Will China Dominate Science?
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The world’s least successful president Putin threatens Belarus Pakistan: impoverished by its army How the mighty dollar falls JANUARY 12TH–18TH 2019 Red moon rising Will China dominate science? Contents The Economist January 12th 2019 3 The world this week United States 6 A round-up of political 21 The shutdown, contd. and business news 22 Health economics 23 Swatting Leaders 24 #MeToo’s foes 9 Chinese science Red moon rising 25 Chicago corruption Lexington John Kasich: 10 Politics in Washington 26 How the shutdown ends conservative orphan 10 Britain’s opposition The Americas Still having its cake 27 Nicolás Maduro’s mess 11 Pakistan Praetorian penury 28 Protecting scarlet macaws 30 Bello Brazil’s confused On the cover 12 Peak smartphone Bad news for Apple. Good foreign policy If China dominates science, news for humanity should the world worry? Leader, page 9. It has become a Letters leading scientific power. Can it On animal rights, Asia go on to become a great one? 14 genocide, working, 31 Health care in Japan Page 68 Foucault, Brexit, Santa 32 The king of Malaysia • The world’s least successful Claus 33 Quotas in India president After a catastrophic 33 Refugees in the outback first term, Nicolás Maduro is Briefing 34 Banyan Democracy in digging in for a second, page 27 Pakistan 17 Taiwan • Putin threatens Belarus Tales of self-harm As Vladimir Putin tightens his bear-hug, the leader of Belarus China fights back, page 42. Two new 35 Unemployment woes documentaries depict the 36 Detecting HIV optimistic beginning and 37 Chaguan A craze for eventual fraying of Mr Putin’s 1,800-year-old fashion long reign, page 73 • Pakistan: impoverished by its army The penury of Pakistan’s 208m citizens is a disgrace—and Middle East & Africa the army is to blame: leader, 38 Protests in Sudan page 11. Why Imran Khan will struggle to make their life better: 39 Congo’s new president Briefing, page 17 39 Coups in Africa • How the mighty dollar falls 40 America and Iraq The fate of the greenback will 41 Agritech in Israel shape financial markets in 2019, page 62. Against the dollar, other currencies are at their cheapest Charlemagne The notion in 30 years: Graphic detail, of an east-west split in page 81 the EU is simplistic and defeatist, page 46 1 Contents continues overleaf 4 Contents The Economist January 12th 2019 Europe Finance & economics 42 Belarus and Russia 61 Emerging markets 43 Orthodox schism 62 Buttonwood How the 44 Pitching Fort Trump mighty dollar falls 44 Women and street signs 63 Studies in sexism 45 French inequality 64 Jim jumps from the World Bank 45 Germany finds “GOd” 64 Open banking in Europe 46 Charlemagne East and west in Europe 65 Wall Street v exchanges 66 Free exchange Down Britain towns 47 Labour’s balancing act Science & technology 48 Can “no deal” be stopped? 68 Can China become a 50 Bagehot Speaker of the scientific superpower? House, head of the asylum International 51 Missionaries from poor countries target the Books & arts godless West 73 Vladimir Putin on film 76 Who owns Kafka? 76 “Cat Person” returns 77 The Troubles Business 53 Peak smartphone Economic & financial indicators 54 Consumer electronics 80 Statistics on 42 economies 56 Bartleby Psychological safety at work Graphic detail 57 PG&E feels the heat 81 The Big Mac index 57 Carlos Ghosn in court 58 E-commerce in Indonesia Obituary 59 Schumpeter On the edge 82 Herb Kelleher, co-founder of Southwest Airlines of Mordor Subscription service For our full range of subscription offers, including digital only or print and digital combined, visit: Economist.com/offers Volume 430 Number 9125 Published since September 1843 You can also subscribe by mail, telephone or email: One-year print-only subscription (51 issues): Please to take part in “a severe contest between North America intelligence, which presses forward, The Economist Subscription Center, United States....................................US $158.25 (plus tax) and an unworthy, timid ignorance P.O. 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Surprising, right? ĕĝĤěħĥĝĬħāęĨġĬęĤčĦĝāęĞȲīġĦĮġĬġĦğĨĤęěĝīįġĬĠ ĨĝħĨĤĝĠĝĪĝĬħĠĝĤĨıħĭĦħĬīĝĤĤıħĭđĬħĨĚıęĤħěęĬġħĦ ĬħĠęĦĜĤĝıħĭĪĝĮĝĪıĜęıĚęĦģġĦğĦĝĝĜīħĪğħħĦĤġĦĝ ĬħĤĝęĪĦĥħĪĝWelcome to Banking Reimagined.® čljĝĪĝĜĚıāęĨġĬęĤčĦĝČÿċĝĥĚĝĪĄĂćāāęĞȲīĜħĦħĬĨĪħĮġĜĝĬĠĝīęĥĝīĝĪĮġěĝīęīĚęĦģĚĪęĦěĠĝīĚĭĬĠęĮĝÿĒċīęĦĜęīīħěġęĬĝīįĠħěęĦĠĝĤĨıħĭāęĞȲīęĮęġĤęĚĤĝġĦīĝĤĝěĬĤħěęĬġħĦī ąħĬħĤħěęĬġħĦīěęĨġĬęĤħĦĝěħĥĞħĪĤħěęĬħĪĄħħĜęĦĜĚĝĮĝĪęğĝīĨĪħĮġĜĝĜĚıęĬĠġĪĜĨęĪĬıƣ! 'āęĨġĬęĤčĦĝ 6 The world this week Politics The Economist January 12th 2019 The Saudi government struck a the country. Christian Zerpa The king of Malaysia, Sultan blow for feminism, decreeing called Mr Maduro’s regime a Muhammad V of Kelantan, that women whose husbands “dictatorship” and said the abdicated abruptly for undis- divorce them must be in- court had become “an appen- closed reasons. The hereditary formed of this fact. Courts will dage of the executive branch”. monarchs who rule over nine notify them by text message. This was an about-turn for Mr of Malaysia’s 13 states will meet Zerpa, who in 2016 wrote the soon to pick one of their num- Félix Tshisekedi, an opposition court’s opinion justifying the ber to serve a five-year term as candidate, was unexpectedly usurpation of the legislature’s king. declared the winner of a presi- powers by the government. dential election in the Demo- Jolovan Wham, a Singaporean cratic Republic of Congo. Brazil’s new populist govern- activist, was found guilty of America’s federal government Pre-election polls had put ment sent the national guard organising a public assembly remained shut down, as Demo- another opposition leader, to the state of Ceará to curb an without a permit. He had crats refused to fund Donald Martin Fayulu, far ahead. outbreak of violence. Crimi- convened a seminar on civil Trump’s wall on the Mexican Furious voters speculated nals have staged attacks, disobedience. border (which he had previous- about a possible stitch-up. Mr including fire-bombings, on ly said Mexico would pay for). Fayulu had vowed to investi- banks, buses and petrol In his first televised speech gate corruption within the stations. By any means necessary from the Oval Office, the outgoing regime of President In Britain a cross-party president said that migrants Joseph Kabila. amendment to the govern- trying to cross the border A taste for travel ment’s finance bill designed to illegally represented a Protests spread across Sudan. North Korea’s dictator, Kim reduce the chances of crashing “humanitarian and security What began as an isolated rally Jong Un, paid a visit to Beijing out of the eu without a deal crisis”.Democrats offered to against high bread prices has where he met the Chinese passed by 303 to 296 votes, the reopen the government by become a broad movement president, Xi Jinping. It was his first defeat on a budget mea- funding everything bar the against the dictatorship of fourth to China in ten months. sure since 1978. Although the Department of Homeland Omar al-Bashir, who has run This latest trip has fuelled measure cannot stop a no-deal Security. Mr Trump walked out the country since1989 and is speculation that he may be Brexit, it would prevent the of a meeting with them. accused of genocide in Darfur. preparing for another summit government from varying At least 40 people have been with Donald Trump. taxes if there were no deal by John Bolton, Mr Trump’s killed in the protests. March 29th. And in a constitu- national security adviser, Officials allowed a handful of tionally suspect move, the assured allies that American The constitutional court in foreign reporters to visit three speaker of the House of Com- troops would not be leaving Madagascar confirmed the of the camps in the far western mons, John Bercow, permitted Syria quickly, all but contra- election of Andry Rajoelina as region of Xinjiang where an amendment requiring the dicting what Mr Trump had president after his opponent human-rights groups say government to outline a Plan B said a few days earlier. Mr complained of electoral fraud. hundreds of thousands of within three days if, as expect- Bolton said that, before any Mr Rajoelina took 55% of the Muslims, mostly ethnic ed, it loses a crucial vote on its withdrawal, Islamic State had vote in last month’s run-off Uighurs, have been detained Brexit deal on January 15th.