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Swellendam Municipality 2017

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Swellendam Municipality 2017 Swellendam Municipality 2017 SWELLENDAM: AT A GLANCE 1. DEMOGRAPHICS 1 2. EDUCATION 3 3. HEALTH 7 4. POVERTY 12 5. BASIC SERVICE DELIVERY 15 6. SAFETY AND SECURITY 19 7. THE ECONOMY 24 8. INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT 28 SOURCES 33 Swellendam: At a PopulationGlance Estimates, 2018; Actual households, 2016 Population Estimates, 2018; Actual households, 2016 2016 2016 38 700 11 678 2016 2016 Matric Pass Rate 92.7% Gini Coefficient 0.57 Learner-Teacher Ratio 33.5 Human Development Index 0.69 Gr 12 Drop-out Rate 37.2% 2016 2016 Percentage change between 2016 and 2017 in number of reported cases per 100 000 5 65.5% 0.0 12.5% Percentage change between 2016 and 2017 in number of reported cases per 100 000 Percentage of households with access to basic services, 2016 2.1% -6.5% 20.5% 1.3% -4.0% Percentage of households with access to basic services, 2016 2016 2016 97.2% 86.5% 97.6% 96.9% 96.0% 2016 2016 Drought 13 Unemployment Rate Financial Sustainability (GrantContribution dependency) to GDP, 2015 15 8.9% Stagnating Economic Growth Contribution to GDP, 2015 Wholesale and retail trade, Finance, insurance, real estate Agriculture, forestry and fishing catering and accommodation and business services 22.9 % 19.5% 16.3% 1 DEMOGRAPHICS This first chapter of the SEP focusses on the people living in Swellendam itself. A demographic perspective on a municipality allows to observe not only simple changes in population growth, but also to look at other various developments that influence the social life of every citizen. Demographics allow to emphasise aspects of society like, e.g. gender, race, migration or life expectancy. Decisions made by politicians as well as by the administration affect in almost every case at least one aspect of Demographics. Therefore, a good understanding of this area is crucial for the government’s work. The overview of key demographic factors given in this chapter comprises of the estimates of population size, the distribution of population within age cohorts and furthermore the dependency ratio, which is of high importance for understanding economic activity in the area as well as for planning welfare systems. With this short, but informative overview, the SEP tries to help the municipalities in their budgeting process by delivering precise data as a solid foundation for future decisions. Data source: Department of Social Development, 2017 1 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Swellendam Municipality POPULATION 140 000 120 000 100 000 80 000 60 000 40 000 20 000 0 Cape Agulhas Overstrand Swellendam Theewaterskloof 2018 35 331 91 190 38 700 119 052 2019 35 637 92 624 39 078 120 413 2020 35 934 94 028 39 449 121 739 2021 36 223 95 401 39 813 123 029 2022 36 503 96 746 40 168 124 284 2023 36 773 98 065 40 518 125 505 In 2018, Swellendam will have an estimated population of 38 700, after five years this population is estimated to be 40 518. This equates an estimated growing rate in this time span of 4.6 per cent. The estimated population growth rate of Swellendam is therefore 0.9 percentage points lower than the estimated population growth of its Overberg District which is 5.6 per cent. AGE COHORTS Children: Working Age: Aged: Dependency Year 0 – 14 Years 15 – 65 Years 65 + Ratio 2011 9 393 23 908 2 617 50.2 2018 9 393 25 974 3 333 49.0 2023 9 354 27 192 3 972 49.0 The above table depicts the population composition regarding age cohorts. The total population is broken down into three different groups: Age 0 - 14: children; Age 15 - 65: working age population; Age 65+: seniors. A comparison with the basis year 2011 and the estimated numbers for 2023 show a growth in the percentage in the aged population, a decline in the percentage of children despite a slight growth in total numbers, and a steady percentage in the working age population. This is an important factor in the calculation of the dependency ratio. In Swellendam, this ratio was 50.2 in 2011 and will slightly decrease to an estimated 49.0 in 2023. This ratio expresses the dependency of people who are part of the workforce (age 15 - 65) and those, who are depending on them (children and seniors). A higher dependency ratio means a higher pressure on social systems and the delivery of basic services. 2 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Swellendam Municipality 2 EDUCATION Education and training improves access to employment opportunities and helps to sustain and accelerate overall development. It expands the range of options available from which a person can choose to create opportunities for a fulfilling life. Through indirect positive effects on health and life expectancy, the level of education of a population also influences its welfare. Data source: Western Cape Education Department, 2017 3 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Swellendam Municipality LEARNER ENROLMENT 20 000 18 000 16 000 14 000 12 000 10 000 8 000 6 000 4 000 2 000 0 Overstrand Swellendam Theewaterskloof Cape Agulhas 2014 11 118 5 652 18 245 4 527 2015 11 436 5 685 18 815 4 565 2016 11 696 5 724 18 815 4 606 Learner enrolment in Swellendam increased at a growth rate of 1.27 per cent between 2014 and 2016 from 5 652 to 5 724. LEARNER-TEACHER RATIO The learner–teacher ratio in Swellendam increased from 29.3 in 2014 to 34.7 in 2015 but decreased to 33.5 in 2016, which could in future affect learner performance within the Swellendam municipal area. Factors influencing the learner-teacher ratio is the ability of schools to employ more educators when needed and the ability to collect fees. GRADE 12 DROP-OUT RATES A total of 37.2 per cent of students that enrolled in Grade 10 in 2014 dropped out of school by the time they reached Grade 12 in 2016. This figure is alarmingly higher than the 22.3 per cent recorded for 2015. These high levels of drop-outs are influenced by a wide array of economic factors including unemployment, poverty, indigent households, high levels of households with no income or rely on less than R515 a month and teenage pregnancies. 4 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Swellendam Municipality EDUCATIONAL FACILITIES The availability of adequate education facilities such as schools, FET colleges and schools equipped with libraries and media centres could affect academic outcomes positively. 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Number of Schools with Libraries Total Number of Schools 2014 8 19 2015 11 19 2016 11 19 Swellendam had 19 schools in 2016. Given the tough economic climate, schools have been reporting an increase in parents being unable to pay their school fees. However, the proportion of no-fee schools deteriorated from 80.4 per cent in 2014 to 77.6 per cent in 2016, This could in future further increase the drop-out rate. The number of schools equipped with libraries increased from 8 to 11 between 2014 and 2016, which could in future affect the overall educational outcome within the Swellendam municipal area. 100,0% 90,0% 80,0% 70,0% 60,0% 50,0% 40,0% 30,0% 20,0% 10,0% 0,0% Proportion of no-fee schools 2014 79,0% 2015 79,0% 2016 84,2% The proportion of no-fee schools within Swellendam municipal area remained unchanged at 79.0 per cent between 2014 and 2015. However, in 2016 they increased to 84.2 per cent. This increase could mean better accessibility of education. 5 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Swellendam Municipality EDUCATION OUTCOMES Education remains one of the key avenues through which the state is involved in the economy. In preparing individuals for future engagements in the broader market, policy decisions and choices in the sphere of education play a critical role in determining the extent to which future economy and poverty reduction plans can be realised. This section measures the matric pass rate within the Swellendam municipal area. 100,00% 98,00% 96,00% 94,00% 92,00% 90,00% 88,00% 86,00% 84,00% 82,00% 80,00% Overstrand Swellendam Theewaterskloof Cape Agulhas 2014 86,40% 88,20% 88,80% 87,80% 2015 88,20% 94,90% 88,00% 94,00% 2016 90,90% 92,70% 92,40% 97,30% Swellendam matric pass rate increased since 2014, with a peak of 94.9 per cent in 2015. However, in 2016 the matric pass was declined to 92.7 per cent. 6 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Swellendam Municipality 3 HEALTH Health is another major factor contributing to the general quality of life in Swellendam. It is, therefore important to monitor the public health facilities as well as a variety of factors such as diseases like HIV or TB and general topics that affect the community, like maternal health. This Socio-economic Profile provides the basic statistics concerning those issues. Since this profile focusses on the public health facilities, private facilities do not appear in it. Data source: Department of Health, 2017 7 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Swellendam Municipality HEALTHCARE FACILITIES All citizens’ right to access to healthcare services are directly affected by the number and spread of facilities within their geographical reach. South Africa’s healthcare system is geared in such a way that people have to move from primary, with a referral system, to secondary and tertiary levels. 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Number of PHC Total number of Number of ART Number of TB Number of Clinic - non-fixed Number of PHC PHC facilities clinics/ clinics/ district hospitals (mobiles/satelite Clinics - Fixed (Fixed Clinics, treatment sites treatment sites ) CHCs and CDCs) 2014 5 1 3 5 9 5 2015 6 1 3 5 9 5 2016 6 1 3 5 9 5 In 2016, Swellendam had a total of 5 primary healthcare facilities, all of which were fixed clinics.
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