Coastal Flooding from Storm Surge and Waves
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The 17-Year Cycle & Energy II
© ITTC - INSIIDE Track Report The 17-Year Cycle & Energy II May 2008 “...Let us run with patience the race that is set before us.” Hebrews 12:1 by Eric S. Hadik The 17-Year Cycle & Energy II An INSIIDE Track Report “When you hear May 2008 - The last week has 17-Year Cycle & Energy II of wars and revolu- seen major reinforcements of the tions, do not be fright- 17-Year Cycle. On May 1st, a INSIIDE Track Report ened. These things major volcanic eruption in Chile must happen first, occurred, reinforcing the escalating C ONTENTS ...‘Nation will rise earth-disturbance cycles projected against nation, and Atmospheric Energy........................1 kingdom against king- for 2008. More recently, a 6.8 dom. magnitude earthquake rocked Jan- The Perfect Storm............................1 pan, just 100 miles from Tokyo. As There will be great stated in the May 7th Alert: Culmination of ‘Energy’ II.................6 earthquakes, famines & pestilences in vari- “Though these events are sig- ous places and fearful nificant, they are not of the magni- events and great signs tude that would make me believe from heaven. they have fulfilled the potential for ...There will be signs in the sun, moon and stars. On the earth, major earth disturbances in this nations will be in anguish and perplexity at the roaring and tossing of period.” the sea. Men will faint from terror, apprehensive of what is coming on the world for the heavenly bodies will be shaken.” So, more is expected. Luke 21: 9-11, 20, 25-26 Atmospheric Energy (New Int’l Vers. -
Hurricane & Tropical Storm
5.8 HURRICANE & TROPICAL STORM SECTION 5.8 HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM 5.8.1 HAZARD DESCRIPTION A tropical cyclone is a rotating, organized system of clouds and thunderstorms that originates over tropical or sub-tropical waters and has a closed low-level circulation. Tropical depressions, tropical storms, and hurricanes are all considered tropical cyclones. These storms rotate counterclockwise in the northern hemisphere around the center and are accompanied by heavy rain and strong winds (NOAA, 2013). Almost all tropical storms and hurricanes in the Atlantic basin (which includes the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea) form between June 1 and November 30 (hurricane season). August and September are peak months for hurricane development. The average wind speeds for tropical storms and hurricanes are listed below: . A tropical depression has a maximum sustained wind speeds of 38 miles per hour (mph) or less . A tropical storm has maximum sustained wind speeds of 39 to 73 mph . A hurricane has maximum sustained wind speeds of 74 mph or higher. In the western North Pacific, hurricanes are called typhoons; similar storms in the Indian Ocean and South Pacific Ocean are called cyclones. A major hurricane has maximum sustained wind speeds of 111 mph or higher (NOAA, 2013). Over a two-year period, the United States coastline is struck by an average of three hurricanes, one of which is classified as a major hurricane. Hurricanes, tropical storms, and tropical depressions may pose a threat to life and property. These storms bring heavy rain, storm surge and flooding (NOAA, 2013). The cooler waters off the coast of New Jersey can serve to diminish the energy of storms that have traveled up the eastern seaboard. -
Quincy Report
2019 GREATEST FLOOD RISK: HISTORICAL FLOOD EVENTS SEVERE WINTER • 9/1938 “The Great New England Hurricane” 10-17 inches of rain and 20-foot storm surge WEATHER COASTAL EROSION • 2/1978 “Blizzard of ’78” 30 inch snowfall, 30-foot waves off shore 24 RL claims COASTAL AND INLAND FLOODING • 10/1991 “Perfect Storm” 25 foot waves coincided with high tide 69 RL claims NOR’ EASTERS • 4/2010 “Nor’easter” 7 inches rain, coastal flooding and high tide. 52 RL claims • 1/2018 Nor’easter “Greyson” Peak winds coinciding with high tide broke Boston Harbor 1978 high tide record. • 3/2018- Nor’easters “Riley & Skylar” Blizzard, high wind and storm surge. FEMA DR-4372/ 4379 2) Identify Risk from “All Hazards” TOP NATURAL HAZARD RISKS FOR QUINCY image sample Coastal Flooding Flood Inland Flooding Storms and Tides Related Culvert Failures Storm Surge Sea Level Rise Climate Severe Snow and Blizzards Change Winter Extreme Precipitation Ice Storms Hurricanes Coastal Climatic Nor’easters Related Erosion & Shoreline Change Tropical Storm Tsunami Urban Fire Fire Earthquake Geologic Wildfire Landslides High Wind Severe Extreme Temperature (Heat and Cold Tornado Weather Drought Thunderstorm AREAS OF FLOODING CONCERNS FEMA REPETITIVE LOSS CLAIMS RL HOUGHS NECK GERMANTOWN RL FURNACE BROOK Identify extent & magnitude of flooding from tides, storm surge, and sea level rise… CLIMATE CHANGE FLOODING IMPACTS • Recommended approach for sea level rise estimates for projecting future coastal flooding risk in Quincy MA Sea Level Rise Time Period Projection² Likely Range³ (Feet) -
Assessing Interactions Between Estuary Water Quality and Terrestrial Land Cover in Hurricane Events with Multi-Sensor Remote Sensing
University of Central Florida STARS Electronic Theses and Dissertations, 2004-2019 2017 Assessing Interactions between Estuary Water Quality and Terrestrial Land Cover in Hurricane Events with Multi-sensor Remote Sensing Chandan Mostafiz University of Central Florida Part of the Environmental Engineering Commons, and the Water Resource Management Commons Find similar works at: https://stars.library.ucf.edu/etd University of Central Florida Libraries http://library.ucf.edu This Masters Thesis (Open Access) is brought to you for free and open access by STARS. It has been accepted for inclusion in Electronic Theses and Dissertations, 2004-2019 by an authorized administrator of STARS. For more information, please contact [email protected]. STARS Citation Mostafiz, Chandan, Assessing" Interactions between Estuary Water Quality and Terrestrial Land Cover in Hurricane Events with Multi-sensor Remote Sensing" (2017). Electronic Theses and Dissertations, 2004-2019. 5688. https://stars.library.ucf.edu/etd/5688 ASSESSING INTERACTIONS BETWEEN ESTUARY WATER QUALITY AND TERRESTRIAL LAND COVER IN HURRICANE EVENTS WITH MULTI-SENSOR REMOTE SENSING by CHANDAN MOSTAFIZ B.S. Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology, 2014 A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science in the Department of Civil, Environmental, and Construction Engineering in the College of Engineering and Computer Science at the University of Central Florida Orlando, Florida Fall Term 2017 Major Professor: Ni-Bin Chang © 2017 Chandan Mostafiz ii ABSTRACT Estuaries are environmentally, ecologically and environmentally important places as they act as a meeting place for land, freshwater and marine ecosystems. They are also called nurseries of the sea as they often provide nesting and feeding habitats for many aquatic plants and animals. -
America's Perfect Storm
Policy Information Report America’s Perfect Storm Three Forces Changing Our Nation’s Future This.report.was.written.by: Irwin Kirsch, Henry Braun, and Kentaro Yamamoto of ETS, and Andrew Sum of Northeastern Table of Contents University. The.views.expressed.in.this.report. are.those.of.the.authors.and.do.not. necessarily.reflect.the.views.of.the. Preface....................................................................................................2 officers.and.trustees.of.Educational. Testing.Service. Acknowledgments..................................................................................2 Additional.copies.of.this.report.can. be.ordered.for.$15.(prepaid).from: Executive.Summary...............................................................................3 Policy.Information.Center. Introduction............................................................................................6 Mail.Stop.19-R. Educational.Testing.Service. A.Look.Backward...................................................................................8 Rosedale.Road. Princeton,.NJ.08541-0001. The.Three.Forces..................................................................................11 (609).734-5949. [email protected] The.Divergent.Skill.Distributions........................................................12 View.and.download.the.. The.Economy........................................................................................16 report.and.additional.materials.. at.ets.org/stormreport The.Demographic.Trends.....................................................................19 -
Massachusetts Tropical Cyclone Profile August 2021
Commonwealth of Massachusetts Tropical Cyclone Profile August 2021 Commonwealth of Massachusetts Tropical Cyclone Profile Description Tropical cyclones, a general term for tropical storms and hurricanes, are low pressure systems that usually form over the tropics. These storms are referred to as “cyclones” due to their rotation. Tropical cyclones are among the most powerful and destructive meteorological systems on earth. Their destructive phenomena include storm surge, high winds, heavy rain, tornadoes, and rip currents. As tropical storms move inland, they can cause severe flooding, downed trees and power lines, and structural damage. Once a tropical cyclone no longer has tropical characteristics, it is then classified as a post-tropical system. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has classified four stages of tropical cyclones: • Tropical Depression: A tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 38 mph (33 knots) or less. • Tropical Storm: A tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph (34 to 63 knots). • Hurricane: A tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph (64 knots) or higher. • Major Hurricane: A tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 111 mph (96 knots) or higher, corresponding to a Category 3, 4 or 5 on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Primary Hazards Storm Surge and Storm Tide Storm surge is an abnormal rise of water generated by a storm, over and above the predicted astronomical tide. Storm surge and large waves produced by hurricanes pose the greatest threat to life and property along the coast. They also pose a significant risk for drowning. Storm tide is the total water level rise during a storm due to the combination of storm surge and the astronomical tide. -
Section 4: Hazard Identification and Risk Assessments February 2016 Section 4: Hazard Identification and Risk Assessments
Section 4: Hazard Identification and Risk Assessments February 2016 Section 4: Hazard Identification and Risk Assessments 2016 Plan Update changes: This section combines Sections 6 and 7 into one section. Where possible, the content has been updated to reflect the best data available. 4.1 Introduction During the 2016 Plan update many parts of the original County HMP were preserved. Where applicable, portions of the historical hazard data have been retained. This section addresses the specific requirements of the Interim Final Rule (IFR) and FEMA checklist requirements (Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, October, 2011) with regard to hazards in the planning area. As required by federal planning guidelines, one of the key elements of the 2016 HMP update was to describe the events and effects of natural hazards on the County since the original version of the Plan was developed and adopted in 2010. In addition detailed risk assessments were completed for all hazards ranked high (hazards of concern) or medium by the 2016 Hazard Mitigation Planning Steering Committee (HMPSC). The term “planning area” is used frequently in this section. This term refers to the jurisdictional limits of Middlesex County. The Risk Assessment section addresses the potential future damages from hazards on Middlesex County and its citizens. 4.1.1 Summary Description of the County’s Vulnerability to Hazards The DMA 2000 legislation and related FEMA planning guidance require mitigation plans to include discussion of community vulnerability to natural hazards. Vulnerability is generally defined as the damage (including direct damages and loss of function) that would occur when various levels of hazards impact a structure, operation or population. -
National Assessment of Hurricane-Induced Coastal Erosion Hazards: Northeast Atlantic Coast
National Assessment of Hurricane-Induced Coastal Erosion Hazards: Northeast Atlantic Coast By Justin J. Birchler, Hilary F. Stockdon, Kara S. Doran, and David M. Thompson Open-File Report 2014–1243 U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey U.S. Department of the Interior SALLY JEWELL, Secretary U.S. Geological Survey Suzette M. Kimball, Acting Director U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, Virginia: 2014 For more information on the USGS—the Federal source for science about the Earth, its natural and living resources, natural hazards, and the environment—visit http://www.usgs.gov or call 1-888-ASK-USGS For an overview of USGS information products, including maps, imagery, and publications, visit http://www.usgs.gov/pubprod To order this and other USGS information products, visit http://store.usgs.gov Any use of trade, product, or firm names is for descriptive purposes only and does not imply endorsement by the U.S. Government. Although this report is in the public domain, permission must be secured from the individual copyright owners to reproduce any copyrighted material contained within this report. Suggested citation: Birchler, J.J., Stockdon, H.F., Doran, K.S., and Thompson, D.M., 2014, National assessment of hurricane-induced coastal erosion hazards—Northeast Atlantic Coast: U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2014–1243, 34 p., http://dx.doi.org/10.3133/ofr20141243. ISSN 2331-1258 (online) ii Contents 1. Introduction ............................................................................................................................................................. 1 1.1 Impacts of Hurricanes on Coastal Communities ............................................................................................... 1 1.2 Prediction of Hurricane-Induced Coastal Erosion.............................................................................................. 4 1.3 Storm-Impact Scaling Model ............................................................................................................................. 4 2. -
Historical Perspective
kZ _!% L , Ti Historical Perspective 2.1 Introduction CROSS REFERENCE Through the years, FEMA, other Federal agencies, State and For resources that augment local agencies, and other private groups have documented and the guidance and other evaluated the effects of coastal flood and wind events and the information in this Manual, performance of buildings located in coastal areas during those see the Residential Coastal Construction Web site events. These evaluations provide a historical perspective on the siting, design, and construction of buildings along the Atlantic, Pacific, Gulf of Mexico, and Great Lakes coasts. These studies provide a baseline against which the effects of later coastal flood events can be measured. Within this context, certain hurricanes, coastal storms, and other coastal flood events stand out as being especially important, either Hurricane categories reported because of the nature and extent of the damage they caused or in this Manual should be because of particular flaws they exposed in hazard identification, interpreted cautiously. Storm siting, design, construction, or maintenance practices. Many of categorization based on wind speed may differ from that these events—particularly those occurring since 1979—have been based on barometric pressure documented by FEMA in Flood Damage Assessment Reports, or storm surge. Also, storm Building Performance Assessment Team (BPAT) reports, and effects vary geographically— Mitigation Assessment Team (MAT) reports. These reports only the area near the point of summarize investigations that FEMA conducts shortly after landfall will experience effects associated with the reported major disasters. Drawing on the combined resources of a Federal, storm category. State, local, and private sector partnership, a team of investigators COASTAL CONSTRUCTION MANUAL 2-1 2 HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE is tasked with evaluating the performance of buildings and related infrastructure in response to the effects of natural and man-made hazards. -
The Perfect Storm
The Perfect Storm A True Story of Men Against the Sea by Sebastian Junger Contents FOREWORD GEORGES BANK, 1896 GLOUCESTER, MASS., 1991 GOD’S COUNTRY THE FLEMISH CAP THE BARREL OF THE GUN GRAVEYARD OF THE ATLANTIC THE ZERO-MOMENT POINT THE WORLD OF THE LIVING INTO THE ABYSS THE DREAMS OF THE DEAD AFTERWORD ACKNOWLEDGMENTS THIS BOOK IS DEDICATED TO MY FATHER, WHO FIRST INTRODUCED ME TO THE SEA. FOREWORD Recreating the last days of six men who disappeared at sea presented some obvious problems for me. On the one hand, I wanted to write a completely factual book that would stand on its own as a piece of journalism. On the other hand, I didn’t want the narrative to asphyxiate under a mass of technical detail and conjecture. I toyed with the idea of fictionalizing minor parts of the story—conversations, personal thoughts, day-to-day routines—to make it more readable, but that risked diminishing the value of whatever facts I was able to determine. In the end I wound up sticking strictly to the facts, but in as wide-ranging a way as possible. If I didn’t know exactly what happened aboard the doomed boat, for example, I would interview people who had been through similar situations, and survived. Their experiences, I felt, would provide a fairly good description of what the six men on the Andrea Gail had gone through, and said, and perhaps even felt. As a result, there are varying kinds of information in the book. Anything in direct quotes was recorded by me in a formal interview, either in person or on the telephone, and was altered as little as possible for grammar and clarity. -
Impact of Parameterized Boundary Layer Structure on Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification Forecasts in HWRF
APRIL 2017 Z H A N G E T A L . 1413 Impact of Parameterized Boundary Layer Structure on Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification Forecasts in HWRF JUN A. ZHANG NOAA/Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory/Hurricane Research Division, and Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Studies, University of Miami, Miami, Florida ROBERT F. ROGERS NOAA/Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory/Hurricane Research Division, Miami, Florida VIJAY TALLAPRAGADA NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Environmental Modeling Center, College Park, Maryland (Manuscript received 5 April 2016, in final form 27 October 2016) ABSTRACT This study evaluates the impact of the modification of the vertical eddy diffusivity (Km) in the boundary layer parameterization of the Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) Model on forecasts of tropical cyclone (TC) rapid intensification (RI). Composites of HWRF forecasts of Hurricanes Earl (2010) and Karl (2010) were compared for two versions of the planetary boundary layer (PBL) scheme in HWRF. The results show that using a smaller value of Km, in better agreement with observations, improves RI forecasts. The composite-mean, inner-core structures for the two sets of runs at the time of RI onset are compared with observational, theoretical, and modeling studies of RI to determine why the runs with reduced Km are more likely to undergo RI. It is found that the forecasts with reduced Km at the RI onset have a shallower boundary layer with stronger inflow, more unstable near-surface air outside the eyewall, stronger and deeper updrafts in regions farther inward from the radius of maximum wind (RMW), and stronger boundary layer convergence closer to the storm center, although the mean storm intensity (as measured by the 10-m winds) is similar for the two groups. -
MASARYK UNIVERSITY BRNO Diploma Thesis
MASARYK UNIVERSITY BRNO FACULTY OF EDUCATION Diploma thesis Brno 2018 Supervisor: Author: doc. Mgr. Martin Adam, Ph.D. Bc. Lukáš Opavský MASARYK UNIVERSITY BRNO FACULTY OF EDUCATION DEPARTMENT OF ENGLISH LANGUAGE AND LITERATURE Presentation Sentences in Wikipedia: FSP Analysis Diploma thesis Brno 2018 Supervisor: Author: doc. Mgr. Martin Adam, Ph.D. Bc. Lukáš Opavský Declaration I declare that I have worked on this thesis independently, using only the primary and secondary sources listed in the bibliography. I agree with the placing of this thesis in the library of the Faculty of Education at the Masaryk University and with the access for academic purposes. Brno, 30th March 2018 …………………………………………. Bc. Lukáš Opavský Acknowledgements I would like to thank my supervisor, doc. Mgr. Martin Adam, Ph.D. for his kind help and constant guidance throughout my work. Bc. Lukáš Opavský OPAVSKÝ, Lukáš. Presentation Sentences in Wikipedia: FSP Analysis; Diploma Thesis. Brno: Masaryk University, Faculty of Education, English Language and Literature Department, 2018. XX p. Supervisor: doc. Mgr. Martin Adam, Ph.D. Annotation The purpose of this thesis is an analysis of a corpus comprising of opening sentences of articles collected from the online encyclopaedia Wikipedia. Four different quality categories from Wikipedia were chosen, from the total amount of eight, to ensure gathering of a representative sample, for each category there are fifty sentences, the total amount of the sentences altogether is, therefore, two hundred. The sentences will be analysed according to the Firabsian theory of functional sentence perspective in order to discriminate differences both between the quality categories and also within the categories.