Global Atmospheric Response to Emissions from a Proposed 10.1002/2016EF000399 Reusable Space Launch System
Earth’s Future RESEARCH ARTICLE Global atmospheric response to emissions from a proposed 10.1002/2016EF000399 reusable space launch system Erik J. L. Larson1,2, Robert W. Portmann1, Karen H. Rosenlof1, David W. Fahey1, John S. Daniel1,and Martin N. Ross3 Key Points: 1 2 •Roughly105 flights per year from Chemical Sciences Division, Earth Systems Research Laboratory, NOAA, Boulder, Colorado, USA, Cooperative Institute 3 hydrogen fueled reusable launch for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado, USA, The Aerospace Corporation, systems are necessary to significantly Los Angeles, California, USA impact the global climate • Water vapor emissions from 105 flights per year increase polar stratospheric and mesospheric cloud Abstract Modern reusable launch vehicle technology may allow high flight rate space transportation fractions by 20% at low cost. Emissions associated with a hydrogen fueled reusable rocket system are modeled based on •NOX emissions from ascent and the launch requirements of developing a space-based solar power system that generates present-day 5 reentry of 10 flights per year result in 4 6 the loss of 0.5% of the globally global electric energy demand. Flight rates from 10 to 10 per year are simulated and sustained to a averaged ozone column quasisteady state. For the assumed rocket engine, H2OandNOX are the primary emission products; this 5 also includes NOX produced during reentry heating. For a base case of 10 flights per year, global strato- Supporting Information: spheric and mesospheric water vapor increase by approximately 10 and 100%, respectively. As a result, • Supporting Information S1 high-latitude cloudiness increases in the lower stratosphere and near the mesopause by as much as 20%.
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