Towards the Networked Society – a Software Challenge
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1 STEW 20161013, LINKÖPING Towards the Networked Society – a software challenge Ulf Wahlberg VP Industry and Research Relations Number of Subscriptions 85% of mobile subscriptions will be for mobile broadband in 2021 © Ericsson AB 2016 | 2016-10-13 | Page 2 traffic outlook © Ericsson AB 2016 | 2016-10-13 | Page 3 Internet of things to surpass mobile phones in 2018 - expected to be largest category of connected devices © Ericsson AB 2016 | 2016-10-13 | Page 4 The Networked society We are at the ICT inflection point INSTALLATION DEPLOYMENT › Foundation for innovation › Broad application › Transforming society More efficiently solving old Applying paradigm to innovate problems - winners among across society – new winners old players © Ericsson AB 2016MOBILITY | 2016-10-13 | Page 5 - BROADBAND - CLOUD Transformed Traditional Industries Digitalize & Mobilize Industries Service Providers & Network Devices Applications © Ericsson AB 2016 | 2016-10-13 | Page 6 Ericsson’s Transformation Business mix 1999 – 2014 34% 15 years 66% Services and software © Ericsson AB 2016 | 2016-10-13 | Page 7 Innovation From HW to SW Innovation in SW Innovation in HW and SW Innovation in HW © Ericsson AB 2016 | 2016-10-13 | Page 8 THE Importance of sw Software is, to a very large Hardware Effort extent, the means to create the functionality we sell There are about 10-15 software Software Effort designers per hardware designer in Ericsson today © Ericsson AB 2016 | 2016-10-13 | Page 9 wireless access generations Non-limiting access; The foundation of Mobile telephony The foundation of The evolution of anywhere, anytime, mobile telephony for everyone mobile broadband mobile broadband anyone, anything 1G 2G 3G 4G 5G AMPS TACS GSM D-AMPS WCDMA/HSPA NMT PDC IS-95 CDMA2000 LTE ~1980 ~1990 ~2000 ~2010 ~2020 © Ericsson AB 2016 | 2016-10-13 | Page 10 SENSORS EVERYWHERE BROADBAND AND MEDIA EVERYWHERE SMART VEHICLES, TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE, MONITOR AND CONTROL 5g CRITICAL CONTROL USE CASES OF REMOTE DEVICES INTERACTION HUMAN-IOT © Ericsson AB 2016 | 2016-10-13 | Page 11 One Architecture–multiple industries @ A common network platform enabling ICT transformation © Ericsson AB 2016 | 2016-10-13 | Page 12 One Architecture–multiple industries Management & Orchestration & Analytics & Exposure Virtualization Software Defined Distributed Cloud Network Slicing Networking, SDN VNF VNF @ A common network platform enabling ICT transformation © Ericsson AB 2016 | 2016-10-13 | Page 13 What is 5G – what will it bring A Network for the Networked Society 10-100x 1000x 5x 100x Cost 10+ +20dB END-USER MOBILE DATA LOWER MORE DEVICE COST YEARS BETTER DATA RATES VOLUMES LATENCY DEVICES REDUCTION BATTERY LIFE COVERAGE Management Access Applications Cloud Infrastructure Transport One network supporting multiple industries ©Sara Ericsson Mazur AB | Ericsson 2016 | 2016Internal-10 -| 13Stockholm, | Page 14 Jan 14, 2016 | Page 14 Machine Type Communication Massive MTC Critical MTC Low cost Ultra reliable Low energy Very low latency Small data volumes Very high availability Massive numbers Long ranges … … Traffic safety Smart grid Industrial Sensors, actuators Smart buildings Capillary networks & control applications © EricssonSara ABMazur 2016 | © Ericsson | 2016 AB-10 2015-13 | 2015 | Page-09-24 15 5G RADIO ACCESS technologies Beamforming antennas Multi-antenna/Site connectivity Separation of data New connectivity layers including Distributed MIMO and control plane Wireless backhaul, D2D, … Ultra-Lean Design Flexible and scalable L1 design User throughput and Flexible OFDM, dynamic TDD, … Energy Efficiency Ultra-Lean Design System control Data Integrated D2D © Ericsson AB 2016 | 2016-10-13 | Page 16 IMPORTANT Software TechnologY AREAS Automatic Fault Diagnosis and Treatment Data Driven Approach and Machine Learning Future Programming Technology Vulnerability Containment Cloud Optimized for Secure and Safe Software Virtual Network Functions © Ericsson AB 2016 | 2016-10-13 | Page 17 Ericsson test-bed shown at MWC 2016 © Ericsson AB 2016 | 2016-10-13 | Page 18 AUTOMOTIVE AND TRANSPORT MANUFACTURING PROCESS INDUSTRY SAFETY/SECURITY AGRICULTURE ENERGY AND UTILITIES ©Sara Ericsson Mazur AB | ©2016 Ericsson | 2016 2016-10 - 13| 2016 | Page-05- 3119 | Page 19 For 5G INDUSTRY © Ericsson AB 2016 | 2016-10-13 | Page 20 Operator partners all continents Vodafone Group TeliaSonera MTS BT China Mobile/MIIT Verizon Deutsche Telecom Swisscom T-Mobile TI Telefónica Turkcell Korea Telecom NTTDoCoMo AT&T SK Telecom Etisalat Softbank Sprint LG Uplus Ooredoo KDDI Quatar Reliance Dtac Singtel América Móvil Telstra >25 >30 NBN Operators 5G Proof of concept with industries © Ericsson AB Mou2016 | 2016-10-/Trials13 | Page 21 *As of March 2016 We NEED TO ACT FOR AN INCREASE OF RESEARCH AND EDUCATION IN SOFTWARE INTENSE SYSTEMS System Test, General Research Targeted Research Launch & Mission Operations TRL 9 Industry System/ TRL 8 Subsystem Development TRL 7 EU Vinnova Technology Demonstration TRL 6 SSF, KKS TRL 5 Technology Development TRL 4 Research to Prove TRL 3 Feasibility VR TRL 2 KAW Basic/Applied Research TRL 1 © Ericsson AB 2016 | 2016-10-13 | Page 22 © Ericsson AB 2016 | 2016-10-13 | Page 23.