DOCSLIB.ORG

Trayectorias De Ciclones Tropicales (2006) 23 De Agosto 2006, 1800

Total Page：16

File Type：pdf, Size：1020Kb

Download full-text PDF Read full-text
Trayectorias De Ciclones Tropicales (2006) 23 De Agosto 2006, 1800 Trayectorias de ciclones tropicales (2006) Temporada 2006 • Mayo 27 – Noviembre 20 • 18 tormentas tropicales (Aletta,…,Sergio) • 2 sistemas • 12 sistemas entraron a tierra durante el periodo en septiembre: julio-septiembre John • 2 sistemas entraron a tierra Lane en septiembre 3 depresiones tropicales: 2-E, 18-E, 20-E y otro en octubre: (John, Lane) y 1 en octubre (Paul). 8 tormentas tropicales: Aletta, Emilia, Fabio, Gilma, Miriam, Norman, Olivia, Rosa Paul 10 huracanes: Bud,Carlotta,Daniel,Hector,Ileana,John,Kristy,Lane,Paul,Sergio. Vientos máximos: 190 km/h 18.5ºN, 112.1ºW, 105 kt, 955 mb Ráfagas: 225 km/h 23 de agosto 2006, 1800 UTC Presión mínima: 955 mb Movimiento al NNW: 23 km/h Imágenes de satélite (GOES-11) • Banda visible [resolución 4km] • Banda vapor de agua [8km] • Banda infrarroja [4km] 61 km/h 29 28 27 26 90 km/h 25 Hurricane Ileana 24 21-27 August 955 mb Hurricane 115 km/h Tropical Storm 23 Tropical Dep. Extratropical Subtr. Storm Subtr. Dep. Low / Wave 22 00 UTC Pos/Date 12 UTC Position PPP Min. press (mb) Huracán Ileana: 21-27 Ago. Ejemplo de un sistema “distante” que proporciona alto contenido de humedad y tormentas locales. 71 horas de imágenes Ago/23-26/2006 1 Vientos máximos: 170 km/h Ráfagas: 207 km/h Presión mínima: 958 mb Movimiento al NNW: 13 km/h Diámetro del ojo: 18 km Alerta de Huracán: San Evaristo-Bahía Magdalena 61 km/h 90 km/h 115 km/h 4 700 mb (2737 m) 3 2 Pmín = 958 mb 1 Hurricane John Vmáx = 176 km/h (SE) 28 August-4 September 2006 31 Hurricane Tropical Storm Tropical Dep. Extratropical 30 Subtr. Storm Subtr. Dep. 948 mb 29 Low / Wave 00 UTC Pos/Date 28 12 UTC Position PPP Min. press (mb) Huracán John: 28 Ago. - 4 Sept. Entró a tierra 3 horas después de esta imagen Aire seco Aire húmedo Radar meteorológico Cabo San Lucas 2 Convección máxima GOES-11 (infrarrojo) E y s c Trayectoria John (▲) Estaciones a meteorológicas l a c a l i b r Convección a profunda d a Libre de convección profunda d e Trayectoria (NHC, t cada 3 horas) o n o s Contornos de elevación del terreno (300, 600, 900 m) Convección máxima Estación climatológica (CNA/SMN) 6 145 GOES-11 (infrarrojo) E 351 y s Los Barriles, B.C.S. c 227 Trayectoria John (▲) (23º40’45.6”N, 109º42’39.7”, 140 m) a l 286 199 Localizada cerca al sitio de entrada a tierra a 141 c Junio 21, 2006 a (Antes de John y l 54 264 i la temporada de lluvias) b 235 r 49 m/s; 109 mph; 176 km/h a 110 455 d a 222 65 53 92 101 247 d 359 e 65 306 Septiembre 13, 2006 83 t 182 506 (Después de John; 196.5 mm) o n 110 196 o 79 174 s 120 El Servicio Met. Nacional cuenta con 100 115 258 de estas estaciones (tradicionales) en el 84 196 estado y más de 3,000 en el país. 173 Una observación (8AM) se toma diariamente Lluvia total (mm) estaciones del SMN 128 447 Miércoles 20 de septiembre, 2006 Transporte de la ayuda a Mulegé 3 Pronósticos operacionales, trayectoria de John Pronósticos oficiales • Oficial (público) del CNH ● National Hurricane Center (Miami, FL) ● Emitidos a las 03, 09, 15 y 21 GMT • Modelo GFS (EUA) Alta ▼ ● Cada pronóstico válido de 12 a 120 hours ▲ ● Se determina un “consenso” a partir de • Mejor trayectoria (obs) varios modelos numéricos: Término (120 hr) CLIPER,GFS,NOGAPS,UKMET,GFDL,FSU/SE,BAM,LBAR (track) SHIFOR,SHIPS (intensity) Hubo una tendencia hacia el oeste en la predicción de trayectorias, probablemente por: Entrada a tierra 1) Evolución de la estructura del flujo atmosférico y/o Inicialización 12GMT/30 Agosto 2) Falta de observaciones de altura. (62 horas antes de entrar a tierra) Inicio pronóstico ▲ ▼ ▲ ▼ Entrada a tierra (pronóstico de 03UTC 31 Ago) • a 48 horas desde inicio • 53 km al suroeste del sitio real • 2 horas antes de la hora real Inicialización 12GMT/31 Agosto Inicialización 12GMT/1 Septiembre • NHC report 95 kt; fcst 110 kt (dif=8m/s) (38 horas antes de entrar a tierra) (14 horas antes de entrar a tierra) Tendencia de trayectorias al oeste; no hubo radiosondeos en el noroeste de México 61 km/h 90 km/h 115 km/h Vientos máximos: 200 km/h 30 Ráfagas: 245 km/h 25 700 mb (2717 m) 17 Presión mínima: 952 mb P = 955 mb 952 mb mín 16 Movimiento al NNW: 16 km/h 20 Hurricane Lane V = 198 km/h (SE) 13-17 September 2006 máx Hurricane 15 Tropical Storm Tropical Dep. Extratropical Diámetro del ojo: 18 km 14 Subtr. Storm 15 Subtr. Dep. Low / Wave 00 UTC Pos/Date Alerta de Huracán: 12 UTC Position PPP Min. press (mb) El Roblito-Topolobampo 10 -120 -115 -110 -105 -100 -95 Huracán Lane: 13-17 Septiembre, pasó al sur de Baja California Pronósticos oficiales ● National Hurricane Center (Miami, FL) ● Emitidos a las 03, 09, 15 y 21 GMT Término (120 hr) ● Cada pronóstico válido de 12 a 120 hours ● Se determina un “consenso” a partir de varios modelos numéricos: Entrada a tierra CLIPER,GFS,NOGAPS,UKMET,GFDL,FSU/SE,BAM,LBAR (track) SHIFOR,SHIPS (intensity) * Inicio pronóstico Entrada a tierra (pronóstico de 09UTC 15 Sep) • a 96 horas (4 dias) desde inicio • 396 km al noroeste del sitio real • 59 horas despues de la hora real 48 horas de imágenes • 110 kt nhc; 55 kt fcst Sep/15-17/2006 • 28 m/s mas debil en pronostico 4 Vientos máximos: 81 km/h Ráfagas: 99 km/h Presión mínima: 999 mb Movimiento al NNW: 20 km/h Alerta de Tormenta Tropical: Agua Blanca- La Paz y Mazatlán-Altata 30 Hurricane Paul 21-26 October 2006 Hurricane 850 mb (1421 m) Tropical Storm Tropical Dep. Extratropical 61 km/h P = 999 mb Subtr. Storm mín 25 Subtr. Dep. Low / Wave 26 00 UTC Pos/Date V = 95 km/h (E) 12 UTC Position máx PPP Min. press (mb) 25 20 970 mb 24 23 22 15 -120 -115 -110 -105 -100 Huracán Paul: Oct. 21-25, pasó cerca a Isla Socorro y al sur de Baja California 35 Tropical Storm Emilia Pronósticos oficiales 21-28 July 2006 Hurricane 31 30 Tropical Storm Tropical Dep. 30 Extratropical ● National Hurricane Center (Miami, FL) Subtr. Storm 28 29 Subtr. Dep. Low / Wave 27 25 00 UTC Pos/Date ● Emitidos a las 03, 09, 15 y 21 GMT 12 UTC Position PPP Min. press (mb) 990 mb 26 20 ● Cada pronóstico válido de 12 a 120 hours 25 24 ● Se determina un “consenso” a partir de 23 15 varios modelos numéricos: 22 CLIPER,GFS,NOGAPS,UKMET,GFDL,FSU/SE,BAM,LBAR (track) 10 -130 -125 -120 -115 -110 -105 -100 -95 SHIFOR,SHIPS (intensity) Entrada a tierra y termino Inicio pronóstico Entrada a tierra (pronóstico de 09UTC 22 Oct) • a 72 horas (3 dias) desde inicio • 24 km al norte del sitio real • 26 horas antes de la hora real • 25 kt nhc; 60 kt fcst Huracán Emilia: 21-28 Julio, pasó al oeste de Baja California • 18 m/s mas fuerte en el pronostico Asociado con las primeras lluvia (de verano) 5 ESTADO DE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR (Reportes CNA/SMN) Precipitación (mm) acumulada 25, 26 y 27 de julio 2006 Estación 25 26 27 25+26+27 1 GUERRERO NEGRO 0.00 0.00 1.0 1.0 2 GUSTAVO DĺAZ ORDAZ 0.00 0.01 0.0 0.01 3 CIUDAD CONSTITUCIÓN 0.00 29.8 0.0 29.8 4 TODOS SANTOS 12.0 59.0 0.0 71.0 6 CABO SAN LUCAS 55.0 82.5 0.0 137.5 7 LA PAZ 15.4 29.2 0.0 44.6 8 LA RIBERA 106.0 38.4 0.0 144.4 Å Max. 3 9 LORETO 0.0 3.3 0.01 3 .3 11 SAN ANTONIO 51.6 27.4 0.0 79.0 12 SAN JOSÉ DEL CABO 76.0 25.0 0.0 101.0 18 LOS PLANES 38.5 64.5 12.0 115.0 13 EL SARGENTO 50.0 3.0 3.0 56.0 14 SANTIAGO 127.3 63.2 0.0 190.5 Å Max. 1 15 SAN BARTOLO 85.0 58.0 17.0 160.0 Å Max. 2 72 horas de imágenes Jul/23-26/2006 25 Tropical Storm Miriam 16-18 September 2006 21 Hurricane 20 Tropical Storm Tropical Dep. Extratropical Subtr. Storm Subtr. Dep. Low / Wave 00 UTC Pos/Date 19 12 UTC Position PPP Min. press (mb) 20 18 999 mb 17 16 15 -120 -115 -110 -105 Pronósticos de trayectoria (CNH). Un pronóstico cada 6 horas: +12,+24,+36+48,+72,+96,+120 Tormenta tropical Miriam: 16-18 Septiembre, se acercó a Baja California Henriette 2007 John 2006 Javier 2004 Marty 2003 Ignacio 2003 Juliette 2001 —— Trayectoria Pronósticos a: 72 horas X 48 horas O 24 horas ¼ 12 horas antes de entrar a tierra 6.
Load more

Recommended publications
  • Climatology, Variability, and Return Periods of Tropical Cyclone Strikes in the Northeastern and Central Pacific Ab Sins Nicholas S
    Louisiana State University LSU Digital Commons LSU Master's Theses Graduate School March 2019 Climatology, Variability, and Return Periods of Tropical Cyclone Strikes in the Northeastern and Central Pacific aB sins Nicholas S. Grondin Louisiana State University, [email protected] Follow this and additional works at: https://digitalcommons.lsu.edu/gradschool_theses Part of the Climate Commons, Meteorology Commons, and the Physical and Environmental Geography Commons Recommended Citation Grondin, Nicholas S., "Climatology, Variability, and Return Periods of Tropical Cyclone Strikes in the Northeastern and Central Pacific asinB s" (2019). LSU Master's Theses. 4864. https://digitalcommons.lsu.edu/gradschool_theses/4864 This Thesis is brought to you for free and open access by the Graduate School at LSU Digital Commons. It has been accepted for inclusion in LSU Master's Theses by an authorized graduate school editor of LSU Digital Commons. For more information, please contact [email protected]. CLIMATOLOGY, VARIABILITY, AND RETURN PERIODS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE STRIKES IN THE NORTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL PACIFIC BASINS A Thesis Submitted to the Graduate Faculty of the Louisiana State University and Agricultural and Mechanical College in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science in The Department of Geography and Anthropology by Nicholas S. Grondin B.S. Meteorology, University of South Alabama, 2016 May 2019 Dedication This thesis is dedicated to my family, especially mom, Mim and Pop, for their love and encouragement every step of the way. This thesis is dedicated to my friends and fraternity brothers, especially Dillon, Sarah, Clay, and Courtney, for their friendship and support. This thesis is dedicated to all of my teachers and college professors, especially Mrs.
    [Show full text]
  • Notable Tropical Cyclones and Unusual Areas of Tropical Cyclone Formation
    A flood is an overflow of an expanse of water that submerges land.[1] The EU Floods directive defines a flood as a temporary covering by water of land not normally covered by water.[2] In the sense of "flowing water", the word may also be applied to the inflow of the tide. Flooding may result from the volume of water within a body of water, such as a river or lake, which overflows or breaks levees, with the result that some of the water escapes its usual boundaries.[3] While the size of a lake or other body of water will vary with seasonal changes in precipitation and snow melt, it is not a significant flood unless such escapes of water endanger land areas used by man like a village, city or other inhabited area. Floods can also occur in rivers, when flow exceeds the capacity of the river channel, particularly at bends or meanders. Floods often cause damage to homes and businesses if they are placed in natural flood plains of rivers. While flood damage can be virtually eliminated by moving away from rivers and other bodies of water, since time out of mind, people have lived and worked by the water to seek sustenance and capitalize on the gains of cheap and easy travel and commerce by being near water. That humans continue to inhabit areas threatened by flood damage is evidence that the perceived value of living near the water exceeds the cost of repeated periodic flooding. The word "flood" comes from the Old English flod, a word common to Germanic languages (compare German Flut, Dutch vloed from the same root as is seen in flow, float; also compare with Latin fluctus, flumen).
    [Show full text]
  • Reducing Economic Vulnerability in Mexico. Natural Disasters, Foreign Trade and Agriculture
    ePubWU Institutional Repository Sergio Omar Saldaña-Zorrilla Reducing economic vulnerability in Mexico. Natural disasters, foreign trade and agriculture. Thesis Original Citation: Saldaña-Zorrilla, Sergio Omar (2006) Reducing economic vulnerability in Mexico. Natural disasters, foreign trade and agriculture. Doctoral thesis, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business. This version is available at: https://epub.wu.ac.at/1936/ Available in ePubWU: October 2006 ePubWU, the institutional repository of the WU Vienna University of Economics and Business, is provided by the University Library and the IT-Services. The aim is to enable open access to the scholarly output of the WU. http://epub.wu.ac.at/ Reducing Economic Vulnerability in Mexico: Natural Disasters, Foreign Trade and Agriculture Verringerung wirtschaftlicher Vulnerabilität in Mexiko: Naturkatastrophen, Außenhandel und Landwirtschaft Eingereicht von: Sergio Omar Saldaña-Zorrilla Dissertation zur Erlangung des akademischen Grades Doktor der Sozial- und Wirtschaftswissenschaften Doctor rerum socialium oeconomicarumque (Dr.rer.soc.oec.) Fachgebiet Volkswirtschaftslehre 1. Beurteiler: O.Univ.Prof.Dkfm.Dr. Leonhard Bauer, WU-Wien 2. Beurteiler: O.Univ.Prof. Dr. Uwe Schubert, WU-Wien Externe Gutachterin: Dr. Joanne Linerooth-Bayer, IIASA Wien, im Oktober 2006 Acknowledgements The author wishes to thank the following persons and institutions for contributing to the success of this dissertation. Above all, special thanks to Dr. Joanne Linerooth-Bayer, Program Leader of the Risk and Vulnerability Program at the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), who has continually supported me with her confidence, advice, and supervision since the beginning of this process; Dr. Uwe Schubert for his confidence, feedback, and guidance in preparing the dissertation; Dr. Leonhard Bauer for his encouragement in focusing on a more needs-based scientific approach.
    [Show full text]
  • Economic Impact of Disasters: Evidence from DALA Assessments by ECLAC in Latin America and the Caribbean
    ECLAC SUBREGIONAL OFFICE IN MEXICO S E R I estudios y perspectivas 117 Economic impact of disasters: Evidence from DALA assessments by ECLAC in Latin America and the Caribbean Ricardo Zapata Benjamín Madrigal ECLAC Subregional Office in Mexico Mexico City, November 2009 This document has been prepared by Ricardo Zapata Martí, Regional Advisor and Regional Focal Point for Disaster Evaluation of the Disaster Evaluation Unit, ECLAC, with the collaboration of Benjamín Madrigal. The views expressed in this document, which has been reproduced without formal editing, are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Organization. United Nations Publication ISSN printed version 1680-8800 ISSN online version 1684-0364 ISBN: 978-92-1-121731-5 LC/L.3172-P LC/MEX/L.941 Sales No.: E.09.II.G.146 Copyright © United Nations, November 2009. All rights reserved Printed in United Nations, Mexico City, Mexico Applications for the right to reproduce this work are welcomed and should be sent to the Secretary of the Publications Board, United Nations Headquarters, New York, N.Y. 10017, U.S.A. Member States and their governmental institutions may reproduce this work without prior authorization, but are requested to mention the source and inform the United Nations of such reproduction. CEPAL - Serie Estudios y perspectivas – Mexico – No 117 Economic impact of disasters: Evidence from DALA … Table of contents Abstract ............................................................................................ 5 I. Disasters, impact on development indices as observed in Latin America and the Caribbean.............................................. 7 1. Summary of impact of disasters in economic terms................... 7 2. Absolute and relative economic impact of disasters in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC).
    [Show full text]
  • 2017 Edition
    Regional Association IV – Hurricane Operational Plan for North America, Central America and the Caribbean Tropical Cyclone Programme Report No. TCP-30 2017 edition TER WA E T A CLIM R THE A WE World Meteorological Organization WMO-No. 1163 WMO-No. 1163 © World Meteorological Organization, 2017 The right of publication in print, electronic and any other form and in any language is reserved by WMO. Short extracts from WMO publications may be reproduced without authorization, provided that the complete source is clearly indicated. Editorial correspondence and requests to publish, reproduce or translate this publication in part or in whole should be addressed to: Chair, Publications Board World Meteorological Organization (WMO) 7 bis, avenue de la Paix Tel.: +41 (0) 22 730 84 03 P.O. Box 2300 Fax: +41 (0) 22 730 80 40 CH-1211 Geneva 2, Switzerland E-mail: [email protected] ISBN 978-92-63-11163-0 NOTE The designations employed in WMO publications and the presentation of material in this publication do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of WMO concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area, or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. The mention of specific companies or products does not imply that they are endorsed or recommended by WMO in preference to others of a similar nature which are not mentioned or advertised. The findings, interpretations and conclusions expressed in WMO publications with named authors are those of the authors alone and do not necessarily reflect those of WMO or its Members.
    [Show full text]
  • Eastern North Pacific Hurricane Season of 2006
    VOLUME 137 MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW JANUARY 2009 Eastern North Pacific Hurricane Season of 2006 RICHARD J. PASCH,ERIC S. BLAKE,LIXION A. AVILA,JOHN L. BEVEN,DANIEL P. BROWN, JAMES L. FRANKLIN,RICHARD D. KNABB,MICHELLE M. MAINELLI,JAMIE R. RHOME, AND STACY R. STEWART Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Miami, Florida (Manuscript received 20 December 2007, in final form 20 May 2008) ABSTRACT The hurricane season of 2006 in the eastern North Pacific basin is summarized, and the individual tropical cyclones are described. Also, the official track and intensity forecasts of these cyclones are verified and evaluated. The 2006 eastern North Pacific season was an active one, in which 18 tropical storms formed. Of these, 10 became hurricanes and 5 became major hurricanes. A total of 2 hurricanes and 1 tropical depres- sion made landfall in Mexico, causing 13 direct deaths in that country along with significant property damage. On average, the official track forecasts in the eastern Pacific for 2006 were quite skillful. No appreciable improvement in mean intensity forecasts was noted, however. 1. Overview speeds in knots every 6 h for all tropical and subtropical cyclones while at or above tropical storm strength. The After three consecutive below-average hurricane ACE for 2006 in the eastern North Pacific was 120 ϫ seasons, tropical cyclone activity in the eastern North 104 kt2, or about 107% of the long-term (1971–2005) Pacific basin was above average in 2006. A total of 18 mean. Although the ACE value for 2006 was just tropical storms developed, and 10 of these strengthened slightly above average, it was the highest observed since into hurricanes (Table 1; Fig.
    [Show full text]
  • Trayectorias De Ciclones Tropicales (2006)
    Trayectorias de ciclones tropicales (2006) 3 depresiones tropicales: 2-E, 18-E, 20-E 8 tormentas tropicales: Aletta, Emilia, Fabio, Gilma, Miriam, Norman, Olivia, Rosa 10 huracanes: Bud,Carlotta,Daniel,Hector,Ileana,John,Kristy,Lane,Paul,Sergio. Temporada 2006 • Mayo 27 – Noviembre 20 • 18 tormentas tropicales (Aletta,…,Sergio) • 2 sistemas • 12 sistemas entraron a tierra durante el periodo en septiembre: julio-septiembre John • 2 sistemas entraron a tierra Lane en septiembre y otro en octubre: (John, Lane) y 1 en octubre (Paul). Paul Vientos máximos: 190 km/h Ráfagas: 225 km/h Presión mínima: 955 mb Movimiento al NNW: 23 km/h 61 km/h 29 28 27 26 90 km/h 25 Hurricane Ileana 24 21-27 August 955 mb Hurricane 115 km/h Tropical Storm 23 Tropical Dep. Extratropical Subtr. Storm Subtr. Dep. Low / Wave 22 00 UTC Pos/Date 12 UTC Position PPP Min. press (mb) Huracán Ileana: 21-27 Ago. Ejemplo de un sistema “distante” que proporciona alto contenido de humedad y tormentas locales. Vientos máximos: 170 km/h Ráfagas: 207 km/h Presión mínima: 958 mb Movimiento al NNW: 13 km/h Diámetro del ojo: 18 km Alerta de Huracán: San Evaristo-Bahía Magdalena 61 km/h 90 km/h 115 km/h 4 700 mb (2737 m) 3 2 Pmín = 958 mb 1 Hurricane John Vmáx = 176 km/h (SE) 28 August-4 September 2006 31 Hurricane Tropical Storm Tropical Dep. Extratropical 30 Subtr. Storm Subtr. Dep. 948 mb 29 Low / Wave 00 UTC Pos/Date 28 12 UTC Position PPP Min. press (mb) Huracán John: 28 Ago.
    [Show full text]
  • Economic Impact of Disasters: Evidence from DALA Assessments by ECLAC in Latin America and the Caribbean
    View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you by CORE provided by ECLAC Digital Repository ECLAC SUBREGIONAL OFFICE IN MEXICO S E R I estudios y perspectivas 117 Economic impact of disasters: Evidence from DALA assessments by ECLAC in Latin America and the Caribbean Ricardo Zapata Benjamín Madrigal ECLAC Subregional Office in Mexico Mexico City, November 2009 This document has been prepared by Ricardo Zapata Martí, Regional Advisor and Regional Focal Point for Disaster Evaluation of the Disaster Evaluation Unit, ECLAC, with the collaboration of Benjamín Madrigal. The views expressed in this document, which has been reproduced without formal editing, are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Organization. United Nations Publication ISSN printed version 1680-8800 ISSN online version 1684-0364 ISBN: 978-92-1-121731-5 LC/L.3172-P LC/MEX/L.941 Sales No.: E.09.II.G.146 Copyright © United Nations, November 2009. All rights reserved Printed in United Nations, Mexico City, Mexico Applications for the right to reproduce this work are welcomed and should be sent to the Secretary of the Publications Board, United Nations Headquarters, New York, N.Y. 10017, U.S.A. Member States and their governmental institutions may reproduce this work without prior authorization, but are requested to mention the source and inform the United Nations of such reproduction. CEPAL - Serie Estudios y perspectivas – Mexico – No 117 Economic impact of disasters: Evidence from DALA … Table of contents Abstract ............................................................................................ 5 I. Disasters, impact on development indices as observed in Latin America and the Caribbean.............................................
    [Show full text]
  • On the Landfall of Northeastern Pacific Tropical Cyclones John
    1 1 2 3 ON THE LANDFALL OF NORTHEASTERN PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES JOHN, 4 LANE AND PAUL (2006) OVER NORTHWESTERN MEXICO 5 6 LUIS M. FARFÁN 7 Centro de Investigación Científica y de Educación Superior de Ensenada B.C. (CICESE) 8 La Paz, Baja California Sur, Mexico 9 10 ROSARIO ROMERO-CENTENO and G.B. RAGA 11 Centro de Ciencias de la Atmósfera 12 Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México 13 Mexico City, Mexico 14 15 16 Submitted to Monthly Weather Review 17 American Meteorological Society 18 16 July 2009 19 20 Corresponding author address: 21 Luis M. Farfán 22 CICESE, Unidad La Paz 23 Miraflores 334, La Paz, BCS 23050, México. 24 E-mail: [email protected] 1 2 25 ABSTRACT 26 27 This study is focused on the life cycle of Tropical Cyclones John, Lane, and Paul in the 28 Northeastern Pacific Ocean. These systems developed during the relatively active season of 2006 29 and made landfall over the coast of Northwestern Mexico. Based on a regional network, heavy 30 rainfall was documented throughout the Baja California Peninsula and mainland Mexico. A 31 gridded analysis reveals storm motion related to large-scale circulations including an anticyclone 32 over the Gulf of Mexico and a middle-latitude system approaching the western United States. 33 Tropical Cyclone John resulted in a maximum of total rainfall in the range of 350–510 mm, 34 concentrated along the storm track that moved over the peninsular mountains. These accumulations 35 set new records of daily rates with respect to the available dataset from the base period 1970-2005.
    [Show full text]
  • Eastern North Pacific Hurricane Season of 2006
    VOLUME 137 MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW JANUARY 2009 Eastern North Pacific Hurricane Season of 2006 RICHARD J. PASCH,ERIC S. BLAKE,LIXION A. AVILA,JOHN L. BEVEN,DANIEL P. BROWN, JAMES L. FRANKLIN,RICHARD D. KNABB,MICHELLE M. MAINELLI,JAMIE R. RHOME, AND STACY R. STEWART Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Miami, Florida (Manuscript received 20 December 2007, in final form 20 May 2008) ABSTRACT The hurricane season of 2006 in the eastern North Pacific basin is summarized, and the individual tropical cyclones are described. Also, the official track and intensity forecasts of these cyclones are verified and evaluated. The 2006 eastern North Pacific season was an active one, in which 18 tropical storms formed. Of these, 10 became hurricanes and 5 became major hurricanes. A total of 2 hurricanes and 1 tropical depres- sion made landfall in Mexico, causing 13 direct deaths in that country along with significant property damage. On average, the official track forecasts in the eastern Pacific for 2006 were quite skillful. No appreciable improvement in mean intensity forecasts was noted, however. 1. Overview speeds in knots every 6 h for all tropical and subtropical cyclones while at or above tropical storm strength. The After three consecutive below-average hurricane ACE for 2006 in the eastern North Pacific was 120 ϫ seasons, tropical cyclone activity in the eastern North 104 kt2, or about 107% of the long-term (1971–2005) Pacific basin was above average in 2006. A total of 18 mean. Although the ACE value for 2006 was just tropical storms developed, and 10 of these strengthened slightly above average, it was the highest observed since into hurricanes (Table 1; Fig.
    [Show full text]
  • World Bank Document
    Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized / -~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~------ ~~~~~~~~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ Public Disclosure Authorized quup ~~~~~~ ~Q Public Disclosure Authorized Disaster Risk Management Series Managing Disaster Risk in Mexico: Market Incentives for Mitigation Investment Alcira Kreimer Margaret Arnold Christopher Barham Paul Freeman Roy Gilbert Frederick Krimgold Rodney Lester John D. Pollner Tom Vogt The World Bank DisasterManagement Facility 1999 Washington,D.C. Copyright ( 1999 The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/THEWORLD BANK 1818 H Street, N.W Washington, D.C 20433, U.S.A. All rights reserved Manufactured in the United States of America First printing June 1999 The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this paper are entirely those of the authors and should not be attributed in any manner to the World Bank, to its affiliated organizations, or to members of its Board of Executive Directors or the countries they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this publication and accepts no responsibility for any consequence of their use. The boundaries, colors, denominations, and other information shown on any map in this volume do not imply on the part of the World Bank Group any judgment on the legal status of any territory or the endorsement or accep- tance of such boundaries. The material in this publication is copyrighted. The World Bank encourages dissemination of its work and will normally grant permission promptly Permission to photocopy items for internal or personal use, for the internal or personal use of specific clients, or for educational classroom use is granted by the World Bank, provided that the appropriate fee is paid directly to Copyright Clearance Center, Inc., 222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers, MA 01923, U.S.A., telephone 978-750-8400, fax 978-750-4470.
    [Show full text]
  • 1 Tropical Cyclone Report Hurricane Paul (EP162012) 13
    Tropical Cyclone Report Hurricane Paul (EP162012) 13 – 17 October 2012 Robbie Berg National Hurricane Center 4 January 2012 Paul was a category 3 hurricane (on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale) that rapidly intensified near Clarion Island and then rapidly weakened as it approached the Baja California peninsula. Paul made landfall along the west coast of Baja California Sur as a post- tropical cyclone and then dissipated northwest of Punta Eugenia. a. Synoptic History Paul originated from a tropical wave that moved off the west coast of Africa on 28 September. The wave moved westward across the tropical Atlantic during the next few days, with convection near the northern end of the wave axis developing into Tropical Storm Oscar over the central Atlantic on 3 October. The tropical wave continued westward but lost most of its deep convection when it approached the Lesser Antilles on 4 October. Convection remained limited through 8 October while the wave moved across the Caribbean Sea and Central America, but showers and thunderstorms increased over the far eastern Pacific Ocean by 10 October. The convective activity increased in organization by 13 October—the same time that a well-defined low-level center of circulation developed—and the disturbance is estimated to have become a tropical depression at 1200 UTC that day while centered about 560 n mi south-southwest of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico. The cyclone steadily strengthened, becoming a tropical storm 6 h later. The “best track” chart of Paul’s path is given in Fig. 1, with the wind and pressure histories shown in Figs.
    [Show full text]