WOODROW WILSON CENTER UPDATE ON THE AMERICAS NO. 2 AUGUST 2008 Bolivia: Social Movements, Populism, and Democracy Brooke Larson, Raúl Madrid, René Antonio Mayorga, and Jessica Varat INTRODUCTION by Jessica Varat Since Evo Morales’ inauguration as president of itarian institution-building in Bolivia, principally Bolivia in January 2006, sharp debates have erupted indigenous peasants and workers. MAS supporters within the country and abroad regarding the role in viewed the assembly as a revolutionary foundational politics of the country’s social movements; the reviv- moment for Bolivia, which offered the chance to al of populist forms of governance and their compat- take up such long-standing issues as land reform, the ibility with the institutions of liberal democracy; the nationalization of the hydrocarbons sector, and the resurgence of resource nationalism, this time in the implementation of a regional governance structure natural gas sector; and Bolivia’s foreign relations, par- composed of indigenous autonomies. However, the ticularly the country’s relationship with Venezuela. MAS has not commanded the majority it needed This publication offers multiple perspectives on to pass articles which would institutionalize these political conflict in the country and its implication sweeping reforms; in the meantime, various social for Bolivian democracy. The contributors, drawn groups within the MAS have pressured the govern- from multiple disciplines, reflect the stark divisions ment to quickly carry out its original mandate. that have emerged during Morales’s first two years Representatives of the MAS and of the opposi- in office. Nonetheless, certain areas of convergence tion parties in the assembly negotiated how new arti- emerge: namely, that the current administration has cles, and the constitution itself, would be approved. had great difficulty effectively governing an increas- Attempts were made outside of the Constituent ingly fragmented and volatile political situation in Assembly to broker agreements on the most con- the country. flictive issues, including regional and departmental The Morales administration has presided over autonomies. Yet these efforts were overwhelmed by a period of growing polarization in Bolivia against a fiery national debate over whether the political a backdrop of racial and economic inequality that capital of the country, La Paz, should be transferred has haunted the country for centuries. Morales’ to the judicial capital, Sucre. Tensions came to a Democratic Governance and the ‘New Left’ supporters have united around the convening of a head in November of 2007, when members of the Constituent Assembly to rewrite the country’s consti- Constituent Assembly approved the MAS-backed tution; indeed, the first measure of the Moviemiento constitution in the absence of almost all opposition al Socialismo (MAS)-led government upon taking delegates, many of whom had not been present in the office was to fulfill a pre-election promise by con- Oruro meeting where debates were taking place.1 vening the Assembly. Many participants were to While the constitution holds no legal weight represent sectors of the population that had previ- until it is submitted to national referendum, the ously been excluded from the process of post-author- actions of the MAS enraged opposition forces which LATIN AMERICAN PROGRAM Jessica Varat is Program Associate for the Latin American Program. She would like to thank Cynthia J. Arnson, Director of the Latin American Program and LAP interns Sheree Adams, Angela Granum, Smith Monson, and Marisha Peña for their assistance in editing this document. WOODROW WILSON CENTER UPDATE ON THE AMERICAS include both members of the political party PODEMOS, head of a government. Finally, Brooke Larson of the State and political and civic leaders from the country’s media University of New York, Stony Brook, charts the histori- luna region.2 The backlash came in the form of a statute cal participation of indigenous groups in Bolivian poli- of autonomy proposed by the department of Santa Cruz; tics and society and questions to what degree the current voters there approved the referendum on May 4, 2008, administration will be able to address the inequalities that followed a few weeks later by similar votes in the provinc- plague the country. es of Beni and Pando. The MAS-led government declared the autonomy votes illegal but now finds itself in a tenu- ous position: on August 10th, Bolivians will return to the The Indigenous Movement and ballot box to vote on whether or not to recall President Democracy in Bolivia Morales, Vice-President Álvaro Garcia-Linera, and the nine departmental prefects from office. In order to main- Raúl Madrid tain their current posts, the officials must win with the University of Texas-Austin same percentage of votes—with at least the same voter turnout as in the 2005 elections—that originally brought The emergence of indigenous parties in the Andes, par- 2 them to office.3 ticularly the Movimiento al Socialismo (MAS) in Boliva, In the meantime, violent manifestations of ethnic, has had a mixed impact on democracy. Latin America has social, and political tensions have become even more not traditionally had major ethnic parties. This phenom- frequent. Recent instances of race-based violence against enon changed with the rise of the MAS in Bolivia, and the indigenous members of the MAS and continued street emergence of Pachakutic in Ecuador. Existing literature clashes between supporters and opponents of the govern- suggests that the development of ethnic parties would ment have raised questions about the country’s long-term have a negative impact on democracy, primarily because stability, the viability of the Morales government, and the they would focus exclusively on mobilizing members of future of democratic governance.4 their own ethnic group. The assumption is that the party The authors of this publication reflect on the cir- cannot win votes from members of other ethnic groups, cumstances which have brought Bolivia to this point. therefore they mobilize their own ethnic group through Raúl Madrid of the University of Texas-Austin exam- exclusionary appeals and by demonizing other groups. ines the 2005 election of Evo Morales through the lens This is not going to take place in Latin America; the of ethnic politics and discusses the ways these elec- fluidity of ethnic boundaries in the region makes it much tions signified a rupture from past electoral processes. more feasible for these ethno-populist parties to win votes René Antonio Mayorga, Centro Boliviano de Estudios from members of diverse ethnic groups. In fact, most Multidisciplinarios (CEBEM), examines the populist people in Bolivia will identify both as indigenous and dilemmas facing the MAS as it confronts its dual iden- mestizo, depending on the circumstances. While it has tity as both a social movement and political party at the not led to exclusionary ethnic politics, the rise of MAS THE LATIN AMERICAN PROGRAM serves as a bridge between the United States and Latin America, encouraging a free flow of information and dialogue between the two regions. The Program also provides a nonpartisan forum for discussing Latin American and Caribbean issues in Washington, D.C., and for bringing these issues to the attention of opinion leaders and policy makers throughout the Western hemisphere. The Program sponsors major initiatives on Democratic Governance, Citizen Security, Comparative Peace Processes, Creating Community in the Americas, U.S.-Brazilian relations and U.S.-Mexican relations. The Latin American Program’s Project on Democratic Governance and the ‘New Left’ in Latin America explores po- litical trends and policy outcomes in eight countries: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Ecuador, Nicaragua, Uruguay, and Venezuela. The Project aims to understand how or why left governments have come to power at this moment in the region’s history, and to assess the implications for democratic governance of specific public policies in such areas as social welfare, political inclusion, citizen participation, accountability, and human rights. WOODROW WIlsON INTERNATIONAL CENTER FOR SCHOLARS One Woodrow Wilson Plaza, 1300 Pennsylvania Avenue, NW, Washington, DC 20004-3027 tel. (202) 691-4000, fax (202) 691-4001 www.wilsoncenter.org/lap BOLIVIA: SOCIAL MOVEMENTS, POPULISM, AND DemocracY Party System Fragmentation Support for the MAS may prove more The degree of party system fragmentation in Bolivia has stable than for other parties because of traditionally been one of the highest in Latin America. its foundation of identity-based ties, This makes it difficult for the president to garner sup- port from the range of different parties needed to pass which do not change from election to legislation. As a result, the tradition of “pacted democ- election. racy” emerged in Bolivia, in which pacts were formed between different political parties to facilitate the politi- cal process. has impacted several facets of Bolivian democracy: politi- cal participation, party system fragmentation, electoral Effective Number of Parties in Bolivian volatility, satisfaction with democracy, and democratic Elections, 1985–2006 governance. 6 Majority Indigenous Voter Turnout 5 Provinces 3 Voter turnout in Bolivia after the transition to democra- 4 Minority cy, as in most Latin American countries, started out quite Indigenous Provinces high. People were excited about the return to democracy, 3 but shortly thereafter, turnout began to fall. Throughout