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Defining Hoosier Wave Elections, Impacts

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V24, N1 Thursday, Aug. 2, 2018 Defining Hoosier wave elections, impacts Less than 100 days from mid-term, is there a wave brewing? By TREVOR FOUGHTY Capitolandwashington.com INDIANAPOLIS – National chatter about a potential wave elec- tion has persisted since at least the spring of 2017, and conventional wis- dom for the past 18 months or so has been that Democrats will take control of the U.S. House but struggle to take control of the U.S. Senate because they have to play too much defense. As we’re now within 100 days of the election, speculation will quickly crescendo as pundits at- tempt to discern what kind of wave, U.S. Sen. Barack Obama came to Indianapolis in October 2006 to campaign for congressio- if any, might be approaching our nal candidates Brad Ellsworth (left), Baron Hill (right) and Joe Donnelly. All three won in that electoral shores. In the midst of such wave election. an environment, “What constitutes the party out of power. Meanwhile, “What does this mean a wave election?” is a question that rarely gets asked, as for down-ballot races in Indiana?” is a question that rarely most settle for the ambiguous expectation of big gains for Continued on page 4 24 years of real news By BRIAN A. HOWEY INDIANAPOLIS – With today’s edition, Howey Politics Indiana begins its 24th year of publishing. We do so across four platforms, reaching more than a half million Hoosiers per week. “This is a terrible situation and This benchmark comes in uncertain times. President Trump Attorney General Jeff Sessions has labeled American news reporters, editors and photogra- should stop this Rigged Witch phers as “enemies of the people.” Hunt right now, before it contin- This has become the era of “fake news” and “alternative facts” as ues to stain our country any fur- Americans have fled the First ther. Bob Mueller is totally con- Amendment Tower of Babel into ideological silos. The divisions flicted.” among us go beyond gender, race and creed and into who we - President Trump, suggesting voted for and what cable channel the firing of Robert Mueller Page 2 or social media platform we glean our photographers. Medium sized newspa- information from. pers which 20 years ago would count It also comes as American newsroom employees in the dozens media finds its fiscal platform splin- can now count most of them on two tering. According to Pew Research, hands. newsroom employment declined 23% According to Pew, of the five between 2008 and 2017. In 2008, industries studied, notable job growth about 114,000 newsroom employees – occurred only in the digital-native Howey Politics Indiana reporters, editors, photographers and news sector. Since 2008, the number videographers – worked in five indus- of digital-native newsroom employees WWHowey Media, LLC 405 tries that produce news: Newspaper, (which would include HPI) increased Massachusetts Ave., Suite radio, broadcast television, cable and by 79%, from about 7,400 workers to 300 Indianapolis, IN 46204 “other information services” (the best about 13,000 in 2017. This increase of www.howeypolitics.com match for digital-native news publish- about 6,000 total jobs, however, fell ers). By 2017, that number declined to far short of offsetting the loss of about about 88,000, a loss of about 27,000 32,000 newspaper newsroom jobs Brian A. Howey, Publisher jobs. during the same period. Mark Schoeff Jr., Washington According to Pew and the Howey Politics Indiana pub- Cameron Carter, Editor U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, news- lishes via the Internet at www.howey- Joel Weyrauch, Editor paper employees declined by 45% politics.com, including the PDF format Mary Lou Howey, Editor between 2008 and 2017, from about weekly HPI, on Facebook and Twitter 71,000 workers in 2008 to 39,000 in social media platforms, the HPI Mobile Mark Curry, Daily Wire, photo 2017. The estimated total U.S. daily App (which is included at no additional Jack E. Howey, Editor newspaper circu- cost to HPI subscribers), Emeritus lation (print and and my weekly column digital combined) in which reaches more than 2017 was 31 million 300,000 readers a week Subscriptions for weekday and 34 via more than 30 newspa- HPI, HPI Daily Wire $599 million for Sunday, pers as well as WTHR-TV, HPI Weekly, $350 down 11% and the state’s largest news HPI Mobile, $5.95 monthly 10%, respectively, website. HPI has remained Ray Volpe, Account Manager from the previous profitable with a combina- year. Declines were tion of news coverage be- 317.602.3620 highest in print hind a paywall established email: [email protected] circulation: Week- in 1994, while we offer free day print circulation decreased 11% content (such as HPI’s columnists) on and Sunday circulation decreased the HPI web homepage. Contact HPI 10%. According to the independently The HPI Daily Wire goes [email protected] produced reports from The New York out to close to 2,500 readers daily, Howey’s cell: 317.506.0883 Times and The Wall Street Journal, with many more eyes reading this Washington: 202.256.5822 however, both companies saw large aggregation of political news and Business Office: 317.602.3620 gains in digital circulation in the past policy. And the HPI Daily Wire and year: 42% for the Times and 26% for weekly edition strives to reach across the Journal, on top of gains in 2016. If ideological silos, drawing aggregated © 2018, Howey Politics these independently produced figures content from the New York Times, Indiana. All rights reserved. were included in both 2016 and 2017, Washington Post and CNN as well as Photocopying, Internet forward- weekday digital circulation would have the Wall Street Journal, Fox News ing, faxing or reproducing in risen by 10%. and conservative journals such as the Steve Key of the Hoosier National Review, Weekly Standard and any form, whole or part, is a State Press Association says his group American Spectator. While President violation of federal law without “has not collected most of that data” Trump complains about unfair cover- permission from the publisher. on the statewide level. But anecdot- age, HPI has added commentators ally, local newspapers employ only such as Tony Samuel and Craig Dunn a fraction of reporters, editors and who often present the Trump/Pence photographers than they did a decade viewpoint. or two ago. Press and composition Pew notes: In the U.S., crews have vanished, as have many roughly nine in 10 adults (93%) get at Page 3 least some news online (either via mobile or desktop), and we losing the “free marketplace of ideas” when news con- the online space has become a host for the digital homes sumers splinter off into ideological silos? We are watching of both legacy news outlets and new, “born on the web” the manifestation of the loss of that common place when news outlets. Digital advertising revenue across all digital Fox News viewers can have radically different perceptions entities (beyond just news) continues to grow, with tech- than those watching CNN and MSNBC. Or if people only nology companies playing a large role in the flow of both get news via Facebook, which has been manipulated by news and revenue. Russia bots and other international imposters seeking to Digital advertising continues to grow as a propor- create and exploit domestic positions. tion of total advertising revenue, a trend driven in large Political candidates and campaigns are already part by growth in advertising on mobile devices, according veering away from broader media platforms and reaching to Pew. In 2017, according to eMarketer estimates, digital supporters and undecideds via social media. Two Repub- advertising grew to $90 billion, an increase from $72 lican congressional candidates, Greg Pence in the 6th CD billion in 2016. It was estimated to comprise 44% of all and Trey Hollingsworth in the 9th, aren’t participating in advertising revenue, up from 37% in 2016. public debates or holding town halls, and in the case of Newspapers are not the only media in decline. Pence, won’t talk to reporters. Pew notes that while television remains the most common These divisions and silos help fuel a polarized place for Americans to get their news, with local TV outpacing cable and network TV, local TV news saw its audience decline across most time slots studied this past year. In 2017, viewership for network local affiliate news stations (ABC, CBS, Fox and NBC) declined in key time slots – morning (6 a.m. to 9 a.m.), early evening (4 p.m. to 7 p.m.) and late night (11 p.m. to 2 a.m.), according to comScore StationView Essentials® data. The average audience (defined as the average number of TVs tuned to a program throughout a time period) for the morning news time slot decreased 15% in 2017. Local TV average audience for the late night and early Political analysts Charlie Cook, Stu Rothenberg and Brian Howey at an evening news time slots also declined (7% for both). HPI Forum in 2002. Audience for the midday news time slot (11 a.m. to 2 p.m.) declined 4%, while evening news remained relatively America with fewer Americans finding common ground. stable. In Indiana, we’ve seen local TV news mergers in It is our mission at Howey Politics Indiana to gather news the Indianapolis, South Bend and Fort Wayne markets, and commentary across the spectrum, to write in a way with broadcasts running on two stations, such as Fox59 that prompts broader public discourse, while serving our and CBS4, both of subscribers with reliable analysis and forecasting. Cable TV viewership is also in decline.
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