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Public Opinion Survey Residents of Georgia September-October 2019 Detailed Methodology

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Public Opinion Survey Residents of Georgia September-October 2019 Detailed Methodology Public Opinion Survey Residents of Georgia September-October 2019 Detailed Methodology • The field work was carried out by Institute of Polling & Marketing. The survey was coordinated by Dr. Rasa Alisauskiene of the public and market research company Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization on behalf of the International Republican Institute’s Center for Insights in Survey Research. • Data was collected throughout Georgia between September 11 and October 14, 2019, through face-to-face interviews at respondents’ homes. • The sample consisted of 1,500 permanent residents of Georgia older than the age of 18 and eligible to vote. It is representative of the general population by age, gender, region and size of the settlement. • Multistage probability sampling method was used with the random route and next birthday respondent’s selection procedures. • Stage one: All districts of Georgia are grouped into 10 regions. All regions of Georgia were surveyed (Tbilisi city – as separate region). • Stage two: selection of the settlements – cities and villages. • Settlements were selected at random. The number of selected settlements in each region was proportional to the share of population living in a particular type of the settlement in each region. • Stage three: primary sampling units were described. • The margin of error does not exceed plus or minus 2.5 percent and the response rate was 69 percent. • The achieved sample is weighted for regions, gender, age and urbanity. • Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding. • The survey was funded by the U.S. Agency for International Development. 2 National Outlook In general, would you say that our country is heading in the right direction or in the wrong direction? Right direction Wrong direction Don't know/No answer 80% 70% 68% 70% 67% 65% 65% 65% 66% 63% 63% 60% 58% 59% 60% 57% 56% 57% 56% 55% 54% 55% 51% 48% 48% 48% 50% 50% 47% 43% 43% 38% 42% 40% 41% 41% 41% 41% 32% 33% 39% 31% 31% 36% 29% 30% 25% 27% 24% 24% 25% 22% 22% 23% 22% 27% 26% 21% 20% 25% 16% 22% 19% 19% 20% 16% 16% 16% 10% 14% 15% 14% 12% 13% 13% 12% 13% 10% 10% 10% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 10% 6% 0% 4 How would you evaluate the prevailing mood of the Georgian population? Optimistic Neutral Pessimistic 100% 92% 92% 87% 88% 90% 83% 81% 82% 78% 76% 76% 77% 80% 75% 74% 73% 72% 70% 68% 66% 70% 64% 65% 62% 59% 60% 60% 60% 50% 40% 33% 30% 29% 29% 30% 24% 25% 25% 24% 22% 21% 22% 23% 19% 18% 18% 18% 17% 16% 15% 20% 13% 11% 12% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 8% 5% 6% 6% 6% 5% 10% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 0% *Optimistic, Neutral, and Pessimistic are aggregates of the original responses: − Optimistic = “Belief that the future will be definitely better” + “Hope that the future will be somewhat better” − Neutral = “Not much hope for a better future” + “Apathy, belief in fate” − Pessimistic = “Insecurity, worry, fear for the future” + “Total disappointment, disbelief in any improvement” 5 What is the most important problem facing our country today? (Spontaneous response; up to two responses permitted) Economy (Unemployment) 53% 68% 18% Economy (Cost of living/High prices) 45% 6% Poverty 21% 3% Lost teritories 6% 3% Economy (Other/General) 7% 3% External conflicts/War 5% 2% Pensions 6% 2% Education 4% 2% Healthcare 7% 1% Illicit drugs 4% <1% Incompetent government 2% <1% Insecurity 2% <1% First mention Internal conflicts 3% <1% All mentions Crime/Public Safety 2% <1% Corruption 2% <1% Economy (Small business opportunities/Access to loans) 2% <1% Inflation 2% <1% Agriculture 2% 2% Other 8% <1% Don't know/No answer <1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% *Responses receiving less than two percent of all mentions are collapsed into Other. 6 What is the most important problem facing your town/village today? (Spontaneous response; up to two responses permitted) 32% Unemployment 44% 9% Drinking water 13% 7% Roads 11% 6% Poverty 12% 4% Environmental issues 6% 4% Economy 10% 3% Infrastructure 5% 2% Traffic jams 5% 2% Gas supply 3% 2% Public transport 3% 1% Migration 4% 1% High prices 5% 1% Agriculture 3% 1% Lost territories 2% 1% Low salaries/pensions 4% First mention 1% Unsanitary conditions 2% All mentions 1% Social problems 2% 1% Inflation 3% 1% Sewer systems 2% 1% High communal fees 2% 13% Other 28% 7% Don't know/No answer 7% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% *Responses receiving less than two percent of all mentions are collapsed into Other. 7 What is the most important problem facing your household today? (Spontaneous response; up to two responses permitted) 23% Unemployment 31% 10% Low salaries 14% 9% Poverty 14% 8% Economy 12% 4% Expensive medication 9% 4% Health issues 6% 4% Low pensions 6% 3% High prices on everything 7% 2% Healthcare 5% 2% Bank debt 4% First mention 2% Migration 4% All mentions 2% High communal fees 4% 2% Living conditions 2% 2% Social problems 2% <1% Homelessness 1% <1% Expensive products 2% 2% Other 5% 3% None 3% 17% Don't know/No answer 17% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% *Responses receiving less than two percent of all mentions are collapsed into Other. 8 Over the last 12 months*, the economic situation of Georgia change has… ? Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot Don't know/No answer Oct-19 2% 8% 24% 35% 29% 2% Jun-19 2% 7% 28% 31% 30% 2% Apr-18 1% 7% 27% 28% 35% 2% Mar-17 1% 7% 21% 34% 36% 1% Mar-16 1% 6% 25% 31% 34% 3% Feb-15 7% 29% 33% 29% 2% Feb-14 1% 15% 52% 22% 7% 3% May-13 1% 26% 53% 12% 3% 5% Feb-13 1% 26% 58% 10% 1% 4% Nov-12 1% 11% 78% 7% 1% 2% Jul-12 2% 28% 47% 15% 5% 4% Mar-12 2% 26% 45% 17% 6% 4% Nov-11 2% 25% 42% 19% 8% 3% May-11 1% 19% 30% 32% 14% 3% Oct-10 1% 24% 27% 31% 13% 3% Mar-10 1% 20% 35% 27% 13% 3% Oct-09 2% 19% 34% 25% 15% 4% Jun-09 1% 6% 20% 37% 34% 2% Feb-09 1% 8% 19% 37% 34% 2% Sep-08 3% 12% 20% 39% 23% 4% Feb-08 4% 20% 28% 30% 16% 2% Sep-07 1% 17% 27% 32% 22% 1% Feb-07 3% 34% 27% 22% 10% 3% Apr-06 2% 30% 28% 25% 11% 3% Oct-05 3% 34% 32% 18% 7% 5% Jun-05 5% 44% 33% 10% 4% 4% Oct-04 4% 40% 38% 10% 3% 5% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% * In surveys before 2008, the question referenced a period of 3 months, in surveys from 2008 to 2017, the reference period was 2 months. 9 Over the last 12 months*, how has the economic situation of your household changed? Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot Don't know/No answer Oct-19 1% 12% 42% 29% 16% Jun-19 1% 10% 40% 27% 22% Apr-18 7% 41% 22% 29% 1% Mar-17 1% 5% 37% 28% 28% 1% Mar-16 4% 41% 26% 29% Feb-15 4% 45% 28% 22% 1% Feb-14 8% 64% 20% 7% 1% May-13 1% 11% 70% 13% 4% 1% Feb-13 10% 76% 11% 2% 1% Nov-12 6% 83% 8% 1%1% Jul-12 1% 9% 61% 21% 8% Mar-12 1% 9% 54% 23% 12% 1% Nov-11 1% 11% 53% 23% 11% 1% May-11 1% 9% 44% 29% 16% 1% Oct-10 1% 11% 42% 29% 16% 1% Mar-10 1% 9% 49% 24% 15% 2% Oct-09 1% 10% 48% 23% 16% 2% Jun-09 4% 38% 26% 31% 1% Feb-09 33% 32% 30% 1% Sep-08 1% 6% 45% 28% 19% 1% Feb-08 1% 10% 48% 26% 15% 1% Sep-07 1% 7% 46% 26% 20% Feb-07 1% 14% 49% 21% 13% 1% Apr-06 1% 14% 49% 22% 14% 1% Oct-05 1% 15% 57% 18% 8% 1% Jun-05 2% 21% 58% 12% 6% 1% Oct-04 1% 16% 61% 14% 6% 1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% * In surveys before 2008, the question referenced a period of 3 months, in surveys from 2008 to 2017, the reference period was 2 months 10 How would you describe the current economic situation of your household? Very good Somewhat good Somewhat bad Very bad Don’t know/No answer Oct-19 2% 37% 43% 17% 1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 11 How do you feel about the direction of each of the following issues during the past year? Progressed Neither progressed, nor regressed Regressed Don't know/No answer Freedom of speech 34% 40% 21% 4% Individual human rights 26% 46% 25% 3% Media independence 25% 43% 26% 5% Education 25% 40% 25% 9% Democracy 22% 44% 28% 6% National security 17% 42% 33% 8% Fighting crime 14% 35% 45% 6% Fighting corruption 13% 34% 39% 14% Economy 7% 24% 66% 2% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 12 International Relations How would you evaluate the current state of the relationship between Georgia and the following countries? Good Neither good nor bad Bad No answer Ukraine 90% 5% 3%2% European Union 86% 9% 2%3% United States 84% 10% 3% 3% Turkey 72% 15% 10% 3% Armenia 68% 20% 7% 4% Azerbaijan 63% 20% 13% 4% China 62% 21% 7% 10% Iran 52% 24% 10% 14% Russia 6% 6% 87% 1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 14 Which of these countries: … do you consider the most important political partners for Georgia? … do you consider the most important economic partners for Georgia? … poses the greatest political threat to Georgia? … poses the greatest economic threat to Georgia? (Multiple responses permitted for each question) Political partners Economic partners Political threats Economic threats 90% 83% 80% 72% 70% 60% 52% 50% 50% 40% 37% 33% 32% 30% 27% 22% 24% 20% 14% 13% 14% 10% 11% 10% 8% 8% 9% 9%8% 9% 10% 6% 7% 5% 6% 3%4% 3% 4% 3% 4%3% 3% <1%2% 1%1% 2%2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 0% Iran None China Russia Turkey Don't Union Ukraine answer Armenia know/No European Azerbaijan 15 United States Do you support or oppose further dialogue with Russia? Fully support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Don't know/No answer Oct-19 48% 26% 9% 12% 5% Jun-19 46% 29% 7% 12% 5% Apr-18 47% 30% 7% 12% 4% Mar-17 53% 29% 6% 10% 2% Mar-16 59% 24% 4% 10% 3% Feb-15 65% 20% 4% 8% 3% Feb-14 76% 16% 3% 4% 2% May-13 82% 11% 2% 3% 2% Feb-13 82% 13% 2%2%1% Nov-12 83% 11% 2%2%2% Mar-12 74% 19% 2% 3% 2% Nov-11 73% 17% 2% 4% 4% May-11 78% 16% 2%2%2% Oct-10 84% 12% 1%1%2% Mar-10 78% 15% 2%2% 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
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