Saint Cesar by Richard Rodriguez Pulitzer’s World Living with by James McGrath Morris Microbes By Joel L. Swerdlow The WILSON QUARTERLY and Ari D. Johnson Not a Tourist SURVEYING THE WORLD OF IDEAS by Thomas Swick The Arab Tomorrow by David B. Ottaway Cracks in the Jihad Planet Pakistan by Thomas Rid by Robert M. Hathaway WINTER 2010 $6.95 Wrong Place, Getting What Wrong Time We Deserve Trauma and Violence in the Health and Medical Care Lives of Young Black Men in America John A. Rich, M.D., M.P.H. Alfred Sommer, M.D., M.H.S. “John Rich joins the ranks Former Dean, Johns Hopkins of Rachel Carson, Michael Bloomberg School of Public Harrington and Ralph Nader Health for bringing attention to a pervasive social problem with a One of America’s leading public fresh perspective and warranted health experts finds a host of ills urgency.”—Publishers Weekly in this country’s health care sys- tem. In his blunt assessment of the state of public health in “John Rich, who has devoted so much of his career to the America, Alfred Sommer argues that human behavior has a study of violence—especially in men of color—challenges stronger effect on wellness than almost any other factor. us to see beyond the injuries and the anger and to hear and appreciate the plight of these men and to understand that Humorous, sometimes acerbic, and always well informed, they, like us, seek a place of safety in their lives.” Sommer’s thought-provoking book will change the way you —David Satcher, M.D., Ph.D., 16th Surgeon General of look at health care in America. the United States $21.95 hardcover $24.95 hardcover THE JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY PRESS 1-800-537-5487 • press.jhu.edu Fresh ideas on public issues. MIT Press Journals provides readers with acclaimed publications that explore the world around us and our ever-evolving responses to it. INNOVATIONS: TECHNOLOGY, GOVERNANCE, GLOBALIZATION – entrepreneurial solutions to global challenges INTERNATIONAL SECURITY – the premier journal in international relations GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL POLITICS – exploring world views on the changing environment DAEDALUS MIT Press Journals – the official journal of the American Academy of Arts 238 Main Street, Suite 500 and Sciences Cambridge, MA 02142 Tel: 617-253-2889 WORLD POLICY JOURNAL US/Canada: 800-207-8354 – now celebrating its 25th anniversary Fax: 617-577-1545 http://mitpressjournals.org/ Learn How to Make the Right Decisions Master the skills and techniques essential to making smart, educated choic- es in this 24-lecture course taught by an award-winning professor he ability to make wise, educated for another, or we will refund your money decisions is essential to a successful promptly. Tand fulfilled life. Whether simple or Lecture Titles complex, decisions affect your life and the lives of others—your friends, family, and 1. Making High-Stakes Decisions community. But making a good decision is 2. Cognitive Biases not a chance act. It’s a skill—one that can be 3. Avoiding Decision-Making Traps learned, honed, and perfected. 4. Framing—Risk or Opportunity? 5. Intuition—Recognizing Patterns Now you can approach the critical deci- 6. Reasoning by Analogy sions in your life with a more seasoned eye. 7. Making Sense of Ambiguous Situations In The Art of Critical Decision Making, 8. The Wisdom of Crowds? you explore how individuals, groups, and Konstantin Chagin, 2009. Used under license from Shutterstock, Inc. 9. Groupthink—Thinking or organizations make effective decisions; you © Conforming? also learn tips and techniques to enhance the University. He earned his M.B.A. with High 10. Deciding How to Decide effectiveness of your own decision making. Distinction and his D.B.A from Harvard 11. Stimulating Conflict and Debate Taught by award-winning Professor Michael Business school, where he also taught for six 12. Keeping Conflict Constructive A. Roberto—a scholar of managerial decision years. Professor Roberto received Harvard 13. Creativity and Brainstorming making and business strategy—this course University’s Allyn A. Young Prize for 14. The Curious Inability to Decide is an engaging and practical guide to one of Teaching in Economics. 15. Procedural Justice life’s most fundamental activities. 16. Achieving Closure through Small Wins About The Teaching Company In these 24 fascinating lectures, Professor 17. Normal Accident Theory Roberto employs the case method used We review hundreds of top-rated profes- 18. Normalizing Deviance by America’s most prestigious business sors from America’s best colleges and uni- 19. Allison’s Model—Three Lenses schools—including Harvard University—to versities each year. From this extraordinary 20. Practical Drift expose you to a wealth of real-world sce- group we choose only those rated highest by 21. Ambiguous Threats and the Recovery narios. With this acclaimed teaching model, panels of our customers. Fewer than 10% of Window you compare and contrast various situations these world-class scholar-teachers are selected 22. Connecting the Dots as a way to distinguish between smart and to make The Great Courses®. 23. Seeking Out Problems poor decision making. We’ve been doing this since 1990, produc- 24. Asking the Right Questions Whether you’re the head of a Fortune 500 ing more than 3,000 hours of material in company or an everyday household, The Art modern and ancient history, philosophy, of Critical Decision Making is a toolbox of literature, fine arts, the sciences, and math- practical knowledge and skills you can apply ematics for intelligent, engaged, adult life- to decisions in your daily life and work. By long learners. If a course is ever less than the end of the course, you’ll become a better completely satisfying, you may exchange it critical thinker—one who can learn from mistakes, weigh individual choices more SAVE UP TO $185! effectively, and make the right decisions. OFFER GOOD UNTIL APRIL 15, 2010 About Your Professor 1-800-TEACH-12 (1-800-832-2412) Special offer is available online at Dr. Michael A. Roberto is the Trustee Fax: 703-378-3819 www.TEACH12.com/7wq Professor of Management at Bryant The Charge my credit card: Great Courses® n n n n THE TEACHING COMPANY ® About Our Sale Price Policy 4151 Lafayette Center Drive, Suite 100 Chantilly, VA 20151-1232 Account Number Exp. Date Why is the sale price for this course so Priority Code 38665 much lower than its standard price? Every Signature course we make goes on sale at least once a Please send me The Art of Critical Decision Making, year. Producing large quantities of only the which consists of twenty-four 30-minute lectures plus Name (please print) sale courses keeps costs down and allows Course Guidebooks. Mailing Address us to pass the savings on to you. This also n DVD $69.95 (std. price $254.95) SAVE $185! plus $10 shipping, processing, and Lifetime Satisfaction Guarantee enables us to fill your order immediately: City/State/ZIP 99% of all orders placed by 2 pm eastern n Audio CD $49.95 (std. price $179.95) SAVE $130! plus $10 shipping, processing, and Lifetime Satisfaction Guarantee time ship that same day. Order before Phone (If we have questions regarding your order—required for international orders) n Check or Money Order Enclosed April 15, 2010, to receive these savings. n FREE CATALOG. Please send me a free copy of * Non-U.S. Orders: Additional shipping charges apply. your current catalog (no purchase necessary). For more details, call us or visit the FAQ page on our website. ** Virginia residents please add 5% sales tax. Special offer is available online at www.TEACH12.com/7wq Offer Good Through: April 15, 2010 The WILSON QUARTERLY Winter 2010 volume xxxiv, number 1 The Wilson Quarterly Published by the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars FEATURES www.wilsonquarterly.com 50 COVER STORY 28 Man of the World 48 THE ARAB TOMORROW By James McGrath Morris | Joseph Pulitzer is By David B. Ottaway remembered for his sensationalist journalism as well as the high-minded prizes still awarded in Decades of drift have brought the Arab his name. The distance between the two isn’t as world to the edge of disaster. Entrenched far as it seems. regimes stifle reform, while oil, Islam, and social discontent mix in explosive combina- 34 Not a Tourist tions. Change is coming. The question is, By Thomas Swick | In today’s hyperconnected who will lead it? world, it seems there’s nothing new under the sun. That’s a matter of perspective, as the most gifted 16 Saint Cesar of Delano travel writers know. By Richard Rodriguez| United Farm Workers 40 Cracks in the Jihad union leader Cesar Chavez knew how to suffer By Thomas Rid | The global jihad is fragmenting, better than he knew how to succeed. and that’s not good news for the West. 21 Planet Pakistan By Robert M. Hathaway | Pakistan is a terror- ist stronghold, yet Pakistanis see the United ON THE COVER: Cairo at sunset, photograph by Marwan Naamani/AFP. States as the dark power in their national life. The views expressed herein are not necessarily those of the Woodrow Americans can help them see the light. Wilson International Center for Scholars. 2 Wilson Quarterly ■ Winter 2010 DEPARTMENTS 14 EDITOR’S COMMENT 74 HISTORY 97 Nothing to Envy: The Father of Political History, Ordinary Lives in North Korea. from The New Criterion By Barbara Demick 15 LETTERS Lincoln’s Rabble-Rousers, from Reviewed by Andrei Lankov The Journal of American History 98 Five to Rule Them All: 8 AT THE CENTER The UN Security Council and the 76 RELIGION & PHILOSOPHY Making of the Modern World. The Parishioner Is Always Right, By David L.