<<

No. 3 • May 2009

The “Idea of ” after Mumbai By Apoorva Shah

India’s founding ideal of multicultural democracy is critical to both domestic cohesion and geopolitical interest, and it has defined how the country confronts at home. Modern India has much experience with terrorism, but most attacks have been rooted in separatist and ethnic in rural frontier provinces. In the last decade, however, India has seen a steep rise in the number of attacks in urban areas, aimed at civilians, and committed not by rural insurgents but by young, middle-class jihadists. These domestic threats, which expose fault lines in the “idea of India,” have been welcomed and at times supported by , whose existence is founded in opposition to India. In fact, the apparent paradox between Pakistan’s tolerance of the Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT) terrorist group leading up Asian Outlook to the November 26, 2008, attacks in Mumbai and Pakistan’s internal struggle against extremists can be understood in the framework of these conflicting . For India, countering the threat of domestic is not only a security imperative; it is also a strategic necessity. This merits a new counterterror- ism response by the Indian government and a renewed understanding of Indian and their place in India’s pluralistic society.

n 1947, as the British Raj prepared to devolve its I former colony to the newly independent Repub- Key points in this Asian Outlook: lic of India, Jawaharlal Nehru and Mohandas Gandhi envisioned a modern, multicultural, and • In the past ten years, India has seen a new secular democracy whose first priority was eco- kind of terrorism aimed at civilians and nomic progress, not ethnic communalism.1 Nehru committed by young, middle-class jihadists. and Gandhi’s “idea of India” rejected the Balkan- ization of the subcontinent based on religious or • Pakistan has tolerated (and some elements ethnic division. Prior to and following independ- within Pakistan have supported) the ence, they strived to create and then preserve a jihadists, despite its own internal struggle unified nation. against extremists. Indian and strategic interests, especially in relation to Pakistan, are closely • The growing strength of domestic Islamist linked to this founding idea. Since the partition terrorism undermines the “idea of India,” of India and Pakistan in 1947, Pakistani founder the multicultural and secular founding Jinnah’s “two-nation theory” of principle of the Indian nation. a separate, united Muslim state has inherently contradicted the “idea of India.” This conflict has • India must renew its focus on the integra- played out in a series of geopolitical skirmishes tion and assimilation of minorities, espe- throughout the subcontinent.2 cially its Muslims, and reassess its strategy Apoorva Shah ([email protected]) is a research to fight terrorism. assistant at AEI.

1150 Seventeenth Street, N.W., Washington, D.C. 20036 202.862.5800 www.aei.org/asia - 2 - The disputed territory of has been at center no longer relegated to the mountains of Kashmir or the stage in this struggle, with each side justifying accession valleys of Manipur, and the culprits are not poor locals based on its founding theory. On the Indian side, the but rather well-trained urban soldiers.7 secession of Kashmir would be “a defeat for , Insurgencies employ terrorism for short-term tactical [which] is not acceptable if the Indian gains, but their preferred modus operandi 8 republic is to be nurtured and brought to is is ideological indoctrination. Many ter- fruition,” K. Subrahmanyam, an Indian rorists, however, favor indiscriminate vio- strategic analyst, writes.3 For Pakistan, no longer relegated lence aimed at generating feelings of majority-Muslim Kashmir is critical to insecurity and provoking harsh responses to the mountains of the “two-nation theory.” If India relin- by the targeted governments.9 Terrorism quishes Kashmir, then Muslim “self- Kashmir or the valleys in India has moved away from the ideo- determination,” not secular identity, can logical cast of . The indiscrimi- define the division between the two of Manipur, and the nate nature of Indian jihadist violence rivals. And, as Stephen P. Cohen notes, culprits are not poor today is evident in the terrorist attacks the Kashmir dispute is specifically conducted over the last three years by radi- important “to those Pakistanis who focus locals but rather well- calized members of the Students Islamic on strategic and security issues, notably trained urban soldiers. Movement of India (SIMI) and the the army.”4 Indian (IM), a prominent The “idea of India” has also under- and well-networked Indian terrorist lined domestic policy in India since the days of Nehru organization. In July 2006, SIMI detonated and Gandhi. For example, in 1947, civil servant V. P. seven bombs on the suburban Mumbai railway system, Menon spent two years negotiating with the leaders of killing two hundred commuters. Then, in 2008, the five hundred princely states and chiefdoms in order to cities of Jaipur, Bangalore, Ahmedabad, and New Delhi absorb them into the Indian state.5 (He did not succeed were all sites of IM bombings whose casualties were all in Kashmir.) Since then, ethnic separatists, from the civilians. This is distinct from separatist operations, which Nagas in the northeast to the Tamils in the south, have tend to target security personnel.10 The IM and rogue attempted to undermine the idea, but the country has members of SIMI are based domestically, and their responded with both military force and socioeconomic attacks are intended to target major urban and suburban assistance in order to deter secession. areas in order to inflict heavy civilian casualties. Not only are their motives fundamentalist and pan-Islamist, The Changing Threat to the “Idea of India” but the groups are also fueled by domestic grievances, such as ethnic riots, religious discrimination, and opposi- For most of India’s history, dissenting parties to its tion to Hindu nationalist politics. founding idea—at least the ones that also pose threats of The IM, an umbrella organization that includes mem- secession and violence—have metastasized in the form bers of SIMI and other smaller groups, networks Indian of separatist insurgencies. The majority of terrorist inci- terrorists across the country and organizes attacks. Its dents in India have been the work of these insurgencies. leaders, Riyaz Bhatkal and Abdul Subhan Usman Qureshi, Therefore, India’s original counterterrorism strategy has both former engineers raised in middle-class families in been, in fact, a counterinsurgency strategy. For example, Mumbai, have built a network of young radicals (includ- the Rashtriya Rifles, a specialized counterinsurgency ing former software engineers and small businessmen) to force, was created to fight small-scale, low-intensity manufacture bombs and attack India’s largest cities.11 conflicts in Jammu and Kashmir, and the Indian army Consider the July 2008 bombings in Ahmedabad. learned to integrate former insurgents, called ikhwanis, The IM prepared for these attacks in a highly coordi- into cohorts that gather local intelligence in conflict nated, albeit decentralized, manner. Atif Amin, an IM zones. The government also provided civilian support commander, led the assault team, which planted the and development assistance to insurgency areas in Pun- bombs, while a computer graphics designer, Qayamuddin jab and Mizoram, addressing socioeconomic issues like Kapadia, provided safe houses and logistical support. At unemployment, wealth disparities, and lack of education the same time, Bhatkal designed the bombs, and Qureshi that exacerbate local tensions.6 But terrorism in India is coordinated the entire operation.12 A few days before - 3 - their mission, three IM operatives took a train from simply another operative in Pakistan’s quest to corrode New Delhi to Ahmedabad to conduct reconnaissance, the idea of India, and as LeT’s raises tensions finding unsecured wireless Internet sites for use during the on the border, the Pakistani military can also shift focus bombings.13 Based in several cities, including Ahmedabad, away from a difficult mission in the tribal areas of Mumbai, New Delhi, and Mangalore, these terrorists used Baluchistan and the North West Frontier Province.16 cell phones, Wi-Fi, and GPS to run a sophisticated and Even though Pakistan fights the same Islamists at home, efficient operation that was difficult to track in real time. the benefit provided by their operations in India makes In an e-mail entitled “The Rise of , Revenge the Pakistani choice more complex than it appears. Yet, of Gujarat,” sent by the IM following the Ahmedabad Pakistani attempts to chip away at the idea of India are bombings, the terrorists invoke distinctly political tones nothing new. in their tirade against Hindu nationalist organizations In the late 1980s and early 1990s, Punjabi Sikh mili- such as the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), the Rashtriya tants who were part of the Khalistan independence Swayamsevak Sangh, and the Vishwa Hindu Parishad, movement, which advocated for the creation of a sepa- calling for Gujarati Muslims to take revenge for the 2002 rate Sikh state, engaged in a series of riots, , Hindu-Muslim riots in their state. The e-mail also lashes and bombings across India. During this time, Pakistan out at counterterrorist police forces in several states for and its Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) provided funding, their alleged religious profiling and at the Indian govern- refuge, and training sites for these militants.17 Since ment in general for its discrimination and “harassment” then, the leader of the International Sikh Youth Federa- of Muslims. Finally, the e-mail concludes with a request tion, Lakhbir Singh Rode, who has been accused of “to Lashkar-e-Toiba and other organizations, for the sake “arms smuggling and conspiracy to attack government of , not to claim the responsibility for these and political leaders in Delhi,” has been allowed to live attacks.”14 Indeed, the IM and similar domestic jihadists in and work from .18 Apart from the Sikh move- are distinctly Indian groups with Indian goals, but they ment, Pakistani militants supported by the ISI have have become allies of convenience with Pakistan and sponsored and conducted attacks in Jammu and Kashmir.19 Pakistani operatives. LeT, for example, has conducted the majority of its operations in the disputed region, with eighteen attacks The Pakistan Question between September 2001 and October 2004.20 New evidence also shows that LeT has been able to Indian Muslim radicals expose India’s cultural and reli- conspire with Indian separatist groups that did not previ- gious fissures and fault lines, just as Sikhs, Tamils, and ously associate with radical Islamists. In Northeast India, Nagas have in the past. The terrorists attempt to redress the United Liberation Front of Assam, the National their grievances through acts of violence and propagate Democratic Front of Bodoland, and other militants have the notion that minorities—especially Muslims—cannot worked with jihadist groups in their latest attacks. In live peacefully in the Hindu-dominated Indian democ- what the Jamestown Foundation calls “ethno-Islamist” racy. This is an image that Pakistan takes advantage of terrorism, there were, for the first time, “tell-tale signs of for its own strategic interests in Kashmir and for Indian- collaboration between ethnic-separatist militants and Pakistani relations in general. Muslim jihadi groups with a strong cross-border reach.”21 Many analysts argued that the three-day siege of After more than a decade of calm, it also appears that Mumbai in November 2008 by LeT only confirmed Pakistan has begun to renew its support for Sikh mili- Pakistan’s internal instability and inability to control tants fighting for an independent Khalistan—this time expanding jihadist threats. Even the U.S. Joint Forces with the support of LeT and Jaish-e-Mohammad, Command referred to Pakistan as a possible “failed another Pakistan-based jihadist group.22 state.”15 Quite the contrary: Pakistan’s strong military, In each of these cases, from the which keeps Pakistan from failing, appears to dictate the to the Mumbai shootings, the involvement of LeT and country’s internal and external decision-making for its Pakistani operatives only reflects the increasing interna- own strategic interests. In the context of the geopolitical tionalization of the jihadist threat in India. The threat is duel between Pakistan and India, which is underlined still rooted domestically, under the leadership of Indian by their conflict of founding ideas, LeT’s operations and Muslim jihadists, but both Pakistan and LeT have been Pakistan’s inaction toward them make sense. LeT is able to take advantage of the vacuum in which these - 4 - jihadists operate in order to pursue their own strategic Evidence from the World Values Survey and exam- goals, whether they are geopolitical gains or global jihad. ples of Muslim integration in Indian popular culture Just as India used counterinsurgency strategy in the past appear to support the idea that Muslims are not inher- to contain domestic separatists, it will have to create a ently excluded from the country’s identity. Nevertheless, new counterterrorism strategy to deter domestic jihadists. as a report by the Prime Minister’s High Level Commit- tee (the Sachar Commission) on the status of India’s The State of Indian Muslims Muslims shows, there are still significant discrepancies between the socioeconomic status of Muslims and other The increasing radical activity of Indian Indians. By some measures, Muslims rank Muslims—especially those of the urban Just as India used near the “untouchable” Scheduled Tribes middle class—poses questions: Do Indian and Scheduled Castes.25 Muslims in general buy in to the “idea of counterinsurgency While Hindus had a literacy rate of India”? Is reflective of strategy in the past 80.5 percent in 2004–2005, the rate for wider sentiment among the Indian Muslims was 59.9 percent.26 Higher edu- , or are these attacks merely out- to contain domestic cation graduation rates are also signifi- liers conducted by disillusioned rogues cantly disparate, with only 4.5 percent acting irrationally and excessively? separatists, it will of Muslims between the ages of twenty The World Values Survey asks sub- have to create a new and thirty having degrees at the tertiary jects to respond to a series of questions level in 2004–2005, as opposed to 18.6 about cultural and national identity, counterterrorism percent of Hindus aged twenty to thirty. trust, and happiness. It is possible to tabu- strategy to deter As the report states, “In urban areas, late these responses based on . In Muslims are falling behind not only vis- the case of India, not only are Indian domestic jihadists. à-vis ‘All Other [Minorities],’ but also Muslims equally as happy and proud to be Scheduled Castes and Scheduled Tribes Indian as Hindus, they tend to be apolitical and broadly in several states.” respectful of democracy.23 Approximately 90 percent of Compared to the national average, a larger propor- Indian Muslims and Hindus express pride in being tion of Indian Muslims work in the informal sector of Indian, assert the importance of democracy, and are will- the economy or are engaged in “small proprietary enter- ing to fight for their country. According to the survey, prises.” Yet, as the Sachar Commission report notes, “the Muslims are also slightly more active in religious practice access of Muslims to bank credit . . . is low and inade- (90 percent versus 80 percent) and less trusting of others quate,” and the share of banking facilities is much lower (71 percent versus 61 percent) than Hindus, but they in villages where the percentage of the Muslim popula- believe almost as strongly as Hindus that society should tion exceeds 50 percent. not be radically changed (85 percent to 86 percent).24 Discrimination against Muslims is also evident in Anecdotal evidence adds further confirmation of civil society, in which segregation continues to be the Muslim integration. Muslims play prominent roles in rule rather than the exception. In 2006, Muslims made Indian popular culture and political life. Three of the up only 4.9 percent of all government employees and country’s most famous and widely adored Bollywood actors 3.2 percent of all civil service officers.27 It is also impor- are Muslims named Khan (Salman Khan, Shah Rukh tant to note the vast underrepresentation of Muslims in Khan, and Aamir Khan). The award-winning song by the Indian army: out of 1.1 million soldiers, only 29,000 Muslim composer A. R. Rahman, “Jai Ho,” from the (2.6 percent) are Muslims.28 blockbuster Slumdog Millionaire (which itself features a In addition to social rifts, the ongoing religious and successful Muslim protagonist), became this year’s cam- political tug-of-war between certain Hindu and Muslim paign theme song for India’s Congress Party. And in factions could exacerbate extremism. Three events in politics, A. P. J. Abdul was elected the first Muslim modern Indian history—the destruction of the Babri president of India by the parliament in 2002. Muslims in 1992, the 2002 riots in Gujarat, and the 1986 are underrepresented in politics at the national level, but Shah Bano case—have dictated these tensions. The first not significantly; they hold 8 percent of the seats against two events, cases of between Hindu their national population share of 13.4 percent. and Muslim fanatics, are of importance because of their - 5 - human toll in addition to their impact on political of the country’s political and economic capital, these debate. In 1992, a group of Hindu nationalists destroyed Hindus should be conscious of their implicit responsibil- a sixteenth-century mosque in the town of Ayodhya, ity to prevent calamities like the Babri Mosque destruc- claiming that the mosque was built on the birthplace of tion and the Gujarat riots and to bolster the social and the Hindu Ram. A riot spread following the destruc- economic inclusion of Muslims in the country. tion, in which two thousand Indians, mostly Muslims, But there is also an onus on the leaders of the Indian were killed. In 2002, more than one thousand people Muslim community to reconcile Muslim identity with perished in riots in Gujarat following an attack on Indian identity and address Indian Muslims’ radicaliza- a train of Hindu pilgrims. Once again, the majority of tion and social segregation. The ability of external victims were Muslims, and the BJP-led state government forces, regardless of their strength, to influence the was widely criticized for its failure to Muslim community is limited, compared respond to the pogrom. Despite the presence to the capacity of Muslims themselves The origins of these riots still evoke to address these issues. The Shah Bano debate among members of the BJP, secu- of Muslims in case is an example of self-imposed isola- lar Hindu politicians, and Muslims in fear tion that hinders ethnic and cultural prominent political of a reprisal. The Hindu-Muslim conflict integration and compromises the secular also hinders political discourse by priori- and cultural spaces in nature of the Indian polity, which, as the tizing ethnic and religious divisions over World Values Survey shows, is not con- critical social and economic issues. For India, the majority of trary to wider Muslim sentiment. example, in the latest election campaign, Indian political and BJP candidate Varun Gandhi—an Conclusion estranged member of the Nehru-Gandhi economic power still political dynasty and grandson of former rests in the hands of There is no easy path to prevent middle- prime minister Indira Gandhi—was class Indian Muslims from radicalizing arrested after making disparaging remarks Hindus, both secular and attacking their fellow citizens. But about Muslim parliamentary candidates before addressing the problem, the and orthodox. and telling supporters at a rally that he Indian government must understand the would “cut the hands” of anyone who roots of domestic jihadism and its impli- “raised a finger towards Hindus.”29 cations for India’s long-term strategy. As Angel Rabasa The other turning point, the Shah Bano case of 1986, et al. write, “[A]t the strategic level, the Mumbai attack reflects discrepancies in the legal and institutional status underscores the imperative of addressing the trans- of Muslims versus those of other Indians. In 1986, Shah national sources of Islamist terrorism in India. How to Bano, a sixty-two-year-old Muslim divorcée, filed a suit to do this is an extraordinarily difficult question that will claim alimony from her husband, claiming that she had require the reassessment of basic assumptions concern- no means to support herself and her children. While ing policy toward Pakistan by members of the interna- orthodox Muslims felt that alimony was unacceptable tional community.”30 according to law, the Supreme Court ruled in her Nevertheless, the transnationalization of Islamist ter- favor, invoking the Indian Code of Criminal Procedure. rorism in India is rooted in the growing strength and Following the ruling, an organization of Muslim commu- scope of domestic Islamist terrorism, as evidenced by the nity leaders and intellectuals successfully lobbied the increasing frequency and magnitude of attacks in urban government to overrule the court’s decision. The govern- areas of India. The attacks in Mumbai were merely one ment’s appeasement was derided as “pseudosecularism” more step down a road that organizations such as the IM by its opponents, and it set a precedent for Indian Mus- have been paving for more than a decade. lims that has made room for self-imposed compartmen- For more than six decades, Indian governments, talization and isolation from mainstream society. despite occasional domestic pressures from the far right Despite the presence of Muslims in prominent politi- and left wings, have remained steadfast in their commit- cal and cultural spaces in India, the majority of Indian ment to preserving the “idea of India.” The threats to political and economic power still rests in the hands of this idea continue to exist, but they have changed sig- Hindus, both secular and orthodox. As the primary owners nificantly. In a “post-11/26” world, preserving Nehru and - 6 - Gandhi’s vision of a secular and pluralistic democracy 2008, available at http://islamicterrorism.wordpress.com/2008/ will require more than just a tough stance across the 08/07/full-text-of-indian-mujahideen-14-pages-email-on-- Indian-Pakistani Line of Control. It will require a attacks/ (accessed April 17, 2009). reassessment of counterterrorism and counterinsurgency 15. U.S. Joint Forces Command, Joint Operating Environ- at home and a renewed focus toward the integration and ment: Challenges and Implications for the Future Joint Force (Nor- assimilation of minorities, specifically Muslims, into the folk, VA: U.S. Joint Forces Command, November 25, 2008), expansive definition of India. available at www.jfcom.mil/newslink/storyarchive/2008/ JOE2008.pdf (accessed April 17, 2009). 16. Angel Rabasa et al., “The Lessons of Mumbai” (occa- Notes sional paper, RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, CA, January 9, 2009), available at www.rand.org/pubs/occasional_papers/ 1. See Sunil Khilnani, The Idea of India (New York: Farrar, OP249/ (accessed April 17, 2009). Straus & Giroux, 1999). 17. Mukhtar A. Khan, “India’s Sikh Militants Forming Ties 2. Ibid. with Lashkar-e-Taiba and Pakistani Intelligence,” Jamestown 3. K. Subrahmanyam, “Don’t Give In to Them,” Times of Foundation Terrorism Monitor 7, no. 1 (January 9, 2009), avail- India, August 22, 2008. able at www.jamestown.org/fileadmin/JamestownContent/ 4. Stephen P. Cohen, The Idea of Pakistan (Washington, DC: Book_Images/TM_007_1.pdf (accessed April 17, 2009). Press, 2004), 52–54. 18. Ibid. 5. Ramachandra Guha, India After Gandhi: The History of the 19. Roy McCarthy, “Dangerous Game of State-Sponsored World’s Largest Democracy (New York: HarperCollins, 2007). Terror That Threatens Nuclear Conflict,” Guardian (), 6. Moeed Yusuf and Anit Mukherjee, “Counterinsurgency in May 25, 2002. Pakistan: Learning from India,” National Security Outlook (Sep- 20. See the website of the South Asia Terrorism Portal at tember 2007), available at www.aei.org/publication26888. www.satp.org. 7. For an interactive map of terrorist attacks in India since 21. Animesh Roul, “India’s Troubled Northeast Region: The 2001, based on information from the South Asia Terrorism Resurgence of Ethno-Islamist Terrorism,” Jamestown Foundation Portal at www.satp.org, visit www.aei.org/indiaterrorism. Terrorism Monitor 6, no. 22 (November 25, 2008), available at 8. Kurt M. Campbell and Richard Weitz, “Non-Military www.jamestown.org/uploads/media/TM_006_022_01.pdf Strategies for Countering Islamist Terrorism: Lessons Learned (accessed April 17, 2009). from Past Counterinsurgencies” (working paper, Princeton 22. Mukhtar A. Khan, “India’s Sikh Militants Forming Project on National Security, Princeton, NJ), available at www. Ties with Lashkar-e-Taiba and Pakistani Intelligence.” princeton.edu/~ppns/papers/counterinsurgency.pdf (accessed 23. World Values Survey, four-wave integrated data April 17, 2009). file, 1981–2004, v.20060423, 2006, available at www. 9. Ibid. worldvaluessurvey.org. 10. For example, in Jammu and Kashmir, from 2001 to 2008, 24. Ibid. one security force member was killed for every two civilian 25. Prime Minister’s High Level Committee, Social, Eco- casualties in terrorist violence. (South Asia Terrorism Portal, nomic and Educational Status of the Muslim Community of India “Annual Fatalities in Terrorist Violence, 1988–2009,” available (New Delhi: Government of India, November 2006), available at www.satp.org/satporgtp/countries/india/states/jandk/data_ at http://minorityaffairs.gov.in/newsite/sachar/sachar.asp sheets/annual_casualties.htm [accessed April 17, 2009].) (accessed April 17, 2009). 11. Praveen Swami, “New Insights into 26. Literacy is assessed for age six and above. Network,” Hindu, October 2, 2008. 27. Prime Minister’s High Level Committee, Social, Eco- 12. Praveen Swami, “The Lashkar-e-Taiba’s Army in India,” nomic and Educational Status of the Muslim Community of India. Hindu (India), January 17, 2009. 28. Randeep Ramesh, “Muslim India Struggles to Escape the 13. “India: Mumbai Police Arrest Five More Indian Past,” Guardian, April 5, 2006. Mujahideen Suspects,” Press Trust of India, October 7, 2008. 29. “Varun Gandhi Arrested Over Muslim Hate Speech,” 14. Indian Mujahideen, “The Rise of Jihad, Revenge of , March 29, 2009. Gujarat,” published by Islamic Terrorism in India, August 7, 30. Angel Rabasa et al., “The Lessons of Mumbai.”