SPECIAL REPORT THE NEWS INDUSTRY July 9th 2011
SRNEWS.indd 1 27/06/2011 10:58 SPECIAL REPORT THE NEWS INDUSTRY
Bulletins from the future
The internet has turned the news industry upside down, making it more participatory, social, diverse and partisan as it used to be before the arrival of the mass media, says Tom Standage EVEN IF YOU are not a news junkie, you will have noticed that your daily CONTENTS news has undergone a transformation. Television newscasts now in- clude amateur videos, taken from video-sharing websites such as You- 3 How newspapers are faring Tube, covering events like the Arab spring or the Japanese tsunami. Such A little local di culty videos, with their shaky cameras and people’s unguarded reactions, 5 Making news pay have much greater immediacy than professional footage. Messages post- Reinventing the ed on Twitter, the microblogging service, have been woven into coverage newspaper of these events and many others. You have these really intimate man-in- the-street accounts, and you can craft a narrative around them, says Jack 7 Social media Dorsey, co-founder of Twitter. A computer consultant in Pakistan unwit- The people formerly known tingly described the raid on Osama bin Laden’s compound in a series of as the audience tweets. The terrorist attacks in Mumbai in 2008, too, were reported on 10 WikiLeaks and other Twitter in real time by people who were there. newcomers The past year has also seen the rise to fame of WikiLeaks, an organi- Julian Assange and sation that publishes leaked documents supplied to it anonymously. Wi- the new wave kiLeaks and its media partners have published detailed records of the Af- ghan and Iraq wars, hundreds of classi ed American diplomatic cables 12 Impartiality and records from the Guantánamo Bay detention centre. We believe The Foxi cation of news that true information does good, says Julian Assange, WikiLeaks’ foun- 14 The end of mass media der. Our goal is not just to have people reading documents, but to Coming full circle achieve political reforms through the release of information. In January this year Al Jazeera, a news organisation based in Qatar, published its own cache of leaked documents, known as the Palestine Papers, which lifted the lid on more than a decade of Israeli-Palestinian ACKNOWLEDGMENTS negotiations. And by broadcasting amateur videos of the Tunisian upris- In addition to those quoted in the ing to its millions of satellite viewers across the Arab world, the channel text, the author would like to thank played an active role in spreading the protests across the region. Among A list of sources is at the following for their generous help: television news organisations it has led the way in integrating social me- Economist.com/specialreports Annelies Van Den Belt, Harry Evans, dia (such as tweets, Facebook posts and amateur online video) into its op- Alex Gubbay, Richard Gutjahr, An audio interview with Abhishek Kumar, Justin Osofsky, Meg erations in order to engage with its increasingly wired audience. The the author is at Pickard, Martin Raymond and way we operate has changed because the landscape has changed dra- Economist.com/audiovideo/ Geo rey Sands. matically, says Moeed Ahmad, the rm’s head of new media. 1 specialreports
The Economist July 9th 2011 1 2 2 By country % ofpopulation,Q22011 penetration Social-media 2005-09, %change Average circulation Selected countries 2009, m Circulation % ofrespondents: international issues, their newsaboutnationaland Where Americansgetmostof News sources Average circulation,2005-09,%change Paid-for dailynewspapers the news Reading < -15 by volunteering infor as sources for agrowing num participatory and disrupted thi business. That something is, ofcourse, theinternet, which has cially, but it has stimulated innovation injournalism. der way. The internet may have hurt somenewspapers nan- terns ofnews consumption shift, much experimentation is un- ways ofdoingthi pers’ traditional distinct news org commodity and blurring theboundaries between previously By undermining advertising revenue, making news reports a Twitter Facebook Internet Newspaper For consumers, theinternet has made thenews afar more Reporters all Clearly something dramatic has happened to thenews -15 0 to change H ESINDUSTRY NEWS THE No SPECIAL REPORT s indus Radio Television 15 business WORLD ngs, ithasal anisations, the 517 social experience. Non-journ try just as ithasdisru try justas > 150 to mation directly orby 25 50 010 30 50 70 910 09 08 07 06 05 04 03 02 2001 0 data model. 0 No so madenew onesp ber ofnews org Britain -15.9 internet has 14.0 But aswell as AMERICA NORTH -11 United States pted somany others. -13.3 46.3 postin upended newspa- AMERICA anisations, either SOUTH demolishin alists -5 ossible. As g c Germany -8.3 19.7 omments, are acting g old pat- EUROPE France -5.7 -8 7.3 25 75 0 50 100 AFRICA news ecosystem, news with social media. Hu ngton Post, anews w tionship with news, says Arianna Hu ngton, co-founder ofthe news, they share it, develop it, add to it it’s avery dynamic rela- sources, participants anddistr being woven into theincreasingly complex news ecosystem as growing source oftra c for many networks. Referrals from social networks are now thefastest- cause a oodoftra c asrecomme share storieswiththeirf new kinds of crowdsourced journalism. Readers can also nisations have enlisted bene ts, ists pictures orvideo +30 initially saw Japan As well as making Twitter, Facebook and Google part of the -4.2 50.4 2008, %oftotal daily-newspaper revenues, Contribution topaid-for Newspaper revenues though notwi Australia Advertising Circulation -3.8 2.5 this asathreat that can be pi the internethas +13 OCEANIA thout much heart-searching. Someorga- volunteers to gather orsift data, creating ASIA -6 Africa South riends, ebsite 1.6 6.1 ibutor cked upandre but are coming toapprec United States andthem in thevanguard alsomadep Britain ndations ripple across social news w China 109.0 s. They don’t 10.4 na The Economist WORLD ebsites. Readers are ost popularstories published. Journal- Brazil +6 20.7 Germany 8.2 Japan ossible of integr just consume uy9h2011 9th July entirely India 109.9 39.7 iate its
ating Sources: comScore; OECD; Pew Research Centre; socialbakers.com; UN; World Association of Newspapers; The Economist 1 SPECIAL REPORT THE NEWS INDUSTRY
2 new kinds of specialist news organisations. It has allowed Wiki- of their total revenue, more than any other country surveyed. Leaks, for example, to accept documents anonymously and pub- The 2008-09 recession made things worse. Between 2007 and lish them to a global audience, while oating in cyberspace 2009 newspaper revenues in France fell by 4%, in Germany by above national jurisdictions, operated by a small, nomadic 10% and in Britain by 21%. In America they plummeted by 30%. team. Other newcomers include a host of not-for-pro t news or- On top of that, a series of mergers and acquisitions in the Ameri- ganisations that rely on philanthropic funding and specialise in can newspaper business left many companies saddled with particular kinds of journalism. Many of these new out ts collab- huge debts and pushed several into bankruptcy. orate with traditional news organisations, taking advantage of For American regional and metro-area newspapers, further their broad reach and trusted, established brands. job cuts, closures and consolidation now seem likely. In retro- All these new inhabitants of the news ecosystem have spect it is clear that the industry became too dependent on local brought an unprecedented breadth and diversity of news and advertising monopolies. The real trouble that a lot of US news opinion to the business. This has cast new light on a long-run- organisations have is that they are de ned by geography by ning debate about the politics of journalism: when there are so how far trucks could go to deliver papers in the morning, says many sources, does political objectivity become less important? Joshua Benton, head of the Nieman Journalism Lab at Harvard This special report will consider all these trends in turn, University. The internet has undermined that business model by starting with a look at the state of the industry and the new busi- providing alternatives for both advertisers and readers. ness models that are emerging. It will argue that as news be- The health of newspapers is particularly important be- comes more social, participatory, diverse and partisan, it is in cause they tend to set the agenda for other news media and em- many ways returning to the more chaotic, freewheeling and po- ploy the most journalists. In America, for example, the national litically charged environment of the era before the emergence of television networks had around 500 journalists on their sta in mass media in the 19th century. And although the internet has 2009, compared with more than 40,000 for daily newspapers proved hugely disruptive to journalists, for consumers who (down from 56,000 in 2001). But it would be wrong to conclude now have a wider choice than ever of news sources and ways of from the woes of American newspapers that newspapers and accessing them it has proved an almost unquali ed blessing. 7 news are in crisis everywhere. The United States is the worst case that we see worldwide, and a lot of media news comes out of the US, so it is exceedingly negative. But the US experience is not being replicated else- How newspapers are faring where, says Larry Kilman, deputy head of the World Associa- tion of Newspapers (WAN), an industry body. There’s an as- A little local di culty sumption that there’s a single crisis a ecting all news organisations, and that’s not the case, says David Levy, director of the Reuters Institute for the Study of Journalism at Oxford University. There are di erent kinds of crisis in di erent coun- tries, and some countries in the developing world are experienc- American newspapers are in trouble, but in emerging ing expansion rather than decline. Newspapers in western Europe are having to manage markets the news industry is roaring ahead long-term decline rather than short-term pain. In Germany, the WHO KILLED THE newspaper? That was the question biggest market, a 10% drop in revenue amid the worst recession posed on the cover of The Economist in 2006. It was, perhaps, in a generation is not a terrible result , says Rasmus Kleis Niel- a little premature. But there is no doubt that newspapers in many sen, a colleague of Mr Levy’s at the Reuters Institute and co-au- parts of the world are having a hard time. In America, where they thor with him of a recent book, The Changing Business of Jour- are in the deepest trouble, the person often blamed is Craig New- nalism and its Implications for Democracy . That does not mean mark, the founder of Craigslist, a network of classi ed-advertising the German industry is immune to long-term changes. But websites that is mostly free to use. Mr Newmark has been called a broadly speaking, the German industry has a large and loyal au- newspaper killer and the exploder of journalism , among oth- dience, strong brands and editorial resources to manage that er things. The popularity of Craigslist, the ninth most popular transition, says Mr Nielsen. Many European newspapers are website in America, has contributed to a sharp decline in newspa- family-owned, which helps to protect them in di cult times. 1 pers’ classi ed-advertising revenue (see chart 1) a business where many newspapers have had comfortable local monopolies for decades. Sitting in a café in San Francisco, Mr Newmark looks an Fun while it lasted 1 unlikely assassin. Did he kill newspapers? That would be a con- US newspaper advertising revenue, 2010 prices, $bn siderable exaggeration, he says with a smile. The internet-driven fall in classi ed-ad revenue is only one 40 of the reasons for the decline of newspapers in America, which Classified started decades ago (see chart 2, next page). The advent of televi- Local 30 sion news, and then cable television, lured readers and advertis- National ers away. Then the internet appeared in the 1990s. A new gener- Online ation of readers grew up getting their news from television and 20 the web, now the two leading news sources in America (the web overtook newspapers in 2010 and is already the most popular source among the under-30s). 10 These technological shifts hit American newspapers par- ticularly hard because of their heavy reliance on advertising. Ac- 0 cording to the OECD, a club of developed countries, in 2008 1980 85 90 95 2000 05 10 America’s newspapers collectively relied on advertising for 87% Sources: Newspaper Association of America; Thomson Datastream; The Economist
The Economist July 9th 2011 3 SPECIAL REPORT THE NEWS INDUSTRY
2 In Japan, home to the world’s three biggest-selling daily newspapers (the Yomiuri Shimbun alone has a circulation of more than 10m), circulation has held up well, in part because over 94% of newspapers are sold by subscription. But there is trouble on the horizon. Young Japanese do not share their elders’ enthusiasm for newsprint, and advertising revenues are drop- ping as the population ages. The number of newspaper titles in Russia increased by 9% in 2009, but it might be no bad thing if a few newspapers died, particularly those useless titles that are merely mouthpieces for the local authorities that fund them, says Elena Vartanova, dean of the journalism school at Moscow State University. The Kremlin controls 60% of Russia’s newspapers and owns stakes in all six national television stations. In a country where newspa- pers were traditionally used as propaganda tools, online news sites o er an opportunity to break with the past. But there is a clear divide between the internet-savvy youth, who get their news online, and the old and rural populations, who depend on state-run television. Hungry for news There is certainly no sign of a news crisis in India, now the world’s fastest-growing newspaper market. Between 2005 and 2009 the number of paid-for daily newspapers in the country in- creased by 44% to 2,700 and the total number of newspapers rose by 23% to more than 74,000, according to the WAN. In 2008 India overtook China to become the leader in paid-for daily cir- culation, with 110m copies sold each day. Newspaper and maga- zine advertising expenditure increased by 32% in the year to June 2010, according to Nielsen India, a market-research rm. Television news is also booming: of more than 500 satellite channels that have been launched in India in the past 20 years, 81 are news channels. The eld is dominated by private rms with interests in both news and entertainment media, so the empha- sis is on sensationalist, Bollywoodised coverage of celebrities, in the 1990s. The combination of social change, increasingly sav- says Daya Thussu at the University of Westminster in London. vy readers, a booming advertising market and the need to recon- Most news outlets are openly partisan. Thanks to India’s vast cile credibility among readers with state controls has created a population, there is scope for growth in print media for years to very confusing environment, says David Bandurski at the Uni- come. Indian publishers come to newspaper conferences and versity of Hong Kong. Media rms must dance skilfully be- complain that it’s too focused on digital, not enough on print, tween the party line and the bottom line , in the memorable says Mr Kilman. But Mr Levy wonders whether the greater inter- phrase of Zhao Yuezhi, an analyst of the Chinese media scene. est in news in fast-growing India and Brazil will prove to be a O cially the state permits watchdog journalism, known as short-term phenomenon that will be undermined by the spread supervision by public opinion , but in practice news outlets are of internet access. wary of o ending local party o cials. One way around this China is another market where news media are growing used to be for reporters to expose wrongdoing in other prov- rapidly, but the strict controls on them have intensi ed in recent inces, but a ban on cross-regional reporting put an end to that. months. A private media industry was allowed to develop only Journalists must identify areas where muckraking will be per- mitted by o cials, or ensure that their own political connections will provide them with su cient cover. A monopoly in decline 2 A new tactic, which became particularly popular in China Date of US paid-for newspaper circulation, per 1,000 population introduction during 2010, is the use of microblogging services to release infor- mation anonymously in small chunks, notes Ying Chan, dean of 24-HOUR INTERNET the journalism school at Shantou University in China. Twitter is RADIO NEWS TV NEWS CABLE NEWS NEWS 600 banned in China, so this is done using local clones of the service. Microblogging works well in China because it can be done on 500 mobile phones, which are widespread, and Chinese characters 400 allow an entire paragraph to be packed into a short message. Moreover, microblog posts are di cult to censor because they 300 may not make sense unless they are all read in order. 200 Ms Chan describes the future for Chinese journalists as both promising and perilous . Journalists elsewhere would 100 agree, though for di erent reasons. Like Tolstoy’s unhappy fam- 0 ilies, all unhappy in their own way, the news business faces dif- 190010 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 902000 10 ferent problems in di erent countries. To survive, news organisa- Source: Robert Picard, Reuters Institute, University of Oxford tions will have to make the internet part of the solution. 7
4 The Economist July 9th 2011 SPECIAL REPORT THE NEWS INDUSTRY
Making news pay available free online, news providers are starting to restrict ac- cess to some or all of it to paying subscribers. The Times and Sun- day Times of London, owned by Rupert Murdoch’s News Corpo- Reinventing the ration, put up a paywall around their websites in July 2010. Other papers have since followed, including the Dallas Morning newspaper News and, most prominently, the New York Times. A decade ago the idea of a paywall appeared to have been widely discredited. Only specialist providers of business news New business models are proliferating as news such as the Wall Street Journal and the Financial Times seemed able to get people (or, more usually, people’s employers) to pay organisations search for novel sources of revenue for news online. Most readers were unwilling to pay for general ON THE MORNING of September 3rd 1833 a new kind of news, and after experimenting for a while many news sites newspaper went on sale on the streets of New York. With made some or all of their content available without restriction to its mix of crime reports and human-interest stories, the Sun was attract as many visitors and advertisers as possible. intended to appeal to a mass audience, and its publisher, Benja- The trouble is that online advertising typically brings in min Day, made it cheap: at one penny, it was one-sixth of the less than 20% of a newspaper’s advertising revenue, and rates on price of most other papers. The most popular newspaper in all but the most prominent pages are falling. There are billions of America at the time, according to Mitchell Stephens, author of pages on the internet, so the value of an individual page is lower A History of News , was New York’s Courier and Enquirer, than that of a printed page. And now that advertisers can mea- which sold 4,500 copies a day. Day’s new penny paper ap- sure the e ectiveness of advertisements, they may have realised pealed to people who had not bought newspapers before. With- they were paying too much. Optimists (such as executives at in two years the Sun was selling 15,000 copies a day. Google, which dominates online advertising) insist that internet In hindsight this was a turning point because it introduced advertising will become more valuable as it becomes more tar- a new business model to the industry. The Sun’s large circulation attracted advertis- News providers throughout the rich world are starting to ers, and the resulting revenue enabled Day to keep the price of the newspaper charge for content on the web and mobile devices down and its circulation up. Instead of re- lying mostly on selling copies, newspapers came to depend geted, which will drive up prices. Revenue from online advertis- mostly on advertising. It was a great deal for all concerned: read- ing is growing, but not fast enough to ll the gap opened up by ers got their news cheap, advertisers could reach a large audience the decline in revenue from print advertising and circulation. easily and newspapers could a ord to employ professional re- Gregor Waller, a former head of strategy at Axel Springer, a big porters instead of relying on amateurs. European newspaper publisher, estimates that by 2020 newspa- This model worked well for a long time. But it has come un- per circulation will have fallen by 50%, classi ed advertising rev- stuck in the internet era as readers have shifted their attention to enue by 90% and display advertising revenue by 30%. other media, quickly followed by advertisers. The audience is Hence the paywalls, which come in many forms. They can bigger than ever, if you include all platforms, says Larry Kilman be watertight, like that at the London Times, but increasingly of the World Association of Newspapers. It’s not an audience they are porous, letting publishers charge for access to content problem it’s a revenue problem. News providers throughout while also admitting casual visitors and allowing sharing. The the rich world are urgently casting around for new models. They Wall Street Journal, for example, puts much of its business and - are starting to charge for content on the web and mobile devices, nance coverage behind a paywall but allows unrestricted access as well as pursuing non-traditional sources of revenue such as to other, less specialist stories. Another option is the metered wine clubs or dating services. Some are being supported by phi- paywall , pioneered by the Financial Times, which lets visitors to lanthropy. Nobody yet knows which, if any, of these models will its site read ten stories a month before asking them to pay. (The Fi- work, but it is clear that revenue from online advertising alone nancial Times is owned by Pearson, which also owns half of The will not be enough to cover the costs of running a traditional Economist.) At the New York Times, which has the world’s most news organisation. Government funding is also o the table as popular newspaper website, visitors can read 20 stories a month rich countries struggle to reduce their debts. In America any talk before being invited to sub- of government support for the country’s ailing newspapers end- scribe. Metered paywalls are ed when the Republicans retook control of the House in 2010. Infrequent visitors 3 also being tested at the Berliner Subsidies would anyway merely postpone the inevitable. Morgenpost and Hamburger Average visits per user per month to Constant upheaval is part and parcel of capitalism’s cre- 25 most popular US news websites Abendblatt in Germany. ative destruction, but those in the business argue that news is a Average of March, June & September 2010 The beauty of the metered special case. It may be a business, but it also plays an important paywall model (which The part in a democracy: holding those in power to account, giving 1 Economist has adopted) is that (63.7) voters the information they need to make choices and making frequent users can be asked to markets more e cient. To be sure, not all journalism has a civic pay for access without putting function, and the media’s ability to expose wrongdoing is easily Number o a lot of more casual users (% of total) overstated. People want you to think that newspapering is who attract advertisers. Most ‘everyone is working on the next Watergate’, says Clay Shirky, a news sites have a small core au- media guru at New York University. Most of the time it is not. But dience of frequent visitors and such accountability journalism has always been subsidised by a much larger group of readers other activities. So nding a new model to support journalism is 2 3-6 7-9 10+ who visit only occasionally in the interest of society as a whole. (13.3) (13.5) (3.0) (6.5) (see chart 3). Some frequent us- One answer is to erect paywalls. Having long made content Source: Pew Research Centre, Nielsen ers will jib at a paywall, but 1
The Economist July 9th 2011 5 SPECIAL REPORT THE NEWS INDUSTRY
2 some will fork out. Other newspapers are watching us and hop- share of advertising revenue. Moreover, papers may be able to ing that it works, says Martin Nisenholtz, head of digital opera- publish less frequently in print and yet retain most of their print tions at the New York Times. Since it put up its paywall, visits to advertising. When Detroit’s papers switched to publishing three the paper’s site have dropped by about 10% and page views by or four days a week to cut costs during the recession (while pub- about 20%. But more people than expected are signing up. lishing continuously online), they retained 93% of their print-ad Another new source of digital revenue is charging for con- revenue. A typical metro-area newspaper gets about 35% of its tent on mobile devices such as smartphones and tablet comput- weekly print-ad revenue from the Sunday edition, says Mr Doc- ers, but this market is still in its infancy. Of the 17m tablet comput- tor. So newspapers might in time move to Sunday-only printing ers sold in 2010, says Mr Kilman, 15m were Apple iPads