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Emergency Response Coordination Centre (ERCC) – ECHO Daily Map | 6/5/2015 Federated States of , NOUL

RELEVANT TROPICAL CYCLONES IN THE SITUATION

NORTHERN PHILIPPINES (2013-2015) FEDERATED STATES OF MICRONESIA • NOUL formed in the northern Pacific , south-east of Fais island ( State), Federated States of Micronesia (FSM), on 10 May, 6.00 UTC 3 May and started moving west, intensifying 212 km/h winds and passing the islands of Fais and , as a Tropical Storm. Afterwards it crossed Yap island, strengthened into a , late on 5 May, and it started moving away from FSM. • Heavy rains and winds affected several islands of Yap State during its passage. Track / Intensity • In March 2015, the very intense Typhoon of NOUL in 11 May, 6.00 UTC 11 MAYSAK caused damage and deaths in the PHILIPPINES: 185 km/h sust. winds Yap and Chuuk states. The uncertainty of the forecast track (time, PHILIPPINES position) and intensity 15 • After having passed Micronesia, NOUL (sustained winds) is still continued moving west-northwest, over the very high. Philippine . • Over the next 72 h it is forecast to continue 10 May, 6.00 UTC 106 moving north-west towards northern 212 km/h sust. winds Philippines, strengthening. It is expected to enter in the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on 7 May, where it will be locally named “DODONG”. 9 May, 6.00 UTC • According to the forecast data of 6 May 232 km/h sust. winds 19 9.00 UTC, it may start approaching northern Luzon on 10 May, as a Typhoon. However 7 300 the uncertainty of the forecast track/intensity is still very high. 8 May, 6.00 UTC • In April 2015, Typhoon MAYSAK (CHEDENG), 222 km/h sust. winds TROPICAL CYCLONE that caused damage in FSM, reached the INTENSITY northern Philippines, weakened into a Typhoon Tropical Storm. According to NDRRMC Tropical Storm 6 May, 6.00 UTC report, there were no reported dead (directly Tropical Depression 138 km/h sust. winds attributed to MAYSAK). WIND BUFFER Sources: GDACS, NDRRMC (1, 2, 3, 4, 5), PAGASA, SPC, > 120 km/h FEDERATED STATES OF MICRONESIA 92-120 km/h 64-92 km/h Ulithi LegendArea of track Yap Fais MAR 2015 lspop2012uncertainty 24h acc. rain Ulithi VALUE 7 May, 18.00 UTC XX mm observed over (pop. 847) 0 5-6 May 204 km/h sust. winds Yap 1 - 5 Dead (pop. 7 371) 68 mm 6 - 25 POP.26 DENSITY- 50 213 mm 2 (pop/km51 - 100) 101- 500 501 - 2 500 Fais 2 501 - 5 000 MAY 2015 (pop. 294) 5 001 - 130 000 5 May, 18.00 UTC 120 km/h sust. winds YAP STATE