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www.policymagazine.ca April – May 2013 1 Canadian Politics and Public Policy JustinJustin TrudeauTrudeau VolumeApril/May 1 – 2013 Issue 1 TRAFFIC KEEPS MOVING ABOVE BECAUSE OF WHAT WE’RE SAFELY MOVING BELOW For nearly forty years, our Line 9 pipeline has delivered reliable energy between Quebec and Ontario. We monitor it every second of every day to protect the environment and the communities nearby. We check the entire route twice monthly by air, inspect the interior of the pipe using sophisticated in-line inspection tools, and regularly conduct digs that visually inspect its structural integrity. As the operator of the largest liquids pipeline system in the world, we know that constant care and diligent monitoring are the best ways to ensure a safe network. Re-establishing the original easterly fl ow of the Line 9 pipeline will provide a secure source of more affordable domestic energy to Canadian refi neries, reducing the dependency on foreign oil. It’s a positive change in direction that will be good for the Canadian economy. FIND OUT MORE Enbridge.com/Line9 CLIENT : ENBRIDGE No DE DOSSIER : EN-9041 INFOGRAPHIE DATE # D’ÉPREUVE SUJET : ANNONCE MAGAZINE NOM DU FICHIER : EN-9041 Ann_Policy Jo 5 avril 2013 2 TITRE : XXX FORMAT FINAL : 8.5 x 11 pouces CHEF STUDIO RELECTURE DIR. PRODUCTION No D’ANNONCE : EN-XXX-XXXE MARGE PERDUE : .125 PUBLICATION : Policy COULEURS : CMYK DIR. ARTISTIQUE SERVICE-CONSEIL CLIENT DATE DE PARUTION : CETTE ÉPREUVE : 100 % In This Issue 2 Editor’s Note: Trudeau: Now for the Hard Part Canadian Politics and Public Policy EDITOR L. Ian MacDonald [email protected] COPY EDITOR Lisa Van Dusen [email protected] CONTRIBUTING WRITERS Thomas S. Axworthy Andrew Balfour Brian Bohunicky Photo: Adam Scotti Derek H. Burney Catherine Cano COVER PACKAGE: THE LIBERAL LEADERSHIP Margaret Clarke Martin Goldfarb Celine Cooper 3 From the Just Society to Justin’s Canada Fen Hampson Patrick Gossage Dan Gagnier 7 The Two Trudeaus: Passing the Torch Tasha Kheiriddin Brad Lavigne Zach Paikin Liberals Need to Think Strategically Kevin Lynch 9 Jeremy Kinsman John Duffy Velma McColl 12 Three Liberal Challenges, then Seize the Day Geoff Norquay Andrew Balfour Zach Paikin 17 Rebuilding for a New Century, from the Bottom Up Robin V. Sears Gil Troy BUDGET 2013 GRAPHIC DESIGN AND PRODUCTION Kevin Lynch and Karen Miske Budget 2013: Steady as She Goes but Where To? Monica Thomas 19 [email protected] Dan Gagnier 23 Unilateralism a Drag on Federal-Provincial Relations David Nicholas, Margaret Clarke and Herb Emery Enabling the Workplace: Enhancing Integration for Policy 26 Persons with Disabilities Policy is published six times annually by LAPC Ltd. The contents are copyrighted, Derek Burney and Fen Osler Hampson but may be reproduced with permission 29 CIDA RIP: A Shift that was Long Overdue and attribution in print, and viewed free of charge at the Policy home page at DOSSIER www.policymagazine.ca, as well as at www.ipolitics.ca. Michael Coates 32 The Unpredictable Evolution of Canadian Investment Policy Printed and distributed by iPolitics, Brian Bohunicky 45 O’Connor St, Suite 530, Ottawa, 36 Canada’s Shifting China Posture Ontario K1A 1A4. POLICY SPECIAL Robin V. Sears 40 The AFN and the PM: Retiring the Missionaries Cover photo: Adam Scotti April/May 2013 2 From the Editor ister of Finance and later Clerk of the Privy Council, Lynch has been there. Then, Dan Gagnier considers some the federal-provincial issues around the Trudeau: Canada Job initiative, and writes that unilateralism on Ottawa’s part raises flash points in the federation, especially Now for the between the feds and a sovereignist gov- ernment in Quebec. From the University of Calgary, David Hard Part Nicholas, Margaret Clarke and Herb Emery look at the jobs initiative from another perspective – that of persons with disabilities, and conclude it is an important step in integrating them into elcome to the first issue and ultimately the Charter of Rights and Canada’s labour force. of Policy magazine. Our aim Freedoms. is to be a must-read for Can- Finally, Derek Burney and Fen Hamp- W Patrick Gossage, who served as press son, veteran foreign policy hands, exam- ada’s policy makers and business leaders. secretary to the father and now an ad- ine the folding of the Canadian Interna- Our premier issue features a timely viser to the son, sees “substantial differ- tional Development Agency, as well as cover package on Justin Trudeau, as he ences in the political strategies of the International Trade, into one govern- assumes the leadership of the Liberal two men,” not to mention very differ- ment department, Foreign Affairs. Party of Canada. While the leadership ent styles. “Pierre Trudeau was a classic campaign turned out to be more of a top-down leader...he was no grassroots coronation than a competitive race, politician,” Gossage observes. “By con- n a Dossier, we examine the im- there is no shortage of political and trast, his son is a natural bottom-up pol- plications of the Nexen deal, in policy challenges awaiting Trudeau. In itician, with the skills of a community I which Stephen Harper approved other words, now for the hard part. organizer.” the takeover of the Canadian oilsands player by China National Offshore Oil With the Liberals reduced to third party Zach Paikin, a graduate student and Corporation (CNOOC), but pointedly status in the House of Commons for the voice from the next generation, joins added: “When we say that Canada is first time ever, Trudeau faces a huge re- the conversation with some suggestions open for business, we do not mean that building job in the country. His time on how the Liberals can strategically po- Canada is for sale.” will probably be better spent on the hus- sition themselves and Canada in a rap- tings than in the House. One thing the idly changing world. Michael Coates advised CNOOC on the Nexen deal, and as a Conservative ac- leadership campaign proved – Trudeau John Duffy, author of the acclaimed can draw a crowd, and he clearly knows tivist also brings informed insights into Fights of Our Lives, has written about how to work one. There’s no doubt many campaigns, and lived through a the thinking of the Harper government Trudeau is the main reason the Liberals few of his own as a senior policy adviser on foreign investment and the role of have been trending up in the polls. to former Liberal leader Paul Martin. State Owned Enterprises, particularly However, there’s the inherent value of He offers some thoughts on the chal- Chinese SOEs. the Liberal brand, as well as the name lenges facing Trudeau in re-building the For his part, Brian Bohunicky sees Can- recognition of the family brand. Pierre Liberal Party, and putting it on a path ada’s policy toward China as one that Trudeau once famously called the Lib- to power. Andrew Balfour adds some has evolved from virtual hostility, to erals “the party of the extreme cen- thoughts on the immediate challenges let’s do business, to “Yes, but” on the tre”, and the question is where Justin facing Trudeau in taking over the Liber- Nexen deal. He writes: “While it is the Trudeau sees the Liberals on the politi- al Party, fund raising and organizing for most nuanced so far, the latest posture cal and policy spectrum. the 2015 election in a 338-seat house, is primarily transactional and political 30 more than the present House of rather than far-sighted or strategic.” r as Martin Goldfarb asks in Commons, with 27 of those new seats Finally, in a Policy Special, Robin Sears our lead article: “What is Justin west of the Ottawa River. examines the possibility of a First Na- Trudeau’s brand promise?” O tions Spring, the dialogue between A leading authority on public opinion ooking at Budget 2013, BMO Vice Grand Nations Chief Shawn Atleo and and market research, Goldfarb served as Chair Kevin Lynch and his col- Prime Minister Stephen Harper. Each is the Liberal Party’s pollster under Pierre league Karen Miske lead off our L invested in the success of this conversa- Trudeau, and suggests the Just Society analysis with an overview of the con- as a policy template for Justin Trudeau. flicting pressures on Finance Minister tion. Others, notably career bureaucrats The Just Society, he writes, was a big idea Jim Flaherty, to balance the books by in the Department of Aboriginal Affairs, that defined not only a Liberal agenda, 2015 on the one hand, and to stimulate are not. but enduring Canadian values such as the economy on the other. A decidedly L. Ian MacDonald official bilingualism, multiculturalism, delicate task. As a former deputy min- EDITOR, POLICY Policy 3 Justin Trudeau speaks to a packed hall at Queen’s University on February 13. Martin Goldfarb writes that he needs “to define the direction in which he wants to take us, just as his father did when he proposed the Just Society.” Photo: Adam Scotti. olitics is both process and vision. From the Just Society Image is what you are, not what P you hope others think you are. Vision becomes the guide for public to Justin’s Canada policy. What we need to know from Justin Martin Goldfarb Trudeau is: what is his vision? What are his guiding standards for behaviour or values? What big ideas is he prepared to engage the public with that will be a force for change in the public inter- What are the challenges facing Justin Trudeau after est? What is his idea that defines Cana- winning the Liberal leadership on April 14 in Ottawa? dians and shapes our identity? We need to know if he has conviction – not just “What,” asks Martin Goldfarb, “is his idea that defines musing, but genuine conviction.
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