Water Security for Central Kosovo the Kosovo
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Public Disclosure Authorized Water Security for Central Kosovo Public Disclosure Authorized The Kosovo - Ibër River Basin and Ibër Lepenc Water System Water resources, water demands, Public Disclosure Authorized Water balance assessment, And programme of measures Public Disclosure Authorized MARCH 2011 Edited March 2012 . DOCUMENT LEAD SHEET Client Project Number: 7156058 SCE Project Number: 10292 Document Number: 2 Ministry of Environment and Spatial Planning WATER SECURITY FOR CENTRAL KOSOVO Reports: Water Resources, Water demands, Water balance assessment and Programme of measures WORLD Reasons for Issue Date Author Collaborators Reviewer BANK issue Approver - K. ZENA - N. PIRVA - C. SCHMANDT G. DENIGOT A 25/03/2011 F. BAUDRY - C. MASCRE C. VALLET - F. PINTUS - B. PICON A. AZIZI The team thanks all the partners in Kosovo who provided help to collect data in the field for the canal survey as well those who shared information for this study. We hope that this assessment will provide opportunities to improve water security in Central Kosovo. This Main Report and its additional volume on the WEAP Model Activities are the results of the work of the Consultant Team led by F. Baudry and G.Denigot, in cooperation with experts and government officials at the Water Directorate, Ministry of Environment and Spatial Planning, the Ibër-Lepenc Canal Water Company, the Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Rural Development, the Government Water Task Force, the Lignite Power Technical Assistance Project, and several other Ministerial and other agencies. The support and information of several donor agencies are gratefully acknowledged, notably of the Swiss Cooperation Office Kosovo, the Kreditanstalt für Wiederaufbau, and the European Commission Liaison Office to Kosovo. The World Bank team that supervised and led this initiative comprised Guy Alaerts, Michael Jacobsen and Krenar Bujupi. Disclaimer The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this paper are those of the Consultant and do not necessarily reflect the views of the World Bank. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this work. The boundaries, colours, denominations, and other information shown on any map in this work do not imply any judgment on the part of The World Bank concerning the legal status of any territory or the endorsement or acceptance of such boundaries. W A T E R S ECURITY FOR C E N T R A L K OSOVO I B Ë R R I V E R B A S I N A N D I B Ë R L E P E N C W A T E R S YSTEM TABLE OF CONTENTS TABLE OF CONTENTS 4 ACRONYMS 11 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 12 A- Context and Objectives 12 B- Integrated River Basin Planning and Water Balance 13 C- Bulk Water Supply Vulnerability and Water Security in Central Kosovo 14 D- Priority Measures and Investments 22 E- Conclusion 23 PART I CONTEXT, CONCEPT 1 TOOLS 24 I. REPORT SCOPE & PROJECT AREA 24 II. COMMON UNDERSTANDING: “ MOVING TOWARDS WATER SECURITY IN CENTRAL KOSOVO “ 25 II.1. Concept of Water security for this study 25 II.2. Preliminary objectives for Water Security 25 III. INFLUENCE ON WATERS SECURITY OF THE CHANGING SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONTEXT IN CENTRAL KOSOVO 26 III.1. Issues regarding the Ibër Lepenc Canal 26 III.2. Infrastructure Development 27 III.3. Energy and water 29 III.4. International context 31 IV. CONCEPTUAL REPRESENTATION OF THE ISSUES 32 IV.1. Schematic representation of the issues 32 IV.2. Use of WEAP: A River Basin Management Modeling Tool 33 A- WEAP model main features 33 B- Set up of a WEAP model for the Ibër River Basin in Kosovo and Montenegro 34 V. SOURCES OF INFORMATION AND DATA LIMITATION 37 PART II IBËR RIVER BASIN IN KOSOVO & TRANSBOUNDARIES WATERS 40 I.1. Geographical area - international waters 40 A- Project Area 40 B- Central Kosovo area Water Supply 42 I.2. Ibër transboundary waters and Danube river basin 45 page 4/211 W A T E R S ECURITY FOR C E N T R A L K OSOVO I B Ë R R I V E R B A S I N A N D I B Ë R L E P E N C W A T E R S YSTEM PART III WATER BODIES AND ENVIRONMENTAL OBJECTIVES ACHIEVEMENT 51 I.1. Brief overview of European Water Directives 51 I.2. Delineation and characterisation of Water Bodies 52 A- Eco regions and surface water body type 52 B- Delineation and characterization of Surface Water Bodies 53 C- Delineation and characterization of Groundwater Bodies 56 I.3. Pressure & Impact On Water Bodies 64 A- Impact on flow regime of abstraction or regulation 64 B- Description of morphological alteration 65 C- Impact of Land use patterns & population densities 66 D- Significant point and diffuse pollution sources 68 I.4. Resulting Ecological and chemical status of surface water bodies 74 A- Quantity and quality of data available 74 B- Evaluation of the Status of Surface water 75 C- Status of the Groundwater 76 PART IV TOWARD WATER SECURITY IN CENTRAL KOSOVO 2010-2035 78 I.1. Scope of the analysis - Key Indicators 78 A- Scope of the Analysis – Water Security Objectives 78 B- Environmental flow - Key Water uses within Ibër River Basin 79 C- Methodology - Scenarios Building 80 I.2. Period considered and planned actions 82 I.3. Supply Side: Hydrology, Climate & Water Resources 83 A- Hydro- meteorological information 83 B- Precipitation, Temperature, Evaporation 86 C- Analysis of runoff and basin Yield 90 D- Climate change possible impact 92 I.4. Water supply infrastructure 94 A- The 2010 Water supply Infrastructure 94 B- Resources available for use – quality issues– Infrastructure Vulnerabilities 101 I.5. DEMAND OF THE KEY WATER USES 102 A- Demand of urban Water needs and communities Water supply 102 B- Demand for Agriculture 106 C- Demand for Power Production 108 D- Demand of Key industries 109 I.6. BASELINE SCENARIO 110 A- Baseline Scenario - Bulk Water Balance & Security Vulnerabilities 110 B- Bulk water balance under baseline scenario 113 I.7. BUILDING SCENARIOS FOR THE FUTURE 123 A- Justification of range of values for the various parameters used in scenario 123 B- Factors of Uncertainties 123 C- Demand Side Parameters 124 D- Supply Side Parameters 136 E- Selection of Series of Scenarios 139 F- Successive scenarios by varying these factors 139 I.8. RESULTS OF THE SCENARIOS – BULK WATER BALANCE UNDER FUTURE CONDITIONS 141 page 5/211 W A T E R S ECURITY FOR C E N T R A L K OSOVO I B Ë R R I V E R B A S I N A N D I B Ë R L E P E N C W A T E R S YSTEM A- Impact of selected parameters on the water demand 141 B- Hot spots Identification 142 I.9. CONCLUSIONS 151 PART V DRAFT PROGRAM OF MEASURES TOWARDS WATER SECURITY 152 I.1. Terms of reference 152 I.2. Schematic presentation of ToR 153 II. PROCESS OF MEASURE IDENTIFICATION AND ASSESSMENT 154 II.1. Steps for measureS identification and assessment 154 II.2. methods for measure assessment and visualization 155 II.3. Criteria for the assessment of measures 156 II.4. Cost Benefit Analysis 159 A- Overview 159 B- Background 159 C- Assumptions – General Methodology 160 D- Assumptions – Costs 160 E- Assumptions – Benefits 160 F- Steps to neutralize Bias 162 III. PROJECTS AND MEASURES IDENTIFIED 163 III.1. Quantitative Assessment of water security 163 A- Assessment of the water shortage and water saving needs 163 B- Operational shortcomings 163 III.2. Vulnerabilities of Water Security 163 A- Pressure on Water Resource 163 B- Pollution pressure on drinking water resources 164 C- the conveyance system needs rehabilitation and priority allocation 165 D- diversification and allocation of water resource 166 IV. DESCRIPTION OF PROJECT AND MEASURES 168 IV.1. Project 1 - protection of drinking water resources of reservoirs 168 A- Project title 168 B- Beneficiary institutions 168 C- Situation Analysis 168 D- Logical Framework Matrix 170 E- Capital expenditures & Operating expenses 172 F- BENEFITS - Protection of drinking water resource 174 G- Stakeholder Analysis 177 H- Target group – beneficiaries 177 I- Implementation arrangements 177 IV.2. PROJECT 2: Groundwater knowledge and protection 178 A- Project title: 178 B- Beneficiary institutions 178 C- Situation Analysis 178 D- Logical framework matrix 179 E- Stakeholder Analysis 183 F- Target group – beneficiaries 183 page 6/211 W A T E R S ECURITY FOR C E N T R A L K OSOVO I B Ë R R I V E R B A S I N A N D I B Ë R L E P E N C W A T E R S YSTEM G- Implementation arrangements 183 IV.3. Project 3: Provision of sufficient water of good quality through the Ibër Lepenc Canal 184 A- Project title: 184 B- Beneficiary institutions 184 C- Situation Analysis 184 D- Logical framework matrix 186 E- Stakeholder Analysis 196 F- Target group – beneficiaries 196 IV.4. Study of options for providing better water security in case of emergency 197 A- Project title: 197 B- Beneficiary institutions 197 C- Situation Analysis 197 D- Logical framework matrix 204 E- Stakeholder Analysis 207 F- Target group – beneficiaries 207 V. INVESTMENT PRIORITIES 208 PART VI ANNEXES 209 I. ANNEX 1: INFORMATION SOURCES 209 II. ANNEX 2: WEAP ACTIVITIES REPORT 211 III. ANNEX III – DETAIL OF COSTS OF BENEFITS FOR THE 4 PROJECT/MEASURES 211 page 7/211 W A T E R S ECURITY FOR C E N T R A L K OSOVO I B Ë R R I V E R B A S I N A N D I B Ë R L E P E N C W A T E R S YSTEM LIST OF FIGURES, MAPS & TABLES Figure 1: Ibër "River Basin" in Kosovo 15 Figure 2: WEAP graphic interface representing the resource and demand sites 16 Figure 3: Gazivoda reservoir water balance (baseline year 2010) 17 Figure 4: Batllava reservoir water balance (baseline year 2010) 17 Figure 5: Badovc reservoir water balance (baseline year 2010) 18 Figure 6: Gazivoda water balance in 2035 assuming increased demand from all sectors and a dry year condition (under historical meteorological conditions without climate change) 20 Figure 7: Type of losses and illegal connections in Ibër Lepenc canal (Consultant survey August 2010) 27 Figure 8: Bulk water conveyance and Hydro-electricity of the Gazivoda, its buffer reservoir and the gate of IL canal 30 Figure 10: WEAP model modules 33 Figure 11: WEAP hydrography and water system architecture of the Ibër Basin (SCE/OIEau 2010) 35 Figure 12: WEAP scheme of the Ibër Lepenc canal water conveyance and of Prishtina & Mitrovica regions bulk water supply 36 Figure 13: Principle for delineation of Water Bodies Error! 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