BANGKOK PROPERTY MARKET QUARTERLY PRESENTATION Q4 2016
8 FEBRUARY 2017 DISCLAIMER
• This presentation has been prepared in good faith based on CBRE’s current views of the commercial real-estate market. Although CBRE believes its views reflect market conditions on the date of this presentation, they are subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies, many of which are beyond CBRE’s control. In addition, many of CBRE’s views are opinion and/or projections based on CBRE’s subjective analyses of current market circumstances. Other firms may have different opinions, projections and analyses, and actual market conditions in the future may cause CBRE’s current views to later be incorrect. CBRE has no obligation to update its views herein if its opinions, projections, analyses or market circumstances later change.
• Nothing in this presentation should be construed as an indicator of the future performance of CBRE’s securities or of the performance of any other company’s securities. You should not purchase or sell securities – of CBRE or any other company – based on the views herein. CBRE disclaims all liability for securities purchased or sold based on information herein, and by viewing this presentation, you waive all claims against CBRE and the presenter as well as against CBRE’s affiliates, officers, directors, employees, agents, advisers and representatives arising out of the accuracy, completeness, adequacy or your use of the information herein.
CBRE 2 BANGKOK PROPERTY MARKET MASS TRANSIT LINES BTS – 733,000 passengers per day EXISITNG
Nonthaburi MRT – 316,000 passengers per day
ARL – 60,000 passengers per day Operating Lines
SRT Light Red Line – 0 BTS: Light Green Line (1999)
BTS: Dark Green Line (1999)
MRT: Dark Blue Line (2004)
1 km – Missing Link ARL: Red Line (2010)
BTS: Light Green Line Extension (2011) On Nut - Bearing
BTS: Dark Green Line Extension (2009) Saphan Taksin – Wong Wian Yai
SRT: Light Red Line (2012) (Stopped Operating)
Bangkok BTS: Dark Green Line Extension (2013) Wong Wian Yai – Bang Wa
MRT: Purple Line (2016) Tao Poon – Klong Bang Pai
“Missing Link” Total distance 119.8 km. Scheduled Completion: September 2017 (80 stations)
CBRE 3 BANGKOK PROPERTY MARKET MASS TRANSIT LINES UNDER CONSTRUCTION BY 2020
Nonthaburi
Under Construction Lines
MRT: Dark Blue Line 1 (2019)
MRT: Dark Blue Line 2 (2019)
1 km – Missing Link SRT: Light Red Line (2020)
SRT: Dark Red Line (2020)
BTS: Light Green Line Extensions (2017-2020)
Bangkok Total distance 199.8 km. (134 stations) 119.8 existing km. (80 stations) & 80.0 km. under construction (54 stations) “Missing Link” Scheduled Completion: September 2017
CBRE 4 BANGKOK PROPERTY MARKET MASS TRANSIT LINES PLANNED COMPLETION BY 2023
Pathum Thani Planned Lines
MRT: Dark Blue Line
MRT: Orange Line Nonthaburi MRT: Pink Line
MRT: Yellow Line
MRT: Purple Line Extension
SRT: Light Red Line Extension
SRT: Dark Red Line
SRT: Dark Red Line Extension
ARL: Red Line
Gold Line
Total distance 391.2 km. (259 stations) Bangkok 119.8 existing km. (80 stations), 80.0 km. under construction (54 stations) & 191.4 km. planned (125 stations)
Samut Prakarn CBRE 5 BANGKOK PROPERTY MARKET MASS TRANSIT LINES Pathum Thani FUTURE PLANS
Nonthaburi
Bangkok
Samut Prakarn
CBRE 6 BANGKOK PROPERTY MARKET RESIDENTIAL TRENDS IN THE BANGKOK METROPOLITAN REGION
New Supply of Self-Built Single-Detached Houses in the New Supply of Developer-Built Townhouses in the Bangkok Bangkok Metropolitan Region, 2003–Q3 2016 Metropolitan Region, 2003–Q3 2016
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Total Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Total 30,000 25,000
25,000 20,000 20,000 15,000 15,000 10,000 10,000 5,000 5,000
0 0
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
New Supply of Developer-Built Single-Detached Houses in the New Supply of Developer-Built Condominiums in the Bangkok Bangkok Metropolitan Region, 2003–Q3 2016 Metropolitan Region, 2003–Q3 2016
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Total Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Total 30,000 90,000 80,000 25,000 70,000 20,000 60,000 50,000 15,000 40,000 10,000 30,000 20,000 5,000 10,000
0 0
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
CBRE 7 BANGKOK PROPERTY MARKET HOUSING TRANSFERS BY JURISTIC AND INDIVIDUAL PERSONS, 2012-2016
Single-Detached Houses Townhouses Condominiums
25,000 40,000 60,000
35,000 50,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 15,000 25,000 20,000 30,000
10,000 15,000 20,000 10,000 5,000 10,000 5,000
- - -
2012 2013 2014 2015 2012 2013 2014 2015 2012 2013 2014 2015
Q1 2016 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3
Transferred from Juristic Persons (New Properties) Transferred from Individual Persons (Second-Hand Properties)
Limited existing property resale market
Source: The Real Estate Information Center (REIC)
CBRE 8 BANGKOK PROPERTY MARKET CONDOMINIUM TOTAL DOWNTOWN & MIDTOWN/SUBURBAN STOCK
Total Downtown and Midtown Condominium Stock and Newly Completed Condominiums, 1995-2021F
No. of Units Existing Supply New Supply
800,000
700,000
600,000
500,000
400,000
300,000
200,000
100,000
0
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F 2021F
Q4 2016 Total Supply = 585,095 units Downtown = 122,403 units Midtown/Suburban = 462,692 units
CBRE 9 BANGKOK PROPERTY MARKET CONDOMINIUM SUPPLY MAP OF BANGKOK DOWNTOWN & MIDTOWN/SUBURBAN AREAS
Midtown/Suburban Existing supply: 462,692 units Future supply: 111,787 units
Downtown Existing supply: 122,403 units Future supply: 25,305 units
CBRE 10 BANGKOK PROPERTY MARKET CONDOMINIUM FALLING AMOUNT OF NEW SUPPLY, ESPECIALLY IN MIDTOWN/ SUBURBAN AREAS
Newly Completed Condominiums in Downtown and Midtown/Suburban Areas, 1995-2021F
No. of Units Downtown Midtown 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000
0
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F 2021F
New Completions in Q4 2016 = 24,664 units Downtown = 4,076 units Midtown/Suburban = 20,588 units
CBRE 11 BANGKOK PROPERTY MARKET MIDTOWN/SUBURBAN CONDOMINIUM CHEAPER TO BUY A TOWNHOUSE, ON A THB/SQ.M. BASIS
Supalai Veranda Rattanathibeth
Phra Nang Klao Bridge 2 BR Size: 62-74 sq.m. Skyline Rattanathibet Average Price: THB 64,000/sq.m. 2 BR Size: 42 - 59.50 sq.m. Total Price for 2BR: 3.97 – 4.74 MB Average Price: THB 86,500/sq.m. Yaek Nonthaburi 1 Distance to MRT: 380 m Total Price for 2BR: 3.63-5.15 MB Distance to MRT: 200 m
Si Phonsawan Nonthaburi Government Centre
Baan Klang Mueng The Connect UP3 Rattanathibet 17 Rattanathibet Usable Area: from 160 sq.m. Usable Area: 149 sq.m. Price Per Sq.m.: THB 21,000 Price Per Sq.m.: THB 29,500 Total Price: from 3.35 MB Total Price: from 4.49 MB 3 BR, 3 BTH, 2 Car Parks 3 BR, 3 BTH, 2 Car Parks Distance to MRT: 700 m Ministry of Public Health Distance to MRT: 650 m
CBRE 12 BANGKOK PROPERTY MARKET DOWNTOWN CONDOMINIUM AVERAGE PRICES – STILL RISING
Average Re-sale Prices of Completed Freehold High-End Units Average Asking Price of Future Units, High-end and Above, and Above, 2004-Q4 2016 2004-Q4 2016
Average Price Silom/Sathorn Average Price Silom/Sathorn THB/sq.m THB/sq.m. Central Lumpini Sukhumvit Central Lumpini Sukhumvit 250,000 300,000 Average = THB 203,909 per sq.m. Average = THB 265,304 per sq.m. 200,000 250,000
150,000 200,000
100,000 150,000
50,000 100,000
0 50,000
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
High-End and above condominium units - priced above THB 120,000 per sq.m. with starting unit price of above THB 5 million
CBRE 13 BANGKOK PROPERTY MARKET CONDOMINIUM RECORD PRICES OF THB 300,000/SQ.M. FOR MULTIPLE UNITS
EXISTING CONDOMINIUMS
THE RESIDENCES AT 185 RAJADAMRI SUKHOTHAI RESIDENCES THE ST. REGIS BANGKOK
Rajdamri Sathorn Ratchadamri 236 Units (92% sold) 196 Units (95% sold) 53 Units (100% sold) Completed Q1 2014 Completed 2012 Completed 2011
Note: Sales figures are as of Q4 2016.
CBRE 14 BANGKOK PROPERTY MARKET CONDOMINIUM RECORD PRICES OF THB 300,000/SQ.M. FOR SOME NEW PROJECTS
UNDER CONSTRUCTION CONDOMINIUMS
THE RITZ-CARLTON MARQUE MAGNOLIAS WATERFRONT RESIDENCES SUKHUMVIT AT ICONSIAM
Sathorn-Narathiwat Sukhumvit 39 Charoennakorn 209 Units (74% sold) 147 Units (69% sold) 379 Units (100% sold) Q2 2017 Q2 2017 Q1 2018
THE RESIDENCES FOUR SEASONS PRIVATE NIMIT SALADAENG AT MANDARIN LANGSUAN RESIDENCES BANGKOK ONE ORIENTAL
Langsuan Saladaeng Soi 1 Charoenkrung Charoennakorn 187 Units (93% sold) 185 Units (50% Sold) 355 Units (50% Sold) 146 Units (61% Sold) Q2 2018 Q2 2018 Q4 2018 Q4 2018
Note: Sales figures are as of Q4 2016
CBRE 15 BANGKOK PROPERTY MARKET CONDOMINIUM RECORD PRICES OF THB 300,000/SQ.M. FOR SOME NEW PROJECTS
UNDER CONSTRUCTION CONDOMINIUMS
98 WIRELESS TELA THONGLOR KRAAM SUKHUMVIT 26
Wireless Rd. Thonglor 13 Sukhumvit 26 77 Units (40% Sold) 84 Units (74% Sold) 128 Units (66% Sold) Q1 2017 Q4 2018 Q3 2019
Q SUKHUMVIT KHUN BY YOO 28 CHIDLOM THE BANGKOK THONLOR
Sukhumvit 6 Thonglor 12 Chidlom Thonglor 1 273 Units (20% Sold) 148 Units (53% Sold) 252 Units (30% Sold) 148 Units (28% Sold) Q4 2017 Q3 2020 Q1 2020 Q3 2019
Note: Sales figures are as of Q4 2016
CBRE 16 BANGKOK PROPERTY MARKET LARGE PRICE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN NEW AND EXISTING PROPERTIES IN SIMILAR LOCATIONS
The Park at EM District Av. 287,000/sq.m. Completion: 2019
Bright Sukhumvit 24 Av. 195,000/sq.m. Completion: Q1 2012 The Emporio Place Av. 170,000/sq.m. Completion: Q1 2010 The Lumpini 24 Av. 190,000/sq.m. Completion: Q4 2015 President Park, Mahogany Tower Av. 50,000-60,000/sq.m. Completion: 1993
CBRE 17 BANGKOK PROPERTY MARKET APARTMENT HIGH OCCUPANCY BUT NO GROWTH IN HOUSING ALLOWANCES
Average Asking Rents/sq.m. for Grade A Units by Area, 2005- Supply, Demand and Occupancy Rate, 2005-Q4 2016 Q4 2016
Supply Demand Occupancy Rate Silom/Sathom Central Lumpini Sukhumvit Occupancy Units Rate THB/sq.m. 95.4% 550 14,000 100% 12,000 500 90% 480 10,000 450 454 8,000 80% 421 400 6,000 70% 350 4,000 60% 300 2,000
0 50% 250
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Q1 2016 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4
Q1 2016 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4
Occupancy Q4 2015 Q4 2016 Grade A Q4 2015 Q4 2016 Sukhumvit Rate 92.1% 95.4% Rents THB 451 THB 454
CBRE 18 BANGKOK PROPERTY MARKET APARTMENT INCREASE IN EXPAT NUMBERS
Total Expatriates with Work- Permits sorted by Nationality, Number of Expatriates in Bangkok, 2004-Q4 2016 Q4 2016
Persons 90,000 84,313 Japanese 80,000 Other 22% 33% 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 Chinese 13% 30,000 20,000 South Korean 10,000 4% 0 American Filipinos
5% 9%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
British Indian 2004
Q2 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 6% 8% 2016 Q1
Thailand: Total 157,433/ Bangkok: Total 84,313 Chinese expats have doubled over the last five years
CBRE 19 BANGKOK PROPERTY MARKET SERVICED APARTMENT NO GROWTH IN RENTS
Supply, Demand and Occupancy Rate, 2005-2016 Average Achieved Rents of Grade A units by Area, 2016
THB/sq.m./ Supply Demand Occupancy Silom/Sathorn Lumpini Sukhumvit Units month 83.4% 1,093 18,000 100% 1,400 16,000 90% 1,250 14,000 80% 12,000 70% 1,100 60% 10,000 50% 950 8,000 40% 6,000 30% 800 4,000 20% 650 2,000 10%
0 0% 500
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Q1 2016 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4
Q1 2016 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4
Occupancy 2015 2016 2015 2016 Rents Rate 82.0% 83.4% THB 1,089 THB 1,093
CBRE 20 BANGKOK PROPERTY MARKET HOTEL GROWTH IN INTERNATIONAL TOURIST ARRIVALS
No of International tourist arrivals to Thailand, 2005 - 2016 Total Arrivals Q4, 2016 -1% Y-o-Y No. of Int'l tourist Growth of no. of arrivals (Million) Int'l tourist arrivals (Y-o-Y) Tourist Arrivals Percentage Change Total Arrivals 2016 35 60% 9% Y-o-Y
30 50% 40% 25 Bangkok Airport Arrivals 30% 20 2016 20% 15 9% Y-o-Y 10% 10 0% Q4 2016 Chinese Arrivals: 5 -10% 1.44 million (-21%) 0 -20% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2016 Chinese Arrivals: 8.7 million (10%) The crack down on zero dollar tours hit Chinese tourist arrivals in Q4
CBRE 21 BANGKOK PROPERTY MARKET HOTEL RATE OF NEW SUPPLY SLOWED BUT MORE PLANNED PROJECTS
Future Hotel Supply in Downtown Bangkok, 2007-2020F
No. of keys Existing New Supply 60,000 Existing Supply 50,000 42,634 keys 40,000
30,000
20,000 Future Supply
10,000 19% increase to 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F 50,703 (2020)
2016 (All Year) Change Y-o-Y Occupancy 77.5% +1.9%
ADR THB 3,370/night +3%
Source: STR Global
CBRE 22 BANGKOK PROPERTY MARKET BANGKOK OFFICE MARKET
Market Summary
. Office demand steady . Rent increases . Limited future office supply for the next three years
Q4 2016 Total Market A-CBD B-CBD A-Non CBD B-Non CBD
Total Stock 8,555,958 1,296,514 2,947,162 462,362 3,882,620
Total take up 7,895,059 1,198,014 2,658,492 445,916 3,592,637
Total vacancy 660,899 98,500 255,970 16,446 289,983
Q4 2016 7.7% 7.6% 8.8% 3.6% 7.5% % Vacancy
Q3 2016 8.2% 8.7% 9.6% 6.5% 7.7% % Vacancy
CBRE 23 BANGKOK PROPERTY MARKET BANGKOK OFFICE MARKET TAKE-UP: STEADY BUT CONCERNS ABOUT 2017 DEMAND
Net Take–Up of Overall Bangkok Office Space
Q1 Q2 Q3 Net New Take-Up sq.m.
500,000
400,000 222,136 300,000 198,302 159,876 180,072 195,505 200,000 82,798 100,000
0
(100,000)
(200,000)
(300,000) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Net take up of Q4 2016 = 57,631 sq.m.
CBRE 24 BANGKOK PROPERTY MARKET UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS – COMPLETED IN 2016
Available for rent: 107,316 sq.m.
Owner Occupied: 32,000 sq.m. FYI Centre The Metropolis Rungrojthanakul 4 CBD CBD Non CBD
48,071 sq.m. 13,540 sq.m. 15,705 sq.m. 100 m from MRT QSNCC 200 m from BTS Prom Phong 300 m from MRT Rama IX
G Tower (South Tower) Thai Life Insurance Tower Osotspa New Office Building Non CBD Non CBD Non CBD 30,000 sq.m. 18,000 sq.m. 14,000 sq.m. Connected to MRT Rama IX
CBRE 25 BANGKOK PROPERTY MARKET UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS – COMPLETION IN 2017
Available for rent: 195,000 sq.m.
Owner Occupied: 30,000 sq.m.
SC Tower Gaysorn Office Tower Bhiraj Tower at BITEC M Tower
Non CBD CBD Non-CBD Non CBD 11,000 sq.m. 30,000 sq.m. 32,000 sq.m. 14,000 sq.m. 500m from BTS Aree 400 m from BTS Chidlom 200 m from BTS Bangna 200 m from BTS Bangchak
G Tower (North Tower) Pearl Bangkok Cosmo Office Park Ladprao Hills Thairath Building Non CBD Non CBD Non CBD Non CBD Non CBD 30,000 sq.m. 30,000 sq.m. 60,000 sq.m. 6,000 sq.m. 12,000 sq.m. Connected to MRT 450 m from BTS Aree Muang Thong Thani Next to MRT Ladprao Rama IX
CBRE 26 BANGKOK PROPERTY MARKET UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS – COMPLETION IN 2018
Available for rent: 125,740 sq.m.
Owner Occupied: 45,000 sq.m.
Singha Complex BAY Ploenchit Branch Ari Hills CBD CBD Non CBD 50,300 sq.m. 25,000 sq.m. 10,800 sq.m. 100 m from MRT Petchaburi 100 m from BTS Ploenchit 600 m from BTS Ari
MS Siam Tower T1 Office Building Toyota Buzz Non CBD Non CBD Non CBD 37,000 sq.m. Rama III 23,340 sq.m. 20,000 sq.m. 200 m from BTS Thong Lor Viphavadee- Rangsit
CBRE 27 BANGKOK PROPERTY MARKET UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS – COMPLETION IN 2019
Available for rent: 83,000 sq.m.
Owner Occupied: 10,000 sq.m.
Chia Tai Head Office Samyan Mitrtown Non CBD CBD 10,000 sq.m. 48,000 sq.m. 350 m from BTS Bang Chak 200 m from MRT Samyan
Whizdom 101 Summer Hill Non CBD Non CBD 30,000 sq.m. 5,000 sq.m. 550 m from BTS Punnawithi In front of BTS Phra Khanong
CBRE 28 BANGKOK PROPERTY MARKET BANGKOK OFFICE RENT RENTS: RISING
Average Achieved Rents of Bangkok Office Space
CBD Grade A CBD Grade B THB /sq.m. Non CBD Grade A Non CBD Grade B 931 943 953 950 916 877 841 850 804 745 750 760 740 743 741 770 750 721 697 688 694 681 635 691 700 650 598 648 663 672 549 586 600 578 570 642 551 553 604 620 624 637 550 560 561 597 520 580 512 552 516 479 477 526 450 474 432 443 440 417 431 350 401 250 150 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016
The average rent is calculated based on 200 – 300 sq.m. transactions. Larger transactions attain an approximately 5-15% discount from smaller transactions.
CBRE 29 BANGKOK PROPERTY MARKET APAC PRIME OFFICE RENTS STILL CHEAP BY REGIONAL COMPARISON
Asia Pacific's Average Grade A Office Rents, Q3 2016
3,742 3,679 3,239 2,704 2,578 2,201 1,981 1,824 1,761 1,541 1,541 1,541 1,352 1,352 1,352 1,258 1,226 975 943 912 880 849 818 786 692 629 597 597 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000
THB/sq.m./month
CBRE 30 BANGKOK PROPERTY MARKET RETAIL 7.3 MILLION SQ.M. OF RETAIL SUPPLY IN BANGKOK
Total % % Total in Total in Total in Market Change Change Downtown Midtown Suburb Q4 2016 Q-o-Q Y-o-Y
Total Supply 7.3 1.5 2.1 3.7 1.8% 3.2% (million sq.m.)
Total Take-up 6.9 1.4 2 3.5 2.4% 3.9% (million sq.m.)
Average Occupancy 93.8% 92.6% 92.1% 95.8% 0.7% 0.6% Rate
New Retail Supply in Q4 2016: 130,882 sq.m.
CBRE 31 BANGKOK PROPERTY MARKET THAILAND'S RETAIL SALES INDEX, JANUARY 2011 – NOV 2016 RETAIL SALE START TO PICK UP
Retail Sales Index Retail Index Changes in Retail Sales Index (%Y-o-Y) % Change Y-o-Y
300 60% 50% 250 40% 200 30% 20% 150 10% 100 0% (10)% 50 (20)%
0 (30)%
SEP 2012 SEP 2013 SEP 2014 SEP 2015
JAN 2013JAN 2014JAN 2015JAN 2016JAN
SEP 2011
JAN 2011JAN 2012JAN
MAY2012 MAY2013 MAY2014 MAY2015 MAY2016
SEP 2016p MAY2011
RETAIL SALE START TO PICK UP
CBRE 32 BANGKOK PROPERTY MARKET RETAIL SUPPLY, TAKE-UP AND OCCUPANCY RATE, 2000–2016 THE OCCUPANCY RATE REMAINS STRONG
Net Area (sq.m.) Total Supply Total Take-up Occupancy Rate Occupancy Rate
7,000,000 100%
98% 6,000,000 96%
5,000,000 94%
92% 4,000,000 90%
3,000,000 88%
86% 2,000,000 84%
1,000,000 82% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
CBRE 33 BANGKOK PROPERTY MARKET RETAIL EXISTING AND FUTURE SUPPLY, 2006 – 2018F & BEYOND
sq.m.
9,000,000
8,000,000
7,000,000
6,000,000
5,000,000
4,000,000
3,000,000
2,000,000
1,000,000
0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017F* 2018F & Beyond*
Rate of new supply slowed due to delayed construction
CBRE 34 BANGKOK PROPERTY MARKET KEY RETAIL DEVELOPMENTS EXISTING AND FUTURE SUPPLY
1 Siam Paragon 2 Central World 3 Seacon Square Mega Bangna 4 16 5 The Mall Bangkae 15
6 Future Park Rangsit 6 7 CentralPlaza Pinklao 8 CentralPlaza Bangna 11 9 Emporium and EmQuartier 10 Central Festival East Ville 10
11 Central WestGate 7 12 1 13 12 Icon Siam (87,500 sq.m. / 2017) 2 9 5 3 13 EmSphere (60,000 sq.m) 14 14 Bangkok Mall (89,000 sq.m) 8 4 15 Central M 16 Mega Rangsit
Existing Supply
Future Supply
CBRE 35 BANGKOK PROPERTY MARKET INDUSTRIAL MINIMAL SILP SALES
Total Net New Take Up, 2003-Q3 2016
No. of SILPs (Rai) Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Q3 2016 : sold 516 rai (historic average 1,000 rai per quarter)
CBRE 36 BANGKOK PROPERTY MARKET INDUSTRIAL RBF VACANCY REMAINED HIGH
Total Supply and Take-up of RBFs, 2005-Q3 2016
Sq.m. Total Space (sq.m.) Total Take-up (sq.m.) Vacancy Rate Vacancy Rate
2,500,000 40% 35% 2,000,000 30%
1,500,000 25% 20% 1,000,000 15% 10% 500,000 5% 0 0% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Q1 Q2 Q3 2016 2016 2016
Q3 2016 Vacancy Rate at 31.5%, increased from 30.9% in Q2 2016
CBRE 37 BANGKOK PROPERTY MARKET INDUSTRIAL STABLE VACANCY FOR MLPS
Total Supply and Take-up of MLPs, 2013-Q3 2016
Sq.m. Total Space (sq.m.) Total Take-up (sq.m.) Vacancy Rate Vacancy Rate
3,500,000 35%
3,000,000 30%
2,500,000 25%
2,000,000 20%
1,500,000 15%
1,000,000 10%
500,000 5%
0 0% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2013 2013 2013 2013 2014 2014 2014 2014 2015 2015 2015 2015 2016 2016 2016
Q3 2016 Vacancy Rate increased to 19.7% from 19.2% in Q2 2016
CBRE 38 BANGKOK PROPERTY MARKET THANK YOU