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MIDDLE EAST REPORT IMAGES, POLITICS, PARADOX WARWARW I T H O U T BORDERS Spring 2002 ■ Number 222 MIDDLE EAST RESEARCH & INFORMATION PROJECT Spring 2002 No. 222 Vol. 32 No. 1 Middle East Report (ISSN 0899-2851) is published four times a year (quarterly) by the Middle East Research and Information Project, 1500 Massachusetts Avenue NW, Washington DC 20005. POSTMASTER: Periodicals postage paid at Washington, DC and UP FRONT 2 Opening the Debate on the Right of Return additional mailing offices. Send all address corrections to MERIP, Sari Hanafi PO Box 277, Hopewell, PA 16650-0277. 8 Controllable Democracy in Uzbekistan MAILING: The magazine is mailed periodicals class in North Alisher Ilkhamov America and IMEX to the rest of the world. Send address changes to MERIP, Subscriber Services, PO Box 277, Hopewell, PA 16650- 11 “Security Assistance” Bonanza After September 11 0277. Subscriptions are $37 per year for individuals, $76 for institutions. Overseas postage additional. 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FROM THE EDITOR MIDDLE EAST REPORT utside the Pentagon, the smoking rubble left when one wing of the Defense Department was destroyed by a hijacked airliner last September 11 is long since cleared. A scoreboard-sized digital Oclock counts down the days and hours until this coming September 11, when the Pentagon Editor Chris Toensing expects to have fully repaired the damage. “Let’s roll”—George W. Bush’s cloying new motto—scrolls Outreach Editor Ian Urbina across the bottom, as the seconds tick off the furious pace of rebuilding. Inside the military-industrial establishment, at briefings and beery stag dinners, the generals and contractors know their hour has Consultant Barbara Neuwirth already arrived. Print/Web Design & Production James E. Bishara The hijackers’ attacks, and more so the rapid collapse of the Taliban under the weight of US bombs, Interns Rudeyna Babouder, Mariam Javanshir, have been a great boon to believers in global governance through US military power. Already ascendant Karin van der Tak hardline unilateralists in the Bush administration—the circles surrounding Vice President Dick Cheney Proofreaders Justin Hoffman, Sian MacAdam and Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld—have been boosted higher by the widely trumpeted successes of Operation Enduring Freedom. In the wartime deployments in Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan, which Reviews Shiva Balaghi, Rebecca L. Stein are taking on an air of permanence, the ultra-hawks are “pre-positioned” for containment of Russia and Printing McArdle Printing China, chief on their list of prospective challengers to US dominance. In the “axis of evil,” the hardliners find the necessary justification for throwing larger wads of taxpayer money at the continuously failing National Missile Defense program and for demanding from Congress a $48 billion jump in defense Contributing Editors Lila Abu-Lughod, spending over last year. There is lonely Congressional dissent as Special Forces contingents are dis- Mariano Aguirre, Asef Bayat, Joel Beinin, Azmi patched to the Philippines, Yemen and Georgia to help those governments quell Islamist insurgencies. Bishara, Dan Connell, Beshara Doumani, Kaveh Even the Pentagon’s missteps are rewarded. As Norman Solomon observed in his column for Fair- Ehsani, Selima Ghezali, Sarah Graham-Brown, ness and Accuracy in Reporting, the week-long flap over the Office of Strategic Influence—designed to Fred Halliday, Geoff Hartman, Rema Hammami, feed disinformation to the foreign press—has “actually reinforced the notion that the US government Deniz Kandiyoti, Isam al-Khafaji, Ann Lesch, has no rational motive for hiding truth, since its real endeavors can proudly stand the light of day.” Zachary Lockman, Tim Mitchell, Roger Owen, After Rumsfeld sheepishly disbanded the in-house spin unit, few news outlets noticed that a similar Reem Saad, Mohammed el-Sayed Said, Simona outfit called the Information Awareness Office will be headed by retired Adm. John Poindexter, that Sharoni, Mohamed Sid-Ahmed, Susan Slyomovics, Salim Tamari, Graham Usher, Oren paragon of official probity last sighted trying to explain the Iran-contra fiasco to a bewildered public. Yiftachel, Sami Zubaida. As the articles in this issue argue, the latest consolidation of the military-industrial complex has done little or nothing to enhance the security of people in the Middle East and Central Asia. Even as winter snows hinder the suddenly hotter war in Afghanistan, more US interventions appear certain. MERIP Board of Directors Bruce Dunne, David Renewed fighting in March has underscored the hollowness of the US victory in Afghanistan. At McMurray, Karen Pfeifer, Jillian Schwedler, Ted the hardliners’ urging, the US began its assault on the Taliban before a viable political alternative had Swedenburg, Sandra Tamari, Chris Toensing. been concocted. Anxious to avoid combat casualties, the administration could merely stand and watch when its proxies, the erstwhile Northern Alliance, rolled into Kabul considerably ahead of the agreed- Editorial Committee Kamran Ali, Shiva upon schedule. With Northern Alliance fighters in control of the capital and major cities, it was impos- Balaghi, Phyllis Bennis, James E. Bishara, Sheila sible not to include Abdul Rashid Dostum and other commanders accused of war crimes as ministers in Carapico, Elliott Colla, Deborah Gerner, Lisa Hamid Karzai’s interim government. The resulting return of warlord politics to Afghanistan promises Hajjar, Salah D. Hassan, Steve Hubbell, Vickie anything but stability. Already, it appears that warlords nominally friendly to the US presence and Langohr, David McMurray, Khalid Medani, Garay Karzai have at least twice misdirected US bombing and commando raids to eliminate their own rivals. Menicucci, Karen Pfeifer, Shahnaz Rouse, There are whispers that the crime wave in Kabul—supposedly the one place where Karzai’s authority Rebecca L. Stein, Ted Swedenburg, Chris holds firm—is perpetrated by armed gangs loyal to members of the government. Outside Kabul, Af- Toensing, Ian Urbina. ghan civilians are even more insecure. Karzai