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Annual Report 2017

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Annual Report 2017 ANNUAL REPORT 2017 His Majesty The King Mohammed VI, May God Assist Him SUMMARY MESSAGE FROM THE GENERAL DIRECTOR 4 CONJUNCTURE 6 International conjuncture 6 National conjuncture 10 MAJOR FACTS 12 Hydrocarbons 12 Mining 12 Human resources 13 Information system 13 PROMOTION AND COOPERATION 14 HYDROCARBON EXPLORATION 16 Licensing 16 ONHYM’s own activities 17 Partners’ activities 20 HYDROCARBON COOPERATION AND PARTNERSHIP 23 HYDROCARBON DEVELOPMENT AND PRODUCTION 26 Reservoirs studies 26 Development studies 26 Reservoirs production 26 Hydrocarbons delivery 27 Maghreb Europe Gas Pipeline « GME » 27 2 MINING EXPLORATION 28 ONHYM’s own activities 28 Partners’ activities 35 MINING LABORATORIES 38 Certification 38 Mineralogy 38 Mineralurgy 38 Mineral chemistry 38 Mining drilling 39 MINING COOPERATION AND PARTNERSHIP 40 HUMAN RESSOURCES 41 ANNUAL REPORT ONHYM 2017 3 MESSAGE FROM THE GENERAL DIRECTOR Despite a slight recovery in the global growth, the trend in 2017 remains marked by a slight increase in investments, still impacted by the 2014 oil prices drop. In this context, which is unfavorable to the development of any risky and capital-intensive activity, ONHYM is continuing its mission as a catalyst to attract new companies and multiply investments with the aim to evaluate the potential of the sedimentary basins of Morocco. In accordance with the business model, investments, predominantly from ONHYM’s partners, led to the discovery of gas concentrations in the Gharb and the Tendrara Regions following the drilling of six wells, three of which were positive. Similarly, mining exploration continued, focusing on the most promising areas of our mining domain, and highlighted new prospects. In order to maximize chances of discovering new deposits in the mature exploration modeling context of Morocco, “integrated project” strategies are being systematized. Thus, beyond major strategic campaigns of geophysics, geochemistry or hyperspectral, an integrated project was finalized in the Oriental Region, a second one was launched in the Southern Moroccan Provinces and a third one is planned in the Anti-Atlas Area . With regard to the South-South partnership, and in line with its strategy of opening up to Africa, ONHYM signed new agreements in 2017 with several African organizations. It also keep strengthening partnerships as part of its policy of promoting the country’s oil and mining wealth. In this context, ONHYM is involved in two major projects which are the rehabilitation and the safeguard of the Pangalanes Canal in Madagascar and the Nigeria- Morocco Gas Pipeline Project. On the environmental side, the ONHYM’s policy makes ONHYM’s staff developing a true environmental culture. In conclusion, operating in a risky, capital-intensive and highly competitive market, ONHYM constantly strives to develop the excellence in exploration in the service of the development of our country under the enlightened leadership of His Majesty King Mohammed VI, May God Assist Him. Amina BENKHADRA 4 « … discovery of gas concentrations in the Gharb and Tendrara Regions… » ANNUAL REPORT ONHYM 2017 5 CONJUNCTURE International conjuncture The global economy strengthened in 2017. Global growth increased from 3.2% in 2016 to 3.6% in 2017 and should reach 3.7% in 2018. It has accelerated this year in emerging and developing countries, driven by the improvement of external factors, namely a favorable global financial environment and a recovery in advanced economies. Growth in China and in other Asian emerging countries remains strong. And the situation of several commodity- exporting countries in Latin America, in CIS and in sub-Saharan African regions, which remains difficult, appears to improve slightly. In advanced economies, the significant acceleration of growth in 2017 is general, with stronger activity in the United States, in Canada, in the euro zone and in Japan. The Brent was US$ 54.7 / barrel in 2017, + 21% compared to 2016. The IAE (International Energy Agency(1)) expects an increase in world oil demand by 1.3 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2018 compared to 1.5 million bpd in 2017. Conversely, oil production outside OPEC (Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries) is expected to increase by 1.6 million bpd in 2018, compared to just 0.6 million bpd in 2017. This increase will be mainly driven by the increase of the US extraction, which is expected to grow by 1.1 million barrels a day. Furthermore, investments in oil and gas exploration and production increased by 4% in 2017(2). The increase was mainly in North America, driven by independent US companies. Outside North America the evolution was stable due to the offset of the national companies investments rise by the continued decline of the investment by majors and independents focusing on restoring their margins. The global E&P spending will rise again in 2018. Estimated at 8%, this increase will be driven again by North American companies (growth rate of 30%) as well as by small and midsize companies (growth rate of 25%). (2) (1) IEA Monthly report on petroleum As a reminder, E&P investments reached $389 billion in 2017 , compared to $374 billion markets - December 14th 2017 (2) Source: IFP Énergies nouvelles in 2016. 6 Economic growth by region - Years 2016 - 2018 2016 2017 4,9% 4,6% 2018 4,3% 3,6% 3,7% 3,2% 2,3% 2,2% 2,1% 1,8% 1,9% 1,5% World United States Euro Zone Emerging and developing countries Brent price $US/bl 1999 - 2017 120 111,5 111 108,6 98,2 98,5 100 79,4 80 72,6 65,9 +21% 62 60 54,4 53,9 54,7 45,1 40 38,2 28,5 28,9 24,4 25 20 17,9 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 Global E&P investments (billions US$) 800 700 683 600 518 500 397-413 389 400 374 300 200 100 0 2014 2015 2016 2017(e) 2018(p) Middle east Latin America Europe Africa CIS United States & Canada Asia-Pacific Assessment 2018 Source : IFPBN ANNUAL REPORT ONHYM 2017 7 In mineral exploration, global investments reached US$ 7.95 billion in 2017, +14% compared to 2016. Most of the global exploration budget in 2017 were spent on gold (9%), followed by copper (20.7%). Annual nonferrous exploration budgets, 1996 - 2017 24 4 21 Annual indexed metals price (1996=1) 18 3 15 US$ billion 7.95 12 2 9 6 1 3 Global nonferrous exploration budget (US$ B) 0 0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 Global nonferrous exploration budget Annual indexed metals price Nonferrous exploration budgets by commodity, 2017(1) Total budget : US$ 7,95 billion Base Metals Zinc $2,383.3M $489.4M Copper 6.2% $1,649.0M 30.0% 20.7% Nickel $244.9M Uranium 3.1% Gold $255.7M $4,050.0M 3.2% 50.9% Diamonds $207.6M 2.6% PGM $56.1M 0.7% Other $997.6M 12.6% (1) Source : S&P Global Market Intelligence (Data as of September 27, 2017) 8 Thanks to stronger prices since the beginning of 2016, the overall gold exploration budget increased by 22% in 2017 compared to the previous year. Zinc prices have also rebounded significantly since the beginning of 2016, mainly due to favorable fundamentals, which encouraged producers and junior explorers to increase the total zinc exploration budget by 29% in 2017. Despite respective increases of 8% and 3%, copper and nickel remained unattractive to junior explorers in 2017, producing companies being solely responsible for these metals’ budgets increase. According to SNL estimates, the share of the global budget dedicated to operating sites (37%) exceeded in 2017 the shares allocated to projects in the advanced exploration phases (36%) and to projects at the preliminary stages of exploration (27%). This trend reflects the persistence of the risk climate and the investor’s focus on short-term projects. Global exploration budget by project type Preliminary exploration 27% Mine site 37% Advanced exploration 36% Metal prices 2013 - 2017 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Lead ($/t) 2,140 2,094 1,784 1,872 2,317 (+24%) Tin ($/t) 22,289 21,868 16,070 17,994 20,105 (+12%) Copper ($/t) 7,321 6,858 5,494 4,863 6,166 (+27%) Zinc ($/t) 1,908 2,164 1,928 2,095 2,896 (+38%) Gold ($/Oz) 1,410 1,266 1,159.8 1,249.8 1,258 (+0.7%) Silver ($/Oz) 23.8 19.1 15.7 17.1 17.05 (-0.3%) Platinum ($/Oz) 1,486 1,384 1,052.5 988.4 949 (-4%) Palladium ($/Oz) 725 803 690.5 613 870 (+42%) Encouraging signs of global economy improvement led to a stronger demand for metals in 2017. The upward trend in base metal prices recorded in 2017 should thus continue during the first quarter of 2018. ANNUAL REPORT ONHYM 2017 9 National conjuncture In 2017, the national economy grew by 4%, against +1.2% a year earlier, driven by a 15% increase in the agricultural sector added value. Non-agricultural added value increased by 2.8%, driven by tertiary and mining activities. The secondary sector registered a growth of 2.9% in 2017 instead of 1.2% recorded in 2016, supported mainly by mining activities, which rose 17.8% after 2.2% a year earlier. The recovery of foreign demand on raw ores and the expansion of sales to local chemical industries, with stronger demand from East and South America, have benefited from the improvement of the mining business climate in late 2017. With a contribution of nearly 1.2 point to overall GDP growth, the tertiary sector continued to support economic activity, thanks in particular to the good orientation of trade, air transportation and tourism activities, whose added value increased by 7.9% in annual variation.
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