Indiana Polling
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Indiana Polling Contact: Doug Kaplan, 407-242-1870 Executive Summary Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 377 registered, likely voters in Indiana. The poll was conducted from October 12th through the 16th, with a margin of error of ±5.1%. The totals may not round to 100% because of rounding. The survey was conducted using an online panel of cell phone users. The results are weighted by voting demographics. The poll was paid for by Gravis Marketing. 3) Do you have a strongly favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or strongly unfavorable opinion of President Donald Trump? 1 Party Age group Gender Democrat Independent or In Republican 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or Female Male Another Party over Q3: Do you have a strongly favorable, somewhat Somewhat 5.2% 16.5% 24.9% 8.7% 15.0% 22.3% 14.5% 17.0% 14.7% favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or strongly favorable unfavorable opinion of President Donald Trump? Somewhat 15.1% 7.5% 15.9% 10.3% 15.2% 11.2% 18.6% 9.7% 17.7% unfavorable Strongly 15.3% 29.1% 50.3% 27.7% 30.2% 39.3% 31.4% 29.6% 36.1% favorable Strongly 62.1% 39.7% 4.1% 45.0% 33.0% 24.7% 35.5% 38.8% 27.4% unfavorable Uncertain 2.3% 7.1% 4.8% 8.3% 6.5% 2.5% 0.0% 4.9% 4.1% 4) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of President Trump’s job performance? 2 Party Age group Gender Democrat Independent Republican 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or Female Male or In over Another Party Q4: Do you strongly Approve, Somewhat Approve 9.7% 18.8% 23.6% 14.8% 15.8% 29.1% 2.9% 19.5% 15.3% somewhat Approve, somewhat Somewhat Disapprove 22.1% 9.4% 18.5% 5.8% 16.6% 10.0% 46.4% 12.4% 23.0% Disapprove, or strongly Disapprove Strongly Approve 13.1% 28.1% 50.2% 26.2% 29.6% 36.3% 33.7% 29.6% 33.9% of President Trump’s job Strongly Disapprove 50.4% 34.3% 4.2% 44.8% 29.7% 21.0% 17.0% 31.3% 24.1% performance? Uncertain 4.8% 9.4% 3.6% 8.3% 8.4% 3.7% 0.0% 7.1% 3.7% 5) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Senator Donnelly’s job performance? 3 Party Age group Gender Democrat Independent or In Republican 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or Female Male Another Party over Q5: Do you strongly Approve, somewhat Approve, Somewhat 31.6% 24.2% 20.3% 20.7% 28.5% 20.1% 33.6% 29.6% 20.4% somewhat Disapprove, or strongly Disapprove of Approve Senator Donnelly’s job performance? Somewhat 14.2% 14.6% 24.8% 17.4% 17.1% 18.1% 23.5% 16.2% 21.1% Disapprove Strongly 28.8% 8.6% 5.7% 22.0% 16.8% 6.4% 16.1% 12.5% 16.7% Approve Strongly 6.6% 20.4% 30.7% 10.8% 19.0% 31.7% 9.4% 16.7% 23.0% Disapprove Uncertain 18.9% 32.2% 18.5% 29.1% 18.5% 23.7% 17.5% 25.0% 18.9% 6) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Senator Young’s job performance? 4 Party Age group Gender Democrat Independent or In Republican 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or Female Male Another Party over Q6: Do you strongly Approve, somewhat Approve, Somewhat 16.9% 14.2% 17.1% 14.3% 18.7% 12.0% 21.9% 22.6% 9.5% somewhat Disapprove, or strongly Disapprove of Approve Senator Young’s job performance? Somewhat 11.2% 12.7% 15.8% 14.5% 10.1% 11.5% 22.0% 12.1% 14.9% Disapprove Strongly 9.4% 8.5% 16.9% 13.6% 15.9% 7.9% 11.2% 6.6% 18.2% Approve Strongly 21.1% 6.4% 3.1% 10.3% 13.9% 8.4% 6.6% 6.7% 14.0% Disapprove Uncertain 41.4% 58.2% 47.1% 47.3% 41.3% 60.3% 38.4% 51.9% 43.5% 7) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Governor Holcomb’s job performance? 5 Party Age group Gender Democrat Independent or In Republican 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or Female Male Another Party over Q7: Do you strongly Approve, somewhat Approve, Somewhat 34.2% 28.7% 39.9% 21.9% 30.2% 45.7% 40.6% 34.1% 36.2% somewhat Disapprove, or strongly Disapprove of Approve Governor Holcomb’s job performance? Somewhat 26.4% 11.0% 5.9% 18.0% 22.0% 10.5% 2.8% 12.9% 15.9% Disapprove Strongly 8.0% 4.1% 23.7% 5.2% 14.7% 15.0% 17.3% 12.7% 14.0% Approve Strongly 8.1% 5.7% 6.8% 6.7% 5.7% 7.3% 9.3% 6.0% 8.1% Disapprove Uncertain 23.2% 50.4% 23.7% 48.1% 27.4% 21.6% 30.0% 34.3% 25.7% 8) If the election for Senate were held today and the candidates were Mike Braun, Joe Donnelly, and Lucy Brenton who would you vote for? 6 Party Age group Gender Democrat Independent or In Republican 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or Female Male Another Party over Q8: If the election for Senate were held today and Democrat Joe 83.1% 34.5% 14.6% 53.2% 41.8% 29.0% 62.0% 43.9% 43.2% the candidates were Mike Braun, Joe Donnelly, and Donnelly Lucy Brenton who would you vote for? Libertarian 3.8% 14.7% 4.8% 12.1% 10.5% 3.7% 0.0% 7.5% 6.3% Lucy Brenton Republican 5.6% 32.4% 73.9% 21.8% 36.2% 59.8% 30.0% 36.3% 43.1% Mike Braun Uncertain 7.5% 18.4% 6.8% 12.9% 11.5% 7.4% 8.0% 12.2% 7.4% 9) If the election for Senate were held today and you had to make a decision, which candidate are you leaning towards? 7 Party Age group Gender Democrat Independent or In Republican 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or Female Male Another Party over N/A Q9: If the election for Senate were held today and 92.5% 81.6% 93.2% 87.1% 88.5% 92.6% 92.0% 87.8% 92.6% you had to make a decision, which candidate are Democrat Joe 3.8% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 1.1% 0.4% 6.2% 0.3% 2.8% you leaning towards? Donnelly Libertarian Lucy 0.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.5% 0.0% Brenton Republican 1.0% 0.9% 2.5% 4.0% 1.2% 1.1% 0.0% 1.7% 1.4% Mike Braun Uncertain 2.7% 16.0% 4.0% 8.9% 8.6% 5.6% 1.8% 9.7% 3.2% 10) If the election for Congress were held in your district today would you vote for a Republican or a Democrat? Party Age group Gender Democrat Independent or In Republican 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or Female Male Another Party over Q10: If the election for Congress were held in your Democrat 82.1% 40.3% 14.1% 57.7% 41.7% 31.3% 57.9% 45.8% 42.9% district today would you vote for a Republican or a Republican 6.8% 30.8% 75.9% 35.7% 39.5% 47.8% 34.3% 38.8% 42.1% Democrat? Uncertain 11.1% 28.9% 10.1% 6.6% 18.8% 20.9% 7.8% 15.3% 15.0% 8 11) If the election for Secretary of State were held today and the candidates were Connie Lawson, Jim Harper, George Wolfe, and Mark Rutherford, who would you vote for? Party Age group Gender Democrat Independent or Republican 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or Female Male In Another Party over Q11: If the election for Secretary of State were held Democrat Jim 68.3% 14.2% 3.9% 38.6% 28.4% 25.7% 24.8% 34.0% 23.6% today and the candidates were Connie Lawson, Jim Harper Harper, George Wolfe, and Mark Rutherford, who Green George 4.7% 5.1% 1.6% 12.5% 3.2% 0.1% 0.0% 2.3% 4.9% would you vote for? Wolfe Libertarian 4.6% 21.8% 4.0% 10.4% 10.6% 5.8% 7.9% 4.7% 12.8% Mark Rutherford Republican 4.0% 17.0% 72.8% 19.1% 30.4% 42.0% 48.3% 33.7% 36.0% Connie Lawson Uncertain 18.4% 41.9% 17.8% 19.3% 27.4% 26.4% 19.0% 25.3% 22.7% 9 12) Do you currently approve or disapprove of the Tax Reform Bill that was signed into law recently? Party Age group Gender Democrat Independent or In Republican 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or Female Male Another Party over Q12: Do you currently Approve or Disapprove of the Approve 11.3% 28.1% 48.3% 28.9% 30.3% 41.2% 12.1% 26.8% 34.1% Tax Reform Bill that was signed into law recently? Disapprove 44.2% 29.8% 17.7% 32.6% 31.8% 17.5% 46.4% 21.8% 38.8% Uncertain 44.5% 42.2% 34.0% 38.5% 37.9% 41.3% 41.5% 51.3% 27.1% 13) Would you be more or less likely to support a candidate for U.S.