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2006 Hot House Races

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2006 Hot House Races Updated 10/21/2006 2006 HOT HOUSE RACES All 435 seats for the House of Representatives are up this November. There have been changes to the Hot House Races. According to CBS News decision team analysts, 76 races are in play at this point or could be: 48 are deemed competitive, and another 28 are potentially competitive. There are now 76 Hot House Races: OCTOBER 3, 2006 NOW Competitive: 46 48 Potentially Competitive: 36 28 Here are the changes to the Hot House Races since October 3, 2006: STATE PARTY OCTOBER 3, 2006 NOW MN-1 REP Potentially Competitive Competitive NV-2 REP Potentially Competitive Competitive NJ-7 REP Potentially Competitive Competitive NY-19 REP Potentially Competitive Competitive OH-2 REP Potentially Competitive Competitive WA-5 REP ---------------------------- Competitive (NEW) CA-45 REP ---------------------------- Potentially Competitive (NEW) CO-5 REP ---------------------------- Potentially Competitive (NEW) IN-3 REP ---------------------------- Potentially Competitive (NEW) KS-2 REP ---------------------------- Potentially Competitive (NEW) KY-3 REP Competitive Potentially Competitive MI-7 REP --------------------------- Potentially Competitive (NEW) OH-12 REP ---------------------------- Potentially Competitive (NEW) PA-4 REP ---------------------------- Potentially Competitive (NEW) VA-10 REP ---------------------------- Potentially Competitive (NEW) WV-2 REP ---------------------------- Potentially Competitive (NEW) Deletions from the Hot House Races since October 3, 2006 STATE PARTY OCTOBER 3, 2006 NOW CA-26 REP Potentially Competitive Removed – No longer Competitive FL-8 REP Potentially Competitive Removed – No longer Competitive IA-2 REP Potentially Competitive Removed – No longer Competitive KS-3 DEM Potentially Competitive Removed – No longer Competitive LA-2 DEM Potentially Competitive Removed – No longer Competitive LA-3 DEM Competitive Removed – No longer Competitive MT-1 REP Potentially Competitive Removed – No longer Competitive NE-1 REP Potentially Competitive Removed – No longer Competitive NH-1 REP Potentially Competitive Removed – No longer Competitive OH-13 DEM Potentially Competitive Removed – No longer Competitive SC-5 DEM Competitive Removed – No longer Competitive TN-4 DEM Potentially Competitive Removed – No longer Competitive TX-14 REP Potentially Competitive Removed – No longer Competitive TX-23 REP Potentially Competitive Removed – No longer Competitive WA-2 DEM Potentially Competitive Removed – No longer Competitive WV-1 DEM Competitive Removed – No longer Competitive HOT HOUSE RACES ’06 Updated 10/21/2006 COMPETITIVE Current House Breakdown: 232 Republicans, 202 Democrats, 1 Independent BY THE NUMBERS: 435 House races 33 open seats: 21 Republican, 11 Democrat, 1 in VT 48 races identified as Competitive; 28 races identified as Potentially Competitive 15 net gains needed for Democrats to take control of the House DIST. DEMOCRAT REPUBLICAN NOW AZ-5 Harry E. Mitchell J.D. HAYWORTH REP AZ-8 Gabrielle Giffords Randy Graf (Open) REP CA-4 Charles Brown JOHN DOOLITTLE REP CO-4 Angie Paccione MARILYN MUSGRAVE REP CO-7 Ed Perlmutter Rick O’Donnell (Open) REP CT-2 Joe Courtney ROB SIMMONS REP CT-4 Diane Farrell CHRISTOPHER SHAYS REP CT-5 Chris Murphy NANCY JOHNSON REP FL-13 Christine Jennings Vern Buchanan (Open) REP FL-16 Tim Mahoney MARK FOLEY±/Joe Negron (Open) REP FL-22 Ron Klein CLAY SHAW REP GA-8 JIM MARSHALL Mac Collins DEM GA-12 JOHN BARROW Max Burns DEM IL-6 Tammy Duckworth Peter Roskam (Open) REP IL-8 MELISSA BEAN David McSweeney DEM IN-2 Joe Donnelly CHRIS CHOCOLA REP IN-8 Brad Ellsworth JOHN HOSTETTLER REP IN-9 Baron Hill MIKE SODREL REP IA-1 Bruce Braley Mike Whalen (Open) REP IA-3 LEONARD BOSWELL Jeff Lamberti DEM KY-4 Ken Lucas GEOFF DAVIS REP MN-1 Tim Walz GIL GUTKNECHT REP MN-6 Patty Wetterling Michele Bachmann (Open) REP NV-2 Jill Derby Dean Heller (Open) REP NV-3 Tessa Hafen JON PORTER REP NH-2 Paul Hodes CHARLIE BASS REP NJ-7 Linda Stender MIKE FERGUSON REP NM-1 Patricia Madrid HEATHER WILSON REP NY-19 John Hall SUE KELLY REP NY-20 Kirsten Gillibrand JOHN SWEENEY REP NY-24 Michael Arcuri Raymond Meier (Open) REP NY-26 Jack Davis TOM REYNOLDS REP NC-11 Heath Shuler CHARLES TAYLOR REP HOT HOUSE RACES ’06 Updated 10/21/2006 COMPETITIVE DIST. DEMOCRAT REPUBLICAN NOW OH-1 John Cranley STEVE CHABOT REP OH-2 Victoria Wulsin JEAN SCHMIDT REP OH-15 Mary Jo Kilroy DEBORAH PRYCE REP OH-18 Zack Space Joy Padgett# (Open) REP PA-6 Lois Murphy JIM GERLACH REP PA-7 Joe Sestak CURT WELDON REP PA-8 Patrick Murphy MIKE FITZPATRICK REP PA-10 Chris Carney DON SHERWOOD REP TX-17 CHET EDWARDS Van Taylor DEM TX-22 Nick Lampson Shelley Sekula-Gibbs+ (Open) REP VT-1 Peter Welch Martha Rainville (Open) IND* VA-2 Phil Kellam THELMA DRAKE REP WA-5 Peter Goldmark CATHY MCMORRIS REP WA-8 Darcy Burner DAVE REICHERT REP WI-8 Steve Kagen John Gard (Open) REP (1) Incumbents are in CAPS (#) Incumbent Bob Ney (R) dropped out of the race. Padgett won a special election on 9/14 to select a replacement. (+) TX-22 is being vacated by Tom DeLay. A judge ruled that the GOP cannot replace DeLay’s name on the ballot. Sekula- Gibbs will be a write-in candidate in the general election. She is also a candidate in a special election being held on the same day to fill the remaining months in DeLay’s term. (*) This seat is being vacated by Bernie Sanders, an Independent, who caucuses with the Democrats. (±) Mark Foley resigned on 9/29/06. Foley’s name will remain on the ballot but votes cast for him will be allocated to Joe Negron. Current House Breakdown: 232 Republicans, 202 Democrats, 1 Independent BY THE NUMBERS: 435 House races 33 open seats: 21 Republican, 11 Democrat, 1 Independent in VT 48 races identified as Competitive; 28 races identified as Potentially Competitive 15 net gains needed for Democrats to take control of the House DIST. DEMOCRAT REPUBLICAN NOW AZ-1 Ellen Simon RICK RENZI REP CA-11 Jerry McNerney RICHARD POMBO REP CA-45 David Roth MARY BONO REP CA-50 Francine Busby BRIAN BILBRAY REP CO-5 Jay Fawcett Doug Lamborn (Open) REP FL-9 Phyllis Busansky Gus Bilirakis (Open) REP ID-1 Larry Grant Bill Sali (Open) REP IL-10 Dan Seals MARK KIRK REP IL-11 John Pavich JERRY WELLER REP IL-17 Phil Hare Andrea Lane Zinga (Open) DEM IN-3 Thomas Hayhurst MARK SOUDER REP KS-2 Nancy Boyda JIM RYUN REP KY-2 Mike Weaver RON LEWIS REP KY-3 John Yarmuth ANNE NORTHUP REP MI-7 Sharon Renier Tim Walberg (Open) REP MI-8 Jim Marcinkowski MIKE ROGERS REP NY-3 David Mejias PETER KING REP NY-25 Dan Maffei JIM WALSH REP NY-29 Eric Massa JOHN “RANDY” KUHL REP NC-8 Larry Kissel ROBIN HAYES REP OH-6 Charlie Wilson Chuck Blasdel (Open) DEM OH-12 Bob Shamansky PAT TIBERI REP OR-5 DARLENE HOOLEY Mike Erickson DEM PA-4 Jason Altmire MELISSA HART REP UT-2 JIM MATHESON LaVar Christensen DEM VA-10 Judy Feder FRANK WOLF REP WV-2 Mike Callagan SHELLEY MOORE CAPITO REP WY-1 Gary Trauner BARBARA CUBIN REP (1) Primary dates are noted in parentheses. (2) Incumbents are in CAPS .
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