EQUITY RESEARCH IU RATING TARGET CHANGES Energy: Offshore Drilling Energy: Oilfield Services February 11, 2013 Investment Opinion Changes and James Crandell, Managing Director
[email protected] 212.702.4515 Alterations to Coverage Peter Hatfield, Analyst
[email protected] 212.372.5710 J.B. Lowe, CFA, Analyst
[email protected] 212.372.5705 We are reducing our investment opinion on nine of the 50 oil service stocks we have under Jonathan Hunter, Associate coverage, reflecting the strength in oil service stocks in recent weeks; the fact that certain
[email protected] 212.372.5715 stocks we have had Buy recommendations on are approaching our price targets; the still Novid Rassouli, Associate sluggish outlook for E&P spending in North America; and a change in analyst coverage.
[email protected] 212.702.4502 The stocks we are downgrading to Hold from Buy are Baker Hughes, Basic Energy Services, Calfrac Well Services, Trican Well Service, Ensco, Ensign Energy Services, Lufkin Industries, Newpark, and Tenaris. We continue to have a positive view on the performance of the oil service group. At this point, we have a clear preference for those companies strongly exposed to the multiyear upturn forecast for international exploration and production spending and those oriented toward the exceptional outlook for ultra-deepwater. Given the sluggish outlook for North American E&P spending and the outperformance recently of North America-oriented stocks, we are deemphasizing this group. Please read Required Disclosures & Analyst Certification on the last pages of this report. MEMBER: FINRA/SIPC www.drco.com DAHLMAN ROSE & CO. EQUITY RESEARCH Oil Service Stocks Have Been Strong Since the oil service group's recent bottom (11/14/2012), the OSX has risen by 20%, Performers compared with a 12% rise by the S&P 500.