Is Paying Taxes Habit Forming? Evidence from Uruguay
Is Paying Taxes Habit Forming? Evidence from Uruguay Thad Dunning,∗ Felipe Monestiery Rafael Pineiro,˜ z Fernando Rosenblatt,x and Guadalupe Tun˜on´ { This draft: October 16, 2016 Prepared for presentation at the Comparative Politics Colloquium, University of California, Berkeley, October 20, 2016. We are grateful to Lihuen Nocetto for research assistance and to the J-PAL Governance Initiative for generous funding. We received helpful comments on this project from participants at EGAP meetings at Columbia University and the Universidad Diego Portales (Chile), the Political Geography Conference at Harvard, and seminars at Emory, Indiana University Bloomington, McGill, Princeton, Stanford, UCLA, University of Pennsylvania, University of Wisconsin-Madison, and Yale. The pre-analysis plan for this project was registered with EGAP (www.e-gap.org/design-registrations) as well as the American Economic Association (www.socialscienceregistry.org) in July 2014. The study was approved by the Office for the Protection of Human Subjects at the University of California, Berkeley (Protocol ID 2014-04-6286). ∗University of California, Berkeley. yUniversidad de la Republica,´ Montevideo, Uruguay zUniversidad Catolica,´ Montevideo, Uruguay xUniversidad Diego Portales, Santiago, Chile {University of California, Berkeley and University of Pennsylvania. 1 Abstract Interactions between citizens and their states often involve routinized, repeated behaviors—and repetition may itself breed habits of citizenship that exert a causal influence on behavior. This implies the possibility of virtuous or vicious cycles in civic participation, as well as broader development outcomes. Yet, it is usually difficult to separate habit from confounding explanations for repeated behaviors. We study a policy in Montevideo, Uruguay that randomly assigns tax holidays, or year-long interruptions of payments, to punctual taxpayers; the program is designed both to reward and induce tax compliance, a critical aspect of citizen-state interaction and a key facet of state capacity.
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