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Background Paper 6 Transport Appraisal Proposed Local Development Plan Renfrewshire Local Development Plan ProposedEquality Plan and Human Rights ImpactTransport AssessmentAppraisal 2019 2018 Renfrewshire Local Development Plan Background Paper 6 Part 1 Renfrewshire LDP Transport Assessment 2018 Reference number GB01T17N62 BASELINE REPORT TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. INTRODUCTION 7 1.1 BACKGROUND 7 1.2 PURPOSE OF THE REPORT 7 2. POLICY REVIEW 8 2.1 OVERVIEW 8 2.2 NATIONAL POLICIES AND PLANS 8 2.3 REGIONAL POLICIES AND PLANS 10 2.4 LOCAL POLICIES AND PLANS 11 2.5 SUMMARY 14 3. SOCIO-ECONOMIC BASELINE 16 3.1 OVERVIEW 16 3.2 ECONOMIC OUTLINE 16 3.3 POPULATION 17 3.4 HOUSEHOLDS 20 3.5 EMPLOYMENT 20 3.6 DEPRIVATION 22 3.7 CAR AVAILABILITY 23 3.8 TRAVEL TO WORK 24 3.9 SUMMARY 28 4. LOCAL DEVELOPMENT 30 4.1 KEY DEVELOPMENTS AND PRIORITIES 30 5. RENFREWSHIRE – TRANSPORT NETWORK 34 5.1 CURRENT SITUATION 34 5.2 WALKING AND CYCLING 34 5.3 PUBLIC TRANSPORT 38 5.4 PARK AND RIDE 41 5.5 ROAD NETWORK 42 5.6 PARKING 47 5.7 SUMMARY 48 Renfrewshire LDP Transport Assessment GB01T17N62 Baseline Report 05/09/2018 Page 3/51 6. SUMMARY AND FINDINGS 49 6.1 KEY ISSUES , CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES 49 Renfrewshire LDP Transport Assessment GB01T17N62 Baseline Report 05/09/2018 Page 4/51 LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1. Renfrewshire Council boundary (Renfrewshire LDP 2014) 16 Figure 2. Comparison of population profile between 1997 and 2017 (Population Estimates Time Series, 2017) 18 Figure 3. Renfrewshire population by age group and sex (Population Estimates Time Series, 2017) 19 Figure 4. Comparison of in-migration and out-migration in Renfrewshire (National Records of Scotland, 2016) 19 Figure 5. Breakdown of employment in Renfrewshire (Renfrewshire Local Authority Profile, 2015) 21 Figure 6. Economically active population in Renfrewshire (2011 Census) 22 Figure 7. SIMD 2016 for Renfrewshire (Renfrewshire Monitoring Statement) 23 Figure 8. Car/van availability in all households in Renfrewshire (Renfrewshire Local Authority Profile Report 2015) 24 Figure 9. Travel patterns of people in employment in Renfrewshire (2011 Census) 25 Figure 10. Travel patterns of people studying in Renfrewshire (2011 Census) 25 Figure 11. Renfrewshire inflows and outflows (Nomis, 2018) 26 Figure 12. Distance travelled to work in Renfrewshire (2011 Census ) * all people aged 16 to 74 in employment the week before the Census, excluding full-time students and people working mainly from home 26 Figure 13. Distance travelled to education in Renfrewshire (2011 Census) * all people aged 4 and over studying the week before the Census, excluding people studying mainly from home. 27 Figure 14. Travel to work split by travel mode (2011 Census) excluding people working mainly from home 28 Figure 15. Renfrewshire Spatial Strategy and Key Development Priorities (Renfrewshire MIR 2017) 30 Figure 16. Renfrewshire Spatial Strategy (Renfrewshire LDP 2014) 31 Figure 17. Glasgow air passenger numbers for the period 2010-2015 (Glasgow Airport, 2015) 32 Figure 18. Main mode of access to Glasgow Airport by passengers (Glasgow Airport, 2013) 32 Figure 19. Renfrewshire City Deal projects (Renfrewshire MIR 2017) 33 Figure 20. Walking and cycling routes across Renfrewshire (Renfrewshire MIS 2011) 34 Figure 21. National Cycling Network passing through Renfrewshire (Sustrans, 2018) 35 Figure 22. Number of bicycles available for private use by households in Renfrewshire in 2015 (SPT Transport Outcomes Report: Renfrewshire 2017/18) 36 Figure 23. Proportion of the people that travel to work by bike (Renfrewshire Cycling Strategy 2011) 36 Figure 24. Pedal cycle counts Renfrewshire (Department for Transport Areas Traffic Profile, 2017) 37 Figure 25. Community satisfaction with existing provision for cyclists - Renfrewshire Cycling Strategy 2015/16 37 Figure 26. Public transport services satisfaction (Scottish Household Survey 2016) 38 Figure 27. Renfrewshire local bus usage (SPT Transport Outcomes Report (2017/18) 39 Figure 28. Railways stations across Renfrewshire (Renfrewshire MIS 2011) 40 Figure 29. Rail patronage (SPT Transport Outcomes Report: Renfrewshire 2017/18) 41 Figure 30. Park and Ride sites capacity across Renfrewshire (SPT 2018) 42 Figure 31. Key road links in Renfrewshire (MIR 2011) 42 Renfrewshire LDP Transport Assessment GB01T17N62 Baseline Report 05/09/2018 Page 5/51 Figure 32. Congestion hot spots and capacity pinch points (MIR, 2011) 43 Figure 33. Developer - infrastructure consideration map (MIR, 2017) 44 Figure 34. Congestion delays experienced by drivers (Renfrewshire LTS, 2017) 45 Figure 35. Journey time surveys (Renfrewshire LTS, 2017) 46 Figure 36. Renfrewshire causalities -all severities (Renfrewshire LTS, 2017) 47 LIST OF TABLES Table 1. Population change comparison between Renfrewshire and Scotland (2011 Census) 18 Table 2. Tenure of households in Renfrewshire and Scotland (2011 Census) 20 Table 3. Economically active people aged 16 and 74 (2011 Census) 21 Table 4. Job density in Renfrewshire 2016 (NOMIS 2018) 22 Table 5. Dimensions of deprivation for households in Renfrewshire (2011 Census) 23 Table 6. Car ownership per household (2011 Census) 24 Table 7. Renfrewshire public transport changes 2007 -2017 (Renfrewshire Transport Strategy, 2017) 39 Table 8. Key issues, challenges and opportunities 49 Renfrewshire LDP Transport Assessment GB01T17N62 Baseline Report 05/09/2018 Page 6/51 1. INTRODUCTION 1.1 Background SYSTRA has been commissioned by Renfrewshire Council (RC) to carry out a transport assessment in order to support the Council’s transport appraisal of their emerging Local Development Plan (LDP) 2. LDPs provide the vision for how communities will grow and develop in the future. They set out the spatial strategy for the area and guide the future use of land. They set out where future development should and should not occur, identifying opportunities for change, regeneration and enhancement. They also provide an indication of the level of infrastructure required for growth. The process of developing a LDP requires evidence on traffic related matters to be presented in the shape of a transport appraisal. The appraisal is aligned with Transport Scotland's Development Planning & Management: Transport Appraisal Guidance (DPMTAG) process, in that it will examine all modes of travel including rail, bus, road, and active travel (walking and cycling) connections and land use solutions. The appraisal outcomes will in turn support and inform the Council’s vision for its spatial strategy and help to determine the impact that the various development would have on local and strategic transport network. In preparation of this report consultations have been undertaken with key stakeholders including Renfrewshire Council and Transport Scotland. 1.2 Purpose of the report The purpose of this report is to provide the baseline evidence that will set the context for the transport appraisal. The report provides discussion around: The context of how Renfrewshire’s LDP sits within the wider planning policy; The existing socio – economic baseline for Renfrewshire; Development of the spatial strategy behind the LDP; Background evidence on travel demand and supply in the area. The Report concludes by drawing together key challenges, issues and opportunities facing Renfrewshire in the context of the LDP and how, in turn, the strategy is likely to influence both travel demand and supply over the life of the plan. The evidence base will also help to shape the transport planning objectives (TPOs) that will provide the framework of the transport appraisal. Renfrewshire LDP Transport Assessment GB01T17N62 Baseline Report 05/09/2018 Page 7/51 2. POLICY REVIEW 2.1 Overview There are a number of wider transport, planning, and economic policies, strategies, and plans, that will inform the development of the emerging LDP and its Supporting Transport Appraisal (STA). These documents include: 2.1.1 National policies and plans National Planning Framework 3, 2014 Scottish Planning Policy, 2014 Scotland’s National Transport Strategy, 2016 Infrastructure Investment Plan, 2015 2.1.2 Regional policies and plans Clydeplan Strategic Development Plan, 2017 Glasgow City Region City Deal Glasgow City Region Economic Action Plan, 2017 Local policies and plans Renfrewshire Local Development Plan, 2014 – 2024 Renfrewshire Monitoring Statement, 2016/17 Main Issues Report, 2017 Renfrewshire Local Transport Strategy, 2017 Renfrewshire Cycling Strategy, 2016-2025 Renfrewshire Outdoor Access Strategy, 2016-2026 Renfrewshire Community Plan, 2017-2027 Renfrewshire Strategic Economic Framework, 2016 - 2018 2.2 National policies and plans 2.2.1 National Planning Framework Scotland's National Planning Framework 3 (NPF3) was laid in the Scottish Parliament on 23 June 2014 and spatially sets out the Scottish Government’s Economic Strategy. It focuses on four outcomes: Creating a successful, sustainable place that supports sustainable economic growth and regeneration including the creation of well-designed places; Making Scotland a low carbon place, reducing carbon emissions and adapting to climate change; Ensuring that Scotland is a natural and resilient place, helping to protect and enhance its natural and cultural assets, facilitating sustainable use; Making Scotland a connected place, supporting better transport and digital connectivity. Renfrewshire LDP Transport Assessment GB01T17N62 Baseline Report 05/09/2018 Page 8/51 NPF3 also identifies the Government’s development priorities over the next 20 – 30 years including 14 national developments which support
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