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Forecasting Tourists Arrivals at Chinhoyi Caves Recreational Park in Zimbabwe Using SARIMA Model
International Tourism and Hospitality Journal 1(2): 1-10 (2018) Print ISSN: 2616-518X Online ISSN: 2616-4701 RPA ITHJ Journals International Tourism and Hospitality Journal Journal Homepage: https://rpajournals.com/ithj Forecasting Tourists Arrivals at Chinhoyi Caves Recreational Park in Zimbabwe Using SARIMA Model Tendai Makoni*1, Delson Chikobvu2 Bongani Maphosa3 Great Zimbabwe University, Zimbabwe1,3 University of the Free State, South Africa2 Abstract Forecasting tourist arrivals and volatility for Chinhoyi Caves Recreational Parks using SARIMA-GARCH models are vital for decision and planning purposes. The monthly data from the Zimbabwe Parks and Wildlife Management Authority (ZIMPARKS) for the period January 2010 to December 2016 was used. The time series plot indicated mixed fluctuations in tourist arrivals and exhibited seasonality. The series became stationary after a logarithmic transformation and a seasonal difference. The Akaike Information Criteria (AIC) and the Bayesian Information Criterion was used in selecting the best model and a SARIMA(1,0,1)(1,1,0)12 model fitted well to the data. The residuals of the model confirmed to all tests. Accuracy measures like the mean absolute error (MAE) and the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) supported the model and an out of sample for the next 24 months (2017 to 2018) were done. From the forecasts, an increase in tourist arrivals was noted. The results imply the need for enough accommodation facilities in and around the recreational centre. Keywords: Tourist arrivals, ARIMA models, SARIMA models, time series plot 1 *Corresponding author: Tendai Makoni ; Email: [email protected] Submission Date: 9 June 2018 Acceptance Date: 17 June 2018 Introduction Forecasting is a key tool for planning and decision-making in modern business organisations, according to Thoplan (2014). -
(Ports of Entry and Routes) (Amendment) Order, 2020
Statutory Instrument 55 ofS.I. 2020. 55 of 2020 Customs and Excise (Ports of Entry and Routes) (Amendment) [CAP. 23:02 Order, 2020 (No. 20) Customs and Excise (Ports of Entry and Routes) (Amendment) “THIRTEENTH SCHEDULE Order, 2020 (No. 20) CUSTOMS DRY PORTS IT is hereby notifi ed that the Minister of Finance and Economic (a) Masvingo; Development has, in terms of sections 14 and 236 of the Customs (b) Bulawayo; and Excise Act [Chapter 23:02], made the following notice:— (c) Makuti; and 1. This notice may be cited as the Customs and Excise (Ports (d) Mutare. of Entry and Routes) (Amendment) Order, 2020 (No. 20). 2. Part I (Ports of Entry) of the Customs and Excise (Ports of Entry and Routes) Order, 2002, published in Statutory Instrument 14 of 2002, hereinafter called the Order, is amended as follows— (a) by the insertion of a new section 9A after section 9 to read as follows: “Customs dry ports 9A. (1) Customs dry ports are appointed at the places indicated in the Thirteenth Schedule for the collection of revenue, the report and clearance of goods imported or exported and matters incidental thereto and the general administration of the provisions of the Act. (2) The customs dry ports set up in terms of subsection (1) are also appointed as places where the Commissioner may establish bonded warehouses for the housing of uncleared goods. The bonded warehouses may be operated by persons authorised by the Commissioner in terms of the Act, and may store and also sell the bonded goods to the general public subject to the purchasers of the said goods paying the duty due and payable on the goods. -
Zimbabwean Government Gazette
A I SET ZIMBABWEAN GOVERNMENT GAZETTE Published by Authority Vol. LXXI, No. 44 2nd JULY. 1993 Price $2,50 i General Notice 384 of 1993. Zimbabwe United Passenger Company. ^^0/226/93. Permit: 15723. Motor-omnibus. Passenger-capacity: ROAD MOTOR TRANSPORTATION ACT [CHAPTER 262] Route 1: As d^ned in the agreonent between the holder and Applications in Connexion with Road Service Permits the Harare Municipality, approved by the Minister in terms of section 18 of the Road Motor Transportation Act [Chapter 262]. IN terms of subsection (4) of section 7 of the Road Motor Transportation Act [Chapter 262], notice is hereby given that Route 2:' Throu^out Zimbabwe. the applications detailed in the Sdiedule, for ue issue or Route 3: Harare - Darwendale - Banket - Chinhoyi - Aladta amendment of road service permits, have been received for the Compoimd - Sheckleton Mine - lions Den. consideration of the Controller of Road Motor Transportation. Condition: Any person wishing to object to any such application must Route 2: lodge with the Controller of Road Motor Transportation, (a) For private hire and for advertised or organized P.O. Box 8332, Causeway— tours, provided no stage carriage service is operated (a) a notice, in writing, of his intention to object, so as along any route. to reach the Controller’s ofiSce not later than the 23rd (b) No private Hire or any advertised or organized tour July, 1993; shall be operated under authority of this permit, (b) his objection and the grounds therefor, on form RAl.T. during ^e times for which a scheduled stage carriage 24, together with two copies tiiereof, so as to tetaxHa. -
Bulawayo City Mpilo Central Hospital
Province District Name of Site Bulawayo Bulawayo City E. F. Watson Clinic Bulawayo Bulawayo City Mpilo Central Hospital Bulawayo Bulawayo City Nkulumane Clinic Bulawayo Bulawayo City United Bulawayo Hospital Manicaland Buhera Birchenough Bridge Hospital Manicaland Buhera Murambinda Mission Hospital Manicaland Chipinge Chipinge District Hospital Manicaland Makoni Rusape District Hospital Manicaland Mutare Mutare Provincial Hospital Manicaland Mutasa Bonda Mission Hospital Manicaland Mutasa Hauna District Hospital Harare Chitungwiza Chitungwiza Central Hospital Harare Chitungwiza CITIMED Clinic Masvingo Chiredzi Chikombedzi Mission Hospital Masvingo Chiredzi Chiredzi District Hospital Masvingo Chivi Chivi District Hospital Masvingo Gutu Chimombe Rural Hospital Masvingo Gutu Chinyika Rural Hospital Masvingo Gutu Chitando Rural Health Centre Masvingo Gutu Gutu Mission Hospital Masvingo Gutu Gutu Rural Hospital Masvingo Gutu Mukaro Mission Hospital Masvingo Masvingo Masvingo Provincial Hospital Masvingo Masvingo Morgenster Mission Hospital Masvingo Mwenezi Matibi Mission Hospital Masvingo Mwenezi Neshuro District Hospital Masvingo Zaka Musiso Mission Hospital Masvingo Zaka Ndanga District Hospital Matabeleland South Beitbridge Beitbridge District Hospital Matabeleland South Gwanda Gwanda Provincial Hospital Matabeleland South Insiza Filabusi District Hospital Matabeleland South Mangwe Plumtree District Hospital Matabeleland South Mangwe St Annes Mission Hospital (Brunapeg) Matabeleland South Matobo Maphisa District Hospital Matabeleland South Umzingwane Esigodini District Hospital Midlands Gokwe South Gokwe South District Hospital Midlands Gweru Gweru Provincial Hospital Midlands Kwekwe Kwekwe General Hospital Midlands Kwekwe Silobela District Hospital Midlands Mberengwa Mberengwa District Hospital . -
CHAPTER 10: Restructuring and Recovery in Railway Services
CHAPTER 10: Restructuring and Recovery in Railway Services 10.1 OVERVIEW OF Republic of Congo (DRC) (See Map 10.1). THE SECTOR As a result, the national railway of Zimbabwe has been critical to the growth of the country’s domestic, regional, and international trade as 10.1.1 The Setting it connects all major economic centers and Although continental rail master plans have provides transport for bulk raw materials, existed for more than a century, most of the fi nished goods, and passengers. As in most African railway network remains disconnected, other African countries, the Zimbabwean operating within a single country, or linking railway system served as a primary conduit a port and its immediate regional hinterland. for agricultural and other natural resources The only signifi cant international network is and this largely accounts for the standards and centered in South Africa and stretches north routing that were adopted. to Zimbabwe, Zambia, and the Democratic Map 10.1: Railway Network for the Southern Africa Region Within Zimbabwe, the railway network and its ports of Durban, Richards Bay, and Port connects all major mines and heavy industrial Elizabeth. It is also at the centre of shorter and plants, as well as major collection points for cost-effective railroad links between Malawi farms. The system has three well connected and South Africa through Bulawayo, the port hubs, Bulawayo, Gweru, and Harare (See of Beira through Harare, and Lusaka and the Map 10.2). The railway is at the centre of the port of Durban through Bulawayo. The -
Governmentgazette
ste, ZIMBABWEAN GOVERNMENT GAZETTE Published by Authority Vol. LXXI, No. 52 20th AUGUST,1993 Price 2,50 General Notice 499 of 1993. By: ROAD MOTOR TRANSPORTATION ACT [CHAPTER262} (a) Deletion of stages Mvuma - Chatsworth and substitution of Matizha. Applications in Connexion with Road Service Permits (b) Alteration of route kilometres. IN terms of subsection (4) of section 7 of the Road Motor The service operates as follows— @tansportation Act [Chapter 262], notice is hereby given that the (a) depart HarareTuesday, Thursday andSaturday 8 a.m., arrive f upplicationsdetailed in the Schedule,forthe issue or amendment of Magombedzi 1.30 p.m.; . toad service permits, have been received for the consideration ofthe ‘Controller of Road Motor Transportation. (b) depart Harare Sunday 1.30p.m., arrive Magombedzi 7.30 p.m.; Anyperson wishingto object to any such application mustlodge with the Controller of Road Motor Transportation, P.O. Box 8332, (c) depart Magombedzi Monday, Wednesday, Friday and Sun- Causeway— day 6 a.m., arrive Harare 1. p.m. — (a) anotice, in writing, ofhis intention to object, so as to reach The service to operate as follows— the Controller’s office not later than the 10th September, 1993; (a) depart Harare Tuesday, Thursday and Saturday 8 a.m., arrive Magombedzi 12 noon; (b) his objection and the groundstherefor, on form R.M.T.24, together withtwocopies thereof, so as toreach the Controller's (bd)-pen Harare Sunday 12.30 p.m., arrive Magombedzi office not later than the Ist October, 1993. 30 p.m.; Any person objecting to an application forthe issue oramendment (c) depart Magombed2i Monday, Wednesday, Friday and Sun. -
Zimbabwean Government Gazette, 8Th February, 1985 103
GOVERNMENT?‘GAZETTE Published by Autry £ x | Vol. LX, No, 8 f 8th FEBRUARY,1985 Price 30c 3 General Notice 92 of 1985, The service to operate as follows— Route 1: , 262] > * ROAD MOTOR TRANSPORTATION ACT [CHAPTER (a) depart Bulawayo Monday 9 am., arrive Beitbridge 3.15 p.m.; Applications in Connexion with Road Service Permits (b) depart Bulawayo. Friday 5 pm., arrive Beitbridge as 11.15 p.m. _ IN terms of subsection(4) of section 7 of the- Road Moter ‘(c) depart BulawayoB Saturday 10 am., arrive Beitbridge Transportation Act [Chapter 262], notice is hereby given that 13 ‘p. the applications detailed in the Schedule, for the issue or | (d) depart eitbridge Tuesday 8.40 a.m., astive Bulawayo amendment of road service its, have been received for the 3.30 p. consideration of the Control}ér of Road Motor Transportation. (e) depart Beitbridge Saturday 3.40 am., arrive Bulawayo Any personwishing to Object to any such application must - a.m} ‘lodge with the Controlle? of Road Motor Transportation, (f) depart’ Beitbridge Sunday 9.40 am., arrive Bulawayo P.O. Box 8332, Causeway— 4.30 p.m, ~ . : eg. (a) a notice; in writing, of his intention fo object, so as to - Route 2: No change. _* teach the Controller'ss office not later than the Ist March, Cc. R. BHana. ’ 1985; 0/284/84. Permit: 23891."Motor-omnibus. Passenger-capacity: (b) his objection and the groiinds therefor, on form R.M.T, 24, tozether with two copies thereof, so as to reach the Route: Bulawayo - Zyishavane - _Mashava - Masvingo - Controller’s office not later than the 22nd March, 1985. -
LAN Installation Sites Coordinates
ANNEX VIII LAN Installation sites coordinates Item Geographical/Location Service Delivery Tic Points (List k if HEALTH CENTRE Site # PROVINCE DISTRICT Dept/umits DHI (EPMS SITE) LAN S 2 services Sit COORDINATES required e LOT 1: List of 83 Sites BUDIRIRO 1 HARARE HARARE POLYCLINIC [30.9354,-17.8912] ALL X BEATRICE 2 HARARE HARARE RD.INFECTIO [31.0282,-17.8601] ALL X WILKINS 3 HARARE HARARE INFECTIOUS H ALL X GLEN VIEW 4 HARARE HARARE POLYCLINIC [30.9508,-17.908] ALL X 5 HARARE HARARE HATCLIFFE P.C.C. [31.1075,-17.6974] ALL X KAMBUZUMA 6 HARARE HARARE POLYCLINIC [30.9683,-17.8581] ALL X KUWADZANA 7 HARARE HARARE POLYCLINIC [30.9285,-17.8323] ALL X 8 HARARE HARARE MABVUKU P.C.C. [31.1841,-17.8389] ALL X RUTSANANA 9 HARARE HARARE CLINIC [30.9861,-17.9065] ALL X 10 HARARE HARARE HATFIELD PCC [31.0864,-17.8787] ALL X Address UNDP Office in Zimbabwe Block 10, Arundel Office Park, Norfolk Road, Mt Pleasant, PO Box 4775, Harare, Zimbabwe Tel: (263 4) 338836-44 Fax:(263 4) 338292 Email: [email protected] NEWLANDS 11 HARARE HARARE CLINIC ALL X SEKE SOUTH 12 HARARE CHITUNGWIZA CLINIC [31.0763,-18.0314] ALL X SEKE NORTH 13 HARARE CHITUNGWIZA CLINIC [31.0943,-18.0152] ALL X 14 HARARE CHITUNGWIZA ST.MARYS CLINIC [31.0427,-17.9947] ALL X 15 HARARE CHITUNGWIZA ZENGEZA CLINIC [31.0582,-18.0066] ALL X CHITUNGWIZA CENTRAL 16 HARARE CHITUNGWIZA HOSPITAL [31.0628,-18.0176] ALL X HARARE CENTRAL 17 HARARE HARARE HOSPITAL [31.0128,-17.8609] ALL X PARIRENYATWA CENTRAL 18 HARARE HARARE HOSPITAL [30.0433,-17.8122] ALL X MURAMBINDA [31.65555953980,- 19 MANICALAND -
Design of a Link Road to Connect the Beitbridge- Chirundu Highway to Harare Drive in Harare, Zimbabwe
Design of a Link Road to Connect the Beitbridge- Chirundu Highway to Harare Drive in Harare, Zimbabwe Joan R. Shumba1, Samson Shumba2, Liliana D. Vassileva3 , Namatirai Cheure4 {[email protected], [email protected], [email protected]} Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, University of Zimbabwe, P.O Box MP167 Mount Pleasant, Harare Abstract. The project focussed on the design of a link road to connect the Beitbridge- Chirundu Highway to Harare Drive and Kirkman Road in Harare, Zimbabwe. The proposed link road is approximately 17 km long. The link road will alleviate traffic flowing into Harare by linking the missing portion of Harare drive a ring road to a major highway. A manual traffic count was carried out to determine the percentage of heavy vehicles in transit on the highway. The results were compared to historic traffic counts. The analysis was carried out using QGIS and AchiCAD softwares, Microsoft excel and AutoCAD. The geometric design of the link road and intersection was carried out based on guidelines for Southern Africa roads. The link road and grade separated intersection with a design life of 20 years was designed. It is recommended that traffic flow be diverted and extra caution be taken during the construction. Keywords: Highways, Traffic congestion, Ring Road, Grade Separated Intersection and Geometric Design. 1 Introduction 1.1 Background Major cities throughout Zimbabwe are experiencing considerable increases in population, consequently the traffic demand on each city’s transportation infrastructure has also increased. The rapid increase in car ownership contributes to the unmanageable flows of traffic thereby reducing the efficiency of the road network. -
The Development of the Liberation War Novel
CORE Metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk Provided by Unisa Institutional Repository INTERFACE OF HISTORY AND FICTION: THE ZIMBABWEAN LIBERATION WAR NOVEL By ITAI MUWATI UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH AFRICA NOVEMBER 2009 INTERFACE OF HISTORY AND FICTION: THE ZIMBABWEAN LIBERATION WAR NOVEL By ITAI MUWATI submitted in accordance with the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF LITERATURE AND PHILOSOPHY in the subject of African Languages at the UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH AFRICA SUPERVISOR: PROF D E MUTASA JOINT SUPERVISOR: DR M L BOPAPE NOVEMBER 2009 DECLARATION Student number: 4310-995-0 I declare that Interface of History and Fiction: The Zimbabwean Liberation War Novel is my own work and that all the sources that I have used or quoted have been indicated and acknowledged by means of complete references. 30 September 2009 Signature Date i ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I want to acknowledge first and foremost, the efforts of and the selflessness shown by my Promoter, Professor Davie E. Mutasa. His encouragement and belief in me made me walk what appeared to be an unwalkable doctoral research journey. I am also very thankful to my Co-Promoter, Doctor Malekutu L. Bopape, who, together with Professor Mutasa, convinced me that I was intellectually tall each time I felt I was short. These two men’s views and expert guidance helped significantly in shaping this thesis. My gratitude also goes to the Financial Aid Bureau (FAB) which offered me a bursary that enabled me to pursue doctoral studies with the University of South Africa. I am further thankful to Professor Zifikile Gambahaya, my mentor and colleague, who allowed me unfettered access to her library and other resources. -
An Agrarian History of the Mwenezi District, Zimbabwe, 1980-2004
View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you by CORE provided by UWC Theses and Dissertations AN AGRARIAN HISTORY OF THE MWENEZI DISTRICT, ZIMBABWE, 1980-2004 KUDAKWASHE MANGANGA A THESIS SUBMITTED IN PARTIAL FULFILMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE DEGREE OF M.PHIL IN LAND AND AGRARIAN STUDIES IN THE DEPARTMENT OF GOVERNMENT, UNIVERSITY OF THE WESTERN CAPE November 2007 DR. ALLISON GOEBEL (QUEEN’S UNIVERSITY, CANADA) DR. FRANK MATOSE (PLAAS, UWC) ii ABSTRACT An Agrarian History of the Mwenezi District, Zimbabwe, 1980-2004 Kudakwashe Manganga M. PHIL Thesis, Programme for Land and Agrarian Studies, Department of Government, University of the Western Cape. The thesis examines continuity and change in the agrarian history of the Mwenezi district, southern Zimbabwe since 1980. It analyses agrarian reforms, agrarian practices and development initiatives in the district and situates them in the localised livelihood strategies of different people within Dinhe Communal Area and Mangondi Resettlement Area in lieu of the Fast Track Land Reform Programme (FTLRP) since 2000. The thesis also examines the livelihood opportunities and challenges presented by the FTLRP to the inhabitants of Mwenezi. Land reform can be an opportunity that can help communities in drought prone districts like Mwenezi to attain food security and reduce dependence on food handouts from donor agencies and the government. The land reform presented the new farmers with multiple land use patterns and livelihood opportunities. In addition, the thesis locates the current programme in the context of previous post-colonial agrarian reforms in Mwenezi. It also emphasizes the importance of diversifying rural livelihood portfolios and argues for the establishment of smallholder irrigation schemes in Mwenezi using water from the Manyuchi dam, the fourth largest dam in Zimbabwe. -
An Assessment of Source Water Quality in Karoi, Mashonaland West Province, Zimbabwe
An Assessment of Source Water Quality in Karoi, Mashonaland West Province, Zimbabwe Gondo Reniko1 and W. Chingombe2 1Okavango Research Institute, University of Botswana, Maun, Botswana; 2University of Mpumalanga, School of Biology and Environmental Science, Mbombela, Republic of South Africa. Abstract The aim of this study was to assess the quality of source water used for domestic purposes in the town of Karoi. The objectives were: to determine the quality of surface water in the study area; and to characterize point and non-point sources of pollution. The study examined physical and chemical surface water quality parameters that may indicate pollution and so help to identify surface water pollution. The results showed that most of the measured parameters in surface water examined in Karoi were within the acceptable range of WHO drinking water guidelines. When compared with the guidelines, electrical conductivity was slightly higher; turbidity and total suspended solids were significantly higher in the wet season than in the dry season due to water flow- ing, which carries particles with it; and the changing seasons resulted in slight changes in surface water temperature. The results suggest that some human activities, like agriculture and poor sewage disposal in Karoi, can reduce surface water quality in Karoi. 1 Introduction hyacinth; pennywort, parrot’s feather and Kariba weed (Moyo et al. 2004). Water sources for drinking and other domestic purposes must The aquatic environment is the ultimate sink of wastewater possess high degrees of purity, free from chemical contamination generated by humans’ industrial, commercial and domestic ac- and microorganisms (Chinhanga 2010). In Zimbabwe, govern- tivities.