DIIS REPORT 2013:06 DIIS REPORT TALIBAN TALKS PAST, PRESENT AND PROSPECTS FOR THE US, AFGHANISTAN AND PAKISTAN Edited by Mona K. Sheikh & Maja T. J. Greenwood DIIS REPORT 2013:06 DIIS REPORT DIIS . DANISH INSTITUTE FOR INTERNATIONAL STUDIES 1 DIIS REPORT 2013:06 © Copenhagen 2013, the author and DIIS Danish Institute for International Studies, DIIS Strandgade 56, DK-1401 Copenhagen, Denmark Ph: +45 32 69 87 87 Fax: +45 32 69 87 00 E-mail:
[email protected] Web: www.diis.dk Cover photo: © Shawn Baldwin/Corbis Layout: Allan Lind Jørgensen Printed in Denmark by Vesterkopi AS ISBN 978-87-7605-550-9 (print) ISBN 978-87-7605-551-6 (pdf ) Price: DKK 50.00 (VAT included) DIIS publications can be downloaded free of charge from www.diis.dk Hardcopies can be ordered at www.diis.dk This publication is part of DIIS’s Defence and Security Studies project which is funded by a grant from the Danish Ministry of Defence Mona Sheikh, PhD, Postdoc
[email protected] Maja Touzari Janesdatter Greenwood, MA, Research Assistant
[email protected] 2 DIIS REPORT 2013:06 Contents Abbreviations 4 Abstract 5 Where are we now? Reintegration, reconciliation and negotiation with the Taliban 7 The US–Taliban talks 13 The Afghanistan–Taliban initiatives 16 The Pakistan–Taliban peace deals 19 The reconciliation process in review 23 Expert views 23 Key challenges 32 Messaging the Taliban 34 Prospects for dialogue – nothing significant to report? 34 Better use of communications 36 Practical measures 37 Options for engagement 38 Defence and Security Studies at DIIS 41 3 DIIS REPORT 2013:06