Secular Crustal Deformation and Interplate Coupling of the Japanese Islands As Deduced from Continuous GPS Array, 1996–2001 ⁎ Gamal El-Fiky A, , Teruyuki Kato B

Total Page:16

File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb

Secular Crustal Deformation and Interplate Coupling of the Japanese Islands As Deduced from Continuous GPS Array, 1996–2001 ⁎ Gamal El-Fiky A, , Teruyuki Kato B Tectonophysics 422 (2006) 1–22 www.elsevier.com/locate/tecto Secular crustal deformation and interplate coupling of the Japanese Islands as deduced from continuous GPS array, 1996–2001 ⁎ Gamal El-Fiky a, , Teruyuki Kato b a Construction Engineering and Utilities Department, Faculty of Eng., Zagazig Univ., El-Zagazig, Egypt b Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan Received 23 September 2005; received in revised form 31 March 2006; accepted 25 April 2006 Available online 10 July 2006 Abstract Data from the nation-wide GPS continuous tracking network that has been operated by the Geographical Survey Institute of Japan since April 1996 were used to study crustal deformation in the Japanese Islands. We first extracted site coordinate from daily SINEX files for the period from April 1, 1996 to February 24, 2001. Since raw time series of station coordinates include coseismic and postseismic displacements as well as seasonal variation, we model each time series as a combination of linear and trigonometric functions and jumps for episodic events. Estimated velocities were converted into a kinematic reference frame [Heki, K., 1996. Horizontal and vertical crustal movements from three-dimensional very long baseline interferometry kinematic reference frame: implication for reversal timescale revision. J. Geophys. Res., 101: 3187–3198.] to discuss the crustal deformation relative to the stable interior of the Eurasian plate. A Least-Squares Prediction technique has been used to segregate the signal and noise in horizontal as well as vertical velocities. Estimated horizontal signals (horizontal displacement rates) were then differentiated in space to calculate principal components of strain. Dilatations, maximum shear strains, and principal axes of strain clearly portray tectonic environments of the Japanese Islands. On the other hand, the interseismic vertical deformation field of the Japanese islands is derived for the same GPS data interval. The GPS vertical velocities are combined with 31 year tide gage records to estimate absolute vertical velocity. The results of vertical deformation show that (1) the existence of clear uplift of about 6 mm/yr in Shikoku and Kii Peninsula, whereas pattern of subsidence is observed in the coast of Kyushu district. This might reflect strong coupling between the Philippine Sea plate and overriding plate at the Nankai Trough and weak coupling off Kyushu, (2) no clear vertical deformation pattern exists along the Pacific coast of northeastern Japan. This might be due to the long distance between the plate boundary (Japan trench) and overriding plate where GPS sites are located, (3) significant uplift is observed in the southwestern part of Hokkaido and in northeastern Tohoku along the Japan Sea coast. This is possibly due to the viscoelastic rebound of the 1983 Japan Sea (Mw 7.7) and the 1993 Hokkaido–Nansei–Oki (Mw 7.8) earthquakes and/or associated with distributed compression of incipient subduction there. We then estimate the elastic deformation of the Japanese Islands caused by interseismic loading of the Pacific and Philippine Sea subduction plates. The elastic models account for most of the observed horizontal velocity field if the subduction movement of the Philippine Sea Plate is 100% locked and if that of the Pacific Plate is 70% locked. However, the best fit for vertical velocity ranges from 80% to 100% coupling factor in southwestern Japan and only 50% in northeastern Japan. Since horizontal data does not permit the separation of rigid plate motion and interplate coupling because horizontal velocities include ⁎ Corresponding author. E-mail address: [email protected] (G. El-Fiky). 0040-1951/$ - see front matter © 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.tecto.2006.04.021 2 G. El-Fiky, T. Kato / Tectonophysics 422 (2006) 1–22 both contributions, we used the vertical velocities to discriminate between them. So, we can say there is strong interplate coupling (80%–100%) over the Nankaido subduction zone, whereas it is about 50% only over the Kurile–Japan trench. © 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. Keywords: Crustal deformation; Interplate coupling; Continuous GPS array; Japanese Islands 1. Introduction the Sagami Trough. Relative motion among these plates accumulates tectonic stress in the lithosphere and causes The Japanese Islands are located at a complex plate observable crustal deformation. The occurrence of large boundary. The convergence of four plates including the earthquake along plate boundaries and crustal faults re- Eurasian (EUR) or Amurian (AMR), the Pacific (PAC), leases such tectonic stress. Consequently, study of the Philippine Sea (PHS) plate, and North American crustal deformation is a key to understand the physical (NAM) or the Okhotsk (OKH) predominates (Fig. 1). process in the crust as well as to forecast crustal activity. The oceanic PAC is descending beneath the continental Dense arrays of continuous GPS tracking networks NAM (or OKH) at the Kurile–Japan trench, and oceanic provide us with an ideal tool for monitoring crustal PHS plate is descending beneath the EUR at the Suruga– deformation. In Japan, the Geographical Survey Institute Nankai Trough and beneath NAM (or OKH) plate along (GSI) started to establish the dense GPS array of Fig. 1. Major plate boundaries in and near the Japanese Islands. EUR or AMR: Eurasian or Amurain plate, NAM or OHK: North American or Okhotsk plate, PHS: Philippine Sea plate, and PAC: Pacific plate. Source regions of recent conspicuous earthquakes which might affect on the GPS data are shown. Arrows indicate the relative plate motion directions. G. El-Fiky, T. Kato / Tectonophysics 422 (2006) 1–22 3 Fig. 2. An example of the time series at site number 950155 (39.93°E, 40.58°N). (a) Uncorrected time series of E–W component. (b) Annual change of E–W component. (c) Difference between uncorrected time series and annual change of E–W component. (d), (e), and (f) are same but for vertical component. continuous tracking network in the Kanto–Tokai region horizontal signals (horizontal displacement rates) were in 1992 and has further expanded it to cover the entire differentiated in space to calculate principal components nation. The GSI has been operating in 610 sites, for of strain. continuous monitoring of the daily site coordinates since One problem in employing only the horizontal velocity April 1996. The number of sites increased to 1200 by components as data for crustal deformations studies is that 2004, with average site intervals of about 20 km (e.g., it is difficult to segregate rigid plate motions from inter- Miyazaki et al., 1998; Sagiya et al., 2000). The array is plate coupling strain. This is because horizontal velocities now considered one of the most fundamental infra- include both effects (Aoki and Scholz, 2003). So, rigid structures for monitoring crustal activity in Japan. plate motions could be mapped into the interplate coupling. Details of the operation and analysis of this GPS array This problem can be solved by using vertical velocities to are described in Tada et al. (1997), Miyazaki et al. separate between the rigid plate motions and interplate (1997), and Sagiya (2004a). coupling. On the other hand, the repeatability of horizontal In the present study, we try to delineate the horizontal components of GPS coordinates is highly precise com- crustal strains as well as the interseismic vertical defor- pared with that of their vertical components. So, vertical mation field of the Japanese Islands, using data for about component has rarely been used in scientific discussions. five years from the GPS array. For this purpose, we first Here, we try to estimate the interseismic vertical velocity extracted site coordinate from daily SINEX files for the field for Japanese Islands using GSI's GPS array data period from April 1, 1996 to February, 24, 2001, and between 1996 and 2001. The estimated GPS vertical vel- estimated site velocities by modelling each time series as a cities are combined with 31 year tide gage records to obtain combination of step functions, trigonometric functions, absolute vertical velocity. and a linear function. A Least-Squares Prediction (LSP) Finally, we investigate the origin of the GPS defor- technique has been used to segregate the signal and noise mation in the Japanese Islands by comparing velocity in horizontal as well as vertical velocities. Estimated fields determined from GPS data with those calculated velocities are converted to a kinematic reference frame from the elastic dislocation models involving interplate (Heki, 1996) to discuss the crustal deformation relative to motion at the subduction zones in northeastern and the stable interior of the Eurasian plate. Finally, estimated southwestern Japan. We then show that most of this GPS 4 G. El-Fiky, T. Kato / Tectonophysics 422 (2006) 1–22 velocity field can indeed be accounted for by full elastic sites. (c) and (f) are E–W and vertical components of coupling along the Philippine thrust zones and only 50% corrected time series (difference between uncorrected coupling for the Pacific locked zone. We compare the time series and annual variation), respectively. Finally, GPS-derived strain with those obtained from seismo- the estimated velocities are converted into a kinematic logical and geological data and show that they are qua- reference frame (Heki, 1996) to discuss the crustal litatively similar but that the GPS deformation is much deformation relative to the stable interior of the Eurasian larger that the other two. plate. Fig. 3 shows the horizontal component of the velocity vectors relative to the stable part of the Eurasian 2. Time series and horizontal velocity field plate with 95% confidence error ellipses. Coseismic crustal deformation associated with large earthquakes Processing of the data of GSI's GPS array with the IGS which occurred during the observation period, were precise orbit yields daily coordinates of all stations. We estimated as formulated in Eq. (1), e.g., the 1996 Hyu- used daily GPS data from April 1, 1996 to February 24, ganada earthquakes (MJMA 6.6 on October 19 and MJMA 2001.
Recommended publications
  • Table S1. Summary of Kayen Et Al
    Table S1. Summary of Kayen et al. (2013) Vs liquefaction case history data Data Crit. Depth Depth to γ (kN/m3) site ID LOCATION Liquefied? total CSR MSF ϕ (°) ORIGINAL SITE REFERENCE Mw GWT (m) σvo (kPa) σ'vo (kPa) amax (g) rd VS1 (m/sec) VS (m/sec) CRRPL=15% Gmax (kPa) Ko σ' mo (kPa) Point Range (m) Above gwt Below gwt 1906 San Francisco Earthquake, California, USA 5 9001 Coyote Valley 7.7 ± 0.10 YES 3.5 - 6 2.4 77.08 ± 8.53 54.03 ± 5.41 15.10 17.30 0.36 ± 0.09 0.89 ± 0.09 0.30 ± 0.09 0.97 171.98 ± 2.00 146.97 0.13 38093 30 0.500 36.02 Barrow, 1983 6 9002 Salinas River North 7.7 ± 0.10 NO 9.1 - 10.6 6.0 155.24 ± 8.31 117.47 ± 6.09 14.00 18.50 0.32 ± 0.08 0.68 ± 0.16 0.19 ± 0.07 0.97 172.05 ± 5.84 178.54 0.13 60113 34 0.441 73.68 Barrow, 1983 1948 Fukui Earthquake, Japan 9 118 HINO GAWA EAST BANK, FUKUI PREF. EQUESTRIAN CENTER, 7.1 ± 0.12 YES 6.0 - 10 1.0 143.50 ± 14.15 74.83 ± 8.10 17.30 18.00 0.50 ± 0.13 0.64 ± 0.14 0.40 ± 0.14 1.08 142.28 ± 17.04 131.91 0.10 31926 30 0.500 49.89 Office of the Engineer (1949); Hamada et al. (1992); This study 10 103 MORITA-CHO GAKKU, HAMADA ET AL.
    [Show full text]
  • Paleoseismicity Along the Southern Kuril Trench Deduced From
    Paleoseismicity along the southern Kuril Trench deduced from submarine-fan turbidites ∗ , Atsushi Noda a, Taqumi TuZino a Yutaka Kanai a Ryuta Furukawa a Jun-ichi Uchida b 1 aGeological Survey of Japan, National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology (AIST), Central 7, Higashi 1–1–1, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 305–8567, Japan bDepartment of Earth Science, Faculty of Science, Kumamoto University, 39-1, Kurokami 2-chome, Kumamoto 860-8555, Japan Received 24 August 2007; revised 22 May 2008; accepted 27 May 2008 Abstract Large (> M 8), damaging interplate earthquakes occur frequently in the eastern Hokkaido region, northern Japan, where the Pacific Plate is subducting rapidly beneath the Okhotsk (North American) Plate at approximately 8 cm yr−1. With the aim of estimating the long-term recurrence intervals of earthquakes in this region, seven sediment cores were obtained from a submarine fan located on the forearc slope along the southern Kuril Trench, Japan. The cores contain a number of turbidites, some of which can be correlated among the cores on the basis of the analysis of lithology, chronology, and the composition of sand grains. Foraminiferal assemblages and the composition of sand grains indicate that the upper–middle slope (> 1,000 m water depth) is the source of the turbidites. The deep-sea origin of the turbidites is consistent with the hypothesis that they were derived from slope failures initiated by strong shaking associated with earthquake events. The recurrence intervals of turbidite deposition are 113–439 years for events that occurred over the past 7 kyrs; the short intervals are recorded in the cores obtained from levees on the middle fan.
    [Show full text]
  • Downtime Estimation of Lifelines After an Earthquake
    Pacific Earthquake Engineering Research Center University of California, Berkeley Master Research: DOWNTIME ESTIMATION OF LIFELINES AFTER AN EARTHQUAKE Alejandro D´ıaz-DelgadoBragado Supervised by: Stephen Mahin Gian Paolo Cimellaro i Many thanks to the University of California, Berkeley, for the opportunity to be able to work in such an inspiring environment and also my home university, BarcelonaTech, for making things convenient. I would also like to show my gratitude to all the professionals that have helped me in any way: S. Mahin, G.P. Cimel- laro & The Resilience Group, L. Johnson, V. Terzic and C. Scawthorn. Abstract Downtime estimation of lifelines after an earthquake is one of the most impor- tant elements in seismic risk management because of the significant economic con- sequences. This research is focused on the development of a empirical model for the estimation of duration of lifeline disruption based on damage data of earthquakes during the last hundred years. First of all a database of lifeline earthquake damage was created with emphasis on the duration of the restoration process. Afterwards, restoration curves are modeled for each lifeline with gamma cumulative distribution functions, based on the average and standard deviation of the duration of lifeline disruption. Future works are also presented in the research in order to eventually continue and improve this study in the future. Keywords: Downtime, Lifelines, Utilities, Outages, Infrastructures, Power, Wa- ter, Gas, Telecommunications, Restoration curves, Earthquakes. Abstracto Un aspecto muy importante de la gesti´onde riesgos s´ısmicoses la estimaci´ondel tiempo que estar´anlas infraestructuras despu´esde un terremoto. Esta investigaci´on se ha basado en el desarrollo de un modelo emp´ırico para estimar dicho tiempo, bas´andoseen informaci´ony datos sobre el da~norecibido por parte de las diferentes infraestructuras tras diferentes sismos ocurridos en los ´ultimoscien a~nos.
    [Show full text]
  • Appendix (PDF:4.3MB)
    APPENDIX TABLE OF CONTENTS: APPENDIX 1. Overview of Japan’s National Land Fig. A-1 Worldwide Hypocenter Distribution (for Magnitude 6 and Higher Earthquakes) and Plate Boundaries ..................................................................................................... 1 Fig. A-2 Distribution of Volcanoes Worldwide ............................................................................ 1 Fig. A-3 Subduction Zone Earthquake Areas and Major Active Faults in Japan .......................... 2 Fig. A-4 Distribution of Active Volcanoes in Japan ...................................................................... 4 2. Disasters in Japan Fig. A-5 Major Earthquake Damage in Japan (Since the Meiji Period) ....................................... 5 Fig. A-6 Major Natural Disasters in Japan Since 1945 ................................................................. 6 Fig. A-7 Number of Fatalities and Missing Persons Due to Natural Disasters ............................. 8 Fig. A-8 Breakdown of the Number of Fatalities and Missing Persons Due to Natural Disasters ......................................................................................................................... 9 Fig. A-9 Recent Major Natural Disasters (Since the Great Hanshin-Awaji Earthquake) ............ 10 Fig. A-10 Establishment of Extreme Disaster Management Headquarters and Major Disaster Management Headquarters ........................................................................... 21 Fig. A-11 Dispatchment of Government Investigation Teams (Since
    [Show full text]
  • Slip Distribution of the 1973 Nemuro-Oki Earthquake Estimated from the Re-Examined Geodetic Data
    Earth Planets Space, 61, 1203–1214, 2009 Slip distribution of the 1973 Nemuro-oki earthquake estimated from the re-examined geodetic data Takuya Nishimura Geography and Crustal Dynamics Research Center, Geographical Survey Institute, Kitasato 1, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 305-0811, Japan (Received February 27, 2009; Revised July 3, 2009; Accepted August 17, 2009; Online published December 21, 2009) Geodetic data, including leveling, tide-gauge, triangulation/trilateration, and repeated EDM data, from eastern Hokkaido, Japan, were re-examined to clarify the crustal deformation associated with the 1973 Nemuro-oki earthquake. We inverted the geodetic data to estimate the slip distribution on the interface of the subducting Pacific plate. The estimated coseismic slip, potentially including afterslip, showed a patch of large slip (i.e., an asperity) near the epicenter of the mainshock. The moment magnitude of the Nemuro-oki earthquake was estimated to be 8.0 from the geodetic data, which is comparable to the 2003 Mw = 8.0 Tokachi-oki earthquake. The estimated slip distribution suggests a 50 km-long gap in the coseismic slip between the 1973 Nemuro-oki and the 2003 Tokachi-oki earthquakes. The slip area of the 2004 Mw = 7.0 Kushiro-oki earthquake, estimated from GPS data, was located at the northwestern edge of the Nemuro-oki earthquake, which implies that the area may have acted as a barrier during the Nemuro-oki earthquake. The postseismic deformation observed by leveling and tide-gauge measurements suggests that the afterslip of the Nemuro-oki earthquake occurred at least in a western and northern (i.e., deeper) extension of the asperity on the plate interface.
    [Show full text]
  • Japan Hokkaido Nansei Oki Eer
    EERI SPECIAL EARTHQUAKE REPORT -AUGUST 1993 2 EERI SPECIAL EARTHQUAKE REPORT-AUGUST 1993 of Okushiri Island which lies west ~ARTHQUAKE MECHANISM of the Hokkaido mainland and south-southwest of the epicenter ..,-- --,.- , -, ,. -,. ", Shakotan-oki earthquake, which The earthquake began on July 12 (Figures 3a and 3b). The amount at 22: 17 local time at latitude 42 occurred immediately to the north of subsidence initially ranged from 47' North, 139° 12' E at a depth of the 1993 event, had a similar about 20 cm to 100 cm, but about of 27 km. The aftershocks define focal mechanism, but smaller mag- half of that subsidence has been a plane about 150 km long (north nitude and fault dimensions (Sata- recovered by uplift of the island. south) and 50 km wide (east-west) ke 1986). The occurrence of the Extensive marine seismic surveys dipping eastward at a shallow 1983 event led to the suggestion by the Japan Maritime Safety angle (about 10 ° ) , with most of of nascent subduction along the Agency following the earthquake the aftershock foci occurring at Japan Sea coast off northern Hon- have revealed extensive imbricate I shu (Kobayashi, 1983; Nakamura, depths between 10 km and 20 km , faulting of the sea floor extending based on preliminary information 1983) which the 1993 earthquake from east of Okushiri Island west- from Hokkaido University (Figure tends to confirm. The Sea of ward to the inferred surface ex- 1 ). A centroid depth of 1 5 km (a Japan side of this plate boundary pression of the subduction zone. 1"point source representative of the is the Eurasian plate" After the It is inferred that Okushiri Island is overall faulting) was estimated by 1983 earthquake, the northern located on a graben structure with- Harvard.
    [Show full text]
  • Two Decades of Global Tsunamis 1982-2002
    TWO DECADES OF GLOBAL TSUNAMIS 1982-2002 James F. Lander Lowell S. Whiteside Patricia A. Lockridge National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Geophysical Data Center 325 Broadway Boulder, Colorado 80305-3328 Science of Tsunami Hazards, Volume 21, Number 1, page 3 (2003) ACKNOWLEDGMENTS We acknowledge the financial support of the National Science Foundation (grant number MCS 9523698 for $208,815) that made the compilation of this catalog possible. We gratefully acknowledge the support of NOAA's National Geophysical Data Center who provided working space, access to their databases, computer systems, and supported in many other ways. The University of Colorado's Center for Interdisciplinary Research in Environmental Science provided administrative support in management of the records, travel arrangements, and personal services. Several Russian researchers established the precedent for this catalog. S. L. Soloviev and Ch. N. Go were authors of earlier tsunami catalogs: A Catalog of Tsunamis on the Western Shore of the Pacific (1974) and A Catalog of Tsunamis on the Eastern Shore of the Pacific (1975), covering the earliest reports of tsunamis in the Pacific up to 1968. S. L. Soloviev, Ch. N. Go and KH. S. Kim authored the updated Catalog of Tsunamis in the Pacific 1969-1982 with an English version published in 1992. These catalogs helped establish the importance of the historical record in evaluating tsunami risk and source mechanisms. This catalog follows the format of these earlier catalogs but extends the coverage worldwide. Recently there has been an increase of interest in the field of tsunamis. This has resulted in numerous workshops with important papers being presented on the occurrence and effects of tsunamis and the publication of these papers in proceedings.
    [Show full text]
  • EARTHQUAKE INSURANCE in JAPAN July 2014
    EARTHQUAKE INSURANCE IN JAPAN July 2014 General Insurance Rating Organization of Japan (GIROJ) Preface Japan is a country that has large numbers of natural disasters due to such things as typhoons, earthquakes and volcanic eruptions, and, in particular, as it is the world’s most earthquake-afflicted country, massive earthquake disasters have occurred frequently. The general insurance (Non- life) system in Japan commenced in the latter half of the 19th century, when Japan was reincarnated into a modern state. However, though the necessity for earthquake insurance was proclaimed and considered every time an earthquake disaster occurred, there was great difficulty in establishing such insurance, since there was a possibility of causing huge amounts of loss once a large-scale earthquake occurred. As a result of considerations by the general insurance companies and the government, with the Niigata Earthquake in 1964 as the turning point, by limiting the coverage and amount insured and other means, and through acceptance of reinsurance by the government, earthquake insurance systems for residences and household goods were finally established in 1966. Afterwards, in response to the various needs of the insurance users whenever earthquake disaster occurred, the earthquake insurance systems have been revised many times and the coverage and amount insured, etc., have been broadly improved. In addition, in order to maintain more reasonable rate, reconsideration has been given in rating for earthquake insurance, in reflection of the results, etc., of Japan’s world class, leading edge earthquake research. This book explains about “earthquake insurance in Japan,” which is characterized in these various ways, and we hope it will assist you in understanding the subject more deeply.
    [Show full text]
  • Japan Member Country Report
    CCOP-54AS/3-7 COORDINATING COMMITTEE FOR GEOSCIENCE PROGRAMMES IN EAST AND SOUTHEAST ASIA (CCOP) 54th CCOP Annual Session 28 October – 1 November 2018 Busan, Republic of Korea Member Country Report of JAPAN Submitted by Japan Delegation (For Agenda Item 3) COORDINATING COMMITTEE FOR GEOSCIENCE PROGRAMMES IN EAST AND SOUTHEAST ASIA (CCOP) CCOP Building, 75/10 Rama VI Road, Phayathai, Ratchathewi, Bangkok 10400, Thailand Tel: +66 (0) 2644 5468, Fax: +66 (0) 2644 5429, E-mail: [email protected], Website: www.ccop.or.th ANNUAL MEMBER COUNTRY REPORT Country: JAPAN Period: 1 July 2017 – 30 June 2018 1. OUTREACH 1.1. Summary This chapter describes the major outreach activities of the Geological Survey of Japan (GSJ), National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology (AIST) on their research outputs on geoscience. The first section below reviews the general outreach activity of GSJ mostly targeting the people in Japan. The second section introduces the International Training Course that GSJ has launched in 2018. 1.1.1. Outreach activity of GSJ GSJ gives priority to outreach activity as an important opportunity to provide its research results to the public, particularly to young students, industry people, and policy makers. The Geological Museum, the most important outreach facility of GSJ, exhibits GSJ’s research outcomes both by its permanent exhibition, which is regularly updated, and by short-term special exhibits held several times a year. In addition to the outreach activities through the Museum, GSJ conducts the following activities. For the general public: - Geological Information Exhibition at the annual meeting of the Geological Society of Japan.
    [Show full text]
  • Migrating Pattern of Deformation Prior to the Tohoku-Oki Earthquake Revealed by GRACE Data
    ARTICLES https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-018-0099-3 Migrating pattern of deformation prior to the Tohoku-Oki earthquake revealed by GRACE data Isabelle Panet1*, Sylvain Bonvalot2, Clément Narteau 3, Dominique Remy2 and Jean-Michel Lemoine4 Understanding how and when far-field continuous motions lead to giant subduction earthquakes remains a challenge. An impor- tant limitation comes from an incomplete description of aseismic mass fluxes at depth along plate boundaries. Here we analyse Earth’s gravity field variations derived from GRACE satellite data in a wide space-time domain surrounding the Mw 9.0 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake. We show that this earthquake is the extreme expression of initially silent deformation migrating from depth to the surface across the entire subduction system. Our analysis indeed reveals large-scale gravity and mass changes throughout three tectonic plates and connected slabs, starting a few months before March 2011. Before the Tohoku-Oki earth- quake rupture, the gravity variations can be explained by aseismic extension of the Pacific plate slab at mid-upper mantle depth, concomitant with increasing seismicity in the shallower slab. For more than two years after the rupture, the deformation propagated far into the Pacific and Philippine Sea plate interiors, suggesting that subduction accelerated along 2,000 km of the plate boundaries in March 2011. This gravitational image of the earthquake’s long-term dynamics provides unique information on deep and crustal processes over intermediate timescales, which could be used in seismic hazard assessment. iant earthquakes have mostly been recorded at subduction the 11 March 2011, Mw 9.0 Tohoku-Oki earthquake in a 150° × 100° zones, where an oceanic plate penetrates into the convect- region around Japan.
    [Show full text]
  • Near-Source Observations and Modeling of the Kuril Islands Tsunamis of 15 November 2006 and 13 January 2007 A
    Near-source observations and modeling of the Kuril Islands tsunamis of 15 November 2006 and 13 January 2007 A. B. Rabinovich, L. I. Lobkovsky, I. V. Fine, R. E. Thomson, T. N. Ivelskaya, E. A. Kulikov To cite this version: A. B. Rabinovich, L. I. Lobkovsky, I. V. Fine, R. E. Thomson, T. N. Ivelskaya, et al.. Near-source observations and modeling of the Kuril Islands tsunamis of 15 November 2006 and 13 January 2007. Advances in Geosciences, European Geosciences Union, 2008, 14, pp.105-116. hal-00297054 HAL Id: hal-00297054 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00297054 Submitted on 2 Jan 2008 HAL is a multi-disciplinary open access L’archive ouverte pluridisciplinaire HAL, est archive for the deposit and dissemination of sci- destinée au dépôt et à la diffusion de documents entific research documents, whether they are pub- scientifiques de niveau recherche, publiés ou non, lished or not. The documents may come from émanant des établissements d’enseignement et de teaching and research institutions in France or recherche français ou étrangers, des laboratoires abroad, or from public or private research centers. publics ou privés. Adv. Geosci., 14, 105–116, 2008 www.adv-geosci.net/14/105/2008/ Advances in © Author(s) 2008. This work is licensed Geosciences under a Creative Commons License. Near-source observations and modeling of the Kuril Islands tsunamis of 15 November 2006 and 13 January 2007 A. B. Rabinovich1,2, L. I. Lobkovsky1, I. V. Fine2, R. E. Thomson2, T. N. Ivelskaya3, and E. A. Kulikov1 1Russian Academy of Sciences, P.P. Shirshov Institute of Oceanology, 36 Nakhimovsky Pr., Moscow, 117997, Russia 2Department of Fisheries and Oceans, Institute of Ocean Sciences, 9860 W.
    [Show full text]
  • Forecast of Tsunamis from the Japan-Kuril-Kamchatka Source Region
    FORECAST OF TSUNAMIS FROM THE JAPAN-KURIL-KAMCHATKA SOURCE REGION A THESIS SUBMITTED TO THE GRADUATE DIVISION OF THE UNIVERSITY OF HAWAII IN PARTIAL FULLFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENT FOR THE DEGREE OF MASTER OF SCIENCE IN OCEAN AND RESOURCES ENGINEERING August 2004 BY Yoshiki Yamazaki Thesis Committee: Kwok Fai Cheung, Chair Hans-Jiirgen Krock Geno Pawlak ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I would like to express my appreciation to all who contributed to this thesis and in particular to Dr. Kwok Fai Cheung, whose thorough engineering knowledge and valuable academic advice have contributed to the realization of this project. Many thanks also go to the committee members, Dr. Hans-Jiirgen Krock and Dr. Geno Pawlak, for their advice and comments on this thesis. I would also like to thank Mr. George D. Curtis for sharing his tsunami modeling experience with me, Dr. George Pararas-Carayannis for giving his comments about tsunami arrival times, Dr. Kenji Satake for providing helpful information on the technical literature, Dr. Yoshimitsu Okada for his insights on the Okada formula, Dr. Hal Mofjeld for providing recorded tsunami waveforms at the warning points for the 1994 Kuril event, and Dr. Tatsuo Kuwayama for supplying the 20" bathymetry data around the Japan coastlines. Thanks are also due to Mr. Yong Wei for his valuable input and support on the project. Many thanks go to Ms. Edith Katada for her time and expertise in departmental procedures. Financial support in the form ofa graduate research assistantship was provided by the National Tsunami Hazard Mitigation Program via Hawaii State Civil Defense Division. 111 ABSTRACT This study investigates and defines the subfault distribution along the Japan-Kuril­ Kamchatka subduction zone for the implementation of a far-field tsunami forecast algorithm.
    [Show full text]