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Transportation Development Plan 2006-2015

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Transportation Development Plan 2006-2015 Transportation Development Plan 2006-2015 November 2006 Presented by Michael Fajans & Associates Santa Clarita Transportation Development Plan This page is intentionally blank. Presented by Michael Fajans & Associates Santa Clarita Transportation Development Plan City of Santa Clarita Transportation Development Plan 2006-2015 City of Santa Clarita Administrative Services Division – Transit 23920 Valencia Boulevard, Suite 300 Santa Clarita, California 91355 (661) 294-1BUS (1287) Presented by Michael Fajans & Associates Santa Clarita Transportation Development Plan Acknowledgements City of Santa Clarita Mayor Laurene Weste Mayor Pro-Tem Marsha McLean Councilmember Frank Ferry Councilmember Bob Kellar Councilmember Cameron Smyth City Manager Kenneth R. Pulskamp Assistant City Manager Ken Striplin Director of Administrative Services Darren Hernández Transit Manager Jeffery J. O’Keefe Project Manager Corie Hill Michael Fajans & Associates 1911 Yolo Avenue Berkeley CA 94707 (510) 527-6615 (510) 527-4399 fax Project Manager Michael Fajans Senior Associate Michael D. Setty Senior Associate Eric C. Bruun, PhD Connetics Transportation Group Susan Rosales Herbert Higginbotham Dennis Markham Federal transportation statutes require that the Southern California Association of Governments (SCAG) and the Los Angeles Metropolitan Transportation Authority (LAMTA), in partnership with state and local agencies, develop and periodically update a long-range Regional Transportation Plan (RTP), and a Transportation Improvement Program (TRIP), which implements the RTP by programming federal funds to transportation projects contained in the RTP. This Transportation Development Plan (TDP) supports development of these regional plans. The preparation of this Transportation Development Plan (TDP) has been funded in part by a grant from the United States Department of Transportation (USDOT), through Section 5303 of the Federal Transit Act. The contents of this SRTP reflect the views of Santa Clarita Transit, and are not necessarily those of USDOT, the Federal Transit Administration (FTA), the Southern California Association of Goverments, or the Los Angeles County Metropolitan Transportation Authority. Santa Clarita Transit is solely responsible for the accuracy of information presented here. In compliance with Title VI regulations of the Civil Rights Act of 1964, no person in the United States of America shall, on grounds of race, color, or national origin, be excluded from participating in, or denied the benefits of, or be subject to discrimination under any program or activity receiving federal financial assistance. Santa Clarita Transit must ensure that federally supported transit service and related benefits are distributed in an equitable manner. The City of Santa Clarita has certified that it is in compliance with Title VI regulations. Presented by Michael Fajans & Associates Santa Clarita Transportation Development Plan Table of Contents Santa Clarita Transit Transportation Development Plan Executive Summary 1 The Current Transportation Environment: Opportunities and Constraints 15 1.1 Population, Employment, and Travel Patterns 15 1.2 Inventory of Transportation Services 28 1.3 Activity Centers 40 1.4 Community Workshops 40 2.0 Santa Clarita Transit Performance Tends and Constraints to Operation 43 2.1 Transit Performance Trends 43 2.2 Route Performance Profiles 52 2.3 Transit Opportunities and Constraints 61 3.0 Goals and Objectives 71 3.1 Mission Statement 71 3.2 Goals and Objectives 71 3.3 Standards for Minimum Service Levels 75 3.4 Quality of Service Standards 78 4.0 Regional Express Bus Network 79 4.1 Regional Express Bus Network 79 4.2 New Regional Express Linkages 83 5.0 Fixed-Route System Network 89 5.1 Recommended Short-term Route Restructuring 90 5.2 Recommended Medium-term Route Restructuring 97 5.3 Impacts from the Planned CAD/AVL and Scheduling Software Procurement 97 6.0 Demand-Responsive Services (ASI/DAR) and Other Community Transit Services 99 6.1 Assessment of Current Services 99 6.2 Service Revisions Expected in the Immediate Future 102 6.3 Recommended Medium-term Service Revisions 107 6.4 Service Change in the Longer-term Future 110 6.5 Appropriate Equipment Types 110 7.0 Financial Plan 113 7.1 Overview of Los Angeles County Transit Funding 113 7.2 Financial Capacity Analysis 117 7.3 Financial Assumptions 119 7.4 Financial Feasibility of TDP Recommendations 121 Appendices 1. Park-and-Ride Lot 2. Transit Funding Sources 3. Relationship Between Transportation Development Plan and CAD/AVL Procurement Presented by Michael Fajans & Associates Santa Clarita Transportation Development Plan Tables ES-1 Population and Employment Projections 1 ES-2 Projections of Annual Operating Hours for Regional Service 6 ES-3 Santa Clarita Transit: Local Routes Projected Vehicle Hours & Peak Bus Requirements 11 1.1 Santa Clarita Valley Population, Employment, and Projections 16 1.2 Job Locations of Santa Clarita Employed Residents: 2000 22 1.3 Metrolink Antelope Valley Lines: Scheduled Travel Times 29 1.4 Metrolink Weekday A.M. Boardings: Antelope Valley Line 30 1.5 Metrolink Weekday & Saturday Boardings: Antelope Valley Line 30 1.6 Regional Transit Connections 33 1.7 Santa Clarita Transit Local Fares 34 1.8 Santa Clarita Transit Local Routes 36 1.9 Santa Clarita Transit Dial-A-Ride Local Fares 38 1.10 Santa Clarita Park and Ride Facilities 39 1.11 Santa Clarita Valley Activity Centers 41 2.1 Santa Clarita Transit Summary Operating Statistics & Performance Indicators 44 2.2 SCT Regional Route Performance Trends: FY 2001-05 47 2.3 Santa Clarita Transit Local Performance Trends: FY 2001-05 49 2.4 SCT Local Routes: Average Weekday Peak Riders per Trip 58 2.5 SCT Local Routes: Total Weekday Peak Riders 59 2.6 SCT Local Routes: Average Weekday Peak Minutes Late (early) per Trip 60 2.7 SCT Local Routes: Total Weekend Midday Riders 60 4.1 Recommended Modifications to Santa Clarita Regional Network 84 4.2 Projections of Annual Operating Hours for Regional Service 86 5.1 Santa Clarita Transit: Local Routes Projected Vehicle Hours and Peak Bus Requirements 96 6.1 Completed ASI/DAR Trips at Santa Clarita Transit 100 6.2 Projected Revenue Vehicle Hours and Peak Vehicle Requirements: ASI/DAR Service 109 7.1 Transit Funding Sources and Modal Eligibility for Santa Clarita Transit 116 7.2 Recommended TDP Implementation Plan 118 7.3 Inflation Assumptions for TDP Financial Plan 119 7.4 Sales Tax Growth Assumptions for TDP Financial Plan 119 7.5 Replacement and Expansion Vehicles for TDP Financial Plan 121 7.6 Cash Flow Results with TDP Implementation 123 Figures ES-1 SCT Local Routes: Proposed Short Term Route Structure 8 ES-2 SCT Local Routes: Proposed Medium Term Route Structure 10 1.1 City of Santa Clarita 16 1.2 Percentage of Households With Seniors: 2000 Census 18 1.3 Average per Capita Income: 2000 Census 19 1.4 Percentage of Households Without Vehicle: 2000 Census 20 1.5 Commute Patterns: City of Santa Clarita Employed Residents 23 1.6 Santa Clarita Area State Highways 24 1.7 Proposed Residential and Commercial Developments 27 1.8 SCRRA Metrolink Commuter Rail Network 29 1.9 Santa Clarita Transit Regional Express Routes 32 Presented by Michael Fajans & Associates Santa Clarita Transportation Development Plan 1.10 Santa Clarita Transit Local Route Network 37 2.1 Santa Clarita Transit Overall Patronage Trends 43 2.2 SCT Regional Route Patronage Trends 45 2.3 SCT Regional Route Productivity 46 2.4 SCT Regional Route Subsidy per Boarding 46 2.5 SCT Regional Route Farebox Return 48 2.6 SCT Local Route Weekday Boardings 50 2.7 SCT Local Routes: Subsidy per Boarding 50 2.8 SCT Local Routes: Farebox Recovery Ratio 51 2.9 Santa Clarita Areas Beyond ¼ Mile of Transit 64 5.1 SCT Local Routes: Proposed Short-term Route Structure 91 5.2 SCT Local Routes: Proposed Medium-term Route Structure 95 6.1 SCT Typical Weekday DAR Trips per Vehicle per Hour 102 6.2 Potential Quasi-Route for DAR Vehicles 103 6.3 Potential Zone Service for DAR Vehicles 104 6.4 Potential Service Routes for Santa Clarita Transit 107 Presented by Michael Fajans & Associates Santa Clarita Transportation Development Plan This page is intentionally blank. Presented by Michael Fajans & Associates Santa Clarita Transportation Development Plan Executive Summary Santa Clarita Transportation Development Plan Background – Population and Employment The City of Santa Clarita was incorporated in 1987. City boundaries encompass more than 51 square miles in the Santa Clarita Valley, about 35 miles northwest of downtown Los Angeles. The City is triangular in shape, straddling I-5 and Route 14, spreading west and northeast of the junction mostly between those two major freeways. The City is composed of a series of distinct communities, including Canyon Country, Newhall, Saugus and Valencia. Development is predominantly residential, with areas of industrial and retail uses along major streets. “Valencia Town Center” contains a regional mall with surrounding retail, office and residential uses. The Six Flags Magic Mountain amusement park is also located in the unincorporated area west of I-5. 1. SCAG planning forecasts and those in the One Valley One Vision Technical Background Report make it clear that the Santa Clarita Valley Planning Area will continue to grow rapidly during and beyond the 10-year planning period. Although the percentage of growth will diminish as the base population expands, the absolute amount of population growth will not diminish. Santa Clarita had a population of 110,000 at its 1987 incorporation and grew to approximately 165,000 in 2005. By the year 2015, the City’s population is expected to exceed 210,000, a growth rate among the fastest for communities within Los Angeles County. The surrounding unincorporated areas and rural fringes, including Stevenson Ranch, Castaic, and other new development along Route 14, exceeded 75,000 people in 2005 and are also growing rapidly. The combined Santa Clarita Valley population (City plus unincorporated) is anticipated to grow to more than 300,000 residents by 2010 based on existing development entitlements and current growth trends.
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