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Intelligence Center of Excellence COL Norman S Subscriptions: Free unit subscriptions are available by emailing the editor at [email protected]. Include the complete mailing address (unit name, street address, and building number). Don’t forget to email the editor when your unit moves, deploys, or redeploys to ensure continual receipt of the bulletin. Reprints: Material in this bulletin is not copyrighted (except where indicated). Content may be reprinted if the MI Professional Bulletin and the authors are credited. Our mailing address: MIPB (ATZS-DST-B), Dir. of Doctrine and Intel Sys Trng, USAICoE, 550 Cibeque St., Fort Huachuca, AZ 85613-7017 Commanding General MG Anthony R. Hale Chief of Staff Purpose: The U.S. Army Intelligence Center of Excellence COL Norman S. Lawrence publishes the Military Intelligence Professional Bulletin Chief Warrant Officer, MI Corps (MIPB) quarterly under the provisions of AR 25-30. presents information designed to keep intelligence CW5 Aaron H. Anderson MIPB professionals informed of current and emerging devel- Command Sergeant Major, MI Corps opments within the field and provides an open forum CSM Warren K. Robinson in which ideas; concepts; tactics, techniques, and proce- STAFF: dures; historical perspectives; problems and solutions, etc., Editor can be exchanged and discussed for purposes of profes- Tracey A. Remus sional development. [email protected] Associate Editor Maria T. Eichmann Design and Layout Emma R. Morris Cover Design Emma R. Morris Military Staff CPT Michael J. Lapadot Cover image: Map depicting the original Air Identification Zone 2106300 line from 1947 and the latest modifications from 2009. (U.S. Department of Defense) From the Editor The following themes and deadlines are established: July–September 2021, Theater Intelligence Operations. This issue will focus on theater army-level, regionally focused intelligence capabilities and operations supporting Army and joint forces across the specific regions. Deadline for article submission is 1 May 2021. October–December 2021, Intelligence Disciplines. This issue will focus on new, critical, and refocused aspects of the intelligence disciplines and complementary intelligence capabilities. Deadline for article submission is 1 July 2021. January–March 2022, Targeting and Intelligence. This issue will focus on how intelligence operations are evolving to support the delivery of lethal and nonlethal effects against intended targets. Deadline for article submission is 21 September 2021. Although MIPB targets quarterly themes, you do not need to write an article specifically to that theme. We publish non-theme articles in most issues, and we are always in need of new articles on a variety of topics. For us to be a successful professional bulletin, we depend on you, the reader. Please call or email me with any questions regarding article submissions or any other aspects of MIPB. We welcome your input and suggestions. Tracey A. Remus Editor October–December 2020 PB 34-20-4 Volume 46 Number 4 The views expressed in the following articles are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of the Departments of the Army or Defense, or the U.S. Government. Article content is not authenticated Army information and does not supercede information in any other Army publication. It is with our most sincere appreciation that we would like to thank COL Rob Wagner, Deputy G-2, U.S. Army Training and Doctrine Command, and COL Jimmy Blejski, Deputy Director of Intelligence and Security, U.S. Army Futures Command, for their proactive involve- ment as the “stakeholders” for this issue. Their enthusiasm and overall vision for the project brought together a variety of perspectives from around the military intelligence community and resulted in a truly outstanding peer and emerging threats issue. FEATURES 8 Ensuring a Seamless Army Narrative for the Operational Environment by COL Jimmy Blejski and COL Rob Wagner 14 Future Operational Environment and Emerging Threats by the Future Operational Environment Directorate, Futures and Concepts Center; and the Directorate of Intelligence and Security, U.S. Army Futures Command 20 Training the Operational Intelligence Force: On Target for Military Intelligence Readiness in 2022 by COL Timothy J. Parker 25 The Operational Environment in Multi-Domain Operations by Mr. Darryl Ward 31 Technology Protection: Securing Modernization Efforts by the Directorate of Intelligence and Security, U.S. Army Futures Command 35 Joint Operating Environment 2040 by Mr. Jeffrey Becker 38 Battlefield Development Plans: Threat Analysis Enabling Multi-Domain Operations by Mr. Earl S. Bittner 43 Russian Perspective and Operational Framework by Mr. David P. Harding, COL David Pendall (Retired), and LTC Steven J. Curtis 53 Forecasting the Threat within the Future Operational Environment by Dr. Elyssa Dunfee, Mr. Ralph Edwards, and Dr. Christopher Beiter 59 Training Today’s Army for Tomorrow’s Threats by Ms. Jennifer Dunn 62 China’s Sustained Success in Sub-Saharan Africa: Letting China Pick Up the Check by CW4 Charles Davis 68 Freely Associated States by Mr. Geoffrey Goudge, Maj. Christopher Neal, and MAJ Mark Swiney 76 Fighting the Division Intelligence Enterprise in Large-Scale Ground Combat Operations by LTC James Leidenberg 83 Setting the Theater: Intelligence and Interoperability in DEFENDER-Europe 20 by MAJ Chad Lorenz 88 COVID-19 Surveillance: Hidden Risks and Benefits for Identity Intelligence by Ms. Christine Kaiser, Mr. Gregory Smith, and Mr. Kasey Diedrich 94 Modernization of Army Counterintelligence and Human Intelligence Collection Management by Ms. Erin Masly 99 Mental Health in the Intelligence Community, Uncovered by Ms. Pamela J. Miller DEPARTMENTS 2 Always Out Front 102 Lessons Learned 4 CSM Forum 107 Proponent Notes 6 Technical Perspective 110 Military Intelligence Hall of Fame Inside back cover: Contact and Article Submission Information We are entering a period in which we cast the future. These shifts will affect will face near-peer and peer threats con- how our joint force approaches the joint stantly challenging and undermining U.S. operating environment. They will also interests across the competition contin- dictate how the Intelligence Corps will uum. This continuum envisions a world work across Department of Defense and of enduring competition in which our agency lines to drive the convergence of relationship with peer adversaries al- resources and capabilities against our ternates quickly between cooperation, adversary. competition below armed conflict, and The Military Intelligence (MI) Corps armed conflict.1 This operational environ- must be postured for an unpredictable ment includes challenges such as those environment in which relationships with we faced from the conventional forces of adversaries progress and regress rap- the Soviet Union, a threat we confronted idly between cooperation, competition, when I first arrived at Fort Huachuca in and crisis, and then back to cooperation. 1991. Additionally, the operational environment includes The MI Corps has two key requirements in order to oper- continued asymmetric threats from violent non-state ate successfully: we must continue to inform our organi- actors. zations of the threat and the environment, and we must This edition of Military Intelligence Professional Bulletin proactively drive operations. (MIPB) will frame, define, explain, and share best prac- Modernization with an Intelligence Nexus tices for attacking the challenges of this new environment. The manner in which we aim to achieve this, to para- You will find articles that provide greater insight into what phrase Chief of Staff of the Army GEN James C. McConville, our best and brightest believe the future operational en- is the most ambitious modernization effort in 40 years. vironment will look like; details on our modernization ef- Our teams have made significant progress in peer-threat forts across doctrine, organization, training, materiel, emulation and technology protection best practices. leadership and education, personnel, facilities, and policy; The MIPB article by the Directorate of Intelligence and and details on how leaders across the force can contrib- Security, U.S. Army Futures Command, details challenges ute and apply these efforts to their units. The U.S. Army posed by Chinese theft of intellectual property and gov- Intelligence Center of Excellence’s (USAICoE’s) top objec- ernment secrets. As the Department of the Army G-2’s tives are to continue toBuild Leaders and Drive Change in priority effort, counterintelligence reform and implemen- order to support the Army’s modernization efforts. tation of program protection plans are vital to our ability The Future Operational Environment to retain technological and intellectual advantages over Refocusing on our fundamentals, the first two steps of adversaries. intelligence preparation of the battlefield are to define Our goal in training, building leaders, and personnel re- the operational environment and to describe the environ- form, as well as modernization, must close the gaps be- mental effects on operations. Some of the articles in this tween the fielded force and the future force. FREEDOM MIPB edition describe a future operational environment in 2’s article describes the positive effects of the Military which the United States will face enduring strategic com- Intelligence Training Strategy and advanced operational petition. The global concentration of power and the pace courses. These changes
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