MISS AMERICA IN REVIEW George L. Miller, Northern Illinois University
AllSTRACr rv.nbering 17, 17 and 16. These groups I'«lIBin fixed for all competitions so that a given entty This srudy of the Miss l Sl which contained descriptive information about EXHIBIT I the participants and ccmnents on the Pageant it self. SUch data were generally reliable but the A MlDIFIED Fl1J.J QWIT OF MISSAM programs were not error free. Data were missing for serne variables for sane of the years of Get a Program frem the 1959-79, the years for which pro!7""" were Miss America Pageant. available to the author. Data on bust, waist Ent= Data. and hips measurements are :incanplete ip the data base for 1963 and 1965-68, except for those ranldng high in the pageants. LI.Iring tho s e years it was apparently all right to reveal age Is State Alaska, and height, but the =ren's IlDvanent protested Delaware, Mary land, Missouri, the other meas1..1l"fflleI1ts. Acadanic major in art Mmtana, Nebraska, Noevada, yes-.e explicit farm was awilable only for the years Ns-I Mexico, North Dakota of 1969 -79 , however, goals in lile and career or Verrn::mt? interests identified academic majors in the No other )'ears. MISSiIM relied heavil), on the data for the years in which the programs were avail Check lfu",nca1 Stats. able. Of the 2,214 observations in the total Is 19 ~ Age ~ 23 study, about one-half occurred duripg the 1959- and 64~Height:So 70 1979 period. and 105 ~ Weight" 135 Variables available for analysis were year, and 34 t Bust =36.5 t---No-B state represented~ first n.:nne, middle. nane, 5111" and 21~ Waist = 25 """", place of residence, rronth and day of birth, and 34 ~ Hi s to 361 rank in the Pageant, success in prelinrlnary con tests, Miss O:mgeniality and Neat As a Pin win Yes ners, academic major, talent used in the Pag eant, height, weight, bust, wais t, hips, age, ~~~-yes-B hair color, eye color, aro:runt 'MJl1, school attended, class in school, type of singing, type lli of dancipg and race. 'Ihe data spamJBd three Is T ent Baton, Dance ex cards and were entered in standard SAS colurr:rurr cluding Ballet, Drama, Ccrredy, input. Mine or Sipging Accanpanied yes-B Adlitional variables were created via appro a Guitar? priate S/\S statanents. They consisted of 19 probability variables, region, 0'1 adjusted No award, educational level indeK, and a current uate twn Lew award variable. The base for the 0'1 award var iable was Septamer, 1967. Ihe current award variable asSlUlled that the 1979 award structure c or existed over the period of 1945-1979. Ihe enti.l:e progr:an is s~le and short with only about 1,000 S/\S stat=ts. A final COOIII'mt regarding th" accutacy of the physical variables is necessary. No one with the Pageant tEa.S'UI'eS the contestants, nor have they for several decades. Further, entrants IlIay enhance their appearances with paddipg, cos Imtic., hair coloripg, "te. Even though statis tica are reported accurately, scme change by the time a state representative reaches the national finals. A =testant may lose several pounds, add inches, and so on duripg the frantic _ during which each is beipg "improvo>d" by state beauty consultants. III. WE NII11JRE OF MISSAM te ~ ~t~es ------of State P.epresentatives The Miss l'Imerica Prediction Itxlel is pre bee . Miss America sented in Exhibit I in a shortened fonn. The rana.irlder of this peper will discuss the cowpon ents of the IIDdel, the output fran the rodel, and Pageant analyses :indeperu:lent of MISSAM. Programs are awilable £rem the Pageant a couple of _ before the national finsls. Ihe list cites the states that have perfQ'l'llE{! badly progranE are advertiso>d on 'N and in 'N Guide. in selecting state representatives ~ The entries A progra!Il contains the data necessarytor a sim in parentheses are t:he number of t::bat state 1 s en ulation of the Pageant and prediction of a win trants in the top 5, the top 10, swll!Jsuit crnpe ner. titions -wtm~ talent 1II1On j and both 'I4Ol1.. The Table I contains the infonmtion pertinent states with the poorest records were: Alaska(O/O), to the second cell in the rrodel. The following Delaware(0/3,lS,2T), Maryland(0/3 ,IS ,IT) , 52 TAIILE I 76 73,77 53, ,58 t 54,71,73,74 Colo. 55,57,71 49 53,69 49 37 Conn. '13 45,50,58 ii9 5US,59 45 Del. 53,72, 76 7S 5~,7:J 37 Fla. 43,54 44,50,7845,60 ~1,57,67 46,48,55,62,66 54 55,61,68,70 44 42 77,79 68,70,71,75 70,77,78 :: Ga. 52 57 62,71 57 II 40 f Hawaii 63 62 52,55,56,49,61 55,55,70 62 32 '. 64,69 , Idaho 71 60 67 31 ~ In. 27,68 49,74 44,46,59,73 4;)i2 59,73,74 08 40 Ind. 51,52,77 65 6DJ1S,7Z ~'~74, 75 58,72 57,60,65,67 3S i Iowa 58 68 36 ~ 67,72,79 6S Kans. 65,67 79 48,56 71, 72, 78 48,65,67,72 71,78 37 74 7li 47,64,78 47 74 40 a: 46,73 74 52,65,67 72,73 34 Maine 70 7I 72,78 7I 38 ffi. 62 i' 51,67,72,76 79 45 Mass. 68 J1 48,55,56,60,66 55,15 41 69,75 MiCh. 39,60,69 04 Z;Z;:,49 ,52 62,69 54,59 60 4I Minn. 4li,71> 45,61,64,69) 44,49,67,1I 48,61,78 47,49,54,59 76 45 Miss. 58,59,79 49,65,i57 70 53 i52 65,78,19 58,52 45 ~. 79 5; 57 30 Kiiit. ZiS,liI 48,75 31 Ne5. 62,18 5bJ>Z,78 35 Nev. 50,57,63,71 65 31 N.Il. 66 66 37 N.J. 69,73 ;7 47,49 '13 I;::l l'l.M. lil. iJZ; I ~t) j;9, 77+ ti4 1)9 Z9 N.Y. 7S 76 46,59,68,69,70 59 76,79 36 79 N.C. 61 12,75 51,60 55 58 50,57,60 55,57,58,61 41 79 N.D. n; 64 31 ChlO 22,23,38 69,79 66,75 54 71,78 54,66,75,77 69 4I 62,71,77 79 aua. 2ti ,bo 51,58 . 48 50, 55 51 70 ~3 35 60 ,70 3S Ore. 55 ,~. Fa. 2L,53 72 70~71 ti:~'~~~~7~~~b ~7,59Z~7~"l R.I. ~~,71 73 ~~ t' s.c. 56 70,76 54, Ii 62 51, 52, 53, 65,15 54,60,66,70 65 43 L' ~. 76,77 S.D. 50 31 /0,7'4 51 50,5) 33 Tenn. 00 63 47 'f,4, 59'(,68 ,74,77 45,77 48,74 41 !,~ Texas 42,70, 74 02, 76 61,04,72 50,58,6 ,73, 5 70,74 61 4I !: 77 ,78 ,I Utah 51 til 46 1fll, 58 ,liO, 65 z;g,5r,bl\f5I 35 ,. Vt. 35 ~a. 78 33 iiJ,bB! 76 71 :53,03,58,76 ;;1 Wasn. 59 78 50,0;;,71,73,74 59,71,73 31 I W.Va. 64· 46,47,19 611 35 Wise. 72 59,62,73 07 b5 46,49 59,02,73 72 38 ~ ~o. 48 47,53 53 30 Entries m table represent year in iliicl1 event occurred. 53 Missouri (1(2,lT), Montana (0/1,2T), Nebraska TABlE III (0(2,3T), Nevada (0(3,15), New Mexico (0/5,lS,lT), North Dakota (O(l,lT), and Vermont (0(0). Con S1l\IISTICS FOR MISS AMERIQ\ PAGEANT WINNERS necticut, Georgia, New Hampshire, South Dakota, Utah, West Virginia and Wyoming are strong can Ed, Lev. didates for being dropped for the 1980 run of 59 65 114 35 23 Brown Green Grad. MISSAl'!. Missouri will be rerroved from the drop 60 18 66 116 35 22 35 Brown Green Freshm. list because. of the strong shCMing of that state's 61 19 65 118 35 24 35 Brown Hazel Il.S.Grad representative in 1979. The philosophy of the 62 20 65 115 36 22 36 Brown Hazel Soph. dropping process is that if a state has finished 63 21 67 124 35 23 35 Brun. Brown Senior in the upper strata in recent tim=:s j then the 64 22 66 124 36 24 36 Brown Brown Senior statels entrants have sc:me chance of wimingj if 65 19 67 115 36 23 36 Brown Blue Gry. JuniOT not, then there is scmething wrong with the 66 19 66 118 36 24 36 Brun. Green Junior selection process of the state. 67 20 69 135 36,5 24 37 Brown Blue Junior With the parenthesized items showing the 68 19 67 125 36 25 36 Blonde Green Soph. sane as above, the states perfonning the best 69 21 65 110 34 21 34 Blonde Green Senior were: California (17/23,12S, IT, 1B), Florida 70 21 65 121 36 23 36 Brown Brown· Senior (12/18,lS,6T,lB), Ohio (11/12,lS,5T,lE), Texas 71 22 67 ll8 36 24 34 Auburn Green Grilli. (8/14,2S,lT,lB), and Mississippi (8/9,3S,4T,lB). 72 23 68 120 36 25 36 Brawn Brown Grad, Florida has never had a Miss AnErica; Califoxnia 73 22 69 125 36 24 36 Blonde Blue Grad. baa not won for 26 years. 74 21 68 119 36 23 36 Brun. Hazel Grad. 75 19 70 128 36 24 36 Brown Brown Soph. TABLE II 76 .20 67 120 35 22 35 Blonde Hazel Junior ·77 23 66 105 34 24 35 Brawn BrtMn Grad, MISS AMERIQ\ PAGEANT MEAN STATISTICS, 1959-1979 78 22 64 108 35 23 36 Blonde Green Grad. 79 22 65 114 35 23 36 Brown Blue Grad. Year ¥.e Ilt. Wt. Bust Waist \lips Ed. rev. 1959 1~41 66.33 121.20 35.50 23,33 35.57 14,17 No carmm surnarre has been the narrE of a 1960 19.19 65.76 119,22 35,13 23.41 35.46 14,30 wirmer. unless Perkins J Barker or King are con 196119.1566.04119.4935,29 23.11 35.44 14,02 sidered to be ccmmn narres. Dur:ing the years of 1962 19.34 65.87 119.26 35,26 23.21 35,26 14.08 1959-79, the following names appeared in the 1963 19.50 66.20 118.00 35.30 23,20 35.50 14.40 Pageant nost often: Smith, 14; Johnson, 11; 1964 19.64 66.00 119.9435.62 23,32 35.66 14.64 r-t::xJre. 8 i Davis, 8; Anderson J 7; and Walker, 6. 1965 19.42 66.44 119.86 35.60 23.30 35.50 14.58 Walker was the pare of a winner in 1947, but none 1966 19.52 66.27 119.73 35.70 23.40 35.70 14.50 of these is the narre of a recent wi.rmer. Perhaps 1967 19.62 66.08 118.96 35.60 23.70 35.40 14.56 the m;Jst difficult rtarrE to pronounce for any re 1968 19.8466.18 118,78 35.50 23.50 35.50 14.76 cent winner was Meeuwsen in 1972. The longest 196919.7566.37120,0835.3323.6735.47 14.82 ~ of a -wirme.r was ~iwether in. 1954; no t"I8!I'JE. 1970 19.48 66.32 118.50 35.26 23.68 35,28 14.52 baa hsd more than eight oharaeters since then. 1971 20.12 66.20 118.80 35,20 23,52 35.36 14,84 Names in 1979 that might have been dropped were 1972 20.20 66.62 119.42 35.52 24.06 35.56 14.92, Kleinsasser and Skiathitis. MISSAM currently 1973 20.36 66.36 118.06 35.24 23.96 35.38 14,94 ignores this 1TDdule pending fibre analysis_ 1914 20.96 66.58 118.64 35.50 23.96 35.42 15,18 The most coom:m given Il.'Im2S during 1959-79 1975 20.76 66.60 117.98 35.22 23.90 35.32 15.10 were: Linda, 37; Susan, 33; Karen, 29; Mory, 26; 1976 21.02 66.32 116.02 35.08 23.60 35.20 15.06 Nancy, 21; Patricis, 18; Sharan, 18; and Deborah, 1977 20.48 66.68 115.9435.02 23.58 35.14 15,00 16. Susan, Nancy and Deborah were the names of 1978 20.64 66.74 116.24 35.06 23.92 35.12 15,12 winners, Arm(e) was the roost comoon middle MIre with 124 entries bearing that name. Several re 1979 21.16 66.38 115.04 34.86 23.52 34.88 15,36 cent winners hsve had that middle MIre. Tshle IV sh""" the infonnation that is re Table II shows the mean statistics for all lated to talent amsideration. The colwns sh.aw" Miss .America Pageant participants 'for the years of number using rn.mber using 1959-79, Ed. Lev. is mean educational level with the the talent, the the talent who became at least semifinalists, the high school graduate~12, freshrn"F13, etc., Sim average rank of the sanifinalists for the talent ilar data for the ~rs 'of the pageants are category, IIEaIl statistics and ~ mrvard series. s1= in T8ble III. The limiting values s1= in Award is the average arrount WDIl, givert that the the nume'dcal cell of MISSAI1 are rnaximJms and 1979 prize schedule was in force, Not avail8ble minimums; any participant with 8n'f nurerical to and statistic outside of Che ranges is assigned a pertains to participants pri= 1959 nostly prior to 1945. CPI is a low va1u£! for those cate probsbility of zero, FUrther, those near the gories -which are currently unsuccess.:ful or for upper and lcwer limits receive low probabilities. those talents which used- to be wirmers but are no Though 18-y,,= olds have been Miss America in the and oratory. past, it is unlikely thst one will win in the longer successful, such as diarre in futur'e; social issues and the quality of the. cur Though dance baa been a winning talent the pas~, it is the opinion of the m:xle1er that rent contestants dEmmd a TIlJ-re ma.ture persan. the only dance categories that are likely to pro GiverI recent trends in the Pageant, it is also not likely that a state representatiw weig):ring duce a winner are classical ballet and acrobatic! gymnastic dances which are. very close to puLe pounds win in the thin over 125 will near future; In is in, Weight is considered in MISSAI1 ooly in gymnastics. determining appropriate talent in the numerical statistics module. probabilities MISSAM, care had to be exercised since serne talents, such as baton twirling and 54 TAmE IV RANK AND MEAN STATISTICS BY ACAIlEMIC MAJOR AND BY TAlENT (AU. YRS.) Num-NUIliber Avg. Max. CPI EdUC. c:ategOEY ____ ber Ranked Rank Rank Height Weight Bust waist HiEs Aiz,e Award Award Level No nE.jor given 1499 301 5.09 1 66.12 119.91 3S.27 23.49 35.47 19.36 $2401 $ 820 14.34 mar 20 4 4.75 2 65.50 115.63 34.94 23.31 35.13 20.88 2450 740 15.13 • Business 26 2 4.00 2 66.28 117.48 35.00 23.79 35.13 20.12 1904 SOl 14.62 "f Education 72 13 4.06 1 66.68 119.66 35.43 23.79 35.52 20.45 3313 1331 15.08 } English 18 2 6.00 SF 66.94 120.17 35.50 24.06 3S.56 20.61 1444 569 14.94 Engineer:ing 3 0 67.00 118.33 34.67 23.33 35,00 20.67 1000 458 15.33 Fine Arts S 2 4.00 2 66.86 118.83 35.20 23.20 35.40 20.17 3563 1162 lS.00 Foreign ~ges 8 1 1.00 1 66,00 119.88 35.40 24.20 35.40 19.50 3813 1292 14.86 Graphics 2 1 3.00 3 66.50 117.00 35.50 24.00 35.00 20.00 6750 1832 15.00 Heslth 16 3 4.33 1 67.40 120.38 35.47 24.20 35.27 19.56 2656 1124 14,25 Horne Ecooomics 43 6 3.67 1 66.48 117.45 35.11 23.62 35.38 20.29 2756 1231 14.77 "t' , JournalismjBcstg. 18 6 5.50 4 67.41 120.41 35.40 24.13 35.40 20,17 2139 911 14.71 Liberal Arts 32 8 5.00 1 66.68 118.10 35.17 23.67 35.13 20.13 2609 1060 14.84 ,'. Math/Statistics 4 0 66.33 109.00 34.33 23.67 34.67 21.25 1250 594 15.25 Husic 238 69 4.54 1 66.33 117.61 35.31 23.69 35.30 20.42 3294 1270 15.04 Nurs:ing 12 0 66.00 119.50 35.36 23.82 35.18 19.17 1208 467 14.75 Physical Ed. 15 3 4,00 1 66.27 118.93 35.40 23.93 35.60 20.33 3067 1188 14.87 Political Sci. 8 1 5.00 5 66.75 117.25 35.43 23.43 35.43 21.75 1625 863 15.75 Pre-lRw 3 1 6.00 SF 66.67 120.67 36.00 24.00 36.00 18.67 2000 757 14.00 Pre-Med 8 3 4.33 1 66.63 115.25 35.38 23.00 35.25 20.00 4125 1939 14.88 " Science 10 1 1.00 1 66.20 116.50 35.00 23,60 35.10 19.70 3200 1475 14.70 r Sociology 11 2 5.50 5 67.27 119.27 35.44 23.78 35.33 20.27 1591 613 15.09 Speech 59 14 3.64 1 66.24 117.91 35.25 23.75 35.37 20.45 3551 1488 15.27 Theatre 88 23 3.43 1 66.34 117.90 34.96 23.68 35.18 19.63 4000 1412 14.48 Theology 1 0 66.00 115.00 35.00 23.00 35.00 18.00 1000 409 13.00 Talent Not available 877 140 5.23 1 66.00 121.15 34.28 24.80 35.48 18.81 2107 537 14.26 Art plus Mise. 29 3 3.00 2 66.33 116.82 35.00 23.50 34.92 19.82 2448 1191 14.75 Ballet 61 10 4.30 1 65.96 116.50 34.88 23.42 35.00 19.80 2336 896 14.57 f' Baton 15 7 5.29 2 66.58 118,73 35.18 23.64 35.27 20.62 3333 1022 15.08 ~. Caredy 21 3 4.00 1 66.30 118.85 35.38 23.56 35.38 19.62 2786 1307 14.85 Dance 177 39 5.00 1 66.07 117.49 35.13 23.58 35.20 19.51 2469 790 14.31 ;l Dance Coobin. 23.00 35.00 19.30 1179 445 14.58 b 14 0 66.44 118.67 35.17 Drama 129 33 4.33 1 66.16 120.37 35.38 23.61 35.49 19.60 3357 1317 14.51 ~ DraIm Combin. 11 1 1.00 1 66.55 121. 91 35.25 23.38 34.88 19.45 3182 507 14.73 .<: Fashion/Design 11 2 3.50 1 66.89 122.56 35.13 23.50 36.13 19.11 3546 1700 13.60 f ~:- Inst:runalt Goob. 3 1 6.00 SF 67.67 126,00 36.50 23.00 36.00 20.00 1667 827 15.00 , Inst:rurent 204 57 NA 1 66.57 118.50 35.29 23.57 35.31 20.29 3475 NA 14.97 Flute 13 5 4.00 1 67,38 119.23 35.23 23.54 35.23 20.31 5115 2149 15.23 organ 14 2 1.50 1 65.67 119.73 35.30 23.40 35.40 20.62 3679 1785 15.25 Piano 135 34 4.29 1 66.47 118.14 35.27 23.57 35.32 20.26 3081 1158 14.94 Violin 9 4 6.75 SF 66,50 119.14 35.71 23.71 35.57 19.25 2500 1186 14.50 Other 33 12 3.67 1 66.59 118.96 35.26 23.63 35.22 20.54 4621 1611 15.00 ,'" M:irre 6 0 65.75 118.00 34.75 23.25 35.50 19.20 1000 245 14.60 ,~ Oratory 15 3 8.00 SF 66.20 118.33 35,43 23.71 35.71 19.78 1567 703 14.40 ,.l. Piano and Singing 13 7 3.29 1 66.40 118.60 35.00 23.13 35.25 20.60 7192 2582 14.90 ," Piano Canbination 8 1 9.00 SF 66.67 124.33 36.67 24.33 36.67 19.29 1500 555 14.29 , Singing 491 134 4.69 1 66,29 118.53 35.31 23.71 35.41 20.08 3019 1043 14.78 i Song and Dance 56 13 4.69 1 66.50 119.98 35.31 23.31 35.39 19.51 2991 1160 14.52 Song and Guitar 18 2 6.00 SF 67.25 122.33 35.90 23.50 35.90 19.71 1333 537 14.59 S:inging O:nb. 22 2 6.50 4 65.72 119.28 35.36 24.00 35.21 19.95 1568 659 14.79 f Sports 19 7 4.29 1 66.56 119.63 35.53 24.00 35.53 20.53 4132 1763 14.56 Ventriloquy 10 6 5.00 1 68.00 125.78 36.22 24.00 36.00 20.56 4200 1969 15.11 Note:. ~d is a t~-adjust€d ~ sclUidiJIe. CPI Award is a df'flated current pnze scll£idllle hg).ITe, S 56 TABLE VII MISS AMERICA MEAN AtOlNl' AWARDED, NUMBER, NllMBER RANKED, AND MEAN RANK FOR THOSE RANKED FOR SEIECIED TIME PERIODS AND SEIECI'Ell CATEmRIES CatEgory Tine Period 1960-64 1965-69 1970-74 1975-79 Re ion Awara NJNR Mean Award i)I/NR: Mean Awara NlFiR Mean Award N/NR Mean ~ Atlantic $1534 29/1 3.00 $1/20 25/3 5.00 $2680 2511 4.51 $2920 25)9 5.11 New England 1272 33/1 6.00 2250 30/5 4.60 2000 30/3 3.67 1150 30/1 6.00 North Central 2813 43/7 3.57 4263 40/13 3.85 3288 40/9 4.00 3625 40/9 4.00 Pacific Coas t 2567 15/5 5.20 3535 15/4 3.75 2800 15/5 5.20 2767 15/5 4.80 Alaaka and Hawaii 2800 10/4 5.00 1200 10/1 6.00 1350 10/0 1100 10/0 Plains 1225 20/1 6.00 3150 20{2 1.00 1450 20/4 6.00 2250 20/4 5.25 South 3207 65/18 4.28 2333 60/16 5.13 2275 60/12 4.75 3467 60/16 4.13 Southwest 3222 18/8 4.75 3625 20/7 4.14 3800 20/7 4.29 2425 20/6 5.33 West 1817 30/6 5.50 1333 30/2 6.00 2400 30/3 3.00 1317 30/0 Haix Color BLiCk 1857 7/2 6.00 3833 9/3 4.00 1400 5/0 1375 8{1 6.00 Blonde 2473 74{13 4.23 2861 76/16 4.13 2812 77{18 4.33 2784 67/16 4.69 Brown 2399 129/25 4.52 2223 141/24 4.67 2262 141/25 4.60 2564 157/29 4.31 BrunettE 3292 12/3 4.33 2794 17/4 4.75 3000 12/3 4.33 Red 1625 8/2 6.00 2950 10/4 5.25 3750 10/3 4.33 1667 6/1 6.00 Ere Color Bue 2408 7l/15 4.67 2487 76/16 4.42 2250 72/12 4.58 2474 78/16 4.56 BrCJWrl 2207 75/11 4.18 1933 90/17 5.18 2652 69/12 4.00 2556 80/17 4.59 Gray 1000 3/0 1000 1{0 1500 4/1 6.00 1000 I/O Green 2068 37/5 5.00 3276 38/17 3.57 2537 54/11 4.36 2414 35/6 5.00 Hazel 3900 30/10 4.00 3090 33/7 3.86 2786 49/14 4.86 2811 53/10 4.10 Class f"iIghScbooI GraduatE 2088 34/7 5.29 1255 8/0 1000 110 1333 3/0 FresJnnan 2691 34/9 4.78 1792 24/3 5.00 1662 34/3 5.67 1373 20/0 Sopl!aoore 1867 79/11 4.91 2345 74/13 4.38 2314 59/10 4.40 2266 47/7 4.43 Junior 2763 59/11 3.73 3344 80/20 4.00 2087 52/9 4.67 2280 50/11 5.09 Senior 2987 38/7 3.57 2489 44/9 4.67 2631 61/16 4.75 2197 66/14 5.21 Grruiuatc 2262 21/5 5.00 1625 16/4 6.00 3525 40/11 4.09 4291 55/17 3.47 Graduate Student NA NA NA 1800 510 6.00 1746 236/25 4.64 1695 223/28 5.07 1731 212/24 4.83 1836 220/29 4.90 Swimsuit Wilmer 9417 12/8 3.60 9250 12/7 2.71 9800 15/11 3.18 6115 13/5 3.00 '~ Talent W:inner 4500 14/12 5.33 7208 12/12 4.83 5167 15/14 5.21 7536 14/13 .4.77 ,~ Won SwbJ-iruit and Talent 15333 3/3 3.00 20667 3/3 1.67 24000 III 1.00 19000 3/3 2.00 .. ;;"!> Bust: 33 inches 1000 4/0 1000 110 1000 3/0 1667 6/2 6.00 j: 34 " 1526 39/3 4.33 7000 6/4 4.00 1830 44/6 5.17 2283 60/8 3.88 ,.t. 35 " 2886 92/20 4.35 3972 18/5 3.60 2219 96/14 4.21 2893 98/21 4.33 ,. 36 " 2604 53/11 4.27 4892 28/5 3.13 3283 83/23 4.26 2639 79/19 4.79 37 3261 23/8 4.50 4071 7/1 4.00 2525 20/5 5.00 1000 4/0 38 " 2000 5/1 6.00 2333 3/2 6.00 1000 110 39 1000 110 \hist: 21 " 1250 4/0 11250 2/1 1.00 1333 3/0 5000 2/2 5.00 22 " 3100 40/7 3.14 2575 20/4 4.50 2091 11/2 4.50 2435 31/5 4.40 I 23 " 2312 85/18 4.78 4278 27/8 3.50 2485 66/11 4.18 2775 60116 4.75 ~: 24 2703 79/17 4.47 3261 46/10 3.70 2612 125/27 4.44 2696 112/18 3.89 25 " 1818 11/1 5.00 4500 14/5 4.20 2586 35/7 4.57 2162 37/8 5.13 rf 26 " 2000 1/0 1000 110 1889 9/3 6.00 1571 7/1 6.00 Hips, 32 " 1000 2/0 1000 110 33 1000 2/0 1000 110 1000 2/0 1667 3/1 6.00 I, 34 " 2250 24/2 2.50 5000 812 2.00 2383 30/4 4,00 1500 52/5 5.20 35 " 2849 93/22 4.45 2800 45/8 4.13 2155 97/17 4.36 2975 102/25 4.44 36 " 2500 83/16 4.25 4250 42/12 3.50 3043 104/29 4.52 2837 89/18 4.22 } 37 " 1714 14/3 6.00 4231 13/5 4.00 1767 15/3 5.67 2000 3/1 6.00 t 38 " 2125 4/0 3000 1/0 1000 110 ! ltite: Award is am:runt won in terms of the 19)9 sChedUle; Coogeriiahty ana Neat es a Pin IlOt mcliJdea. f r t ,[ 57 .' TABLE VIII EYE AND HAIR (l)lJJR FOR PAGEANT PARTICIPiINrS FDR THE YEARS OF 1959-79 1959 24 0 1 20 0 1 7* 1 a 1 6 20 26* a 0 1 1960 16 0 0 19 3 a 9* 7 a 1 1 21 30* 0 0 1 1961 16 0 0 19 0 a 13 7" 0 2 2 12 38~\" a a 1 1962 20 0 0 17 0 a s s* a 1 1 21 30* a 0 a 1963 Not av'.!!i.lab1e Not available * 1965 13 1* 2 22 6 a 2 27" 2 0 1 1966 16 2 2 14 3 0 1 24 6" a 1 1967 15* 0 a 15 13 a a 31* 0 0 1 1970 14 0 13 9 0 2 3 16 25* 1971 15 0 11* 9 0 1* 1 18 28 1972 9 0 9 16 0 3 1 13 30* 1975 9 a 3 22* 0 0 6 10 0 3 6 41* 0 0 0 1976 20 a 0 14 0 0 5 11* 0 0 15* 29 3 0 0 1977 16 0 0 14* 0 0 10 10 0 1 17 29* 3 0 0 1978 15 0 0 17 1 0 3* 14 0 1 14* 29 2 1 0 1979 17* a 0 13 0 0 11 9 0 Note, BLGry,~B1ue-Gray; Bl.Gre.~Blue-Green; Gry.Gre.~ay-Green; Brun.~BI"llt1ette; chestnut is in Auburn, winnings for aye colors were, blue, $2335; b1ue- TABlE IX green, $3125; brown, $2365; gray, $1222; green, FIlW.. RANK VS. PRELIMINARY SUCCESS, 1959-1979 $2658; and hazel, $3045, After the evaluation of eye. color J MISSAM Nliriber in Success Class sinulates the Pageant and determines probabilities FJ.na1 Did NOt win won Both Won Won of winning for all of the candidates, Each prob- Rank a Prelim. SandT Swimsuit Talent ability detennined is the probability of being First (won) 6 4 9 2 selected Miss l' 58 TABLE X PRE-PAGEANI PROBABILITIES OF WINNING TIlE MISS AMERICA 1TIIE BY Sl'A1E AND BY YEAR FUR TIlE YFARS OF 1969-1979 Year 19;9 ma 1971 mz Em @i'4 1975 197(5 1977 . 1973 1979 State .i\IaF""""ama .0421 .0469 .0l31 0 .0142 0 .0473 0 .1395 0 .0346 Alaska 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 a a Arizona a a .0223 a .0049 a .2422 .0810 a a .0674 Ark.9nsas a .0372 .0073 .0718 .0873 .0278 .0231 .0387 .0242 .0185 .0812 California 0 0 .0067 .0066 .0019 .0210 .0625 0 .0074 .0099 .0018 COloradO a 0 0 .0822 .0;56* 0 .0266 .0143 .0225 .ID99 .0061 Cl:mnecticut .0240 .0044 0 0 0 0 0 .0269 a a a Delaware a 0 a a 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Florida .0195 .0031 .0086 .0106 0 0 .0082 .0393 .0010 .3351 .00Z7 ~ia 0 .0335 .1000 .0502 .0202 .0320 .0382 0 .0046 .0766 .0881 Hawan .0161 0 0 0 0 0 .OOID 0 0 0 0 Idaho 0 0 .0600 .0476 .0003 .0681 .0240 .0037 a 0 .0026 Illinois .0139 0 .0794 0 .1231 .0925 .0l01 .0758 .0530 .0013 .1056 Indiana .0209 .0607 .0165 0 0 .0969 .0272 .0726 0 0 0 Iowa .0340 .0006 .0588 0 .0186 .0330 .0494 .0306 .0194 .0014 .0009 Kansas 0 0 0 0 .0699 0 .0135 .0005 .1033 .0309 .0581 Kentucky 0 a .0134 .0411 .1253 .1236 .0007 .0311 .0037 .0179 .0528 louisiana 0 .0003 .0062 .0103 .0074 .0371 .0012 0 .0059 .0332 .0094 Maine .0172 .0021 .0143 0 .0012 .0066 0 0 0 .0145 0 ~land 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ssadhusetts.1126 .0481 .0314 0 0 .OZW .0012 .0879 .0446 0 0 Michigan .0001* .0013 .0005 0 0 .0130 a .0453 0 .0009 .0666 Minnesota .0317 0 .0205 .0154 a .0393 0 .0218* .0046 a .0472 Mississippi .0973 .0759 .0343 .0920 .0637 .0866 .0004 .0624 .0240 .0530 .2058* Missouri 0 0 0 0 a 0 0 0 0 a a llintana a 0 0 0 0 a a 0 0 0 0 Nebraska 0 0 0 0 a a a 0 a 0 a Nevada 0 a a 0 a a 0 0 0 a 0 New ~shire 0 0 .0324 0 .OU8 .0084 0 0 .0311 0 a New Jersey .0655 .0539 0 .0089 .0393 0 .0202 .0068 .0004 .0524 a NeW l'€Xico 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 a 0 New York .0841 0 .0452 0 0 0 .0054* .0463 .0539 .0001 a North Gar. .0760 .0260 .1253 .0057 .0340 .0404 .0197 a 0 a .0018 ,. North Dakota 0 0 a a 0 0 a 0 0 a 0 Chio .0250 .1629 .0276* .U11 a .0545 .0470 .0009 .0076* a a OkJ:ahiiiii 0 .2898 .0004 0 0 .0004 .0382 .0678 .a401 a a Oregon .0668 a 0 .0019 0 .0082 .03U .0207 0 0 0 , Pennsylvania a .0212 .0775 .0912 0 .0158 .0147 .0589 .0677 .0015 a .,(.: Rhode Island .0243 a .0130 .0151 .0213 0 .0141 .0007 .0053 .0651 a f South Gar. .0457 .0568 0 0 .0377 .0196 a .0719 .0254 0 .0127 ;: South DakOta .0120 .0024 0 0 0 .0032 .0053 .0016 .0910 .om .0283 ,.~ Tennessee .0249 a .0004 0 .0405 .0982 a 0 .0973 .1263 0 ,,. Texas 0 .0386* .0886 .0560 a .0084* .0391 .0119 .0579 .0026 .0226 c· t. utah .0663 0 .0267 .0132 .0013 .0006 a .0004 a .0024 .0010 f' Vermmt 0 a 0 0 a a a 0 a 0 0 ~c V,rglIlla 0 .0049 .0125 .0591 .0646 0 .0441 .0I50 .oli29 .0234* .0007 r. Washington .0433 0 a .0375 a 0 .0262 .0002 .0134 .0065 .0160 f West Virginia 0 a .0542 0 .1221 .0302 .0814 .0406 .0086 a .0083 r" Wisconsin a .0131 .0002 .0399* 0 .0161 .0112 .0240 a 0 .0686 , Wyaning 0 .0084 ,.f. .0365 .0163 .0165 .1327 .0312 0 .0205 .0005 0 "lii(l'cates Pagean~WllIIIer. Sale contestants with the highest pre,Pageant pro&ibiliti"s in order ~. of probability of winning wee", Carolyn Cline, 1978, F1orida,~.3351; Vanda Kay Van Dyke, 1964, Arizona, Miss ~ica, .2904; Judy Adams, 1970, Oklahoma, semifinalist, .2898; Stacey Peter- sen, 1975, Arizona, fifth, .2422; O>eryl Pr...n.tt,.1979, Mississippi, Miss hIErica, .2058 (.2226 I in a slightly different version of the lOOdel used in August, 1979); Grace Bird, 1970, Ohio, r unranked, .1629; and Jane Jayroe, 1966, Chlahcrna, Miss America, .1472. ,f f i ~ I ( ~ S9 ~ ~- TABLE XI mY OF TIlE FINAlS PROBABILITIES OF WINNING TIlE MISS AMERICA TIllE BY STATE AND BY YEAR FUR TIlE YEARS OF 1969-79 Year 1969 1970 I97I 1912 1973 1974 1975 1971; 1971 1975 1979 State Alabama .0141 .0538 .0048 0 .0062 0 .0146 a .0324 a .0063 Alaska a 0 a 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Arizona 0 0 .0082 0 .0022 0 .0750 .0177 0 0 .0601 Arkansas 0 .0087 .0270 .0222 .0381 .0098 .1535 .0085 .1206 .0053 .0147 California 0 0 .0533 .0020 .0008 .1592 .4157 0 .0017 .0028 .0003 ColoradO 0 0 0 .0254 .0286* 0 .00$2 .0031 .0052 .0312 .0011 ('..onnecticut .1729 .0010 0 a a 0 a .0059 0 a a Delaware 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 florida .0065 .0035 .0032 .0032 a 0 .0025 .0086 .0012 .4682 .0005 Georl;>ia 0 .0078 .1813 .0155 .0088 .0113 .0118 0 .0011 .0212 .0160 Hawa~i .0054 0 0 0 a 0 .0003 0 0 0 0 Idaho 0 0 .0221 .0147 .0001 .0240 .0074 .0008 a a .0005 11linDis .0046 0 .0293 0 .2643 .1603 .0031 .0166 .0123 .0004 .0192 Indiat1a .0070 .0142 .0061 a a .0342 .0084 .0159 0 0 0 Iowa .0114 .0001 .0217 a .0081 .01l6 .0153 .0067 .0045 .0004 .0002 Kal1Sas 0 0 a 0 .0305 0 .0051 .0001 .0240 .0432 .0IDS Kent:uclcy a a .0049 .0127 .0547 .2143 .0002 .0068 .0009 .0051 .0096 Wuisiana 0 .0001 .0023 .0156 .0158 .0131 .0004 0 .0014 .0095 .0017 Main€ .0058 .0005 .0259 0 .0005 .0023 0 0 0 .0041 0 Mrryland 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Mass. .0377 .0112 .0116 a 0 .0074 .00lS .0192 .0104 a 0 Michigan .0006* .0003 .0002 0 0 .0046 0 .0099 0 .0003 .0121 M:i..rmesota .0522 a .0076 .0048 0 .0139 0 .2673* .0011 0 .0086 Mississippi .0325 .0177 .0126 .0284 .0278 .0305 .0001 .0137 .0056 .3235 .8030* Missouri 0 a 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 M:mtana 0 0 0 a a a 0 a a 0 0 Nebraska 0 0 0 a 0 0 a 0 0 a 0 Nevada 0 0 0 a 0 0 o· a 0 0 a Nei< !lmIpshire 0 a .0120 0 .0052 .0030 0 0 .0072 0 a Na..-r Jersel': .0/19 .0126 0 .0027 .3686 0 .0063 .0014 .0001 .0149 0 New Mexico 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ne;J York .0281 0 .0167 0 0 a .0017* .0498 .0125 .0003 0 N. Carolina .0254 .0061 .0462 .0018 .0149 .0142 .0061 a 0 0 .0069 lbrth llikota 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 a 0 DhiD .4669 .0380 .2188* .0343 a .0192 .0716 .0002 .0087* 0 a !, 0kL'l1iiml 0 .3325 .0002 0 0 .0002 .0118 .0148 .0093 0 a Oregon .0224 0 a .0006 a .0029 .0096 .0045 a a 0 Pennsy1 vania 0 .0049 .1406 .0282 0 .0056 .0045 .0129 .0772 .0004 0 ! Rhode Island .0081 0 .0048 .0047 .0093 0 .0935 .0001 .0012 .0185 0 South Car. .0153 .2848 0 0 .0165 .0069 a .3385 .1266 a .0023 South DakOta . 0040 .0006 0 0 a .0011 .0016 .0003 .0211 .0045 .0051 Tennessee .0083 0 .0001 0 .0177 .1701 0 0 .4854 .0359 0 Texas 0 .1935* .0327 .0173 a .063!5" .0121 .1460 .0134 .0007 .0041 Utah .0222 0 .0099 .0041 .0006 .0002 0 .0001 0 .0007 .0002 Ve:rm:mt 0 0 0 0 a 0 a 0 0 a a virgima a .0011 .0993 .0183 .0281 a .0137 .0161 . aIDa .0067* .0001 Washington .0145 0 0 .0116 a a .0081 .ooo[)t .0031 .0019 .0029 West Virginia a 0 .0200 0 .0533 .0106 .0252 .0089 .0020 0 .0015 Wisconsin a .0031 .0001 . 691Cl" a .0057 .0035 .0052 0 0 .0125 Wyaning .0122 .0038 .0061 .0410 .0136 a .0064 .0001 0 0 .0015 *Indicates Miss hIEl:ica. Contestants having the highest day of the finals probabilities for 1963-79 are as fall"",,: elleryl Prewitt, 1979, Mississippi, Miss Arrerica, .8030; Terry Meeuwsen, 1972, t Wisconsin, Miss Aoerica, .6910; Vonda Kay Van Dyke, 1964, Arizona, Miss i'mrrica, .6382; Judith Ford. 1968, Illinois, Miss i'mrrica, .5322; Linda Faye MJore, 1977, Tennessee, sanifinalist, .4854; Carolyn Clin£,. 1978, Florida, third, .4682; Katherin£, Baumann, 1969, 60