Uog SFC Impact for Access MD40 Project Report Dec 2016
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2016 The University of Glasgow and West of Scotland Local Authority partners: how to engage with MD40 pupils in higher progression schools - SFC Impact for Access Project Report Dr Neil Croll Alison Browitt Monika Anderson Kelly Hedge-Holmes Acknowledgements: Thanks go to our Local Authority partners and participating schools. With special thanks for their contributions to the final manuscript to Rita Nimmo, Tony McDaid, Laura Cook, Luoana Santarossa, Jamie Wilson, Sandra Ramage, Euan Mckay and Alyson Wynne-Jones. Further thanks to Pam Davie and the pupils and staff at Kirkintilloch High School. This project was supported by the Scottish Funding Council Impact for Access Fund. Thank you to Anna Thomson for her support throughout the project. This project would not have been possible without access to the data supplied by Scottish Government Analytical Services. Thank you to Albert King for his help and support in obtaining this information. This project was conducted as a partnership between the University of Glasgow, the 13 west of Scotland Local Authorities and associated secondary schools. However, responsibility for any opinion or conclusions drawn in this report lies solely with the authors. 1 1. Tables of Contents 1. Tables of Contents .......................................................................................................................... 2 2.1 List of Tables ............................................................................................................................... 6 2.2 List of Figures .............................................................................................................................. 7 3. Executive Summary ......................................................................................................................... 8 4. Introduction ...................................................................................................................................... 20 4.1 Context ........................................................................................................................................ 20 4.2 Perceived need for the research ................................................................................................. 20 4.2.1 UoG WP pre-entry programmes .............................................................................................. 20 4.2.2 Targeting of pre-entry programmes ........................................................................................ 20 4.2.3 Distribution of MD40 pupils across secondary schools ........................................................... 21 4.2.4 Additional funded places for MD40 applicants ....................................................................... 22 4.2.5 Research / evaluation of UoG pre-entry programmes: Top-Up case study ............................ 23 4.2.6 UoG MD40 First Year Continuation ......................................................................................... 24 4.2.7 SFC Impact for Access Fund Bid ............................................................................................... 25 4.3 Funding and staffing ................................................................................................................... 25 4.4 Project duration .......................................................................................................................... 25 4.5 Project Aims ................................................................................................................................ 26 4.5.1 Quantitative research .............................................................................................................. 26 4.5.2 Qualitative research ................................................................................................................. 26 4.5.3 Pilot engagement of pupils / parents / schools ....................................................................... 26 4.6 Report Structure ......................................................................................................................... 27 5. Methodology ..................................................................................................................................... 28 5.1 Quantitative analysis ................................................................................................................... 28 5.2 Qualitative analysis ..................................................................................................................... 29 5.3 Pilot engagement and evaluation ............................................................................................... 29 6. Quantitative Data Analysis ................................................................................................................ 30 6.1 Relative socio-economic disadvantage correlates with progression to HE ................................ 30 6.2 Alternative measures of socio-economic disadvantage ............................................................. 33 6.3 Pupil profiles in west of Scotland Local Authorities .................................................................... 34 6.4 The scale of the problem ............................................................................................................ 37 2 6.5 Progression to HE and attainment in lower and higher progression schools ............................. 39 6.6 Protected Characteristics ............................................................................................................ 41 6.6.1 Correlation of SIMD with protected characteristics ................................................................ 41 6.6.2 S4 attainment by SIMD and protected characteristics ............................................................ 41 6.7 Correlation of care experience with SIMD decile and gender .................................................... 43 6.7.1 Care experienced pupils by SIMD decile and gender .............................................................. 43 6.7.2 Number of care experienced pupils by school stage and gender ............................................ 44 6.7.3 Average cumulative Insight tariff points gained by care experienced pupils by stage and gender ............................................................................................................................................... 45 6.7.4 Highest SCQF qualification achieved by care experienced pupils ........................................... 46 6.7.5 Care experienced leavers’ destinations ................................................................................... 46 6.8 School leavers: characteristics, attainment and progression to HE ........................................... 47 6.8.1 S4 / Winter S5 Leavers by SIMD postcode ............................................................................... 47 6.8.1.1 Average Cumulative Tariff Points by Leaver Group and SIMD Decile .................................. 48 6.8.1.2 S4 Leavers by Gender and SIMD Decile ................................................................................ 49 6.8.1.3 S4 Leavers by Ethnicity and Gender ...................................................................................... 50 6.8.2 S5 Leavers ................................................................................................................................ 51 6.8.2.1 S5 Leavers by SIMD Decile .................................................................................................... 51 6.8.2.2 S5 MD40 leavers relative to the overall MD40 school population ....................................... 51 6.8.2.3 S5 Leavers by SIMD Decile and Gender ................................................................................ 52 6.8.2.4 Pupil Points Groups ............................................................................................................... 53 6.8.3 S6 Leavers ................................................................................................................................ 57 6.8.3.1 S6 Leavers by Gender, SIMD decile and cumulative Insight Tariff Points............................. 57 6.8.3.2 S6 Population by SIMD Decile and Pupil Points Group (2009-2015) .................................... 58 6.8.3.3 S6 leavers progression to HE by Pupil Points Group and gender ......................................... 60 6.8.3.4 Highest SCQF qualifications obtained by S6 leavers ............................................................. 62 6.9 Calculating Potential among S4 / S5 / S6 Leavers ....................................................................... 63 6.10 Attainment in English and Mathematics ................................................................................... 66 6.10.1 Attainment in English ............................................................................................................. 66 6.10.2 Attainment in Maths .............................................................................................................. 67 6.11 West of Scotland school leavers entering Higher Education at University .............................. 68 6.12 Retention of students entering higher education at the University of Glasgow ...................... 69 7. Qualitative Research Analysis ........................................................................................................... 72 3 7.1 S1 pupils .....................................................................................................................................