BEFORE DISASTER STRIKES Building Resilience
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4. the TROPICS—HJ Diamond and CJ Schreck, Eds
4. THE TROPICS—H. J. Diamond and C. J. Schreck, Eds. Pacific, South Indian, and Australian basins were a. Overview—H. J. Diamond and C. J. Schreck all particularly quiet, each having about half their The Tropics in 2017 were dominated by neutral median ACE. El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) condi- Three tropical cyclones (TCs) reached the Saffir– tions during most of the year, with the onset of Simpson scale category 5 intensity level—two in the La Niña conditions occurring during boreal autumn. North Atlantic and one in the western North Pacific Although the year began ENSO-neutral, it initially basins. This number was less than half of the eight featured cooler-than-average sea surface tempera- category 5 storms recorded in 2015 (Diamond and tures (SSTs) in the central and east-central equatorial Schreck 2016), and was one fewer than the four re- Pacific, along with lingering La Niña impacts in the corded in 2016 (Diamond and Schreck 2017). atmospheric circulation. These conditions followed The editors of this chapter would like to insert two the abrupt end of a weak and short-lived La Niña personal notes recognizing the passing of two giants during 2016, which lasted from the July–September in the field of tropical meteorology. season until late December. Charles J. Neumann passed away on 14 November Equatorial Pacific SST anomalies warmed con- 2017, at the age of 92. Upon graduation from MIT siderably during the first several months of 2017 in 1946, Charlie volunteered as a weather officer in and by late boreal spring and early summer, the the Navy’s first airborne typhoon reconnaissance anomalies were just shy of reaching El Niño thresh- unit in the Pacific. -
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Estimation Using Multi-Dimensional Convolutional Neural Networks from Geostationary Satellite Data
remote sensing Article Tropical Cyclone Intensity Estimation Using Multi-Dimensional Convolutional Neural Networks from Geostationary Satellite Data Juhyun Lee 1, Jungho Im 1,* , Dong-Hyun Cha 1, Haemi Park 2 and Seongmun Sim 1 1 School of Urban & Environmental Engineering in Ulsan National Institute of Science and Technology, Ulsan 44919, Korea; [email protected] (J.L.); [email protected] (D.-H.C.); [email protected] (S.S.) 2 Institute of Industrial Science in the University of Tokyo, A building, 4 Chome-6-1 Komaba, Meguro City, Tokyo 153-8505, Japan; [email protected] * Correspondence: [email protected]; Tel.: +82-52-217-2824 Received: 25 November 2019; Accepted: 25 December 2019; Published: 28 December 2019 Abstract: For a long time, researchers have tried to find a way to analyze tropical cyclone (TC) intensity in real-time. Since there is no standardized method for estimating TC intensity and the most widely used method is a manual algorithm using satellite-based cloud images, there is a bias that varies depending on the TC center and shape. In this study, we adopted convolutional neural networks (CNNs) which are part of a state-of-art approach that analyzes image patterns to estimate TC intensity by mimicking human cloud pattern recognition. Both two dimensional-CNN (2D-CNN) and three-dimensional-CNN (3D-CNN) were used to analyze the relationship between multi-spectral geostationary satellite images and TC intensity. Our best-optimized model produced a root mean squared error (RMSE) of 8.32 kts, resulting in better performance (~35%) than the existing model using the CNN-based approach with a single channel image. -
A Summary of Palau's Typhoon History 1945-2013
A Summary of Palau’s Typhoon History 1945-2013 Coral Reef Research Foundation, Palau Dec, 2014 © Coral Reef Research Foundation 2014 Suggested citation: Coral Reef Research Foundation, 2014. A Summary of Palau’s Typhoon History. Technical Report, 17pp. www.coralreefpalau.org Additions and suggestions welcome. Please email: [email protected] 2 Summary: Since 1945 Palau has had 68 recorded typhoons, tropical storms or tropical depressions come within 200 nmi of its islands or reefs. At their nearest point to Palau, 20 of these were typhoon strength with winds ≥64kts, or an average of 1 typhoon every 3 years. November and December had the highest number of significant storms; July had none over 40 kts and August had no recorded storms. Data Compilation: Storms within 200 nmi (nautical miles) of Palau were identified from the Digital Typhoon, National Institute of Informatics, Japan web site (http://agora.ex.nii.ac.jp/digital- typhoon/reference/besttrack.html.en). The storm tracks and intensities were then obtained from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) (https://metoc.ndbc.noaa.gov/en/JTWC/). Three storm categories were used following the JTWC: Tropical Depression, winds ≤ 33 kts; Tropical Storm, winds 34-63 kts; Typhoon ≥64kts. All track data was from the JTWC archives. Tracks were plotted on Google Earth and the nearest distance to land or reef, and bearing from Palau, were measured; maximum sustained wind speed in knots (nautical miles/hr) at that point was recorded. Typhoon names were taken from the Digital Typhoon site, but typhoon numbers for the same typhoon were from the JTWC archives. -
Situation Update 1
SITUATION UPDATE 1 1. HIGHLIGHTS a. The combination of weather systems (Tropical Storms LINFA and NANGKA, and the Inter Tropical Convergence Zone combined with cold air) affected the Lower Mekong Region. This resulted in widespread flooding and landslides in multiple provinces of Cambodia, Lao PDR, and Viet Nam. b. Severe Tropical Storm SAUDEL is forecasted to hit Central Viet Nam on 25 October 2020. This will be the third tropical cyclone to impact the central provinces within three consecutive weeks. c. The floods, landslides, storms, and winds in Central Viet Nam affected an estimated 801K people, 160K houses, 112.8K hectares of land damaged or destroyed, 42 commune health stations (Quang Tri: 32; Quang Ngai: 5; Quang Nam: 4; and one regional clinic), 362 educational institutions, 14.7 km of roads, and the loss of 462K livestock (cattle and poultry). About 26.3 km of coastal landslide was also reported. Casualties were also reported (111 dead and 22 missing*). *highest number reported as of 21 October 2020 source: VNDMA d. The Government of Viet Nam identified several humanitarian needs: 6,500 tons of rice**, 5.5 tons of dried food, 20,000 boxes of instant noodles, medicines, disinfectants, and search and rescue equipment. **the Government of Viet Nam will shoulder rice provision e. The UN Resident Coordinator in Viet Nam provided a report summarising sectoral needs for Education, Food Security, Health & Nutrition, Protection & Gener, Shelter, and Water, Sanitation and Hygiene. f. Viet Nam Disaster Management Authority (VNDMA) has organised response missions to the affected provinces. It has also maintained close coordination with its partners. -
Detail Response to Referee #1 (Anonymous) in the Following Letter, Each Comment by Referee #1 in Black Is Followed by Our Replies in Red
Detail response to Referee #1 (anonymous) In the following letter, each comment by Referee #1 in black is followed by our replies in red. This paper proposes an assessment of the risk of coastal flooding and submersion by waves in one of the Palau islands surrounded by a coral reef in 2100, in a context of climate change. The study is certainly of interest, the study is rather comprehensive, well conducted and the paper is concise, clear and well written. The objectives of the paper are clearly exposed and the conclusions correspond to these objectives. We are grateful to you that you review. I have however two main concerns, that in my opinion prevent the acceptance of the paper in its present state: 1- The authors state that their first objective is to assess the present-day efficiency of the Palau coral reef as wave breaker and natural barrier against water level rise during a tropical cyclone (TC). They give (from what I understand) the corresponding figures obtained from a numerical hydrodynamic modeling, using as forgings the outer wave significant height (SWHo), the outer significant wave period, and the outer water level. These forcings are taken from a GFS simulation and observations of SWH in similar conditions. The percent of reduction of wave height due to the reef is 85.7% (87.9%) with (without) storm surge. As these values are used as a reference in the projective part of the paper, it would be relevant to confirm them (at least at first order) using observations. Recent TCs (Bopha and Haiyan) hit Palau, and it is may be possible to find even crude observations of (outer) SWHo and (reef) SWHr to check either the value of SWHr or the percentage of reduction (Table1). -
Appendix 8: Damages Caused by Natural Disasters
Building Disaster and Climate Resilient Cities in ASEAN Draft Finnal Report APPENDIX 8: DAMAGES CAUSED BY NATURAL DISASTERS A8.1 Flood & Typhoon Table A8.1.1 Record of Flood & Typhoon (Cambodia) Place Date Damage Cambodia Flood Aug 1999 The flash floods, triggered by torrential rains during the first week of August, caused significant damage in the provinces of Sihanoukville, Koh Kong and Kam Pot. As of 10 August, four people were killed, some 8,000 people were left homeless, and 200 meters of railroads were washed away. More than 12,000 hectares of rice paddies were flooded in Kam Pot province alone. Floods Nov 1999 Continued torrential rains during October and early November caused flash floods and affected five southern provinces: Takeo, Kandal, Kampong Speu, Phnom Penh Municipality and Pursat. The report indicates that the floods affected 21,334 families and around 9,900 ha of rice field. IFRC's situation report dated 9 November stated that 3,561 houses are damaged/destroyed. So far, there has been no report of casualties. Flood Aug 2000 The second floods has caused serious damages on provinces in the North, the East and the South, especially in Takeo Province. Three provinces along Mekong River (Stung Treng, Kratie and Kompong Cham) and Municipality of Phnom Penh have declared the state of emergency. 121,000 families have been affected, more than 170 people were killed, and some $10 million in rice crops has been destroyed. Immediate needs include food, shelter, and the repair or replacement of homes, household items, and sanitation facilities as water levels in the Delta continue to fall. -
Briefing Note on Typhoon Goni
Briefing note 12 November 2020 PHILIPPINES KEY FIGURES Typhoon Goni CRISIS IMPACT OVERVIEW 1,5 million PEOPLE AFFECTED BY •On the morning of 1 November 2020, Typhoon Goni (known locally as Rolly) made landfall in Bicol Region and hit the town of Tiwi in Albay province, causing TYPHOON GONI rivers to overflow and flood much of the region. The typhoon – considered the world’s strongest typhoon so far this year – had maximum sustained winds of 225 km/h and gustiness of up to 280 km/h, moving at 25 km/h (ACT Alliance 02/11/2020). • At least 11 towns are reported to be cut off in Bato, Catanduanes province, as roads linking the province’s towns remain impassable. At least 137,000 houses were destroyed or damaged – including more than 300 houses buried under rock in Guinobatan, Albay province, because of a landslide following 128,000 heavy rains caused by the typhoon (OCHA 09/11/2020; ECHO 10/11/2020; OCHA 04/11/2020; South China Morning Post 04/11/2020). Many families will remain REMAIN DISPLACED BY in long-term displacement (UN News 06/11/2020; Map Action 08/11/2020). TYPHOON GONI • As of 7 November, approximately 375,074 families or 1,459,762 people had been affected in the regions of Cagayan Valley, Central Luzon, Calabarzon, Mimaropa, Bicol, Eastern Visayas, CAR, and NCR. Of these, 178,556 families or 686,400 people are in Bicol Region (AHA Centre 07/11/2020). • As of 07 November, there were 20 dead, 165 injured, and six missing people in the regions of Calabarzon, Mimaropa, and Bicol, while at least 11 people were 180,000 reported killed in Catanduanes and Albay provinces (AHA Centre 07/11/2020; UN News 03/11/2020). -
Sands Menu1d Reprice-View Only
BREA K FAST (served from 6am to 2pm) TAPA 430 SAND CHICKEN KIEV 430 Beef tenderloin in our special tapa marinade. Crispy boneless chicken breast stued Served with breakfast rice and your choices of egg. with garlic-herb butter. Served with ultimate mashed potato and steamed vegetables SWEET SPICY TUYO 290 Classic dried salty fish in our own sweet and THREE EGG OMELETS 290 spicy sauce, Served with fried eggplant, Served with hash brown and toast breakfast rice and your choice of egg ARROZ CALDO 290 DAING NA BANGUS 360 Rice porridge with tender chicken breast fillets, Pan-seared Bangus fillets with garlic lemon butter, hard boiled egg and famous adobo flakes Served with breakfast rice and your choice of egg DISCOVERY WAFFLES 290 Flavored with malunggay (moringa leaf) and pumpkin. Daing na Bangus Served with butter, jam and syrup CHAMPORADO “DAKOLATE” 290 Malagos dark chocolate and milk champorado Served with crispy dried palad fish SANDS LONGGANISA 370 2 pcs longganisa skewer served with breakfast rice and your choice of egg SANDS “CHINITO” 370 Crispy boneless chicken coated in a tocino glaze Served with breakfast rice and your choice of egg SANDS CHICKEN SALPICAO 370 Tender pieces of chicken breast marinated in our signature salpicao sauce, sautéed with mushroom. Served with breakfast rice and your choice of egg Rates are subject to prevailing government taxes and service charge SANDS OF THE PHILIPPINES PAMPAGANA PINAKBET 470 Filipino vegetable stew with shrimp, TOKWA’T BABOY 260 homemade bagoong and crispy pork bits Fried tofu, soy marinated pork belly, pig ears and fresh chili KILAWIN NA TANIGUE 390 Sinamak vinegar marinated kingfish with ginger, cucumber and red onion BABY CALAMARES 390 Seasoned with spices and aromatics, fried until crisp served with garlic aioli Pinakbet BAGNET 370 LAING 290 Crispy air dried pork belly with kamatis, Taro leaves in a sweet coconut cream, ginger, lemongrass , and chili. -
Minnesota Weathertalk Newsletter for Friday, January 3, 2014
Minnesota WeatherTalk Newsletter for Friday, January 3, 2014 To: MPR's Morning Edition From: Mark Seeley, Univ. of Minnesota, Dept of Soil, Water, and Climate Subject: Minnesota WeatherTalk Newsletter for Friday, January 3, 2014 HEADLINES -December 2013 was climate near historic for northern communities -Cold start to 2014 -Weekly Weather potpourri -MPR listener questions -Almanac for January 3rd -Past weather -Outlook Topic: December 2013 near historic for far north In assessing the climate for December 2013 it should be said that from the standpoint of cold temperatures the month was quite historic for many northern Minnesota communities, especially due to the Arctic cold that prevailed over the last few days of the month. Minnesota reported the coldest temperature in the 48 contiguous states thirteen times during the month, the highest frequency among all 48 states. Many northern observers saw overnight temperatures drop below -30 degrees F on several occasions. The mean monthly temperature for December from several communities ranked among the coldest Decembers ever. A sample listing includes: -4.1 F at International Falls, 2nd coldest all-time 4.6 F at Duluth, 8th coldest all-time 0.1 F at Crookston, 3rd coldest all-time -3.1 F at Roseau, 3rd coldest all-time 0.3 F at Park Rapids, 3rd coldest all-time -4.4 F at Embarrass, 2nd coldest all-time -4.1 F at Baudette, coldest all-time -3.7 F at Warroad, coldest all-time -2.9 F at Babbitt, coldest all-time -2.8 F at Gunflint Lake, coldest all-time In addition, some communities reported an exceptionally snowy month of December. -
!I Oung Titiltn PANTRY
266 THE YOUNG CITIZEN October, 193G MOTl-IERS' GUIDE IN CARE OF Cl-llLDREN Tl-IE !I oung titiltn PANTRY Cereals are grains or seeds of cul Corn is another cereal that goes tivated grasses used for food. They hand in hand with rice as the sta are the staple food of mankind and THE IMPORTANCE OF ple food of the Visayans. It is hold first place in their diet. They CEREALS prepared in much the. same way as contain all the food groups but not Miss Juliana Millan * in the right amount and are there the hard-boiled rice of th' Tagalogs fore, eaten along with fish, me·at, <:nd eaten with fish, meat and oth into "pinipig"-pressed, pounded and other foods to provide the cor er viands. It is also boiled and and winnowed-a preparation sim rect amount needed by the body. broiled on the cob, when it is served ilar to rolled oats. The mature They are generally classified as heat between meals. Tender grains of grain is generally prepared into "pu and-energy-providing foods because corn sautt?ed with lard, garlic and to maya, suman (ibos, lihia, antab, of the large amount of starch they a little salt is palatable. Mature maruekos), bico, puto sulot, gui contain. Some, however. like oat grains are .generally popped (pop natan, bibingka, and champorado" meal. wheat, and corn, contain a corn) or boiled into "binatog" (porridge). All of these prepara considerable amount of protein al (hominy). Like rice, it is ground tions, except the ·last, Call for ~h~ so and are then classified as tissue- help of sugar and coconut for serv into a paste-like consistency and building foods, too. -
Kunapipi 32 (1&2) 2010 Full Version
Kunapipi Volume 32 Issue 2 Article 1 2010 Kunapipi 32 (1&2) 2010 Full Version Anne Collett University of Wollongong, [email protected] Follow this and additional works at: https://ro.uow.edu.au/kunapipi Part of the Arts and Humanities Commons Recommended Citation Collett, Anne, Kunapipi 32 (1&2) 2010 Full Version, Kunapipi, 32(2), 2010. Available at:https://ro.uow.edu.au/kunapipi/vol32/iss2/1 Research Online is the open access institutional repository for the University of Wollongong. For further information contact the UOW Library: [email protected] Kunapipi 32 (1&2) 2010 Full Version Abstract Full text of issue. For individual articles see: ro.uow.edu.au/kunapipi/vol32/iss1/ This full issue is available in Kunapipi: https://ro.uow.edu.au/kunapipi/vol32/iss2/1 JournalKUNAPIPI of Postcolonial Writing & Culture VOLUME XXXII NUMBER 1–2 2010 ii Kunapipi is a biannual arts magazine with special but not exclusive emphasis on the new literatures written in English. It aims to fulfil the requirements T.S. Eliot believed a journal should have: to introduce the work of new or little known writers of talent, to provide critical evaluation of the work of living authors, both famous and unknown, and to be truly international. It publishes creative material and criticism. Articles and reviews on related historical and sociological topics plus film will also be included as well as graphics and photographs. The editor invites creative and scholarly contributions. The editorial board does not necessarily endorse any political views expressed by its contributors. Manuscripts should be double-spaced with notes gathered at the end, and should conform to the Harvard (author-date) system. -
Natural Disasters 48
ECOLOGICAL THREAT REGISTER THREAT ECOLOGICAL ECOLOGICAL THREAT REGISTER 2020 2020 UNDERSTANDING ECOLOGICAL THREATS, RESILIENCE AND PEACE Institute for Economics & Peace Quantifying Peace and its Benefits The Institute for Economics & Peace (IEP) is an independent, non-partisan, non-profit think tank dedicated to shifting the world’s focus to peace as a positive, achievable, and tangible measure of human well-being and progress. IEP achieves its goals by developing new conceptual frameworks to define peacefulness; providing metrics for measuring peace; and uncovering the relationships between business, peace and prosperity as well as promoting a better understanding of the cultural, economic and political factors that create peace. IEP is headquartered in Sydney, with offices in New York, The Hague, Mexico City, Brussels and Harare. It works with a wide range of partners internationally and collaborates with intergovernmental organisations on measuring and communicating the economic value of peace. For more information visit www.economicsandpeace.org Please cite this report as: Institute for Economics & Peace. Ecological Threat Register 2020: Understanding Ecological Threats, Resilience and Peace, Sydney, September 2020. Available from: http://visionofhumanity.org/reports (accessed Date Month Year). SPECIAL THANKS to Mercy Corps, the Stimson Center, UN75, GCSP and the Institute for Climate and Peace for their cooperation in the launch, PR and marketing activities of the Ecological Threat Register. Contents EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 2 Key Findings