Secondary Leadership Breakfast Briefing
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Secondary Leadership Breakfast Briefing Tuesday 26 November 2019 Jon Abbey, Managing Director Accountability Updates 17-Oct-19 • Performance tables updated with 2019 provisional data • KS4 performance, 2019 (provisional) • A level & other 16-18 results: 2019 (provisional) • Secondary accountability measures: guide updated • Destinations of KS4 & 16-18 students [2018] • Discounting & Early Entrance Guidance published 14- Oct-19 & amended 31-Oct-19 • Level 3 value-added ready reckoner: 2019 published 24- Oct-19 Accountability Updates Updated 31-Oct-19 • 16 to 18 qualifications, discount codes and point scores • Key stage 4 qualifications, discount codes and point scores [& updated again 05-Nov-19] • Both updated to show changes to qualification details & new decisions on inclusions 2019 Progress 8 – LA Rank 2019 2019 Provisional 2018 2018 2017 2018-19 LA Rank Progress 8 Progress 8 Rank Rank movement 1= Barnet 0.58 0.57 2 4= ↑ 1= Ealing 0.58 0.53 4= 6= ↑ 3 Merton 0.56 0.43 9= 1= ↑ 4 Redbridge 0.50 0.47 6= 6= ↑ 5 Westminster 0.48 0.47 6= 4= ↑ 6 Brent 0.47 0.54 3 1= ↓ 7 Kingston upon Thames 0.46 0.53 4= 6= ↓ 8 Rutland 0.44 0.44 9= 15= ↑ 9 Harrow 0.39 0.45 8 3 ↑ 10 Sutton 0.38 0.39 12 19 ↑ 11 Hounslow 0.37 0.43 10 10= ↓ 12 Kensington and Chelsea 0.33 0.14 30= 6 ↑ 13= Richmond upon Thames 0.30 0.14 30= 27= ↑ 39= Camden 0.09 0.07 44= 44= ↑ 2019 KS4 Provisional Basics Basics EBacc EBacc EBacc 5/+EM A8 P8 9-4 9-5 Entry 9-4 9-5 9-4 Acland Burghley 47.2 -0.08 66.2% 47.1% 51.5% 36.8% 26.5% 62.5% Hampstead School 44.6 -0.06 63.0% 31.5% 58.5% 24.0% 12.0% 57.0% Haverstock School 42.4 -0.09 58.8% 43.2% 24.1% 19.1% 14.1% 53.3% La Sainte Union 54.6 0.54 77.5% 53.2% 56.6% 32.9% 21.4% 76.3% Maria Fidelis 48.3 0.09 67.0% 45.2% 80.0% 40.9% 26.1% 60.9% Parliament Hill 58.6 0.77 76.0% 57.7% 57.7% 41.7% 32.6% 74.9% Regent High 42.1 -0.18 59.1% 40.3% 60.4% 20.1% 7.1% 52.6% The Camden School for Girls 63.4 0.74 88.8% 74.8% 60.7% 55.1% 40.2% 88.8% The UCL Academy 50.0 0.09 70.8% 46.8% 67.3% 33.3% 21.6% 67.3% William Ellis 46.2 -0.44 65.8% 41.4% 84.7% 39.6% 27.0% 58.6% Camden 48.5 0.09 67.4% 46.2% 56.8% 32.1% 21.2% 63.3% National (state funded) 46.7 -0.03 64.6% 43.2% 40.1% 24.9% 17.1% 60.0% 2019 KS4 – Benchmarking Data A8 P8 % EBacc Entry All Boys Girls Gap All Boys Girls Gap All Boys Girls Gap Camden 48.5 42.5 52.6 -10.1 0.09 -0.42 0.45 -0.87 56.8 52.8 59.7 -6.9 Inner London 48.3 45.5 51.1 -5.6 0.18 -0.08 0.43 -0.51 54.6 49.4 59.8 -10.4 National 46.7 44.0 49.4 -5.4 -0.03 -0.27 0.23 -0.50 40.1 34.4 46.0 -11.6 % EBacc 9-5 % EBacc 9-4 % Basics 9-5 All Boys Girls Gap All Boys Girls Gap All Boys Girls Gap Camden 21.2 16.3 24.6 -8.3 32.1 25.2 36.9 -11.7 46.2 40.7 50.1 -9.4 Inner London 21.9 17.6 26.0 -8.4 32.0 26.5 37.4 -10.9 45.6 42.5 48.5 -6.0 National 17.1 13.1 21.2 -8.1 24.9 19.6 30.4 -10.8 43.2 39.9 46.5 -6.6 % Basics 9-4 P8 English P8 Maths All Boys Girls Gap All Boys Girls Gap All Boys Girls Gap Camden 67.4 61.0 71.9 -10.9 0.30 -0.41 0.78 -1.19 0.01 -0.11 0.09 -0.20 Inner London 66.3 63.3 69.2 -5.9 0.31 -0.11 0.72 -0.83 0.07 0.07 0.08 -0.01 National 64.6 61.0 68.4 -7.4 -0.04 -0.45 0.39 -0.84 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0 2019 KS2-4 Transition Matrices 2019 KS2-4 Transition Matrices GCSE English grade 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 9-4 9-5 W 2% 0% 0% 2% 8% 14% 31% 28% 15% 26% 12% 1 0% 0% 1% 1% 4% 9% 28% 30% 26% 16% 6% 2 0% 0% 0% 1% 3% 8% 33% 36% 18% 13% 5% 3 0% 0% 0% 2% 7% 16% 43% 23% 8% 26% 10% 4 0% 1% 3% 10% 21% 25% 30% 8% 2% 60% 35% 5 5% 10% 15% 24% 22% 13% 8% 2% 0% 90% 76% No valid 3% 5% 8% 13% 17% 16% 23% 11% 5% 62% 46% KS2 level Total 3% 5% 9% 17% 20% 18% 20% 7% 2% 72% 54% 2019 KS2-4 Transition Matrices GCSE Maths grade 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 9-4 9-5 W 0% 5% 2% 5% 7% 8% 19% 41% 14% 27% 19% 1 0% 0% 2% 3% 2% 4% 11% 23% 55% 11% 7% 2 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 4% 9% 24% 60% 7% 3% 3 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 11% 25% 34% 27% 14% 3% 4 0% 1% 3% 6% 21% 34% 21% 11% 4% 64% 30% 5 8% 16% 19% 20% 21% 12% 2% 1% 0% 97% 84% No valid 5% 8% 9% 11% 16% 19% 13% 10% 8% 68% 49% KS2 level Total 4% 7% 10% 12% 19% 22% 13% 9% 5% 73% 51% KS2-4 Transition Matrices Published 30-Oct-19 • Ready reckoners to calculate progress scores for pupils & schools • KS2-4 TMs - subject grades by prior attainment by: • All • Gender • Disadvantaged/other • SEN/Non-SEN • EAL/Non-EAL KS2-4 Transition Matrices 426,084 EAL students! I don’t think so! KS2-4 Transition Matrices English Language GCSE Grade [number] Total 9-4 9-5 U 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 W 6 11 23 17 10 6 2 0 0 0 75 18 8 1 45 113 82 59 21 12 3 4 1 3 343 44 23 2 648 2,217 3,992 2,975 603 231 92 13 7 2 10,780 948 345 3c 284 985 2,410 2,823 674 236 52 6 2 0 7,472 970 296 3b 354 1,072 3,134 4,793 1,479 585 135 31 3 1 11,587 2,234 755 3a 402 1,306 4,033 8,852 3,779 1,677 501 97 29 4 20,680 6,087 2,308 4c 637 1,748 5,705 16,869 9,853 5,843 1,991 360 95 24 43,125 18,166 8,313 4b 819 1,905 6,433 24,288 20,040 15,836 6,972 1,859 532 107 78,791 45,346 25,306 4a 576 1,285 4,274 20,831 23,975 26,682 16,577 5,940 2,140 558 102,838 75,872 51,897 5c 280 601 1,892 11,226 18,325 28,475 25,649 12,625 6,021 2,047 107,141 93,142 74,817 5b 105 180 490 3,540 8,211 18,418 25,460 18,386 12,121 5,966 92,877 88,562 80,351 5a 7 3 31 191 559 2,048 4,603 5,382 5,295 4,443 22,562 22,330 21,771 Total 4,163 11,426 32,499 96,464 87,529 100,049 82,037 44,703 26,246 13,155 498,271 353,719 266,190 KS2-4 Transition Matrices English Language GCSE Grade [number] Total 9-4 9-5 U 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 W 6 11 23 17 10 6 2 0 0 0 75 18 8 1 45 113 82 59 21 12 3 4 1 3 343 44 23 2 648 2,217 3,992 2,975 603 231 92 13 7 2 10,780 948 345 3c 284 985 2,410 2,823 674 236 52 6 2 0 7,472 970 296 3b 354 1,072 3,134 4,793 1,479 585 135 31 3 1 11,587 2,234 755 3a 402 1,306 4,033 8,852 3,779 1,677 501 97 29 4 20,680 6,087 2,308 4c 637 1,748 5,705 16,869 9,853 5,843 1,991 360 95 24 43,125 18,166 8,313 4b 819 1,905 6,433 24,288 20,040 15,836 6,972 1,859 532 107 78,791 45,346 25,306 4a 576 1,285 4,274 20,831 23,975 26,682 16,577 5,940 2,140 558 102,838 75,872 51,897 5c 280 601 1,892 11,226 18,325 28,475 25,649 12,625 6,021 2,047 107,141 93,142 74,817 5b 105 180 490 3,540 8,211 18,418 25,460 18,386 12,121 5,966 92,877 88,562 80,351 5a 7 3 31 191 559 2,048 4,603 5,382 5,295 4,443 22,562 22,330 21,771 Total 4,163 11,426 32,499 96,464 87,529 100,049 82,037 44,703 26,246 13,155 498,271 353,719 266,190 KS2-4 Transition Matrices English Language GCSE Grade [number] Total 9-4 9-5 U 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 W 8 15 31 23 13 8 3 0 0 0 100 24 11 1 13 33 24 17 6 3 1 1 0 1 100 13 7 2 6 21 37 28 6 2 1 0 0 0 100 9 3 3c 4 13 32 38 9 3 1 0 0 0 100 13 4 3b 3 9 27 41 13 5 1 0 0 0 100 19 7 3a 2 6 20 43 18 8 2 0 0 0 100 29 11 4c 1 4 13 39 23 14 5 1 0 0 100 4242 1919 4b 1 2 8 31 25 20 9 2 1 0 100 5858 3232 4a 1 1 4 20 23 26 16 6 2 1 100 7474 5050 5c 0 1 2 10 17 27 24 12 6 2 100 8787 7070 5b 0 0 1 4 9 20 27 20 13 6 100 9595 8787 5a 0 0 0 1 2 9 20 24 23 20 100 9999 9696 Total 1% 2% 7% 19% 18% 20% 16% 9% 5% 3% 100% 71% 53% Transition Matrices [Boys] English Language GCSE Grade [%] Total 9-4 9-5 U 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 W 9 20 40 18 9 2 2 0 0 0 100 13.3 4.4 1 16 35 25 13 5 3 1 1 1 1 100 10.8 5.9 2 8 24 37 24 5 2 1 0 0 0 100 7.4 2.5 3c 5 17 35 32 7 3 1 0 0 0 100 10.1 3.2 3b 5 13 32 37 9 3 1 0 0 0 100 13.3 4.0 3a 3 9 25 42 14 5 1 0 0 0 100 20.7 7.1 4c 2 6 18 42 19 9 3 0 0 0 100 31.1 12.3 4b 2 4 12 37 24 15 5 1 0 0 100 45.9 22.1 4a 1 2 6 27 25 23 11 3 1 0 100 63.5 38.0 5c 0 1 3 16 22 27 20 8 3 1 100 80.2 58.6 5b 0 0 1 6 12 24 27 17 9 4 100 92.8 80.6 5a 0 0 0 1 4 12 24 24 20 14 100 98.4 94.6 Total 1.3% 3.4% 8.8% 23.1% 18.6% 19.0% 14.0% 6.8% 3.6% 1.6% 100% 65% 46% Transition Matrices [Girls] English Language GCSE Grade [%] Total 9-4 9-5 U 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 W 7 7 17 30 20 17 3 0 0 0 100 40.0 20.0 1 10 30 23 22 8 4 1 1 0 1 100 15.3 7.6 2 4 16 38 32 7 3 1 0 0 0 100 10.7 4.1 3c 2 8 29 45 12 4 1 0 0 0 100 16.5 4.8 3b 1 5 21 46 17 7 2 0 0 0 100 26.1 9.4 3a 1 3 14 44 23 11 3 1 0 0 100 38.3 15.3 4c 1 2 8 36 27 18 7 1 0 0 100 53.2 26.3 4b 0 1 5 25 27 25 12 4 1 0 100 69.1 42.0 4a 0 1 2 14 21 29 21 8 3 1 100 83.7 62.5 5c 0 0 1 5 13 26 28 16 8 3 100 93.7 81.1 5b 0 0 0 2 5 16 27 23 17 9 100 98.1 92.9 5a 0 0 0 0 1 6 16 24 27 25 100 99.6 98.4 Total 0.3% 1.2% 4.2% 15.6% 16.5% 21.2% 19.0% 11.2% 7.0% 3.7% 100% 79% 62% Transition Matrices [Disadv] English Language GCSE Grade [%] Total 9-4 9-5 U 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 W 8 18 32 24 13 3 3 0 0 0 100 18.4 5.3 1 15 37 24 16 4 2 1 1 1 0 100 8.4 3.9 2 8 24 37 25 4 1 0 0 0 0 100 6.3 2.1 3c 5 16 35 34 7 2 0 0 0 0 100 9.7 2.9 3b 4 11 30 39 10 4 1 0 0 0 100 15.0 5.1 3a 3 9 24 41 15 6 2 0 0 0 100 22.9 8.1 4c 2 6 18 40 19 10 3 1 0 0 100 33.8 14.5 4b 2 4 12 34 23 16 6 2 0 0 100 47.7 25.0 4a 1 3 7 26 23 22 13 4 2 0 100 63.7 40.7 5c 1 1 4 15 19 25 19 9 4 1 100 79.0 59.5 5b 0 1 1 8 12 22 25 16 10 4 100 89.8 77.6 5a 0 0 0 2 5 13 22 22 20 15 100 96.8 91.6 Total 1.9% 5.0% 12.1% 26.7% 18.2% 16.8% 10.9% 4.8% 2.6% 1.0% 100% 54% 36% Transition Matrices [Other] English Language GCSE Grade [%] Total 9-4 9-5 U 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 W 8 11 30 22 14 14 3 0 0 0 100 29.7 16.2 1 11 29 24 19 8 5 1 1 0 2 100 17.6 9.7 2 4 17 37 30 7 3 1 0 0 0 100 11.3 4.3 3c 3 11 30 41 11 4 1 0 0 0 100 15.8 4.9 3b 2 8 25 43 15 6 1 0 0 0 100 22.7 7.7 3a 1 5 16 44 21 9 3 1 0 0 100 33.7 13.1 4c 1 3 11 39 25 15 5 1 0 0 100 46.9 22.0 4b 1 2 6 29 27 22 10 3 1 0 100 62.2 35.5 4a 0 1 3 18 23 27 17 6 2 1 100 77.4 54.0 5c 0 0 1 9 16 27 25 13 6 2 100 89.0 72.5 5b 0 0 0 3 8 19 28 20 14 7 100 96.3 88.0 5a 0 0 0 1 2 9 20 24 24 20 100 99.2 96.9 Total 0.5% 1.4% 4.6% 16.8% 17.4% 21.2% 18.4% 10.4% 6.2% 3.2% 100% 77% 59% Transition Matrices [SEN] English Language GCSE Grade [%] Total 9-4 9-5 U 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 W 7 31 31 17 3 7 3 0 0