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Hull Local Plan Consultation Home Hull Local Plan Strategic Housing Land Availability Assessment Part 4 of 4: SHLAA Analysis and Methodology April 2013 Part 4 of 4: SHLAA Analysis and Methodology Strategic Housing Land Availability Assessment 2013 Part 1 of 4: Citywide Map showing all SHLAA Sites Part 2 of 4: SHLAA Site Plans and Schedules 2013 to 2030 Part 3 of 4: SHLAA Site Plans and Schedules - Excluded Sites (Methodology Stage 8) - Sites not currently considered developable 2013 to 2030 Part 4 of 4: SHLAA Analysis and Methodology Hull City Council - Strategic Housing Land Availability Assessment 2013 – Page 2 Part 4 of 4: SHLAA Analysis and Methodology Part 4 of 4: SHLAA Analysis and Methodology Contents 1. Introduction 2. SHLAA Analysis 3. Trajectory 4. Methodology Appendix A: SHLAA Disclaimer Appendix B: Methodology - Site Details and Site Assessment Criteria Hull City Council - Strategic Housing Land Availability Assessment 2013 – Page 3 Part 4 of 4: SHLAA Analysis and Methodology 1. Introduction 1.1 The National Planning Policy Framework (NPPF) states that the purpose of the planning system is to contribute to the achievement of sustainable development including the delivery of a wide choice of high quality homes and to boost significantly the supply of housing. 1.2 Local Planning Authorities should have a clear understanding of the supply of housing land in their area. A Strategic Housing Land Availability Assessment should “establish realistic assumptions about the availability, suitability and likely economic viability of land to meet the identified need for housing over the plan period”. 1.3 Practice guidance was issued by the Department of Communities and Local Government on SHLAA production in July 2007, elements of which have been updated by the NPPF. This SHLAA has been produced in accordance with the practice guidance and NPPF as appropriate unless specific local circumstances require a different approach. The report will explain where these apply. 1.4 The SHLAA 2013 Methodology, Section 4 of this report, sets out how the Council collects and assesses site information. The 2013 SHLAA uses the published 2012 SHLAA dataset as the starting point for 2013 site assessment. 1.5 Site details and boundaries for sites included in the 17 year housing supply are held within the Site Schedules which accompanies this report section of the SHLAA. The results are held within a database, updated on an annual basis, with a base date of 1st April 2013. Please note sites receiving planning permission after that date will be included and/or updated as SHLAA production allows. 1.6 The SHLAA results will be read alongside the housing requirement identified in the Strategic Housing Market Assessment. 1.7 The information in this SHLAA is subject to the disclaimers set out in Appendix A. Hull City Council - Strategic Housing Land Availability Assessment 2013 – Page 4 Part 4 of 4: SHLAA Analysis and Methodology 2. SHLAA Analysis 2.1 The SHLAA should identify a five years supply of specific deliverable sites. It should also identify a supply of specific developable sites or broad locations for growth for year 6-10 and where possible for years 11-17. 2.2 There are 460 sites within the SHLAA dataset which fall into the categories set out below in table 2.1. Table 2.1: Sites assessed through SHLAA and category conclusion Category Number of Sites 17 year supply (2013-2030) 197 Excluded by Council 9 Outside the identified 17 year supply 254 2.3 The sites in the SHLAA are assessed in accordance with the 2013 SHLAA methodology detailed in this report. The sites are categorised according to when it is likely that housing could be delivered on the site. The number of sites commencing and amount of housing which could be potentially delivered over the period 2013-2030 is set out in table 2.2. Nine sites were excluded at Stage 8 of the SHLAA methodology 2013 and a list of these sites is contained within the site schedules that accompany this report. The reasons for exclusion are contained within the dataset for each site. Table 2.2: Sites within the 2013-2030 potential housing supply. Potential Number of potential Potential housing % of potential Timescale housing sites commencing supply supply housing Five year 109 5,428 35.9% supply 6-10 82 7,173 47.5% 11-17 6 2,504 16.6% TOTAL 197 15,105 100% Note: sites may deliver over more than one timescale Hull City Council - Strategic Housing Land Availability Assessment 2013 – Page 5 Part 4 of 4: SHLAA Analysis and Methodology Sources of supply for 5 year supply (2013-18) 2.4 The 5 year supply of potential housing is set out in table 2.3. 2.5 This table shows that over 85% of sites in the five year supply are under construction, have planning permission or are identified in the Development Plan. The remaining sites are those put forward by developers through the call for sites process. Table 2.3: SHLAA potential housing supply, 5 year supply (2013-2018) Source Number of potential Potential % of potential housing sites housing supply supply housing Sites with planning 20 1,526 28.1% permission under construction. Sites with planning 66 2,586 47.6% permission. Development Plan 5 552 10.2% allocations. Call for Sites and those of 18 764 14.1% developer interest has been expressed. Note: Sites may deliver over more than one timescale Hull City Council - Strategic Housing Land Availability Assessment 2013 – Page 6 Part 4 of 4: SHLAA Analysis and Methodology Sources of supply for year 6 to 10 (2018-2023) 2.6 The SHLAA shows the potential for 7,173 houses to be constructed in the years 2018 to 2023 distributed by source as shown in table 2.4. The large quantity of housing that is identified as developable in this period reflects the limited level of constraints identified generally within this supply, but moreover reflects the difficulty to currently identify deliverability for some of these sites. Table 2.4: SHLAA potential housing supply, years 6-10 (2018-2023) Source Number of sites Potential % of potential contributing to housing supply housing potential housing supply supply Sites with planning 20 370 5.2% permission under construction. Sites with planning 70 1,289 18.0% permission. Development Plan 13 1,095 15.3% allocations. Call for Sites and those of 25 1,032 14.4% developer interest has been expressed. Other Sources. 63 3,387 47.1% Note: Sites within years 6-10 are those which are considered developable with minor constraints to be overcome. Sites may deliver over more than one timescale Hull City Council - Strategic Housing Land Availability Assessment 2013 – Page 7 Part 4 of 4: SHLAA Analysis and Methodology Sources of supply for year 11 to 17 (2023-2030) 2.7 The SHLAA shows the potential for 2,504 houses to be constructed in the years 2023 to 2030 distributed by source as shown below in table 2.5. Table 2.5: SHLAA potential dwellings years 11-17 (2023-2029) Source Number of sites Potential % of potential contributing to housing supply housing potential housing supply supply Sites with planning 1 30 30.7% permission under construction. Sites with planning 1 950 1.2% permission. Development Plan 3 195 37.9% allocations. Call for Sites and those of 2 560 7.8% developer interest has been expressed. Other Sources 10 769 22.4% Note: Sites may deliver over more than one timescale. Sites starting within years 11-17 tend to have greater constraints to be overcome. Hull City Council - Strategic Housing Land Availability Assessment 2013 – Page 8 Part 4 of 4: SHLAA Analysis and Methodology Geographical Distribution 2.8 There are areas of Hull where housing development is vital to the creation of sustainable communities. The Council identifies priority areas for the delivery of housing: Newington and St. Andrews, Holderness Road Corridor, Kingswood and the City Centre. It also separates out parts of east and west Hull as forming different housing markets. Table 2.6 identifies the potential spatial distribution and delivery phasing of new homes. 2.9 Map 2.1 identifies the spatial distribution of the potential 15,105 additions to the total household stock. It is acknowledged that this does not take account of potential demolitions of around 1,660 dwellings. Approximately 640 these are anticipated to be demolished in the first five years of this SHLAA and the other 1,020 in the year’s six to ten. Map 2.1: Spatial distribution of the 2013 SHLAA site specific supply. Kingswood 3,409 East 2,468 West 2,133 HRC AAP 2,326 NaSA City AAP Centre 1,563 3,206 Hull City Council - Strategic Housing Land Availability Assessment 2013 – Page 9 Part 4 of 4: SHLAA Analysis and Methodology Table 2.6: Potential geographical distribution and delivery phasing of new homes Timescale NaSA HRC Kingswood City Centre Hull East Hull West Other Other 0-5 665 943 1,584 595 522 1,119 6-11 868 1,208 875 2,089 1,309 824 11-17 30 175 950 522 637 190 Total 1,563 2,326 3,409 3,206 2,468 2,133 Newington and St Andrews (NaSA) Area Action Plan 2.10 The Newington and St Andrews (NaSA) Area Action Plan was adopted in February 2010. The SHLAA identifies a potential supply of 1,563 homes within the NaSA AAP. 2.11 The AAP housing sites of St Andrews Square and Junella Fields were completed in 2011 and 2012 respectively. Phase one of the Amy Johnson site nears completion and Phase two (SHLAA ref. 370) is under construction, both phases being delivered by Keepmoat Homes.
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