arXiv:1909.10952v2 [astro-ph.EP] 26 Nov 2019 h bet(oeayaditrtla)wsofiilyan- officially of was nature interstellar) a and and discovery (cometary the object Finally, the appeared. tories oy(rma.Atrti icvr a otdo the Confirma- on Comet posted Potential page was (MPC) tion discovery Center this ama- Planet After an Minor observa- by MARGOT (Crimea). 30 at tory August Borisov Gennady as on astronomer discovered known teur was previously Q4, 2I/Borisov, C/2019 comet interstellar An Introduction 1 pos- this radial out systemic ruled small. sibility. practically unpublished is system 60 new, 2I/Borisov Kruger a of of velocity of system usage home the a probabilityFinally, is the 60 that Kruger showed, uncer- result that velocity our radial on system’s influence this tainty of However, analysis comet. detailed this of as a origin appeared the 60, for Kruger candidate star potential double a stel- a or list, stars our in 647 systems among lar with from encounter object slow one and Only close 2I/Borisov. past, a li against This checked motion. was cometary of list perturbers a stellar updated potential recently of we dynamics, comets study- on spike project Oort a long-standing ing for our In candidate comet. good this a of source body encountered the through an movement makes its mo- space, in time the in back tracing 2I/Borisov when of tion miss-distance, and velocity small relative will comet promisingly small this We very a does a system obtaining system. but stellar from or home come star its which sure for be candidate never a for we 2I/Borisov searched comet interstellar discovered second the For Abstract 1 ∗ srnmclOsraoyIsiue aut fPyis A Physics, of Faculty Institute, Observatory Astronomical ‡ † 1 [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] Author: Corresponding https://www.minorplanetcenter.net/iau/NEO/pccp_tabu 2 pc eerhCnr ftePls cdm fSine,Bar Sciences, of Academy Polish the of Centre Research Space 1 eea ofimtosfo ifrn observa- different from confirmations several , rgr6 sahm ytmfr2/oio aestudy case a – 2I/Borisov for system home a as 60 Kruger it .Dybczy A. Piotr nski ´ ∗ 1 agraaKrólikowska Małgorzata , oebr2,2019 27, November lar.html Pozna st ,Poland n, ´ 1 u ito oeta tla etreso oeaymotion cometary of Wysocza perturbers see stellar update potential to of us list allowed 2016) our al., et Collaboration mis- Recent Gaia (Gaia the data sion from others) kinematic system (among velocity. resulting and stars stellar relative positional nearby on or small obtaining in star very progress look a a great should with at one proximity occurred body close that for interstellar past searching an a When of for system from. home come a object this does where the from au 2.01 of distance a at Sun. 8 December its 2019, passage on is perihelion Earth date comet the The from trajectory. the au 3.72 of leg and 2I/Borisov inbound Sun discovery the its from of au 2.99 moment was the from At evident beginning. is the activity cometary a interstel discovered 1I/’Oumuamua, previously body, the to eccentrici contrast In large 3.08. hy- unusually of a with gave data solution to ob- orbital fit positional perbolic best 145 the and moment collected that were At 2019-R106 servations MPEC 2019). al., circular et electronic (Borisov MPC in nounced eanucd ntefis eso fti report, this of version first the in (Dybczy announced, we time, and (2019). space Wiegert & in Hallatt distant example more for see are accu- they less since providing more but results checked, other, rate also however be search, can system stars, home star distant good a a is for list point a Such ing future). near the in available licly mataayi n sn h e,upbihdvleo it. of value unpublished new, the using and much analysis impact uncertain using velocity stellar radial conclusions 60 or Kruger adding prediscover our stars observations), (including 2I/Borisov of refine of list data this we positional our of more Now system from home one a only systems. for the candidate and good comet a be to seems n fteovosqetosatrsc icvr is discovery a such after questions obvious the of One aigo h aaaalbea htmoment that at available data the on Basing nScin2w eciea pae ri determina- orbit updated an describe we 2 Section In 2 https://minorplanetcenter.net/mpec/K19/K19RA6.html ikeizUiest,Soeza3,60-286 36, Słoneczna University, Mickiewicz . sie l,21,v)ta obesa rgr60 Kruger star double a that v1) 2019, al., et nski ´ † 2 n iaWysocza Rita and , sae l 21)(hsls ilb aepub- made be will list (this (2019) al. et nska ´ yk 8,0-1 asw Poland Warsaw, 00-716 18A, tycka nska ´ ‡ 1 lar ty ty t- y 2 , tion for this comet, including an attempt to determine non- It is worth to note that the Bessel criterion of data se- gravitational effects. Sections 3 and 4 present results of lection (Królikowska et al., 2009), which we use here, re- our search for the 2I/Borisov home system. In Section 5 jected less than 5% of observations, whereas MPC and JPL we analyze in detail the past approach of this comet with solutions, retrieved on 2019 Oct. 31 and enclosed in Table 1 the double system Kruger 60, including the influence of were based on the similar data arc but used only about 85% poorly known radial velocity of this system on our result. and less than 50% of available measurements, respectively. Section 6 brings conclusions. When comparing our first orbit (a6) with the solutions (b5) and (JPL1), one can easily note that a great increase in a number of positional data did not changed orbital param- 2 The comet orbit eters considerably, but reduced their uncertainty for about one order of magnitude . This is a very important fact All our attempts to obtain a barycentric original orbit for our investigation – our knowledge of past motion of of 2I/Borisow started with osculating orbit determination 2I/Borisov is quite good. which includes selection and weighting of available ob- servations. More details on our methods can be found Moreover, closer to the perihelion, the NG activity of for example in Królikowska & Dybczynski´ (2017) and ref- this object will probably increase, which might ’contam- erences therein. Next, each osculating heliocentric orbit inate’ orbit determinations from the point of view of the was propagated numerically through our planetary system original orbit, see Królikowska et al. (2012) for an ex- backwards up to the heliocentric distance of 250 au, where tended discussion on data interval selection for original or- it was transformed to the barycentric frame. In Table 1 we bit determination. present original orbital solutions based on positional data We were aware that the only fact, that might consid- that were selected and weighted according to Bessel crite- erably influence our knowledge on the past motion of rion (see Królikowska et al., 2009, for more details). 2I/Borisov, is the finding of prediscovery observations. Our first attempt to obtain this comet’s orbit during And this happened on November 4, during writing of this this study was a slight update of the orbit presented in paper. Nine prediscovery positions (Bolin et al., 2019) Dybczynski´ et al. (2019). It was performed on Septem- were made available at MPC, extending the observational ber 24, when 548 positional observations were available at arc backwards by over eight months. For this reason, we the MPC database3 covering data-arc from 2019 Aug. 30 decided to repeat once more our orbit determination. to 2019 Sept. 23. This preliminary orbital solution was As a result, we used 1711 observations available at named here (a6). From the osculating orbit, we obtained a MPC on October 5. They are distributed over the period barycentric original orbit for the first stage of our past mo- of 324 days from 2018 Dec. 13 to 2019 Nov. 2 and in tion studies. This starting original orbit is presented as the the range of heliocentric distance from 7.86 au to 2.16 au. first row of Table 1. There is a three month gap between 2019 May 5 and Au- More than a month later the data-arc and the number gust 30, meaning no data between heliocentric distance of positional observations increased considerably and we from 5.09 au to 2.99 au. Almost one year data arc allowed repeated the whole orbit determination process to observe us to obtain the precise purely gravitational (GR) orbit, see how orbital elements were changed. We used 1459 obser- solution (c5) in Table 1. For the sake of comparison we vations spanning the interval: 2019 Aug. 30 – 2019 Oct. 21 also include an original orbit obtained from the solution which were available at the MPC database on the 2019 Oc- presented at MPC on 2019 October 5 (MPC2). tober 30. We calculated a new orbit using this data, and el- We also attempted to determine NG orbits, and two ements and their uncertainties for this original barycentric NG solutions (with three NG parameters, see Section 2.1 orbit are given as solution (b5) in Table 1. At that moment, for details) are also given in Table 1: (n5) which is based on non-gravitational (NG) effects were extremely uncertain standard g(r)-function (Marsden et al., 1973), and (n6) – and they could not improve the quality of the orbital fit- based on g(r)-like function assuming CO sublimation. All ting to this data-arc. For the sake of comparison, in Table 1 (c5), (n5), and (n6) solutions are based on weighted data. we also included orbital solutions presented at that moment In Table 1 we also presented original NG orbit, (JPL2), at MPC and Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) Small-Body obtained from the osculating orbit available at JPL Small- 4 Database Browser . In both cases we propagated their os- Body Database Browser on November 5, where only one culating orbits back in time to obtain a barycentric original NG parameter, A2, was derived. This last NG solution orbit at a distance of 250 au from the Sun. is based on analogous g(r)-like function as our (c6) so- 3https://minorplanetcenter.net/db_search/ lution (see below). Uncertainties of orbital parameters of 4https://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/sbdb.cgi our both NG orbits are about two times greater compared
2 Table 1: Barycentric, original orbits of 2I/Borisov obtained at 250 au before entering the planetary zone. Orbits (n5), (n6) and (JPL2) represent NG solutions while (a6), (b5) and (c5) are purely gravitational, as well as both orbits based on the MPC results. Equator and ecliptic of J2000 is used, osculation epoch of all orbits is 1983 Sept. 23. For JPL original solutions we copied uncertainties for osculating orbit presented in JPL Small Body Database Browser assuming that the uncertainties of original orbital elements would be similar. The uncertainties of the MPC solution are not provided at MPC WebPage.
◦ ◦ ◦ −1 solution Tori qori [au] eori ωori [ ] Ωori [ ] iori [ ] 1/aori [au ]
Data arc: 2019 Aug. 30 – 2019 Sep. 23, 548 obs.
a6 2019 Dec. 8.74714 2.014522 3.364120 209.08984 308.11074 44.03931 −1.173539 ±.05738 ±.002251 ±.010252 ±.05002 ±.02070 ±.02082 ±.003779
Data arc: 2019 Aug. 30 – 2019 Oct. 21, 1459 obs.; data taken from MPC and JPL WebPages on Oct. 30
b5 2019 Dec. 8.73613 2.014802 3.366600 209.08605 308.11435 44.03628 −1.174607 ±.00363 ±.000138 ±.000729 ±.00279 ±.00135 ±.00127 ±.000281
MPC1 2019 Dec. 8.76852 2.013615 3.360724 209.11148 308.10296 44.04725 −1.172381
JPL1 2019 Dec. 8.77861 2.013275 3.359597 209.12096 308.10061 44.04974 −1.172019 ±.00960 ±.000368 ±.001937 ±.00745 ±.00361 ±.00341
Data arc: 2018 Dec. 13 – 2019 Nov. 2, 1711 obs.; data taken from MPC and JPL WebPages on Nov. 5
c5 2019 Dec. 8.755747 2.01406219 3.36321624 209.102714 308.107625 44.043060 −1.173358 ±.000506 ±.00001693 ±.00008010 ±.000405 ±.000150 ±.000152 ±.000030
MPC2 2019 Dec. 8.757111 2.01405224 3.36073172 209.103294 308.107419 44.043159 −1.172130
n5 2019 Dec. 8.754710 2.01402871 3.36325634 209.103133 308.107754 44.042727 −1.173398 ±.000886 ±.00004124 ±.00013709 ±.000995 ±.000307 ±.000317 ±.000045
n6 2019 Dec. 8.737214 2.01415693 3.36390123 209.097803 308.110505 44.041417 −1.173643 ±.008107 ±.00007506 ±.00035119 ±.002344 ±.000960 ±.000551 ±.000137
JPL2 2019 Dec. 8.758660 2.01400668 3.36269842 209.103247 308.106996 44.043118 −1.173133 ±.000826 ±.00002790 ±.00011365 ±.000816 ±.000223 ±.000255
3 with GR orbit (see Table 1). 3 Searching for home among nearby stars
2.1 Non-gravitational orbit of 2I/Borisov During our long-standing project devoted to the detailed study of the long period comets dynamics we collected a We applied here a standard and widely used model of list of stars that are recognised as potential perturbers of NG forces proposed by Marsden et al. (1973) to determine cometary motion in the vicinity of the Sun. We started long a NG-orbit from positional data. In this formalism, all ago with a few tens of stars (Dybczynski´ & Kankiewicz, three orbital components of the NG acceleration acting on 1999; Dybczynski,´ 2006). The main limitation was a a comet are proportional to the g(r) function (symmetric small number of available parallaxes and radial velocities. relative to the perihelion): Now the situation is much better due to the Gaia mission (Gaia Collaboration et al., 2016). The Gaia DR2 catalogue (Gaia Collaboration et al., 2018) provides us with the five- Fi = Ai g(r), Ai = const for i = 1, 2, 3, parameter astrometry for 1.3 billion stars, and a large sub- m n k g(r)= α(r/r0) [1 + (r/r0) ] , (1) set of it has also radial velocities measured. We also use radial velocities from other sources. At the moment we have finished updating our list of po- where F1, F2, and F3 describe radial, transverse, and nor- tential stellar perturbers basing mainly on the Gaia DR2 mal components of the NG acceleration respectively. The catalogue (Gaia Collaboration et al., 2018). This list con- radial component is defined as positive outward along the tains 647 stars that visited in the past, are currently in or sun–comet line. will visit in the future the solar vicinity and includes mass Table 1 shows parameters of two NG orbits obtained by estimations found in the literature, more details can be us using two different forms of the g(r) function: the stan- found in Wysoczanska´ et al. (2019). This list will be made dard one describing the sublimation of water ice, solution available to the public in the near future. (n5), and the function corresponding to the CO sublima- To search for a possible origin of 2I/Borisov we traced tion, solution (n6) (see Table 2). In both solutions we de- numerically its motion to the past as a N-body problem termined a set of three NG parameters together with orbital consisting of fully interacting: the comet, the Sun (in fact elements. Therefore, our NG solutions are characterized by the solar system barycenter) and 647 stars or stellar sys- slightly greater uncertainties of both orbital elements and tems. The starting data for a comet for such a calculation NG parameters A1, A2 and A3 compared with the (JPL2) is a position and velocity in one of the original, barycentric solution, where the existence of only one, transverse com- orbits presented in Table 1. For the numerical integration ponent of NG acceleration, was assumed, see Tables 1 and of equations of motion we used a framework described in 2. It is worth to note that in case of neglecting normal com- detail in Dybczynski´ & Berski (2015, DB15). In a Galac- ponent of NG acceleration the negative A1 parameter is ob- tocentric model of motion all mutual interactions (i.e. star tained for both forms of g(r)-like function used by us, and – star attraction) were included as well as the action of the also for the same g(r)-like function as in the case of (JPL2) overall Galactic potential. Details of the calculation model, solution. Taking into account two or three NG parameters, parameters, and methods can be found in DB15. only slight decrease of RMS was obtained at the level of 10−2 arcsec. During the very first attempt at searching for the home system of 2I/Borisov we took an orbit obtained by Nakano Moreover, in a standard model of NG acceleration in a and published by MPC on September 21 in CBET 4670, comet’s motion, the parameter A1 should be positive and and numerically integrated the motion of 2I/Borisov, the should dominate all the others. Table 2 shows that at least Sun and 647 stars or stellar systems from our list of poten- the last condition is not met, because in models (n5) and tial stellar perturbers of comet motion. (n6) the radial and transverse component of NG accelera- tion are comparable. In addition, in the model (n5) radial As a result, in Dybczynski´ et al. (2019, v1) we con- component is directed toward the Sun. Therefore, in our cluded that 1 Myr ago 2I/Borisov passed double star opinion, all our NG solutions are very uncertain. However, Kruger 60 at a distance of 1.74 pc having an extremely −1 we decided to check if they change the past close encounter small relative velocity of 3.43 km s . Repeating this later parameters with the binary star Kruger 60. with an updated orbit of the comet gives almost the same result (Sect. 5). The overall picture of 2I/Borisov past encounters with stars from our list is presented in Fig. 1. As many as 363
4 Table 2: Parameters used in Eq. 1 and NG parameters for three NG solutions presented in Table 1. NG parameters A1, −8 −2 A2, and A3 are given in units of 10 au day
standard g(r)-function (water ice sublimation)
Solution α r0 [AU] mnk A1 A2 A3 n5 0.1113 2.808 −2.15 5.093 −4.6142 −841.7 ± 126.7 −672.1 ± 113.0 −368.3 ± 56.2
g(r)-like function (CO ice sublimation)
Solution α r0 mnk A1 A2 A3 n6 0.01003 10.0 −2.0 3.0 −2.6 11.389 ± 5.095 −22.721 ± 9.599 −8.398 ± 2.765 JPL2 0.04084 5.0 −2.0 3.0 −2.6 0 (assumed) 25.838 ± 4.616 0 (assumed)