Assessing Snowfall Rates from X-Band Radar Reflectivity
2324 JOURNAL OF ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC TECHNOLOGY VOLUME 26
Assessing Snowfall Rates from X-Band Radar Reflectivity Measurements
SERGEY Y. MATROSOV Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado, and NOAA/Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, Colorado
CARROLL CAMPBELL NOAA/Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, Colorado
DAVID KINGSMILL AND ELLEN SUKOVICH Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado, and NOAA/Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, Colorado
(Manuscript received 30 September 2008, in final form 1 July 2009)
ABSTRACT
Realistic aggregate snowflake models and experimental snowflake size distribution parameters are used to
derive X-band power-law relations between the equivalent radar reflectivity factor Ze and the liquid equiv- B alent snowfall precipitation rate S (Ze 5 AS ). There is significant variability in coefficients of these relations caused by uncertainties in the snowflake bulk densities (as defined by the mass–size relationships), fall ve- locities, and particle size distribution parameters. The variability in snowflake parameters results in differing Ze–S relations that provide more than a factor of 2 difference in precipitation rate and liquid equivalent accumulation estimates for typical reflectivity values observed in snowfall (;20–30 dBZ). Characteristic values of the exponent B in the derived for dry snowfall relations were generally in the range 1.3–1.55 (when 6 23 21 Ze is in mm m and S is in mm h ). The coefficient A exhibited stronger variability and varied in the range from about 30 (for aircraft-based size distributions and smaller density particles) to about 140 (for surface- based size distributions). The non-Rayleigh scattering effects at X band result in diminishing of both A and B, as compared to the relations for longer wavelength radars. The snowflake shape and orientation also in- fluences its backscatter properties, but to a lesser extent compared to the particle bulk density. The derived relations were primarily obtained for snowfall consisting of dry aggregate snowflakes. They were applied to the X-band radar measurements during observations of wintertime storms. For approximately collocated measurements, the in situ estimates of snowfall accumulations were generally within the range of radar- derived values when the coefficient A was around 100–120.
1. Introduction rections of X-band radar signals in rain (e.g., Matrosov et al. 2002; Anagnostou et al. 2004; Park et al. 2005). To Meteorological radars that operate at X-band fre- a significant degree, such schemes helped to overcome quencies (wavelength l ; 3 cm) have recently gained rain attenuation effects, which in the past presented considerable interest as a tool for high-resolution rain- a major limitation for the use of X-band frequency ra- fall measurements at relatively short distances (typically dars for precipitation studies. less than 40–50 km; e.g., Matrosov et al. 2005b; Brotzge Over the last several years, the National Oceanic and et al. 2006). This interest and the associated progress in Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Earth System Re- using X-band radars in quasi-operational observations search Laboratory (ESRL) deployed its transportable po- owes, in part, to the introduction of polarimetric larimetric scanning X-band radar for hydrological studies schemes for reflectivity and differential reflectivity cor- (HYDROX) in the western slopes of California’s Sierra Nevada. This radar has been recently upgraded with a new Corresponding author address: Sergey Y. Matrosov, R/PSD2, data system and is capable of high-resolution precipitation 325 Broadway, Boulder, CO 80305. mapping (e.g., Matrosov et al. 2007). The HYDROX de- E-mail: [email protected] ployments were part of the Hydrometeorological Test
DOI: 10.1175/2009JTECHA1238.1
Ó 2009 American Meteorological Society NOVEMBER 2009 MATROSOVETAL. 2325
Bed (HMT) project, which is aimed at the detailed studies have been shown to provide information on ice/snow of wintertime storms that are crucial for California’s water hydrometeor habits (e.g., Matrosov et al. 2001), and supply. These deployments took place in the north fork of differential reflectivity measurements can help to dis- the American River basin (ARB). Depending on the tinguish between dry and wet snow, the polarimetric temperature of a particular weather system, wintertime data are quite difficult to interpret quantitatively in storms in this basin vary from all rainfall to all snowfall terms of snowfall precipitation rate (compared to po- conditions. larization radar measurements of rainfall rate), so Most of the recent attention in X-band radar hydro- snowfall QPE measurements rely mostly on radar re- meteorological applications was generally paid to rain- flectivity data. fall studies, and snowfall measurements using radars Although a dual-wavelength radar approach offers operating at this frequency were not studied extensively. a promise of more accurate retrievals (e.g., Matrosov However, they are also quite important given the in- 1998), collocated radar measurements at a shorter creased use of X-band radars in colder conditions. With wavelength are often unavailable in operational set- appropriate retrieval algorithms, radar measurements tings. This study employs a modeling approach to derive can be used to obtain spatial snowfall rate patterns and X-band radar Ze–S relations for dry snowfall. Similar liquid equivalent snow accumulations maps over large approaches have been used in the past for longer areas, thus providing valuable hydrological information. wavelengths where the Rayleigh scattering is generally Radar snowfall measurements present some addi- valid (e.g., Rasmussen et al. 2003). A set of assumptions tional challenges compared to rainfall measurements. about snowflake properties covering the observed range These challenges are primarily associated with larger of these properties and experimental snowflake size uncertainties in snowflake densities, shapes, orienta- distributions (SSDs) are used for these derivations. The tions, and fall velocities compared to those of raindrops. derived relations are applied to the HYDROX data The attenuation of radar signals is also a significant issue during dry snowfalls and compared to available in situ for wet snow observations. In wet snow, attenuation estimates of snowfall. usually exceeds that for rain with comparable pre- cipitation rates (Matrosov 2008), but attenuation in dry 2. Snowflake backscatter properties snow, which is observed at temperatures below freezing, is generally very small and is usually ignored for many Backscatter properties of individual hydrometeors practical cases. Although there is no unambiguous and depend on their size, mass, shape, and orientation. Un- widely adopted definition of dry snow, observationally like water drops, the relation between mass and size of based criteria for such snow may be helpful. As was ice hydrometeors is not unique and varies quite signifi- shown, for example, by Ryzhkov et al. (2005), dry falling cantly. Traditionally, relations between sizes D and snow, which primarily consists of aggregates, is charac- masses m of ice particles are expressed by power-law terized by reflectivities that are mostly in a range be- approximations: tween 20 and 35 dBZ and differential reflectivities that are usually less than about 0.5–0.6 dB. Wet snow (e.g., m 5 aDb, (1) snowflakes observed in the melting layer) usually ex- hibits higher reflectivities and differential reflectivities. where the coefficients a and b are found from micro- Snowfalls consisting of single crystals are characterized physical studies. Relation (1) determines bulk density of by lower reflectivities (usually less than 20 dBZ) and snowflakes rs. The ice hydrometeor mass usually in- high differential reflectivities. Dry snowfalls consisting creases with size more slowly than the snowflake volume of aggregate snowflakes are of the main interest in this (i.e., b , 3), and rs decreases with size. study. Such snowflakes were observed during the ex- Figure 1 depicts the aggregate snowflake bulk density perimental events considered here. as a function of size for several m–D relations. Note that The larger uncertainties in snowflake properties result appreciable precipitation rates are usually observed in significant uncertainties of relations between the ra- from snowfall consisting of aggregate snowflakes. A dar reflectivity factor Ze, which is the main radar mea- spherical snowflake model was assumed (i.e., D is the surable, and the liquid equivalent snowfall precipitation snowflake diameter in Fig. 1). Shown are aggregate rate S. Such relations for rainfall and snowfall present particle bulk densities from Holroyd (1971) and those the basis for traditional radar-based quantitative pre- resulting from m–D relations presented in Matrosov cipitation estimations (QPE), and they generally exhibit (2007) and Kingsmill et al. (2003). The Kingsmill (2003) more variability for snowfall than for rainfall. Although relation is based on the data by Heymsfield et al. (2002). polarimetric radar observations of depolarization ratios These relations are given in cgs units as 2326 JOURNAL OF ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC TECHNOLOGY VOLUME 26
FIG. 2. Snowflake backscatter cross sections as a function of size FIG. 1. Aggregate snowflake bulk density as a function of size for for different m–D relations. Thick lines show results of the T-matrix several m–D relations. Curves (a),(b), and (c) represent m–D re- calculations, and thin lines show results of the Rayleigh approxi- lations from Eq. (2). Curves (d) and (e) represent m–D relations mation. from Brandes et al. (2007) and Mitchell (1996), respectively. lation in Fig. 1 provides a measure of a degree of un- m 5 0.0028D2 (Kingsmill et al. 2003), (2a) certainty in snow particle bulk densities. This uncertainty is a significant contributor into variability of snowflake m 5 0.003D2(D , 0.2 cm), m 5 0.067D2.5(D $ 0.2 cm) backscatter properties. 3 (Matrosov 2007), and (2b) X-band (l 5 3.2 cm) backscatter cross sections sb of aggregate dry snowflakes as a function of snowflake size m 5 0.0088D2 [from Holroyd (1971) densities]. (2c) are shown in Fig. 2. These cross sections were calculated using the T-matrix method (Barber and Yeh 1975). A The results from Holroyd (1971) were found to satis- dry snowflake was considered a uniform mixture of solid factorily approximate recent results by Brandes et el. ice and air, and the complex refractive index of this
(2007, their Fig. 6; with Holroyd’s densities of rs 5 mixture ms was calculated from 0.017D21, with cgs units), though the Brandes et al. 2 2 1 2 2 1 (2007) relation (also shown in Fig. 1) overestimates (ms 1)(ms 1 2) 5 Pi(mi 1)(mi 1 2) , (3) a little the results from (2c). It should be mentioned, however, that observations of warm snowfalls with where mi is the complex refractive index of solid ice (mi ’ temperatures close to freezing might have influenced 1.78 1 i0.0002 at X band) and Pi is the relative volume of 1 23 this relation. The relation (2a) is representative for solid ice in a mixture (Pi ’ rsri ; ri 5 0.916 g cm ). a number of m–D relations used in the ice cloud mi- For smaller particles that are within the Rayleigh crophysics and remote sensing community, including scattering regime (i.e., pD/l 1 and pDjmsj/l 1), ones from Brown and Francis (1995) and Mitchell backscatter cross sections are proportional to m2, so the (1996), which is also shown in Fig. 1. difference of about a factor of 3 in bulk densities from As seen from Fig. 1, for particle sizes up to about the m–D relations translates to almost one order of
1 mm, the composite m–D relation (2b) closely ap- magnitude difference in corresponding values of sb.It proximates the relation (2a). For larger snowflake sizes, can be seen that the Rayleigh results at X band are which are observed in heavier snowfalls, relation (2b) generally valid for sizes up to approximately 4–5 mm. provides a continuous transition from densities that are For sizes greater than about 1.5 cm, the backscatter characteristic of smaller aggregates typically found in cross sections diminish with size because of stronger clouds and weak precipitation, to densities that are more non-Rayleigh scattering effects. Note that these char- appropriate for larger dry snowflakes near the surface, acteristic sizes (i.e., 4–5 mm and 1.5 cm) depend on the as documented by Magono and Nakamura (1965, their m–D assumption relatively little, because it is snowflake Fig. 3). Although there are many more experimental physical dimensions and not densities that are primarily m–D relations found in the literature, the overall spread responsible for non-Rayleigh scattering (e.g., Matrosov of rs values resulting from the choice of the m–D re- 1998). When snowflake size spectra are known (e.g., NOVEMBER 2009 MATROSOVETAL. 2327 from sampling using particle measuring system sensors), such as differential reflectivity, differential phase shift, ice equivalent reflectivity is often estimated as a nor- and copolar correlation coefficient. malized sum of the squares of individual particle masses. Such an approach is generally valid under the Rayleigh 3. Ze–S relations at X band assumption, but it will not be appropriate for X band when snowflakes greater than 4–5 mm are present (then, The equivalent reflectivity factor (referred to simply full-backscatter cross sections should be used during the as reflectivity) is the main quantitative parameter mea- summation). sured by radar. Reflectivity of an ensemble of snow- Although some microphysical studies (e.g., Brandes flakes can be calculated by integrating the backscatter et al. 2007) find that snowflake aggregates are mostly cross sections of individual snowflakes over the size spherical on average, other microphysical studies in- distribution N(D): ð dicate that mean aspect ratios of aggregate particles are Dmax 4 5 2 2 2 about 0.6–0.8 (e.g., Korolev and Isaac 2003). The non- Ze 5 l p j(mw 1 2)/(mw 1)j sb(D)N(D) dD, D spherical model was also found to be in better agreement min with dual-wavelength (X and W bands) radar observa- (4) tions (Matrosov et al. 2005a). To estimate snowflake nonsphericity effects, T-matrix calculations of back- where mw is the complex refractive index of water scatter cross sections were performed for the spheroidal (mw ’ 7.29 1 i2.83 at 08C and l 5 3.2 cm), which is aggregate snowflake model with aspect ratios r of 0.6 and customary used for calibration of weather radars (Smith 0.8. It was assumed that, in the absence of strong hori- 1984). The values 0.01 and 1.5 cm for Dmin and Dmax, zontal winds and wind shear, nonspherical snowflakes respectively, were further used in this study. Because the are oriented preferably with their major dimensions smallest observed bulk densities of snowflakes are around 0.005 g cm23 (e.g., Magono and Nakamura in the horizontal plane. Such orientations (with a stan- 23 dard deviation of about 98) were observed using radar 1965), it was assumed that rs 5 0.005 g cm , even if the depolarization measurements in dendrite snowflakes use of a particular m–D relation resulted in smaller (Matrosov et al. 2005c). densities. Similarly, the solid ice density was assumed if m–D relations resulted in density values exceeding The nonspherical particle calculations of horizontal 23 polarization backscatter cross sections at low radar el- 0.916 g cm . evation angles (a ; 28) were performed assuming dif- Different studies (e.g., Gunn and Marshall 1958, Sekhon ferent particle shapes (i.e., different values of aspect and Srivastava 1970, Braham 1990, Harimaya et al. 2000) ratio r) but preserving particle mass. These calculations indicate that SSDs can be satisfactorily approximated by provided results that differ from those in Fig. 2 but not an exponential function: by more than 15% (not shown). It amounts to only N(D) 5 N0 exp( LD), (5) a 0.6-dB difference and can be ignored (if reflectivity factor is the main radar parameter of interest) given the where N0 and L are the intercept and slope parameters, much higher backscatter cross section uncertainties that respectively. It should be mentioned that Brandes et al. are associated with the choice of a mass–size relation. (2007) also fitted SSDs by a gamma function and esti- Assuming nonspherical snowflake tumbling (i.e., the mated m–a shape parameter of this function. There is no random orientation) rather than preferable horizontal consensus in the community, however (e.g., Moisseev orientation results in even smaller differences between and Chandrasekar 2007), of the accuracy of gamma- spherical and nonspherical snowflake aggregate models. function m estimates; thus, exponential distributions Thus, it can be concluded that the spherical model is were further used in this study. This choice is also jus- generally suitable for modeling nonpolarimetric radar tified by the fact that the information in the literature on most experimental SSDs usually is given in terms of the properties (e.g., Ze) of low-density snowflakes at X-band radar frequencies, especially when the deviation from exponential function parameters N0 and L. Rayleigh-type scattering is not very profound. It should The snowfall rate in terms of melted liquid equivalent be mentioned, however, that the spherical model be- S is given as ð comes progressively less suitable (especially for vertical Dmax 1 viewing at W band) when the radar frequency increases, S 5 rw m(D)vt(D)N(D) dD, (6) D and it can be not a good choice for describing even radar min reflectivities if particles are substantially nonspherical where rw is the density of water and vt is the fall velocity (Matrosov 2007). The spherical assumption also pre- of snowflakes. As in Matrosov (2007), snowflake fall cludes modeling common polarimetric radar parameters velocities in this study were modeled by the relation 2328 JOURNAL OF ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC TECHNOLOGY VOLUME 26