18% Don't know 59 30 29 4 12 11 6 11 15 16 17 26 12 14 9 17 27 26 17 7 34 18 6 9 32 16 62 6% 6% 5% 3% 7% 7% 3% 7% 6% 5% 5% 7% 6% 5% 5% 6% 5% 6% 4% 6% 7% 4% 4% 6% 6% 5% 6%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 92 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 86 VACC2(ii). Do you think the Scottish Government has done a good job or bad job at - Making sure different groups of the population are vaccinated in the right order?
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Total Scottish Parliament Region Tenure Country of birth UnW Total High- Mid lands Scot North and -land East South West Cent Glas Is- and Scot Scot Scot -ral -gow lands Lothian Fife -land -land -land Owner occupier Renter Scotland Elsewhere Total Unweighted Total 1031 135 138 81 143 114 138 136 146 703 236 857 169 1031 Weighted Total 1031 124 136 85 150 127 141 132 135 659 306 813 213 1031 Good job 790 92 101 63 120 103 108 98 105 505 239 628 159 784 77% 74% 74% 74% 80% 81% 76% 75% 78% 77% 78% 77% 75% 76% Bad job 183 24 25 18 24 20 25 26 22 117 51 140 40 185 18% 19% 18% 22% 16% 16% 17% 20% 16% 18% 17% 17% 19% 18% Don't know 59 9 10 3 7 5 9 7 9 37 16 45 14 62 6% 7% 8% 4% 4% 4% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 6% 6% 6%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 93 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 87 VACC2(ii). Do you think the Scottish Government has done a good job or bad job at - Making sure different groups of the population are vaccinated in the right order?
Base : All
Voting intention (SP) Voting intention (SP) Voting intention Past vote (SP 2016) Past vote (EU Referendum, UnW Total Constituency List (Indyref2) Constituency Past vote (2019 General Election) Past vote (Indyref 2014) 2016) Total Not vote/ too Not young vote/ /not too Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Scot' Remain Leave young Total Unweighted Total 1031 209 142 53 465 206 140 64 417 462 472 173 127 52 405 235 147 49 310 395 480 132 624 248 134 1031 Weighted Total 1031 198 133 54 473 193 130 64 435 483 444 162 120 51 409 227 131 48 308 407 458 140 611 249 142 1031 Good job 790 126 98 39 400 125 93 50 376 405 303 108 92 40 338 147 103 36 257 331 327 112 481 170 119 784 77% 63% 73% 73% 85% 64% 71% 79% 87% 84% 68% 66% 77% 78% 83% 65% 79% 76% 83% 81% 72% 80% 79% 68% 83% 76% Bad job 183 64 30 9 51 59 30 9 45 55 115 47 23 9 48 69 24 6 35 53 105 20 100 62 15 185 18% 32% 22% 18% 11% 31% 23% 14% 10% 11% 26% 29% 20% 18% 12% 30% 18% 13% 11% 13% 23% 14% 16% 25% 11% 18% Don't know 59 9 6 5 22 9 8 5 13 23 26 7 4 2 23 11 3 5 17 23 26 8 29 17 8 62 6% 4% 4% 9% 5% 5% 6% 8% 3% 5% 6% 5% 3% 4% 6% 5% 3% 11% 5% 6% 6% 6% 5% 7% 6% 6%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 94 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 88 SNPISS2. Has the Scottish Parliament inquiry into how the Scottish Government handled accusations against Alex Salmond made you ...?
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UnW Total Gender Identity Age Social class Work status Work Sector Qualifications Total Work Work 65 55 -ing -ing Not Degree or or full part work Priv Pub- No Other or Male Female 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 more 16-34 35-54 more AB C1 C2 DE ABC1 C2DE time time -ing -ate lic quals quals higher Total Unweighted Total 1031 479 552 120 158 144 173 188 248 278 317 436 226 375 217 170 601 387 441 126 464 295 241 152 532 324 1031 Weighted Total 1031 490 541 118 180 148 188 164 234 297 336 398 219 303 182 286 521 468 459 112 460 415 137 153 539 318 1031 More favourable towards the SNP 24 13 11 * 8 4 2 7 4 8 6 10 7 6 4 6 14 10 10 1 13 8 2 2 12 10 25 2% 3% 2% * 4% 3% 1% 4% 2% 3% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 1% 3% 2% 1% 2% 2% 3% 2% Less favourable towards the SNP 366 193 173 30 33 60 68 60 116 63 128 176 97 116 61 82 213 143 167 37 162 155 45 70 161 129 388 36% 39% 32% 25% 19% 40% 36% 37% 49% 21% 38% 44% 44% 38% 34% 29% 41% 31% 36% 33% 35% 37% 33% 46% 30% 40% 38% No difference either way 600 268 332 80 125 80 114 94 106 205 194 200 111 174 113 179 285 291 271 70 259 239 88 68 344 173 584 58% 55% 61% 68% 70% 54% 61% 57% 46% 69% 58% 50% 51% 57% 62% 63% 55% 62% 59% 62% 56% 58% 64% 44% 64% 54% 57% Don't know 36 14 23 8 13 4 4 2 6 21 8 8 2 6 2 18 8 20 10 4 23 11 2 9 22 5 29 4% 3% 4% 7% 7% 3% 2% 1% 2% 7% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% 6% 2% 4% 2% 4% 5% 3% 1% 6% 4% 2% 3% Prefer not to say 4 2 2 - * - - 1 3 * - 4 1 - 2 1 1 3 1 * 3 1 * 3 - 1 5 * * * - * - - 1% 1% * - 1% 1% - 1% * * 1% * * 1% * * 2% - * *
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 95 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 89 SNPISS2. Has the Scottish Parliament inquiry into how the Scottish Government handled accusations against Alex Salmond made you ...?
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Total Scottish Parliament Region Tenure Country of birth UnW Total High- Mid lands Scot North and -land East South West Cent Glas Is- and Scot Scot Scot -ral -gow lands Lothian Fife -land -land -land Owner occupier Renter Scotland Elsewhere Total Unweighted Total 1031 135 138 81 143 114 138 136 146 703 236 857 169 1031 Weighted Total 1031 124 136 85 150 127 141 132 135 659 306 813 213 1031 More favourable towards the SNP 24 4 9 2 2 1 5 1 1 8 14 21 3 25 2% 3% 7% 3% 1% 1% 4% 1% * 1% 5% 3% 2% 2% Less favourable towards the SNP 366 43 42 32 51 50 49 46 54 277 69 294 69 388 36% 34% 31% 37% 34% 39% 35% 35% 40% 42% 23% 36% 33% 38% No difference either way 600 70 83 46 89 73 82 79 76 360 202 472 126 584 58% 57% 61% 54% 59% 57% 58% 60% 56% 55% 66% 58% 59% 57% Don't know 36 6 2 5 8 4 5 3 4 11 21 22 14 29 4% 5% 1% 6% 5% 3% 3% 2% 3% 2% 7% 3% 7% 3% Prefer not to say 4 1 - - * - - 3 1 3 * 4 * 5 * 1% - - * - - 2% * 1% * * * *
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 96 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 90 SNPISS2. Has the Scottish Parliament inquiry into how the Scottish Government handled accusations against Alex Salmond made you ...?
Base : All
Voting intention (SP) Voting intention (SP) Voting intention Past vote (SP 2016) Past vote (EU Referendum, UnW Total Constituency List (Indyref2) Constituency Past vote (2019 General Election) Past vote (Indyref 2014) 2016) Total Not vote/ too Not young vote/ /not too Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Scot' Remain Leave young Total Unweighted Total 1031 209 142 53 465 206 140 64 417 462 472 173 127 52 405 235 147 49 310 395 480 132 624 248 134 1031 Weighted Total 1031 198 133 54 473 193 130 64 435 483 444 162 120 51 409 227 131 48 308 407 458 140 611 249 142 1031 More favourable towards the SNP 24 1 2 1 17 1 3 - 19 16 6 1 * 1 17 1 1 - 14 17 2 3 15 3 6 25 2% * 2% 1% 4% * 2% - 4% 3% 1% * * 1% 4% * 1% - 5% 4% 1% 2% 3% 1% 4% 2% Less favourable towards the SNP 366 139 61 34 74 135 59 30 70 78 262 118 65 29 81 154 64 26 64 83 247 29 212 124 23 388 36% 70% 46% 63% 16% 70% 45% 47% 16% 16% 59% 73% 54% 57% 20% 68% 49% 55% 21% 20% 54% 21% 35% 50% 16% 38% No difference either way 600 55 67 19 371 52 66 33 335 375 159 41 55 21 304 68 65 18 226 296 200 91 374 111 96 584 58% 28% 50% 35% 78% 27% 51% 52% 77% 78% 36% 25% 46% 41% 74% 30% 50% 38% 73% 73% 44% 65% 61% 45% 68% 57% Don't know 36 4 3 1 8 4 3 1 10 13 15 1 - 1 8 3 1 3 4 11 7 16 8 9 16 29 4% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 3% 3% 1% - 1% 2% 1% 1% 7% 1% 3% 2% 11% 1% 4% 11% 3% Prefer not to say 4 - - - 2 2 - - 1 1 3 1 - - 1 1 1 - - 1 1 * 1 2 * 5 * - - - * 1% - - * * 1% 1% - - * * * - - * * * * 1% * *
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 97 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 91 INDYMAND. If the SNP wins a majority of seats in the 2021 Scottish Parliament elections, do you think the UK Government should or should not allow them to hold another independence referendum within the next five years?
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UnW Total Gender Identity Age Social class Work status Work Sector Qualifications Total Work Work 65 55 -ing -ing Not Degree or or full part work Priv Pub- No Other or Male Female 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 more 16-34 35-54 more AB C1 C2 DE ABC1 C2DE time time -ing -ate lic quals quals higher Total Unweighted Total 1031 479 552 120 158 144 173 188 248 278 317 436 226 375 217 170 601 387 441 126 464 295 241 152 532 324 1031 Weighted Total 1031 490 541 118 180 148 188 164 234 297 336 398 219 303 182 286 521 468 459 112 460 415 137 153 539 318 1031 Definitely should 445 229 215 53 95 75 86 69 67 147 161 136 79 139 72 139 218 211 225 42 177 190 67 49 228 158 433 43% 47% 40% 45% 53% 51% 46% 42% 29% 50% 48% 34% 36% 46% 39% 49% 42% 45% 49% 38% 39% 46% 49% 32% 42% 50% 42% Probably should 129 61 68 28 27 19 16 14 25 55 35 39 29 37 30 27 67 56 52 18 58 48 21 12 68 47 136 13% 12% 13% 24% 15% 13% 9% 8% 11% 18% 11% 10% 13% 12% 16% 9% 13% 12% 11% 16% 13% 12% 16% 8% 13% 15% 13% Probably should not 69 32 37 16 8 7 15 8 16 24 21 24 16 17 15 16 33 32 28 14 26 31 11 6 39 22 69 7% 6% 7% 13% 4% 5% 8% 5% 7% 8% 6% 6% 7% 6% 8% 6% 6% 7% 6% 13% 6% 7% 8% 4% 7% 7% 7% Definitely should not 351 156 195 17 38 43 64 70 119 55 108 189 89 101 63 85 190 148 141 37 173 139 33 79 181 82 360 34% 32% 36% 14% 21% 29% 34% 43% 51% 18% 32% 47% 41% 33% 34% 30% 36% 32% 31% 33% 38% 33% 24% 52% 34% 26% 35% Don't know 38 12 25 4 12 4 7 4 7 16 10 11 6 9 3 18 14 21 12 * 25 8 5 7 22 8 33 4% 3% 5% 4% 7% 2% 4% 2% 3% 6% 3% 3% 3% 3% 1% 6% 3% 5% 3% * 5% 2% 3% 5% 4% 2% 3% Combinations Summary net Should 574 290 283 81 122 94 102 83 92 202 196 175 108 176 101 166 285 267 278 60 235 238 89 61 296 206 569 56% 59% 52% 68% 68% 64% 54% 50% 39% 68% 58% 44% 50% 58% 56% 58% 55% 57% 60% 54% 51% 57% 65% 40% 55% 65% 55% Should not 420 187 232 33 46 50 79 78 134 78 129 212 105 118 78 101 222 180 170 51 199 169 44 85 220 105 429 41% 38% 43% 28% 25% 34% 42% 47% 57% 26% 38% 53% 48% 39% 43% 36% 43% 38% 37% 46% 43% 41% 32% 55% 41% 33% 42%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 98 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 92 INDYMAND. If the SNP wins a majority of seats in the 2021 Scottish Parliament elections, do you think the UK Government should or should not allow them to hold another independence referendum within the next five years?
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Total Scottish Parliament Region Tenure Country of birth UnW Total High- Mid lands Scot North and -land East South West Cent Glas Is- and Scot Scot Scot -ral -gow lands Lothian Fife -land -land -land Owner occupier Renter Scotland Elsewhere Total Unweighted Total 1031 135 138 81 143 114 138 136 146 703 236 857 169 1031 Weighted Total 1031 124 136 85 150 127 141 132 135 659 306 813 213 1031 Definitely should 445 61 64 24 74 52 64 48 58 247 168 355 88 433 43% 49% 47% 28% 49% 41% 45% 36% 43% 37% 55% 44% 41% 42% Probably should 129 18 16 11 27 11 18 15 13 86 32 98 30 136 13% 14% 12% 13% 18% 8% 13% 12% 9% 13% 11% 12% 14% 13% Probably should not 69 5 8 4 10 21 9 8 4 44 19 47 21 69 7% 4% 6% 5% 6% 16% 6% 6% 3% 7% 6% 6% 10% 7% Definitely should not 351 34 41 43 31 42 45 56 58 266 69 289 61 360 34% 28% 30% 51% 20% 33% 32% 43% 43% 40% 23% 36% 28% 35% Don't know 38 6 6 3 8 2 5 5 2 16 17 24 14 33 4% 5% 4% 4% 6% 2% 3% 4% 1% 2% 6% 3% 6% 3% Combinations Summary net Should 574 79 81 35 101 62 83 63 70 332 200 452 118 569 56% 64% 59% 41% 67% 49% 58% 48% 52% 50% 65% 56% 55% 55% Should not 420 39 49 47 41 62 54 64 63 310 89 336 82 429 41% 32% 36% 56% 27% 49% 38% 48% 47% 47% 29% 41% 38% 42%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 99 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 93 INDYMAND. If the SNP wins a majority of seats in the 2021 Scottish Parliament elections, do you think the UK Government should or should not allow them to hold another independence referendum within the next five years?
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Voting intention (SP) Voting intention (SP) Voting intention Past vote (SP 2016) Past vote (EU Referendum, UnW Total Constituency List (Indyref2) Constituency Past vote (2019 General Election) Past vote (Indyref 2014) 2016) Total Not vote/ too Not young vote/ /not too Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Scot' Remain Leave young Total Unweighted Total 1031 209 142 53 465 206 140 64 417 462 472 173 127 52 405 235 147 49 310 395 480 132 624 248 134 1031 Weighted Total 1031 198 133 54 473 193 130 64 435 483 444 162 120 51 409 227 131 48 308 407 458 140 611 249 142 1031 Definitely should 445 5 22 10 362 9 13 13 324 394 22 4 27 6 317 12 35 7 250 324 64 51 309 65 60 433 43% 2% 16% 18% 77% 5% 10% 21% 75% 82% 5% 2% 23% 11% 77% 5% 27% 15% 81% 79% 14% 37% 51% 26% 42% 42% Probably should 129 8 24 7 65 8 29 6 61 59 39 5 24 7 47 11 25 10 34 40 55 28 69 27 29 136 13% 4% 18% 14% 14% 4% 22% 10% 14% 12% 9% 3% 20% 13% 12% 5% 19% 21% 11% 10% 12% 20% 11% 11% 21% 13% Probably should not 69 14 13 6 17 12 16 7 16 3 46 8 15 7 17 18 12 8 8 10 39 17 37 18 12 69 7% 7% 10% 10% 4% 6% 12% 11% 4% 1% 10% 5% 13% 13% 4% 8% 9% 17% 3% 2% 9% 12% 6% 7% 9% 7% Definitely should not 351 169 68 31 22 162 68 37 25 16 325 144 52 32 23 184 55 22 13 26 288 27 185 136 20 360 34% 85% 51% 58% 5% 84% 52% 58% 6% 3% 73% 89% 43% 63% 6% 81% 42% 47% 4% 6% 63% 20% 30% 55% 14% 35% Don't know 38 2 6 - 6 2 5 - 8 11 13 2 2 - 5 2 3 - 3 7 11 16 10 3 20 33 4% 1% 5% - 1% 1% 4% - 2% 2% 3% 1% 2% - 1% 1% 2% - 1% 2% 2% 12% 2% 1% 14% 3% Combinations Summary net Should 574 13 46 17 427 18 42 20 386 453 61 9 51 12 364 23 60 17 284 364 119 79 378 92 89 569 56% 6% 34% 31% 90% 9% 32% 31% 89% 94% 14% 6% 42% 24% 89% 10% 46% 36% 92% 89% 26% 57% 62% 37% 63% 55% Should not 420 184 82 37 40 174 84 44 42 19 371 151 67 39 40 202 68 30 21 36 328 44 222 154 33 429 41% 93% 61% 69% 8% 90% 64% 69% 10% 4% 83% 93% 56% 76% 10% 89% 52% 64% 7% 9% 72% 32% 36% 62% 23% 42%
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 100 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 94 RefStrat. If the SNP wins a majority of seats in May, but the UK Government refuses to allow another independence referendum, what do you think the Scottish Government should do?
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UnW Total Gender Identity Age Social class Work status Work Sector Qualifications Total Work Work 65 55 -ing -ing Not Degree or or full part work Priv Pub- No Other or Male Female 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 more 16-34 35-54 more AB C1 C2 DE ABC1 C2DE time time -ing -ate lic quals quals higher Total Unweighted Total 1031 479 552 120 158 144 173 188 248 278 317 436 226 375 217 170 601 387 441 126 464 295 241 152 532 324 1031 Weighted Total 1031 490 541 118 180 148 188 164 234 297 336 398 219 303 182 286 521 468 459 112 460 415 137 153 539 318 1031 Hold the referendum anyway, without 184 100 84 29 47 20 30 24 35 76 50 59 31 60 27 61 91 88 84 11 89 68 20 25 106 49 171 the consent of the UK Government 18% 20% 16% 25% 26% 14% 16% 14% 15% 25% 15% 15% 14% 20% 15% 21% 17% 19% 18% 10% 19% 16% 14% 16% 20% 15% 17% Take the UK Government to court to 354 174 180 47 72 55 68 61 51 119 123 112 70 100 65 106 170 170 171 44 139 147 60 33 170 147 352 try and establish a legal basis for 34% 36% 33% 40% 40% 37% 36% 37% 22% 40% 37% 28% 32% 33% 36% 37% 33% 36% 37% 40% 30% 35% 44% 21% 32% 46% 34% holding a referendum Accept that a referendum cannot be 436 197 239 35 49 65 82 74 131 84 147 205 105 132 86 99 237 184 181 52 203 179 50 85 238 104 457 held in the next 5 years, unless 42% 40% 44% 30% 27% 44% 44% 45% 56% 28% 44% 51% 48% 44% 47% 34% 45% 39% 39% 46% 44% 43% 36% 55% 44% 33% 44% the UK Government changes its mind Do something else 18 6 12 - 3 1 5 5 5 3 5 10 7 3 4 3 11 6 8 3 6 9 3 5 7 6 17 2% 1% 2% - 2% * 3% 3% 2% 1% 2% 3% 3% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% 3% 1% 2% 2% 3% 1% 2% 2% Don't know 34 11 23 6 9 6 1 1 12 15 7 12 2 6 - 18 9 18 11 1 22 9 3 6 16 9 29 3% 2% 4% 5% 5% 4% * * 5% 5% 2% 3% 1% 2% - 6% 2% 4% 2% 1% 5% 2% 2% 4% 3% 3% 3% Prefer not to say 4 2 3 - - 1 3 1 - - 4 1 3 * 1 - 4 1 4 - - 3 2 - 2 3 5 * * 1% - - 1% 1% * - - 1% * 2% * * - 1% * 1% - - 1% 1% - * 1% *
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 101 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 95 RefStrat. If the SNP wins a majority of seats in May, but the UK Government refuses to allow another independence referendum, what do you think the Scottish Government should do?
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Total Scottish Parliament Region Tenure Country of birth UnW Total High- Mid lands Scot North and -land East South West Cent Glas Is- and Scot Scot Scot -ral -gow lands Lothian Fife -land -land -land Owner occupier Renter Scotland Elsewhere Total Unweighted Total 1031 135 138 81 143 114 138 136 146 703 236 857 169 1031 Weighted Total 1031 124 136 85 150 127 141 132 135 659 306 813 213 1031 Hold the referendum anyway, without 184 33 30 21 13 26 24 21 17 96 77 145 38 171 the consent of the UK Government 18% 26% 22% 25% 9% 21% 17% 16% 13% 14% 25% 18% 18% 17% Take the UK Government to court to 354 40 56 20 77 36 40 40 45 206 122 271 81 352 try and establish a legal basis for 34% 32% 41% 23% 51% 28% 29% 30% 33% 31% 40% 33% 38% 34% holding a referendum Accept that a referendum cannot be 436 46 47 40 53 60 61 65 64 329 84 356 79 457 held in the next 5 years, unless 42% 37% 35% 47% 35% 47% 43% 49% 48% 50% 27% 44% 37% 44% the UK Government changes its mind Do something else 18 1 1 1 2 - 6 3 5 9 9 14 4 17 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% - 4% 2% 4% 1% 3% 2% 2% 2% Don't know 34 3 1 3 5 6 8 3 4 17 14 23 11 29 3% 3% 1% 4% 4% 5% 6% 2% 3% 3% 4% 3% 5% 3% Prefer not to say 4 1 - - 1 - 2 1 * 3 1 4 1 5 * 1% - - * - 1% * * * * * * *
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1. Page 102 Scottish Political Monitor - Wave 3 Holyrood Elections Polling 23 Feb 2021 Table 96 RefStrat. If the SNP wins a majority of seats in May, but the UK Government refuses to allow another independence referendum, what do you think the Scottish Government should do?
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Voting intention (SP) Voting intention (SP) Voting intention Past vote (SP 2016) Past vote (EU Referendum, UnW Total Constituency List (Indyref2) Constituency Past vote (2019 General Election) Past vote (Indyref 2014) 2016) Total Not vote/ too Not young vote/ /not too Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Con Lab LD SNP Con Lab LD SNP Yes No Scot' Remain Leave young Total Unweighted Total 1031 209 142 53 465 206 140 64 417 462 472 173 127 52 405 235 147 49 310 395 480 132 624 248 134 1031 Weighted Total 1031 198 133 54 473 193 130 64 435 483 444 162 120 51 409 227 131 48 308 407 458 140 611 249 142 1031 Hold the referendum anyway, without 184 4 10 5 137 5 11 4 124 158 19 3 13 3 114 9 15 4 85 120 30 29 125 29 22 171 the consent of the UK Government 18% 2% 8% 10% 29% 3% 9% 6% 29% 33% 4% 2% 11% 6% 28% 4% 11% 8% 28% 30% 7% 21% 20% 12% 16% 17% Take the UK Government to court to 354 9 34 12 261 10 25 12 238 263 44 5 34 9 223 15 39 11 178 220 81 46 242 52 54 352 try and establish a legal basis for 34% 4% 26% 23% 55% 5% 19% 18% 55% 54% 10% 3% 29% 18% 54% 6% 30% 23% 58% 54% 18% 33% 40% 21% 38% 34% holding a referendum Accept that a referendum cannot be 436 179 84 35 53 173 89 46 54 41 366 146 66 38 56 196 69 29 32 52 325 50 225 158 46 457 held in the next 5 years, unless 42% 90% 63% 65% 11% 89% 68% 72% 13% 9% 82% 90% 55% 74% 14% 87% 53% 60% 10% 13% 71% 36% 37% 63% 32% 44% the UK Government changes its mind Do something else 18 5 2 1 7 4 1 1 7 7 11 6 2 1 6 6 2 2 5 5 12 1 5 8 2 17 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% * 2% 2% 1% 2% 4% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 3% 2% 1% 3% 1% 1% 3% 2% 2% Don't know 34 1 4 - 13 1 4 1 11 14 3 1 5 - 10 - 6 3 7 8 8 14 12 1 18 29 3% * 3% - 3% * 3% 2% 2% 3% 1% * 4% - 2% - 4% 5% 2% 2% 2% 10% 2% * 13% 3% Prefer not to say 4 2 - - 1 - - - 1 * 2 2 - - - 2 - - - 2 1 - 1 2 - 5 * 1% - - * - - - * * * 1% - - - 1% - - - * * - * 1% - *
Respondent type : General Public - age 16+ living in Scotland Fieldwork Dates : 15th to 21st February 2021 Source : Ipsos MORI Scotland (JN: 20-089701) Holyrood_PolitM_clientWAVE2_tabs_Final1.