INSITE
BANGALORE RESIDENTIAL MARKET UPDATE JULY - SEPTEMBER 2020
Market Sentiment WHAT’S INSIDE?
• Impact of COVID-19 on Indian Real Estate • National Outlook Snapshot of real estate ambience across top 8 metro cities • Market Movers News that impacted Bangalore’s realty market in Jul-Sep 2020 • Commercial real estate outlook • Residential demand and supply dynamics • 99acres’ Outlook Our perspective on the current market sentiment • Key trends in the buying and renting landscape • Price trends across key micro-markets
FROM CBO’S DESK
The Jul-Sep 2020 quarter set the pace for the recovery of Indian developers have further fueled the penchant for ready or near-ready residential real estate market. Post an initial lull in sales and new housing units. There seems to be a newfound demand for independent launches in the previous quarter, the current quarter came as a breather houses and builder floors, which offer increased privacy and scope for as sales resurged by almost 2.5 times of the pre-COVID levels. Both Delhi social distancing, as opposed to residential apartments. NCR and Mumbai saw a significant improvement in transactions, QoQ, as end-users flocked to leverage the lucrative deals floating in the market. A gradual improvement in the realty market was also evident from the Price correction, unlike anticipated, remained a far cry; however, with owner listings posted on 99acres, which went up by seven percent against a negotiation window of up to 10-15 percent, the deals closed in at a the pre-COVID times. Buyer responses also reported a 30 percent surge in reduced price of 2-5 percent of the pre-COVID levels. the same time period.
New launches went up, QoQ, but remained lower than the previous year. On the policy framework front, a fiscal stimulus of Rs 10,000 crore for Majority of the developers focused on completing the ongoing projects, Maneesh Upadhyaya stuck realty projects, along with the sustenance of Repo Rate at four which were stuck during the nationwide lockdown. While work on Chief Business Officer percent, an all-time low, are likely to push the market towards a revival almost all housing projects resumed in the current quarter, a lot of them 99acres.com in the ensuing quarters. The upcoming festive season may see a further continue to face delays spanning quarters. Liquidity constraints with the improvement in the absorption of residential units, across cities. COVID-19 AND REAL ESTATE NATIONAL OUTLOOK
IMPACT ON HOMEBUYERS IMPACT ON INDUSTRY HOME BUYING SENTIMENT PROPERTY PRICES
After an initial set back amid pay cuts Even as supply chain reopened in Home buying sentiment improved The resale segment remained under and job losses, homebuyers were seen Jul-Sep 2020, a ban on Chinese imports as public sector banks and private pressure with deals closing at a returning to the market in Jul-Sep 2020. impacted the cost of development in players slashed home loan interest 2-5 percent discounted rate on average. Reduced home loan rates, sweetened the realty landscape. Developers cited rates to a 15-year low. This, along Developers also kept new unit prices deals by developers and more scope of increased expenses, and thus, little with resumption of construction unchanged even as some spoke of negotiations in the resale segment were scope to reduce prices in the primary work, helped take the enquiries up by increased costs amid a ban on Chinese seen as the key drivers. The quarter market. Yet, in a bid to offload the 80 percent of the pre-COVID times. imports. However, initial speculations of continued witnessing the popularity existing inventory, several schemes Developers reported a 50 percent hefty price corrections did not hold true of ready housing units, and improved were introduced in the quarter. recovery in the number of transactions. for either of the segments. demand for independent houses and Digital transformation continued as builder floors in most metro cities. developers took to the online medium RENTAL LANDSCAPE SUPPLY Window shoppers exited and genuine to interact with potential homebuyers Rental market remained in doldrums With an addition of over 31,000 units homebuyers were seen leveraging at various stages of the buying cycle. despite the opening up of the in metro cities, new launches went up the discounts available in the market. Several governmental procedures nationwide lockdown. Tenants avoided by 4.5 times, QoQ. The resale segment, Noticeably, the quarter reported shifted online as organisations adopted moving as the majority of offices too, reported an improvement as renewed interest from the NRI homebuyer to the new normal. The infusion of continued with the work-from-home several property owners returned to community against the backdrop of Rs 10,000 crore to aid the completion model. Resultantly, the rental rates the market after lockdown restrictions depreciating rupee and attractive deals of stuck realty projects was hailed by did not see any movement and offtake were gradually lifted. Unsold inventory in the new home category. the industry. was meek in both residential and stood at 4.40 lakh units at the end of commercial segments. September 2020.
KOLKATA 1% DELHI NCR CHENNAI 3% 1% SHARE OF NEW LAUNCHES AHMEDABAD 16% MUMBAI The quarter witnessed the launch of about 240 new residential projects in top eight metro cities. Despite being 25% severely hit by the Coronavirus pandemic, Mumbai led all cities with a 25 percent share in new and re-launched projects. Pune, Hyderabad, Bangalore and Ahmedabad followed suit with a 16-19 percent share, each. Delhi NCR made a meagre three percent share of the total new launches, with a few projects in Greater Noida, Ghaziabad and Gurgaon. BANGALORE Kolkata and Chennai reported minimal new activity from developers. 17%
PUNE 19% Note: The data depicts share of new launches across metro cities in the studied quarter The numbers include re-launched projects HYDERABAD 18% BANGALORE’S REALTY AT A GLANCE Property Prices Rental Rates Demand Supply
BUDGET-WISE DEMAND AND SUPPLY Key micro-markets across budget segments
Budget Localities based on Average Average Rental Jul-Sep 2020 Range Consumer Demand and Property Prices Rental ‘Asks’ Yield 8% Active Listings (Rs per sq ft) (Rs per sq ft/month)
Within Rs 40 lakh Bommasandra 3,200-4,000 13 4.17% Hormavu 3,900-4,800 15 3.83%
Rs 40 lakh - Rs 1 crore Whitefield 4,900-6,400 19 3.68% 9% -17% Yelahanka 4,800-5,900 15 3.59% KR Puram 4,100-4,800 15 3.78%
Rs 1 crore and above Hebbal 5,500-7,900 18 2.78% Marathahalli 5,200-6,500 21 3.90% Demand Banashankari 5,500-6,700 18 3.23% 35% 18%0% 42% 50% 23% 32% Supply Note: Rental Yield has been calculated for a 1,000 sq ft apartment. Within Rs 40 lakh Rs 40 lakh - Rs 1 crore Rs 1 crore and above Average property prices and rental rates have been calculated as per listings posted on 99acres.com in the studied quarter. The range of property prices may vary by 10 percent depending on the age and furnishing status of the residential apartments.
BHK-WISE DEMAND AND SUPPLY Key micro-markets across BHK-configurations
Configuration Localities based on Average Average Jul-Sep 2020 Consumer Demand and Unit Size Property Prices 1% Active Listings (Sq ft) (Rs per sq ft)
1 BHK BTM Layout 500-520 5,000-6,000 Rajaji Nagar 500-580 10,000-13,000 2 BHK Electronic City 850-980 3,700-4,900 -7% Koramangala 1,000-1,180 7,700-10,700 9% Cooke Town 1,100-1,150 9,100-10,500 3 BHK Kaggadasapura 1,350-1,380 4,000-4,600 Harlur 1,600-1,630 6,000-7,000 Demand -3% Nagarbhavi 1,250-1,300 4,500-4,700 19% 28%0% 45% 46% 30% 23% 6% 3% Supply Note: Average property prices and rental rates have been calculated as per listings posted on 99acres.com in 1BHK 2BHK 3BHK 4BHK the studied quarter. The range of property prices may vary by 10 percent depending on the age and furnishing status of the residential apartments.
Note: Supply is basis properties listed on 99acres.com in the studied quarter. Demand is basis queries received on 99acres.com in the studied quarter. INSITE : BANGALORE 7 MARKET MOVERS COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE OUTLOOK Karnataka government Metro projects back on clears land usage bills track • A total of 4.3 million sq ft of new • Khaitan & Co. law firm leased The State cleared Bangalore The trials on 6.4 km-long Grade A office supply was added to 15,700 sq ft of office space in Development Authority (Amendment) Yelachenahalli-Anjanapura metro Bangalore’s commercial landscape WeWork centre at Embassy Quest. Bill, 2020 and Karnataka Town and line were completed, and the line in Q3 2020. • Ola Technologies to lease over Country Planning (Third Amendment) is likely to commence operations • Gross office space leasing recorded 4.25 lakh of office space in Bill, 2020. The former bill will enable from November 2020. The tunnelling a 50 percent improvement, QoQ, Prestige Startech in Koramangala. owners of illegal properties to work on the longest underground and stood at 2.72 million sq ft in regularise their homes by paying metro corridor between Cantonment • Amazon leased nine lakh sq ft Q3 2020. a penalty of 10-50 percent of the Station and Shivajinagar Station of office space in Bagmane Rio Guidance Value as per the property has been started. The completion • The vacancy rate in the city stood at Business Park. size. The latter will allow developers to deadline for all metro corridors 8.01 percent, up from 5.89 percent • Godrej FM bought land parcel register sites in a phased manner. under Phase 2 is set for 2024 to ease in Q3 2019. worth Rs 700 crore from Century the traffic movement in the city. • Apple leased about four lakh sq ft of Group for a commercial project in commercial space at Prestige Minsk North Bangalore. Square. The annual rent is set at Rs 82 crore.
K-RERA takes action against Spike in building plan defaulters approval fees Karnataka RERA issued about The State civic body has planned 400 recovery warrants in the last to increase the fee for sanctioning 1.5 years against errant developers building plan for residential, for dishonouring its judgements of commercial, and industrial offering compensation to homebuyers. structures. The fee for building plan The authority also imposed penalties approval will now be 0.5 percent per up to Rs 20,000 per month on those sq metre of the Guidance Value of builders who have delayed submission the land. of quarterly and annual updates.